View Full Version : Portfolio of the Week - 2009
Odysseus
12-28-2008, 11:54 PM
Greetings everyone !
Welcome to another year of stock picking with your fellow Mr. Market readers. The rules are listed below, as well as they are on the scoreboard which is linked below my name.
You start with $10,000, and try to make more money than your competitors. And since the name of the contest is Portfolio of the Week, special recognition will be going to those who can sit in the top three slots come the end of the week more often than the rest.
If you have any suggestions for a change in the rules, or statistics, or graphs that you wouldn't mind seeing, please post. Otherwise give us your top picks and may the best trader win !
Good luck all !
RULES:
Stocks listed on NYSE, NASDAQ, and AMEX allowed. ETFs allowed. OTCBB and pink sheet stocks not allowed.
$2 minimum for cheapest stock price.
Weekly contest begins after the close of market of the prior week's last day of trading.
A pick before the weekly contest's first day of open trading will get the first day's open price.
A pick during open trading is Real Time, with the price matching the post time of your pick....(No negotiations allowed.)
A pick after market hours will get the following day's open price.
Your position will automatically be LONG if you do not mention play with your pick.
CLOSE first position, and OPEN a new position is available after close of market of the week's first day of trading, and anytime thereafter.
Real Time CLOSE and OPEN prices used during open trading,with prices matching the post time of your position change....(No negotiations allowed.)
CLOSE and OPEN orders after market will trade at the closing prices for that day.
CLOSE and OPEN position requests must be mentioned in the same post to qualify.
Three position max. limit per week.
Cash position allowed only on third position.
The close of market on the week's last day of trading concludes the game for the week…..
INDICATORS:
Google Finance used for close and high prices.
Google Finance used for real time pricing dispute.
Entry on market indicators match contest deadlines to compare your results against the market's performance.
POTW SCOREKEEPER DISCLAIMER:
"Portfolio of the week-2009" (POTW) is a game only and should not be considered as financial advise….
peanuts
12-29-2008, 12:44 AM
This contest is great, Ody. Thanks a million!
I'll kick off the year with FCX long, please
Peter Hansen
12-29-2008, 09:09 AM
UGL LONG . ODY you are doing an excellent job ...your organizational skills are ,"EXTRA ORDINARY" Thank you so much for doing such a fine job with the contest!
DO long. Thanks, Ody. Say hi to Garfield. :p
spikefader
12-29-2008, 01:51 PM
FAZ long fer me tanks Ody.
Thanks fer runnin' a fine contest!
Odysseus
12-30-2008, 01:31 AM
Thank you all and good luck, so far no greenies yet. And to make sure we only look for greenies, I was thinking you can only achieve a 1st, 2nd, or 3rd place recognition if your pick or portfolio was green at the end of the week, just in case everyone ends up in the red.
Well, trying to go with BRKR short. I think she is heading south to touch her Psar level before attempting another run up. Hopefully not until next week of course ;) Though she does look like her pattern has been up down up down, with the down being major (like yesterday) before reversing, so hopefully she breaks her pattern tomorrow.
... and the one week in the past several weeks I didn't play JASO it's up like 19% from Monday's open. And what did I play? DO! ........ or should I say DOH!
http://www.arar93.dsl.pipex.com/mds975/Images/homer_simpson_doh_02.gif
Peter Hansen
01-04-2009, 07:35 PM
TNA LONG ......Thank You!
Odysseus
01-04-2009, 08:45 PM
Congrats to Peanuts, Rob, and IIC !
Great picks already, especially FCX long which beat the Dow's gain for the week, well done !
Aye Rob, you would have crushed us all with JASO long, it would have hit +48% from a Monday entry to Friday. Doh :) You came in 2nd though this week.
Alas, only 6 of us had picks this week. Hopefully Spikefader didn't scare everyone off from his mighty win last year :) Come on foks, there's money to be made and reputations to keep ! Show us how HUGE you are !
http://img205.imageshack.us/img205/3324/potw109xx7.jpg
Had a little mix up on the image above, but was able to paste it back together ;) It won't be as psychadelic in the future, I promise
ODY will you put me In cx-long thanks and hope all have great year healthy & prosperous:):):)
Odysseus
01-04-2009, 11:35 PM
Going to try EOG long this week....
Forgot to mention that I chose EOG long based on a Psar reversal. Thinking she will hit her long Psar target this week.... though she didn't fly very high yesterday :( But she does have another candle or 2 to go north before hitting :)
Aye Rob, you would have crushed us all with JASO long, it would have hit +48% from a Monday entry to Friday.
From Monday's open to Friday's close it was up 45.78% to be exact. I always manage to be a little off on the timing, which is why I'm more of a long-term investor than a trader. To me a week is a very short horizon to look at, whereas with Douggie it's an eternity. The good news about JASO is that I own it in my real-world portfolio, and I bought it at $1.96. :):cramersmiley::cramersmiley: Beauty, eh?
My pick this week is going to be ESEA long. I see a sort of reverse head-and-shoulders pattern there, and we're on the right side of the right shoulder. I think it will break the neckline ... hopefully this week (the timing thing again).
eliaskane
01-05-2009, 09:38 AM
Odysseus, thanks for running this year's contest. Time to try this test of skill. I'd like IPHS long, please.
Karel
01-05-2009, 10:52 AM
Hi Ody, thanks for running this show!
I am still long EXM!
Regards,
Karel
spikefader
01-05-2009, 11:49 AM
FAZ long again tanks Ody.
sirtuck
01-05-2009, 09:29 PM
Sirtuck AEHR long
Odysseus
01-06-2009, 10:26 AM
Aye, welcome aboard Eliaskane !
Nice entry on JASO Rob ! Hopefully you have quite a few shares invested ;)
I've never been able to pick out head and shoulder patterns very well, but so far ESEA be heading in the right direction for you ;)
Sheesh, Spikefader's rubbing off too much on me, I sent a chat message in house here at work recently in slight pirate talk, the guy sent back an Arrrr ! So sorry ahead of time if I fall off the wagon now and again
peanuts
01-06-2009, 02:54 PM
I'll take SLW long, please and thank you
You really do a great job with this, Ody.
skiracer
01-06-2009, 10:24 PM
qcor - long please ody.
spikefader
01-10-2009, 09:07 AM
ARrrrrrgh!
Arrrgh, indeed, ye bloomin' rapscallion. A see-saw battle 'twas fer a spell t' be sure. Congratulations on yer conquest and takin' of the gold booty this week!
http://img74.imageshack.us/img74/5060/clappingoq3.gif (http://robby01.proboards101.com/index.cgi?board=stocks&action=display&thread=17&page=3#970)
Peter Hansen
01-11-2009, 04:52 PM
Ody BIP LONG .....Thanx
Odysseus
01-11-2009, 07:20 PM
What a week, thought we might all end up green 'till Thursday hit. Mighty fine picks by Spike, Rob and Karel !
Hmmm.... need to see why I do pretty good on Spike and Rob's contests but not my own. Sheesh
What is FAZ btw Spike? Google doesn't describe it (yes, I rely on Google too often for my descriptions )
Karel, you going to take EXM in the POTY contest? :)
Think this either be the ending of a pullback before the bullish push, or we are diving for support once again. Hang on to your hats this week, it's going to be another bumpy ride I'm thinkin' :)
http://img407.imageshack.us/img407/1539/potw209nk3.jpg
eliaskane
01-11-2009, 11:58 PM
Well, that was a modest start. :( I'd like AZZ long, please.
Hey, Elias! I had AZZ on my short list too! That is ... not to short it, but a short list of stocks to take long. :) I wish you success with it. After all the dust settled I decided to go with FRD long. So put me in FRD please Ody, and thanks.
Lyehopper
01-12-2009, 10:03 AM
What is FAZ btw Spike?
Spike, please excuse my presumptuousness by answering Ody for you.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=faz (http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=faz)
FAZ is a "3X short (Bear) ETF" (Exchange Traded Fund) That uses Triple Leverage to short sell financial securities.
So FAZ (long) is actually a short play on the financial sector X3.
FYI
Some other 3X "Bear" short ETF's are: BGZ, TZA, ERY, FAZ
Some 3X "Bull" long ETF's are: BGU, TNA, ERX, FAS
I like trading ETF's and was recently introduced to them by IIC aka "Doug-E-Fresh"....
Ody, I would like to try my money on JEC-LONG hope we all have a healthy and prosperous week:):):)
New-born baby
01-12-2009, 10:50 AM
I'll take the PCU long, pretty please.
spikefader
01-12-2009, 12:06 PM
I'll take the PCU long, pretty please.
For th' life o' me I can't see where a good sell location for this one mighta been.
http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/charts/pcu.gif
Karel
01-12-2009, 03:36 PM
Struggling with my computer...
OK, I am still long EXM. (And it probably won't be my POTY pick.)
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
01-13-2009, 11:34 AM
Congrats to the greenies!
FEED long, please and thank you.
Odysseus
01-13-2009, 06:03 PM
oops,
FEED is below the $2 limit:
$2 minimum for cheapest stock price.
New-born baby
01-13-2009, 10:50 PM
For th' life o' me I can't see where a good sell location for this one mighta been.
Look at that chart. It looked like a decent long to me. (1). Cup with handle; (2). I picked it after three red days (ie, looked like a good dip trip entry); (3.) it was sporting a triple top breakout; and (4) I was buying support on a rising trend line. Usually when you have four good reasons to buy a stock, you don't get burned so badly . . . .
Looks to me that $14.25 is a decent entry now.
http://img57.imageshack.us/img57/3943/pcuwq9.png (http://imageshack.us)
http://img57.imageshack.us/img57/pcuwq9.png/1/w460.png (http://g.imageshack.us/img57/pcuwq9.png/1/)
peanuts
01-14-2009, 10:40 AM
oops,
FEED is below the $2 limit:
aw fooey! sorry about that....
I'll take VMC long please.
Long live the Vulcans
Lyehopper
01-14-2009, 10:56 AM
Look at that chart. It looked like a decent long to me. (1). Cup with handle; (2). I picked it after three red days (ie, looked like a good dip trip entry); (3.) it was sporting a triple top breakout; and (4) I was buying support on a rising trend line. Usually when you have four good reasons to buy a stock, you don't get burned so badly . . . .
Looks to me that $14.25 is a decent entry now.
http://img57.imageshack.us/img57/3943/pcuwq9.png (http://imageshack.us)
http://img57.imageshack.us/img57/pcuwq9.png/1/w460.png (http://g.imageshack.us/img57/pcuwq9.png/1/)
NBB.... have you ever heard of "GapFib" technical theory?
Odysseus
01-14-2009, 11:06 AM
ick... I don't like this week at all. Feel like its a shorting week, but afraid of a bullish Friday.
Here's to hoping for bears, TKS Short.
Good luck all !
New-born baby
01-14-2009, 11:15 AM
NBB.... have you ever heard of "GapFib" technical theory?
Naw. Explain please.
Lyehopper
01-14-2009, 11:28 AM
Naw. Explain please.
Simply visit the following links for an explaination. Then look at Spike's chart of PCU again.
http://gapfibs.com/
http://technicaltrades.net
New-born baby
01-14-2009, 02:20 PM
Simply visit the following links for an explaination. Then look at Spike's chart of PCU again.
http://gapfibs.com/
http://technicaltrades.net
Thanks! I understand completely now. I'd never heard of GapFibs before. According to the site it was discovered by the author in 2007, so it is fairly new. I appreciate the enlightenment very much, Lye. I really do. Thanks again.
Lyehopper
01-14-2009, 03:01 PM
Ody.... put me into ERX long please.
sirtuck
01-15-2009, 12:22 AM
Sirtuck v long at the open
skiracer
01-15-2009, 09:49 AM
amcc - long please ody.
spikefader
01-15-2009, 12:06 PM
FDO long for me thanks Ody!
spikefader
01-15-2009, 12:16 PM
I'd never heard of GapFibs before.
http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showpost.php?p=94117&postcount=90 Memory fading old man? hehe
New-born baby
01-15-2009, 04:24 PM
http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showpost.php?p=94117&postcount=90 Memory fading old man? hehe
No, it ain't fading too much, at least, I don't think so. I never read up on GapFibs to begin with. It appears that I should have, though, for the sake of POTW.
spikefader
01-16-2009, 11:21 AM
Close FDO and short FELE tanks Ody.
Lyehopper
01-16-2009, 11:50 AM
Ody, Please Close ERX.... and short GT
Lyehopper
01-16-2009, 12:53 PM
Cover my GT short please..... And put me into TZA long
spikefader
01-16-2009, 03:10 PM
Cover FELE and long RDEN tanks Ody.
