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I have 17 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. How is this possible? Every day there are hundreds of stocks setting new highs, no matter what happens in the overall market. Many of these stocks are still at very reasonable valuations. Afraid of buying stocks at their highs? Think of it this way: a new high is really a future floor for companies with solid financial underpinnings. Quantitative momentum modeling makes it easy to identify stocks that can continue this upward momentum trend. Why does this happen? It's really very simple..ask me about what investors and cows have in common. I am $$$ MR. MARKET $$$. I AM HUGE!!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses. You can join in on the fun. Register for free and you'll be able to post messages on this forum and also receive emails when $$$ MR. MARKET $$$ makes his own trades. ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)
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  1. #111
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
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    Earth (Mostly)
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    Default

    Charting is back up, so I went ahead and generated annotated daily and weekly charts for the NASDAQ (the other indices are similar). Bottom line? We are at inflection points on both the daily and weekly charts. What does that mean? It means that we could potentially be looking at both near term and longer term trend reversals. We’ll need confirmations, but the signs right now are good. I’m still apprehensive because of the state of the economy, but I think buying a little at these levels, should the market continue up on Monday, could produce some results. Because of the dangers right now, however, any positions I open will be carefully trail stopped.

    Annotated NASDAQ Daily Chart as of close 9/10/22
    https://www.dropbox.com/s/asjdoukfe0...02022.jpg?dl=0

    Annotated NASDAQ Weekly chart as of close 9/10/22
    https://www.dropbox.com/s/rxbzgkckuy...02022.jpg?dl=0

  2. #112
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    Oct 2003
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    Hamilton MA
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    2,184

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    Quote Originally Posted by BlueWolf View Post
    Charting is back up, so I went ahead and generated annotated daily and weekly charts for the NASDAQ (the other indices are similar). Bottom line? We are at inflection points on both the daily and weekly charts. What does that mean? It means that we could potentially be looking at both near term and longer term trend reversals. We’ll need confirmations, but the signs right now are good. I’m still apprehensive because of the state of the economy, but I think buying a little at these levels, should the market continue up on Monday, could produce some results. Because of the dangers right now, however, any positions I open will be carefully trail stopped.

    Annotated NASDAQ Daily Chart as of close 9/10/22
    https://www.dropbox.com/s/asjdoukfe0...02022.jpg?dl=0

    Annotated NASDAQ Weekly chart as of close 9/10/22
    https://www.dropbox.com/s/rxbzgkckuy...02022.jpg?dl=0
    Interesting stuff.

  3. #113
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    Jun 2009
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    Earth (Mostly)
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    Well, folks, this is why I call them inflection points. I was hopeful that we might continue up and establish an uptrend, but Friday’s confirmed what common sense was telling me: The state of the economy is very bad and not likely to improve any time soon. What triggered this latest sell off? Well, to absolutely no one’s surprise, except maybe the delusional people who passed the “anti-inflation” bill, the CPI report was released and indicated hotter than expected inflation rates.

    On a monthly basis, the consumer price index rose 0.1% in August versus expectations for a decline of 0.1%. The core rate, which excludes food and energy, accelerated to 0.6%, compared with the consensus for an increase of 0.3%. Annual inflation advanced 8.3% last month, slower than an 8.5% jump in July, but faster than the Street's view for an 8.1% increase. All of this was taken as very bad news by the market.

    Comments by economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons pretty much nailed it: "Today's inflation report is a game changer in terms of Fed expectations. Yes, energy and food prices are moderating, but core pressure (remains) very stubborn. The July slowdown in core now looks like a one-off, rather than (the) beginning of a trend.”

    I think that last statement sums up the recent up tick in the market. It looks like a one off rather than the beginning of an uptrend. So now, barring some good news, the market is probably going to challenge it’s prior pivot lows on both the daily (short term) and the weekly (longer term). Batten down the hatches, pickers, it’s very likely that there are more rough waters ahead.

  4. #114
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    BlueWolf, Me and Mrs. Billy's retirement accounts are dominated by dividend paying stocks. Lows were on June20th of this year. They are up 14.5% from that date and we have withdrawn about 1% in cash since June 20th.

    -------------------billy

  5. #115
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
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    Quote Originally Posted by billyjoe View Post
    BlueWolf, Me and Mrs. Billy's retirement accounts are dominated by dividend paying stocks. Lows were on June20th of this year. They are up 14.5% from that date and we have withdrawn about 1% in cash since June 20th.

    -------------------billy
    Dividend paying stocks are a good idea in a bear market, and a good way to ensure you always have some kind of income from your investments.

  6. #116
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    Oct 2003
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    Hamilton MA
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    Cramer recommended SPG, FRT and O tonight. I've had SPG for some time.

  7. #117
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
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    871

    Default PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Sep 16, 2022

    Yet another week of thunder struck down the market this week and our picks paid for it. BillyJoe’s UTHR continues to be our only in-the-green pick and our leader. Minni17’s OGN and Antioch’s Dad’s AAPL hold down second and third respectively. There’s not much more to say at this point except “Ugh.”


    PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Sep 16, 2022
    #
    Contestant
    Stock
    L or S
    Start
    Open
    Current
    Penalty
    Gain/Loss
    Remembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔
    1
    BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $‎ 218.11
    8.04%
    2
    Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $‎ 28.61
    -10.34%
    3
    Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $‎ 150.70 20.00% -10.81%
    4
    Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $‎ 308.05
    -12.26%
    5
    Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $‎ 23.00 20.00% -12.60%
    6
    S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $‎ 385.56
    -14.30%
    7
    Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $‎ 5.20
    -15.86%
    8
    Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $‎ 4.05
    -17.35%
    9
    NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $‎ 289.32
    -20.31%
    10
    Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $‎ 81.78
    -20.88%
    11
    BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $‎ 41.56
    -27.52%
    12
    Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $‎ 30.44
    -35.32%
    13
    JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $‎ 39.50
    -40.02%
    14
    Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $‎ 11.98
    -54.34%
    15
    Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $‎ 7.30
    -56.18%
    16
    Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $‎ 0.74
    -67.58%
    17
    Peanuts OZON* Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $‎ 0.00
    -100.00%
    * - Delisted because of Russia sanctions


  8. #118
    Join Date
    Nov 2003
    Location
    ohio
    Posts
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    Default

    UTHR hanging on by a thread.

    --------------billy

  9. #119
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
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    871

    Default PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Sep 23, 2022

    Well, it was another lovely week for the market, and our picks got clobbered again. Our first place holder and sole pick in the green, BillyJoe’s UTHR, is hanging on by a thread. Our second and third place holders this week are Antioch’s Dad’s AAPL and Antioch’s GRBK. The market looks like it is nearing the bottom of it’s regression channel here, so I expect some sort of bounce this week unless we go into complete panic selling mode, which is a distinct possibility at this point. Let’s see what the winds blow this way, but as for the PotY contest this year, the die is cast. There will be no real winners this year.


    PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Sep 23, 2022
    #
    Contestant
    Stock
    L or S
    Start
    Open
    Current
    Penalty
    Gain/Loss
    Remembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔
    1
    BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $‎ 207.62
    2.85%
    2
    Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $‎ 150.43 20.00% -10.97%
    3
    Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $‎ 295.86
    -15.73%
    4
    Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $‎ 21.78 20.00% -17.24%
    5
    S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $‎ 367.95
    -18.22%
    6
    Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $‎ 25.75
    -19.30%
    7
    Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $‎ 3.75
    -23.47%
    8
    NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $‎ 275.51
    -24.11%
    9
    Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $‎ 72.58
    -29.78%
    10
    Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $‎ 4.00
    -35.28%
    11
    BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $‎ 36.79
    -35.84%
    12
    Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $‎ 30.00
    -36.25%
    13
    JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $‎ 35.54
    -46.04%
    14
    Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $‎ 11.20
    -57.34%
    15
    Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $‎ 7.03
    -57.80%
    16
    Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $‎ 0.65
    -71.51%
    17
    Peanuts OZON* Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $‎ 0.00
    -100.00%
    * - Delisted because of Russia sanctions


  10. #120
    Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Posts
    5,013

    Wink

    Quote Originally Posted by BlueWolf View Post
    Well, it was another lovely week for the market, and our picks got clobbered again. Our first place holder and sole pick in the green, BillyJoe’s UTHR, is hanging on by a thread. Our second and third place holders this week are Antioch’s Dad’s AAPL and Antioch’s GRBK. The market looks like it is nearing the bottom of it’s regression channel here, so I expect some sort of bounce this week unless we go into complete panic selling mode, which is a distinct possibility at this point. Let’s see what the winds blow this way, but as for the PotY contest this year, the die is cast. There will be no real winners this year.


    PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Sep 23, 2022
    #
    Contestant
    Stock
    L or S
    Start
    Open
    Current
    Penalty
    Gain/Loss
    Remembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔
    1
    BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $‎ 207.62
    2.85%
    2
    Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $‎ 150.43 20.00% -10.97%
    3
    Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $‎ 295.86
    -15.73%
    4
    Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $‎ 21.78 20.00% -17.24%
    5
    S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $‎ 367.95
    -18.22%
    6
    Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $‎ 25.75
    -19.30%
    7
    Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $‎ 3.75
    -23.47%
    8
    NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $‎ 275.51
    -24.11%
    9
    Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $‎ 72.58
    -29.78%
    10
    Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $‎ 4.00
    -35.28%
    11
    BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $‎ 36.79
    -35.84%
    12
    Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $‎ 30.00
    -36.25%
    13
    JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $‎ 35.54
    -46.04%
    14
    Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $‎ 11.20
    -57.34%
    15
    Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $‎ 7.03
    -57.80%
    16
    Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $‎ 0.65
    -71.51%
    17
    Peanuts OZON* Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $‎ 0.00
    -100.00%
    * - Delisted because of Russia sanctions

    Ah, poor Peanuts... got roasted!

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