Portfolio of the Week

[spikefader]

Lye,
http://bestsmileys.com/signs16/19.gif
.

[New-born baby]

Lye-Baby,
I want to sell SWN at $36.04 here in a few minutes . . . .

I sold at $36.04 at 3:35 EST. That's 5.875% in four days.

[Websman]

I'm in 5th place??? How could this be? I always win...

[Lyehopper]

I'm in 5th place??? How could this be? I always win...
G'day mate....lol

I think you gained some ground today dude.... Hey Webs, those "bloody" Aussie's have some strange rules huh?

[Lyehopper]

LOL.... Nice try dude, but I've already got you down for CWTR long @ 1:18pm...$31.74

That's why I love the POTW.... Not many rules.... just a crazy bunch of "Outlaws" trying to win anyway they can....hehehehe

http://img520.imageshack.us/img520/5324/potwoutlaw7xj.png
Hey DMK.... CWTR was a better pick anyway dude. I saved you from youself! And even if it ain't better.... I own CWTR and not NDAQ.... and I run the contest....hahaha

[Websman]

G'day mate....lol

I think you gained some ground today dude.... Hey Webs, those "bloody" Aussie's have some strange rules huh?

Rules? What rules? I only thought that the IBD board had rules...or at least they told me they did in that warning letter they sent me.

[billyjoe]

Lye,
Was looking at your Clint link and got an idea. In addition to the great honor of winning the POTW you could give out the GOOD , the BAD, and the UGLY awards each week . That way we'd have a better chance of winning something. Everybody is talented at something . Perhaps the champion UGLY winner would have an unusual ability to pick bad stocks ...... hey it's possible.

billyjoe

[Lyehopper]

Lye,
Was looking at your Clint link and got an idea. In addition to the great honor of winning the POTW you could give out the GOOD , the BAD, and the UGLY awards each week . That way we'd have a better chance of winning something. Everybody is talented at something . Perhaps the champion UGLY winner would have an unusual ability to pick bad stocks ...... hey it's possible.

billyjoe
.... he understands NOTHING about Tuco".... (quote, Tuco Ramirez... the Good, the Bad....and the Ugly)

That picture of DMK was Clint from "The Outlaw Josey Wells" My favorite movie of all time (well that and the "Godfather"). If we did do a Good, Bad and Ugly contest I'd surely get the "Ugly" Award...lol

Changed my Avatar to "The Ugly"... Tuco Benedito Pacifico Juan Maria Ramirez (Eli Wallach) . I love that movie too.... I have a collection of all the "Spaghetti" Westerns.

[billyjoe]

Lye,
I almost had to force my boys to watch Good,Bad,Ugly and they admitted "this is good" that doesn't happen very often. When you have time could you give me the "Lyehopper" rating on the sphagetti westerns? I haven't seen them all. Wasn't Lee Van Cleef a nasty looking dude ? If I saw him coming down the road I'd head the other direction. There don't seem to be any good character actors anymore. Remember the cast of characters that would be in the bar scenes in most westerns? I like spotting future stars in the old Bonanza and Gunsmoke shows. Some of the best Jack Elam (crooked eye), Walter Brennan (Amos McCoy), Andy Devine , Arthur Hunnicutt, Ward Bond (Wagon Train), Chill Wills , and maybe the best of all, Dub Taylor.


billyjoe

[Websman]

Hey, I'm finally positive!

Considering your young age and your great market knowledge, you are destined to become a rich dude one day.

[dmk112]

Hey DMK.... CWTR was a better pick anyway dude. I saved you from youself! And even if it ain't better.... I own CWTR and not NDAQ.... and I run the contest....hahaha


LOL thanks LYE. I own both....ahhahah

[IIC]

Rules? What rules? I only thought that the IBD board had rules...or at least they told me they did in that warning letter they sent me.

Speaking of IBD...I don't know if anyone here knew this...but here is part of a post I recently made at another Forum:

I owned DailyGraphsOnline.com, DailyGraphsOnline.net and
DailyGraphs.net for years after "somebody" forgot to renew them(If
she worked for me she would've been summarily terminated)...it was
before the days of "locked" domains and auto renewal...But with the
IBD Copyright Infringement Rampage I decided to give them up last
summer...What was I gonna do w/ them anyway?

It was funny, I had to go thru this big notarized hassle to get them outta my name...I never heard from IBD all those years re: the domains even though they knew I owned 'em...I assume they never contacted me about it because I never used them...but some guys in Panama and Africa grabbed them the day my release went thru. Now I see IBD owns them again...LOL

[IIC]

What happened to my post 2 mins before the market closed that said I switched to OVTI??? ;)

[Lyehopper]

What happened to my post 2 mins before the market closed that said I switched to OVTI??? ;)
LOL...Funny Doug.

Ray Long switched to OVTI this morning though! Ray's in the drivers seat now! Good call Ray.

[Lyehopper]

Here it is fellas! We're up 2.34%!....

Webs takes back the lead.... But it ain't over till the fat lady sings... Is it Ray? hehehehe ....

Great contest this week guys! Great Picks! Great plays!

http://img524.imageshack.us/img524/9549/potw121051cd.png

[dmk112]

How is Webs in 1st place again!! What the heck! LOL

I should be turning green today though.

[Lyehopper]

Hey fellas.... I just found a (small) mistake in someone's %.... Dosen't change the rankings but it needs to be fixed. I'll double check all my math and correct any mistakes on tonight's post.

[grebnet]

comin attcha

[billyjoe]

Lye,
The Cheap Stock Portfolio (CSP) finished up 2.84% for the week. Can you beat it ?

billyjoe

[grebnet]

I think im gettin the POTW too go CESV

[Lyehopper]

Lye,
The Cheap Stock Portfolio (CSP) finished up 2.84% for the week. Can you beat it ?

billyjoe
I'll bet you my top five players will.hehehe

Tell ya what.... After I run the points standings, I'll average the top five
(points leaders) picks for this week.... Betcha they'll top 3%.

[billyjoe]

Lye,
My top 5 (out of 10) averaged 7.69%. Stops saved me.

billyjoe

[spikefader]

Lye. Get me long into HR! :)

[spikefader]

dmk lol funny avatar you got there! :D

http://img233.imageshack.us/img233/378/dmkouch2sh.jpg (http://imageshack.us)

[scifos]

Considering your young age and your great market knowledge, you are destined to become a rich dude one day.

Thanks for the encouraging word webs. I don't want to brag, but I do considerably better in my actual port because its more diversified than 1 stock.

[scifos]

Lye,
The Cheap Stock Portfolio (CSP) finished up 2.84% for the week. Can you beat it ?

billyjoe

As of yesterday my Quality Bargains port at marketocracy was up 3.6% for the week. This is more of a long-term port, so i'm not concerned about weekly flucuations.

[scifos]

I'll bet you my top five players will.hehehe

Tell ya what.... After I run the points standings, I'll average the top five
(points leaders) picks for this week.... Betcha they'll top 3%.

Thats not a fair comparison to only include the top 5 performers, because you are using hindsight.

[skiracer]

I see where at 16:01:44 someone bought 700 shares of HOM at $5.95. The actual asked price was $5.76. Then at 16:08:48 someone else buys 3200 shares at $6.76. The actual asked price at that time was $5.90. I wouldn't expect to get the $6.76 closing price since it was 8+ minutes past the bell but they didn't give anyone the $5.95 either and that was just 1 min.+ past the bell.

[Websman]

I think Greb may have beat me this week. Vulcan logic lost out.

Will my people forgive me???

[grebnet]

I would be thrilled if HOM sold at 6.76 after market, but I doubt it ...more than likely you were just seeing an open ask at that price which was available if some fool wanted to buy. I dont thinkthat the sale actually occurred.

Please prove me wrong because I do own a lot of HOM

[grebnet]

By my calculation, I won 19.16% to 18.98% , I wish I had owned TIII also.

[Websman]

By my calculation, I won 19.16% to 18.98% , I wish I had owned TIII also.

Both our picks did quite well. :)

My calculations also show you won.

Congratulations Grebnet! You have beat the Vulcan. :)

[spikefader]

Will my people forgive me???I doubt it, since forgiveness is an emotion. heh

Nice results lately Webs. I better clean my act up. HR failed to turn but I think it's put in an inverted SHS now, and I'm going to take it long for next week as my pick unless something else inspires me over the weekend. I may as well just draw it out of a hat the way I've been picking lately.

[grebnet]

Ill be bold and put out my next weeks pick. UMC I bought it today and think it has potential . Im posting it now in case people want to look into it .

Im still holding CESV but dont want to bore everyone with the same pick two weeks in a row.( I do think its just starting )

[skiracer]

I doubt it, since forgiveness is an emotion. heh

Nice results lately Webs. I better clean my act up. HR failed to turn but I think it's put in an inverted SHS now, and I'm going to take it long for next week as my pick unless something else inspires me over the weekend. I may as well just draw it out of a hat the way I've been picking lately.

Spike,
Maybe Ray will lend you one of his darts.

[dmk112]

dmk lol funny avatar you got there! :D

http://img233.imageshack.us/img233/378/dmkouch2sh.jpg (http://imageshack.us)


Yea the bull bucked me hard! haha

[scifos]

I'll take ADLR long on monday.

[skiracer]

Before anyone else has thoughts about it I'll go with HOM - long next week.

[jiesen]

Both our picks did quite well. :)

My calculations also show you won.

Congratulations Grebnet! You have beat the Vulcan. :)

nice picks, both of you. Congrats Grebnet!

[skiracer]

Grebnet,
Nice play. Always nicer when you win the game an own the stock along with it. Congrats.

Webs,
Another great job. We all know you let Greb win at the end just to give someone else a chance to feel good. Even though you Vulcans don't like to exhibit emotion or compassion we all know it's in your heart. Can't believe you didn't own it.

[Websman]

Grebnet,
Nice play. Always nicer when you win the game an own the stock along with it. Congrats.

Webs,
Another great job. We all know you let Greb win at the end just to give someone else a chance to feel good. Even though you Vulcans don't like to exhibit emotion or compassion we all know it's in your heart. Can't believe you didn't own it.

Trust me, I'm kicking myself for not setting my limit order higher.

[grebnet]

I went back and looked. The last time I won was Feb 18,2005
these were my picks:

_________2/14/05 __2/18/05_ Today ____My position
FRD _____12.23 ___11.51 ___6.20 _____sold@ 12 & 9.11 & 6.75(I bought @ 8)
EFJI _____8.35 ____8.39 ____9.60_____still own ( bought @ 6,8 & 9)
PRFT_____7.99____7.45 ____9.16 _____sold @ 8.20 (I bought @ 4,7 $8)
HURC_____14.89___ 17.05___ 23.59 ___sold @ 16.75(bought @ 8,9 & 14)
ATGN ____3.35____ 3.38_____1.51_____sold @ 2.25 (bought @ 3.95)

I always like to track past positions ...net good trades.

[Lyehopper]

Thats not a fair comparison to only include the top 5 performers, because you are using hindsight.
No I'm Not Scifos.... I'll take my top 5 players picks for NEXT WEEK and beat anybody's portfolio going forward.... Who wants a piece of the action?

[jiesen]

No I'm Not Scifos.... I'll take my top 5 players picks for NEXT WEEK and beat anybody's portfolio going forward.... Who wants a piece of the action?

how about doing something more practical, and predictive, like taking the top 5 players from the current week, and using their picks in the following week as your port. it's impossible to invest in "tomorrow's winners today" without a great crystal ball! or am I just misunderstanding you, and that's what you meant in the first place?

[skiracer]

I would be happy just to see what the final standings for the week were.

[Lyehopper]

SORRY this is late fellas.... Too tired to finish it last night.

HUGE WEEK guys.... Some great gains and the portfolio finished up a whopping 3.37% this week.... wow Wow WOW!!! Great Job!

http://img528.imageshack.us/img528/5541/potw122058fb.png

I'll post the points standing on my thread later tonight.

[IIC]

Nice going Greb, even though the Naz was up for the week...the market breadth was not there so it was nice to see some great gains for the Top 3...Doug(IIC)

[scifos]

As of yesterday my Quality Bargains port at marketocracy was up 3.6% for the week. This is more of a long-term port, so i'm not concerned about weekly flucuations.

Make that 4.2% for the week.

[New-born baby]

LYE-baby!
I am tired on finishing out of first place. Enough already! This week I want FDG long. And I plan on winning.

Ray, I like your darts, but this time you can't win by throwing darts because I am throwing a big bomb. You better move it on over! I'm coming through! :D

[IIC]

I pick TRLG long...I think it fills the gap within 2 weeks...IIC

[skiracer]

LYE-baby!
I am tired on finishing out of first place. Enough already! This week I want FDG long. And I plan on winning.

Ray, I like your darts, but this time you can't win by throwing darts because I am throwing a big bomb. You better move it on over! I'm coming through! :D

And here I thought I was bringing it HOM this week.

[RL]

Ski I'm thinking of throwing blindfolded this week.

[Lyehopper]

how about doing something more practical, and predictive, like taking the top 5 players from the current week, and using their picks in the following week as your port. it's impossible to invest in "tomorrow's winners today" without a great crystal ball! or am I just misunderstanding you, and that's what you meant in the first place?
You don't understand the "experiment" yet Jiesen. I'll take their picks this coming week. I do not beleive superior stock picking is about "luck" thus no crystal ball is necessary.... Just the "H" factor.

[Lyehopper]

I'm going with OSUR (long) this week.... I own it too.

[Karel]

The whole portfolio up 3.37%! Amaaazing! The first win for the POTW against my Mechanical fund (+.47%). I tried SNDK again to keep the average down, but it only gained me last place, because of the HUGE picks of greb and web. Sooo: MF - POTW: 2 - 1. Congratulations.

Next pick, RHAT long (always long). It is in the Mechanical fund (up 2.4% in 3 weeks) and in my own portfolio: up almost 19% in 7 weeks.

Regards,

Karel

[skiracer]

Ski I'm thinking of throwing blindfolded this week.

Ray,
You're sitting in 3rd place on the highest % list right now. With the semiconductor sector (SMH) the highest % mover this past week MOT might just be a great play. It's one of the leaders and should continue to trend up this week. Dec. 15 is coming up fast. But you are in the drivers seat so you can't argue with success. Throw your dart and good luck. You might be getting a call from a few of the other players looking to borrow a couple of your darts.

[Gatorman]

Was 1 week early in my CMTL pick several weeks ago. Think I was also early on LEND and was thinking of picking it again this week. However, I like the MACD on ET and am going with ET this week. Guess we'll see Friday if I'm premature again.

[IIC]

The whole portfolio up 3.37%! Amaaazing! The first win for the POTW against my Mechanical fund (+.47%). I tried SNDK again to keep the average down, but it only gained me last place, because of the HUGE picks of greb and web. Sooo: MF - POTW: 2 - 1. Congratulations.

Next pick, RHAT long (always long). It is in the Mechanical fund (up 2.4% in 3 weeks) and in my own portfolio: up almost 19% in 7 weeks.

Regards,

Karel

Unfortunately, SNDK's legal problems are going to affect it for a while...Doug

[billyjoe]

Lye,
This may be a contrarian pick. I'm sticking with SHLD short. Much more downside possible than upside.


billyjoe

[skiracer]

Lye,
This may be a contrarian pick. I'm sticking with SHLD short. Much more downside possible than upside.


billyjoe

Guttsy move Billyjoe. Big breakout day last Friday.

[RL]

lye thanks for all the accolades but your only as good as the next pick and I just came In from shoveling snow and to tired to throw darts at this time, so think I'll crack open a few cold ones and watch the BILLS BEAT Miami. SKI would like to play MOT but the dart has to hit It.

[billyjoe]

Ski,
I might have taken HOM if you didn't get it first. Those low priced stocks are funny. The volatility makes it nearly impossible to stick to a 7-8% stop on even the potentially great ones. The transaction fees could break you. A guess would be 75% of any portfolio of under $10.00 stocks would be taken out with a 7% stop within 5 trading days.


With SHLD they better have a good earnings report or watch out. I see more "associates" than customers in Sears and they just demolished the local K-Mart with, ironically, Target building on the site.


billyjoe

[billyjoe]

Lye,
Grebnet and RL both have a history of making monster picks. In the March Madness contest, back in '04, Greb's PRFT went up 51.5% in 13 days, while Ray's MPP up 32.8%, UWN up 28.8%, and TASR up 37.7% in the same 13 day time span. Unfortunately Ray developed tendonitis in the throwing arm but it's almost healed now so watch out! I told Ray to spend some of his stock winnings on ointments ,but he wanted to reinvest in new boards, darts, hot wings, and Molson's.

billyjoe

[jiesen]

I'll take AMLN long this week.

[RL]

billy you realy break me up man.ha ha ha. Don't know If the tendonitis Is I my elbow or my brain and then again could be a sore arm from the Molsons or a sore brain.LOL

[spikefader]

Lye,
Disregard my earlier indication I'd take HR as my pick. I'm taking something else that I'll post intraday entry tomorrow.

[Lyehopper]

billy you realy break me up man.ha ha ha. Don't know If the tendonitis Is I my elbow or my brain and then again could be a sore arm from the Molsons or a sore brain.LOL
Hey Ray, you need an Avitar dude.... I've resized the following to the proper Avatar size, if you can get it over to MS paint brush (using prtSc button) you can use it.

http://img224.imageshack.us/img224/5784/dartthrow7hk.png

Ray... I ran accross this while searching for a good Avitar for you dude. Here's a new idea for picking your stocks with darts... Lawn Darts!!!.... and Alchohol!!!!.... just write the stock tickers on pieces of paper, scatter them accross the back yard and toss a HUGE lawn dart way up in the air... If you miss a pick, you gotta take a drink! cool way to pick em huh? hehehehe!

http://www.drinkinggamerules.com/view_game.php?id=265

[Peter Hansen]

With too many people too heavy for the light work and too light for the heavy work I throw my weight on Nutri System (NTRI)! Lye with all that "Beef On The Huff" out there ......this one has to be a winner...! Put me in NTRI!

[RL]

LYE fantastic but I will have to wait for the snow to melt

[ninner]

if i can have a pick this week it will be NNI.

[ParkTwain]

My pick for next week is BRCM. Looking for a breakout into the low 50s. Look at the lack of overhead resistance up to ~125/sh!

(Next most favorite pick is OXPS. Looking for blue-sky breakout above 25/sh.)

[Lyehopper]

if i can have a pick this week it will be NNI.
WELCOME to the POTW Dude!!!! hey LOOK.... another player fellas!!!

Hey Ninner, I read your posts all the time..... NNI huh?... Hmmmmmmm nice one, I like that weekly chart! Great pick DUDE!

[RL]

Here It Is LYE really don't know how It made the dart board but I'm In no position to argue. GGR=LONG

[billyjoe]

Good one Ray. It forms a cup you could drink out of. I think it's a good sign.

billyjoe

[The Photon]

Ok lets go with ACL on monday -

[Websman]

Maybe I'll post a pick later. I need a winner...

[Lyehopper]

Here It Is LYE really don't know how It made the dart board but I'm In no position to argue. GGR=LONG
Darts my Arse Ray Long.... Darn good pick fella! another fine looking weekly chart here!.... Only thing I don't like is the low RS and GRT.... If it pops big be ready to take the gain off the table dude.... Do as I say and not as I do....tehehehe

[Lyehopper]

Maybe I'll post a pick later. I need a winner...
No rush Websman.... You have plenty of time..... You are my "go to" man Webs.... make it HUGE!!!!.... don't mean to pressure you or anything like that dude but a 20%+ pick is expected. lol

[Lyehopper]

LYE fantastic but I will have to wait for the snow to melt
It's supposed to snow six inches here tomorrow!... That's crazy.... We rarely get snow till Janurary.

[skiracer]

I would be thrilled if HOM sold at 6.76 after market, but I doubt it ...more than likely you were just seeing an open ask at that price which was available if some fool wanted to buy. I dont thinkthat the sale actually occurred.

Please prove me wrong because I do own a lot of HOM

Grebnet,
I thought it was preposterous myself but here is the raw data from last Friday at 4:08:44 where someone bought 1000 shares and another 700 shares at $5.95 at 4:01 and then 3200 shares at $6.76. The first trades for 1000 and 700 shares were close to the close and could have been at the market price before the bell, suggesting a rookie or newbie was trying to get shares right at the close an got caught by someone who placed a high asked price right at the close. I know they do that sometimes and someone stupid enough to buy right at the market at the close will get caught with a high market price. I do it myself sometimes when looking to exit a position and will try to catch someone who doesn't realize what can happen. The second trade for $6.76 just amazes me because that trade would have had to been placed in the after hours ECN market and they only allow limit orders in the AH markets. So it would have had to been a limit order no. Anyway here it is. I also have a considerable position in the stock so I would like to see it go off myself. I don't think that these two trades have anything to do with what is going to happen this morning or week although I feel confident that we are going to have a good week with the position.

http://img232.imageshack.us/img232/3637/hom3kr.jpg (http://imageshack.us)

http://img514.imageshack.us/img514/2870/hom27pv.jpg (http://imageshack.us)

[Peter Hansen]

Good morning Ski ....well I did not take my own advice ( Which is to wait for a pullback) Got in a few hundred shares HOM at 6.15 .........so I have a loss.....but I still think the stock has legs. According to Vector Vest the fair value of the stock should be 10.38.
Trying to buy NTRI at a pullback price of 39.05 a Stock Signal Pro Recommended Price!