I'll take POT long. Thanks, Ody.
eliaskane
01-18-2009, 09:23 PM
Hmm, agricultural chemicals are rising? (POT above, ACET showing some action).
I'd like AVD long, please.
Odysseus
01-18-2009, 10:41 PM
Another win for Spike and Peanuts ! Lyehopper came in 3rd though at first I added his %'s up incorrectly and had RL for 3rd, sorry about that Lye ! ;) It was a close match for 3rd for between the 3 of us.
Congrats to the greenies, twas a rough week. The chop in these waters is causing our entries to be key. You may want to keep an eye on the market before makin' a pick.
Good luck all !
http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/9668/potw3092ld8.jpg
Karel
01-19-2009, 08:33 AM
Congratulations Spike!
I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
New-born baby
01-19-2009, 10:44 AM
PCU long, pretty please.
ODY I would like PALM-LONG thanks much:):):):)
Peter Hansen
01-19-2009, 09:23 PM
TIS LONG .......Thanx Ody!
spikefader
01-20-2009, 10:56 AM
TZA long fer me tanks Ody.
Odysseus
01-21-2009, 09:17 AM
Didn't have a lot of time to pick, but going to try AXYS short. Good luck all !
peanuts
01-22-2009, 03:56 AM
Greetings from Kuala Lumpur,
I'll take TLM long, please and thank you
Lyehopper
01-22-2009, 11:08 PM
Ody.... I'll take EAT (Long) at the open Friday Morning please sir....
peanuts
01-23-2009, 09:49 AM
I'll take TLM long, please and thank you
Sell TLM, short INTC
Lyehopper
01-23-2009, 01:03 PM
Sell EAT..... short AFL
Peter Hansen
01-25-2009, 08:11 AM
Professor Emeritus Ody........COF SHORT ......Thanx!
Odysseus
01-25-2009, 04:47 PM
Congrats Lyehopper, Rob, and Eliaskane ! This would be Lyehopper's 2nd time placing in the top 3, 3rd time for Rob, and 1st time for Eliaskane !
Lyehopper shorted Aflac (AFL) at a great time. Guessing the stock dropped sharply this week after it was downgraded. Volume for Friday alone:
Friday: 35.54M Avg Vol: 5.43M
Rob grabbed POT also at a great time, just as the entire Non-Metallic Mining had a pretty good week. Any time you can avg a 10% gain for the week, you're doin' something right :)
http://finance.google.com/finance?catid=52555323
And Eliaskane's AVD steadily went up this week, despite several fluctuations up and down this past month. Not too shabby for another rough week for the Dow.
Unfortunately the rest of us were not so lucky this week. Already seeing stories of bad news this week. Hang on tight everyone, shorting may be the correct move at the start of the week, before a bullish Friday. Hope my Stock Forecasts nay be worse than my Weather Forecasts :)
http://img519.imageshack.us/img519/5139/potw409ri2.jpg
Ok, now the bad news. I may have to trim down the time I spend working on stocks while at work, and I know my time at home online has been cut nearly in half due to trying to move, take care of a toddler, clean, etc etc.
So if there be anyone out there who wouldn't mind taking over scorekeeping, or at the very least helping out, I'd be grateful. Love competing with everyone here, and on Spike DMC and Rob's POTW as well (to which I'm doing much better on their contests, lol) and would hate to have to close shop.
Let me know, thanks and good luck all !
peanuts
01-25-2009, 07:47 PM
I wish I could help, Ody. You do a great job, and this is loads of fun. If you can, please put me in AAUK, long first thing Monday morning.
Thank you very much
New-born baby
01-25-2009, 10:29 PM
HK long for me.
Thanks for your great work, Ody.
HYDROTURBINE
01-25-2009, 11:01 PM
my name is MY COUSIN VINNY..
HUGE shorts covering
big celebrities pissing money into STEM..
NOW.when the bell rings.
I'll take Murphy Oil (MUR) long, please, Ody. Any company that can make such great furniture soap is bound to do well. :phttp://www.mrmarketishuge.com/images/icons/icon12.gif:cramersmiley::cool:
Ody will you put me In HAL-LONG Hope all have a great week:):):)
spikefader
01-26-2009, 11:11 AM
Short STEM tanks Ody. Sorry to be readin' ye need a hyatus from scoring. But ye've earned whatever ye take. TANKS fer contributin' all ye have here.
eliaskane
01-26-2009, 07:24 PM
I'd like to stick with AVD long.
spikefader
01-28-2009, 10:57 AM
Cover STEM and buy FAZ tanks Ody.
peanuts
01-28-2009, 03:36 PM
I wish I could help, Ody. You do a great job, and this is loads of fun. If you can, please put me in AAUK, long first thing Monday morning.
Thank you very much
Please sell AAUK for me and I'd like to go into HOKU long
Odysseus
01-29-2009, 08:40 AM
Will do Peanuts ;)
Going to try XEC long this week. Think she's a risk, but willing to try since all my other picks here have been terrible. She doesn't have the best pattern for a Psar hit that I usually look for, but she has it generally.
Oh and no worries, I should be able to keep score for the entire year, but I may be slow in my response times. So as long as no one minds that, we should be good. But if someone was available to keep up with it, I'd be much obliged.
Good luck all ! 2 days to go :)
Karel
01-29-2009, 11:05 AM
Oops forgot to enter EXM as my pick for this week. Better late than never, I hope!
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
01-29-2009, 02:54 PM
Please sell AAUK for me and I'd like to go into HOKU long
I think both AAUK and HOKU will both be great LT stocks. AAUK handles precious metals which will thwart inflation, and HOKU has outstanding solar industry exposure as well as LCD production exposure. I chose these this week due to the recent weakness and I'm hoping for a technical bounce
Lyehopper
01-30-2009, 11:45 AM
Mornin' Ody.... SEPR (Long) please
Lyehopper
01-30-2009, 04:55 PM
Sell SEPR.... Short AFL
Odysseus
02-01-2009, 06:40 PM
gah ! Me eyes must be mistaken !
So yesterday I noticed that the time for some people's picks was off by an hour (unless they be thinkin' they can close and open a new trade after hours on Friday ;) )
But no, I'm not seeing things. Yesterday at the bottom of the screen it said this:
All times are GMT -4
today it says this
All times are GMT -5
I'm.... I'm baffled ;) Going to check everyone prices as I know Spike's was off a wee bit. Going to have to check the bottom of the screen from now on for everyone picks.
Btw, before I forget again. Bat, where did you go? Hope all is well on your end....
Odysseus
02-01-2009, 07:32 PM
There we go. Luckily only a few people were affected from the time difference.
Thank you Spike for noting your picks were off, and congrats again for another great win ! Peter Hansen and Peanuts followed suit with some well earned double-digit returns placing them 2nd and 3rd for the week !
Spike timed his entries and exits nearly perfectly this week as the market went up then down. Peanuts did almost the same with AAUK and HOKU, and a good exit in general from AAUK as she was just kept going down Friday. Peter's pick with COF was just good as is from Monday to Friday. It was a slippery slope to green for a great short !
http://img87.imageshack.us/img87/9483/potw509zm4.jpg
Well, my forecast was good, wish my stock pick had been the same. Only 4 of us who have been playing these past 5 weeks have not placed in the top 3. Time for us to break out the good picks.... what time is Cramer on again? ;) :cramersmiley:
Good luck all !
New-born baby
02-01-2009, 09:27 PM
HK has more left it in. I'll take it long again, please.
It's a wicked, wicked market; one in which it is exceedingly difficult to know what to do. What to do ... what to do ... what to DO!
And there is the answer: DO long, please, Ody.
Diamond Offshore Drilling (http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=DO&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p51512675323) is scheduled to report earnings this Thursday, and analysts are expecting 2.35. The PEG is an attractive 0.3. Like so many good companies, they've been beaten down in this shaky economic climate, probably more than reality warrants. And while it is true the market can remain irrational longer than most of us can remain solvent, in the final analysis all we can do is take our best shot.
Peter Hansen
02-02-2009, 07:57 AM
COF SHORT this financial stock is still in deep DO DO ! No PUN Intended !
Karel
02-02-2009, 08:13 AM
Same, same as previous week. I am still long EXM.
Congratulations to spike, you're HUGE!
Regards,
Karel
Ody please put me In X-LONG thanks.Hope every-one has a great week:):):):)
spikefader
02-02-2009, 11:30 AM
STX short thanks Ody.
eliaskane
02-03-2009, 07:14 PM
Can't make heads or tails of the market this week. I'll stay in cash.
Odysseus
02-04-2009, 01:06 PM
My guess would be that she's ranging again between 8k and somewhere in the mid to upper 8X00's. But I agree Eliaskane, think I may wait 'till Friday to make a pick. Either that or go opposite of what I think for my pick. Course, that'll be the one time I'm right
New-born baby
02-04-2009, 02:40 PM
You simply have to love that HK--to $30.
peanuts
02-05-2009, 10:34 AM
GLNG long please and thank you!
peanuts
02-05-2009, 01:57 PM
GLNG long please and thank you!
I like Golar LNG here because the p/e ratio is low and dividend yield is high. This is a secure dividend and a company in a leading market position. It should have many years of upward price movement. In the short term, this seems very attractive for a quick gain. We'll see....
New-born baby
02-05-2009, 06:15 PM
I like Golar LNG here because the p/e ratio is low and dividend yield is high. This is a secure dividend and a company in a leading market position. It should have many years of upward price movement. In the short term, this seems very attractive for a quick gain. We'll see....
HK, my man; HK.
Odysseus
02-06-2009, 09:01 AM
hehe aye, I was reading somewhere else as well that they were expecting to see HK 30, I'll have to try and find that post
Going for DD long today.... just looking for a green return here....
New-born baby
02-08-2009, 04:34 PM
Look at the GooG chart, boys. Even MM could pick up a 15%er off of it now.
Odysseus
02-08-2009, 05:15 PM
Aye New-born, she's looking good. Wonder how well people are taking Googles new tracking system (http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20090207/google_tech_090208/20090208?hub=SciTech). Pretty neat, and scary at the same time
Btw, congrats on coming in 3rd this week with HK ! Going to play her to 30? :)
Karel came in first with EXM and RL took 2nd with X, all three with double-digit returns ! Nice work
All of us as a group did really well. Most weeks last year we as a group were averaging in the red, so far we are green 3 of the 6 weeks of this year, not bad at all. Let's try and keep that up. Then we'll have proof we could be a financial investment team and start charging ;)
Good luck all !
http://img25.imageshack.us/img25/1066/potw609uh2.jpg
New-born baby
02-08-2009, 05:26 PM
Wow. I'm green again.
I thought I'd won it this week. 3rd place instead.
Yes, I like HK to $30 please.
billyjoe
02-08-2009, 05:28 PM
Look at the GooG chart, boys. Even MM could pick up a 15%er off of it now.
New-born,
According to IBD rules it's about 15 points too extended unless they've changed their rules again.
-------------billy
Peter Hansen
02-08-2009, 07:46 PM
Iag long >>>>>>thanx!
New-born baby
02-08-2009, 10:18 PM
New-born,
According to IBD rules it's about 15 points too extended unless they've changed their rules again.
-------------billy
I like it to $425 as a first target. Are you saying that it is $15 past the 5% above the cup lip? IN any case I see a resistance at $375, but I think Goog will carry past it. WE shall see . . . I don't have any money invested in it. Too rich for my blood.
Karel
02-09-2009, 03:53 AM
Well, well, well! I am pleased. And still long EXM...
Regards,
Karel
Rob will try to HEW out another profit this week with HEW long!
http://bp3.blogger.com/_HBXQHLBTx1g/Rlk0jtvOH-I/AAAAAAAAAK4/8h3o453VcYo/s400/lumberjack_chopping_at_tree_hg_clr.gif
ODY Please put me In FCX-LONG good luck to all:):):):)
peanuts
02-09-2009, 10:25 AM
ODY Please put me In FCX-LONG good luck to all:):):):)
Good to see you around again, Ray
I love this stock for a 2 year buy and hold.
peanuts
02-10-2009, 11:25 AM
NM short, please and thank you
spikefader
02-10-2009, 11:42 AM
FAZ long thanks Ody.
WOW! I got lost there and couldn't find my way back for awhile.. glad to see the contest in still going on.
bat will try STI long... thanks Peanut
WHOOPS I mean Ody! instead of Peanut!
peanuts
02-11-2009, 10:38 AM
NM short, please and thank you
The reason for my short was a rumor yesterday. This morning, I find it to be true: LINK (http://www.forbes.com/2009/02/10/dryships-samsun-logix-markets-equity-0210_shipping_42.html?partner=yahootix)
I think that the shippers will be in the dirt by the end of this week, but I still may exit early if I find another good opportunity.
