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I have 73 consecutive profitable trades of 15% or better. How is this possible? Every day there are hundreds of stocks setting new highs, no matter what happens in the overall market. Many of these stocks are still at very reasonable valuations. Afraid of buying stocks at their highs? Think of it this way: a new high is really a future floor for companies with solid financial underpinnings. Quantitative momentum modeling makes it easy to identify stocks that can continue this upward momentum trend. Why does this happen? It's really very simple..ask me about what investors and cows have in common. I am $$$ MR. MARKET $$$. I AM HUGE!!! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses. You can join in on the fun. Register for free and you'll be able to post messages on this forum and also receive emails when $$$ MR. MARKET $$$ makes his own trades. ($$$MR. MARKET$$$ is a proprietary investor and does not provide individual financial advice. The stocks mentioned on this forum do not represent individual buy or sell recommendations and should not be viewed as such. Individual investors should consider speaking with a professional investment adviser before making any investment decisions.)
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  1. #1

    Default $$$MR. MARKET$$$'s Personal Homepage and Stock Portfolio

    To learn more about how the $$$MR. MARKET$$$ model works and to read about $$$MR. MARKET$$$, himself, go to his personal homepage:

    http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/huge/
    Last edited by mrmarket; 05-09-2008 at 10:12 AM.
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

  2. #2
    JARM Guest

    Default

    Mr. Market,

    Okay, I guess I misunderstand the intent of your picks produced by your model.

    Perhaps I can rephrase my question as follows: Are there ever circumstances or time considerations (for example, what applied 6 months ago might not apply today) that would ever cause you to think that perhaps the model, as successful as it has been, might on occasion not yield the results it predicted? When and under what circumstances (if any) would you cut your losses?

    Had I followed your rule of taking 15% profits I would currently have more money in my account, but being very new to the market, I've made some amateur mistakes and watched some profits dissipate. That's the reason that I'm asking about cutting losses--I don't want to repeat past mistakes. Are there ever times that your model doesn't work as intended, and if so, do you take any protective measures?

    Thank you again for your time and help.



    I'd appreciate any

  3. #3

    Default

    My model is a forest...not individual trees. It tells me what stocks to buy. I don't know which ones will go straight up and which ones will take a meandering path. What I do know is that if I sell all of the stocks that drop 8%, I would have made a lot less money than if I had held them to their 15% target.
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Nov 2003
    Location
    ohio
    Posts
    8,766

    Default stock picking model

    Mr. Market, Your stock market model states that in a typical bull market stocks picked will, on average, gain 15% in 4-6 weeks. Many people would still not call this a typical bull market, but your model is working wonderfully. In theory, if this was a "raging bull" market would the 4-6 week period be shortened to say 2-4 weeks? Would you ever modify your 4-6 week plan if this market really took off or would you increase the 15% gain goal to 20-25%. Thanks, Billyjoe

  5. #5

    Default Re: stock picking model

    Quote Originally Posted by billyjoe
    Mr. Market, Your stock market model states that in a typical bull market stocks picked will, on average, gain 15% in 4-6 weeks. Many people would still not call this a typical bull market, but your model is working wonderfully. In theory, if this was a "raging bull" market would the 4-6 week period be shortened to say 2-4 weeks? Would you ever modify your 4-6 week plan if this market really took off or would you increase the 15% gain goal to 20-25%. Thanks, Billyjoe
    Good question Billy Joe,

    What would happen is I would end up turning my picks more frequently and, as a result, compound my gains more rapidly. I remember back in the late 90's I did a few hundred trades when the market was really roaring.
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

  6. #6
    bknight Guest

    Default

    I have a small question about your databases. IF you don't subscribe to all the IBD extras, where do you come up with lists of the eps>90, eps growth, and rs?
    Thanks

  7. #7

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by bknight
    I have a small question about your databases. IF you don't subscribe to all the IBD extras, where do you come up with lists of the eps>90, eps growth, and rs?
    Thanks
    IBD newspaper and a pencil.
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

  8. #8
    bknight Guest

    Default

    I thought you had a faster way of doing that, but thanks.

  9. #9
    mmcfarli Guest

    Lightbulb Consider this Fine Meat & Cheese

    Mr Market,

    Have you looked at ASFI, PRAA, and ECPG? They're all in the three biggest publicly owned companies in the debt collection business and their fundamentals are very strong. I just bought ASFI today. It looks very undervalued compared to the other three. But I'm thinking of balancing my holdings with the other three because I don't yet have that much confidence in my valuation skills. What are your thoughts?

    Mike

    "Live long and prosper"
    Last edited by mmcfarli; 10-28-2004 at 02:55 PM.

  10. #10

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by mmcfarli
    Mr Market,

    Have you looked at ASFI, PRAA, and ECPG? They're all in the three biggest publicly owned companies in the debt collection business and their fundamentals are very strong. I just bought ASFI today. It looks very undervalued compared to the other three. But I'm thinking of balancing my holdings with the other three because I don't yet have that much confidence in my valuation skills. What are your thoughts?

    Mike

    "Live long and prosper"
    They all look ok, but their price momentum really isn't very strong when compared to their valuations. That doesn't mean you won't make money on them, just that they probably won't finish near the top when I run my model.
    =============================

    I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

    - $$$MR. MARKET$$$

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