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I have 26 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. How is this possible? Every day there are hundreds of stocks setting new highs, no matter what happens in the overall market. Many of these stocks are still at very reasonable valuations. Afraid of buying stocks at their highs? Think of it this way: a new high is really a future floor for companies with solid financial underpinnings. Quantitative momentum modeling makes it easy to identify stocks that can continue this upward momentum trend. Why does this happen? It's really very simple..ask me about what investors and cows have in common. I am $$$ MR. MARKET $$$. I AM HUGE!!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses. You can join in on the fun. Register for free and you'll be able to post messages on this forum and also receive emails when $$$ MR. MARKET $$$ makes his own trades. ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)
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  1. #171
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    482

    Default

    I did another small reallocation today, closing my half position in OLLI and opening a half position in NVTA. OLLI has been a major disappointment after having such potential when I first looked at it. It always been my philosophy to cut losers loose, however, and put the money back into winners so the time had come to cut OLLI loose. NVTA intrigues me. I considered both NVTA and FLGT, who are both in the genetic diagnostic testing space, but NVTAís revenue story seemed more compelling. NVTA had first caught my eye when Citron wrote a buy opinion on the company back in August, 2019. Recently Motley Fool jumped on the bandwagon, and after digging into the financials and seeing some interesting movement in the chart, I decided to pull the trigger. Here are my updated lists.

    Current LT Positions:
    AAPL, AAXN, ABMD(.5), AMZN, APPN, AYX(2), BIDU(.5), CGNX(.5), DDOG,DOCU(.5), EDIT, EEFT(.5), EPAM, ESTC, ETSY, FB(.5), FICO(.5), FSLY, GH, HUBS(.5), INSP, ISRG, LVGO(.5), LYV, MA(.5), MDB(2), MELI(2), MTCH, NTNX, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA(.5), OKTA, PANW, RDFN(.5), ROKU, SFIX(.5), SHOP, SMAR, TDOC(2), TEAM(2), TREX(2), TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WIX(.5), ZEN(2), ZM(2), ZS(.5)

    Current LT Watchlist:
    ADBE, AMT, APPF, ATVI, BILI, BRK/B, CRM, CRNC, CRSP, EQIX, EVBG, EXPI, FLGT, FRPT, FVRR, HCAT, HQY, KNSL, LITE, MASI, MDLA, MNST, MSFT, NEE, PING, PYPL, QTWO, RGEN, RVLV, SPCE, SPLK, SWAV, TLRA, TSLA, WORK

    Underlined = I have previously provided a write up in this thread
    Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
    (.5)= 1/2 Position
    (2) = Double Position

  2. #172
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    482

    Default

    Things are starting to look up at the company and the chart is getting interesting so I am adding ANET back to my watchlist. Iím taking a hard look at some of the under-performers in my positions, and I might do a few re-allocations. I am finally beating the S&P, however, so I donít want to shake things up too much. In fact, I wouldnít mind adding to a few of my existing positions.

    Current LT Positions:
    AAPL, AAXN, ABMD(.5), AMZN, APPN, AYX(2), BIDU(.5), CGNX(.5), DDOG, DOCU(.5), EDIT, EEFT(.5), EPAM, ESTC, ETSY, FB(.5), FICO(.5), FSLY, GH, HUBS(.5), INSP, ISRG, LVGO(.5), LYV, MA(.5), MDB(2), MELI(2), MTCH, NTNX, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA(.5), OKTA, PANW, RDFN(.5), ROKU, SFIX(.5), SHOP, SMAR, TDOC(2), TEAM(2), TREX(2), TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WIX(.5), ZEN(2), ZM(2), ZS(.5)

    Current LT Watchlist:
    ADBE, AMT, ANET, APPF, ATVI, BILI, BRK/B, CRM, CRNC, CRSP, EQIX, EVBG, EXPI, FLGT, FRPT, FVRR, HCAT, HQY, KNSL, LITE, MASI, MDLA, MNST, MSFT, NEE, PING, PYPL, QTWO, RGEN, RVLV, SPCE, SPLK, SWAV, TLRA, TSLA, WORK

    Underlined = I have previously provided a write up in this thread
    Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
    (.5)= 1/2 Position
    (2) = Double Position

  3. #173
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    482

    Default

    Well, I know Iím being a pain, but I did some more reallocation today. I sold my entire position in one of my under-performers, ESTC, and put the money into two new half positions in CRSP and WORK. I like ETSCís product very much, and I am heavily invested in the data mining space, but I am starting to see too many competitive pressures on ESTC and in their last earnings they failed to duplicate the success of rivals such as DDOG and SPLK. When a growth stock goes off the rails, itís usually time to get out.

