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I have 26 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. How is this possible? Every day there are hundreds of stocks setting new highs, no matter what happens in the overall market. Many of these stocks are still at very reasonable valuations. Afraid of buying stocks at their highs? Think of it this way: a new high is really a future floor for companies with solid financial underpinnings. Quantitative momentum modeling makes it easy to identify stocks that can continue this upward momentum trend. Why does this happen? It's really very simple..ask me about what investors and cows have in common. I am $$$ MR. MARKET $$$. I AM HUGE!!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses. You can join in on the fun. Register for free and you'll be able to post messages on this forum and also receive emails when $$$ MR. MARKET $$$ makes his own trades. ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)
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  1. #261
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
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    Hamilton MA
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    2,082

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    Cramer's Survival Of the Fittest list, presumably for customer facing businesses:

    Costco Walmart Target Amazon McDonalds Wendy's Wingstop Chipotle Starbucks Dominos Burger King

  2. #262
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
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    533

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    Up to 80% cash now. Iíll post my holdings and watchlist after the close.

  3. #263
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
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    533

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    Hereís an update on my current holdings, which are pretty thin, and my watchlists. Iíve been trading in and out a lot lately, mostly out this last week, and will probably continue to do so for a while. At this point Iím really not sure what to make of the market, but there will be more on that in my weekly market sentiment post. Regarding this update, I have included the individual gain/loss for each open position and a gain/loss summary for all of my closed positions. The reason I didnít list each closed trade individually is simple because I have so many of them. If anyone is interested, however, I will be happy to post the detailed list of closed trades. Just ask. I am continuing to treat this as round three since I still have a few continuously open positions. One last note: I have found a few typos in my spreadsheet since my last post, which I have corrected.



    Round 3
    Stock
    Date
    Purchase Price
    Position Size
    Date Closed
    Current or Closing Price
    Effective Gain/Loss
    Closed Position Totals Gain/Loss 660.45% Num Positions 73.0 Avg Gain/Loss 9.05%

    Open Positions

    DOCU 02/27/2020 $79.01 0.5
    $125.88 29.66%

    05/04/2020 $103.65 0.5
    $125.88 10.72%
    MDLA 05/15/2020 $23.34 1
    $24.67 5.70%
    SFIX 05/08/2020 $16.71 0.5
    $21.41 14.06%

    05/15/2020 $19.37 0.5
    $21.41 5.27%
    TEAM 03/02/2020 $143.71 2
    $186.50 59.55%
    TTD 05/04/2020 $274.50 2
    $300.01 18.59%
    TWLO 03/02/2020 $109.36 1
    $189.22 73.02%
    WORK 05/07/2020 $28.19 1
    $31.33 11.14%
    ZM 05/04/2020 $141.20 2
    $174.83 47.63%
    Open Position Totals Gain/Loss 275.35% Num Positions 11.0 Avg Gain/Loss 25.03%
    Grand Totals Gain/Loss 935.80% Num Positions 84.0 Overall Avg Gain/Loss 11.14%
    S&P 02/26/2020 $3,062.54 S&P Current $2,863.70 S&P Gain/Loss -6.49%



    High Interest Watch List:
    AAPL, AAXN, ABMD, ADBE, AMT, AMZN, ANET, APPF, APPN, ATVI, AYX, BRK/B, CGNX, CRM, CRSP, CRWD, CSGP, DDOG, EDIT, EEFT, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, ETSY, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FLGT, FRPT, FSLY, FVRR, GH, GLOB, HCAT, HQY, HUB, ICPT, INSP, ISRG, KNSL, LITE, LVGO, MA, MASI, MDB, MELI, MSFT, MTCH, N…E, NET, NTNX, NVCR, NVDA, NVTA, OKTA, PANW, PAYC, PING, PYPL, QTWO, RDFN, RGEN, ROKU, RUBI,RVLV, SDGR, SHOP, SIVB, SMAR, SPCE, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TDOC, TREX, TTWO, V, VEEV, WD, WIX, ZEN, ZNGA, ZS, ZUO

    Some Interest Watchlist:

    BYFT, BIDU, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BZUN, COUP, CRNC, DAVA, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, GOOG, IDXX, IIPR, LYV, MNST, NOW, OLED, OLLI, SE, SPOT, TSLA, XLNX, ZG
    Last edited by BlueWolf; 05-16-2020 at 11:00 AM.