Rumor mills are running strong... market seems to be trading less on fundamentals and more on fear :eek: The VIX should be taking off again
Odysseus
02-11-2009, 11:27 PM
Welcome back Bat ! I put up a post a while back wonderin' where you'ld gone off to. Hope all is well on your end
Going to try ENER short this week. Still applying my Psar pattern identification... great for short runs but not so good for weekly trades.
Good luck all !
Ody, glad to be back and thanks for thinking about me. We are finally on the right track to getting things healed. The wife had a lot of problems and I was still recouping but later we are doing pretty good. Hopefully we will have a healthy wealthy year for all.
bat
peanuts
02-12-2009, 12:44 PM
Please cover NM
Go long UUP. Thank you!
I'm going to go against a long term trade concept that I have and actually buy the US Dollar. It has been forming a triangle for 1 month now after breaking through a resistance line. The chart of the $USD does not reflect a move up, yet, but looking at the chart of UUP, it seems that traders are positioning themselves for a breakout from the triangle to the upside:
http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/456/uup021209ui9.png (http://imageshack.us)
http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/uup021209ui9.png/1/w640.png (http://g.imageshack.us/img24/uup021209ui9.png/1/)
Welcome back, Bat... good to hear things are improving. :)
Odysseus
02-15-2009, 04:15 PM
Spikefader does it again, his 4th time coming in first for the year ! Can't overlook Peanuts either, as this is his 4th time placing as well ! Congrats to you both ! Peter Hansen comes in third for his second placing of the year with IAG, well done !
Tough week for everyone, but if you came out green you were doing good. Question is now will the market continue south to test new lows, or continue it's ranging up and down into the 8k's and back to the 7k's..... time will tell. Good luck all !
http://img8.imageshack.us/img8/9163/potw709qx9.jpg
New-born baby
02-15-2009, 10:59 PM
Unless I change my mind before the open, I'm leaving HK in the dirt and taking
TSYS long.
Karel
02-16-2009, 08:39 AM
Congratulations, spike!
I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
New-born baby
02-16-2009, 08:22 PM
Please cover NM
Go long UUP. Thank you!
I'm going to go against a long term trade concept that I have and actually buy the US Dollar. It has been forming a triangle for 1 month now after breaking through a resistance line. The chart of the $USD does not reflect a move up, yet, but looking at the chart of UUP, it seems that traders are positioning themselves for a breakout from the triangle to the upside
Not in love with this potential trade, Peanuts. But then again, I'm not married to it, either.
Looking for USD to pullback, myself.
Peter Hansen
02-17-2009, 06:27 AM
Ody SKF LONG THANX!
FFH long, please, Ody. I thank ye.
ODY, Please put me In THOR-LONG Thank you:):):)
peanuts
02-17-2009, 01:25 PM
Not in love with this potential trade, Peanuts. But then again, I'm not married to it, either.
Looking for USD to pullback, myself.
jejejeje... up nicely today. Traders moved in when I said, but when will they move out? Are they making a home, or just squating?
yeah, long term, I don't think too many countries will continue to think of it as the world reserve currency... something else may take its place
peanuts
02-17-2009, 01:28 PM
Congrats Spike!
AG long and strong, please and thank you!
It's great to see some members coming back
bat will enter in with a hopeful note that the financial will reverse and start to go up...
STI long again!
spikefader
02-19-2009, 03:57 PM
Tanks gents. Grats Peanuts on a solid 2nd.
AGCY short fer me tanks Ody.
Odysseus
02-19-2009, 11:20 PM
Couldn't find AGCY Spike, but Lyehopper said you meant ACGY... let me know if that is correct. I've set you up with ACGY ;)
Going to try HA long... need a good laugh at all my horrible picks this year
spikefader
02-20-2009, 12:40 AM
Couldn't find AGCY Spike, but Lyehopper said you meant ACGY... let me know if that is correct. I've set you up with ACGY ;)
Going to try HA long... need a good laugh at all my horrible picks this yearYep, I meant ACGY....hic. Tanks.
peanuts
02-20-2009, 01:51 PM
sell that rotten AG... gimme CCC long
spikefader
02-20-2009, 03:34 PM
Cover ACGY and long FAZ tanks.
Odysseus
02-22-2009, 08:56 PM
Congrats to Peter Hansen, Spikefader and New-Born Baby ! Great foresight on Peter's part going long on SKF this week. If all keeps going south, might be a great pick next week too :)
Spike followed up coming in for his first 2nd place win ! That's 5 placings already, might have to start buying your picks at this rate :)
New-Born Baby followed up with TSYS for his 2nd placing in the contest. TSYS was doing great before the market dragged it down. I think New-Born had a great chance of winning this week if the market had not tanked at the end of the week.
New lows getting hit everyday, how low can she go. Think I'm going to pick opposite my thinking next couple weeks :) Good luck all !
http://img22.imageshack.us/img22/6106/potw809jd1.jpg
Ody, please put me in TX long this week. Thanks!
Peter Hansen
02-23-2009, 09:08 AM
Ody TMK SHORT . Thanks for doing such a fine job with the POW and POY statistics . Your organizational skills are extraordinary ..and I am sure that my sentiments are shared by all on Mr Market's Stock Picking Forum!
New-born baby
02-23-2009, 09:57 AM
Ody. Thanks for doing such a fine job with the POW and POY statistics . Your organizational skills are extraordinary ..and I am sure that my sentiments are shared by all on Mr Market's Stock Picking Forum!
Pete is right on! Thanks so very much.
I'm going to stick with TSYS long. Smart money is long gold and silver. But the chart is still nice.
peanuts
02-23-2009, 12:51 PM
I can't agree more than with the sentiment here, Ody. You do a fantastic job, and it is much appreciated.
Please put me in XTXI long... most likely all week long, but we'll see just how big this jump higher will be... ;)
Texas oil pipelines are hot... we need to be able to distribute this cheap American oil throughout the country. Texas crude is cheaper than Saudi oil!
spikefader
02-23-2009, 04:31 PM
Short C tanks Ody.
Odysseus
02-23-2009, 11:14 PM
Thanks everyone ! Though I'd have to thank Hags for his setup, I just added to it. And Spike and Rob as they are the examples I try to follow.
Still have a few things I want to add though ;)
Going to try SBS short... going back to one of my old methods.
~Ody
Karel
02-24-2009, 12:13 PM
Congratulations Pete!
I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
STI short... they are jumping up today.. a rally but will it hold!
Karel
03-01-2009, 12:04 PM
And I am still long EXM...
Regards,
Karel
Peter Hansen
03-01-2009, 10:59 PM
Ody my good man SHORT WYNN THANK YOU!
spikefader
03-02-2009, 12:18 AM
ACH short thanks Ody.
Odysseus
03-02-2009, 01:01 AM
Sorry for the late and short response everyone. Rough week.
Our winner of the week is Spikefader ! Well timed short on C which fell 33% from his entry. Well done !
Our 2nd and 3rd place winners are Peter Hansen and Karel who both managed to make some good green in a really rough week. Great job guys !
http://img240.imageshack.us/img240/7595/potw909dg8.jpg
Congratulations, Spike, Pete & Karel.
I sure have have hit a string of losers over the past few weeks after having got off to a really good start this year. (I'm trying to stick to picking long only and picking only one stock per week at the very beginning of the week.)
I will try to end this losing streak with BMO long. Thanks, Spodee Ody!
Ok everything I do lately is backward so if I need STI to go down I pick it long right :)
So give me STI long this week..
Odysseus
03-05-2009, 07:59 AM
Exactly Bat, which is why I'm going with CAT short... because I want to go long on it, so I must be wrong :)
peanuts
03-05-2009, 07:22 PM
KHD long, please and thank you
New-born baby
03-06-2009, 01:59 PM
ESI long. I think I might milk 2-3% out of this one today.
Odysseus
03-07-2009, 03:19 PM
Go Peter ! He not only grabbed first place this week shorting WYNN, making this his 5th placement for the year, there was no one who came close to his double digit returns. Well done ! This may still be a good short too considering the economic woes and total downfall of this sector this past year.
2nd and 3rd place goes to myself shorting CAT, (though I wanted to go long) and Karel going long on EXM. Not nearly as much green but considering the lows the market made this week, if you were in the green you were doing good. Seems to always be the case of late.
How low can she go.... Good luck all !
http://img26.imageshack.us/img26/668/potw1009.jpg
Peter Hansen
03-08-2009, 01:51 PM
Go Peter ! He not only grabbed first place this week shorting WYNN, making this his 5th placement for the year, there was no one who came close to his double digit returns. Well done ! This may still be a good short too considering the economic woes and total downfall of this sector this past year.
2nd and 3rd place goes to myself shorting CAT, (though I wanted to go long) and Karel going long on EXM. Not nearly as much green but considering the lows the market made this week, if you were in the green you were doing good. Seems to always be the case of late.
How low can she go.... Good luck all !
http://img26.imageshack.us/img26/668/potw1009.jpg
Ody what can I say? ,,,,,,LADY LUCK HAS BEEN KIND! One must be forever vigilant of the market gyrations , and what seems fool proof can fall apart .Perhaps the best secret of the market is summarized in 5 words, namely "The Trend Is Your Friend" and currently the trend in all markets is DOWN, although that may change in a nano second.
Rememeber there are NO guarantees , hence the absolute need for STOPS!
Once again thanx for doing a superlative job, and have a beautiful and profitable day!
Peter Hansen
03-08-2009, 09:10 PM
ODY PVA SHORT For the WEEK ....Thank You!
peanuts
03-08-2009, 11:32 PM
Congrats to all the greenies
Ody, I'll take PKX long, please and thank you!
Congratulations, Pete, Ody & Karel.
Rob will go http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/images/icons/icon2.gifhttp://www.mrmarketishuge.com/images/icons/icon2.gifhttp://www.mrmarketishuge.com/images/icons/icon2.gifVIP long, please. Thanks. :cramersmiley:
Great value at this price. Reports earnings Thursday. 22 cents expected.
Ody don't know why I'm not on the board last week? Please put me In FCX-LONG unless your mad at me?HOPE ALL HAVE A GOOD WEEK:):):)
spikefader
03-09-2009, 11:06 AM
DUG long tanks.
Karel
03-09-2009, 12:17 PM
Congratulations Pete!
I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
spikefader
03-10-2009, 01:02 PM
Short BAC tanks.
New-born baby
03-10-2009, 02:29 PM
I want to short the General. (GM). Thanks!
New-born baby
03-10-2009, 03:47 PM
I goofed! I just happened to remember that stocks under $2 do not count, so that GM short won't work. If that is so, then give me ESI short instead.
Odysseus
03-14-2009, 04:52 PM
Wow.
IIC has taken the lead in one trade from the middle of the pack with a nearly 79% return. Terrific trade IIC ! BAC was beaten down badly but made a small comeback this week that IIC rode beautifly to the top
Can't deny that others had a great week as well. Rob and Peanuts took 2nd and 3rd with VIP and PKX long. Always good to see half the group beating the Dow for the week ;) Well done !
http://img26.imageshack.us/img26/3543/potw1109.jpg
I'm apologizing ahead of time. I'm lacking continuous computer access at the moment since my system suffered another power supply failure. I've given up replacing another part on it and bought a laptop that hopefully will arrive this next week. So if I'm a little slow in responding/updating things, that be why. Sorry for the inconvenience
Also, RL, I didn't see any post for the previous week. (Don't worry, it's hard for me to get mad at anyone, I'm a big pushover) I double checked and the last post I saw was THOR on 02-17-2009 at 08:49 AM. Let me know if I missed it and I'll gladly add you.
Good luck this week !
Karel
03-15-2009, 12:15 PM
Congratulations, IIC!
I am still long EXM. And Ody, thanks for keeping it up!
Regards,
Karel
Congratulations Douggie and Goob!
This week Rob is going whole hawg on HOGS long.
Goodbye Pork Pie Hat (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Ej3BdMpgZw)
As long as them there Chinee keep eatin' pigs, this looks like a good business to be in. :cramersmiley:
Peter Hansen
03-16-2009, 08:13 AM
Congrats to all the winners. Wow some powerhouse picks were in play.
PEGA LONG Ody I recently bought a GATEWAY Laptop .....For 500 with 14 inch screen ......beautiful and loaded . It does not pay to spend more. After 3 yrs I will throw the dinosaur into the SHI* can and buy the new model. Have a great day
peanuts
03-16-2009, 08:47 AM
I'll take SAI long, please and thank you.
Nice pick, IIC... I hope you had some real money in it
ODY please put me in kmr-long :):):):)
ODY Thanks for checking things,sorry I must have had one beer to many
Peter Hansen
03-17-2009, 09:56 AM
Congrats to all the winners. Wow some powerhouse picks were in play.