[skiracer]

Good morning Ski ....well I did not take my own advice ( Which is to wait for a pullback) Got in a few hundred shares HOM at 6.15 .........so I have a loss.....but I still think the stock has legs. According to Vector Vest the fair value of the stock should be 10.38.
Trying to buy NTRI at a pullback price of 39.05 a Stock Signal Pro Recommended Price!

Pete,
You must have bought before the private placement offering hit the newswires. It looked real good before that came out and $6.15 was a decent price because it went to $6.99 or so didn't it before the news came out.
I bought it after the news at $6 because I thought it was still a strong stock.
Bought again at $5.65 so I averaged in at $5.84. Shame we both didn't wait a little longer. I still like the stock, even after the private placement offering, and think that that offering wasn't that cheap or will dilute the share value at all over the long run. Patience will pay off with this stock. This years earnings are going to be up 160 % and they just raised 2006 guidance. BTW IBD, which I don't follow or hold any value with, has it #1 on their stocks under $10 list. Looking for an up week this week. Good luck with it. I'm holding steady.

[Lyehopper]

the following 9 players need to enter a pick.... Let's get a MOVE on fellas!!!!

Spikefader
Websman
Gary611
Sowersnc
DMK112
Runner
Mimo
Thomrich
Diogenes

AND WE NEED SOME HUUUUUGE PICKS too!!!!

[Runner]

My pick is long NGAS

[sowersnc]

Long NGAS. Just wait until this midwest cold hits the east coast, the extended forcast looks rough too. I am thinking it will drive up natural gas/heating oil prices even more.

I don't feel as confident about this one as I have some of my other picks.

[sowersnc]

Crap I had not refreshed in awhile Runner beat me to the pick on NGAS. I'll try to come up with something else.

[dmk112]

CHRW long, thanks

[sowersnc]

I'll stick with the Natural Gas and go long CHK.

[Gary611]

In long with GIL 41.01 @ 10:41 am!!!

[spikefader]

Short RE for me duuuuuuuuuuuude.

[Gary611]

Here are some I will be watching this week. Thoughts, anyone?

CMED
BBD
DEBS
GIL ** MY PICK THIS WEEK
ORBT
RWC I OWN THIS, IN LAST WEEK @ 6.80, WILL RIDE TO 10.00!!!
LSI

[Runner]

Crap I had not refreshed in awhile Runner beat me to the pick on NGAS. I'll try to come up with something else.


Sorry about that!hehehe

[spikefader]

re reasoning; and I don't have a stutter! :D lol

http://img226.imageshack.us/img226/9350/redec54mz.gif (http://imageshack.us)

[Lyehopper]

Short RE for me duuuuuuuuuuuude.
You SUUUUURE you wanna be a bear right now Spike?

http://img222.imageshack.us/img222/8947/spikeshort7ob.png

[spikefader]

You SUUUUURE you wanna be a bear right now Spike?

http://img222.imageshack.us/img222/8947/spikeshort7ob.png
Thanks Lye. It looks worse than it is. I'm only down -1.82%...and it's still a better play than my original thought of HR long.........I think anyway :)

The Everest Re Group chart speaks for itself. Yep, my entry sucks bilge water today, but it's still a good short at this stage. Should meet pretty heavy resistance around these levels. I think by Friday it'll be looking better. And if it don't, then I'll take my medicine and pick another.


And if you haven't traded it yet in your 'real' POTW trading port, these levels are delicious for bears. Bargain short I think. Good r/r from here. Sell it! :D

[mimo_100]

OK, Lye, I am going to chase PARL again. Thanx. Buy at 1:45 PM ET

[grebnet]

I guess I should have been boring and stuckwith CESV again ...At least I own it.
Lets go UMC

edit @ 2:30.....sold CESV made alot quick ....will see if pulls back

[Lyehopper]

OK, Lye, I am going to chase PARL again. Thanx. Buy at 1:45 PM ET
I own that too.... My best performing stock today.... Wish I'd have chosen it.

[Lyehopper]

Thanks Lye. It looks worse than it is. I'm only down -1.82%...and it's still a better play than my original thought of HR long.........I think anyway :)

The Everest Re Group chart speaks for itself. Yep, my entry sucks bilge water today, but it's still a good short at this stage. Should meet pretty heavy resistance around these levels. I think by Friday it'll be looking better. And if it don't, then I'll take my medicine and pick another.


And if you haven't traded it yet in your 'real' POTW trading port, these levels are delicious for bears. Bargain short I think. Good r/r from here. Sell it! :D
Dude... I'm just pickin on ya a little. I'll watch it closely and root for it to crash! lol

[Websman]

It's supposed to snow six inches here tomorrow!... That's crazy.... We rarely get snow till Janurary.

That's why I live in Florida...

[Lyehopper]

This is not good! Webs must have had to shoot somebody today on the fence.... and he's probably stuck at the warden's office filling out forms and paperwork or something like that.

I can hear Webs now....... "DUDE! he WAS trying to escape! what did you WANT me to do?.... huh?.... WHY does the prisoner have 120 rounds in his carcass? hmmmmm welllllll?... 4 clips is all the ammo I had on me?... sir?.... Sorry I guess I could have been a bit more conservative knowing the tight budget and all"..... Pause while the warden stares blankly at Webs.... "DUDE!!!!.... can I go now.... please?...... I need to enter a HUGE pick in the POTW before 4:00pm.... HEY and I am the current points leader sir!"

[scifos]

That's why I live in Florida...

Blizzard here in western SD. its -7 now, but i'll take SD weather over FL gun laws any day! http://www.shootfirstlaw.org/law/

[Lyehopper]

Blizzard here in western SD. its -7 now, but i'll take SD weather over FL gun laws any day! http://www.shootfirstlaw.org/law/
Fla gun laws are nonexsistant in comparison the those poor Aussies.... those fellas can't even own an autoloading 22 or a pump shotgun! SAD!!!!

Webs here's post I made in reference to not allowing you to link $$$MM$$$'s site.... he's a wuss dude! We'll probibly get banned.hehehe
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Quote:
Originally Posted by Snake Pliskin
Websman,

Could you post the link here for us all?

Snake


Hey Snake.... We're not allowed by your forum adminstration to post a link to another "stock trading" forum.... Or at least that's how it was when Webs first posted the link over here.... Seems that setting up a load of restrictive regulations and rules sorta runs in the blood of all kinds of Aussie's in positions of power "down under".... huh? .... Hell, some don't trust you with your guns.... Others don't trust you to make a decision to visit another stock forum.

The site we post our stock stuff is.... mrmarketishuge.com .....you can just add the WWW....
__________________
Eat More Beef!!!!

[Lyehopper]

Blizzard here in western SD. its -7 now, but i'll take SD weather over FL gun laws any day! http://www.shootfirstlaw.org/law/
Hey Scifos.... looks like a good law to me dude. Just think twice before you decide to become street thug and mug old ladies in Florida that's all.

People who qualify for a concealed/carry permit are pretty responsible folks dude and they are the only ones that the law apply to.... Why does that bother you so much? The law is in place so the good and fine citizens of Florida can shoot terrorists between the eyes and not get in trouble.... Betcha terrorists will think twice about screwing around in Florida too.

Hey you might consider moving to Aussie-land! The thugs and terrorists rule that place.... and NO SNOW!!! yefreakinhaaaaa

http://img455.imageshack.us/img455/3971/gunlaws1to.png

[Websman]

This is not good! Webs must have had to shoot somebody today on the fence.... and he's probably stuck at the warden's office filling out forms and paperwork or something like that.

I can hear Webs now....... "DUDE! he WAS trying to escape! what did you WANT me to do?.... huh?.... WHY does the prisoner have 120 rounds in his carcass? hmmmmm welllllll?... 4 clips is all the ammo I had on me?... sir?.... Sorry I guess I could have been a bit more conservative knowing the tight budget and all"..... Pause while the warden stares blankly at Webs.... "DUDE!!!!.... can I go now.... please?...... I need to enter a HUGE pick in the POTW before 4:00pm.... HEY and I am the current points leader sir!"

Dang, did I missed the cut off time??? What do the rules state? Is it too late to enter a pick??? Man I should have let that prisoner go free...

[Websman]

If it's not too late, I'll take ARRS long in the morning. If it's too late...uh, I guess I'll make it up next week.

[skiracer]

If it's not too late, I'll take ARRS long in the morning. If it's too late...uh, I guess I'll make it up next week.

-5% off that big lead Webs.

[Lyehopper]

-5% off that big lead Webs.
Actually Ski the 5% penality will only reduce Webs' points total by 1.77% so he's still pretty safe.

The important thing is.... you tried Webs.... nice pick there dude.... I might borrow it later in the week..hahaaa.

[spikefader]

Well shoot! I was lookin' forward to watchin Webs continue his streak! If it comes down to a vote Webs, I'll vote to let you in.

Clemency for Webs!

http://www.rvc.cc.il.us/faclink/pruckman/pardoncharts/requests1_files/image002.gif

[skiracer]

Actually Ski the 5% penality will only reduce Webs' points total by 1.77% so he's still pretty safe.

The important thing is.... you tried Webs.... nice pick there dude.... I might borrow it later in the week..hahaaa.

Lye, Spike
Do what you want to do. I could care less. Why make the rules up in the first place. Webs knew what the rules were. How about those other guys last week that got shut out and didn't get in and were penalized the 5%.
Do what you want to do. You know what I think.

[New-born baby]

Well shoot! I was lookin' forward to watchin Webs continue his streak! If it comes down to a vote Webs, I'll vote to let you in.

Clemency for Webs!

http://www.rvc.cc.il.us/faclink/pruckman/pardoncharts/requests1_files/image002.gif

I vote NO! I am out to win this thing this week. :D

Actually, let him in. I'll still whup him come Wednesday :D

[Gary611]

Lye, Spike
Do what you want to do. I could care less. Why make the rules up in the first place. Webs knew what the rules were. How about those other guys last week that got shut out and didn't get in and were penalized the 5%.
Do what you want to do. You know what I think.

SOME PEOPLE ARE MORE EQUAL THAN OTHERS.

I was shut out last week, you gonna let people in this week,

count this knuckle-head OUT!!!

i'M NO STOOGE!!

[Lyehopper]

SOME PEOPLE ARE MORE EQUAL THAN OTHERS.

I was shut out last week, you gonna let people in this week,

count this knuckle-head OUT!!!

i'M NO STOOGE!!
I can't change the rules in mid stream.... I kept out Gary and Mimo last week because they were late. Webs wouldn't want that either (unless nobody noticed...hehehe). In Webs honor I'll just play his pick later in the week... Then you all can see how well he WOULD have done.lol

Hey Webs have you noticed how the Aussies call it stock "tipping" and not "picking".... They're from a different world ain't they dude?

[Websman]

Rules are rules, even for Vulcans. I'll take my 5% penalty. :)

[Websman]

SOME PEOPLE ARE MORE EQUAL THAN OTHERS.

I was shut out last week, you gonna let people in this week,




I'm not a person...I'm a Vulcan. lol

[skiracer]

Rules are rules, even for Vulcans. I'll take my 5% penalty. :)

Webs,
Spoken like a true Vulcan. I say penalize Webs 10% for trying to slip one through and credit Gary611 and Mimo 5% each just for the hell of having to listen to it.

Lye,
Why go through all that bullshit of making up rules if you're even going to consider insulting the rest of us an our intelligence by even thinking about letting some get by an shutting others out. You surprise me. You know that it should be cut and dry otherwise don't bother going through the trouble of making up all those bullshit rules.

[Websman]

Webs,
Spoken like a true Vulcan. I say penalize Webs 10% for trying to slip one through and credit Gary611 and Mimo 5% each just for the hell of having to listen to it.

Lye,
Why go through all that bullshit of making up rules if you're even going to consider insulting the rest of us an our intelligence by even thinking about letting some get by an shutting others out. You surprise me. You know that it should be cut and dry otherwise don't bother going through the trouble of making up all those bullshit rules.

ouch... Actually, I would never have thought of trying to change the rules. I was only asking what the rules were. Now that I know, I'll get my picks in earlier.

I don't see where Lye had even considered changing the rules for me. Rules are rules and I'm more than happy to stick to em. :)

[billyjoe]

Only hours left to short SHLD before earnings. A Reuters article stated that SHLD has been very secretive and non-communicative lately so much so that few analysts are covering the company. The initial euphoria over the mega millions of value in real estate combined in the K-mart merger has worn off and with cautious reports from Target and Walmart regarding sales other than food, shareholders are hoping for good news , but fearing the worst.

billyjoe

[Lyehopper]

Webs,
Spoken like a true Vulcan. I say penalize Webs 10% for trying to slip one through and credit Gary611 and Mimo 5% each just for the hell of having to listen to it.

Lye,
Why go through all that bullshit of making up rules if you're even going to consider insulting the rest of us an our intelligence by even thinking about letting some get by an shutting others out. You surprise me. You know that it should be cut and dry otherwise don't bother going through the trouble of making up all those bullshit rules.
Show me a quote where I said I even REMOTELY considered changing the rules asshole! get your freakin shit straight before you jump on my back buddy!

[skiracer]

ouch... Actually, I would never have thought of trying to change the rules. I was only asking what the rules were. Now that I know, I'll get my picks in earlier.

I don't see where Lye had even considered changing the rules for me. Rules are rules and I'm more than happy to stick to em. :)

Webs,
I'd like to think that's why Lye made them up in the first place. I was getting the impression that a move was about to be made in that direction and could you imagine how those other guys would have felt. This was great though and the rest of us needed some way to gain alittle ground on you anyway. Are you sure you didn't do this on purpose because of that? I heard a rumor that some Vulcans actually do have some heart and feel compassion on occassion. I didn't actually fully accept that though.

[Lyehopper]

Webs,
I'd like to think that's why Lye made them up in the first place. I was getting the impression that a move was about to be made in that direction....
What gave you that impression?.... Your own little paranoid mind?

Here's the FREAKIN score.... bullshit rules and all!!!!

http://img224.imageshack.us/img224/2244/potw1205055ki.png

[IIC]

This is pretty amazing...I'm in last place...TRLG was supposed to fill the gap "slowly"...It's off my watch list now...no problem though...I cashed out except for WITS...Bot NGAS...Only 2 I hold now...Watch WFT.

[spikefader]

Good grief! That attempted light-hearted post sure backfired! Hmmm.

Gary's retired, Ski's thrown his hands up and let fly with his opinion, Lye's come out with gloves on, NB's had some fun (good for you), Webs has done the gentlemanly thing, Billyjoe has ignored it completely (hehe), and then Ski has attempted to have some lighthearted fun after all. Last post I see is Lye bein' grumpy again. Shoot guys, we gotta keep the scorekeeper happy! That's rule No.1!

Seriously though dudes, In my mind, Lye's initial stance was clear; Webs was out. My clemency request was:
a) said in fun and
b) made thinking Webs had about a snowflake's chance in Hades of slipping in the back door. I expected some fun and games and then direction from majority that rules stand.

Shoot, Lord forbid we actually have some fun in this competition.

http://www.monkeyboygraphix.com/images/cw_let-the-dogs-out_large.jpg

Perhaps I'm the knucklehead for dare considering bending the rules. Maybe I need the -10% Ski and Gary. Maybe all 3 of us need an uppercut. Oh, and Lye too, for losin' his cooooool. :D

Now let's get back to business, and stop havin' so much fun you loonies!

[IIC]

Spike...looking at your avatar...I get the feeling that you are tryin' to convince yourself not to be short term bearish...For many years I called myself the "Eternal Bull"...and long range I always am...But we need a nice correction here. If we don't get it now...1st qtr. is not gonna be pretty IMO.

[spikefader]

Well Vector pulled a fast one and is neutral again. I'm not trying to convince myself of anything other than follow the rules. Might look like I'm makin' it up as I go but that's the way I'm readin' the silly picture I look at :D If it were up to me, yes, I wanna be a bear. I want the market to pull back a good 4 hard days. Then get bought! :D And I want me to be the right side of it. But right now, there isn't a side that I see. I see opportunity and 'need', and feeling. But what leads my bias says it's clueless. lol

[Lyehopper]

Good grief! That attempted light-hearted post sure backfired! Hmmm.

Gary's retired, Ski's thrown his hands up and let fly with his opinion, Lye's come out with gloves on, NB's had some fun (good for you), Webs has done the gentlemanly thing, Billyjoe has ignored it completely (hehe), and then Ski has attempted to have some lighthearted fun after all. Last post I see is Lye bein' grumpy again. Shoot guys, we gotta keep the scorekeeper happy! That's rule No.1!

Seriously though dudes, In my mind, Lye's initial stance was clear; Webs was out. My clemency request was:
a) said in fun and
b) made thinking Webs had about a snowflake's chance in Hades of slipping in the back door. I expected some fun and games and then direction from majority that rules stand.

Shoot, Lord forbid we actually have some fun in this competition.

http://www.monkeyboygraphix.com/images/cw_let-the-dogs-out_large.jpg

Perhaps I'm the knucklehead for dare considering bending the rules. Maybe I need the -10% Ski and Gary. Maybe all 3 of us need an uppercut. Oh, and Lye too, for losin' his cooooool. :D

Now let's get back to business, and stop havin' so much fun you loonies!
Sorry fellas.... my appologies to the team... I WAS having fun too.... till I got kicked in the face, that's never fun, can tend to make one "grumpy".

[billyjoe]

Doug,
After today, you'll no longer be in last place. Am I 100% wrong about the greatness of the Sears/K-mart combo?

billyjoe

[skiracer]

Show me a quote where I said I even REMOTELY considered changing the rules asshole! get your freakin shit straight before you jump on my back buddy!

Lye,
Just the kind of shit I look forward to waking up to. God you've made my day. What's the matter? Did I get under your skin. Did I call you a derogatory name directly or insinuate anything about your personality. I love these situations where the uncontained emotions run over. They provide a much better look at the personality within than I could ever do. Very similiar to the instance with Karel where you had to end up apoligizing to everyone for running off the way you did. I'll wear your name calling without any problems of reducing myself to that level. Great show Lye I hope you got it all off your chest. And Lye don't ever make the mistake of thinking I'm your buddy. You know what I think.

[Gary611]

OK, lets lightin up fellas, this knuckle head doesn't need bickerin' this close to Christmas. Remember, Santa is gonna know who's been naughty or nice, NYUK,NYUK!!! Now behave guys, oh yeah, Lye, could you do me a favor & let me know which post lists the rules, I just want to re-read them & make sure everything is on the up & up!!!! (joke!!!!!)

Two cannibals are eating a clown. One says to the other: "Does this taste funny to you?"

[RL]

Thought I heard the fat lady testing her vocal cords last night after I read some of the other posts but things look a little better today??? Doug thought you were the game cop.

[Lyehopper]

Lye,
What's the matter? Did I get under your skin. Did I call you a derogatory name directly or insinuate anything about your personality.
Read your qoute (below) and tell me what you were "insinuating" .... I was in no way "considering" insulting anyone in ANYWAY and I never considered changing my "BS" rules for anyone, Your statement "insinuates" alot of negative things about me.... You insulted me "DIRECTLY".... I responded to you "DIRECTLY", that's how I do business.... "DIRECTLY".... Your innate abitily to start trouble speaks volumes about your personality too.... "buddy".
Lye,
Why go through all that bullshit of making up rules if you're even going to consider insulting the rest of us an our intelligence by even thinking about letting some get by an shutting others out. You surprise me. You know that it should be cut and dry otherwise don't bother going through the trouble of making up all those bullshit rules.

[billyjoe]

Lye,
Found this buried deep within the POTW rulebook :


---------7. ........."and these being , therefore, the rules of the POTW , with, but these few exceptions :

a........blah,blah,blah.....etc.

b........blah,blah,blah.....etc.

c. ..and only at Christmas time with the spirit of the season in all POTW players is the privilege of "switching" allowed. This is the only time a contestant in the POTW contest can exit during the competition. The "switcher" (billyjoe) must declare that he/she suspects fraudulant accounting figures to be effecting their stock's performance. Since further investigation by governmental agencies will be needed, said switcher has the option of trading places with the "switchee" should one be available:

------------ 1. the switchee must be a contestant denied entry do to lateness of posting.

-------------2. the switcher will assume the 5% penalty of the switchee

-------------3. can only be accomplished before noon est. on the second day of the week.

It took me all night to find that rule, it goes way back and has never been used before. What say you, Lye ?

billyjoe

[Gary611]

Are you guys Micro-phoneys?
Or just, phoneys at the mike!!

NYUK,NNUK!!!!!

[Gary611]

Lye, you were a gentler- kinder man when you were riding the horse on that old picture, NYUK, NYUK!!! Got any of those berrys, I got a tate-worm & that's good enough for him!

Hey, Moe, we got a wise guy here!!!

