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  1. #1

    Default My 7 college football picks for this weekend


    UNLV +20.5 over HOUSTON

    Just because I live in the Nutt, it doesnít mean I am going on hatin on Houston. Just because I donít go to spank places in Houston, that doesníty mean I am goin hatin on Houston. No..this pick has nothing do with the fact that I live in the Nutt.
    This is just way too many points for Houston to be giving anyone. Houston lost their first game to UTSA by the score of 27-7. They beat Grambling, 47-0. That doesnít mean squat because Grambling is the 114th ranked FCS team. There are only 10 teams worse than Grambling in D1 football. That means a good D3 team will most likely beat Grambling. So throw that game out.

    In their last game, BYU beat the crap out of Houston, but Houston had 21 points of lucky scores and only lost 33-25. Trust me, it wasnít that close.
    Now no one likes UNLV because they got smoted by Arizona 58-13, and barely beat Northern Colorado 13-12. But what I like about UNLV is that they put up a good fight against Northern Illinois, a team which is much better than Houston. In that game, UNLV had a furious 4th quarter comeback and threw for 400 yards and was tied with NIU in the 4th quarter before eventually losing 48-34.

    In fact, UNLV is averaging 400 yards per game on offense.
    If UNLV can put up 34 on NIU, then they can easily score 24 against Houston. That means Houston will have to score 44 to cover. Houston has trouble running the ball. That means they wonít be able to put the game away, and UNLV will have more chances to put their effective passing game to work.

    If the best Houston could do was 47 against Grambling, then theyíre not going to be able to cover this big line. Take the Rebels and the points. I love the Vegas for $900.

    Utah +6 Ĺ over MICHIGAN
    Letís get this out in the open. The Big 10 sucks. Michigan sucks. Notre Dame beat Michigan 31-0. Michigan struggled to put away a Miami OH team which had lost 19 in a row and finally won 34-10. I really have no idea what there is to like about this team. The Wolverines are a mediocre team in a league that is on par with Conference USA.
    Open the door for Utah to come into the big house. The drinks are onÖ.the house. All Utah has done is put up points. They are averaging 58 points a game, including a 59-27 beatdown of Fresno State. I like teams with this kind of offense, especially if you are going for a late cover. However, I must have been drinking too much water from the Salt Lake. I donít have to worry about a late cover, the Utes will be a live dog and will most likely send Michigan back to the wishing they were playing West Windsor South next week.

    Take the 6 Ĺ points for $1000. While youíre at it, throw in a money line parlay with CMU as the live dogs are most certainly barking!!

    CMU +4 Ĺ over KANSAS
    For some reason, the Kansas Athletic Director has a thing for fat coaches. At least the first fat coach they had was pretty good. The one they have now, Charlie Weis, is terrible. In a recent press conference, Weis called his team a pile of crap. I guess he hasnít looked in the mirror lately.

    First of all, to cover a 4 Ĺ point spread, by definition you have to win the game Ė against an FBS opponent. This is something that Kansas has not done this year. Well, they did barely beat SE Missouri State by the score of 34-26. By the way, SE Missouri State is ranked lower than Penn. In their only game against a real opponent, Duke, Kansas lost 41-3. Itís hard to cover 4 Ĺ points when you only score 3 against Duke (Duke gave up 17 points to Troy and 13 points to Elon)Ösays a lot about the offensive mastermind of Charlie Weis. Maybe he should put down that hamburger and pick up a playbook?

    On the other hand, Central Michigan has been scrappy as all get out. In the opening game, they beat a Chattanooga team, which has a similar power ranking to Kansas, by the score of 20-16. They followed that up with a convincing victory over Purdue (another team with a comparable rating to Kansas) by the score of 38-17.
    In order for Kansas to cover this spread, they need to beat CMU. Well, 25 of the 33 computers which follow college football have Central Michigan ranked higher than Kansas. Iíll take those oddsÖand the points! Central Michigan as the live dog - $800.


    Nebraska -7 Ĺ over Miami
    While the Cornhuskers have been playing Jekyll and Hyde all season, the Canes have been playing like they just want to run away and hide. In what looks to be like the Waterloo game for the conference formerly known as the Big 10, Nebraska has a lot of pressure to win this game at home..and win big. The Huskey defense has been playing well, only giving up 16 points per game, which makes covering this spread less challenging. Miamiís most impressive game was a home win against Arkansas St. When they went on the road against a Louisville team (which is not quite as good as Nebraska), Miami really crapped their pants, losing 31-13.