  4. #264
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    533

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    Hereís a summary of my current positions along with my watchlists. NOTE: I can no longer ignore Pacoís REGN pick, and I have therefore added it to my watchlists. Granted, it has already booked substantial gains, but if the company does indeed end up being first to market with a COVID-19 vaccine, there will be a lot more upside. In any event, itís worth watching, especially if there is a correction and there appears to be a good entry. I also added MRNA for similar reasons. I took a look at SRNE too, but after reading Hindenburg Researchís scathing analysis, I decided to steer clear of that one.

    Round 3


    Closed Positions


    Closed Position Totals Total Gain/Loss 660.45% Num Positions 73.0 Gain/Loss % Per Position 9.05%


    Open Positions


    Stock
    Date
    Purchase Price
    Position Size
    Date Closed
    Current or Closing Price
    Effective Gain/Loss
    ABMD 05/22/2020 $197.36 1
    $206.16 4.46%
    DOCU 02/27/2020 $79.01 0.5
    $133.00 34.17%

    05/04/2020 $103.65 0.5
    $133.00 14.16%
    EDIT 05/20/2020 $27.84 1
    $30.10 8.12%
    HQY 05/20/2020 $56.83 1
    $56.79 -0.07%
    MDLA 05/15/2020 $23.34 1
    $26.79 14.78%
    NTNX 05/18/2020 $21.35 1
    $24.61 15.27%
    NVTA 05/20/2020 $16.29 1
    $17.51 7.49%
    SFIX 05/08/2020 $16.71 0.5
    $23.51 20.35%

    05/15/2020 $19.37 0.5
    $23.51 10.69%
    SPCE 05/22/2020 $14.68 0.5
    $15.74 3.61%
    TEAM 03/02/2020 $143.71 2
    $182.60 54.12%
    TTD 05/04/2020 $274.50 2
    $307.60 24.12%
    TWLO 03/02/2020 $109.36 1
    $208.62 90.76%
    WD 05/20/2020 $39.54 0.5
    $39.06 -0.61%
    WORK 05/07/2020 $28.19 1
    $31.71 12.49%
    ZEN 05/22/2020 $80.12 1
    $81.93 2.26%
    ZM 05/04/2020 $141.20 2
    $171.06 42.29%
    ZUO 05/20/2020 $11.17 0.5
    $12.06 3.98%
    Open Position Totals Total Gain/Loss 362.44% Num Positions 18.5 Gain/Loss % Per Position 19.59%
    Grand Totals Total Gain/Loss 1022.89% Num Positions 91.5 Gain/Loss % Per Position 11.18%

    S&P Open (2/26/2020) $3,062.54 S&P Current $2,955.45 S&P Gain/Loss % -3.50%

    High Interest Watchlist: AAPL, AAXN, ADBE, AMT, AMZN, ANET, APPF, APPN, ATVI, AYX, BRK/B, CGNX, CRM, CRSP, CRWD, CSGP, DDOG, EEFT, EPAM, EQIX, ESTC, ETSY, EVBG, FB, FICO, FIVN, FLGT, FRPT, FSLY, FVRR, GH, GLOB, HCAT, HUB, ICPT, INSP, ISRG, KNSL, LITE, LVGO, MA, MASI, MDB, MELI, MSFT, MTCH, N…E, NET, NVCR, NVDA, OKTA, PANW, PAYC, PING, PYPL, QDEL, QTWO, RDFN, REGN, RGEN, ROKU, RUBI, RVLV, SDGR, SHOP, SIVB, SMAR, SPLK, SQ, SWAV, TDOC, TREX, TTWO, V, VEEV, WIX, ZEN, ZNGA, ZS

    Some Interest Watchlist: BYFT, BIDU, BILI, BKNG, BOMN, BZUN, COUP, CRNC, DAVA, EXPI, FTCH, FTNT, GOOG, IDXX, IIPR, LYV, MNST, MRNA, NOW, OLED, OLLI, SE, SPOT, TSLA, XLNX, ZG
    Last edited by BlueWolf; 05-23-2020 at 11:37 AM.

  5. #265
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    533

    Default

    Went flat today, except for some day/swing trades. This ends round 3. I will post details on Friday.

  6. #266
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
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    Default Round 3 Long Term Trading Results (Part 1)

    Iím a day late, but here are the final results from Round 3 of my long term trades. I debated whether or not I should list all my trades because there were so many of them. In the end, I decided to go ahead in the event there might be some interest. Please Therefore forgive the long post(s). (PS. I had to break up the post into two parts)

    Overall, Round 3 was a rough round, so I was more than happy to come out with the kind of gains I did. I made a terribLe blunder when I closed Round 2 just before the COVID-19 crash and then opened Round 3 too soon. Still, Iíll take the win. I know I went flat while the market is still up-trending, but I just had an uneasy feeling about things. For now I am going to short term trade while I see how things develop.