PEGA LONG Ody I recently bought a GATEWAY Laptop .....For 500 with 14 inch screen ......beautiful and loaded . It does not pay to spend more. After 3 yrs I will throw the dinosaur into the SHI* can and buy the new model. Have a great day
Ody please out of PEGA into TAP SHORT >>>>>>THANX!
spikefader
03-18-2009, 01:43 PM
Long FAZ thanks Ody!
Odysseus
03-22-2009, 05:35 PM
Wow, not too many wanted to brave last week and I don't blame you. But once again Spikefader was triumphant in beating us all, but Rob only barely. Rob came in a very close 2nd with his HOGS, and RL followed in 3rd with about 2% gain on KMR. Congrats to the winners !
Have my computer back but so hectic now can barely get anything done... but hopefully things will be working more smoothly on my end come weeks end.
http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/4807/potw1209.jpg
Good luck next week !
Karel
03-23-2009, 07:21 AM
Ody, you're doing fine, thanks a lot for keeping this in the air.
Congratulations to Spike, and I am still long EXM. I wish I was stuck in another stock of my portfolio, for EXM must be among the worst performers lately, but it is in my portfolio and I really don't mind. Just biding my time, while my portfolio as a whole isn't doing too badly right now. And picking up an occasional pick of the HUGE one now and then.
Regards,
Karel
Put Rob down for C long, please, Ody. And thanks!
Congratulations on your win, Spikefader, even though it narrowly deprived me of my first first place finish! Gimme a hug, ya big Palooka!
Peter Hansen
03-23-2009, 08:29 AM
MNRO LONG Heck many people are fixin' up the old jalopy and MONROE should soar ! To ODY and all the winners congratulations.....and PLEASE ALL PRAY FOR ODY'S COMPUTER
spikefader
03-23-2009, 12:23 PM
DXD long tanks Ody.
peanuts
03-23-2009, 04:38 PM
SDS long, please and thank you
New-born baby
03-24-2009, 01:18 PM
I'll take C long, please.
Wow! Huge win, Karel! Congratulations!
C turned out to be a very poor choice; although it was seriously compounded by a 26.34% gap up on Monday morning. Interestingly, the closing price on Friday, the 27th was exactly the same as it was on Friday, the 20th. Oh, the pain.
Rob will take MDRX long, please, Ody. Thank you.
Peter Hansen
03-30-2009, 09:37 AM
ODY CRR SHORT ......Thanx!
Karel
03-30-2009, 09:57 AM
And of course this win comes right on the heels of my lamentation that I am still stuck to EXM, because I can't work my (implementation of $$$Mr. Market$$$'s) method. Ahem. I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
Odysseus
03-31-2009, 09:48 AM
Congrats Karel on a great win ! Unfortunately no one else placed, twas a rough week.
http://img25.imageshack.us/img25/2448/potw1309.jpg
Sorry everyone, lost internet last Thursday as well at home so was unable to update as quickly. At work so keeping this short and sweet
peanuts
03-31-2009, 02:40 PM
AGQ long please and thank you! :)
Congrats on the green Karel
spikefader
03-31-2009, 04:14 PM
FAZ long thanks Ody!
spikefader
03-31-2009, 04:18 PM
Congrats Karel on a great win ! Nicely done, Karel, grats.
Odysseus
04-02-2009, 08:26 AM
Think I'm going the other direction with BKE short. Finally have a chance to check stocks again sheesh ! ;)
Karel
04-03-2009, 03:54 PM
Hmm, perhaps not a bad idea to brace myself for another round of applause. :D
Regards,
Karel
JohnHenry
04-05-2009, 04:03 AM
What's UP, People!
Karel
04-05-2009, 04:28 AM
What's UP, People!
Yes, we could use some more participants. Hope you join us! The weekly score list is empty and Ody has transferred the results to the lists below, so I expect he'll post the final results for the week Any Time Now.
And I won. The result is a bit flattered though, because EXM dropped 12% at the week's open compared to the previous close. Without that drop my result wouldn't have been 32.4%, but only 16.2%. I must say that until (and including) now the POTW has been very nice to me this year, as my cumulative total is positive while EXM is down 24% compared to the open on January 5th (the start of the 2009 POTW).
Oh yes, I am still long EXM, two weeks after deploring I was holding it in the POTW. Was that a sign of the surrender we are all waiting for? :cramersmiley:
Regards,
Karel
Odysseus
04-05-2009, 06:01 PM
Aye, sorry about that Karel, was about to post but then got sidetracked.
Once again Karel leads the week with EXM with an impressive +32% gain ! Well done ! Rob was the only other one of us to place this week with +7% on MDRX, a Healthcare Software company from what I understand, great job Rob ! :)
http://img66.imageshack.us/img66/7298/potw1409.jpg
Yeah, seems like people are dropping like flies. Either afraid of the market or just busy with other things. More the merrier I say ! Only takes a moment to pick a stock, even if you just use the old dart method. Can't do any worse than I have so far this year ;)
Good luck eveyone next week ! I'm going to be on a business trip to the Albany, NY area so I may be once again a little slow in my updating of the scoreboard but I'll try to get to it before bed each night.
EXM long again Karel? ;)
Karel
04-05-2009, 07:15 PM
[...] EXM long again Karel? ;)
Yes, please! Should be due for a correction, but I am not going to second-guess myself.
Regards,
Karel
JohnHenry
04-05-2009, 08:45 PM
Yes, we could use some more participants. Hope you join us! The weekly score list is empty and Ody has transferred the results to the lists below, so I expect he'll post the final results for the week Any Time Now.
And I won. The result is a bit flattered though, because EXM dropped 12% at the week's open compared to the previous close. Without that drop my result wouldn't have been 32.4%, but only 16.2%. I must say that until (and including) now the POTW has been very nice to me this year, as my cumulative total is positive while EXM is down 24% compared to the open on January 5th (the start of the 2009 POTW).
Oh yes, I am still long EXM, two weeks after deploring I was holding it in the POTW. Was that a sign of the surrender we are all waiting for? :cramersmiley:
Regards,
Karel
Hi Karel
How are you? I will play in June, when I'm done with school.
Karel ..... Congratulations on a majorly huge, gnarly win, Dude!
Ody ..... thanks for keeping the score. Unless I come up with a better idea, I'll be going with MOS long this week. Also, I noticed that you have my winner-to-loser ratio at 7/7, but I count 8 and 6. Thanks again.
I select MTL long...thx...Doug
Peter Hansen
04-06-2009, 06:50 AM
KAREL ........nice win ......you must have kissed the Blarney Stone once again LOL. ODY HOTT LONG for the new week, and mega thanx for doing such a fine job!
peanuts
04-07-2009, 11:15 AM
TBT long, please and thank you
Karel, you're getting good at this... wait, how many months is it now with EXM? :) Seriously, nice win!
Peter Hansen
04-08-2009, 08:54 AM
KAREL ........nice win ......you must have kissed the Blarney Stone once again LOL. ODY HOTT LONG for the new week, and mega thanx for doing such a fine job!
ODY please take me out of HOTT and put me into UNG SHORT THANX
spikefader
04-09-2009, 11:57 AM
FAZ long thanks.
Peter Hansen
04-13-2009, 07:38 AM
NTES LONG for the new week 4/13-4/17/09
Thank You!
Congratulations on a huge win, Douggie!
Congratulations on a big 2nd place gain, Karel-ie.
Rob will go long LUFK for week 15. ... No, not the company that makes the tape measures. :D
Karel
04-13-2009, 10:17 AM
Congratulations Doug!
And I am still long EXM...
Regards,
Karel
spikefader
04-13-2009, 10:57 AM
FAZ long again fer me tanks Ody.
peanuts
04-13-2009, 02:42 PM
SWHC long please and thank you
congrats to the greenies. Doug, nice job this year!
Odysseus
04-13-2009, 03:44 PM
Congrats IIC, Karel, and close one for Rob and Peanuts !
IIC is not only in the lead but has not had one negative trade yet of the 3 that he has submitted ! Very impressive !
Sorry for the late response time, going to be like this for a while I'm thinking, but hopefully not. ;)
Good luck this week !
http://img87.imageshack.us/img87/7298/potw1409.jpg
Stuck
04-13-2009, 04:40 PM
idk if I qualify here. :D
But I have X long (24.5 avg when i bought it)
BAC short term. Bought today at $10.9
Odysseus
04-14-2009, 08:08 AM
Very nice Stuck !
Though this thread is for picking stocks as part of a weekly contest.... would you like to try your hand at it ? ;) The links for the contest are just below my name.
Going to try BVF short this week... good luck all !
Odysseus
04-18-2009, 05:06 PM
Karel continues to show us how it is done ;) Congrats !
Peanuts and Peter Hansen followup with good gains despite a somewhat flat but upwards week. Our 3 winners are also up for the year as well compared those who lost this week.
Just updated the Yearly Ranking and our top winner is still IIC with only 3 picks. Followed by Peanuts, then Karel.
http://img99.imageshack.us/img99/3290/potw1509.jpg
Good luck this week !
Peter Hansen
04-20-2009, 07:19 AM
Ody my good man .......MVSN LONG For the new week! Thanx and have a great day!
I would really like to pick SPN, but since LUFK killed me so badly last week, I'd like to get away from the oil and gas industry for a bit.
This week I will pick FRX long, still pretty dangerous. Thanks, Ody.
Karel
04-20-2009, 08:40 AM
Karel continues to show us how it is done ;) Congrats ! ...
Thanks for the kind words. I do not mind reminding everyone that I picked EXM for the POTW (well, actually I picked QMAR which got bought out by EXM) because I picked it in my Marketocracy fund, and keep on holding it because I am still holding it there (and in real money BTW). It is down from 29ish, so it has a long way to go, if it isn't sold earlier.
Anyway, still long EXM!
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
04-20-2009, 02:38 PM
short FEED please and thank you :)
spikefader
04-21-2009, 12:45 PM
FAZ long thanks.
Odysseus
04-22-2009, 08:09 AM
Egads... my stock picks are becoming as reliable as my precip forecasts.... break out the dart board ;)
I'll try FIZZ short.... though my method says long. So far everything is opposite for me....
I'm going to try MSFT long this week, Ody. Thank you!
Peter Hansen
04-27-2009, 09:28 AM
Ody ACF LONG Thanx!
Peter Hansen
04-27-2009, 09:33 AM
Congratulations to KAREL, Great Picks! .....apparently that .......ahem , "GLOBAL WARMING" has really put a fire under his ASS LOL .........Hey life is short ya have to laugh. Karel do have a beautiful day!
Karel
04-27-2009, 09:59 AM
Congratulations to KAREL, Great Picks! .....apparently that .......ahem , "GLOBAL WARMING" has really put a fire under his ASS LOL .........Hey life is short ya have to laugh. Karel do have a beautiful day!
Thanks Pete, but you came very, very close, so your unfounded scepticism regarding same did not impair your stock picking. ;) And I like my climate nice and hot, so with regard to global warming I am really arguing against my own best interests. And living in the Netherlands does not help either, with a chilly and rainy day in The Hague, babysitting our 4 month old granddaughter with my wife. She is a darling! Both are darlings, I mean...
I am still long EXM!
Regards,
Karel
Odysseus
04-28-2009, 10:23 AM
Sorry for the late update.... in the process of trying to sell the condo keeps me internetless at times... is that a word? ;)
Well.... congrats to those who did not lose as much as the rest of us ! ;) No winners this week as no one made green. Hopefully we can regain our losses from last week.
Good luck all !
http://img244.imageshack.us/img244/9486/potw1609.jpg
spikefader
04-29-2009, 12:12 PM
FAZ long tanks Ody.
Odysseus
05-01-2009, 11:20 AM
BVF short for me... sorry Rob, I had hoped to get in before the line this morning... hopefully next week I won't be as crazy busy.
peanuts
05-01-2009, 12:34 PM
CCC long, please and thank you
Karel
05-01-2009, 02:24 PM
Sorry guys :D
Regards,
Karel
Peter Hansen
05-04-2009, 08:10 AM
AN LONG ......ODY hope all goes well with the CONDO INTERNET When I go down to FL to visit my dad , I am always able to use someone else's Internet Connection from an adjacent condo , because MANY are NOT Secure! .......Good Luck!
Thanx
Rob will go with NAESX long please, Ody. Thank you.
Karel
05-04-2009, 09:34 AM
How could I pick any other stock than EXM? Am I in love? No, but it just doesn't meet the criteria to replace it. Stocks on the move up seldom do...
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
05-04-2009, 11:13 AM
Congrats to the greenies :cramersmiley:
I screwed the pooch with my FEED short play... let see if I can make that up over the next few weeks.
