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I have 22 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. How is this possible? Every day there are hundreds of stocks setting new highs, no matter what happens in the overall market. Many of these stocks are still at very reasonable valuations. Afraid of buying stocks at their highs? Think of it this way: a new high is really a future floor for companies with solid financial underpinnings. Quantitative momentum modeling makes it easy to identify stocks that can continue this upward momentum trend. Why does this happen? It's really very simple..ask me about what investors and cows have in common. I am $$$ MR. MARKET $$$. I AM HUGE!!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses. You can join in on the fun. Register for free and you'll be able to post messages on this forum and also receive emails when $$$ MR. MARKET $$$ makes his own trades. ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)
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  1. #41
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    Jun 2009
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    AYX

    Alteryx Inc (AYX) provides self-service data analytics software on a subscription basis. Data analytics is a technology buzz word, for sure, and there are a lot of players in this space so what makes AYX so special? Their target audience. Itís the widest in the industry. Why? Because AYX has built a platform that can be used by just about anyone. Sure, you can code your own apps on top of their platformís APIs, i.e. itís code-friendly. This is not required to use the platform, however. It has a spiffy graphic interface that allows you to configure and use the platform without having to write a single line of code, i.e. itís code-free. This opens up their customer base to include anyone who needs data analytics, not just an IT organization. Executives, managers, planners, researchers, educators, lawyers, medical professionals, law enforcement professionals and even hobbyists can avail themselves of the platform and its many capabilities. And boy is their platform complete. There are modules for data access, data prep and blending, data sharing, predictive and prescriptive analytics, visualytics, and data reporting. It even has modules for dealing with special kinds of data like spatial data, scheduling data, and demographics. OK, it can be used by anyone and it is absolutely comprehensive. What about growth? The data analytics market was estimated at $8.5B in 2017 and predicted to grow into a $40B+ market by 2023 with a CAGR 29.7%. Itís fair to say that AYX wonít get the lions share of this. Nobody currently dominates this crowded market segment. Having said that, this growth will definitely float AYX with all the other boats and it is likely, given their terrific IP, that they will get a fair share. Letís look at their growth. They IPOíd in 2017. In the two years leading up to this IPO they increased revenue 144% and increased their market capitalization 300%. The bad news is that they are still a relatively new company and they are burning cash. This makes them a little more of a risk. The good news, however, is that they have steadily improved their cash flow and controlled costs to the point that last quarter they broke even, i.e. did not burn any cash. The future looks very bright for AYX given their unique IP and phenomenal growth within an exploding market segment.

    AAPL, AAXN, AMZN, ANET, AYX, DATA, DOCU, EDIT, ISRG, LYV, MTCH, MA, MDB, OKTA, SQ, TDOC, TEAM, TTD, TWLO, V

    Bold=Rationale Available
    Underline=I own it
    Last edited by BlueWolf; 01-13-2019 at 08:06 PM.

  2. #42
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    Jun 2009
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    DATA

    Tableau Software is another data analytics play, and I admit that I have liked and owned this stock for a while now. I am an ex-software engineer, so you will have to forgive me for my love of geek stocks. DATAís software is targeted primarily towards data visualization and currently their platform is primarily delivered as an on-premises solution. Like AYX, their software is renowned for it ease of use. Once again, this opens up the product to all kinds of market segments. DATA went public in 2013 and rocketed up. By mid 2015 DATA had more than doubled its market capitalization. Then the market does what the market does: It lost interest in DATA and the market cap sunk back to 2013 IPO levels. Starting in 2016, however, DATA made a bold and fortuitous decision: They decided to begin adopting a subscription-based model. Just look at what that has done for revenue at companies like ADBE and MSFT. Well, it did the same for DATA as subscription revenue grew rapidly from ~$60M in 2016 to $190M+ in 2017. The fickle market took notice and fell in love again, returning the market cap to 2015 levels. Even as the market was falling out of love with DATA late in 2015, DATA was growing their overall revenue like crazy. They went from $654 in 2015 to $827M in 2016 and $877M in 2017. In FY 2018, they are on track to hit $1B+. With the phenomenal growth in the data analytics market segment predicted to continue through 2023 with a CAGR of 29.7%, itís not hard to get excited about the prospects of DATA over the next five years. Morningstar forecast a 10-year revenue CAGR of roughly 14% for DATA. Wow! Not bad. DATA is not without itís risks. Like AYX, they are a newer company and they are still burning cash. They are a couple of years away from profitability. With assets over $1B and 75K customers, however, I believe DATA will achieve that profitability sooner rather than later. This is why DATA is one of my picks.