    Speaking of that, I had initially held some WORK, but sold it when I grew concerned over competitive pressure from MSFT. It seems like WORK is holding up well in itís space, however, and guidance looks encouraging, so I am back on board. As for CRSP, this is one of those home run stocks I have liked for a while. I was just waiting for a good time to get it. I should have pulled the trigger a few days ago, and as a result of waiting, I missed an optimal entry. Still I like this stock and along with EDIT, it now gives me some real skin in the gene editing game. AMT is the other stock I really wanted in on, but I may have waiting too long as it spiked up this week. I donít like to chase entires. It was a beautiful entry while it was basing. Stupid me. Speaking of a stock that looks like it is basing and ready for another leg up, check out V, a staple in many well rounded portfolios.

    I also shook up my watchlist a little once again. I still might do some more reallocation in the days ahead. IĎll keep posting updates as long as anyone is interested. Once I hear crickets, I will let it go.

    Hereís where I stand now.

    Current LT Positions:
    AAPL, AAXN, ABMD(.5), AMZN, APPN, AYX(2), BIDU(.5), CGNX(.5), CRSP(.5), DDOG, DOCU(.5), EDIT, EEFT(.5), EPAM, ETSY, FB(.5), FICO(.5), FSLY, GH, HUBS(.5), INSP, ISRG, LVGO(.5), LYV, MA(.5), MDB(2), MELI(2), MTCH, NTNX, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA(.5), OKTA, PANW, RDFN(.5), ROKU, SFIX(.5), SHOP, SMAR, TDOC(2), TEAM(2), TREX(2), TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WIX(.5), WORK(.5), ZEN(2), ZM(2), ZS(.5)

    Current LT Watchlist:
    ADBE, AMT, ANET, APPF, ATVI, BILI, BKNG, BRK/B, CRM, CRNC, CRSP, EQIX, EVBG, EXPI, FLGT, FRPT, FVRR, HCAT, HQY, KNSL, LITE, MASI, MDLA, MNST, MSFT, NEE, PING, PYPL, QTWO, RGEN, RVLV, SPCE, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TLRA, TSLA, V

    Underlined = I have previously provided a write up in this thread
    Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
    (.5)= 1/2 Position
    (2) = Double Position

  4. #174
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Hamilton MA
    Posts
    2,067

    Default

    I read your stuff all the time, look at the stuff and try to make comments. I would make more comments but fear looking like a busy-body. Next to Ernie's write-ups I think your two threads are the best we have. Refreshing to read people posting original content. I maintain a Yahoo portfolio based on the stocks you list in your current positions to help me keep abreast of where money seems to be going and watch for a change which, as you often point out, will someday come.

  5. #175
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    482

    Default

    I opened a full position in ANET this morning with new money, taking the very risky action of buying into a gap down. Apparently there was some mixed analyst action today on the stock, but Iím still a believer in the business and so I took a shot because I wanted in. Iím hoping this will give me a good entry, but only time will tell.

    Hereís where I stand now.

    Current LT Positions:
    AAPL, AAXN, ABMD(.5), AMZN, ANET, APPN, AYX(2), BIDU(.5), CGNX(.5), CRSP(.5), DDOG, DOCU(.5), EDIT, EEFT(.5), EPAM, ETSY, FB(.5), FICO(.5), FSLY, GH, HUBS(.5), INSP, ISRG, LVGO(.5), LYV, MA(.5), MDB(2), MELI(2), MTCH, NTNX, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA(.5), OKTA, PANW, RDFN(.5), ROKU, SFIX(.5), SHOP, SMAR, TDOC(2), TEAM(2), TREX(2), TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WIX(.5), WORK(.5), ZEN(2), ZM(2), ZS(.5)

    Current LT Watchlist:
    ADBE, AMT, APPF, ATVI, BILI, BKNG, BRK/B, CRM, CRNC, CRSP, EQIX, EVBG, EXPI, FLGT, FRPT, FVRR, HCAT, HQY, KNSL, LITE, MASI, MDLA, MNST, MSFT, NEE, PING, PYPL, QTWO, RGEN, RVLV, SPCE, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TLRA, TSLA, V

