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I have 26 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. How is this possible? Every day there are hundreds of stocks setting new highs, no matter what happens in the overall market. Many of these stocks are still at very reasonable valuations. Afraid of buying stocks at their highs? Think of it this way: a new high is really a future floor for companies with solid financial underpinnings. Quantitative momentum modeling makes it easy to identify stocks that can continue this upward momentum trend. Why does this happen? It's really very simple..ask me about what investors and cows have in common. I am $$$ MR. MARKET $$$. I AM HUGE!!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses. You can join in on the fun. Register for free and you'll be able to post messages on this forum and also receive emails when $$$ MR. MARKET $$$ makes his own trades. ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)
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  1. #291
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    585

    Default

    Teladoc (TDOC) made an offer to buy out Livongo Health yesterday. LVGO is a great company with an awesome record of growth over the last three years so this doesn’t come as a big surprise. Unfortunately, despite being on my super high interest list, I never re-entered LVGO (I had held it in round 2). That’s a bummer, but this acquisition should really strengthen TDOC, in which I currently have a double position, in the long term.

  2. #292
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    585

    Default Round 4 Summary as of Market Close, Aug 7, 2020

    Round 4 Summary as of Market Close, Aug 7, 2020
    My positions started the week doing quite well, including a few breakouts. Late in the week, however, two of my positions took hits because of disappointing earnings or guidance.

    The biggest hit was on AYX which missed on earnings and then issued weak guidance, citing problems in the sales pipeline partially because of the effects of COVID-19 on their sales force. I will have to re-assess this one because it’s one thing to miss on earnings, but the downgrade in guidance indicates that it might take a while for this stock to recover. I still like the long term prospects of this company, so for those not it the stock, this might present a good opportunity for entry.

    DDOG also took a hit after earnings. The surprising thing was that they beat on earnings and improved guidance. They also got upgrades from JP Morgan and Credit Susie. So why the sell off? My best guess is that there was simply some profit taking after the big run up in this stock. While they beat on earnings, it probably wasn’t enough for some investors who are concerned about the high valuation. I still think there is a lot of growth left in this company so I doubt I will sell. There is even a possibility I will add when the stock starts to bounce.

    Position Summary
    Round 4 Start Date 6/1/2020 End Date 8/7/2020
    Max Open Positions
    65
    Stock
    Date
    Purchase Price
    Position Size
    Date Closed
    Current or Closing Price
    % Gain/Loss on Trade
    % Gain/Loss on Principal