    AAPL, AAXN, AMZN, ANET, AYX, DATA, DOCU, EDIT, ISRG, LYV, MTCH, MA, MDB, OKTA, SQ, TDOC, TEAM, TTD, TWLO, V

    Bold=Rationale Available
    Underline=I own it

  3. #43
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    Jun 2009
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    Bought TEAM this morning on the minor pullback. I donít think I will buy V since I own MA, and I want to I stay diversified. I therefore think I will just drop V from my list. The only stock on the list I therefore havenít bought recently is TWLO. It is in a little bit of a sloppy consolidation pattern right now and I should have also bought that this morning, but I dropped the ball. Since I now own most of the stocks on the list, instead of making the ones I owned underlined, I am just going to list TWLO separately.

    Now, because I do want to diversify, I have to seriously look at some foreign stocks. I am hesitant to buy Chinese stocks because of the pounding they took last year and because of the uncertainty of the trade talks, but I think I need to consider some positions at current prices. The only Chinese stock I currently own is TCEHY, which I picked up back in August and held on to because I think itís undervalued. The others I had I dumped back in Oct. More on foreign stocks later.

    AAPL, AAXN, AMZN, ANET, AYX, DATA, DOCU, EDIT, ISRG, LYV, MTCH, MA, MDB, OKTA, SQ, TDOC, TEAM, TTD

    Still no position: TWLO

    Bold=Rationale Available
    Last edited by BlueWolf; 01-15-2019 at 11:01 AM.

  4. #44
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    Hereís a foreign long term stock idea: BIDU. It looks attractive both technically and fundamentally right now.

  5. #45
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    Jun 2009
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    Bought TWLO this morning. It looks ready to break out of the little cup it is forming, so I took a shot. Since itís a long term hold, I gave it a wide stop right at the top of the gap of 1/7. Thatís about $10, which is OK with a long term because I trade smaller share sizes then when I day trade. I now own all the stocks in the list.

    AAPL, AAXN, AMZN, ANET, AYX, DATA, DOCU, EDIT, ISRG, LYV, MTCH, MA, MDB, OKTA, SQ, TDOC, TEAM, TTD, TWLO

    Bold=Rationale Available

  6. #46
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    Jun 2009
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    Iím adding NVDA to my list. I purchased some this week.

    AAPL, AAXN, AMZN, ANET, AYX, DATA, DOCU, EDIT, ISRG, LYV, MTCH, MA, MDB, NVDA, OKTA, SQ, TDOC, TEAM, TTD, TWLO

    Bold=Rationale Available

  7. #47
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    DOCU

    DocuSign (DOCU) provides e-signature solutions that allow companies and users to make every agreement, approval process, or transaction digital from any device, virtually anywhere in the world, in a secured manner. E-signature technology has now become a standard part of conducting business, for every company drowning in seas of previously paper-based processes. The good news is that DocuSign is one the leaders in this technology arena, and was the first e-signature company to IPO in May of 2018. Leading up to the IPO, their growth was spectacular. Revenue rocketed from $250M in FY 2016 to $381M in FY 2017. For FY2018, they are on track to top $520M. Wow! What about the market? Well, according to Business Insider, the worldwide e-signature market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.47% between 2017 and 2023, when it is forecast to top $9B. DocuSign already claims to have 200M users worldwide and is therefore in an excellent position to take a healthy bite out of that growth. I think you can see why I am excited about DOCU.

