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  1. #101
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    Quote Originally Posted by mrmarket View Post
    Nice work Wolfie
    Thank you, huge one!

  2. #102
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    This space for rent

    Oops, my standings double posted for some reason. Since we can’t delete posts, I just zeroed out this duplicate.

  3. #103
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    Default PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Aug 19, 2022

    Fee Fie Foe Fum, boy oh boy is this market dumb. After building a little momentum over the last couple of weeks, the market retraced this week, undoing some of its recent gains. As I said last week, we had reached a point at which a market rollover would be consistent with a long term downtrend on the monthly and weekly charts. Personally, I don’t think we are out of the woods just yet. We could be looking at a very long term bear market. Then again, the market unhappiness is a kind of understandable. Runaway inflation … a declining GDP … the Fed printing money by the bucket full … the government spending money like a drunken sailor … OPEC putting the squeeze on … a devastating war in the Ukraine … Russia threatening to make the conflict nuclear … China on the brink of invading Taiwan … oh, and an ongoing global pandemic with the threat of a second one looming. I mean, what’s not to like? Ok, Ok, back to the contest.

    We had a little shakeup again this week with BillyJoe’s UTHR retaking the lead it had held for quite a while. In second and third are Antioch’s GRBK and Antioch’s Dad’s APPL, both of which have a 20% penalty on them. Impressive. These three pick are currently our only three picks both in the green and beating the market. We have two other picks beating the market and hovering around break even that might just shake things up in the coming weeks. After that? Well, not so good, but don’t give up hope. We have already seen some wild and rapid moves, and I think we might just see some more.

    Good luck to all pickers. Stay the course.


    PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Aug 19, 2022
    #
    Contestant
    Stock
    L or S
    Start
    Open
    Current
    Penalty
    Gain/Loss
    Remembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔
    1
    BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $‎ 224.44
    11.18%
    2
    Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $‎ 27.01 20.00% 2.64%
    3
    Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $‎ 171.52 20.00% 1.51%
    4
    Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $‎ 6.16
    -0.32%
    5
    Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $‎ 30.66
    -3.92%
    6
    Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $‎ 337.04
    -4.00%
    7
    S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $‎ 422.14
    -6.17%
    8
    NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $‎ 322.86
    -11.07%
    9
    Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $‎ 4.35
    -11.33%
    10
    Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $‎ 41.35
    -12.13%
    11
    Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $‎ 86.13
    -16.67%
    12
    BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $‎ 43.37
    -24.36%
    13
    JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $‎ 42.68
    -35.20%
    14
    Peanuts OZON Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $‎ 11.60
    -43.88%
    15
    Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $‎ 13.24
    -49.54%
    16
    Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $‎ 8.00
    -51.98%
    17
    Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $‎ 0.98
    -57.21%


  4. #104
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    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    872

    Default PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Aug 26, 2022

    Well, it wasn’t really hard to see this coming. There simply isn’t any reason why the market should have a sustained rally given the current circumstances and events. Sure enough, after Congress passed a massive spending bill that is ironically designed to curb inflation, after a student loan forgiveness program that could cost anywhere from $250-$500 billion was announced, and after a rate hike that pundits say could be as high as 130 basis points was announced by the Fed, the market collapsed in exhaustion on Friday with the Dow crashing a massive 1000 pts and the NASDAQ following suit with a crash of 500 pts.

    Obviously, our contest picks were effected, and pretty severely. We went from having three picks in the green to one. BillyJoe’s UTHR, our only green pick, held on to first place following the market bloodbath. Antioch’s GRBK and Antioch’s dad’s AAPL held on to second and third place respectively. The patterns on the three indices look remarkably similar with Friday’s giant red bar engulfing the prior bar on all three indices. If you look at the longer term charts, all this is consistent with a continued downtrend. I created a weekly chart for the Dow to illustrate this.

    Annotated Weekly Dow Chart
    https://www.dropbox.com/s/vetobuphuq...02022.jpg?dl=0

    All I can say is buckle your seatbelts. We may get a little bounce in a day or two after Friday’s bloodbath, which is a typical market reaction to a massive sell off and a great opportunity for a little day or scalp trading. Longer term, however, I still don’t think we’ve seen the end of the bear.


    PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Aug 26, 2022
    #
    Contestant
    Stock
    L or S
    Start
    Open
    Current
    Penalty
    Gain/Loss
    Remembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔
    1
    BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $‎ 215.30
    6.65%
    2
    Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $‎ 25.50 20.00% -3.10%
    3
    Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $‎ 163.62 20.00% -3.16%
    4
    Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $‎ 5.98
    -3.24%
    5
    Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $‎ 29.69
    -6.96%
    6
    Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $‎ 322.93
    -8.02%
    7
    S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $‎ 405.31
    -9.91%
    8
    Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $‎ 4.31
    -12.04%
    9
    Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $‎ 40.34
    -14.28%
    10
    NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $‎ 307.44
    -15.32%
    11
    Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $‎ 82.06
    -20.61%
    12
    BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $‎ 44.31
    -22.72%
    13
    JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $‎ 39.56
    -39.93%
    14
    Peanuts OZON Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $‎ 11.60
    -43.88%
    15
    Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $‎ 12.67
    -51.71%
    16
    Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $‎ 7.72
    -53.66%
    17
    Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $‎ 0.92
    -59.83%

    Last edited by BlueWolf; 08-27-2022 at 12:19 PM.

  5. #105
    Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Posts
    5,013

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by BlueWolf View Post
    Well, it wasn’t really hard to see this coming. There simply isn’t any reason why the market should have a sustained rally given the current circumstances and events. Sure enough, after Congress passed a massive spending bill that is ironically designed to curb inflation, after a student loan forgiveness program that could cost anywhere from $250-$500 billion was announced, and after a rate hike that pundits say could be as high as 130 basis points was announced by the Fed, the market collapsed in exhaustion on Friday with the Dow crashing a massive 1000 pts and the NASDAQ following suit with a crash of 500 pts.

    Obviously, our contest picks were effected, and pretty severely. We went from having three picks in the green to one. BillyJoe’s UTHR, our only green pick, held on to first place following the market bloodbath. Antioch’s GRBK and Antioch’s dad’s AAPL held on to second and third place respectively. The patterns on the three indices look remarkably similar with Friday’s giant red bar engulfing the prior bar on all three indices. If you look at the longer term charts, all this is consistent with a continued downtrend. I created a weekly chart for the Dow to illustrate this.

    Annotated Weekly Dow Chart
    https://www.dropbox.com/s/vetobuphuq...02022.jpg?dl=0

    All I can say is buckle your seatbelts. We may get a little bounce in a day or two after Friday’s bloodbath, which is a typical market reaction to a massive sell off and a great opportunity for a little day or scalp trading. Longer term, however, I still don’t think we’ve seen the end of the bear.


    PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Aug 26, 2022
    #
    Contestant
    Stock
    L or S
    Start
    Open
    Current
    Penalty
    Gain/Loss
    Remembering Riverbabe And Karel
    1
    BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $‎ 215.30
    6.65%
    2
    Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $‎ 25.50 20.00% -3.10%
    3
    Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $‎ 163.62 20.00% -3.16%
    4
    Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $‎ 5.98
    -3.24%
    5
    Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $‎ 29.69
    -6.96%
    6
    Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $‎ 322.93
    -8.02%
    7
    S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $‎ 405.31
    -9.91%
    8
    Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $‎ 4.31
    -12.04%
    9
    Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $‎ 40.34
    -14.28%
    10
    NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $‎ 307.44
    -15.32%
    11
    Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $‎ 82.06
    -20.61%
    12
    BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $‎ 44.31
    -22.72%
    13
    JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $‎ 39.56
    -39.93%
    14
    Peanuts OZON Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $‎ 11.60
    -43.88%
    15
    Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $‎ 12.67
    -51.71%
    16
    Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $‎ 7.72
    -53.66%
    17
    Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $‎ 0.92
    -59.83%

    indeed, this does not bode well at all. anyway, congrats Billyjoe for staying green through it all!

  6. #106

    Default

    It could be worse...you could have flown out to Dublin to root for Nebraska.
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

  7. #107
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Hamilton MA
    Posts
    2,184

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by mrmarket View Post
    It could be worse...you could have flown out to Dublin to root for Nebraska.
    By the by I got down to Tufts last Spring for an outdoor track meet. Bet it was three years since because of the covid.

  8. #108
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    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    872

    Default PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Sep 2, 2022

    Well, do you want the bad news or the bad news? That pretty much sums up the market last week. For the second week in a row we had bearish engulfing bars on all three of the major indices’ daily charts on Friday. This week, however, it was far more pronounced. Ugh. After the smoke cleared, that left us with only one pick in the green, BillyJoe’s UTHR in first, and two picks beating all three indices, add Antioch’s Dad’s AAPL in second. Minni17’s OGN, a one time leader, moved into third by the narrowest of margins. Again, looking at the longer term charts, I don’t think this bleeding is over. Better hunker down and stock up on toilet paper (Why is it that toilet paper seems to disappear during a crisis?). A long time ago, when I was a young whippersnapper of an investor, a seasoned veteran once told me that during a bear market there were only three things to invest in: Alcohol, fast food, and fashion. Why fashion I never figured out except to guess that during bad times, we all like to be drunk, fat, and trendy. Go figure. Anyway, good luck moving forward my fellow pickers. See you next week.


    PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Sep 2, 2022
    #
    Contestant
    Stock
    L or S
    Start
    Open
    Current
    Penalty
    Gain/Loss
    Remembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔
    1
    BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $‎ 222.91
    10.42%
    2
    Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $‎ 155.81 20.00% -7.79%
    3
    Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $‎ 313.76
    -10.63%
    4
    Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $‎ 28.50
    -10.69%
    5
    Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $‎ 23.46 20.00% -10.85%
    6
    Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $‎ 4.31
    -12.04%
    7
    S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $‎ 392.24
    -12.82%
    8
    Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $‎ 5.27
    -14.72%
    9
    NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $‎ 295.17
    -18.70%
    10
    Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $‎ 78.53
    -24.02%
    11
    Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $‎ 35.31
    -24.97%
    12
    BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $‎ 38.41
    -33.01%
    13
    JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $‎ 37.94
    -42.39%
    14
    Peanuts OZON Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $‎ 11.60
    -43.88%
    15
    Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $‎ 12.38
    -52.82%
    16
    Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $‎ 7.22
    -56.66%
    17
    Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $‎ 0.82
    -64.34%


  9. #109
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Hamilton MA
    Posts
    2,184

    Default

    "a seasoned veteran once told me that during a bear market there were only three things to invest in: Alcohol, fast food, and fashion."

    That may refer to designer stuff. If you can afford to drop $5-15,000 on an evening dress mayhap you have enough salted away so economic trends don't affect you. But even Lululemon is doing well earnings wise despite the current economy and the recent stay at home culture. LULU might not be a bad buy here tho the year has been poor for the stock price.

  10. #110
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    872

    Default PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Sep 9, 2022

    We had an up week, but it wasn’t enough to push any more picks into the green. We do now have three picks beating the indices, though. So the standings this week are BillyJoe’s steady pick UTHR in first and in the green, Minni17’s OGN moving into second and beating the indices, and Antioch’s Dad’s APPL in third and also beating the indices. I was going to share my insights on the market direction, but charting data was down when I wrote this, so I couldn’t do a detailed analysis. A cursory look at the indices’ dailies with another charting tool I have, however, seem to indicate that we are at a possible inflection point for the short term. In any event, with inflation still looming large and a large interest rate hike on the way, I am not optimistic about the market’s ability to sustain any kind of rally. So buckle up, hold tight, and stand fast while we see how the winds blow.


    PotY Contest Standings As of Market Close, Sep 9, 2022
    #
    Contestant
    Stock
    L or S
    Start
    Open
    Current
    Penalty
    Gain/Loss
    Remembering 💔Riverbabe And Karel💔
    1
    BillyJoe UTHR Long 2/1/2022 $201.87 $‎ 223.48
    10.70%
    2
    Minni17 OGN Long 2/1/2022 $31.91 $‎ 29.83
    -6.52%
    3
    Antioch’s Dad AAPL Long 5/25/2022 $140.81 $‎ 157.37 20.00% -6.86%
    4
    Dow DIA Long 2/1/2022 $351.08 $‎ 322.28
    -8.20%
    5
    Massimo IPA Long 2/1/2022 $6.18 $‎ 5.65
    -8.58%
    6
    Antioch GRBK Long 5/25/2022 $21.93 $‎ 24.01 20.00% -8.76%
    7
    S&P SPY Long 2/1/2022 $449.91 $‎ 406.60
    -9.63%
    8
    NASDAQ QQQ Long 2/1/2022 $363.05 $‎ 307.09
    -15.41%
    9
    Jiesen QDEL Long 2/1/2022 $103.36 $‎ 85.97
    -16.82%
    10
    Mr. Market TLPPF Long 2/1/2022 $4.90 $‎ 3.80
    -22.45%
    11
    BlueWolf DOCN Long 2/1/2022 $57.34 $‎ 44.08
    -23.13%
    12
    Blind Squirrel HZO Long 2/1/2022 $47.06 $‎ 34.50
    -26.69%
    13
    JohnHenry RBLX Long 2/1/2022 $65.86 $‎ 45.53
    -30.87%
    14
    Peanuts OZON Long 2/1/2022 $20.67 $‎ 11.60
    -43.88%
    15
    Louetta GBTC Long 2/1/2022 $26.24 $‎ 13.45
    -48.74%
    16
    Tiedyed1 AUPH Long 2/1/2022 $16.66 $‎ 7.26
    -56.42%
    17
    Vixtt’s SFT Long 2/1/2022 $2.29 $‎ 0.85
    -62.97%


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