    Underlined = I have previously provided a write up in this thread
    Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
    (.5)= 1/2 Position
    (2) = Double Position

  6. #176
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    482

    Default

    I did a small reallocation this morning as I pruned yet another under-performer. I closed my 1/2 position in EEFT and opened a 1/2 position in PING. Ping is a fairly recent IPO (Sept 2019) and small cap, so this is a higher risk position, but I like their product, which is something every company needs, and I like their financials so far. I would like to see a little higher growth rate, but I am hoping they are at that early stage in which their product will catch fire and accelerate their growth. I see some similarities between their story and TWLO, although I admit that TWLOís story was much stronger at the same stage. I know Iím doing a lot of tweaking lately, but I am just trying to squeeze every ounce I can out of this incredible strength before we head into a correction.

    Hereís where I stand now.

    Current LT Positions:
    AAPL, AAXN, ABMD(.5), AMZN, ANET, APPN, AYX(2), BIDU(.5), CGNX(.5), CRSP(.5), DDOG, DOCU(.5), EDIT, EPAM, ETSY, FB(.5), FICO(.5), FSLY, GH, HUBS(.5), INSP, ISRG, LVGO(.5), LYV, MA(.5), MDB(2), MELI(2), MTCH, NTNX, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA(.5), OKTA, PANW, PING(.5), RDFN(.5), ROKU, SFIX(.5), SHOP, SMAR, TDOC(2), TEAM(2), TREX(2), TTD(2), TTWO, TWLO, VEEV(2), WIX(.5), WORK(.5), ZEN(2), ZM(2), ZS(.5)

    Current LT Watchlist:
    ADBE, AMT, APPF, ATVI, BILI, BKNG, BRK/B, BZUN, CRM, CRNC, CRSP, EEFT, EQIX, EVBG, EXPI, FLGT, FRPT, FVRR, HCAT, HQY, KNSL, LITE, MASI, MDLA, MNST, MSFT, NEE, PING, PYPL, QTWO, RGEN, RVLV, SPCE, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TLRA, TSLA, V

    Underlined = I have previously provided a write up in this thread
    Bold = New Stock or Altered Position
    (.5)= 1/2 Position
    (2) = Double Position

  7. #177
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    NJ
    Posts
    575

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Louetta View Post
    I read your stuff all the time, look at the stuff and try to make comments. I would make more comments but fear looking like a busy-body. Next to Ernie's write-ups I think your two threads are the best we have. Refreshing to read people posting original content. I maintain a Yahoo portfolio based on the stocks you list in your current positions to help me keep abreast of where money seems to be going and watch for a change which, as you often point out, will someday come.
    BlueWolf, I strongly share Louetta's sentiment as I too read your posts religiously (and admittedly rarely feel like I have anything worthwhile to chime in on as your posts are indeed outstanding and I have benefited from them).

    I feel like I have missed the boat on a few of your larger positions, but do have positions in TTD, VEEV, LVGO, MA and PING.

    Your hard work is appreciated by many more than you imagine and I thank you.
    Keep On Keepin' On;
    -Adam
    Last edited by tiedyed1; 02-19-2020 at 01:01 PM.

  8. #178
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    482

    Default

    Thank you, Adam. Good luck with your positions.

  9. #179
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    482

    Default

    Just an update, in case youíre curious, but Iím not closing any positions just yet. If there had been a giant red bar today, I would probably be closing a lot of positions, but the giant gap down is problematic. I donít like selling into a gap, so for now Iím holding and taking a beating. Fortunately I built up a lot of profit so I can afford to ride it for now. Iíll have to just watch and see where it goes from here or decide what to do.

  10. #180
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
    Location
    Hamilton MA
    Posts
    2,067

    Default

    BlueWolf, at this time US futures are up across the board about 2/3rds of 1% which, of course, could change by tomorrow or the day after. Nevertheless, at one point we talked a little about hedging rather than selling, e.g. shorting or buying puts on individual stocks or maybe on QQQ. What are your thoughts on this kind of an approach in this circumstance?
    Last edited by Louetta; 02-24-2020 at 11:05 PM.

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