Rules for Pick of The Year (PoTY) 2022

[BlueWolf]

Weil, here it is: The unofficial (they need to be blessed by John Henry) final standings for the 2022 PotY contest. Congratulations to BillyJoe with a really strong pick, UTHR, in a down market. A 37.76% return during a market in which the Dow was down 5.63%, the S&P was down 15%, and the NASDAQ was down a massive 26.65% is pretty darn good in my book. Congrats also to second and third place finishers Mr. Market with TLPPF and Antioch with GRBK. As for the rest of us, better luck year and the year after that too because this bear market is going to be around for a while, I think. Have a great New Year everyone and thank you for participating in the 2022 PotY contest.

	PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Dec 30, 2022
#	Contestant	Stock	L or S	Start	Open	Current	Penalty	Gain/Loss
Remembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔
1	BillyJoe	UTHR	Long	2/1/2022	$201.87	$‎ 278.09		37.76%
2	Mr. Market	TLPPF	Long	2/1/2022	$4.90	$‎ 4.72		-3.67%
3	Dow	DIA	Long	2/1/2022	$351.08	$‎ 331.33		-5.63%
4	Antioch	GRBK	Long	5/25/2022	$21.93	$‎ 24.23	20.00%	-7.93%
5	Minni17	OGN	Long	2/1/2022	$31.91	$‎ 27.93		-12.47%
6	S&P	SPY	Long	2/1/2022	$449.91	$‎ 382.43		-15.00%
7	Massimo	IPA	Long	2/1/2022	$6.18	$‎ 5.21		-15.70%
8	Jiesen	QDEL	Long	2/1/2022	$103.36	$‎ 85.67		-17.11%
9	Antioch’s Dad	AAPL	Long	5/25/2022	$140.81	$‎ 129.93	20.00%	-23.10%
10	NASDAQ	QQQ	Long	2/1/2022	$363.05	$‎ 266.28		-26.65%
11	Blind Squirrel	HZO	Long	2/1/2022	$47.06	$‎ 31.22		-33.66%
12	BlueWolf	DOCN	Long	2/1/2022	$57.34	$‎ 25.47		-55.58%
13	JohnHenry	RBLX	Long	2/1/2022	$65.86	$‎ 28.46		-56.79%
14	Louetta	GBTC	Long	2/1/2022	$26.24	$‎ 8.29		-68.41%
15	Tiedyed1	AUPH	Long	2/1/2022	$16.66	$‎ 4.32		-74.07%
16	Vixtt’s	SFT	Long	2/1/2022	$2.29	$‎ 0.15		-93.50%
17	Peanuts	OZON*	Long	2/1/2022	$20.67	$‎ 0.00		-100.00%
* - Delisted because of Russia sanctions

[JohnHenry]

Weil, here it is: The unofficial (they need to be blessed by John Henry) final standings for the 2022 PotY contest. Congratulations to BillyJoe with a really strong pick, UTHR, in a down market. A 37.76% return during a market in which the Dow was down 5.63%, the S&P was down 15%, and the NASDAQ was down a massive 26.65% is pretty darn good in my book. Congrats also to second and third place finishers Mr. Market with TLPPF and Antioch with GRBK. As for the rest of us, better luck year and the year after that too because this bear market is going to be around for a while, I think. Have a great New Year everyone and thank you for participating in the 2022 PotY contest.

	PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Dec 30, 2022
#	Contestant	Stock	L or S	Start	Open	Current	Penalty	Gain/Loss
Remembering Riverbabe And Karel
1	BillyJoe	UTHR	Long	2/1/2022	$201.87	$‎ 278.09		37.76%
2	Mr. Market	TLPPF	Long	2/1/2022	$4.90	$‎ 4.72		-3.67%
3	Dow	DIA	Long	2/1/2022	$351.08	$‎ 331.33		-5.63%
4	Antioch	GRBK	Long	5/25/2022	$21.93	$‎ 24.23	20.00%	-7.93%
5	Minni17	OGN	Long	2/1/2022	$31.91	$‎ 27.93		-12.47%
6	S&P	SPY	Long	2/1/2022	$449.91	$‎ 382.43		-15.00%
7	Massimo	IPA	Long	2/1/2022	$6.18	$‎ 5.21		-15.70%
8	Jiesen	QDEL	Long	2/1/2022	$103.36	$‎ 85.67		-17.11%
9	Antioch’s Dad	AAPL	Long	5/25/2022	$140.81	$‎ 129.93	20.00%	-23.10%
10	NASDAQ	QQQ	Long	2/1/2022	$363.05	$‎ 266.28		-26.65%
11	Blind Squirrel	HZO	Long	2/1/2022	$47.06	$‎ 31.22		-33.66%
12	BlueWolf	DOCN	Long	2/1/2022	$57.34	$‎ 25.47		-55.58%
13	JohnHenry	RBLX	Long	2/1/2022	$65.86	$‎ 28.46		-56.79%
14	Louetta	GBTC	Long	2/1/2022	$26.24	$‎ 8.29		-68.41%
15	Tiedyed1	AUPH	Long	2/1/2022	$16.66	$‎ 4.32		-74.07%
16	Vixtt’s	SFT	Long	2/1/2022	$2.29	$‎ 0.15		-93.50%
17	Peanuts	OZON*	Long	2/1/2022	$20.67	$‎ 0.00		-100.00%
* - Delisted because of Russia sanctions

Happy New Year and Congratulation to BillyJoe with a kick ass gain of 37.76 percent to take first place in the Pick of The Year 2022 Contest in a horrible market. That’s two first place titles in four years (2019 and 2022).