[Lyehopper]

Lye, you were a gentler- kinder man when you were riding the horse on that old picture, NYUK, NYUK!!! Got any of those berrys, I got a tate-worm & that's good enough for him!

Hey, Moe, we got a wise guy here!!!
Maybe it is my new Avatar.... I'll look into changing it..... you crack me up dude...

Woaaaah!.... GIL's makin a nice move.... good pick.

[Lyehopper]

Lye,
Found this buried deep within the POTW rulebook :


---------7. ........."and these being , therefore, the rules of the POTW , with, but these few exceptions :

a........blah,blah,blah.....etc.

b........blah,blah,blah.....etc.

c. ..and only at Christmas time with the spirit of the season in all POTW players is the privilege of "switching" allowed. This is the only time a contestant in the POTW contest can exit during the competition. The "switcher" (billyjoe) must declare that he/she suspects fraudulant accounting figures to be effecting their stock's performance. Since further investigation by governmental agencies will be needed, said switcher has the option of trading places with the "switchee" should one be available:

------------ 1. the switchee must be a contestant denied entry do to lateness of posting.

-------------2. the switcher will assume the 5% penalty of the switchee

-------------3. can only be accomplished before noon est. on the second day of the week.

It took me all night to find that rule, it goes way back and has never been used before. What say you, Lye ?

billyjoe
haaaa... "switching" is good.... I like it.

[billyjoe]

Lye,
You bought it ? I mean, I'm out and Webs is in?

billyjoe

[mimo_100]

Sometimes it is a blessing to be busy and unable to focus on internet things.

As Clemenza said in "The Godfather":

"Leave the gun. Take the cannoli."

and

"Sometimes we need a little war every now and then."

Tim

[billyjoe]

Only 14 minutes remain according to the rules for me to get out of this mess of SHLD short ..... Webs and Lye are silent ...... it looks bad for billyjoe


Just got another idea. Hey Lye you know I was having computer problems the other day. The strangest thing. It was cutting my messages off. Did you get my full post for POTW this week ? It was "I'll take SHLD shortly it's going to take off"
Thanks for your understanding.

billyjoe The Agony of Defeat is Painful

[billyjoe]

Sears has announced they're going to start selling groceries (seriously). Isn't that just great news.

*full disclosure , I'm on the medicine again , so please disregard anything that offends you

billyjoe

[Lyehopper]

Lye,
You bought it ? I mean, I'm out and Webs is in?

billyjoe
No.... I like "switching".... as in locust branch the size of your thumb.

[Websman]

Since we are in a confrontational mood, would anyone like to take on the Vulcan? I haven't used the Vulcan death grip in quite a while.

[billyjoe]

Lye,
Ok , I'll be taken to the woodshed and will enjoy it. Yes, Mr.Lyehopper, sir, may I have another one? Forgot to ask for a medical dispensation. Drugs were controlling my picks.

billyjoe

[scifos]

Show me a quote where I said I even REMOTELY considered changing the rules asshole! get your freakin shit straight before you jump on my back buddy!

I think this is the first time I've ever seen swearing on this board. Lye, you are absolutely right that he had no right to say that to you, as you hadn't even hinted at letting webs into the POTW this week. But everybody, even if we aren't going to keep this civil, lets use our adult vocabularies.

[skiracer]

I think this is the first time I've ever seen swearing on this board. Lye, you are absolutely right that he had no right to say that to you, as you hadn't even hinted at letting webs into the POTW this week. But everybody, even if we aren't going to keep this civil, lets use our adult vocabularies.

Scifos,
Everyone here has the right to voice their opinion regardless of who agrees with them or not. Your voicing yours right now an I'm not going to criticise or debate you on it's merits. I just apologized to Lye and told him I'm sorry for my part in all of this and want to continue to have a good relationship with him an everyone else here. Sometimes things just come out wrong initially and this is what comes of those situations. I guess we'll all get past it and continue on with things as we have in the past. I hope so.

[billyjoe]

Fear of New-born keeps me from cussin' here. He can bring a thunderbolt down on us and he's not afraid to use it.

billyjoe

[scifos]

Scifos,
Everyone here has the right to voice their opinion regardless of who agrees with them or not. Your voicing yours right now an I'm not going to criticise or debate you on it's merits. I just apologized to Lye and told him I'm sorry for my part in all of this and want to continue to have a good relationship with him an everyone else here. Sometimes things just come out wrong initially and this is what comes of those situations. I guess we'll all get past it and continue on with things as we have in the past. I hope so.

Absolutely everyone can and should voice their opinions, this is a Discussion Board for heaven's sake. I was just surprised to see opinions expressed so 'colorfully'

Yeah, sometimes things come out wrong and there are misunderstandings that happen, we'll all forget this pretty quick.

[Lyehopper]

Absolutely everyone can and should voice their opinions, this is a Discussion Board for heaven's sake. I was just surprised to see opinions expressed so 'colorfully'

Yeah, sometimes things come out wrong and there are misunderstandings that happen, we'll all forget this pretty quick.
Those were MORE than opinions being expressed so "colorfully"..... they were emotions being expressed colorfully.... If only we were Vulcans!

You're absolutely right Scifos.... There is no room for such profanity here. I appologize to the board for my language and I'll try to refrain in the future. Ed and me have worked this out privately and I have in like manner appologized. I could have done that to start with but then you guys would have been far less entertained.... everyone loves a good fistfight.

[Websman]

Those were MORE than opinions being expressed so "colorfully"..... they were emotions being expressed colorfully.... If only we were Vulcans!

You're absolutely right Scifos.... There is no room for such profanity here. I appologize to the board for my language and I'll try to refrain in the future. Ed and me have worked this out privately and I have in like manner appologized. I could have done that to start with but then you guys would have been far less entertained.... everyone loves a good fistfight.

I hope you and Ed don't drink too much at the first annual Mr Market convention. I've had plenty of experience breaking up fights, but it's still no fun. Especially since I'm not a big guy. http://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/images/smilies/1zhelp.gif (http://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/misc.php?do=getsmilies&wysiwyg=0&forumid=5#) But there's always that Vulcan death grip...

[Websman]

I have found that a good dose of alcohol will cure any problem you might have. It's especially good for hang overs... Enjoy!

http://www.rathergood.com/first_drink/

(This link was first posted by Lye on the Aussie board)

[Gary611]

Scifos,
Everyone here has the right to voice their opinion regardless of who agrees with them or not. Your voicing yours right now an I'm not going to criticise or debate you on it's merits. I just apologized to Lye and told him I'm sorry for my part in all of this and want to continue to have a good relationship with him an everyone else here. Sometimes things just come out wrong initially and this is what comes of those situations. I guess we'll all get past it and continue on with things as we have in the past. I hope so.

Your last few sentences hit the nail on the head! On this interweb, printed statements most always are not taken in the way they would be if the person actually spoke them. Facial expressions, body language, etc is missing from this cold enviroment & viewpoints often seem cold & blunt, when if spoken person to person, would not seem as a threatening statement.
GABEESH??
Don't mind my rant, I'm under the affluence of inkahol!

-Gary from L.I.

[Websman]

Your last few sentences hit the nail on the head! On this interweb, printed statements most always are not taken in the way they would be if the person actually spoke them. Facial expressions, body language, etc is missing from this cold enviroment & viewpoints often seem cold & blunt, when if spoken person to person, would not seem as a threatening statement.
GABEESH??
Don't mind my rant, I'm under the affluence of inkahol!

-Gary from L.I.

What do you mean? My Vulcan posts are always clear and precise.

[scifos]

Hey Lye, switch me out for MIK long on Wednesday.

[dmk112]

Since we are in a confrontational mood, would anyone like to take on the Vulcan? I haven't used the Vulcan death grip in quite a while.

I'll bite your ears off Vulcan!

[dmk112]

Well I just wanted to check the score of the POTW...but it seems there have been some interesting conversations going on last day....This is like the Real POTW... awesome entertainment

[IIC]

Well Vector pulled a fast one and is neutral again. I'm not trying to convince myself of anything other than follow the rules. Might look like I'm makin' it up as I go but that's the way I'm readin' the silly picture I look at :D If it were up to me, yes, I wanna be a bear. I want the market to pull back a good 4 hard days. Then get bought! :D And I want me to be the right side of it. But right now, there isn't a side that I see. I see opportunity and 'need', and feeling. But what leads my bias says it's clueless. lol

I'm certainly glad to see that you corrected your avatar...But until the sell off today...I was considering enrolling in "Remedial Chart reading 101"...Doug

[Lyehopper]

Well I just wanted to check the score of the POTW...but it seems there have been some interesting conversations going on last day....This is like the Real POTW... awesome entertainment
Just sat down at my laptop, I'm downloading today's data now.... I'll post the score shortly.

Hey DMK!.... this is the "H" factor dude...it's as real as it gets.

[Lyehopper]

Here it is fellas....

http://img211.imageshack.us/img211/8501/potw1206059wn.png

[Lyehopper]

LYE fantastic but I will have to wait for the snow to melt
Hey Ray.... I was at a function tonight and talked to a fellow who is from central NY.... Near Lake Ontario I think he said?.... In the general conversation I kinda complained about the early snow here (about 4 inches) he said he was just "home" for a visit and I was sniveling about (what he'd consider) "just a heavy frost".....hehehe.... He said up there they measure the snow in feet not inches like we do down south.... I shutup and stopped complaining about the snow after he said that.

[sowersnc]

I would like to Sell CHK. I'm looking for a setup on number 2.

[sowersnc]

I would like to buy CVH.

[scifos]

Hey Ray.... I was at a function tonight and talked to a fellow who is from central NY.... Near Lake Ontario I think he said?.... In the general conversation I kinda complained about the early snow here (about 4 inches) he said he was just "home" for a visit and I was sniveling about (what he'd consider) "just a heavy frost".....hehehe.... He said up there they measure the snow in feet not inches like we do down south.... I shutup and stopped complaining about the snow after he said that.

Oh boy, come to South Dakota. My hometown got 2 feet in 2 days. Plus we have't been above 10 degrees here for about 5 days.

[Lyehopper]

sell OSUR.... man I like that stock too

Short sell VPHM.... I'm crazy to do this but it just feels so right.

[Lyehopper]

Oh boy, come to South Dakota. My hometown got 2 feet in 2 days. Plus we have't been above 10 degrees here for about 5 days.
Thats unreal dude.... I freeze when it hits 40 deg. brrrrrrrrr.

My father was in the Air Force in the 50's in Rapid City.... I've heard him say that it could be 50 deg and sunny and in 4 or 5 hours a blizzard blow in out there.

[scifos]

Thats unreal dude.... I freeze when it hits 40 deg. brrrrrrrrr.

My father was in the Air Force in the 50's in Rapid City.... I've heard him say that it could be 50 deg and sunny and in 4 or 5 hours a blizzard blow in out there.

Yeah, I live in spearfish, SD. Home to the world's largest 2 minute temperature change of 49 degrees F (-4 to 45). It rose to 54 then over the next 27 minutes it fell 58 degrees back down to -4. The air expanded so rapidly that it reportedly broke windows and knocked people down.

Read about it here: http://www.blackhillsweather.com/chinook.html

This stuff still happens every winter, just not as quick as 2 minutes.

[Lyehopper]

Yeah, I live in spearfish, SD. Home to the world's largest 2 minute temperature change of 49 degrees F (-4 to 45). It rose to 54 then over the next 27 minutes it fell 58 degrees back down to -4. The air expanded so rapidly that it reportedly broke windows and knocked people down.

Read about it here: http://www.blackhillsweather.com/chinook.html

This stuff still happens every winter, just not as quick as 2 minutes.
That is very wild dude!.... hey Scifos I pulled this picture off the internet from a hunting and fishing outfitter in the Black Hills....

http://img283.imageshack.us/img283/6500/blackhills1oh.png

And here is a picture of my backyard.... Kind of similar terrain huh?

http://img340.imageshack.us/img340/949/backyard1bm.png

[Lyehopper]

Here's the score....

http://img213.imageshack.us/img213/1125/potw1207057wv.png

[scifos]

That is very wild dude!.... hey Scifos I pulled this picture off the internet from a hunting and fishing outfitter in the Black Hills....

http://img283.imageshack.us/img283/6500/blackhills1oh.png

And here is a picture of my backyard.... Kind of similar terrain huh?

http://img340.imageshack.us/img340/949/backyard1bm.png

Yeah, really similar. only clear difference is Black hills is 100% pine trees (which means there is like, no grass at all; the fallen needles choke off all undergrowth).

[Gary611]

How do you guys post those photos? Is there a place to go where you can put them ?

-Gary

[Lyehopper]

How do you guys post those photos? Is there a place to go where you can put them ?

-Gary
I learned how from Spikefader.... He's a genius with this kind of stuff!

http://reg.imageshack.us/ you need to signup and then learn how to
"host" a drawing or photo from your picture files on your PC (from MS paint)....

I learned how by just fooling around with it and emailing pictures to myself and just experimenting till I figured it out....

The BEST trick I learned from Spike was to use the "PrtSc button" and print an image on my screen and then paste it into "MS paint".... trim it.... and resize it as necessary and then save it.... Then I'll open imageshack hosting.... Browse thru my picture files.... choose the one I want.... and upload it..... then copy the URL and paste it in your posts or emails.... I think I explained that right.... If not someone else help Gary out here please....

(1) sign up at imageshack
(2) host your picture
(3) copy the URL (from the hosted image)
(4) paste it in your email or post.

Gary MS paint is a pretty cool tool.... Play around with it and you will figure out how to do stuff like type words and draw lines and circles on your images and cut and paste from one image to another.

http://img333.imageshack.us/img333/9919/mrcurly9sy.png

[Websman]

That is very wild dude!.... hey Scifos I pulled this picture off the internet from a hunting and fishing outfitter in the Black Hills....

http://img283.imageshack.us/img283/6500/blackhills1oh.png

And here is a picture of my backyard.... Kind of similar terrain huh?

http://img340.imageshack.us/img340/949/backyard1bm.png

You are one lucky guy. That's a nice backyard. I'll post my backyard later.

[IIC]

I posted this yestreday over on my thread...but for those that don't look at my thread...you might want to take advantage of this FREE offer which starts tomorrow:

If you would like to try DailyGraphs for FREE for 3 days starting 12/9...click the link below.

http://www.investors.com/offers/previewdetails.asp (http://www.investors.com/offers/previewdetails.asp)

Happy Holidays Everybody...Best, Doug(IIC)

PS...Webs...I'll bet you never thought you'd see me actually telling anyone to check out IBD?...LOL

[Lyehopper]

Ray!!!! LOOOOOONG!!!! What a HUGE pick your's has become this week! WTG dude!!!!

Here's the Score.... ALSO.... Check out the first (test) POTW top ten points leaders portfolio on my thread.... IMPRESSIVE!

http://img225.imageshack.us/img225/2446/potw1208056bb.png

[billyjoe]

Hey Lye,
We're so good picking stocks maybe we should put our heads together and...........stick to farmin'. Maybe that's why we both like to mess with portfolios and find out who the real brains are and glean off the information. I'm going to get better. You mentioned something about wiping the slate clean first of the year? My goal is to get in the top 10.

billyjoe

[RL]

Lye It's not over untill that FAT LADY sings

[Lyehopper]

Hey Lye,
We're so good picking stocks maybe we should put our heads together and...........stick to farmin'. Maybe that's why we both like to mess with portfolios and find out who the real brains are and glean off the information. I'm going to get better. You mentioned something about wiping the slate clean first of the year? My goal is to get in the top 10.

billyjoe
Yep, clean slate in 2006....

Good goal BillyJoe.... My goal is to be number one..... I've got some work to do huh?

I think there will prove to be REAL benifits from this little competition. Not just the from the "H" factor portfolio but from the points race revealing the faults in our stock picking strategies..... and posting them in RED for all to see....

That points standing in itself is a motivating factor for me to improve.... I hate to lose, and I really hate to be LAST! One thing that is slapping me across the face is my tendency to break rules and think I'm smarter than the charts. I look back at my VPHM short for example.... I look closer at that chart and see how stupid that play was.... And what makes it even more stupid was the fact that I've took it on the chin with my real dollars on that play too. I ain't whinning.... I'm just very mad at myself, as Spike would say, "need to go outside and give myself a big uppercut for doing that".

[Runner]

Sell NGAS
buy long AMD

[Gary611]

Thanks Lye for the info, you really spruced me up in that photo!!!

[Websman]

You are one lucky guy. That's a nice backyard. I'll post my backyard later.

Since we're comparing backyards... Here's mine

http://img312.imageshack.us/img312/1025/10012395qu.th.jpg (http://img312.imageshack.us/my.php?image=10012395qu.jpg)

[spikefader]

..very mad at myself, as Spike would say, "need to go outside and give myself a big uppercut for doing that".heh, ya, go do that. hehe

But honestly dude, just mark it down as an educational expense and don't get too hard on yerself. Mistake; and we all make 'em. My recent mistakes have been entering POTW! haha Clean slate soon huh? Well I won't complain hehe :D But seriously, mistakes are healthy sometimes, especially when we need 'em. Runner put his hand up to a mistake today, good for him. It'll help him. We need little reminders every now and then. Like Webs may feel he was mugged for using that stop, but I think he played it 100% right. And I really hope he doesn't change what he's been doing because of that; it's just one of those things. Fact is, was and will always be that the market will do that to us; force our hand, call our bluff, force us to fold, then laugh in our faces.

But the clever people of the world see the value in a stop even though it looks ridiculous. Cuz at the time of the stop, the downside risk was unknown, and that was the limit of control he set for himself. Tight stops, great r/r every time, patience, behavior modification where needed, uppercuts where needed, whatever it takes, to get to perfection.

And that's why you'll forever hear me say that it's worth chasing perfect entries. It's WORTH it. There's just nothing like a trade that is stalked, pounced on and it behaves itself to perfection. Anything less is a pain in the butt and falls short in my book. And that's despite the situations I've closed a trade like VPHM back when it was at 9.80. Shoot, I called that bottom and didn't like the pattern. Sold it, and watched it run to 24.00!! And despite that, I still don't feel bad about what I did. The pattern didn't meet my standards, and that's that. It didn't act right. That's that. I say hunt 'em, be relentless about hunting them. Never give up. Great r/r and disciplined stops will save yer butt over the long run. Sheesh, I'm raving again; same old stuff every time!

But dudes, to finish, check THIS OUT: click here (http://webpages.charter.net/spikefader/Fun%20Stuff/Geno2003Dec.wmv)for a video of a very talented 'air chair' skiier. May we all trade with the skill that this guy uses that board!

PS Nice back yards guys.
PPS Congrats to whoever won. Pretty sure it was Ray. WTG!

[Lyehopper]

Since we're comparing backyards... Here's mine

http://img312.imageshack.us/img312/1025/10012395qu.th.jpg (http://img312.imageshack.us/my.php?image=10012395qu.jpg)
NICE webs! Dude You're a lucky man!...uhhh, sorry... Vulcan.

I can see me now.... sittin there watching the sunset, sippin a cooooool beverage and fishing off that dock barefoot.... ahhhhhhhhhhh.

[Lyehopper]

Well here ya go fellas....

http://img393.imageshack.us/img393/5639/potw1209057sa.png

I'm posting the top ten portfolio on my thread now.... up a HUGE 2.89% this week!!!! and we just got started!

I'll post the points standings tomorrow sometime....

[IIC]

Nice Dart Throw Ray :)

NGAS...a bit dissapointing today since I own it...looking forward to a FREEZE-OUT though for you Midwest and North Easterners.

[jiesen]

Nice pick there, RL! I knew your dart would start hitting the bull's eye again. You know, Lye, you just might be onto something with this top 10 business. 3% in one week is not too shabby!

[skiracer]

Ray,
Congratulations on big convincing win. We'll be sending the case of Yuengling Lager along shortly.

[RL]

Thanks for the con grads guys but you can't throw darts If your not a believer and you have to get rid of all the clutter In front of the board.

Ski could you send a little Lindburger with the Yuengling and Doug hope there Is a freeze but not here. Next weeks weather Is going to be warmer? Across the country.

[IIC]

Contest pick:

WITS long


...Doug

[RL]

Doug looks goog just hit It but you beat me to the play. Back to the board

[Lyehopper]

HEY I JUST FIGURED OUT HOW TO ENLARGE those mystery PICS!!!!

New Born, DUDE!!!!.... you can NOW stop posting Lye-Baby links....hahaaaa

BillyJoe here's the deal dude.... go to "user CP" click "Edit options" then scroll down and check the "show images" box under the "show Avitar" box. Then the images will show up in the body of the post and you click on the image there and it opens big...COOOOL!!!!

Only one problem... If you're on dial-up it really slows things down while all the images try to load. I think that's why mine was turned off.... But with Satellite broadband now.... I'm SMOOOOKIN! ..... you still might want NBB to post the other links.... OR just get a broadband connection and the problem is solved.

OK I know someone has said before (Spike maybe) but.... what imageshack ling are you guys posting to?... duhhhh ....I'm kinda slow at catching on sometimes but WATCH OUT when I do!...hehe

[Runner]

I'll go long BBD

edit: Scratch BBD and Continue with AMD

[skiracer]

Watch HOM breakout this week. I'm taking AMCS - long. I also own it.