    In case youíre wondering, hereís some insight into how I trade. Regarding short term trades, I break them down into two types: day trades and swing trades. A day trade is a round trip trade made within a single day. For a swing trade, I will typically hold the position anywhere from two to four days. I occasionally hold swing trades longer, and sometimes, if the trade is going well and I like the company prospects, I will roll a swing trade into a long term trade. This requires that I pare down the size of the position because when I short term trade, I trade much larger positions, sometimes 10x the size of a single long term position.

    As for Round 4, I will open it when the opportunity for making some good entries presents itself. I am certainly expecting (hoping for?) some sort of correction that will create just such a buying opportunity, but the market has shown some surprising resilience. I just have to go with the flow. If the market strength continues, it just means there will be a lot of
    long-side short term trading opportunities.

    A final note: I know tracking performance by average gain per position is not ideal. Iím trying to come up with something more realistic to institute in Round 4. The real measure of gain is how much you grow your principal. Since you donít always have all your principle invested at any one time, average gain per position doesnít necessarily reflect how good or bad youíre actually doing over time. I was therefore thinking that next round I would use a fixed amount, C, to represent starting principal or capital and a fixed fraction, C/N, where N is the maximum number of positions, to represent a single position size. This way I can compute the actual gains on each trade and then add these gains up to produce an accurate measure of total gain against starting capital. I can use an arbitrary number for C or I can try and do the math relativistically. What can I say, I have time on my hands.

    OK, with further ado, here are the Round 3 results.


    Round 3
    Stock
    Date
    Purchase Price
    Position Size
    Date Closed
    Current or Closing Price
    Effective Gain/Loss


    Closed Positions


    AAPL 02/28/2020 $263.31 1 05/14/2020 $306.27 16.32%
    AAXN 03/02/2020 $77.80 0.5 04/27/2020 $72.78 -3.23%

    03/02/2020 $77.80 0.5 05/01/2020 $72.15 -3.63%
    ABMD 05/07/2020 $188.73 0.5 05/13/2020 $191.26 0.67%

    05/22/2020 $197.36 1 05/27/2020 $209.43 6.12%
    AMT 03/02/2020 $229.30 1 05/01/2020 $234.50 2.27%
    ANET 02/28/2020 $190.04 1 05/01/2020 $215.53 13.41%

    05/07/2020 $212.30 1 05/13/2020 $219.76 3.51%
    APPN 03/02/2020 $43.80 1 05/01/2020 $44.72 2.10%

    05/04/2020 $42.12 2 05/13/2020 $48.14 28.58%
    AYX 02/28/2020 $130.22 1 05/01/2020 $110.13 -15.43%

    05/05/2020 $112.85 1 05/13/2020 $126.44 12.04%
    CGNX 02/28/2020 $43.11 0.5 05/01/2020 $53.50 12.05%
    CRM 03/02/2020 $170.09 0.5 05/01/2020 $159.14 -3.22%
    CRSP 03/25/2020 $42.66 0.5 05/01/2020 $49.39 7.89%

    05/05/2020 $51.23 1 05/13/2020 $59.33 15.81%
    CRWD 03/02/2020 $59.49 0.5 05/14/2020 $76.25 14.09%
    DDOG 02/27/2020 $42.97 1 05/14/2020 $65.79 53.11%
    DOCU 02/27/2020 $79.01 0.5 05/01/2020 $104.18 15.93%

    02/27/2020 $79.01 0.5 05/27/2020 $126.25 29.89%

    05/04/2020 $103.65 0.5 05/27/2020 $126.25 10.90%
    EDIT 02/28/2020 $21.07 1 05/01/2020 $22.50 6.79%

    05/05/2020 $25.31 1 05/13/2020 $25.71 1.58%

    05/20/2020 $27.84 1 05/27/2020 $27.92 0.29%
    EEFT 03/02/2020 $124.10 0.5 05/01/2020 $87.36 -14.80%

    05/08/2020 $90.64 0.5 05/13/2020 $83.67 -3.84%
    EPAM 04/15/2020 $193.40 0.5 05/01/2020 $217.54 6.24%
    ETSY 02/27/2020 $55.54 1 05/01/2020 $62.93 13.31%
    FICO 02/28/2020 $364.02 0.5 05/01/2020 $345.67 -2.52%
    FLGT 03/02/2020 $15.43 0.5 05/01/2020 $16.25 2.66%