    AAPL, AAXN, AMZN, ANET, AYX, DATA, DOCU, EDIT, ISRG, LYV, MTCH, MA, MDB, NVDA, OKTA, SQ, TDOC, TEAM, TTD, TWLO

    Bold=Rationale Available

  8. #48
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    Sep 2009
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    7

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    What do you make of the huge volume in VCSH ETF - Vanguard ST Corp Bond. Trad 401k's have restrictions on which funds/etfs can be bought, but this volume is telling us something.

  9. #49
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    Jun 2009
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    EDIT

    I admit, this is one of my more speculative choices. Editas Medicine (EDIT) is a genome editing company engaged in treating patients with genetically defined diseases by correcting disease-causing genes. The company was founded by two of the doctors who discovered the Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats (CRISPR) gene-editing process. Financially, thereís not much of a story here ... yet. Revenue is growing rapidly, but itís paltry in comparison to the other companies I am interested. Revenue was a mere $6M in 2016, doubled to $13.7M in 2017, the year in which they IPOíd, and doubled again to $25.8M in 2018. So why do I like this stock? Well, by now, you probably know that I like stocks that have growth stories. Itís growth that drives share price, and there is a massive growth opportunity with EDIT. I wonít go into all the details, but EDIT has some unique opportunities to apply certain aspects of CRISPR technology because of the patents licensed to the company by itís founders. Apparently, Iím not the only one who believes in this opportunity. Not only has EDIT entered into strategic partnerships with several other biotechs including Allergan, but they have been bombarded with investment, including a significant investment from none other than innovator Bill Gates. And what is the market for CRISPR technology? Buckle your seatbelts. According to one market report, the CRISPR market is expected to experience 32.04% CAGR for the period 2019-2027. 30% CAGR over nine years? Wow. Thatís the kind of growth I like and I believe EDIT is positioned to leverage their way into a healthy share of that market through their own products and through strategic relationships with mega-biotechs like Allergan. Itís very speculative, and early in the story Iíll admit, but Iím a sucker for growth stories.

    AAPL, AAXN, AMZN, ANET, AYX, DATA, DOCU, EDIT, ISRG, LYV, MTCH, MA, MDB, NVDA, OKTA, SQ, TDOC, TEAM, TTD, TWLO

    Bold=Rationale Available

    NOTE: I am not pushing investments in any stock. You should always do your own research and invest in stocks that meet your personal criteria, especially your risk tolerance. Iím just sharing some ideas about stocks and companies I like backed by my own personal research. As I have indicated, I have bought all of the above stocks. So far, after my latest round of buying, I am doing quite well with them, but I know this finicky market can roll over at any time, so I am on my toes. I hope to build enough equity to give me some insulation against a pullback(s) so I can hold these stocks for several years, but I wonít hestitate to thin the heard or sell altogether if the market goes crazy south like it did in October. I thinned my long term portfolio considerably when I saw bearish signs in October, but I have to admit that I wish I had sold everything and then just bought back. I did do that for some stocks, but not all. Hopefully, I will still be able to read the tea leaves well enough to see the bear coming again, and hopefully I will be able to tell the difference between the bear and a simple correction. Thatís a big part of the game, isnít it. Itís good to be able to pick solid stocks for the long term, but weathering bear markets is tough business, emotionally and financially. OK, ramble over. I just honestly hope all this stuff is useful on some level to those reading it.

  10. #50
    Join Date
    Oct 2003
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    Hamilton MA
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    I have a position in SQ because I wanted to be in that space and it seemed like the most direct way. I went with some January 2020 calls hoping to make a big score but bought the first one at exactly the wrong time. Bought two more recently for a total amount not much more than half what I paid for just the first one. Still think it was a good idea, just
    poorly executed.

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