[Lyehopper]

I'm picking OSUR (long) again.... Closed that gap Friday. I own it too.

[skiracer]

I'm changing my pick: delete AMCS
Put in TOMO - long
Don't own it yet but looking for a trigger Monday AM.

[spikefader]

.. what imageshack ling are you guys posting to?
Here ya go Lye. There's 3 ways to do it.
1. When you upload to imageshack the very next screen it takes you to is where you choose this option and simply paste that link into the text box here in MM.
http://img459.imageshack.us/img459/4690/which1bf.jpg

2. Once a message is at imageshack already (previously uploaded say yesterday) you can go to the one that say 'embeddable code' and paste that into the MM text box.
http://img459.imageshack.us/img459/9931/whichone0sh.jpg (http://imageshack.us)

3. You can copy the 'Direct link' link from imageshack, and then when you're preparing your MM post, you click on the little yellow box with what looks like mountains in the background, and when the popup opens, past the imageshack 'Direct link' into it, click OK and presto, the image is direct linked to the post.

Now that's the last time I'm posting these instructions!!! hehe

http://img459.imageshack.us/img459/4333/whichone22bd.jpg

[spikefader]

Cover me; I'm goin' in!!!!!!!!http://img459.imageshack.us/img459/7115/elviswithparachute1hs.gif

Short SNAK for me please Lye, as long as it's no worse than 3.23. If it's lower than that I'll post an intraday entry. Thanks for the fun dude! :D Scorekeepers rock!!

http://img459.imageshack.us/img459/2839/snakdec101ys.jpg

[skiracer]

I'm picking OSUR (long) again.... Closed that gap Friday. I own it too.
Lye,
Don't know if you saw this. They came across the Briefing.com newswire Friday. One in the AM and the over in the PM. Just be careful.
http://img369.imageshack.us/img369/7917/osur4bj.jpg
http://img369.imageshack.us/img369/8772/osur22jt.jpg

[Runner]

First I think SNAK might be found in the bottom of this
http://img501.imageshack.us/img501/1297/snak1ln.png (http://imageshack.us)

Second it has been in this MODE!!
http://img501.imageshack.us/img501/8602/snak15qo.png (http://imageshack.us)

Third it could just might be in this mode
http://img465.imageshack.us/img465/7523/freefalling2og.png (http://imageshack.us)

[Lyehopper]

Lye,
Don't know if you saw this. They came across the Briefing.com newswire Friday. One in the AM and the over in the PM. Just be careful.
http://img369.imageshack.us/img369/7917/osur4bj.jpg
http://img369.imageshack.us/img369/8772/osur22jt.jpg
Thanks for the info Ski.... 47 false positive tests don't bother me so much, better safe than sorry, right?.... False negative tests would be very bad for this stock.... I'm doing more dd now.... We'll see how it plays out.

[Gatorman]

Was a week early on CMTL and also on LEND. Might have been early last week on ET. Let's see if I can continue the trend with my pick this week: SWN long.

[Websman]

I'll take CDV, long, at the market, on Monday morning.



http://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/images/smilies/grenade.gif (http://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/misc.php?do=getsmilies&wysiwyg=0&forumid=6#)

[IIC]

Thanks for the info Ski.... 47 false positive tests don't bother me so much, better safe than sorry, right?.... False negative tests would be very bad for this stock.... I'm doing more dd now.... We'll see how it plays out.

I believe that I was the one who first mentioned this one...Maybe not???...But I made my 12.5% and got out...Can't remember all the articles I read(I did not see Ski's)...But after reading them...I was not impressed...so I bailed...Doug(IIC)

[Lyehopper]

I believe that I was the one who first mentioned this one...Maybe not???...But I made my 12.5% and got out...Can't remember all the articles I read(I did not see Ski's)...But after reading them...I was not impressed...so I bailed...Doug(IIC)
I got the pick from you Doug. I also have made out well on this one. Took a new position in the gap Friday....

Hey Doug.... NOW I might change my POTW pick since you don't like it. I highly respect your opinion dude and now you've got me all nervous.

[skiracer]

I believe that I was the one who first mentioned this one...Maybe not???...But I made my 12.5% and got out...Can't remember all the articles I read(I did not see Ski's)...But after reading them...I was not impressed...so I bailed...Doug(IIC)

I never posted on the stock. Doug was the first one with OSUR an I liked the play but was in SIRF, PDLI, an I think MOT at the time. After he mentioned it it went up and was looking good. On Friday I noticed it take a big hit and then saw what I saw on the newswire. I figured that was the reason for the drop. Can't tell what will happen with it now but news like this always takes it's toll initially. If it has no basis the play should go back up. It was looking good before the news. I would just be careful with it but the drop does look like an opportunity for an entry if those articles don't bother you.

[IIC]

Ya never really know...It might move...But I prefer to play the odds...I'll pass on a re-buy...Doug

[MickyMouse]

I pick KLIC. Thanks

Micky

[Lyehopper]

I'm picking OSUR (long) again.... Closed that gap Friday. I own it too.
Ok Doug and Ski shook me all up here.... scratch OSUR...

I'm playing another one I own... PARL (long)

Got a few good shorts but I'm skeered to play them. The short I would have picked is ADIC..... haha that's funny ADIC (short). HAAAHAAAA I kill me sometimes.

[skiracer]

Ok Doug and Ski shook me all up here.... scratch OSUR...

I'm playing another one I own... PARL (long)

Got a few good shorts but I'm skeered to play them. The short I would have picked is ADIC..... haha that's funny ADIC (short). HAAAHAAAA I kill me sometimes.
Oh great. Lye changed his pick. I'll take OSUR long. LOL hehe. Just kidding. Yea but you still own it. Just protect yourself with it. Acutally you could take it short Monday morning with another tight stop and see which way the wind blows, then dump one or the other once you see what it wants to do.

[billyjoe]

Lye,
Can't find the rules page so I'll ask. Can you make your pick and put your stop at that time? When stopped or sold can you do it the same way on the second pick of the week? Once you're out of your first position can you stay in cash the rest of the week or for any time until you make the 2nd pick? Can you make your 2nd pick any time in the contest until closing Friday?

billyjoe

[IIC]

I pick KLIC. Thanks

Micky

Mick Pick KLIC...Well, even if it doesn't win...I like how it rolls off my tongue...I'll probably be saying that in my sleep ;)

[IIC]

Ok Doug and Ski shook me all up here.... scratch OSUR...

I'm playing another one I own... PARL (long)

Got a few good shorts but I'm skeered to play them. The short I would have picked is ADIC..... haha that's funny ADIC (short). HAAAHAAAA I kill me sometimes.

PARL seems like a safer bet to me...But in REAL LIFE...I'm giving WITS my highest rating..."SUPER DUPER ULTRA DELUXE STRONG BUY"

[MickyMouse]

PARL seems like a safer bet to me...But in REAL LIFE...I'm giving WITS my highest rating..."SUPER DUPER ULTRA DELUXE STRONG BUY"

Doug,

Seems you have fallen in love to WITS. You mentioned it several months ago, if my memory serves me well. Any particular reason(s) other than chemistry?

I see it turned profitable last Q, and have good earning estimates. But the future p/e is around 25.

Micky

[dmk112]

I'm going with CELL - long...gotta be a winner.

[jiesen]

I'm sticking with AMLN long again for this week.

[Lyehopper]

Lye,
Can't find the rules page so I'll ask. (1) Can you make your pick and put your stop at that time? (2) When stopped or sold can you do it the same way on the second pick of the week? (3) Once you're out of your first position can you stay in cash the rest of the week or for any time until you make the 2nd pick? (4) Can you make your 2nd pick any time in the contest until closing Friday?

billyjoe
BillyJoe to answer you questions.... (1) No, (2) depends on what "do it" means,hahaaa (3)Yes, (4)Yes....

If you fellas have input please offer it. I don't allow limit orders because it's harder on me as the scorekeeper.

NOTE: After much serious thought and consideration, rule Number five (5) is being added today.... I have consulted with Skiracer and he assures me the rule is a good one and he's given rule #5 his complete blessing.

Here are the Rules for all interested members. PLEASE READ ALL RULES!

(1) Pick one stock and post it (Long or Short) on the POTW thread anytime this weekend OR.... before the market closes on Monday.

(2) Any pick entered premarket will be entered at the "open" price. No limit orders are allowed.... If your pick is entered during market hours on Monday, the ticker price at the time of your actual post will be used to price your entry (I'll calculate the price, you just need to post the play)

(3) You can hold your pick all week.... or you are allowed exit your trade at any time to lock in a profit (or limit a loss).... After that, you can go into "cash" and make ANOTHER pick any time during the remainder of the week.... You may exit the SECOND pick to protect profit (or limit loss) but you must sit in cash after that.

(4) Try to pick a consistant gainer you have a valid reason to beleive will be profitable that week. PLEASE NO bb stocks allowed!... We're looking for volume and quality! Good Volume is critical in these picks because other's may be playing them in real life. I suggest an average of about 70k shares traded daily as a minimum vol. (volume requirement is not a hard rule just a suggestion) PLEASE NO "HAIL MARY" RISKY PICKS! This is a points race folks, BE CONSISTANT.... try to stay "Green".

(4) If you play a stock short, make sure shares ARE available to be shorted Example: I shorted a stock in the contest last week and when I attempted to "really" short it, there were NO SHARES AVAILABLE to short, thus that stock is NOT affected by short selling pressure AT ALL... and it kept rising. A very bad play on my part, and it cost me in my points standing. Learn from my mistake.... Make sure your "stinkers" can indeed be short sold in the real world!

(5) Absolutely NO Female players allowed.... UNLESS!!!! they have posted a skinny-dipping picture. Any female player posting additional skinny-dipping pictures can gain valuable bonus points.... 3% per picture! (added to the week the picture was entered)

Even if you are late to the game I invite you to still play You will be penalized for games missed.... but you'll be gaining valuable experience and the score card will reset to zero after the New Year begins.

Have fun! Do TA!.... Do FA!.... Do much aditional dd!.... PICK WINNERS! Enter your best picks in BillyJoe's POTW contest.... We'll all make money!!!!

~Lyehopper

[billyjoe]

Lye,
I propose rule #5a. If any male contestants (especially Lyehopper) ever post a skinny-dipping picture of themselves , they are permanently banned from the POTW.

billyjoe

[IIC]

Doug,

Seems you have fallen in love to WITS. You mentioned it several months ago, if my memory serves me well. Any particular reason(s) other than chemistry?

I see it turned profitable last Q, and have good earning estimates. But the future p/e is around 25.

Micky

I wouldn't say that...but since I've owned it since 4/04 and added in 6/04 I have gotten to know it pretty well. However, I don't know why you say it turned profitable...it has made money every year since 2001 according to IBD...although I believe they do not include extraordinary charges....The Blue Pumpkin takeover has cost a lot. I don't think a PE of 25 is bad.

I was pleased that the additional shares are priced at $20...I was a bit concerned that they would be priced closer to 19...Best, Doug

[Lyehopper]

Lye,
I propose rule #5a. If any male contestants (especially Lyehopper) ever post a skinny-dipping picture of themselves , they are permanently banned from the POTW.

billyjoe
HAHAAAAAA..... I second that amendment! And make the motion that said rule be adopted as read.

[Websman]

PARL seems like a safer bet to me...But in REAL LIFE...I'm giving WITS my highest rating..."SUPER DUPER ULTRA DELUXE STRONG BUY"

I bought WITS one time, because of you Doug. I made a few dollars on it, but maybe I shouldn't have sold it so soon.

[RL]

This weeks dart throw Is INMD-[LONG] go figure?

[IIC]

I'm changing my pick to HITK long...Doug(IIC)

[sisterwin2]

BillyJoe to answer you questions.... (1) No, (2) depends on what "do it" means,hahaaa (3)Yes, (4)Yes....

NOTE: After much serious thought and consideration, rule Number five (5) is being added today.... I have consulted with Skiracer and he assures me the rule is a good one and he's given rule #5 his complete blessing.


(5) Absolutely NO Female players allowed.... UNLESS!!!! they have posted a skinny-dipping picture. Any female player posting additional skinny-dipping pictures can gain valuable bonus points.... 3% per picture! (added to the week the picture was entered)

Even if you are late to the game I invite you to still play You will be penalized for games missed.... but you'll be gaining valuable experience and the score card will reset to zero after the New Year begins.

Have fun! Do TA!.... Do FA!.... Do much aditional dd!.... PICK WINNERS! Enter your best picks in BillyJoe's POTW contest.... We'll all make money!!!!

~Lyehopper

LMAO.... Ok.. let me be sure I understand this. I join the game.. get 3% gain every pic I place plus any gain I may make on my stock choice. I get the bennifit of being taught, corrected and possiblilty of making money.

Dena

[dmk112]

LMAO.... Ok.. let me be sure I understand this. I join the game.. get 3% gain every pic I place plus any gain I may make on my stock choice. I get the bennifit of being taught, corrected and possiblilty of making money.

Dena


Sounds like a plan to me ahaha

[sisterwin2]

My pick is UNFI

[Lyehopper]

My pick is UNFI
You're entered Sis with UNFI, nice bottom fishing play (you are playing "long" right?).... And... Welcome to the POTW! Hey fellas our first "gal" player! NOW everyone mind yer manners.

Shoot!.... I'm really worried.... God knows I hate to lose.... and the thought of being beaten by a woman? Ahhhhhhhhhhh!!!! don't know if I can take it. I might need therapy before this is over.

[Lyehopper]

LMAO.... Ok.. let me be sure I understand this. I join the game.. get 3% gain every pic I place plus any gain I may make on my stock choice. I get the bennifit of being taught, corrected and possiblilty of making money.

Dena
Scratch that 3% Sis, I can't guarantee that anymore, cause you might wind up beating me (badly).... Sooooo.... Actually..... I'm organizing a picture judging panel. Yeah that's what I'm doing.... a panel ..... Doug, Ski, Webs, DMK and BillyJoe (a formal 5 judge panel, I'll be the alternate) will judge the pics and see how many points they are worth. Remember this: Rules here CAN change and since I make up the rules.... ya just never know.... ya gotta REALLY be on your toes.

[Websman]

My pick is UNFI

Nice pick Sistertwin. You stand a very good shot of coming in second place with it. Of course, as usual, I will win. http://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/images/smilies/casanova.gif (http://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/misc.php?do=getsmilies&wysiwyg=0&forumid=5#)

[grebnet]

Mypick is WEX this week... UMC didnt do so well

[Websman]

Mypick is WEX this week... UMC didnt do so well

It looks like it's due for a bounce. I hate to admit it, but it could possibly beat my pick...

[Websman]

It looks like it's due for a bounce. I hate to admit it, but it could possibly beat my pick...

I'll take that back... I'm destined to win.

[scifos]

I'll take RMCF long

[Websman]

I'll take CDV, long, at the market, on Monday morning.



http://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/images/smilies/grenade.gif (http://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/misc.php?do=getsmilies&wysiwyg=0&forumid=6#)

Forget CDV...I've found a better pick.

I'll take MTEX, long at the market. It'll pop sometime in the next two days.

[skiracer]

I'll take that back... I'm destined to win.

Webs,
I just noticed this fact. Does being DESTINED to win have anything to do with being from DESTIN, Fla. That's got to be more than conincidence.

[Websman]

Webs,
I just noticed this fact. Does being DESTINED to win have anything to do with being from DESTIN, Fla. That's got to be more than conincidence.

Might be...

I was in Destin long before Brittany Spears and the rest of the world discovered it.

[grebnet]

Hey Webs
I like that pick........its worth looking into a little more. What do you know about it ?
The reason it hasnt shown up on my screens is because its "current ratio " is below 1.4 where my screen is set.

[Lyehopper]

Actually Ski the 5% penality will only reduce Webs' points total by 1.77%..........
I'm figuring up the points race now and I was dead wrong on this post here Ski.... I divided Webs total by 3 (weeks) not 4 like I should have.... thus the mistake. His points were reduced by 4.57% not 1.77%.... sorry dude.

Here's the real kick in the paints!.... Sisterwin2 has NEVER played a POTW game and is thus penalized 5% a week for 4 weeks.... In the points race she's Presently beating me by 0.86%...... I'm so.... P.A.T.H.E.T.I.C.!.!.!.!.!.! I really gotta get my butt in gear here!

[Websman]

Hey Webs
I like that pick........its worth looking into a little more. What do you know about it ?
The reason it hasnt shown up on my screens is because its "current ratio " is below 1.4 where my screen is set.

I got MTEX from Poormans. I like the chart action and may consider picking some up on a pullback.

Speaking of pullback, I just saw an article on Yahoo, that said the feds will probably raise rates again. This should give us a good pullback.

[IIC]

I got MTEX from Poormans. I like the chart action and may consider picking some up on a pullback.

Speaking of pullback, I just saw an article on Yahoo, that said the feds will probably raise rates again. This should give us a good pullback.

WHAT!!!...You just saw an article???...You should change your name to Rip Van Winkle...The question is 25 or 50 points???...Watch Utilities and other High Debt types for an early clue...No offense...But C'mon Webs!

[dmk112]

WHAT!!!...You just saw an article???...You should change your name to Rip Van Winkle...The question is 25 or 50 points???...Watch Utilities and other High Debt types for an early clue...No offense...But C'mon Webs!

LOL, Doug, where do you think they're gon stop? I hope this is the last raise...

[skiracer]

I'm figuring up the points race now and I was dead wrong on this post here Ski.... I divided Webs total by 3 (weeks) not 4 like I should have.... thus the mistake. His points were reduced by 4.57% not 1.77%.... sorry dude.

Here's the real kick in the paints!.... Sisterwin2 has NEVER played a POTW game and is thus penalized 5% a week for 4 weeks.... In the points race she's Presently beating me by 0.86%...... I'm so.... P.A.T.H.E.T.I.C.!.!.!.!.!.! I really gotta get my butt in gear here!

Lye,
Your first tally didn't jive in my head but I let it go and it's really no big deal in my head although it would affect the group % total. Are you really gonna penalize her for not playing the past 4 wks. She'll have to post 7 pictures just to get back to even.

[Websman]

WHAT!!!...You just saw an article???...You should change your name to Rip Van Winkle...The question is 25 or 50 points???...Watch Utilities and other High Debt types for an early clue...No offense...But C'mon Webs!

What can I say. I'm just a simple redneck. I get all my information from the National Inquirer. :)

[IIC]

LOL, Doug, where do you think they're gon stop? I hope this is the last raise...

Not any time soon...We need to rebalance this economy...Greenspan with his Holier than Thou language...Good Riddance...Although I am not so sure that this Bernake(sp???) guy knows what he's doing either???...It is about time that these Jokers accept that it is a "WORLD ECONOMY"...Don't get me wrong...I believe in the NEW AMERICA Uncle Bill likes to promote...But, as far as I see it...Numbers Rule...India and China is where it's at in that order IMO...IIC

[ParkTwain]

Pick of the week: long STGN

[Karel]

[...] She'll have to post 7 pictures just to get back to even.Sounds OK to me.

BTW, my pick is SWN long. It is in the Mechanical fund and my own portfolio; up a bit in both.

Regards,

Karel

[Gary611]

In honor of our first lady player, I pick DEBS!!!!


Certin-EE!!!!

[sisterwin2]

Scratch that 3% Sis, I can't guarantee that anymore, cause you might wind up beating me (badly).... Sooooo.... Actually..... I'm organizing a picture judging panel. Yeah that's what I'm doing.... a panel ..... Doug, Ski, Webs, DMK and BillyJoe (a formal 5 judge panel, I'll be the alternate) will judge the pics and see how many points they are worth. Remember this: Rules here CAN change and since I make up the rules.... ya just never know.... ya gotta REALLY be on your toes.


Just like a man...... I dont care about the five panel judge thingy.. I want my 3%.

or do I not understand. I get sliding scale points for pic's?

Happy trading all,
Dena

[sisterwin2]

and yes........ its long.

[skiracer]

Sounds OK to me.

BTW, my pick is SWN long. It is in the Mechanical fund and my own portfolio; up a bit in both.

Regards,

Karel

Karel,
I'm pretty sure that Gatorman picked SWN earlier before you. Check it out.

[mimo_100]

Lye,

Good morning and good pickin'

My choice is BNT long.

Tim

[billyjoe]

Lye,
HOM long. Someday it will move.

billyjoe

[skiracer]

Lye,
HOM long. Someday it will move.

billyjoe

Billyjoe,
I hope you win this week. I'd gladly take 2nd place if you win BIG!!!!!!

[Lyehopper]

Karel,
I'm pretty sure that Gatorman picked SWN earlier before you. Check it out.
Good eye Ski....

Yep Karel, he did. Need another pick dude...please.

[billyjoe]

Lye,
My picks are the kiss of death.

billyjoe

[Karel]

Good eye Ski....

Yep Karel, he did. Need another pick dude...please.Thanks for the warning. Lucky me, SWN gapped up 3% on open. I'll change to AAPL long.