    Closed Positions


    # Closed Positions
    5.5
    Gain/Loss Per Position
    -0.24%
    Return on Principal
    -0.04%


    Open Positions








    0.00% 0.0000%
    ABMD 07/29/2020 $297.26 1
    $310.82 4.56% 0.0702%
    ANET 07/02/2020 $210.32 1
    $230.80 9.74% 0.1498%
    APPN 07/01/2020 $50.95 1
    $53.96 5.91% 0.0909%
    AYX 07/24/2020 $162.30 1
    $121.38 -25.21% -0.3879%
    BRK/B 07/23/2020 $191.81 0.5
    $209.48 9.21% 0.0709%
    CGNX 07/09/2020 $61.48 0.5
    $67.14 9.21% 0.0708%
    CRSP 08/03/2020 $86.60 1
    $89.81 3.71% 0.0570%
    CRWD 07/24/2020 $99.41 1
    $101.75 2.35% 0.0362%
    DDOG 07/30/2020 $90.59 1
    $75.28 -16.90% -0.2600%
    DOCU 07/17/2020 $191.30 1
    $204.76 7.04% 0.1082%
    EBS 07/30/2020 $93.42 0.5
    $130.66 39.86% 0.3066%
    EDIT 07/01/2020 $29.93 1
    $34.71 15.97% 0.2457%
    EEFT 06/30/2020 $93.84 0.5
    $100.67 7.28% 0.0560%
    ESTC 06/15/2020 $82.23 1
    $85.35 3.79% 0.0584%
    ETSY 07/27/2020 $102.65 1
    $135.06 31.57% 0.4857%
    EXPI 07/20/2020 $16.90 0.5
    $29.12 72.31% 0.5562%
    FLGT 07/27/2020 $20.04 1
    $35.84 78.84% 1.2130%
    FSLY 07/24/2020 $77.77 1
    $79.33 2.01% 0.0309%
    GH 07/06/2020 $83.90 1
    $85.61 2.04% 0.0314%
    HCAT 07/24/2020 $35.79 0.5
    $35.87 0.22% 0.0017%
    INSP 07/01/2020 $87.56 0.5
    $104.92 19.83% 0.1525%
    IPOB 07/20/2020 $11.95 0.5
    $10.99 -8.03% -0.0618%
    MDB 06/16/2020 $200.33 1
    $199.65 -0.34% -0.0052%
    MDLA 07/30/2020 $29.77 0.5
    $30.45 2.28% 0.0176%
    MELI 07/24/2020 $971.47 1
    $1,193.97 22.90% 0.3524%
    MGNI 06/01/2020 $6.34 1
    $7.10 11.99% 0.1844%
    MRNA 07/09/2020 $62.31 1
    $74.10 18.92% 0.2911%
    MTCH 07/07/2020 $92.54 1
    $115.88 25.22% 0.3880%
    NET 07/17/2020 $35.65 0.5
    $40.06 12.37% 0.0952%
    NVCR 07/28/2020 $67.15 0.5
    $79.04 17.71% 0.1362%
    NVDA 08/03/2020 $431.44 1
    $447.98 3.83% 0.0590%
    NVTA 06/25/2020 $26.98 1
    $28.43 5.37% 0.0827%
    OKTA 07/24/2020 $204.36 1
    $208.23 1.89% 0.0291%
    OLED 07/28/2020 $159.81 0.5
    $186.51 16.71% 0.1285%
    PANW 08/03/2020 $253.85 0.5
    $261.25 2.92% 0.0224%
    PI 08/03/2020 $23.66 0.5
    $25.93 9.59% 0.0738%
    PING 07/01/2020 $32.13 0.5
    $36.35 13.13% 0.1010%
    QDEL 06/25/2020 $200.88 0.5
    $272.76 35.78% 0.2753%
    RDFN 07/15/2020 $36.98 1
    $43.69 18.14% 0.2792%
    REGN 07/27/2020 $620.40 0.5
    $620.21 -0.03% -0.0002%
    RGEN 06/30/2020 $120.29 1
    $152.77 27.00% 0.4154%
    RVLV 07/16/2020 $16.04 0.5
    $17.64 9.98% 0.0767%
    SFIX 07/01/2020 $25.67 1
    $22.13 -13.79% -0.2122%
    SMAR 06/16/2020 $47.62 1
    $42.50 -10.75% -0.1654%
    SPCE 07/09/2020 $17.79 1
    $18.25 2.59% 0.0398%
    TDOC 07/29/2020 $218.30 2
    $193.72 -11.26% -0.3465%
    TEAM 07/17/2020 $170.77 1
    $170.93 0.09% 0.0014%
    TTD 07/24/2020 $416.18 1
    $493.20 18.51% 0.2847%
    TTWO 06/18/2020 $140.19 0.5
    $174.96 24.80% 0.1908%
    TWLO 07/17/2020 $226.77 1
    $249.00 9.80% 0.1508%
    VCYT 07/29/2020 $29.06 0.5
    $32.35 11.32% 0.0871%
    VEEV 07/01/2020 $235.94 1
    $261.22 10.71% 0.1648%
    WD 06/03/2020 $42.88 1
    $57.70 34.56% 0.5317%
    WORK 06/17/2020 $32.65 1
    $28.95 -11.33% -0.1743%
    ZM 07/01/2020 $253.93 1
    $258.73 1.89% 0.0291%
    ZNGA 06/22/2020 $9.36 1
    $9.73 3.95% 0.0608%
    ZS 08/04/2020 $131.51 1
    $125.85 -4.30% -0.0662%
    ZUO 06/18/2020 $13.46 1
    $11.73 -12.85% -0.1977%






    0.00% 0.0000%
    # Open Positions
    49
    Gain/Loss Per Position
    11.93%
    Return on Principal
    6.46%

    Totals

    % Cash
    24.62% Avg Gain/Loss Per Position 10.70% Annualized Return on Principal 35.02% Return on Principal 6.43%
    S&P Performance:
    Start
    3038.78
    End
    3351.28
    Gain/Loss
    10.28%

    Watchlists
    Super High Interest: AAPL, AMT, CRNC, EPAM, LVGO, SHOP, WIX, ZEN

    High Interest Watchlist: AAXN, ADBE, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, CLDR, COUP, CRM, CSGP, EQIX, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FRPT, FVRR, GLOB, HQY, HUBS, ISRG, KNSL, LITE, LOB, MA, MASI, MSFT, NEE, NOW, NTNX, PAYC, PYPL, QTWO, RH, ROKU, SIVB, SPLK, SQ, STAA, SWAV, SWKS, TREX, V

