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I have 35 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. How is this possible? Every day there are hundreds of stocks setting new highs, no matter what happens in the overall market. Many of these stocks are still at very reasonable valuations. Afraid of buying stocks at their highs? Think of it this way: a new high is really a future floor for companies with solid financial underpinnings. Quantitative momentum modeling makes it easy to identify stocks that can continue this upward momentum trend. Why does this happen? It's really very simple..ask me about what investors and cows have in common. I am $$$ MR. MARKET $$$. I AM HUGE!!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses. You can join in on the fun. Register for free and you'll be able to post messages on this forum and also receive emails when $$$ MR. MARKET $$$ makes his own trades. ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)
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  1. #1
    Jim Smith Guest

    Post Jim's cycle trades

    starting to figure out how to navigate this site.....so, I'll just start a new thread and keep everything here....I am poluted in oil stocks like XOM, CVX, APA and HAL....I expect the dollar to get slammed and oil to rally....Everyone will be looking at Iran, the proverbial man behind the current, but I see this oil situation is an anti dollar play....ORCT is my top tech play for the next six weeks....I am watching for a correction in the markets into option expiration....after that, I'll be looking to play semiconductors again with a target on the SMH at $45.

    Since I am new here, a little discussion about myself and strategy:
    * I look for repeating year over year patterns supported by current technical indicators. That's way oversimplified however.
    * My holding period often doesn't go beyond a few days. But sometimes, I'll try for longer periods. Patience is one of my weak areas.
    * I will take positions on in size usually no less than 1000 shares.
    * I am not afraid to concentrate my portfolio either in one position or sector.
    * I was one of the early day traders in the country. I had to suffer an extensive IRS inquiry due to my prolific trading numbers. They thought I was a drug dealer laundering money.
    * I own commerical realestate that was featured in the Wall Street Journal back in 1987 and I once wrote a good size letter to James Cramer at Realmoney.com, which he posted on the site, as I ripped him a new one and he wanted to respond. I don't like Cramer.
    Last edited by Jim Smith; 01-12-2006 at 10:18 AM.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Location
    Nijmegen, NL
    Posts
    2,199

    Default

    Hi Jim, and welcome! Yes, putting all your cycle trades in one thread definitely is a good idea! Thank you!

    Regards,

    Karel
    My Investopedia portfolio
    (You need to have a (free) Investopedia or Facebook login, sorry!)

  3. #3
    Jim Smith Guest

    Default

    MEE is on my watch list.....broke the downtrend a few days ago on decent volume....could get back to old highs quickly, IMO....no position yet.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jan 2004
    Location
    Blue Ridge Mts....
    Posts
    3,678

    Default

    Hey Jim! We'll get along just fine, I don't like Cramer either. I watched him last night.... It was imbarassing. He has become a complete idiot, throwing chairs around and screaming.... I told my wife (who likes to watch the food network) that he's trying to be the "Emeril Lagasse" of the financial shows. Now he has a live studio audience and guests, next he'll have a freakin band..... SHEEEESH!!!!.... What ever happened to Louis Rukeyser?
    BEEF!... it's whats for dinner!

  5. #5
    Jim Smith Guest

    Default

    XOM is my biggest position....I believe this stock will make $77 and it won't take long....I think this Iran situation is about to take off.....I now believe Goldman's super spike call is not far off.

  6. #6
    Jim Smith Guest

    Default

    Today was a nice sucker punch to the face.....It wouldn't have been so bad if I hadn't gotten greedy by playing the long side of OXY, ouch.....

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Nov 2003
    Location
    SacTown
    Posts
    14,938

    Default

    Welcome Jim...here's hoping I can qualify for an IRS inquiry soon ...Doug(IIC)
    Last edited by IIC; 01-12-2006 at 11:38 PM.
    "Trade What Is Happening...Not What You Think Is Gonna Happen"

    Find Tomorrow's Winners At SharpTraders.com

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  8. #8
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Posts
    6,314

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jim Smith
    XOM is my biggest position....I believe this stock will make $77 and it won't take long....I think this Iran situation is about to take off.....I now believe Goldman's super spike call is not far off.
    Jim,
    I actually like your reasoning and the play on XOM. I was looking at the Feb. 62.50 and 65 calls and the Aprill 62.50 and 65 calls. What is your opinion on those options in regard to your feelings on XOM in general as per your post.
    THE SKIRACER'S EDGE: MAKE THE EDGE IN YOUR FAVOR

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Location
    Monroe, WI
    Posts
    6,091

    Default Welcome!

    Quote Originally Posted by Jim Smith
    * I own commerical realestate that was featured in the Wall Street Journal back in 1987 and I once wrote a good size letter to James Cramer at Realmoney.com, which he posted on the site, as I ripped him a new one and he wanted to respond. I don't like Cramer.
    ANYBODY that doesn't like Jimmy Eugene Cramer is a friend of ours . . .
    welcome!

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Location
    Monroe, WI
    Posts
    6,091

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Jim Smith
    MEE is on my watch list.....broke the downtrend a few days ago on decent volume....could get back to old highs quickly, IMO....no position yet.
    Just fresh off of a double bottom--why wouldn't it take off? Nice call.

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