Regards,

Karel

[skiracer]

Lye,
My picks are the kiss of death.

billyjoe

Billyjoe,
I don't know what happenned with HOM this morning but I had a stop loss placed at $5.40 and was watching the open and the next thing I know is that it's dropping like a brick. It fell through my stop so I looked to see where the exit trade was placed an it never took place. By now the stock was trading down around $5 an I called Options Express to see what was going on. They told me that something was going on with HOM and that the AMEX had halted trading on it. But on my screen it was still showing trades being made and the stock was now down around $4.89. I said that I had a time of 10.11 when the stock broached my stop loss point and they said that the trade wasn't placed because trading had been halted on the stock's primary exchange the AMEX. At that time I was down almost $4000 dollars. I was in at $5.84 and the stock was trading at $4.89 an I was still in it according to Options Express. They said that the trades I saw going on were going on at the Pacific exchange which I don't know where they are located or what time zone they are in but I didn't understand how they could be open yet at !0:00 am. Anyway I was going off on the poor guy at the trading desk and he was saying they couldn't do anything for me until the AMEX opened back up. In the meantime the stock started to climb back up so I told him to cancel the stop an I would ride it out for the time being. This is the first time anything like this has ever happenned to me with Options Express or anyone for that matter. Anyone else ever have something like this happen? Still haven't seen or heard anything as to what is going on with HOM. Are you still holding your position?

[Lyehopper]

Just like a man...... I dont care about the five panel judge thingy.. I want my 3%.

or do I not understand. I get sliding scale points for pic's?

Happy trading all,
Dena
"I want my ......"! .....just like a woman.lol....

Well looks like you won't need the pictures afterall Dena. But if you do post one (or more) the 5 judge panel can award as many points as they want (possibly much more than 3%)... guess it depends on the quality of the pictures? But if they are anything like your stock pick?.... you'll be sittin in the driver's seat!....

Remember you can trade twice this week. Study the rules over.

[sowersnc]

Buy UNH. It usually doesn't stay down long. I'll look for a better setup while this one bounces back.

[sisterwin2]

"I want my ......"! .....just like a woman.lol....

Well looks like you won't need the pictures afterall Dena. But if you do post one (or more) the 5 judge panel can award as many points as they want (possibly much more than 3%)... guess it depends on the quality of the pictures? But if they are anything like your stock pick?.... you'll be sittin in the driver's seat!....

Remember you can trade twice this week. Study the rules over.


After today's pick on stock... I will save my pic's for later.

hehehe

I sure wish I didnt have to leave the house for the work thingy... I need to make my exit at just the right time.

Dena

[Karel]

After today's pick on stock... I will save my pic's for later.

hehehe [...]Burn, UNFI, crash and burn!

[Websman]

Hmmm...I see that MTEX is doing quite well.

[Lyehopper]

Hmmm...I see that MTEX is doing quite well.
You contain your emotions far better than most human males Webs.... but.... this new "woman" has got you beat Vulcan.... How does that make you feel?

[Websman]

You contain your emotions far better than most human males Webs.... but.... The this new "woman" has got you beat Vulcan.... How does that make you feel?

It's only Monday. She will do well, but by the end of the week, I will have won the contest.

[Lyehopper]

It's only Monday. She will do well, but by the end of the week, I will have won the contest.
As our new Aussie friends would say.... "Spot on mate"!

[Peter Hansen]

It's only Monday. She will do well, but by the end of the week, I will have won the contest.
.Well it would have been LAB .oh well next week!

[Lyehopper]

Sisterwin2 throws up her FIRST pick in her FIRST race and is in FIRST place on the FIRST day!!!! IMPRESSIVE to say the least. This RN has taken all the "razzin" and dished it back and to prove she's REALLY for real.... NAILED a HUGE bottom fishing pick this week and NOW she's got 19 fellas running behind her, playing catch-up!!!! hehehehe.... This is a POTW first!!! Gotta love it.... WTG Dena!!!!

http://img208.imageshack.us/img208/4381/potw1212050cn.png (http://imageshack.us)

If you can't open the above link click here.
http://img208.imageshack.us/img208/4381/potw1212050cn.png

[IIC]

For those who don't read my thread...we had a brief discussion on HOM this weekend...My final comment was:

The short interest goes up...but the days to cover goes down.

The chart is interesting...and maybe it pops??? But hurricane season is over and I'm not planning on any earthquakes in the next quarter ;)

I don't want to say that I had any influence on the HOM action today...But the producers are talking about me hosting a show opposite Cramer's "MAD MONEY"...They want to call it IIC's "CRAZY CASH"...Can I count on everybody as a viewer???

[ParkTwain]

Anti-POTW idea.

Go to http://www.trade-ideas.com/StockInfo/high_percent_volatility.html?more=1.

This is the list of the stocks with the highest volatility in the entire market, with the first listed stock being the most volatile. Each Anti-POTW participant must pick one from the **TOP 25** on this list. (We probably won't have any more than 25 Anti-POTW participants anytime soon, right?) The fact that a stock is on this list in the first place, combined with a quick look by each participant at its recent (such as 6 months) chart, should tell the participant pretty quickly whether you have a long or short pick on your hands. (For each stock on the list, it's basically a coin-flip to pick the right direction of the stock's most probable move for the coming week.) Then we all watch all the picks for the rest of the week.

Set a prize each week for the WORST % RESULT for the week, with that stock serving as an object lesson of the pitfalls of trying to ride one of these broncos.

However, in many cases, what a participant has selected is a stock making a significant REVERSAL IN PRICE practically right before your eyes that week. Learning how to find a reversing stock and work with it can be a PROFITABLE LESSON. There are many very serious professional traders who believe that finding a stock making a big-time reversal is the best way to make big money in the markets. For instance, see Jack Schwager's books of interviews with traders ("Market Wizards" and "The New Market Wizards") to see what I'm talking about.

Take a look at the charts for the first 10 to 20 of those in today's list, and you'll see what I mean! Each chart should portray some kind of pps disaster or severe (even distorted) pps behavior in the recent past. Because I don't know the story behind some of these charts, some actually give me a good laugh. (Maybe I shouldn't laugh at all -- what the heck happened to RIGL? And if you picked DRTE, would you vote to go long or short for the coming week? :) )

What do we think?

//PT

[spikefader]

Congrats Sister!!!!!! Truly a Huge performance. May there be many more for ya.

Lye, I'm targetting 2.10 for SNAK please. If you don't have optimism, whadaya got?! heh

[sisterwin2]

Well, cant say you'll didnt make me feel welcome. TY all for your support. I have to work today and believe that my stock will fall some. Since I cant sit by the pc and exit at the right time I will sell and sit till I can find one more pick this week.

Again,
TY.

P.s I have one I want to short but I really dont know how yet... so I will wait, looking thru my pictures for a poss. post incase I cant find another stock pic.

[sisterwin2]

on second thought...... Lets give ESLR a go today. Long

[IIC]

LYE...Now aren't you glad you didn't pick OSUR?...It's gonna get whacked...Doug

[MickyMouse]

For those who don't read my thread...we had a brief discussion on HOM this weekend...My final comment was:

The short interest goes up...but the days to cover goes down.

The chart is interesting...and maybe it pops??? But hurricane season is over and I'm not planning on any earthquakes in the next quarter ;)

I don't want to say that I had any influence on the HOM action today...But the producers are talking about me hosting a show opposite Cramer's "MAD MONEY"...They want to call it IIC's "CRAZY CASH"...Can I count on everybody as a viewer???

Yes, count me. It would be nicer if you dance a little (don't sweat, or jump up and down though ).

Micky

[IIC]

Yes, count me. It would be nicer if you dance a little (don't sweat, or jump up and down though ).

Micky


Here's a preview...http://bestsmileys.com/dancing/11.gif

Anyway...I was seriously thinking of switching my pick from HITK long to GM short...but I didn't time it right...so no change...Doug

[skiracer]

Lye,
Sell TOMO and buy AMCS - long thanks

[Lyehopper]

LYE...Now aren't you glad you didn't pick OSUR?...It's gonna get whacked...Doug
Yep.... Thanks to you and Ski for discussing the negatives. This forum is potentially very profitable in many many ways....

Problem is.... I (really) own OSUR STILL.... AHHHHHHHHHH!!!!! BillyJoe! I feel your pain dude! I have been really killed the past three days! When will I learn to take my profits and just sit in cash?!!!! why Why WHY does it kill me to sit in cash? I must have a severe mental problem!

[spikefader]

Yep.... Thanks to you and Ski for discussing the negatives. This forum is potentially very profitable in many many ways....

Problem is.... I (really) own OSUR STILL.... AHHHHHHHHHH!!!!! BillyJoe! I feel your pain dude! I have been really killed the past three days! When will I learn to take my profits and just sit in cash?!!!! why Why WHY does it kill me to sit in cash? I must have a severe mental problem!Ya, it's great to get heads ups from others.

And it is VERY hard to stay in cash when one is motivated to be an active trader. But cash IS a position. This is why hunting for perfect trades will slow you down. Finding those with outstanding r/r will help. If it ain't just right, pass on it. And in hindsight, just to be helpful for OSUR dude, look at the chart...little double top there, with gap support failing. Was a big gap relative to r/r so the logical stop for anyone long at the top is tucked under the gap up day. And if one played the gap up day support play then logical stop is tucked under the gap fill support. When that fails, you don't want to be long this stock. NB can tell you. He watched one of his longs fall through gap support and he didn't see the significance at the time and it squeezed him as it slide. Fact is, and this is for everyone reading, is gaps are enormous TA weight. Don't underestimate them, and don't hope in the face of them. Same goes for double tops. So it's 'if X happens, I'll do Y". "If double top happens, I'll tighten stop or get out until it's resolved". Cash IS a position. Waiting, stalking, r/r hunting IS a position. Leverage patience dude, and you will be HUUUUUUUUUUUGE! Patience is SOO hard to develop when you're pumped up to trade.

Best!

[skiracer]

It's one of the hardest things for me to control and the one primary emotion that I have to work at very hard on a daily basis. I have always loved the action and nothing beats being in action an that winning feeling. But knowing yourself and controlling those feelings is one thing. Knowing yourself and not being able to do so is a problem that can and will cause you to lose your capital and bring you down. I've always felt fortunate to know an understand those characteristics about myself and being able to admit to them and not deceive myself about them being a strong part of my pyschological makeup. If you know that about yourself then half the battle is won. The other half of admitting to it and controlling it is a much bigger battle and harder to keep in control. When you keep doing the same thing over an over again and know you're doing it then you need to do some work in that area.

[Websman]

What? MTEX dares make a fool out of a Vulcan? This can not be... I will comand MTEX to make a big move up tomorrow. It is written. I must win.

[Websman]

Yep.... Thanks to you and Ski for discussing the negatives. This forum is potentially very profitable in many many ways....

Problem is.... I (really) own OSUR STILL.... AHHHHHHHHHH!!!!! BillyJoe! I feel your pain dude! I have been really killed the past three days! When will I learn to take my profits and just sit in cash?!!!! why Why WHY does it kill me to sit in cash? I must have a severe mental problem!

I have a sever mental problem, yet I only hold one position at this time. I will buy more when the opprtunity presents itself. Become a Vulcan Lye.

[Websman]

Yep.... Thanks to you and Ski for discussing the negatives. This forum is potentially very profitable in many many ways....

Problem is.... I (really) own OSUR STILL.... AHHHHHHHHHH!!!!! BillyJoe! I feel your pain dude! I have been really killed the past three days! When will I learn to take my profits and just sit in cash?!!!! why Why WHY does it kill me to sit in cash? I must have a severe mental problem!

I also have a severe mental problem, yet I only hold one position at this time. I will buy more when the opportunity presents itself. Become a Vulcan Lye.

[Lyehopper]

Thanks fellas (Spike, Ski, Webs) for the advice.

Spike, Here's how I played OSUR. I bought it just before the gap up. I sold very near the top and waited for the "little" gap to fill. when that happened, I bought again and rode it for another nice short term gain. I took just south of 17% total on the two trades an about 4 days.

Then I looked hard at shorting it, thinking that the "big" gap just might fill, I even posted (in Webs short thread) that it looked to be a good short play (but I never went short). But I also said that IF the "big" gap filled @ 12.38 I'd load the truck... Which I did. MISTAKE! the stock fell and filled the gap NOT because of a normal correction but because of negative news, YET I BOUGHT THE GAP (hard) ANYWAY!!!! STUPID!!!!.... Then I made the mistake of dismissing the news, reasoning that it wasn't really bad news, defending the company (personal attachment) and actually added more shares near the bottom yesterday!!!! STUPID AGAIN!!!! thus overloading my portfolio very heavy on that one stock (that's what killed me in real $$$).... BREAKING ONE OF MY MOST IMPORTANT AND STRICT RULES!!!! VERY STUPID!!!!.... THEN mad money Jim Crammer trashed OSUR last night and the ____ thing crashed 10% today (-10% on an overweighted and margined stock = OUCH!!!!)..... I see where I went wrong with OSUR but what really pisses me off at myself is this....

I traded hard and (almost) flawlessly during Oct and Nov this year gaining 44% in those two months alone (short and long).... I followed my rules (pretty much) and I was on a roll.... thought I was unstoppable! WHY didn't I realize that I was just a bit lucky and on a hot streak and just sit tight and nail down my nice gain and sit on the cash when I saw the (broader) correction developing? (I figure I should have gone into cash the week of 12/05) I saw it happening, I've seen it a so many times before. I repeated mistakes that I had vowed to myself to never repeat all because I was too cocky. It's funny how a big winning streak can make one stupid!.... Well I'm humbled now and I'm a tad gunshy too.

I spotted a great short play early today and I failed to pull the trigger because I was too busy worring about (and holding) a couple of long trades that were going bad (including OSUR)..... STUPID, STUPID, STUPID.... Sorry I'm rambling on. It helps me, I think..... Anyway the short mentioned is one I've stalked for months and it's finally time to go and I haven't taken my position yet, I've blown my perfect entry and NOW I'm way off my game....

I shook it off and dumped OSUR today backed out of margin and rebalanced my portfolio according to my rules.... I gotta regroup in my head... focus.... and hit this thing smart starting tomorrow, I haven't lost my recent gain but I've put a bad dent in it over the past three trading days. Well I gotta post the POTW score and hit the sack....

Again fellas.... thanks.

~Lye

[scifos]

I traded hard and (almost) flawlessly during Oct and Nov this year gaining 44% in those two months alone (short and long).... I followed my rules (pretty much) and I was on a roll.... thought I was unstoppable! WHY didn't I realize that I was just a bit lucky and on a hot streak and just sit tight and nail down my nice gain and sit on the cash when I saw the (broader) correction developing? (I figure I should have gone into cash the week of 12/05) I saw it happening, I've seen it a so many times before. I repeated mistakes that I had vowed to myself to never repeat all because I was too cocky. It's funny how a big winning streak can make one stupid!.... Well I'm humbled now and I'm a tad gunshy too.
~Lye

I'd suggest WRITING YOUR RULES DOWN and taping them to your monitor. When you feel like making a buy/sell/short/cover just read your rules before pulling the trigger. Hey, a mistake can actually make you a lot of money if you learn from it.

[Runner]

Lye, sorry to hear about OSUR. Heck I thought you were short this stock. I think once traders begin to get some returns they often through the discipline out the window. Then once the humble pie is given to them they get back in the zone. I would only suggest one thing. Write down your rules and tape it to your screen. Read it each morning and I would bet after a few weeks it will become a habit.
I've been told it takes about 21 days to form a habit and this would be a good habit to form. When I messed up my last trade with HOLX I was mad because I did not follow my rules.
Lye, you'll bounce back from this and I bet you learned something very valuable and sometimes getting hit where it hurts is the best teacher.

[Runner]

I'd suggest WRITING YOUR RULES DOWN and taping them to your monitor. When you feel like making a buy/sell/short/cover just read your rules before pulling the trigger. Hey, a mistake can actually make you a lot of money if you learn from it.

Scifos, we must have been on the same wave talking about rules.

[Lyehopper]

Doug is on a roll now fellas!.... You're hot IIC!!!!.... You might wanna try your hand at the "tables" while in sin-city this week dude!

Jiesen's AMLN is showing some real strength now too.... Heck I might just buy me some....

Here's the score dude's.... Chin's-up!!!.... Clear your mind.... Tomorrow's a new day!!!

http://img397.imageshack.us/img397/628/potw1213059gt.png (http://imageshack.us)

If you can't open the above link click here.
http://img397.imageshack.us/img397/628/potw1213059gt.png

[skiracer]

Scifos, we must have been on the same wave talking about rules.

I think that to be successful you have to develope a strategy, plan, discipline, rules or call it whatever you want, as long as they are what is comfortable for you. Then stick to it unwaveringly to a tee. The other day I set that stop on HOM at my 7% stop loss point and was prepared to bail and walk away from the position when an if it hit that stop regardless of the money loss on the trade which was around $2000 under normal stop loss conditions. The same with entries. You set your point of entry and if it triggers then your in the position. If it doesn't or you miss it for some reason then you missed it and you move on. My own personal feelings are that you have to remain as close to constant and consistent in everything that you do in executing your plan or strategy in every trade if you really want to be successful. Once you can do that in an almost robotic like fashion you'll begin to see a higher success rate and less failures and confusion in your mental state of mind.
Everyone is going to make a mistake or violate one of their rules occassionally. We all do it. But if you know you're doing it on a consistent basis then you need to take a firmer grip on your emotions. How you do that can only be answered from within your own psyche. It can only be accompolished through a long repetitive process of enduring losses by honoring your stops, regardless of losing 7% or whatever it is, and cutting your losses short. By never hoping or believing that the position is going to recoup those gains. By never chasing a stock beyond your trigger or changing your plan to get into a position because you want to be in it. By never going into any trade without a plan including an entry, exit, and r/r computation of what you expect to gain or lose. By never trading just to trade for the love of the action. It would be easier to go to a resort and put your money on either the red or black. Your odds would be better. My feelings are that if you can't do this whether you are a daytrader, swingtrader, or medium term inverstor then you might have to consider not doing this. Or just buy the blue chips in a DRIP account and sock them away for the dividend growth an your retirement.
One good thing that we all have in common here is that we seem to be able to open up to each other in an honest manner and even though we appear to have acted foolishly in our actions we still get the straightforward feedback that at times will embarrass you but is at least honest and necessary if we want to keep building up from our knowledge bases.

[skiracer]

Lye,
Sent you a private message regarding my score. Check it out please.

[Websman]

Lye, I'm dumping MTEX in the morning and buying CDV. CDV will rock for the rest of the week and will make me victorious.

[jiesen]

Yeah, alright! Go AMLN! And yes, AMLN is only just getting started...

Check out the drug revenue estimates:

http://members.cox.net/mystock/Amylin.htm

This quarter looks to be headed for $40-50M up from around $20M last quarter. AMLN is HUGE!!!

[Milk Man]

Lye, I read an excellent book recently called "Adaptive analysis" by Aussie, Nick Radge. One thing he mentions is that being right is not the be all and end all of trading. Its the dollars lost and gained that makes things work. If you win less often but have larger wins then losses then it may well be better. Extremely simple, and probably patronising to someone whos been trading for so long, but works in theory. Bottom line is that it pays to be right in the system as a whole rather than being right on each individual trade. Plenty of reviews down under.

[Gary611]

Not crying or anything, but, in the words of Christopher Walkin, " I gotta have more cowbell"!!! Take me out of DEBS (girlie play) & in CRI (who says I'm not crying!) long. Can't take those double digit red letters! If that keeps up, I'll grow my hair long & can the rosy specs, whoop-whoop!

[dmk112]

Lye, I read an excellent book recently called "Adaptive analysis" by Aussie, Nick Radge. One thing he mentions is that being right is not the be all and end all of trading. Its the dollars lost and gained that makes things work. If you win less often but have larger wins then losses then it may well be better. Extremely simple, and probably patronising to someone whos been trading for so long, but works in theory. Bottom line is that it pays to be right in the system as a whole rather than being right on each individual trade. Plenty of reviews down under.

Welcome to the POTW, Milkman!

[sowersnc]

Sell UNH and buy SEB. I think the pig has found some support, but we shall see.

[skiracer]

Welcome to the POTW, Milkman!

Milkman, It's ok to be wrong 6/7 times out of 10 if you cut the losses off at a mimimun by setting your stops correctly an always honoring them. Then the thing to do is as your gains in the other 3/4 winning positions increase bring your stops up to points where they will protect your gains as you let the winners run up. If you won't or can't bring yourself to do this it going to be very hard to have a winning record. It sounds simple yet very few short term traders have the ability or control to stick to this type of discipline. This type of discipline will insure that you'll have smaller dollar losses and bigger dollar gains. The difference in letting a few losers run down past a nominal % or amount will negate very quickly any winners that you let run up to their potential and then it won't make a difference because it will insure that you're on the losing end % wise.