    Some Interest Watchlist: AVGO, BIDU, BIGC, mBILI, BKNG, BZUN, DAVA, FLIR, FTCH, FTNT, GOOG, ICPT, IDXX, IIPR, LRN, LYV, MNST, NVAX, OLLI, PEGA, PINS, PODD, PTON, SE, SPOT, TSLA, WEX, XLNX, ZG

    Round 4 New Positions (8/7/2020)
    CRSP
    CRSP is a gene-editing company engaged in the development of CRISPR/Cas9-based therapeutics. CRISPR/Cas9 is a technology that allows for precise, directed changes to genomic DNA. Currently the company has programs that target blood disorders that have a high unmet medical need such as sickle cell disease. The overall potential of CRISPR technology is enormous and CRSP is one of only two companies that are leading the way in developing this technology, the other being EDIT, which I also own. The CRISPR technology market is expected to grow from $562 million in 2018 to $1,715 million by 2023, at a CAGR of 25%. This technology is just starting to achieve a level of maturity and this is reflected in the revenue and earnings explosion at CRSP over the last two years. I like the size of the served market, the innovative nature of technology, and the growth story at CRSP, so I am in.

    NVDA (From my previous writeup in 2019)
    Everyone knows NVDA as a designer of graphics chips for PCs. Because some of their graphics chips are at the very high end of performance, they are also associated with the most demanding of graphics applications such as VR and gaming. Is that why I like this company so much? Well, yes and no. VR and gaming certainly present appealing opportunities for growth, but I have other reasons for liking NVDA. It just so happens that NVDA is also a major provider of chips for data centers and AI applications, both of which are areas in which there is a huge potential for growth. Almost in the shadows, NVDA has been growing its data center revenue at an astonishing rate. Last quarter the year-over-year growth was over 70%, and this is just the beginning. NVDA’s opportunity in the data center market has been pegged to be around $30B, or almost three times their current total annual revenue. Wow. And just as AI is on the verge of a major breakout, NVDA is positioned to be a dominant player. That’s because NVDA, with their massively parallel processors, is better positioned to support AI and deep learning applications than any other company. NVDA’s graphics processing units (GPUs) have thousands of cores as opposed to the 8-16 cores of high end central processing units (CPUs). In fact, NVDA’s GPUs have proven to be about 10 times more effective than traditional CPUs for AI tasks. This is why they are in such demand for applications such as autonomous automobiles. NVDA’s opportunities in data center and AI paint a very appealing growth opportunity, and there is no bigger driver of share price than growth so I am in.

    PANW
    PANW is a pure-play cybersecurity vendor that sells security appliances, subscriptions, and support into enterprises, government entities, and service providers. The company's product portfolio includes firewall appliances, virtual firewalls, endpoint protection, cloud security, and cybersecurity analytics. Obviously cybersecurity has become a hot area over the last few years and this has created a huge served market. The global cybersecurity market is predicted to grow from $167.1B in 2019 to $248.26B by 2023, attaining a 10.4% CAGR. PANW is well positioned to increase its penetration of this market and its revenue numbers reflect this. Over the last five years revenue has grown from $930 million to $2.9 billion, a 211% increase. This year, PANW is on track to add another 12% to that number. This is a great growth story with an enormous served market so I am in.

    PI
    PI operates a platform that enables wireless connectivity to everyday items by delivering each item's identity, location, and authenticity to business and consumer applications, i.e. it’s a Radio Frequency IDentification (RFID) chip maker serving the Internet of Things (IoT) market. Its platform includes miniature radios-on-a-chip, which attach to and identify their host items, and connectivity products such as readers and gateways that wirelessly identify, locate, authenticate, and engage with objects. The market for this technology is enormous. The global IoT market size was valued at USD 212.1 Billion in 2018 and is expected to witness a CAGR of 25.68% from 2019-2026 and reach USD 1,319.08 Billion by 2026. We’re talking about a trillion dollar served market here. How well has PI done within this market? Over the last five years PI has experienced 95% growth in revenue, but at the current revenue level of only $155, the potential for growth is enormous, and so I am in.