    05/07/2020 $15.12 1 05/13/2020 $15.67 3.64%
    FRPT 03/03/2020 $69.78 0.5 05/01/2020 $74.11 3.10%
    FSLY 02/28/2020 $18.98 1 05/01/2020 $21.46 13.07%

    05/05/2020 $22.27 0.5 05/13/2020 $36.33 31.57%
    GH 03/26/2020 $66.81 1 05/01/2020 $74.56 11.60%

    05/07/2020 $82.25 0.5 05/13/2020 $96.12 8.43%
    HCAT 05/11/2020 $28.35 0.5 05/13/2020 $27.44 -1.60%
    HQY 03/24/2020 $46.50 0.5 05/01/2020 $54.40 8.49%

    05/11/2020 $56.83 0.5 05/13/2020 $50.76 -5.34%

    05/20/2020 $56.83 1 05/27/2020 $62.11 9.29%
    ICPT 05/12/2020 $89.15 0.5 05/13/2020 $88.10 -0.59%
    IIPR 03/02/2020 $92.28 0.5 05/01/2020 $76.40 -8.60%
    INSP 02/27/2020 $84.66 0.5 04/27/2020 $75.75 -5.26%

    02/27/2020 $84.66 0.5 05/01/2020 $70.53 -8.35%

    05/12/2020 $68.70 0.5 05/13/2020 $67.47 -0.90%
    ISRG 03/02/2020 $534.89 0.5 05/01/2020 $502.90 -2.99%

    03/02/2020 $534.89 0.5 04/27/2020 $518.20 -1.56%
    KNSL 04/17/2020 $112.16 0.5 05/13/2020 $130.44 8.15%
    LVGO 03/02/2020 $25.45 0.5 05/01/2020 $38.99 26.60%

    05/05/2020 $39.95 0.5 05/13/2020 $59.68 24.69%
    LYV 02/28/2020 $57.87 1 04/17/2020 $40.10 -30.71%


  7. #267
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
    Location
    Earth (Mostly)
    Posts
    533

    Default Default Round 3 Long Term Trading Results (Part 2)



    Round 3
    Stock
    Date
    Purchase Price
    Position Size
    Date Closed
    Current or Closing Price
    Effective Gain/Loss


    Closed Positions (Contíd)


    MA 03/02/2020 $290.80 0.5 05/01/2020 $270.88 -3.43%

    05/07/2020 $278.44 0.5 05/13/2020 $264.32 -2.54%
    MDB 02/28/2020 $144.92 1 05/14/2020 $193.47 33.50%
    MDLA 03/03/2020 $25.33 0.5 05/01/2020 $21.15 -8.25%

    05/07/2020 $22.03 0.5 05/14/2020 $23.21 2.68%

    05/11/2020 $23.60 0.5 05/14/2020 $23.21 -0.83%

    05/15/2020 $23.34 1 05/27/2020 $27.09 16.07%
    MELI 03/02/2020 $617.21 2 05/14/2020 $760.95 46.58%
    MSFT 02/28/2020 $156.33 0.5 05/13/2020 $182.16 8.26%
    MTCH 03/02/2020 $64.05 1 05/01/2020 $76.13 18.86%
    NTNX 04/15/2020 $16.80 0.5 05/01/2020 $19.64 8.45%

    05/07/2020 $21.27 0.5 05/13/2020 $20.57 -1.65%

    05/11/2020 $22.08 0.5 05/13/2020 $20.57 -3.42%

    05/18/2020 $21.35 1 05/27/2020 $24.34 14.00%
    NVCR 03/02/2020 $71.32 1 05/01/2020 $62.11 -12.91%

    05/05/2020 $62.44 0.5 05/13/2020 $61.48 -0.77%
    NVDA 02/28/2020 $247.50 1 05/01/2020 $287.75 16.26%
    NVTA 03/02/2020 $19.51 1 05/01/2020 $16.29 -16.50%

    05/08/2020 $16.25 1 05/14/2020 $15.72 -3.26%

    05/20/2020 $16.29 1 05/27/2020 $16.65 2.21%
    OKTA 03/02/2020 $128.44 1 05/01/2020 $149.56 16.44%
    PANW 04/27/2020 $196.53 1 05/13/2020 $219.39 11.63%
    PAYC 03/26/2020 $210.68 0.5 05/01/2020 $252.68 9.97%
    PING 03/02/2020 $22.97 0.5 05/01/2020 $23.87 1.96%