[Lyehopper]

Lye, I read an excellent book recently called "Adaptive analysis" by Aussie, Nick Radge. One thing he mentions is that being right is not the be all and end all of trading. Its the dollars lost and gained that makes things work. If you win less often but have larger wins then losses then it may well be better. Extremely simple, and probably patronising to someone whos been trading for so long, but works in theory. Bottom line is that it pays to be right in the system as a whole rather than being right on each individual trade. Plenty of reviews down under.
Good On Milkman!... Welcome mate! Hey fellas this Aussie bloke is a good ol dirt farmer too. Says Aussie soil is good for GoJi's.... already offered Webs and his M-60 a job to protect the crop from them pesky "Roos" and Koala's..... Says he's gonna compete with our North American GoJi operation fellas, he's got 1,400 acres earmarked too. hehehehe..... We'll shall see Milkman.... we'll shall see!!!!

Hey dude.... Throw us a pick for next week. Now we've got a dame in the game.... why not a bloody Aussie?!...lol

[spikefader]

...If you win less often but have larger wins then losses then it may well be better.....
No doubt about it! And all you have to do to embrace the concept is to overcome the embarrassment of telling and showing people that you only have 2 winners out of 10. Let's face it, we like it to be 10 out of 10, and would be satisfied with 8 out of 10. But 2!! Lord, how embarrassing! hehe But end of the day, your 8 stop outs were for 1% each time, and your 2 winners earn you 40% each then who's the genius then? It's all a matter of how you look at it. I'll put up with the embarrassment of a low strike rate if my r/r and bottom line % is healthy.

[spikefader]

Sell UNH and buy SEB. I think the pig has found some support, but we shall see.We shall, and I just thought I'd post my uninvited opinion on your choice there. Hope that's cool.

I'd definately be sticking with UNH over SEB. UNH gap down on volume and now channel turn down is bearish. SEB might look like double bottom type support, but SEB's weekly is double top and the risk ain't worth it imo. UNH is on a weekly hunt for a boom I think.

But good luck anyway! Ha! The hide of me; criticizing one of the best POTW players when I can't even stay green! lol forgive me!

[sowersnc]

We shall, and I just thought I'd post my uninvited opinion on your choice there. Hope that's cool.

I'd definately be sticking with UNH over SEB. UNH gap down on volume and now channel turn down is bearish. SEB might look like double bottom type support, but SEB's weekly is double top and the risk ain't worth it imo. UNH is on a weekly hunt for a boom I think.

But good luck anyway! Ha! The hide of me; criticizing one of the best POTW players when I can't even stay green! lol forgive me!


Any and all comments/criticizm is welcome on my posts. I usually try to stay safe with my picks and shoot for 5%. I just didn't feel UNH had enough left this week to get me to 5%. It has been good to me with real money and I feel it is a great large cap stock. For my second pick I had it down to MO, FLEX, EMC and SEB. We shall see if SEB works out for me again. But I would agree UNH is much less likely to make me cry. :cry:


Out of those four(MO,FLEX,EMC and SEB) I chose poorly... 3 did ok today and one got hammered.

[Milk Man]

Just to clarify- do we pick from Mr Markets data dump or is it the whole market? And also, when does he take a data dump? Once a month I presume from looking at past info. What parameters make up the data dump; I read his website so im assuming its some degree of the quantatative analysis model.

Ill get me some free data and have a crack at POTW. Maybe ill get some pay for stuff if theres enough in it for me. Might do some low risk retracement setups. Oh and are stops allowed to be called before-hand?

[Websman]

And also, when does he take a data dump? Once a month I presume from looking at past info.

Hopefully more than that... lol

[Websman]

Just to clarify- do we pick from Mr Markets data dump or is it the whole market? And also, when does he take a data dump? Once a month I presume from looking at past info. What parameters make up the data dump; I read his website so im assuming its some degree of the quantatative analysis model.

Ill get me some free data and have a crack at POTW. Maybe ill get some pay for stuff if theres enough in it for me. Might do some low risk retracement setups. Oh and are stops allowed to be called before-hand?

OK, now on this serious side...

You can pick any stock as long as it has decent volume. You can only short it if there are actual shares available to short. And some other little rules that I can't remember. Maybe Lye will elaborate.

[Lyehopper]

Just to clarify- do we pick from Mr Markets data dump or is it the whole market? And also, when does he take a data dump? Once a month I presume from looking at past info. What parameters make up the data dump; I read his website so im assuming its some degree of the quantatative analysis model.

Ill get me some free data and have a crack at POTW. Maybe ill get some pay for stuff if theres enough in it for me. Might do some low risk retracement setups. Oh and are stops allowed to be called before-hand?
Plenty of free stock sites to look at over here dude. Some of the guys can private message you and give you some direction, what about it fellas give the Milkman some tips? here one that's good. http://finance.yahoo.com/

You are not limited to picking from Ernie's dumps, but it's a good place to look.... You can play any stock on the NYSE, AMEX, or NASDAQ but NO bb stocks allowed. It would be good if there was a decent volume average on the stock you pick.... say 70-100k shares minimum average. No limits orders or stops allowed. You need to stay up all night and watch your US stocks so you'll know when to trade. What is the time difference there anyway?

Hey Milkman look back to post # 2714 on this thread and the rules are posted.

~Lye

[sisterwin2]

you forgot the rule about a certain sailor girl and her pictures......this only pertains to me milkman so no worry...


Looks like I might have to dig up my pic portfolio and see what I can come up with.... I do have a question... does it have to be me?

[Lyehopper]

you forgot the rule about a certain sailor girl and her pictures......this only pertains to me milkman so no worry...


Looks like I might have to dig up my pic portfolio and see what I can come up with.... I do have a question... does it have to be me?
Well since IIC's Avatar is really him and webs is really him, Ski and BillyJoe show themselves in action. NB-Baby & Garry611 posted their baby pics.... Runner has shown us what he looks like and my profile shows me in real life and $$MM$$ only posts real pics of himself..... I'd say yes we need real Dena pics. But any "good" additional pics are always welcomed too.

[Websman]

Well since IIC's Avatar is really him and webs is really him, Ski and BillyJoe show themselves in action. NB-Baby & Garry611 posted their baby pics.... Runner has shown us what he looks like and my profile shows me in real life and $$MM$$ only posts real pics of himself..... I'd say yes we need real Dena pics. But any "good" additional pics are always welcomed too.

I would post my real pic, but I look more like Mr Market than I do Spock.

[Lyehopper]

Well fellas? Are we gonna get that BULL back soon?.... Don't know for sure. Please be cautious.... but get your shopping list ready for any bargan pullbacks. Run your plays by the fellas here, they'll give you a solid opinion or two and maybe a new perspective. Great forum we've got ain't it? Thanks to all you guys for all the help you've given me.

http://img482.imageshack.us/img482/480/potw1214051up.png (http://imageshack.us)

If you can't view the above link click here....
http://img482.imageshack.us/img482/480/potw1214051up.png

[Milk Man]

Thanks for the replies guys. I might just have to move to the states- I reckon Kennesaw, Georgia sounds pretty good. A town where you have to own a gun. Do ya think they sell much tofu there? I dont think so..... YEEEEEEHAAAAW !!!!
N.B.- Tofu gives you man boobs because soy makes you produce more estrogen.
Itd be pretty awesome walkin around with a pair of 45's strapped to each hip. I'll have to bring my felt Akubra cowboy hat though- Id rather wear dead animal than straw anyday.

Now what about this data dump- what exactly is it and how often? Many thanks to Ernie for doing that too. A dump that dont stink; well now ive seen everything :)

[spikefader]

SNAK disappoints after getting to +6% on me.... :( boo hoo.

I'll take EMC short right here thanks Lye.

[Lyehopper]

SNAK disappoints after getting to +6% on me.... :( boo hoo.

I'll take EMC short right here thanks Lye.
Gotcha dude!...

How bout Ernie? Freakin me out!... I say he should sell em....

YO Spike.... Don'tcha just hate these market screwy toppy-schmoppy-tops. Your long plays fall and your short plays rise.... IT really SUCKS!!! I lose more money in these conditions than at any other time.... I think the only way to play these tops is to go completely contrarian, or go completely into cash.

all that said.... I'm REALLY wanna be bullish, I'm seeing some very nice weekly charts set up right now so I'm stalkin me some sold off goody's right now.... Might pounce today.

[spikefader]

Gotcha dude!...

How bout Ernie? Freakin me out!... I say he should sell em....

YO Spike.... Don'tcha just hate these market screwy toppy-schmoppy-tops. Your long plays fall and your short plays rise.... IT really SUCKS!!! I lose more money in these conditions than at any other time.... I think the only way to play these tops is to go completely contrarian, or go completely into cash.

all that said.... I'm REALLY wanna be bullish, I'm seeing some very nice weekly charts set up right now so I'm stalkin me some sold off goody's right now.... Might pounce today.
heh ya. I must be insane trying to short when I'm so bullish on the market. Oh boy. Glutton for punishment. Just bad timing I guess. I was so tempted to take OPLK long back at 14.95, but wanted 14.80 and then I saw cashmaker's post on EMC and it's bearishness jumped off the page at me so it was out of those two, whichever one gave the better entry and EMC won. Now of course OPLK is movin' doh!

[sowersnc]

We shall, and I just thought I'd post my uninvited opinion on your choice there. Hope that's cool.

I'd definately be sticking with UNH over SEB. UNH gap down on volume and now channel turn down is bearish. SEB might look like double bottom type support, but SEB's weekly is double top and the risk ain't worth it imo. UNH is on a weekly hunt for a boom I think.

But good luck anyway! Ha! The hide of me; criticizing one of the best POTW players when I can't even stay green! lol forgive me!


Oh I meant to say short SEB ;)

I should have picked one of my other favorites MO, EMC or FLEX. SEB looks like all the MOMO all left at once.

[Websman]

CDV is killing my Vulcan winning streak. It's not looking good for me. I need a miracle from the vulcan Gods tomorrow.

But, at least my real portfolio is rocking!

[Lyehopper]

This market SUCKS!!!!

http://img214.imageshack.us/img214/8093/potw1215050ai.png (http://imageshack.us)


If you can't view the above link...GOOD!!! it's too depressing anyway!

[Runner]

Lye hear is something I’m studying and not sure if it is worth it or not.
http://img443.imageshack.us/img443/5117/mccosc2et.png (http://imageshack.us)

[Lyehopper]

Lye hear is something I’m studying and not sure if it is worth it or not.
http://img443.imageshack.us/img443/5117/mccosc2et.png (http://imageshack.us)
Dude I'm lost on that.... Explain?..... (edit) Hey runner, are you showing a tripple bottom here or something? Don't know that indicator.

[IIC]

Just got back from the Trader's Expo a little while ago...It was OK...But more importantly...It was a nice mini-vacation...Shame though when your vacation consists of the stock market...LOL

Anyway, I'd like to say something that might be of some help to some...

I, like many, like to be in "Action" even when I know I should not be. Here's how I solved that problem:

If I just have to trade...which I've mostly gotten over...but sometimes I just get the itch when it's wrong(In my mind)...I just buy a small amount compared to what I normally trade...That way I'm still in w/ minimal risk...Just an idea for when you feel you just "Have To Be In"...Doug(IIC)

[Runner]

Lye, here is a link for info on the indicator. From what I've learned thus far it shows what is happening under the surface. Example market moved only a few points down yesterday but most stocks on my screen were getting smacked down.
http://www.chartfilter.com/reports/c23.htm

I'm looking for a zero line reject and a possible pop today. We shall see!

[Lyehopper]

Lye, here is a link for info on the indicator. From what I've learned thus far it shows what is happening under the surface. Example market moved only a few points down yesterday but most stocks on my screen were getting smacked down.
http://www.chartfilter.com/reports/c23.htm

I'm looking for a zero line reject and a possible pop today. We shall see!
You-da-man Runner... I like this kinda stuff.

You study Volitility indices too don't you dude?

[mimo_100]

Lye, here is a link for info on the indicator. From what I've learned thus far it shows what is happening under the surface. Example market moved only a few points down yesterday but most stocks on my screen were getting smacked down.
http://www.chartfilter.com/reports/c23.htm

I'm looking for a zero line reject and a possible pop today. We shall see!

You can get current data on The McClellan Oscillator at their website:





http://www.mcoscillator.com/Data.html (http://www.mcoscillator.com/Data.html)





If you click on the “DATA” tab at the left, then find “You can also download Today's Data (http://www.mcoscillator.com/user/OSC-DATA.xls)in Excel file format” , you can download the raw data that makes up the McClellan indicators.



The Oscillator is a breadth indicator, i.e., it measures advances and declines



Tim

[Lyehopper]

Hey Skiracer and IIC!!! I want to thank you two again for your straight forward opinion on OSUR on Sunday night. I might still be holding that thing if you fellas hadn't got me thinking the right way.... THANKS!!! you fellas are HUGE!

AND if you (or anyone elso) ever see me making a mistake... TELL ME, CUSS ME, KICK ME BETWEEN THE EYES!!!! anything to get my attention!

[IIC]

Hey Skiracer and IIC!!! I want to thank you two again for your straight forward opinion on OSUR on Sunday night. I might still be holding that thing if you fellas hadn't got me thinking the right way.... THANKS!!! you fellas are HUGE!

AND if you (or anyone elso) ever see me making a mistake... TELL ME, CUSS ME, KICK ME BETWEEN THE EYES!!!! anything to get my attention!

Well...I didn't like it Sunday...but I had no idea this would happen...IIC

[jiesen]

Well...I didn't like it Sunday...but I had no idea this would happen...IIC

O SURE you didn't.

(couldn't resist)

[jiesen]

Congrats, RL... I think you win!

[Websman]

Congrats RL!

The Vulcan has lost his touch.

[skiracer]

Congratulations Ray. Great win. What did you do with MOT. It's past Dec. 15.

[spikefader]

Another good one RL :D

[billyjoe]

Everybody loves Raymond. Good job Ray. The arm is good as new.

billyjoe

[IIC]

O SURE you didn't.

(couldn't resist)

LOL...Actually, in reading some of the test results...something just didn't click with me...Call it intuition???

[IIC]

Nice job Ray...Doug(IIC) http://bestsmileys.com/clapping/1.gif

[RL]

Thanks to all, It sure Is fun to play this. Don't cost any money and you can work on your stock picking skills or Is It luck? Came close to winning three weeks ago with today would have made It three In a row so I'm going to sit back tomorrow watch the BILLS and try to throw another winner. I think three In a row would be a record for this game.

[Lyehopper]

Raaaaay!!!! LOOOOONG!!!!.... dude! YOU ARE HUGE!!!! great win.... Hope you can make it three in a row! Your points are gonna look very good after this! Hmmmmm.... Being "snowed in" seems to be a good thing for your stock picking skills man!

http://img225.imageshack.us/img225/7905/potw1216055qd.png (http://imageshack.us)

Fellas.... I'll post the updated points race sometime this weekend over on my thread.

[skiracer]

Well I guess I'll go first this week with one that I bought last week. I entered NTAP long last week at $29.70 so I'm going with it this week in the POTW. Here are a couple of charts on it and what I think will go down this week.
I thought it was going to go off on Friday when it went to $30.10 but it didn't hold and some were still looking to sell off into the strength but it did hold above the open price and closed above the open price. In the AH there were a couple of big blocks trades with one at 243,000 shares at 29.86. I'm coming after you this week Ray.

http://img236.imageshack.us/img236/6116/ntap14up.jpg (http://imageshack.us)

http://img236.imageshack.us/img236/7755/ntap26md.jpg (http://imageshack.us)

[RL]

Wow! This Is going to be a tough week too much presure.I'll have to have a few extra cold ones and sharpen my dart.Isure have a lot of good stock pickers after my ars [as Lye calls It] Remember your only as good as last week In this game.LOL

[dmk112]

SKI, I like that action but this thing is right on the resistance (other side of the cup) and it will likely pullback some. Have you had good luck buying cwh's before they breakout?

[Runner]

I'll go with PLLL long for a possible pullback buy

[Karel]

I'll take CMCO long. It is in the Mechanical Fund (up) and in my own portfolio (down). What happened to SNDK made me think: the stocks I pick should perform well for more weeks than one. At least, that is the idea. Chasing a new stock every week is not my game. So, Lye, I will be holding CMCO for the POTW until further notice, if that is acceptable to you. Of course it will be 'bought' every week new at the open to determine its score for the POTW.

Regards,

Karel

[jiesen]

I'll take CMCO long. It is in the Mechanical Fund (up) and in my own portfolio (down). What happened to SNDK made me think: the stocks I pick should perform well for more weeks than one. At least, that is the idea. Chasing a new stock every week is not my game. So, Lye, I will be holding CMCO for the POTW until further notice, if that is acceptable to you. Of course it will be 'bought' every week new at the open to determine its score for the POTW.

Regards,

Karel

Karel, you and I have a similar method going. Since we have switched around the game from a weekly volatility contest to a more long-term average gain strategy, I'm sticking with my AMLN until I see a reason for switching... and AMLN still has a lot of rocket fuel left, imo.

AMLN long again this week, Lye!

[billyjoe]

The stock that will bring me back from the death spiral, ANST long.

billyjoe

[skiracer]

SKI, I like that action but this thing is right on the resistance (other side of the cup) and it will likely pullback some. Have you had good luck buying cwh's before they breakout?

DMK,
I think it has formed a small handle and over last week it has been banging at the resistance door a bit. It has tracked over $30 a couple of times this past week. Early in the week it ran up to $30.45 range but fell back to $29.48 or so that day and then I bought it at $29.70. I'm attributing it's falling back to people that have been in for awhile selling into strength and getting shaken out. Yes I have had luck with getting in early but my 7% stop is at $27.62 an I don't think it will drop to that point. There is a gap up that it could fill at around $28 which is feasible but the other indicators aren't pointing to it dropping back that low from here. We can only wait and watch to see what transpires this week. I have a full position (1000 shares) in it and like it from this point.

[Gatorman]

Will try EFJI long for this week. It sure would be nice for the POTW to see a "green" week rather than the "mish-mosh" we had to endure last week.

[spikefader]

http://www.beatjapan.org/mirror/www.be.com/support/breakingnews/break3.gif

BEL set to soar!

The optimism is here. (http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showthread.php?t=1057)

Lye, am I permitted to slip this low volume puppy into POTW?

I'll risk 5% to target 50%.
http://img231.imageshack.us/img231/6857/beldec17bottomchart9ok.jpg

[dmk112]

I'm going with "X" long. It broke at the end of november from a multi-month base and now is pulling back. It is a metal stock so no matter if the dow crashes it can still rock.

[Peter Hansen]

Like the Chart and and Fundamentals Look good .......LYE my Good Man put me in for AQNT! Lye question?........ I have read and seen the Hype for the picture Broke Back Mountain......Tell me it ain't so........ shatters my faith in cowboys......LOL

[sisterwin2]

if no one has it.... I will take parl
srry ... in a hurry. Hopfully have time in am

[RL]

And the winner Is DRI [LONG] At least thats what the dart hit so I'm going with It

[spikefader]

Like the Chart and and Fundamentals Look good .......LYE my Good Man put me in for AQNT! Lye question?........ I have read and seen the Hype for the picture Broke Back Mountain......Tell me it ain't so........ shatters my faith in cowboys......LOL
Hey Peter! Man I love that chart. Awesome. I think it's the chart to beat from the ones I've seen thus far. I'll be stalking AQNT in the weeks ahead.

[spikefader]

Can't believe no one has taken ELN long yet.....or did I miss it?!?

[The Photon]

I will go with MRVL - good luck to all-

[Websman]

I like ELN long, but I'm going with something different.


I'll take NUTR short.

[IIC]

SIFY long...Doug(IIC)

[skiracer]

I like ELN long, but I'm going with something different.


I'll take NUTR short.

Webs,
What made you change your pick?

[RL]

Doug looks like your pick could be a winner but I can't figure why? What was your reason for this pick as It has no earnings

[Websman]

Webs,
What made you change your pick?

Vulcan intuition

[skiracer]

Vulcan intuition
I think ELN is due for further consolidation to the $13/12.75 range. Looks to be giving channel short signals off the daily and weekly charts.

[sowersnc]

I'm going with NGAS short. Warm weather is coming. Lets see if it really matters.

[Lyehopper]

Like the Chart and and Fundamentals Look good .......LYE my Good Man put me in for AQNT! Lye question?........ I have read and seen the Hype for the picture Broke Back Mountain......Tell me it ain't so........ shatters my faith in cowboys......LOL
Here's this cattleman's opinion!....

I can assure you that this ain't "Broke Back Mountain".... It's "Lyehopper Hollow" and we ain't freakin "Hollywood cowboys" down here Pete. If we have good reason to suspect a farmhand of being "funny" we're very compassionate.... we don't ask alot of personal questions..... We just castrate him (quick), give him a tetanus shot, hit the wound with blowfly spray and send his ass on north.... Now.... I DON'T think my counterparts in Texas will actually give a tetanus shot, they are somewhat less compassionate than we are in Virginia.

Another "little known" Lyehopper factoid.... You could probibly fill an 8 ft pickup bed with the Testicles I've cut.... I can castrate a 400 pound bull calf in less than 30 seconds. I'll only use "bands" on newborn calves.... I take great pride in my surgical skills.... Job applicants beware.