Second place goes to Mr. Market with a minimal lost. Back to back second place titles (2021 and 2022). Top three since 2020.

Third place goes to Antioch. Even with a 20 percent penalty he was able to keep his lost to a single digit.

Happy New Year friends and thank you for taking part in our little 2022 Pick of The Year Contest.

Please show our appreciation and please give a round of applause to BlueWolf for the weekly write-ups for the Pick of The Year Contest for the past three years.

Many thanks BlueWolf.

[BlueWolf]

Please show our appreciation and please give a round of applause to BlueWolf for the weekly write-ups for the Pick of The Year Contest for the past three years.

Many thanks BlueWolf.

You’re most welcome. Happy New Year everyone!

[BlueWolf]

I did a mock portfolio again this year in which I opened $2,000 (approximately) positions in each pick. The portfolio didn’t take into account any penalties, so we ended up with two positions in the green. Needless to say, but I’ll say it anyway, we didn’t fare too well this year. As a group, we ended up losing 35.02% of our mock investment. Just two short years ago, we showed a 68.49% gain. What happened? Oh that’s right, we had a global pandemic, we brought ourselves to the brink of a world war, and the government started printing money like a Monopoly factory to pay for it all. Anyway, here’s the mock portfolio if anyone is interested:

2022 PotY Mock Portfolio As of 12/31/22 (~ $2000 positions)
Stock	Open	Shares	Short/Long	Cost	Close	Value	Gain	Gain %
AAPL	$140.81	14	Long	$‎ 1971.34	$‎ 129.93	$‎ 1819.02	-$152.32	-7.73%
AUPH	$16.66	120	Long	$‎ 1999.20	$‎ 4.32	$‎ 518.40	-$1480.80	-74.07%
DOCN	$57.34	35	Long	$‎ 2006.90	$‎ 25.47	$‎ 891.45	-$1115.45	-55.58%
GBTC	$26.24	76	Long	$‎ 1994.24	$‎ 8.29	$‎ 630.04	-$1364.20	-68.41%
GRBK	$21.93	91	Long	$‎ 1995.63	$‎ 24.23	$‎ 2204.93	$209.30	10.49%
HZO	$47.06	42	Long	$‎ 1976.52	$‎ 31.22	$‎ 1311.24	-$665.28	-33.66%
IPA	$6.18	324	Long	$‎ 2002.32	$‎ 5.21	$‎ 1688.04	-$314.28	-15.70%
OGN	$31.91	63	Long	$‎ 2010.33	$‎ 27.93	$‎ 1759.59	-$250.74	-12.47%
OZON	$20.67	97	Long	$‎ 2004.99	$‎ 0.00	$‎ 0.00	-$2004.99	-100.00%
QDEL	$103.36	19	Long	$‎ 1963.84	$‎ 85.67	$‎ 1627.73	-$336.11	-17.11%
RBLX	$65.86	30	Long	$‎ 1975.80	$‎ 28.46	$‎ 853.80	-$1122.00	-56.79%
SFT	$2.29	873	Long	$‎ 1999.17	$‎ 0.15	$‎ 129.99	-$1869.18	-93.50%
TLPPF	$4.90	408	Long	$‎ 1999.20	$‎ 4.72	$‎ 1925.76	-$73.44	-3.67%
UTHR	$201.87	10	Long	$‎ 2018.70	$‎ 278.09	$‎ 2780.90	$762.20	37.76%
Totals				$‎ 27,918.18		$‎ 18,140.89	-$9,777.29	-35.02%

[jiesen]

Congrats Billyjoe for winning the POTY again! UTHR is indeed HUGE!!!

Thanks Bluewolf for all the hard work putting this contest out there for us to enjoy!

And Happy New Year everyone, may 2023 be a much more profitable year than last year was!

[mrmarket]

Congrats to Billyjoe...great pick. Bluewolf - great job covering! JohnHenry - Super thread! Based on what I'm seeing in the job market and trends in inflation, I think a softer landing is in the cards....we will have an up year in 2023 with real momentum in the 2nd half. Be ready for another run of picks!

[billyjoe]

Thanks to John Henry and Bluewolf. For those interested here is the unbelievable story of UTHR, United Therapeutics : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g4KHuQYm_z4

----------------billy

[Louetta]

Congratulations to BillyJoe and thanks to Bluewolf and JohnHenry for running the contest.

[jiesen]

Congratulations to BillyJoe and thanks to Bluewolf and JohnHenry for running the contest.

and thank you, too, Louetta, for bringing up GBTC so I could make a nice entry on it under $9. Just sold half of my position today for about $10 and about a 15% gain on it in a little over a month. Not bad for a little bit of coin....

[Louetta]

and thank you, too, Louetta, for bringing up GBTC so I could make a nice entry on it under $9. Just sold half of my position today for about $10 and about a 15% gain on it in a little over a month. Not bad for a little bit of coin....

Congrats. I thought about it but didn't have the cohones to pull the trigger.