TBT long, please and thank you
Karel
05-04-2009, 11:25 AM
Go EXM! Show all those market timers how it is done! Even with 5% gain given away at the open! :cramersmiley:
Regards,
Karel
Odysseus
05-04-2009, 05:29 PM
Congrats again Karel ! Double digit gains well ahead of the rest of us who managed to squeak by some returns.... well, almost all of us ;)
Sorry have to keep this short as I have little time on the computer of late. We sold the condo ! Just gotta pass the paper work through
http://img520.imageshack.us/img520/9194/potw1709.jpg
spikefader
05-05-2009, 10:58 AM
FAZ long tanks Ody.
Odysseus
05-07-2009, 10:18 AM
I'm trying ARTG short this week.... l
Karel
05-09-2009, 01:11 PM
Time for the Snoopy Dance!
Regards,
Karel
Stuck
05-09-2009, 07:00 PM
FAZ long tanks Ody.
don't do it! :eek:
Karel
05-10-2009, 02:30 AM
FAZ long tanks Ody.don't do it! :eek:
And a special award in the category Late Warnings goes to ....
Stuck
Regards :),
Karel
LemonButt
05-10-2009, 03:11 PM
I guess you can count me in. PSEC long ($10,000 worth...right?)
Odysseus
05-10-2009, 07:26 PM
Not huge gains this week but every little bit counts. Getting to used to the double digits of late, usually downward for myself ;)
Congrats again Karel ! Racking up those 1st place finishes, you've now tied Spikefader. Congrats as well to Peanuts who finished in 2nd place, very close to taking 1st this week.
And of course a well done to Rob who barely beat me for 3rd place..... so close ! Arghh !
http://img27.imageshack.us/img27/6708/potw1809.jpg
Good luck all next week !
Peter Hansen
05-11-2009, 07:08 AM
HANS LONG........an old favorite ......coming alive
peanuts
05-11-2009, 07:27 AM
Hey Peter, I just looked at HANS too... an old favorite of mine as well. I like Monster more than Red Bull, but I don't drink much of either.
Ody, I'm going to go with a LNG carrier.... GLNG, long, please and thank you.
These guy know how to make money!
Rob will go with SWS long, please. Thanks, Ody.
Peter Hansen
05-11-2009, 08:48 AM
Hey Peter, I just looked at HANS too... an old favorite of mine as well. I like Monster more than Red Bull, but I don't drink much of either.
Ody, I'm going to go with a LNG carrier.... GLNG, long, please and thank you.
These guy know how to make money!
Vectorvest says HANS is currently UNDERVALUED and gives it a BUY RATING! It maybe good for a few quick bucks ....I dont like the caffeine loaded drinks ....they tend to get ya jumpy ....and I may wind up chasing some of the young ladies at Stabucks LOL!
Karel
05-11-2009, 09:04 AM
In a hurry as I am busy before a two week vacation starting Wednesday: I am still long EXM, and also for the next two weeks, if the rules allow.
Regards,
Karel
Odysseus
05-12-2009, 10:16 AM
Vectorvest says HANS is currently UNDERVALUED and gives it a BUY RATING! It maybe good for a few quick bucks ....I dont like the caffeine loaded drinks ....they tend to get ya jumpy ....and I may wind up chasing some of the young ladies at Stabucks LOL!
I'll help you out Peter, I'm a big Energy Drink fan. Ironically, there is a guy out there with my name who is sponsored by my favorite drink, Monster Energy Drinks. Just do a google search for Travis Coyne Monster ;)
Going to try MATK short this week.
Welcome aboard Lemon ! I've added you to the lineup with a fresh 10k. Good luck this week !
LemonButt
05-16-2009, 02:19 PM
Do dividends count? I didn't see anything in the rules.
If they do, I'll take TNK long (0.59 dividend on Friday). If not, I'll take PSEC again this week (it got slaughtered this week with economic data).
Odysseus
05-17-2009, 09:24 PM
Sorry, only price action Lemon. Never though about dividends, maybe next year ;)
I won ! My first placing first this year and only my 2nd placing. My picks have been terrible....
Karel once again placed 2nd with EXM long, Peter following in with HANS. Not a great week compared to the runs we've had but still good, half of us made green, and Peter and Karel are 2 of the 3 current placement leaders. Well done !
http://img199.imageshack.us/img199/1128/potw1909.jpg
Peter Hansen
05-18-2009, 08:07 AM
If GM Throws in the "Good Wrench" i.e. Files for bankruptcy.....FORD should pop Up ! F LONG
-6.2%? Ouch!
Let's try FXI long this week. Thank's Spodee Ody!
peanuts
05-18-2009, 11:47 AM
congrats to the greenies
I'll take JNJ long, please and thank you
Odysseus
05-19-2009, 08:19 AM
Going to try GNET long this week, good luck all !
Odysseus
05-24-2009, 11:00 PM
Oops, almost forgot Karel this week. Well done ! You beat all of us from afar !
Happy Memorial Day everyone !
http://img20.imageshack.us/img20/644/potw2009n.jpg
LemonButt
05-25-2009, 01:25 PM
CBST long, let's hope they don't come out with an offering like PSEC did :)
I reckon I'll go another round with FXI long. Thanks, Ody.
Peter Hansen
05-26-2009, 09:09 AM
Ody lg short thanx
peanuts
05-27-2009, 10:01 AM
Geez... this market is getting very tricky.
I think I'll go with a favorite of Cap'n Spike. But this week, it be my favorite.
Please give me FAZ long first thing at today's open. Thank you :)
Odysseus
05-28-2009, 09:03 AM
Going to try BVF short this week... er, what's left of it ;)
Wow, not many people playin' nowadays...
Karel
05-28-2009, 10:50 AM
Going to try BVF short this week... er, what's left of it ;)
Wow, not many people playin' nowadays...
Well, one more ... ;) Yes, I'm back.
Regards,
Karel
LemonButt
05-30-2009, 03:34 PM
MWE for next week. I guess I should consider myself lucky that the picks with fake money to terrible and the one's with real money turn out to be winners :)
Peter Hansen
05-31-2009, 05:05 PM
Ody IAF LONG .......and Karel WB ....we missed ya!
Odysseus
05-31-2009, 07:41 PM
Almost forgot you Karel again, ugh.
Great win by Rob and Karel this week ! Our only 2 greenies unfortunately. Though there was only 4 days of trading this week, Rob had a perfect entry on FXI from the get go. She ran upwards nearly the entire week.
EXM was little more volatile but a well earned 6 and a half %.
Another week begins, good luck all !
http://img20.imageshack.us/img20/7002/potw2109.jpg
Wow! My first gold for the year! Took long enough! I did come pretty close a few times. Thanks, Chinese! Love you guys!
This week, I'm going to go on a hunch that Ford will do well in the wake of the GM bankruptcy. F long, please, Spo-dee Ody. :cramersmiley:
Karel
06-01-2009, 10:35 AM
Congratulations, Rob!
I am still long EXM, thank you Ody!
Regards,
Karel
Odysseus
06-02-2009, 08:42 AM
Aye, congrats Rob !
Going for CCC long this week
peanuts
06-03-2009, 12:26 PM
FEED short, please and thank you
Odysseus
06-04-2009, 12:23 AM
wow Peanuts, nice trade ! What did you see today that led to that short?
peanuts
06-04-2009, 01:04 AM
wow Peanuts, nice trade ! What did you see today that led to that short?
A change in sentiment throughout the market, but especially the profit taking talk I've been hearing. It's up nearly seven fold since the bottom... there's some nice money to take off the table. But I can see it going up tomorrow as well... this market is nuts
peanuts
06-05-2009, 11:20 AM
FEED short, please and thank you
cover FEED, short FCX
peanuts
06-05-2009, 01:25 PM
cover FEED, short FCX
doh! cover FCX... long NGA
peanuts
06-07-2009, 11:02 AM
I screwed things up by trading in and out and against the grain. That wasn't too smart and against my strategy towards the contest that I told myself in the beginning of the year. Unless spectacular opportunities come about, I doubt I'll be trading like that again.
So, I'm going to go with the grain this week, and take a new stock (actually an ETF) for me...
DBB long, please and thank you
LemonButt
06-07-2009, 06:40 PM
MTL for this week
Odysseus
06-07-2009, 11:44 PM
Trying a neat currency method on stocks, I won this week, go me ! ;)
Rob took 2nd going long on Ford, well done sir ! Peanuts almost took 2nd but his 2nd and 3rd picks didn't go nearly as well as his first, congrats on 3rd !
http://img81.imageshack.us/img81/1006/potw2209.jpg
Good luck all ! We're nearing the halfway mark and IIC still leads the way, followed by Karel...
Odysseus
06-08-2009, 12:32 AM
Going to try ACAP short this week...
Peter Hansen
06-08-2009, 07:30 AM
TBT LONG Thanx!
Rob will take a shot on that li'l international shipholder, ISH long. Thanks, Ody. By the way, Odysseus, please read this (http://robby01.proboards.com/index.cgi?board=stocks&action=display&thread=17&page=27#1347).
Peter Hansen
06-08-2009, 09:15 PM
OUT of TBT. It is moving to slow .....put me into UTA LONG Thanx
Karel
06-09-2009, 10:10 AM
...
Good luck all ! We're nearing the halfway mark and IIC still leads the way, followed by Karel...
Well done, Ody! I would really love to overtake Doug, but EXM is looking a bit tired after its recent run. Nevertheless, I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
drprofits123
06-09-2009, 06:08 PM
this online gaming stock looks great
LemonButt
06-12-2009, 06:03 PM
MTL for next week as well. I was up 5+% until Friday's market collapse. Should be a good week for the cup/handle chart and metals recovering.
Odysseus
06-12-2009, 10:51 PM
Congrats Peter ! The market seemed to turn on most of us at the end there, but Peter was able to hold on his number one spot to the end. This makes for his 9th placing this year, well done !
Peanuts was very close but came in 2nd, still not bad with DBB, an ETF I've never heard of ;) (Powershares DB Base Metals Fund (ETF)) This also makes for Peanuts' 9th placing for the year. Great job sir !
And Karel of course has been making the rounds with EXM this year, coming in 3rd with a modest 3.37%, and his 14th placing and still in 2nd place for his ROI ! A force to reckon with still ! (should I put you down for EXM this week? ;) )
Great job everyone, we were almost all green to the end of the week, but as a group we did good.
http://img194.imageshack.us/img194/8555/potw2309.jpg
Sorry, had a little free time and got a little carried away. I used to be a graphics artist but I'm a bit rusty.
Good luck next week, and have a good weekend !
Odysseus
06-14-2009, 04:58 PM
Found a mistake in the above graph and have fixed it. Peter, your total should be $9,410.24, sorry about that
Odysseus
06-14-2009, 07:05 PM
Going to try CRK short this week... :cramersmiley:
Peter Hansen
06-14-2009, 08:46 PM
Found a mistake in the above graph and have fixed it. Peter, your total should be $9,410.24, sorry about that
Ody No problem .....you are doing a fine job!
Rob will look to the east once again, picking SCJ long for the week. Thanks, Ody!
Peter Hansen
06-15-2009, 08:19 AM
DDUP LOng Thanx
Karel
06-18-2009, 09:48 AM
Congratulations Pete!
Ody, I am still long EXM. (I feel like a market timer...)
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
06-19-2009, 03:29 PM
SWSI long please and thank you
JohnHenry
06-21-2009, 03:58 PM
Hi Ody
It took me a few weeks to remember my password. Can I still play? VRX long please.
LemonButt
06-21-2009, 04:25 PM
MTL again for this week :)
Odysseus
06-22-2009, 12:32 AM
Rough week for everyone, luckily I got the direction right and won this week, and Peanuts got in with SWSI just as it rallied a little bit before the end of the day Friday, taking 2nd place for the week. Congrats !
Well, so far I'm hearing rumors of a rally Monday, good luck all !
http://img10.imageshack.us/img10/5889/potw2409.jpg
Going with my pick this week of LIME short, ya I know, it's against the whole rally idea but my other 2 picks in Spike and Rob's contests are long ;)
Rob will throw down this week with INWK long.
Thanks Ody!
Peter Hansen
06-22-2009, 09:12 AM
FUQI LONG Thanx
Odysseus
06-22-2009, 09:49 AM
Ok, now they are thinking the market will slump on open... how things change quickly ;)
http://money.cnn.com/2009/06/22/markets/premarkets_monday/index.htm?cnn=yes
Karel
06-22-2009, 10:59 AM
Confratulations Ody! I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
06-22-2009, 02:41 PM
I'll take XTXI long... probably all week. Thanks!