    ZS
    ZS is a security-as-a-service firm that offers its customers cloud-delivered solutions for protecting user devices and data. In an innovative twist, ZS leverages its position in 150 colocation data centers to deliver traditionally appliance-based security functionality, such as firewalls and sandboxes, as a completely cloud-native platform. Yes, this is another security play, but ZS specializes in cloud-based security, which is relatively new trend in security technology. The served market, while not as enormous as the markets for other technologies I have invested in, is still growing at a rapid rate. The global cloud security market size is projected to grow from $34.5 billion in 2020 to $68.5 billion by 2025, at a CAGR of 14.7%. ZS has done a terrific job at exploiting the growing market and positioning itself for the future. In the last five years, revenue at ZS has grown a whopping 464%. This year the company expects to grow revenue by another 29%. ZS represents a tremendous opportunity for a growth stock investment, and so I am in.

    Last edited by BlueWolf; 08-09-2020 at 12:34 PM.

  3. #293
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    585

    Default Round 4 Summary as of Market Close, Aug 14, 2020

    Round 4 Summary as of Market Close, Aug 14, 2020
    In cautious mood, I didn’t add any new positions this week. Part of that was because, in a contrast to recent weeks, the NASDAQ reined in a bit while the Dow and S&P rallied. Most of my investment are tech stocks, and, therefore, NASDAQ stocks. Overall performance has been modest, thanks to a few positions that are not performing well. AYX, in particular, gives me some reason for concern. I still see enormous potential in this company, but I’m not one to hold on to a stock through a long stagnant period so I will just have to see.


    Position Summary
    Round 4 Start Date 6/1/2020 End Date 8/14/2020
    Max Open Positions
    65
    Stock
    Date
    Purchase Price
    Position Size
    Date Closed
    Current or Closing Price
    % Gain/Loss on Trade
    % Gain/Loss on Principal