    There is no evidence at all to show that Miami will play well on the road, on the contrary there is abundant evidence that they will play poorly. Remember, weíre dealing with a freshman quarterback who will be deer in the headlights in the most hostile environment heís ever seen in his young career. There is no doubt the Cornhusker defense is going to come after him. Miami coughed up the ball 3 times against Louisville. If they do the same thing against Nebraska, itís going to be a long night. Louisville ran the ball successfully against Miami and if thereís one thing the Nebraska does well, itís run the ball. Miami is also missing 5 starters.

    I think if Miami were home, Iíd be a lot less interested in them. But traveling to Lincoln, where Nebraska and the Big 10 really need this game, you have to wonder if the officials will call it down the line.

    Iím laying the wood and taking the Cornhuskers for $800.



    5 star pick
    Texas A&M -32 over SMU
    Like they say in Latin, video est credeo. I was at the Houston Texans parking lot tailgate party a few weeks ago and they had a truck with a big screen TV showing the Texas A&M at South Carolina game. Like everyone else there, I though Texas A&M was gonna get smoted by the nasty Gamecock defense and hostile South Carolina home crowd. What..with the departure of the great Johnny Manziel, how could Texas A&M ever measure up? It didnít take long to find out that, not only did this team not miss a beat, they are even better than they were last year. Maybe with the exception of Oregon, Texas A&M has the most powerful offense in the country. They can move the ball in big chunks in a number of different ways and their freshman quarterback is simply terrific. South Carolina couldnít stop them. Didnít even come close as Texas A&M won the game 52-28. Mind you, this is a South Carolina team which went ahead and defeated both East Carolina and Georgia.

    Texas A&M easily beat one of the top teams in the country. Whatís even better, in their most recent game, Texas A&M slaughtered Rice 38-10. (Rice is a better team than SMU.) Now we come to the part thatís true. "Guys weren't very happy with how they played tonight," coach Kevin Sumlin said. "In the locker room our guys were ho hum and pretty hard on themselves ... and that's good." "We started off slow," QB Hill said. "We never want to start it off slow. We are going to work on that and fix that and be better next week." What really happened was that Rice was able to keep the ball away from Texas A&M and also their field was in tatters. Neither of this is going to happen this week. Translate this into Texas A&M intends to score about 80 points against SMU.

    Whatís SMU going to do about it? Nothing, thatís what. SMU is a horror show. They are 0-2 this season and have scored 6 points while giving up 88. They lost to North Texas by the score of 43-6. Their coach quit. Here is the most compelling fact. So far in two games, SMU has a total of -14 yards rushing. What that means is they wonít be able to keep the ball away from the Texas A&M offense. What does Texas A&M do when they have the ball? They score, thatís what they do.

    Texas A&M needs to impress the human committee which is pondering whether or not they should invite 2 SEC teams to the playoffs. Games like this count, especially when you go on the road and win big. Even if Texas A&M feels sorry for SMU, they wonít help them score points. They canít score points. If SMU somehow manages to get 10 points, all Texas A&M needs to do is score 42 points to cover. They scored 52 against South Carolina. End of story.

    Lay the wood and laugh to the bank. Aggies for $800

    BOISE ST -16 Ĺ over ULL

    While everyone is beginning to sleep in the book, and Scud is getting his teabag pictures for next yearís powerpoints, the very last game on the card ends up being a 4 star pick. Obviously Boise is the superior team here, but there are a number of factors which make this point spread very easy for them to cover. First of all, they are home, and the blue turf has been the demise of many teams coming to Idaho looking for a ďWĒ. Now, Boise lost their opener to Ole Miss, but this is completely irrelevant to the analysis at hand. First of all, Ole Miss is a very good football team and, other than the fact that their student body has a low IQ, they donít at all resemble Louisiana Ė Lafayette. Second, Boise was actually very much in that game going into the 4th quarter.

    More importantly, letís look at how Boise did against the two teams which more closely resemble ULL. Boise defeated Colorado St 37-24. Colorado State is far superior to ULL. Last week they went on the road to UCONN and beat the Huskies 38-21. UConn and ULL are similar teams, but Boise travelled to Uconn and played in a tough environment and still covered the 16 Ĺ points. Itís a whole different kettle of fish when ULL travels to Boise.

    On the other side of the fence, ULL has been playing miserable football this year. They lost by 28 points to La Tech, a team no where near as good as Boise. They also got hammered by Ole Miss, the same team which struggled with Boise. ULLís defense is awful. They are giving up 37 points per game. Look for Boise to put up 40+ and cover this one going away in front of their cheering fans.

    Lay the points and take Boise for $700


    RUBBER BAND GAME
    MICHIGAN STATE Ė 45.5 over Eastern Michigan
    The previous 5 star play outlined the horrific nature of what is the SMU football program. Now we come to the part thatís grave. Itís called Eastern Michigan FootballÖ.and yes, once again we have a RUBBER BAND GAME to play!