Rob will throw down this week with INWK long.
Well, that was a huge mistake. Lost 19.26% by my reckoning. :(
I am glad, however, that I didn't buy any in the real world. :)
Peter Hansen
06-28-2009, 03:13 PM
ROB VIT LONG for this week
Odysseus
06-28-2009, 03:42 PM
Aye, it happens Rob, we've all had those weeks ;)
Peanuts easily took the cake this week with a tremendous +20% gain off XTXI, a natural gas and liquid company, terrific entry on that one Peanuts !
And welcome aboard JohnHenry ! Who also took 2nd this week with VRX an international pharmaceutical company. Went even higher in price during the after hours trading Friday too ;) Well done for your first pick !
I took LIME short this week for 3rd place off a currency method I"m working on, it's been netting me +%'s but doesn't always make much ;) Though LIME was down about 10% at one time this week... ah well
Good luck all next week !
http://img269.imageshack.us/img269/2408/potw2509.jpg
JohnHenry
06-28-2009, 04:41 PM
Thank you. Congrats to Peanuts and Ody. I will take VRX again. Thanks
LemonButt
06-28-2009, 05:09 PM
MTL again. Should break out +20% in the next 14 days.
Odysseus
06-28-2009, 08:28 PM
Good luck Lemon, I'll have to keep an eye on MTL ;)
Going to try RYN long this week, 2 of my indicators triggered off this one... one of them triggers like maybe once a month or 2 if at all, but is a better weekly indicator.
Let's see what happens ;)
~Ody
LemonButt
06-28-2009, 09:01 PM
Good luck Lemon, I'll have to keep an eye on MTL ;)
Going to try RYN long this week, 2 of my indicators triggered off this one... one of them triggers like maybe once a month or 2 if at all, but is a better weekly indicator.
Let's see what happens ;)
~Ody
The chart to me says it's going down. What do you see that I'm missing? The week leading up to July 4th is historically an up week on low volume, so it wouldn't surprise me if it went up regardless :)
Rob will pick E long this week. Still licking my wounds from that horrible pick last week.
Hey, Pete! I haven't kept score here for a couple years! :)
Karel
06-29-2009, 10:14 AM
Great pick, Peanuts!
I am still hobbled by my database crash. No problem: Long EXM!
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
06-29-2009, 12:01 PM
FCX short, please and thank you
Peter Hansen
07-01-2009, 07:26 AM
ODY Kindly switch me OUT of VIT into PARD LONG >>>>>>Thank You!
Odysseus
07-04-2009, 04:27 PM
Peter takes the lead mid week when he swiched from VIT to PARD ! Well done !
Peanuts and John Henry followed up for a close 2nd and 3rd placing, only off by 0.05 %. Congrats !
Keeping it short and sweet, Happy Independence Day everyone !
http://img199.imageshack.us/img199/5901/potw2609.jpg
LemonButt
07-05-2009, 12:23 AM
MTL again please :)
Peter Hansen
07-05-2009, 03:20 PM
I will stick with PARD LONG ......THANX!
JohnHenry
07-05-2009, 03:24 PM
Congrats Peter and Peanuts.
VRX long please. Thanks
Lincoln Educational Services LINC long, please, Odysseus. Thank you!
Odysseus
07-07-2009, 01:47 AM
Going to try ARTG long this week... what a beat down on my picks last week :(
Karel
07-07-2009, 09:18 AM
Congratulations, Pete!
Ody, I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
07-08-2009, 11:21 AM
TRGT long to start with, please and thank you.
I think I'll see where it takes me and then probably change to another stock on Thursday.... every chart I looked at has the potential to make a big move one way or the other. It's like they are all waiting for a catalyst to move the market, and they will react... This is setting up for a great trading environment.
peanuts
07-08-2009, 02:20 PM
TRGT long to start with, please and thank you.
I think I'll see where it takes me and then probably change to another stock on Thursday.... every chart I looked at has the potential to make a big move one way or the other. It's like they are all waiting for a catalyst to move the market, and they will react... This is setting up for a great trading environment.
Jejejjej... this was quick. Sell TRGT
TBT long please and thank you
peanuts
07-09-2009, 03:41 PM
Jejejjej... this was quick. Sell TRGT
TBT long please and thank you
not as quick, but I'll still take it... sell TBT.
SVM long, please and thank you
Odysseus
07-12-2009, 09:13 PM
Wow what a rough week. Peanuts is the only one who came out green for the week, congrats sir ! Hopefully the catalyst you mentioned comes soon ;)
Better luck this week for the rest of us I hope !
http://img198.imageshack.us/img198/8116/potw2709.jpg
Odysseus
07-12-2009, 09:24 PM
While I have the chance... I sense another busy week ahead... T long for me
JohnHenry
07-12-2009, 11:49 PM
Congrats Peanuts...LOPE long please. Thanks for keeping score Ody.
Peter Hansen
07-13-2009, 08:06 AM
TIS LONG Thanx Ody
JASO looks like it's trading near the bottom of an 8-month channel. Rob will take JASO long this week. Thanks, Ody.
Rob will take JASO long this week.
Please scratch that pick and put me into GS long. Thanks.
Karel
07-13-2009, 10:17 AM
Congratulations, peanuts!
Ody, I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
07-14-2009, 11:39 AM
oil and NG looking like a good trade here. I might be a little early, but I like buying quality after a selloff
XTXI long please and thank you
Karel
07-15-2009, 11:12 AM
Go EXM!
I didn't have much to shout about the last few weeks, but perhaps it is time to become a bit of a loudmouth again :D
Regards,
Karel
. . . perhaps it is time to become a bit of a loudmouth again
Indeed.
Congrats, Colossal One.
peanuts
07-16-2009, 11:18 AM
looking good, Karel.
Ody, please sell XTXI and I'd like to short SWHC please
Thanks for running the contest. It's much fun and you do a great job
Please scratch [JASO] and put me into GS long. Thanks.
Should have stuck with JASO (http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:JASO); it would have brought me 11.44%. After four bad weeks, though, I guess I can't complain about 6.9%. :cramersmiley:
Karel
07-18-2009, 09:35 AM
No complaints here either! And something rather strange: EXM now stands at 7.76. When the competition opened this year, on January 5th, EXM opend at 8.23. So EXM has lost YTD. But my POTW balance shows a 90% gain. :rolleyes: Indeed, no complaints!
Ody, I am still long EXM. What else?
Regards,
Karel
Odysseus
07-19-2009, 04:57 PM
Well put Rob, a colossal win by Karel this week ! EXM was up past 30% at one point an end of +27% is nothing to be sad about ;) That is pretty interesting that you played EXM up and down and made quite a bit of cash, you're 2nd place for the year at the moment, only behind IIC. Congrats !
Still a good win Rob with 6.9% ! You would have came in 2nd both ways ;) A well earned 2nd placing of course, in fact your 7th. You've tied Peanuts for the most silvers, congrats !
JohnHenry came in 3rd this week with LOPE ! I had to look that company up just for the odd name factor (http://stocks.us.reuters.com/stocks/fullDescription.asp?rpc=66&symbol=LOPE.O). I have to say, JohnHenry just showed up on the scene and has only made 4 picks, but has placed 75% of the time. Keep it up sir !
http://img139.imageshack.us/img139/8277/potw2809.jpg
Just wanted to bring something to the attention of everyone because I don't know what I'm doing wrong ;) When we first started I wrote up the equations for calculating the Math Expectancy and Kelly Value for each person, but the numbers always seemed odd to me. I double checked from here (http://www.hquotes.com/tradehard/simulator.html) and though my equation looks correct, the numbers don't look right to me.
Karel brought it to my attention a few weeks ago but I just haven't had a chance to delve much into it until now. If anyone has any suggestion on my error I'd be greatly appreciative. Just look at your sheet from the POTW link below, it should tell you the numbers and equations that the cell is representing. Here is the Math Exp. and Kelly Value equation I am using in each of those cells in case you can't see them.
Peter Hansen's profile:
Math Exp: ( J28 * I28 ) - ( 1 - J28 ) = Probability * WL - ( 1 - Probability)
Kelly Val: J28 - ( ( 1 - J28 ) / I28 ) = Probability - ( 1 - Probability ) / WL
J28 = % Winners = ( B28 / ( B28 + D28 ) )
I28 = W/L Rate = B28 / D28
B28 = Winners
D28 = Losers
Thanks and good luck all !
Karel
07-19-2009, 05:39 PM
[...]
Just wanted to bring something to the attention of everyone because I don't know what I'm doing wrong ;) When we first started I wrote up the equations for calculating the Math Expectancy and Kelly Value for each person, but the numbers always seemed odd to me. I double checked from here (http://www.hquotes.com/tradehard/simulator.html) and though my equation looks correct, the numbers don't look right to me.
Karel brought it to my attention a few weeks ago but I just haven't had a chance to delve much into it until now. If anyone has any suggestion on my error I'd be greatly appreciative. Just look at your sheet from the POTW link below, it should tell you the numbers and equations that the cell is representing. Here is the Math Exp. and Kelly Value equation I am using in each of those cells in case you can't see them.
Peter Hansen's profile:
Math Exp: ( J28 * I28 ) - ( 1 - J28 ) = Probability * WL - ( 1 - Probability)
Kelly Val: J28 - ( ( 1 - J28 ) / I28 ) = Probability - ( 1 - Probability ) / WL
J28 = % Winners = ( B28 / ( B28 + D28 ) )
I28 = W/L Rate = B28 / D28
B28 = Winners
D28 = Losers
Thanks and good luck all !
I think the error is in the I28 formula, Win/Loss ratio. That should calculate the average % gain of the winners/avg % loss of the losers. You could do it with formulas, if there is something like an AVERAGE.IF (not in Excel, where I use SUM.IF/COUNT.IF) or just add a winner (loser) to the correct AVERAGE(X2+X5..) formula.
Regards,
Karel
Peter Hansen
07-19-2009, 06:02 PM
Ody you are doing an excellent job ....wow you really do get into the math analysis......GREAT WORK. AIXG LONG FOR THIS WEEK !
Odysseus
07-19-2009, 09:08 PM
I think the error is in the I28 formula, Win/Loss ratio. That should calculate the average % gain of the winners/avg % loss of the losers. You could do it with formulas, if there is something like an AVERAGE.IF (not in Excel, where I use SUM.IF/COUNT.IF) or just add a winner (loser) to the correct AVERAGE(X2+X5..) formula.
Regards,
Karel
Karel, you are a genius ! I think you are very correct. I only applied it to Peter's portfolio, can you tell me if those numbers look better? To me they do based on what I know of Math Expectancy and the Kelly Value (which from what I understood the latter should always be positive as it is the amount of your portfolio you can risk)
Kelly %
The Kelly % statistic was developed by John Kelly at AT&T's Bell Laboratories in 1956. John Kelly's original work dealt with long distance telephone transmission signal noise. You can read his original AT&T paper on signal noise by downloading the PDF at the bottom of this section.
Kelly's work is recognised today as being able to determine the optimal betting size which will maximise the growth of your portfolio over time.
The formula for the Kelly % is:
Kelly % = W - (1 - W) / R
Kelly % = Percentage of capital to risk per trade for maximum gains.
W = Historical Winning percentage of the System (trades).
R = Historical Average Win/Loss Ratio (AVG Dollar Win/Loss).
The Kelly % statistic can be applied to a system as follows:
Peter has a trading system with a winning percentage of 50% with average profits twice the size of his average losses.
From this brief description we know that Peter has a profitable System.
Putting these figures into the formula for Kelly % gives us W = 0.5 and R = 2. Substituting this into the Kelly % formula gives the Kelly % as 0.25. The Kelly % tells us the amount of equity Peter should risk in order to obtain optimal profits is around 25%.
It should be noted that this amount of risk can be spread over the number of trades on average the System will have open at any one time.
It is common to use 80% of the Kelly % as the optimal risk that is tolerable to a trader. In the example above, Peter has a system that on average has 10 positions open at any one time. He can spread his (25% x .8 = 20%) 20% risk over his ten trades. For Peter to obtain optimal results from his system, he should risk 2% for each trade.
btw, I'm going for WMT long this week
Odysseus
07-19-2009, 09:14 PM
whoa scratch that, I meant WMT SHORT, sorry about that
JohnHenry
07-20-2009, 01:30 AM
Congrats to everyone in the green....MNRO lone please...thanks
Karel
07-20-2009, 03:52 AM
Karel, you are a genius ! I think you are very correct. I only applied it to Peter's portfolio, can you tell me if those numbers look better? To me they do based on what I know of Math Expectancy and the Kelly Value (which from what I understood the latter should always be positive as it is the amount of your portfolio you can risk)
Hi Ody, you have the W/L ratio negative but that should be a positive value, as it compares sizes only. As a result you get a high Kelly Value, which is unlikely for a string of trades with a slight overall loss. I get 0.0389 for the KV when I drop the sign. The rest looks OK.