~Lye

[IIC]

Doug looks like your pick could be a winner but I can't figure why? What was your reason for this pick as It has no earnings

That's why I don't put past eps very high on my list...This outfit is the leader in India and eps projections are positive from here on out...Doug(IIC)

[spikefader]

I like ELN long, but I'm going with something different.
I'll take NUTR short.
NUTR has a cool count going. It's against you with that c short failure at the moment, but if it drops below Thursday's low, I think you're in good shape.

http://img383.imageshack.us/img383/4355/nutrdec189kc.jpg

[IIC]

I'm going with NGAS short. Warm weather is coming. Lets see if it really matters.

Maybe this week...But Me 'n Andy agree on the long haul:
http://trimurl.com/3N1

Dow head calls for more gas drilling

NEW YORK, Dec. 17 (UPI) -- The head of Dow Chemical says the United States is facing the worst energy crisis in its history -- not in fueling cars but in home heating.

"American consumers worry about oil and the price of gasoline," Andrew N. Liveris, the chief executive of Dow Chemical, told the New York Times Saturday in an interview. "They should worry that there may not be enough natural gas to heat and cool their homes."

Liveris says replacing petrochemicals with alternative energy sources like wind or solar energy is not a solution because the world is not ready to pay the full cost of developing alternative fuels and ingredients.

"I want Congress to declare a national emergency, educate the American public about the crisis and unshackle industry," said Liveris.

"It should allow drilling in the outer continental shelf and elsewhere, and speed up the permitting process for building terminals that accept liquefied natural gas. There are only four terminals in the country. We need 20 or 30 times as many."

Liveris said industry has learned to explore for oil and gas in an environmentally responsible fashion.

[spikefader]

I think ELN is due for further consolidation to the $13/12.75 range. Looks to be giving channel short signals off the daily and weekly charts.Looks impulsive to me. Maybe 1 or 2 days at current levels then another impulse up. Might even take it later in the week.

[ParkTwain]

I'll take OXPS long for the week.

[grebnet]

Lets try WPCS

[skiracer]

Looks impulsive to me. Maybe 1 or 2 days at current levels then another impulse up. Might even take it later in the week.

That's exactly what I was thinking. Looking for another entry around late Tuesday or sometime Wednesday. Looking for a little more pullback today although the fair value numbers are up pretty good this morning an if the market opens strong it could go off right of the bat.

[Peter Hansen]

Lye you are one funny man ....I nearly rolled off my chair laughing......"HAY" no pun intended......Let's make some money here and "LAUGH" all the way to the bank . Take Care........ to a real "MANLY" cowboy!



Here's this cattleman's opinion!....

I can assure you that this ain't "Broke Back Mountain".... It's "Lyehopper Hollow" and we ain't freakin "Hollywood cowboys" down here Pete. If we have good reason to suspect a farmhand of being "funny" we're very compassionate.... we don't ask alot of personal questions..... We just castrate him (quick), give him a tetanus shot, hit the wound with blowfly spray and send his ass on north.... Now.... I DON'T think my counterparts in Texas will actually give a tetanus shot, they are somewhat less compassionate than we are in Virginia.

Another "little known" Lyehopper factoid.... You could probibly fill an 8 ft pickup bed with the Testicles I've cut.... I can castrate a 400 pound bull calf in less than 30 seconds. I'll only use "bands" on newborn calves.... I take great pride in my surgical skills.... Job applicants beware.

~Lye

[IIC]

That's why I don't put past eps very high on my list...This outfit is the leader in India and eps projections are positive from here on out...Doug(IIC)

DARN(&%$#$...My pick is gonna gap :(

[mimo_100]

Lye,

TFSM long is my pick this week.

[Lyehopper]

ESLR.... (short)

I alao have a real position.

[Gary611]

CERN: $86.18 @ 10:11am!!!!!! LONG!!!!

[IIC]

I may not win the contest on the gap...but I backed up the truck on the pullback...SIFY

[mimo_100]

Lye,



Since the exchanges will be closed on Monday, December 26, and Monday, January 2, how will you run the POTW ?



Tim





NYSE Holiday Schedule



http://www.nyse.com/Frameset.html?displayPage=/about/1022963613686.html (http://www.nyse.com/Frameset.html?displayPage=/about/1022963613686.html)





The New York Stock Exchange is open from Monday through Friday 9:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET and will observe the holidays below:



2005



Christmas

December 26 (observed)



2006



New Year's Day

January 2 (observed)



New Year's Day 2006



New Year's Day 2006 falls on a Sunday. The Exchange will be open for trading on Friday, December 30, 2005, and will observe the New Year's holiday on Monday, January 2, 2006.



*Washington's Birthday was first declared a federal holiday by an 1879 act of Congress. The Monday Holiday Law, enacted in 1968, shifted the date of the commemoration of Washington's Birthday from February 22 to the third Monday in February, but neither that law nor any subsequent law changed the name of the holiday from Washington's Birthday to President's Day.

Although the third Monday in February has become popularly known as President's Day, the NYSE's designation of Washington's Birthday as an Exchange holiday (Rule 51) follows the form of the federal holiday outlined above (section 6103(a) of title 5 of the United States Code).



Martin Luther King, Jr. Day

January 16

[Lyehopper]

We'll just run a short week and move everything out a day.... Tues thru Fri.

Players will have till the market closes on Tuesday to enter their picks.

[Lyehopper]

I may not win the contest on the gap...but I backed up the truck on the pullback...SIFY
WOW!!!!.... nice move there DOOOOOOOOUUUUUUUUUG!!!!!! HUGE!

[IIC]

WOW!!!!.... nice move there DOOOOOOOOUUUUUUUUUG!!!!!! HUGE!

I sold SIFY for 3%+...will watch for p/b this week for possible re-entry...IIC

[Lyehopper]

I sold SIFY for 3%+...will watch for p/b this week for possible re-entry...IIC
You-Da-Man Doug..... That's what I like about you, you know when to pull the freakin trigger.... hard to pass up 3% in two hours ain't it dude. I'm gonna start callin' you QDD (Quick-Draw Doug).

Hey! my ESLR short is workin, ain't it?

[grebnet]

Go WPCS
Lookin good

[Lyehopper]

Go WPCS
Lookin good
Sorry Greb you've set the bar so high in the past that I expect about 15% outta you picks before I'll even mention them dude! LOL.... JUST KIDDING!!!! I just happened to be watching IIC's pick on my screen and saw it spike straight up when I responded earlier.

Grebnet!!!! DUDE!!!!.... you really do have a HUGE pick there don't-cha?.... Up 10% and climbing. WOW!

[skiracer]

SKI, I like that action but this thing is right on the resistance (other side of the cup) and it will likely pullback some. Have you had good luck buying cwh's before they breakout?

DMK,
Well it looks like you got that call right. I certainly didn't have any luck with this one. I bailed today at $29.52. I just didn't like the way it was going. Started off nice but didn't have the strength to hold any intraday levels from $30 to $29.50. To me that's a sign when it steps it's way down from level to level an it hasn't had the strengh to hold any of it's highs. Small loss from $29.70 entry. Did you see something else other than the resistance at around $29.90/30 range or were you just figuring that it didn't have the strength to break through that level and hold after failing a couple of previous times? Would be interested to know what prompted your feelings.

[Websman]

Hey, what's up with NUTR? It should be dropping... http://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/images/smilies/banghead.gif (http://www.aussiestockforums.com/forums/misc.php?do=getsmilies&wysiwyg=0&forumid=6#)

[Websman]

Go WPCS
Lookin good

Excellent pick Greb. I just saw it on the scan.

[Websman]

Lye, I would like to cover my short trade on NUTR and go long on FZN.


FZN will make me huge this week.

[dmk112]

DMK,
Well it looks like you got that call right. I certainly didn't have any luck with this one. I bailed today at $29.52. I just didn't like the way it was going. Started off nice but didn't have the strength to hold any intraday levels from $30 to $29.50. To me that's a sign when it steps it's way down from level to level an it hasn't had the strengh to hold any of it's highs. Small loss from $29.70 entry. Did you see something else other than the resistance at around $29.90/30 range or were you just figuring that it didn't have the strength to break through that level and hold after failing a couple of previous times? Would be interested to know what prompted your feelings.

Mainly the fact that it was at that resistance and that the market was going sideways as well. Until the market breaks out of this 2-3 week range I think NTAP will stay there and if the market breaks down, it will go down with it (speaking short term here).

[skiracer]

Mainly the fact that it was at that resistance and that the market was going sideways as well. Until the market breaks out of this 2-3 week range I think NTAP will stay there and if the market breaks down, it will go down with it (speaking short term here).

Well it surprised me today and it took a decent hit today. I'm out so it's water over the dam now.

[Lyehopper]

I'll take CMCO long. It is in the Mechanical Fund (up) and in my own portfolio (down). What happened to SNDK made me think: the stocks I pick should perform well for more weeks than one. At least, that is the idea. Chasing a new stock every week is not my game. So, Lye, I will be holding CMCO for the POTW until further notice, if that is acceptable to you. Of course it will be 'bought' every week new at the open to determine its score for the POTW.

Regards,

Karel
That's cool Karel.... Just post every week what you are doing, if you don't mind. If not I might forget dude.

Thanks,
Lye

[Lyehopper]

Here's the scorecard fellas.... Sorry I haven't posted the points from last week on my thread yet.... got alot going on.... I'll get around to it soon.

http://img369.imageshack.us/img369/3120/potw1219059fu.png (http://imageshack.us)

[IIC]

You-Da-Man Doug..... That's what I like about you, you know when to pull the freakin trigger.... hard to pass up 3% in two hours ain't it dude. I'm gonna start callin' you QDD (Quick-Draw Doug).

Hey! my ESLR short is workin, ain't it?

I don't care what you call me...As long as you call me...This thing will be way up in the next year...I plan on owning it again in the near future...Doug(IIC)

[dmk112]

LYE, can i put in stop or limit orders?

[Lyehopper]

LYE, can i put in stop or limit orders?
DMK.... Please read rule number two. I've posted the rules below....

Maybe we need to post the rules as a sticky?
================================================== ==
Here are the Rules for all interested members. PLEASE READ ALL RULES!

(1) Pick one stock and post it (Long or Short) on the POTW thread anytime during the weekend OR.... before the market closes on Monday.

(2) Any pick entered premarket will be entered at the "open" price. No limit orders are allowed.... If your pick is entered during market hours on Monday, the ticker price at the time of your actual post will be used to price your entry (I'll calculate the price, you just need to post the play)

(3) You can hold your pick all week.... or you are allowed exit your trade at any time to lock in a profit (or limit a loss).... After that, you can go into "cash" and make ANOTHER pick any time during the remainder of the week.... You may exit the SECOND pick to protect profit (or limit loss) but you must sit in cash after that.

(4) Try to pick a consistant gainer you have a valid reason to beleive will be profitable that week. PLEASE NO bb stocks allowed!... We're looking for volume and quality! Good Volume is critical in these picks because other's may be playing them in real life. I suggest an average of about 70k shares traded daily as a minimum vol. (volume requirement is not a hard rule just a suggestion) PLEASE NO "HAIL MARY" RISKY PICKS! This is a points race folks, BE CONSISTANT.... try to stay "Green".

(4) If you play a stock short, make sure shares ARE available to be shorted Example: I shorted a stock in the contest last week and when I attempted to "really" short it, there were NO SHARES AVAILABLE to short, thus that stock is NOT affected by short selling pressure AT ALL... and it kept rising. A very bad play on my part, and it cost me in my points standing. Learn from my mistake.... Make sure your "stinkers" can indeed be short sold in the real world!

[Gary611]

Well, I gotta go and find those other stooges & give them their Christmas presents, so I'll be away for a few days, have a cool Yule everyone, I hope that this list of Knuckleheads will agree to meet sometime soon in the new year. Hell, I'll even get a haircut for the occassion!

Gary from L.I.

[spikefader]

Please read rule number two. I've posted the rules below.... Maybe we need to post the rules as a sticky?
Put a link to the rules in your signature. Then there's no excuse for laziness. :D

[spikefader]

Buy ELN for me Lye. I wanted to do this later in the week, but this entry is too sweet to pass up.

[jiesen]

your ESLR short's looking pretty good right now, Lye. If this market takes another downturn this week, you'll be cleaning up!

[Lyehopper]

Put a link to the rules in your signature. Then there's no excuse for laziness. :D
a link?..... hmmmmmm.... You are a genius!!!!lol

Dumping BEL so soon?!..... Your wish is my command.... You're outta BEL now AND long ELN dude!

[Runner]

Lye, Sell PLLL and buy GRP long.

[dmk112]

Lye, Sell PLLL and buy GRP long.

Runner you stole my pick! haha

[dmk112]

Lye, take NTRI short. Sell X.

[IIC]

Well, I gotta go and find those other stooges & give them their Christmas presents, so I'll be away for a few days, have a cool Yule everyone, I hope that this list of Knuckleheads will agree to meet sometime soon in the new year. Hell, I'll even get a haircut for the occassion!

Gary from L.I.

Merry Christmas to you too Curly http://bestsmileys.com/christmas3/13.gif

[Lyehopper]

Well I'm in first place!!!! I don't beleive it! Wonder if I can hold it?

Sowers has second with NGAS short.... and Jiesen's in third with his old standby AMLN, very good stock Jiesen, I like that thing.

Two shorts out of twenty players and the shorts are #1 and #2..... WHAT DOES THAT TELL YA fellas?!!!!

http://img461.imageshack.us/img461/9065/potw1220059dw.png (http://imageshack.us)

[spikefader]

Congrats Lye. I think you should take profits and move it to another, but don't listen to me, I said AQNT was the chart to beat. I must have been on drugs, cuz look at it, double top, lower lows, sheesh. AMLN is the chart to beat now. Honestly dudes, Lye!, scallop pattern, wonderful pattern (read up on 'em - they work both long and short). AMLN has them scallops, and it's a quad breakout, runaway gap back there on huge volume, that's going to 50 in a hurry and beyond for a few months I think. Hope this doen't put the curse on it jiesen :eek shhhhh!

Sowers up on the leaderboard again; wow dude. Nice. And great to see billyjoe there too! Buy yall watch out for me runnin up yer rear and blowing by you with ELN! hehe I gotta finish the year strong at least!! I've put in a woeful display in potw of late. Would be nice to get 20% this week as ELN rockets to 16.50 resistance in 3 days. Ah, ya gotta dream.

[jiesen]

...AMLN is the chart to beat now. Honestly dudes, Lye!, scallop pattern, wonderful pattern (read up on 'em - they work both long and short). AMLN has them scallops, and it's a quad breakout, runaway gap back there on huge volume, that's going to 50 in a hurry and beyond for a few months I think. Hope this doen't put the curse on it jiesen :eek shhhhh!
...

hooray for scallops!

[Lyehopper]

Market lookin kinda bullish.....

I'll cover ESLR

[dmk112]

Yea, ditto LYE... cover my NTRI

[dmk112]

LYE, put me down for ATHR - long

[Lyehopper]

LYE, put me down for ATHR - long
Hey DMK.... I hate to throw the "rules" at ya dude.lol BUT.... The rules state that you can only have two picks per week. Now here's a special exception I'm gonna make..... NOW!!!! nobody yell and cuss at me OK!!!! OR..... if you want to yell and cuss me, fine.... but please do it privately so I can cuss you back in private.hehe

DMK, I gotta keep you in your second pick which was NTRI short.... Now I know you covered it already, but you obviously misunderstood the two pick rule so here's what I'll do (THIS ONCE).... I'll allow you to keep your short position on NTRI.... or I'll cover it and you gotta sit in cash the rest of the week.... I'll pretend that the ATHR pick never happened. It's your call dude stick short NTRI or go into cash?

[Runner]

DMK, I think if NTRI bust through the LOD you might have a trigger short. It failed to hold today. I'd keep an eye on it.

[dmk112]

Hey DMK.... I hate to throw the "rules" at ya dude.lol BUT.... The rules state that you can only have two picks per week. Now here's a special exception I'm gonna make..... NOW!!!! nobody yell and cuss at me OK!!!! OR..... if you want to yell and cuss me, fine.... but please do it privately so I can cuss you back in private.hehe

DMK, I gotta keep you in your second pick which was NTRI short.... Now I know you covered it already, but you obviously misunderstood the two pick rule so here's what I'll do (THIS ONCE).... I'll allow you to keep your short position on NTRI.... or I'll cover it and you gotta sit in cash the rest of the week.... I'll pretend that the ATHR pick never happened. It's your call dude stick short NTRI or go into cash?

Ok dude, keep my NTRI short.

[Lyehopper]

Jiesen's takin over the world fellas!!!! Market's improving.... Let's make some $$$$....

http://img383.imageshack.us/img383/434/potw1221054vm.png (http://imageshack.us)

[mimo_100]

Jiesen's takin over the world fellas!!!! Market's improving.... Let's make some $$$$....

http://img383.imageshack.us/img383/434/potw1221054vm.png (http://imageshack.us/)



Lye,

Good move taking some money off the table.

Tim

[Lyehopper]

I'll take ENER short....

[Lyehopper]

Top POTW movers today are

Sisterwin2's PARL.... up 4%

IIC (Doug)'s SIFY.... up 4%

Wish I would have stuck with my ESLR short..... Guess what? IN REAL LIFE I DID!!!! hahahahahaha..... Crash you dog CRASH!!!!! I love being short, it just seems so WRONG!...LOL

[skiracer]

Top POTW movers today are

Sisterwin2's PARL.... up 4%

IIC (Doug)'s SIFY.... up 4%

Wish I would have stuck with my ESLR short..... Guess what? IN REAL LIFE I DID!!!! hahahahahaha..... Crash you dog CRASH!!!!! I love being short, it just seems so WRONG!...LOL

And here comes Spike into the top of the stretch blazing past the laggards and taking aim on the leaders. I hope he wins big time this week.

[sowersnc]

I'll cover my NGAS short and I think that will do it for me for the week. I don't want to screw up again like I did last week.

[sowersnc]

Changed my mind. I'll go with a safe one that should give me a little bit more.
BUY UNH.

[jiesen]

I'll take ENER short....

ouch! I guess cash was the place to be after all...

[jiesen]

Top POTW movers today are

Sisterwin2's PARL.... up 4%

IIC (Doug)'s SIFY.... up 4%

Wish I would have stuck with my ESLR short..... Guess what? IN REAL LIFE I DID!!!! hahahahahaha..... Crash you dog CRASH!!!!! I love being short, it just seems so WRONG!...LOL

Was going to go into cash myself today, but with SIFY on a rampage, I think AMLN will need to step up a few more dimes to capture the title this week.

[Runner]

Ok dude, keep my NTRI short.
Good eye DMK

[spikefader]

ouch! I guess cash was the place to be after all...
Ya, I didn't wanna post this before out of respect.......

http://img249.imageshack.us/img249/4059/enerdec22longbias4yn.jpg (http://imageshack.us)

[Lyehopper]

Changed my mind. I'll go with a safe one that should give me a little bit more.
BUY UNH.
LOL.... It's very hard to sit in cash, ain't it Sowers?

I should have sit tight in cash.... or better yet kept my first pick all week. Live and learn I guess.

Actually because of the limited trades allowed it makes this game much more complex and difficult to win than one might think.

[Lyehopper]

Ya, I didn't wanna post this before out of respect.......

http://img249.imageshack.us/img249/4059/enerdec22longbias4yn.jpg (http://imageshack.us)
Thanks Spike!.... You're a sweetheart dude. Hey! you influenced my decision to cover my short yesterday.... Real slick move there Spike, using POTW psycological warefare!....LOL.... first you enter a dead pick (BEL) to make the competitors think you're crazy, sell it quickly then enter a runner when nobody's lookin.... Throw the (then) leader off balance by planting seeds of doubt about his origional short. Then posting a chart of his new short pick to further screw up his head! You're a pro Spike. hehehe....

This game is kinda like Survivor POTW. Ski and Spike have formed an alliance.... Sowers and me have formed a "short" alliance and Jiesen, IIC and Webs and the other players?... well nobody can figure out where they stand yet. Hey Spike? How about we bring back the FA vs TA team concept and make it more of a "POTW Survivor" team contest? Just gotta work out the guidelines.... Might be fun huh? You'd have to run it Spike.... my time's gettin tight.

[spikefader]

lol, no duuuude, you got it all wrong! hehe hilarious. I honestly would have covered where you did. Your mistake was not getting on board when that channel line support broke! Shoot, the SHS pattern was there with the neckline break to justify it! hehe Don't blame me! haha

And you're right about this game being survivor though. Not so sure about the TA FA thing. It was a disaster last time. lol Not sure we'll ever agree on terms! hehe But even if we did, I'd want someone else to run it to start with. If someone got it up and running smooth, I'd volunteer to help with tracking/scoring every now and then. But not sure the FA guys could resist daytrading 'em. And I'm not even sure if it's wrong for 'em to want to.

Lord, look at ESLR fall.....that piece of junk! hehe I'm innocent of all responsibility!

[sowersnc]

LOL.... It's very hard to sit in cash, ain't it Sowers?

I should have sit tight in cash.... or better yet kept my first pick all week. Live and learn I guess.

Actually because of the limited trades allowed it makes this game much more complex and difficult to win than one might think.