    05/11/2020 $25.47 0.5 05/13/2020 $25.62 0.29%
    QTWO 03/26/2020 $57.96 0.5 05/01/2020 $78.43 17.66%
    RDFN 03/02/2020 $26.92 0.5 05/01/2020 $19.98 -12.89%

    05/05/2020 $20.27 1 05/13/2020 $23.64 16.63%
    RGEN 03/03/2020 $89.30 0.5 05/01/2020 $114.85 14.31%
    ROKU 05/12/2020 $131.48 0.5 05/13/2020 $127.50 -1.51%
    RUBI (TLRA) 03/24/2020 $6.07 0.5 04/28/2020 $6.70 5.19%

    04/29/2020 $6.85 0.5 05/01/2020 $6.74 -0.80%

    05/08/2020 $6.12 0.5 05/13/2020 $5.83 -2.37%
    RVLV 04/20/2020 $11.31 1 05/01/2020 $10.51 -7.07%

    05/11/2020 $13.36 0.5 05/13/2020 $13.98 2.32%

    05/26/2020 $15.26 1 05/27/2020 $14.59 -4.39%
    SDGR 02/28/2020 $43.45 0.5 05/13/2020 $57.66 16.35%
    SFIX 03/19/2020 $14.23 1 05/01/2020 $15.69 10.26%

    05/08/2020 $16.71 0.5 05/27/2020 $24.27 22.62%

    05/15/2020 $19.37 0.5 05/27/2020 $24.27 12.65%
    SHOP 02/28/2020 $439.12 1 05/01/2020 $623.45 41.98%
    SIVB 04/27/2020 $182.50 0.5 05/01/2020 $185.34 0.78%
    SMAR 03/02/2020 $46.10 1 05/14/2020 $51.15 10.95%
    SPCE 05/07/2020 $19.09 0.5 05/13/2020 $17.35 -4.56%

    05/22/2020 $14.68 0.5 05/27/2020 $16.89 7.53%
    TDOC 03/02/2020 $122.76 1 05/13/2020 $192.26 56.61%

    04/09/2020 $141.63 1 05/13/2020 $192.26 35.75%
    TEAM 03/02/2020 $143.71 2 05/27/2020 $169.82 36.34%
    TREX 03/03/2020 $103.90 1 05/01/2020 $94.56 -8.99%
    TTD 02/28/2020 $266.20 1 05/01/2020 $284.78 6.98%

    03/03/2020 $286.35 1 05/01/2020 $284.78 -0.55%

    05/04/2020 $274.50 2 05/27/2020 $290.11 11.37%
    TWLO 03/02/2020 $109.36 1 05/27/2020 $189.12 72.93%
    VEEV 03/02/2020 $140.34 1 05/14/2020 $193.67 38.00%

    03/03/2020 $143.07 1 05/14/2020 $193.67 35.37%
    WD 03/02/2020 $65.30 0.5 05/01/2020 $37.39 -21.37%

    05/07/2020 $39.25 0.5 05/13/2020 $34.33 -6.27%

    05/20/2020 $39.54 0.5 05/27/2020 $40.46 1.16%
    WIX 03/02/2020 $132.56 0.5 05/01/2020 $128.44 -1.55%
    WORK 03/04/2020 $27.10 1 05/01/2020 $26.35 -2.77%

    05/07/2020 $28.19 1 05/27/2020 $31.71 12.49%
    ZEN 03/02/2020 $77.44 1 05/14/2020 $72.28 -6.66%

    03/03/2020 $71.58 1 05/14/2020 $72.28 0.98%

    05/22/2020 $80.12 1 05/27/2020 $80.45 0.41%
    ZM 02/27/2020 $108.79 1 05/01/2020 $139.76 28.47%

    05/04/2020 $141.20 2 05/27/2020 $157.75 23.44%
    ZS 02/28/2020 $49.76 0.5 05/14/2020 $74.57 24.93%
    ZUO 05/12/2020 $11.83 0.5 05/13/2020 $11.32 -2.16%

    05/20/2020 $11.17 0.5 05/27/2020 $11.37 0.90%
    Closed Position Totals Total Gain/Loss 946.67% Num Positions 92.5 Gain/Loss Per Position % 10.23%
    S&P @Start (2/26/2020) $3,062.54 S&P @End (5/27/2020) $3,036.13 S&P Gain/Loss % -0.86%


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