Regards,
Karel
Rob will go with PCP long this week. Thanks Spo-Dee-O-Dee! ;)
... no wise cracks from the stoner section, please.
... and don't forget to .... Stay ....... De- ........ MENTED!!!! (obscure reference to an old radio show you may or may not know about ... Ody knows.) :)
Odysseus
07-20-2009, 08:16 AM
Thanks again Karel, now it is
Math: 0.06
Kelly: 0.04
I threw an ABS() to negate all signs. Now just have to set up the formula. Unfortunately I tried accomplishing with google app's functions, but none seem to do the trick very well. Though I'm going to see if I can manipulate SUMIF to function the way I want, otherwise I may have to do it manually, or seperate all losses and gains into 2 different columns
peanuts
07-20-2009, 10:28 AM
LFL long, please and thank you
peanuts
07-21-2009, 04:10 PM
LFL long, please and thank you
sell LFL
short BUCY, please and thank you
5.88%? I'll take it. Once again, I'd have done better with JASO, which gained 15.65% from Monday's open. That's cool 'cause I own it in real life.
Looking at the live score card, Ody, I see where you've got Peanuts' 2nd position as long BUCY. Pardon me, but I believe Mr. Goober Peas shorted BUCY.
Hey Peanuts! :) 'Sup dude?
Peter Hansen
07-26-2009, 01:14 PM
Ody my good man .....RINO LONG ......Thanx !
Odysseus
07-26-2009, 11:28 PM
Congrats again Karel ! Going to give IIC a run for his money ;) One more jump from like that with EXM and you'll be in 1st place !
Rob pulls in for 2nd place with a well earned 5.88% AND is in 1st place for 2nd place wins ! (And is in 2nd place at the moment in the POTY contest with +100% I might add :) )
Peter pulls ahead of Peanuts just barely to take 3rd place for the week. Well done sir !
Another week begins, good luck all !
http://img195.imageshack.us/img195/2054/potw2909.jpg
Odysseus
07-27-2009, 12:02 AM
Going against the grain again.... BVF short for me this week
peanuts
07-27-2009, 12:50 AM
BKE long, please and thank you
JohnHenry
07-27-2009, 01:22 AM
Congrats top three...BWLD Long please...thanks
Karel
07-27-2009, 02:40 AM
I am getting a bit blasé about winning. This time I lost a couple percent between the close and the open; it was about time.
Long EXM! And I hope to be able to give a bit more attention to my stocks soon!
Regards,
Karel
Congratulations again, Karel! Don't quite know what you mean by 'losing a couple percent' though.
Ody, please put me down for ARLP long. Thanks!
Karel
07-27-2009, 07:24 AM
Congratulations again, Karel! Don't quite know what you mean by 'losing a couple percent' though. ...
Well, I had already remarked that I had almost doubled my money in the competition this year, while EXM actually lost a bit (at that point). So my gains are purely the difference between the weekly close and the next open, and that has been ridiculously in my favor. Now the open was a few percent over the close, and so against me. I am not complaining!
Regards,
Karel
Odysseus
08-02-2009, 04:33 PM
Peter takes the lead with RINO (http://www.google.com/finance?q=RINO) for a cool 8% gain ! Congrats ! Very interesting company too
John Henry grabs 2nd for his 4th placing with nearly 7% on BWLD (Buffalo Wild Wings), tasty ;)
I grabbed 3rd with a little over 4% shorting a pharmaceutical company.
Going to try and get all the math done for eveyone so there may be a slight overhaul to the scoreboard going forward.... it'll make it easier to calculate the Math expectancy and Kelly #'s... hopefully I'll finish today ;)
http://img188.imageshack.us/img188/8607/potw3009.jpg
JohnHenry
08-02-2009, 04:53 PM
Congrats to PH and Ody, Almost had you PH....VRX long please...thanks
Peter Hansen
08-02-2009, 06:44 PM
I will stick with RINO LONG >>>>>>Thanx ODY!
I saw Ben Stein recommend RQI on Neil Cavuto's weekend show on Fox News Channel. I gave it the quick once over, and it looks pretty good to me. Rob will go with RQI long. Thanks, Spo-dee Ody!
Karel
08-03-2009, 09:14 AM
Congratulations Pete! I am still long EXM!
Regards,
Karel
Rob will go with RQI long. Thanks, Spo-dee Ody!
Sheesh! If it wasn't for that 15.32% gap up at the open, I'd have been a little better off today. :cool:
Karel
08-04-2009, 03:46 AM
Sheesh! If it wasn't for that 15.32% gap up at the open, I'd have been a little better off today. :cool:
Yes, I wanted to complain about the 5% EXM gained at the open, until I saw what had happened to you. :D
Regards,
Karel
Odysseus
08-04-2009, 08:32 AM
Going to take BMI long this week...
peanuts
08-04-2009, 11:26 AM
UGL long please and thank you
Yes, I wanted to complain about the 5% EXM gained at the open, until I saw what had happened to you. :D
Regards,
Karel
I once complained because I had no shoes. Then I saw another man without shoes ... and he was complaining too. :p
Peter Hansen
08-09-2009, 11:34 AM
Congratulations Pete! I am still long EXM!
Regards,
Karel
karel what can I say .......Lady Luck was with me this week . I may change gears this week>
Peter Hansen
08-09-2009, 11:36 AM
CAR LONG For his week...Like I say ,,,,,,never marry a STOCK ....i AM CHANGING HORSES THIS WEEK!
Peter Hansen
08-09-2009, 11:45 AM
I once complained because I had no shoes. Then I saw another man without shoes ... and he was complaining too. :p
A man undergoes an operation for his 2 infected legs . A sheet covers his legs in the recovery room.....a Dr comes in removes the sheet, and the patient learns to his horror that BOTH legs have been amputated up to the knee. The Dr Then says "The BAD news is that I had to amputate both legs up to the knee....BUT the GOOD NEWS is that the guy in the next bed wishes to buy your shoes." LOL Now there is a case of making lemonade from lemons!
Karel
08-09-2009, 05:15 PM
I once complained because I had no shoes. Then I saw another man without shoes ... and he was complaining too. :p
That's what I should have done ...
Regards,
Karel
I saw Ben Stein recommend RQI on Neil Cavuto's weekend show on Fox News Channel. I gave it the quick once over, and it looks pretty good to me. Rob will go with RQI long. Thanks, Spo-dee Ody!
Ah, good ol' Ben Stein! Thank you, Benny Boy! I'll take that second 1st place finish.
For this coming week, I'll go with one of EXM's competitors: PRGN long. Nothing personal, Karel. ;) Thanks, Spo-Dee Ody!
. . . the GOOD NEWS is that the guy in the next bed wishes to buy your shoes . . .
Heh, heh ... nice bedside manner, Doc!
Odysseus
08-10-2009, 12:02 AM
Almost had this posted in time for you Rob ;) Crazy busy at work when Hurricanes start trying to develop for a brush with Hawaii.
Congrats ! Very fine 1srt place win ! Think I should just start calling them gold and silvers like everyone else ;)
Peter follows up with a great 2nd place win after a tumultuous ride up and down.
I barely scraped by John Henry for 3rd place. After that little steal I sense he will crush me this week ;)
http://img181.imageshack.us/img181/3549/potw3109.jpg
Congrats again to the greenies and good luck this week ! Have to keep it short, too many people calling me tonight... arghh !
Odysseus
08-10-2009, 12:22 AM
Going to try INOC short this week... thought I'd highlight the previous winners to beat as well on the sheet. ;)
JohnHenry
08-10-2009, 02:16 AM
Congrats to the top three greenies...well, I'm out of ideas so let's short COF.
peanuts
08-10-2009, 12:31 PM
XTXI long, please and thank you
Karel
08-12-2009, 03:42 AM
Oops, I completely forgot to enter! Long EXM, please!
And congratulations, Rob!
Regards,
Karel
Congratulations, Spo-dee Ody!
Please put me in CEL long this week.
JohnHenry
08-16-2009, 10:56 PM
Congrats Ody...nice win! CYBX long please...Thanks
Karel
08-17-2009, 09:43 AM
Congratulations Ody!
I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
Peter Hansen
08-17-2009, 10:23 AM
Ody congratulations.....and for this week MED LONG thanx!
peanuts
08-17-2009, 02:08 PM
ZSL short, please and thank you
Odysseus
08-19-2009, 11:55 AM
Sorry everyone, been so busy of late haven't had a chance to post the chart.... going to try tonight before bed. But I updated the score sheet
Been a rough week, work gets overwhelming during Hurricane events for us, plus I just moved and am trying to unpack while keeping the 2 year old happy ;)
Sorry for the delay, and thanks for the congrats ! Have to congratulate Karel as well as he came in 2nd (I found that I had the wrong open price for him so he did make green by the end)
Odysseus
08-19-2009, 11:24 PM
Congrats to me and Karel !
EXM keeps bringing in the green.... might have buy that stock weekly ;)
http://img9.imageshack.us/img9/6137/potw3209.jpg
Odysseus
08-19-2009, 11:44 PM
going to try WX long this week....
Peter Hansen
08-23-2009, 11:57 AM
BZ LONG for the new week Thanx!
CEO long please Mr. O. Thanks.
Odysseus
08-23-2009, 06:25 PM
Congrats Peter and Peanuts ! (I always find it a bit odd congrating myself ;) )
I lead the pack with a late pick I found on stockcharts.com, just looking a their cloud stocks. What makes me happy is this is the most money I've had since day 1 of the contest ;)
Peter came in with a great +6% on MED's back. The stock just went up every day last week. Great pick sir ! Medifast, Inc. (Medifast) is engaged in the production, distribution, and sale of weight management and disease management products and other consumable health and diet products.
Peanuts just barely took 3rd ahead of Rob ( who just barely beat Hitmlong in his contest ;) ) shorting ZSL. Very good call that we would end upwards this week Peanuts ! ProShares UltraShort Silver (the Fund) seeks daily investment results that correspond to twice (200%) the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of silver bullion as measured by the United States dollar fixing price for delivery in London.
Good luck all, we're less than 20 weeks to the end of the year !
http://img229.imageshack.us/img229/6381/potw3309.jpg
Going to try GNET long this week...
Odysseus
08-23-2009, 06:28 PM
Ah ! I meant GNET short this week... phew
~Ody
JohnHenry
08-24-2009, 02:23 AM
Wow; CYBX, triple profit and 14 percent increase in sales, and this stock tanked a buck. Don’t know happen…anyway Congrats to the top three. Short COF, this baby is going down!
Karel
08-24-2009, 10:11 AM
Congratulations Ody! I am stil long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
Peter Hansen
08-24-2009, 10:58 AM
Congrats Peter and Peanuts ! (I always find it a bit odd congrating myself ;) )
I lead the pack with a late pick I found on stockcharts.com, just looking a their cloud stocks. What makes me happy is this is the most money I've had since day 1 of the contest ;)
Peter came in with a great +6% on MED's back. The stock just went up every day last week. Great pick sir ! Medifast, Inc. (Medifast) is engaged in the production, distribution, and sale of weight management and disease management products and other consumable health and diet products.
Peanuts just barely took 3rd ahead of Rob ( who just barely beat Hitmlong in his contest ;) ) shorting ZSL. Very good call that we would end upwards this week Peanuts ! ProShares UltraShort Silver (the Fund) seeks daily investment results that correspond to twice (200%) the inverse (opposite) of the daily performance of silver bullion as measured by the United States dollar fixing price for delivery in London.
Good luck all, we're less than 20 weeks to the end of the year !
http://img229.imageshack.us/img229/6381/potw3309.jpg
Going to try GNET long this week...
Ody Congratulations on 2 COUNTS .....FIRST for WINNING.....and 2nd FOR Doing such an Excellent Job with POTW and POTY ......your efforts are deeply appreciated!
peanuts
08-28-2009, 12:38 AM
congrats Ody! Nice to see the scorekeeper getting to put his own name in the bright lights :)
I've been away and haven't had a chance to look at much this week. I'll take a stab in the dark and go with AIG short for Friday
peanuts
08-28-2009, 04:01 PM
congrats Ody! Nice to see the scorekeeper getting to put his own name in the bright lights :)
I've been away and haven't had a chance to look at much this week. I'll take a stab in the dark and go with AIG short for Friday
Ody, I've had a change of heart. Please switch my short to a long for the rest of the trading day. Thanks!
Odysseus
08-30-2009, 09:20 PM
Ah ! My post dissappeared... odd. Second try...