It sure is. I probably would have been better holding my NGAS short, but UNH shouldn't kill me like SEB did last week. I am doing my best to sit on cash in real life. I'm expecting a buying opportunities as last minute tax selling happens. I really have no clue as to what will happen in January. Business/economic conditions seem good enough but will that reflect in the market...

[jiesen]

I think SIFY has already trampled all hopes of anyone else winning this week.

Nice pick, there, Doug!

[IIC]

Well..At least I made over 3% on SIFY myself this week...but yesterday I was watching it and almost bot it back...but I was so busy watching SPX charts yesterday and RUT charts today I missed the rebound...Doug

[Lyehopper]

Fellas I gotta post the POTW score tomorrow morning. I'm deleriously sleepy. Worked my butt off today, got home very late, my farm help is out of town for the holidays so I just finished feeding around 300 cows and I'm BEAT!

[grebnet]

My WPCS is runnin neck and neck with SIFY,

[jiesen]

true, you can never count the Grebster out! We'd probably have done pretty well by buying your POTW picks... and yes, it looks like it's you and IIC neck and neck for the finish, but there's still time for AMLN to make a last minute dash for the gold:

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?t=5d&s=WPCS&l=on&z=m&q=l&c=sify+amln

[jiesen]

wow, Grebnet, you're the MAN! 15% in only a week, now that's impressive! Congrats on a great pick with WPCS.

[skiracer]

Grebs,
Uncanny. Congrats on another win. Did you own it? Ya know it doesn't count if you don't own it.

[RL]

Grebs great win fantastic, are you going to let us now why you picked this stock wpcs

[Websman]

Congrats Greb!!!

I celebrate your victory, but at the same time I am agonizing over my humiliating defeat. Have I lost my touch? ... nah.

I'll be fine after I drink some of Lye's Goji Brandy.

[spikefader]

Wow Greb. Pretty to watch. But ya know, I'm not surprized. You are HUGE. I am buying calls for every pick you put in. Lye, now there's a cool idea. Just for fun, any picks of the top 5 that have options for them, pick out of the money/near the money calls (puts for shorts) and watch the amazing percentages mount up. I think we'll all be amazed at the hugeness of it. Or if that's too nuts, then perhaps straddle for each pick. The only problem will be whether the picks have options though. WPCS doesn't...SIFY does, AMLN does, CERN does.... something to think about anyway.

Webs, your hugeness still hasn't worn off. That streak you had will be good for a couple months of average performance hehe.

[IIC]

Well...I don't know the Official Results...but SIFY did a Spike Fade today...SO, CONGRATS GREB...http://bestsmileys.com/christmas2/9.gif

[jiesen]

Nice dancing Santa there, Doug!

Anyway, I'm sticking with AMLN long again for the Christmas POTW.

[Lyehopper]

I am very sorry about the delay in posting this fellas. I'm just very covered up and short handed on the farm this week.... Johnny's back Tuesday.... You sometimes forget how valuable a good employee is untill you have to do ALL the work yourself. But I've enjoyed it too.... I feel very satisfied.... I think working on a cattle farm will make you live longer....Well.... That is unless a bull stomps you when your back's turned, a tractor turns over on you or you get caught in a PTO shaft or something like that.lol

Good job with the picks this weeks guys.... You fellas are HUGE!!!!

http://img383.imageshack.us/img383/9844/potw1222057ur.png (http://imageshack.us)

I'll try my best to get the points leaders listed before Tuesday on my thread.

[Peter Hansen]

Lye wow you must be up to your knees in BS there on the farm. Wish you a Merry Christmas and a Happy, Healthy and Prosperous New Year! Lye I am sure all of the guys here appreciate your hard work and sense of humor, and that ain't no "BULL" HOC for me ........thank you !

[Karel]

Again in the red! No matter. But while my POTW picks fare badly, my Mechanical Fund continues to trounce the POTW (http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showpost.php?p=34086&postcount=31), much to my amazement. So I trust it will all come out in the wash and I confirm that I am still holding CMCO, and that I will be holding it until the last trump, or an explicit change. This call is just to make Lye's work a bit more easy.

Regards,

Karel

[Runner]

I’ll be gone this week but my pick will be WMB long. It appears to have just completed or still in the process of completing the 4th wave. Also this stock is in tune with the sector and sub sector. I also like the ABC corrective wave the sector has put in. So what ever happens happens. 5th wave target should clear old highs. If stalls I'd dump it.

[mimo_100]

Lye,

I will be gone most of the week.

My pick is TEVA long.

Tim

[Gatorman]

Working on such a short week, anything can happen.
Let's try PAY long and see if it will be nice.

[skiracer]

DYN - long

[MickyMouse]

AXJ long. See if this one gets me into green.

Happy holidays!

Micky

[Gary611]

Happy New Year to everyone "in the game."
Santa left me this pick in my stocking!!
ABB long!!
-Gary

[Websman]

I'll take CDV long. I bought it in my real portfolio last week.

[IIC]

Contest Over...I take MEK long

[billyjoe]

Lye,
ANST long again

billyjoe

[grebnet]

This will be a goofy week with too many people sitting home trying to make money. Makes for a trading week ,not a buy and hold..So Ill start in Cash $$$$

Happy Holidays everyone.

[RL]

The dart says STAA [LONG]

[skiracer]

Lye,
Cancel that buy on DYN. I think I'll sit in cash until I see how a couple of things play out this morning.

[Peter Hansen]

Lye cancel HOC put me in (COBR) .....I like the Chart! Thank You!

[ParkTwain]

TWGP for me this week. Just traded at 21.87

[Karel]

Boring, boring: CMCO opened 4.5% over previous weeks close! Oh well, it looks nice in my real portfolio.

Regards,

Karel

[spikefader]

Long BEL please!

[grebnet]

Ill go long FTEK

[Lyehopper]

This will be a goofy week with too many people sitting home trying to make money. Makes for a trading week ,not a buy and hold..So Ill start in Cash $$$$

Happy Holidays everyone.
The current rules don't allow for an opening "cash" play, they do allow you to make a pick any time Monday (before the market closes) then move to cash.

Hmmmm.... The rules should allow an opening cash position as long as you post it. Greb, since you put up the effort to post your play (cash) I'll allow it with no penality in the points.

This is the last week of the year and a new contest and points race starts next week. If you (anyone) have additional suggestions that might make the contest better (without making it highly complicated for the scorekeeper) please post your thoughts.

Here's an cool idea for next year (thanks to Greb)....

You can start the week "in cash" by posting the "cash" position by the end of the trading day Monday.... To play it safe, just post your "cash position" play during the weekend and you are entered in the POTW.

If desired, you may stay in cash all week and avoid a penality in the points.

Of course, any time during the week you may play (max) two stocks (one at a time like the old rules) and move back into cash between picks.

If you opt to stay in cash for the week your score would be 0.0% (not -5.0% which is the penality for nonparticipation)

[spikefader]

I like that new rule Lye. It's realistic that one can't find something to play, and will only help the bottom line I think.

An additional rule of limit order would be nice. For those stocks with wide spread and you want a smart entry for it.... but it does make it a bit more work having to set an alarm.

If you like, I can track all limit orders and either call the real-time fill, or if I'm away from the keyboard, research time and sales when I'm back to ensure the fill took place.

[Lyehopper]

Boring, boring: CMCO opened 4.5% over previous weeks close! Oh well, it looks nice in my real portfolio.

Regards,

Karel
Karel Maybe we need a monthly contest like the Aussies have, they call it a monthly "stock tipping" contest. They have around 30 players and keeping score is very easy. Each player enters one pick before the begining of the new month and the portfolio closes at the end of the month then starts over with a new contest the following month. Why don't you start a new thread.... the POTM contest. It would be interesting to see who picks good longer term stocks. The Aussies had about five players over 20% in Nov....

[sowersnc]

This market does look ugly but I will pick BTU long. It is getting beaten up good today and I am out of time for today to find a better one. I won't feel confident enough to buy this one with real money based on the overal market.

[Lyehopper]

I like that new rule Lye. It's realistic that one can't find something to play, and will only help the bottom line I think.

An additional rule of limit order would be nice. For those stocks with wide spread and you want a smart entry for it.... but it does make it a bit more work having to set an alarm.

If you like, I can track all limit orders and either call the real-time fill, or if I'm away from the keyboard, research time and sales when I'm back to ensure the fill took place.
NOW that's a deal Spike! I really want to allow limit orders but I beleive it will take too much of my time and I think it can become complicated if guidelines aren't set..... BUT.... If you'd track those for me that would be AWESOME and we could allow limit orders starting next week!

So a player could post his "intent to play" by posting one of the following:

(1) a "cash" position,
(2) a buy/short at "open" position
(3) a buy/short real "time of posting" position
(4) a buy/short "limit order".... If the limit did not fill the player is safe and simply parked in "cash" till the limit fills.

I DO however, think the limit play should count as (1) one of the players picks though, if it dosen't fill he must "live with it" or modify the play (or change the play alltogether) and that would count for his (2nd) second pick.

Example: A player sets a limit buy on AMLN for $40.30 today. He sees the stock come within 9 cents of the limit and reverse, he wants to play the stock and thinks it will NOT return to the limit this week so he posts..... "Cancel my AMLN limit buy.... and buy AMLN at market" he posts at 12:25 pm so he's entered @ $40.76.... In my opinion that constituted BOTH of that players picks for the week. too harsh?

What are your thoughts on this, since you'll be keeping up with it anyway. You see how complicated it could become if a player continuously changes and screws around with their limits, right?

edit... NOTE: a player is allowed to modify or change his pick (or limit) without recourse as long as he does it before the market opens Monday morning.

[Lyehopper]

ESLR short.....

[Karel]

Karel Maybe we need a monthly contest like the Aussies have, ...Lye, I don't really mind. And I like Spike's Portfolio of the Year idea even better than a POTM. I hope his idea takes off too!

Regards,

Karel

[Lyehopper]

Lye, I don't really mind. And I like Spike's Portfolio of the Year idea even better than a POTM. I hope his idea takes off too!

Regards,

Karel
But on the marketocracy portfolio we can't see the other players actual picks unless we pay right?.... I looked at yours and only saw the totals.... for all I know you really made those returns shortselling STSI or something like that. I can get more clearcut info from Jazztelinano than from that website dude....jejeje

[skiracer]

SIFY - long at 3:15 pm

[spikefader]

OK, Lye, here's what we can do with limit orders. Player posts the limit order in the thread at say 10:00am. At 10:01 I check time and sales and the limit price must have traded after 10:01 for the fill to be valid. Now, if MM or Karel want to modify the post time to include seconds, then I can track it by seconds.......

As far as modifying a limit order, I think it's fair (and not too much work) to allow a player 1 chance to change a limit order to a market order without burning a trade. So that way you get a chance for a patient entry, but if you just want 'in' you can opt for that market order and there's your 1st trade.

[Lyehopper]

AXJ long. See if this one gets me into green.

Happy holidays!

Micky
Mickey DUDE! bloody day for your pick huh?

[Lyehopper]

Well fellas this week has started off mighty red ain't it?....

I took the liberty of entering $$$Mr. Market$$$'s pick QSII in the contest this week. I can't seem to get that #$%* to play with us so I just forced him into playing this week.... like it or not. He got booted off IBD.... and booted onto the POTW all in the same day....hahaaaaaha Ernie, DUDE!!!! you don't need IBD anyhow. You've got "it all" right here....jejejeeeee

http://img394.imageshack.us/img394/6205/potw1226051lg.png (http://imageshack.us)

[Lyehopper]

....Anyway, I'm sticking with AMLN long again for the Christmas POTW.

Jiesen.... I bought a little position of AMLN last week.... and for the first time I'm watching it's action closely. This is a great stock to day trade ain't it dude? Pretty predictable IMO. I watched the chart this morning and as that triangle formed I said to myself.... "She'll drop any minute" and sure enough she did. Then @ 11:00 I said "bout time to rebound" and sure enough there she goes upward again.hehehe.... I'm gona try to daytrade this thing tomorrow for the heck of it.

[MickyMouse]

FINALLY, I got into first place, (lossing money the most contest), with my huge pick AXJ. Let me stay the course and see how ugly it will be.

Micky

[Websman]

CDV sucks. Maybe it's time for me to find another short pick.

[Websman]

I want to sell CDV and go short on GRMN, thurs morning.

[Gatorman]

Sell PAY tomorrow morning and take AAPL long.

[Lyehopper]

FINALLY, I got into first place, (lossing money the most contest), with my huge pick AXJ. Let me stay the course and see how ugly it will be.

Micky
Don't sweat it buddy.... happpens to us all.... Just glad you're playin.

[skiracer]

Lye,
Sell SIFY and buy PETS - long please at the open. Thanks.

[Lyehopper]

SPIKE!!!! you-da-man DUDE!!!! Spike has "wished" BEL up 3% this week, Wow!..... Maybe I can Wish ESLR down tomorrow.lol.... Lets see if he can hold the lead.

The market is feeling kinda bearish to me fellas. We'll see.

http://img455.imageshack.us/img455/3040/potw1228054ei.png (http://imageshack.us)

[ParkTwain]

I see a couple of "kindred spirit" (trading for breakouts to an all-time high pps) picks this week. That is, for ANST, PAY, and BTU, I see picks where the chart indicates a recent move (or imminent move) to a new all-time high that surpasses a recent recognizable peak or range of resistance.

After working through an ascending triangle formation, ANST is sitting right at previously established resistance of about a month's duration and indicates an imminent breakout above 35.50. In my experience, what gives this kind of setup an even higher probability of success is to find that the RSI plot is already in an uptrend of about 1 month's duration and has a present measure >60 to 65. We almost have this for ANST so it is a close call. Buying in anticipation of the breakout is one way to play it, or buying just after the breakout (but within about 5% to 8% of the resistance point, to allow for an 8% or so stop loss after the buy) is another. Sometimes the breakout can take the pps way beyond 8% of the pivot; the stock's previous history might give you a tell on that. Or you can use other technical indicators, such as the Bollinger Band width plot available at stockcharts.com, that might give a tell for pent-up bullish energy.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=ANST,uu[h,a]daolyyay[dc][pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!Ll14]&pref=G

PAY made its breakout last Friday (beyond a previous peak established in early Nov 2005) but has retraced in the next two sessions including today. Again, before buying this breakout I would be looking for a rising RSI going into the breakout day, which wasn't quite the case for PAY. This one may still give very good appreciation in the next week or two (perhaps longer).

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=PAY,uu[h,a]daolyyay[dd][pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!Ll14]&pref=G

BTU is also working its way back (via an ascending triangle formation) to a previous all-time high pps peak established in early October 2005. At today's close it is about 4.5% from that high. The RSI is in a slight uptrend since mid November 2005, a positive tell. However, the ADX plot has not yet turned northward, which would indicate the presence of a new trending behavior. Use the stock's recent pps volatility to determine whether a buy in anticipation of an imminent breakout is premature.

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=BTU,uu[h,a]daolyyay[dd][pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!Ll14]&pref=G

[skiracer]

Lye,
Sell SIFY and buy PETS - long please at the open. Thanks.

Lye,
Change that to sell SIFY and to short GM. Thanks.

[Lyehopper]

I want to sell CDV and go short on GRMN, thurs morning.
Hey Webs! DUDE! your CDV rally'd today, up nearly 10%.... Guess you were on to something there.... Don't ya just hate it when that happens!....lol

How about Poorman's MFLX? up HUGE today!!!! I used to own that stock @ around $16.... didn't think it had that much gas in it.... BOY was I WRONG!!!!

Who wanted to play it in the TA vs FA contest?.... Was that DMK or Runner? Really Hope someone here owned it. Haven't heard any talk about it though.

[Lyehopper]

GARY!!!! DUDE! you've taken the lead! nice pick.... Spike's in second.... Greb has 3rd....

hmmmmm.... Will $$$Mr. Market$$$ end the week green? Tomorrow's the last trading day of 2005!!!! Who will win this last 2005 POTW?.... STAY TUNED FELLAS and see.... This could be HUUUUUGE!!!!

http://img525.imageshack.us/img525/2792/potw1229058rp.png (http://imageshack.us)

[sowersnc]

Sell BTU buy CHB

[mimo_100]

just got back ---- wooooooooohhhhhhhh

Sell TEVA Buy PARL

[sisterwin2]

Ok Gents....... I am doing my research for 2006. I want to start from the beginning and I will only get two vac this yr.

Be READY for me... hhehehehehehe

dena

[jiesen]

I'm going to go long AMLN again for next week (not that I'm complaining, but why wasn't my AMLN pick for this week entered?).

[Websman]

The Vulcan fails to win again...

[Lyehopper]

I'm going to go long AMLN again for next week (not that I'm complaining, but why wasn't my AMLN pick for this week entered?).
DUDE!!! I'm very sorry about that.... I swear I knew you picked it.... but I somehow forgot to enter it.... I'll put in the final scorecard tonight.

[Peter Hansen]

I must shift gears here. I will simply take the largest gain percent NASDAQ stock on Friday with lousy fundamentals and short it! LINKE seems to fit perfectly.......SHORT (LINKE) Thanks Lye!

[Karel]

Lye, here's the reminder: CMCO long. This week wasn't bad: up 3.2% (calculated from the close of the previous week :) ).

Regards,

Karel

[skiracer]

PETS - long

[Gary611]

RWC ----long

[Lyehopper]

Guys!!! sorry I'm late with this.... again.

SPIKEFADER WINS THE LAST POTW of 2005!!! and the top it off he picked one of $$$Mr. Market$$$'s old (less than stellar) picks.... $$$Mr. Market$$$ likes BEL, Spike likes BEL..... What the hell?... I like BEL...hehe..... SPIKE you are HUGE DUDE!!!!

Gary finishes a strong second... Sowers 3rd.... and ParkTwain finished green in 4th.... Way to go fellas!!! you guys are pretty HUGE in my book too!

Thanks to all The players for their participation in 2005..... 2006 will be a HUGE year for the POTW and $$$Mr Market$$$'s forum in general. Please play often and remember the points race starts new this year.

I'll try my best to post the new and improved rules tonight. And the points totals for 2005.

http://img258.imageshack.us/img258/5838/potw1230059qe.png (http://imageshack.us)

[Websman]

I'll take MFLX short. It has a gap to fill.

[IIC]

wtg Spike and to the others that ended green...but overall we sure did cr*ppy last week.

Although I was pretty bad w/ MEK...I still think it is worth keeping an eye on FWIW...Doug(IIC)

[Lyehopper]

Hey fellas.... How about we start the new "2006" points race next Monday 12-09-06?.... (edit) duhhhh!!! 01-09-06.... Where am I? (end edit)..... I'm sure there are several who are on vacation still or are still trying to sober up from the holiday.hahahaaaa.... Plus this is a short week. We'll call this week a practice week for the real thing.... any objections?

http://img253.imageshack.us/img253/1390/potw06rules19ms.png (http://imageshack.us)

[Lyehopper]

My opening pick this week is "CASH"

[IIC]

Geez Lye...So many rules.

Also, I would like to voice my objection...the first week should count...the market doesn't stop because someone is on vacation...And anyway...who takes vacation this week anyway again?

Also...I think you meant 1/09...not 12/09.

And also...she is not my girlfriend.

And also again...since you are going with "Cash"...I'm going with First Cash...FCFS long this week...although I'm not interested in possibly buying it unless it cracks 30...Happy New Year...Doug(IIC)

[spikefader]

Lye!!!! You're alive dude. I was beginning to think your farm hands tied you up during big New Years Party :)

BEL! haha Thank you thank you :D it's extra sweet after all that red! hehe

Doug, MEK looks very nice. Looks like you got a 2 of 5 and it's ready to rocknroll this week.

I'm going with MDR for this practice week. Good luck to everyone.

[skiracer]

I think there should be a lower limit placed on the price of a stock. Something like $4 or $5 limit.

[Websman]

I think there should be a lower limit placed on the price of a stock. Something like $4 or $5 limit.

Some of my best picks have been under $4. :)

[Websman]

Scratch my short play on MFLX.

After reading Lyes new rules, I'm going with "CASH"

[skiracer]

Some of my best picks have been under $4. :)
Webs,
Nothing directed at you or anyone. Just much easier to get a larger % gain on the under $5 and lower stocks in my opinion. Just my feelings and no big one way or another. I do feel that it is a strategy to get the larger % gain an if you own them it's great. Takes alot less to move to a much larger % gain with the cheaper ones than with one over $15 or $20. I just feel that raising the limit to $5 an above would make it that much more interesting or even to $10 an above. Try it out and compare the % gains to previous weeks.

[sekto]

hey lye this is my first week participating in POTW so here goes nothing..

I pick NOVA Long

[grebnet]

Lets try RGEN

[New-born baby]

Lye-baby!
Here's a short for you: NFI.
I'll try to post in the A.M for the price action.
Here's a chart:
http://img304.imageshack.us/img304/3125/chart15mw.gif

[New-born baby]

Folks,
This ain't no time to be taking a long. The market is going to bust this week.
Lye, I might just take WMT short. Look at this awful looking triangle. And she busted out to the South already. No waiting needed. I almost took this as my stock of the Year: short.

the LYE-link:
http://img373.imageshack.us/img373/7830/chart12po.gif