    Everyone who follows college football knows that the Big 10 is in shambles. The only way for teams to get respect in the Big 10 is to win out of conference games..and win them convincingly. The way the MAC has beaten the Big 10 teams this season has been downright embarrassing. I have a factual report that the Big 10 Commissioner has ďmade the callĒ to the Michigan State AD and told him that they need to show no mercy on Eastern Michigan. It was two long weeks ago that Michigan State went toe to toe with Oregon and lost a tough one on the road. Now they canít wait to play, and they are home against a week opponent. This time they have something to prove.


    In their home opener against Jacksonville State, Michigan State trounced them by the score of 45-7. Whatís the big deal with beating an FCS team? This Jacksonville State team is very good. In fact they are about 20 points better than FBS Eastern Michigan. In their two games against FBS opponents, Eastern Michigan has been outscored by the score of 82-3Ö.and they havenít played anyone any good yet. I am certain that the Michigan State defense will accept nothing less than a shutout. The Spartans held Jacksonville State to 22 yards rushing (in their next game, Jax State put up 285 yards rushing against a very tough Chattanooga team) while putting up almost 600 yards of total offense.


    Eastern Michigan had only 7 first downs and 125 yards of total offense against Florida. Against the much weaker Old Dominion, they didnít do much better Ė scoring only 3 points. Michigan State has Wyoming next week, so they have no reason to look past this game. Expect them to play as well as they can, while pitching a shutout. Will they score over 50 points? SureÖwhy not?


    Lay the wood and count the touchdowns. Iím expecting a 35-0 halftime score and the JV to tack on 2 more TDís in the second half. $1000 on the Spartans! TOUSAND!!
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  2. #2
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    Lay the wood. Now there's a colorful football expression. Right up there with penetration and tight end.

  3. #3
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    Great work, L.P. Looks like 5 and 2 according to my calculations which might be faulty since I'm new to this stuff. Good old Charlie Weis. He may be fat but he still has the magic he had in leading the Pats offense to several Super Bowl wins.

  4. #4

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    Quote Originally Posted by Louetta View Post
    Great work, L.P. Looks like 5 and 2 according to my calculations which might be faulty since I'm new to this stuff. Good old Charlie Weis. He may be fat but he still has the magic he had in leading the Pats offense to several Super Bowl wins.
    Correct....5-2
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    Separately, I saw Tufts broke a 31 game losing streak in football. I was surprised about the streak, seems like a pretty solid Division 3 program in other sports. I see some track and girls' hoop down there.

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    I had to look it up to believe it, but Roughing The Snapper is an actual penalty
    Hide not your talents.
    They for use were made.
    What's a sundial in the shade?

    - Benjamin Franklin

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    Quote Originally Posted by peanuts View Post
    I had to look it up to believe it, but Roughing The Snapper is an actual penalty
    I didn't know they suspended play in football games for anything but they did for lightning in the Michigan game.

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    Saw an interesting Ivy League game today. Cornell took a 21-0 lead over Columbia then Columbia scored four straight TDs to make it 27-21. Cornell blocked the extra point and some dude ran it back 85 yards to make it 27-23. Ended up 30-27 Cornell so that blocked kick play cost Columbia a tie. Never saw someone run a blocked kick back like that (not that I have watched a lot of football).

  9. #9

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    Quote Originally Posted by Louetta View Post
    Saw an interesting Ivy League game today. Cornell took a 21-0 lead over Columbia then Columbia scored four straight TDs to make it 27-21. Cornell blocked the extra point and some dude ran it back 85 yards to make it 27-23. Ended up 30-27 Cornell so that blocked kick play cost Columbia a tie. Never saw someone run a blocked kick back like that (not that I have watched a lot of football).
    It is only a rule in college football and very rarely happens. What is even more rare on an extra point play is when the defending team intercepts a pass, and then runs back into the end zone and gets tackled. The rule on that play is that the team going for the try gets one point.

    I was at the Penn Harvard game today and my son was at the Yale Princeton game. We almost had them all covered!
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    In today's football action it was, of course, Powder-Puff Sunday, an annual tradition the weekend before the Thanksgiving Day games. There were two excellent games with pass oriented offenses mimicking the current trend in the pros.

    Separately, on Saturday Harvard completed a 10-0 season with a 31-24 squeaker over Yale. Of interest to me, well-known Boston writer Dan Shaughnessy, in his column on The Game, mentioned both the Blodgett Center where I used to swim and the Gordon Track Center. Unless I'm mistaken, Albert H. Gordon, who donated the track, was also a benefactor of an organization Our Fearless Forum Leader is involved with.

    Pats won too.

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