    Closed Positions


    # Closed Positions
    5.5
    Gain/Loss Per Position
    -0.24%
    Return on Principal
    -0.04%


    Open Positions








    0.00% 0.0000%
    ABMD 07/29/2020 $297.26 1
    $307.35 3.39% 0.0522%
    ANET 07/02/2020 $210.32 1
    $212.67 1.12% 0.0172%
    APPN 07/01/2020 $50.95 1
    $51.43 0.94% 0.0145%
    AYX 07/24/2020 $162.30 1
    $109.90 -32.29% -0.4967%
    BRK/B 07/23/2020 $191.81 0.5
    $210.96 9.98% 0.0768%
    CGNX 07/09/2020 $61.48 0.5
    $67.49 9.78% 0.0752%
    CRSP 08/03/2020 $86.60 1
    $89.50 3.35% 0.0515%
    CRWD 07/24/2020 $99.41 1
    $101.25 1.85% 0.0285%
    DDOG 07/30/2020 $90.59 1
    $81.24 -10.32% -0.1588%
    DOCU 07/17/2020 $191.30 1
    $199.71 4.40% 0.0676%
    EBS 07/30/2020 $93.42 0.5
    $133.42 42.82% 0.3294%
    EDIT 07/01/2020 $29.93 1
    $34.92 16.67% 0.2565%
    EEFT 06/30/2020 $93.84 0.5
    $102.16 8.87% 0.0682%
    ESTC 06/15/2020 $82.23 1
    $91.47 11.24% 0.1729%
    ETSY 07/27/2020 $102.65 1
    $129.26 25.92% 0.3988%
    EXPI 07/20/2020 $16.90 0.5
    $34.29 102.90% 0.7915%
    FLGT 07/27/2020 $20.04 1
    $42.02 109.68% 1.6874%
    FSLY 07/24/2020 $77.77 1
    $76.61 -1.49% -0.0229%
    GH 07/06/2020 $83.90 1
    $85.46 1.86% 0.0286%
    HCAT 07/24/2020 $35.79 0.5
    $31.33 -12.46% -0.0959%
    INSP 07/01/2020 $87.56 0.5
    $108.06 23.41% 0.1801%
    IPOB 07/20/2020 $11.95 0.5
    $10.97 -8.20% -0.0631%
    MDB 06/16/2020 $200.33 1
    $199.13 -0.60% -0.0092%
    MDLA 07/30/2020 $29.77 0.5
    $30.92 3.86% 0.0297%
    MELI 07/24/2020 $971.47 1
    $1,156.44 19.04% 0.2929%
    MGNI 06/01/2020 $6.34 1
    $7.54 18.93% 0.2912%
    MRNA 07/09/2020 $62.31 1
    $69.15 10.98% 0.1689%
    MTCH 07/07/2020 $92.54 1
    $118.80 28.38% 0.4366%
    NET 07/17/2020 $35.65 0.5
    $38.50 7.99% 0.0615%
    NVCR 07/28/2020 $67.15 0.5
    $75.69 12.72% 0.0978%
    NVDA 08/03/2020 $431.44 1
    $462.56 7.21% 0.1110%
    NVTA 06/25/2020 $26.98 1
    $30.02 11.27% 0.1733%
    OKTA 07/24/2020 $204.36 1
    $198.86 -2.69% -0.0414%
    OLED 07/28/2020 $159.81 0.5
    $187.53 17.35% 0.1334%
    PANW 08/03/2020 $253.85 0.5
    $259.11 2.07% 0.0159%
    PI 08/03/2020 $23.66 0.5
    $24.62 4.06% 0.0312%
    PING 07/01/2020 $32.13 0.5
    $32.75 1.93% 0.0148%
    QDEL 06/25/2020 $200.88 0.5
    $245.93 22.43% 0.1725%
    RDFN 07/15/2020 $36.98 1
    $43.22 16.87% 0.2596%
    REGN 07/27/2020 $620.40 0.5
    $612.57 -1.26% -0.0097%
    RGEN 06/30/2020 $120.29 1
    $143.89 19.62% 0.3018%
    RVLV 07/16/2020 $16.04 0.5
    $22.29 38.97% 0.2997%
    SFIX 07/01/2020 $25.67 1
    $23.50 -8.45% -0.1301%
    SMAR 06/16/2020 $47.62 1
    $43.24 -9.20% -0.1415%
    SPCE 07/09/2020 $17.79 1
    $18.55 4.27% 0.0657%
    TDOC 07/29/2020 $218.30 2
    $187.50 -14.11% -0.4341%
    TEAM 07/17/2020 $170.77 1
    $162.69 -4.73% -0.0728%
    TTD 07/24/2020 $416.18 1
    $465.60 11.87% 0.1827%
    TTWO 06/18/2020 $140.19 0.5
    $173.41 23.70% 0.1823%
    TWLO 07/17/2020 $226.77 1
    $240.06 5.86% 0.0902%
    VCYT 07/29/2020 $29.06 0.5
    $33.79 16.28% 0.1252%
    VEEV 07/01/2020 $235.94 1
    $258.34 9.49% 0.1461%
    WD 06/03/2020 $42.88 1
    $57.50 34.10% 0.5245%
    WORK 06/17/2020 $32.65 1
    $28.36 -13.14% -0.2021%
    ZM 07/01/2020 $253.93 1
    $244.91 -3.55% -0.0546%
    ZNGA 06/22/2020 $9.36 1
    $9.38 0.21% 0.0033%
    ZS 08/04/2020 $131.51 1
    $122.89 -6.55% -0.1008%
    ZUO 06/18/2020 $13.46 1
    $11.86 -11.89% -0.1829%






    0.00% 0.0000%
    # Open Positions
    49
    Gain/Loss Per Position
    11.97%
    Return on Principal
    6.29%

    Performance

    % Cash
    24.62% Avg Gain/Loss Per Position 10.74% Annualized Return on Principal 30.86% Return on Principal 6.26%
    S&P
    Start
    3038.78
    End
    3351.28
    Gain/Loss
    10.28%

    = New Position






    Watchlists
    Super High Interest: AAPL, AMT, CRNC, EPAM, LVGO, SHOP, WIX, ZEN

    High Interest Watchlist: AAXN, ADBE, AMZN, APPF, ATVI, CLDR, COUP, CRM, CSGP, EQIX, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FRPT, FVRR, GLOB, HQY, HUBS, ISRG, KNSL, LITE, LOB, MA, MASI, MSFT, NEE, NOW, NTNX, PAYC, PYPL, QTWO, RH, ROKU, SIVB, SPLK, SQ, STAA, SWAV, SWKS, TREX, V

    Some Interest Watchlist: AVGO, BIDU, BIGC, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BZUN, DAVA, FLIR, FTCH, FTNT, GOOG, ICPT, IDXX, IIPR, LRN, LYV, MNST, NVAX, OLLI, PEGA, PINS, PODD, PTON, SE, SPOT, TSLA, WEX, XLNX, ZG


    New Positions
    <None>

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