Congrats John Henry ! Rough week for all of us but you managed to keep your head above water with COF at +2% gain. Not only that, but it is your first win of the week, and your 5th placing out of 10 picks. Great stats sir !
Capital One Financial Corporation is a diversified banking company focused primarily on consumer and commercial lending and deposit origination.
http://img75.imageshack.us/img75/3914/potw3409.jpg
Better luck next week for us all :)
Also, going to try to make a weekly goal to add more things to the spreadsheet. Let me know if you have any other better/additional ideas (http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pPWYo-FSVU0-_gDRWkBgHUg&gid=20). Thanks !
Odysseus
08-30-2009, 09:22 PM
Which reminds me... came here to post my pick... ;) Going to try SIGI short
Peter Hansen
08-30-2009, 09:30 PM
SLAB long ..thanx ody!
peanuts
08-30-2009, 09:30 PM
...Better luck next week for us all :) ...
Ody, I think you made an error on my score. I should be green this week.
I was short AIG first, then switched to long. AIG opened at $52.98 as per Yahoo! finance on Friday, so I was positive 5.2661% on my short play plus .08% on my long play switcheroo. Where are you getting your numbers?
JohnHenry
08-30-2009, 11:25 PM
Short COF, that baby gotta down! Thanks for keeping score.
Odysseus
08-31-2009, 08:09 AM
Ody, I think you made an error on my score. I should be green this week.
I was short AIG first, then switched to long. AIG opened at $52.98 as per Yahoo! finance on Friday, so I was positive 5.2661% on my short play plus .08% on my long play switcheroo. Where are you getting your numbers?
Ooo, sorry about that Peanuts, misread your entry:
I'll take a stab in the dark and go with AIG short for Friday
I put you in at the time of you post. You won this week at +5.35% ! Sorry John, but you still came in 2nd !
I'll have to update the scoreboard as soon as I can, sorry again
Karel
08-31-2009, 01:01 PM
Congratulations, Peanuts!
I am still long EXM!
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
08-31-2009, 03:26 PM
Hi Ody... thanks for changing that. I think that you just need to change the balance carryover to the final entry on the yearly scoreboard, and everything should be square.
I would like to short SCHN, please and thank you.
Odysseus
09-06-2009, 04:52 PM
Peter takes the gold again with SLAB ! Not only did he win, he has moved up above RL on the 2009 Year Scoreboard to take 4th place. Current leaders are IIC, followed by Karel, Peanuts, then Peter. Congrats !
Silicon Laboratories Inc. designs and develops mixed-signal analog intensive integrated circuits (ICs) for a range of applications.
I took second place shorting an insurance company, just because I wanted to ;) Thought it would drop a little more though. Selective Insurance Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, offers property and casualty insurance products and diversified insurance services and products.
JohnHenry though hasn't taken first place yet, (sorry about last week John) still has an amazing knack of always being in the top 3. He came in 3rd this week shorting COF, keeping up with the bank failure news. Nice pick sir !
Capital One Financial Corporation is a diversified banking company focused primarily on consumer and commercial lending and deposit origination.
Just wanted to first post last week's then this weeks. Good luck this week !
http://img98.imageshack.us/img98/3914/potw3409.jpg
http://img215.imageshack.us/img215/6275/potw3509.jpg
Odysseus
09-06-2009, 05:56 PM
Going to try AMPL short if she opens above $2.... long shot here ;)
JohnHenry
09-06-2009, 06:18 PM
Congrats to all greens, HITK, long please.
Peter Hansen
09-07-2009, 08:39 AM
Ody TXIC LONG.....wow nice analysis on the stocks ...I really just looked at the chart for SLAB......I didn't study what they do, or for that matter did not know how their fundamentals stacked up.
Karel
09-08-2009, 03:23 AM
Congratulations Peanuts!
I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
Oops! Forgot to enter last week's contest. I've been working way too hard lately. Put me in DO long for the week, please, Ody. Thanks!
peanuts
09-08-2009, 09:20 AM
Fantastic job, Ody... Thanks!
I'd like to go with TEX long please and thank you
I like the chart and the heavy equipment industry... we still have got to pull stuff out of the ground!
ps. Karel, I came in last place for last week
Karel
09-10-2009, 07:27 AM
... ps. Karel, I came in last place for last week
I must have looked at the wrong rankings. Well, my sympathies instead.
And I think JohnHenry got bored not scoring a first yet...
Regards,
Karel
Peter Hansen
09-13-2009, 11:19 AM
Ody CTFO LONG for the new week THANX!
Odysseus
09-13-2009, 10:04 PM
John Henry crushes the competition this week with HITK, congrats ! And you officially got your first Gold medal this week, along with placing in the top 3 positions 7 times out of 12 entries. Hi-Tech Pharmacal Co., Inc. (Hi-Tech) is a specialty manufacturer and marketer of prescription, over-the-counter (OTC) and nutritional products.
I took 2nd shorting AMPL, slightly risky but well worth it ;). All on technical analysis, for some reason I've been picking Israel companies a lot of late. Ampal-American Israel Corporation (Ampal) primarily acquires interests in businesses located in the State of Israel or that are Israel-related.
Peanuts grabs 3rd place with TEX, increasing his stake in 3rd place for the year... so far ;) He is also on his way to having the most placings to which Karel currently holds the record of 17. Peanuts is only 1 away from tying him, good luck sir ! Terex Corporation (Terex) is a diversified global manufacturer of capital equipment focused on delivering reliable, customer relevant solutions for the construction, infrastructure, quarrying, surface mining, shipping, transportation, refining and utility industries.
Another week begins, good luck all !
http://img225.imageshack.us/img225/2043/potw3609.jpg
Odysseus
09-13-2009, 10:56 PM
Going for ARTG long this week... :cramersmiley:
JohnHenry
09-14-2009, 12:40 AM
Congrats to everyone in the green...DBRN long please. Thanks
Wow! Have you seen a 6-month chart of FUQI (http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=FUQI&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p65702628143)?
Is FUQI getting toppy at $30? Or is it going to blow past that level to new all-time highs?
I'm thinking perhaps the latter. Put Rob down for FUQI long this week, Spo-dee Ody. Thanks!
Karel
09-14-2009, 10:19 AM
Congratulations, JohnHenry!
I am still long EXM, thank you Ody!
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
09-16-2009, 02:31 AM
Congrats to JohnHenry... I knew that gold would be in your future!
I'll take AZC short, please and thank you
Peter Hansen
09-16-2009, 09:53 PM
ODY OUT CTFO and IN PXLW Thank You ......CTFO crapped out!
JohnHenry
09-18-2009, 12:10 PM
Pleas sell DBRN and buy GYMB....thanks
Peter Hansen
09-20-2009, 11:28 AM
Ody MNRO LONG for the new week .....THANX!
Odysseus
09-20-2009, 05:21 PM
Rollercoaster week that Karel's EXM navigated through with a small gain, yet enough to establish him winner of the week. Congrats !
JohnHenry got out of DBRN with a small loss, and finished with GYMB with small gain. Large enough to take 2nd place this week. Amazing.
The Dress Barn, Inc. (DBRN) operates women’s apparel specialty stores, principally under the names dressbarn, dressbarn woman and maurices
The Gymboree Corporation is a specialty retailer operating stores selling apparel and accessories for children under the GYMBOREE, GYMBOREE OUTLET, JANIE AND JACK and Crazy 8 brands, as well as play programs for children under the GYMBOREE PLAY & MUSIC brand.
http://img121.imageshack.us/img121/5725/potw3709.jpg
Odysseus
09-20-2009, 06:45 PM
Going to go for the gold.... I think this pick will make or break me.... ZOOM long.... ;)
Good luck all !
JohnHenry
09-21-2009, 01:11 AM
Congrats Karl. I got desperate and lucky last week. Nothing good out there this week. I’ll go with DDRX long please. Thanks for keeping score, Ody.
Congratulations on your victory, Karel. I'm tempted to play FUQI again ... but ... nah, put me ARB long, please, Ody. Thank you!
Karel
09-21-2009, 09:20 AM
I won! Another Happy Snoopy Dance for me!
I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
09-21-2009, 10:40 AM
congrats to the greenies!
I'll take CCC long please and thank you.
peanuts
09-24-2009, 06:36 PM
congrats to the greenies!
I'll take CCC long please and thank you.
Hi Ody, please sell CCC, and I'll go long AZC. Thanks!
JohnHenry
09-25-2009, 12:53 AM
Sell DDRX and short RIMM, thanks
Odysseus
09-27-2009, 04:35 PM
Rough week that Rob was the only winner of. Congrats ! He took ARB long just before it jumped, and stayed positive all week. Rob's had a tough year so far, a well deserved win ! ;)
Arbitron Inc. (Arbitron) is a media and marketing information services firm primarily serving radio, cable television, advertising agencies, advertisers, retailers, out-of-home media, online media and, through its Scarborough Research joint venture with The Nielsen Company (Nielsen), broadcast television and print media.
Better luck for all of us next week !
http://img67.imageshack.us/img67/6865/potw3809.jpg
Sorry for the delay this week in updating the chart, ended up in the hospital a for a bit, but all is well. And they didn't have wireless in there, not too mention the wife wouldn't bring me my laptop. Boring night ;)
Odysseus
09-27-2009, 06:48 PM
OK, time to try another wacky one... hopefully this one doesn't delist itself mid week like ZOOM ;)
HDF.TO short
Good luck all !
Odysseus
09-27-2009, 06:50 PM
Er, HFD.TO short that is..... curse'd dyslexia... creeping up on me in old age ;)
I won? Oh ... I guess I did! Well, How d'ya like that? I'll take it!
Rob's had a tough year so far . . . You got that right, Spo-dee Ody! And thanks for reminding me!
I'm going to try STX long this week, please. Thanks!
I usually don't even consider stocks with negative earnings, but this one has a great-looking chart and some recent, positive news. Also, I don't own it in real life. So .. you know ...
Hey! I only need a 72.13% gain to get back to where I started!
Peter Hansen
09-28-2009, 08:31 AM
Ody MIC long ......Thanx ....enjoy the week!
JohnHenry
09-28-2009, 09:59 AM
Congrats! Rob. Short COF, thanks Ody.
peanuts
09-28-2009, 11:33 AM
CCC long, please and thank you
Karel
09-28-2009, 12:04 PM
Congratulations Rob!
I am still long EXM.
regards,
Karel
peanuts
09-30-2009, 01:05 PM
I can't seem to pick em, lately. Get me out of CCC, please and I'll try a low volume, small float clean tech company... gimmee CECE long, please and thank you
Odysseus
10-04-2009, 05:04 PM
John Henry pulls ahead again with a great short ! Well done sir ! Market completely tanked against all of us, though at the beginning of the week it was looking good. Not the first time you've placed shorting COF ;)
Capital One Financial Corporation is a diversified banking company focused primarily on consumer and commercial lending and deposit origination.
Better luck next week for the rest of us !
http://img2.imageshack.us/img2/4461/potw3909.jpg
Odysseus
10-04-2009, 05:37 PM
Well, I knew my last pick was iffy.... going for CDE short this week.
Coeur d’Alene Mines Corporation (Coeur) is a silver producer with gold assets located in North America. The Company through its subsidiaries is engaged in the operation and/or ownership, development and exploration of silver and gold mining properties and companies located primarily within South America (Chile, Argentina and Bolivia), Mexico (Chihuahua), United States (Nevada and Alaska) and Australia (New South Wales).
Peter Hansen
10-04-2009, 08:20 PM
Ody HOV Short Thank You !
wooish
10-04-2009, 10:29 PM
I would like to join the fun too. Thanks. Please add me in
SUTR LONG
JohnHenry
10-05-2009, 01:42 AM
RT long please. Thanks Ody
I'll take FDO long, please, Mr. Ulysses. Thank you.
Karel
10-05-2009, 09:02 AM
Congratulations, JohnHenry!
I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
Peter Hansen
10-06-2009, 07:45 AM
Ody HOV Short Thank You !
ODY OUT OF HOV into CPBY LONG THANX !
peanuts
10-07-2009, 02:18 PM
NM long, please and thank you
Odysseus, on the POTW score card it looks like you have today's opening price for FDO ($28.48) instead of Monday's opening price ($26.83), i.e. that you forgot to change the formula to the static value. Hey, it happens. Believe me. I know. http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/images/icons/icon7.gif
peanuts
10-09-2009, 10:32 AM
Ody,
Please sell NM
I'd like to go long ZSL. Thanks
Peter Hansen
10-11-2009, 01:40 PM
ODY CTFO LONG......Your organizational skills with the POW are "extraordinary". I really appreciate your efforts ......THANK You!
Odysseus
10-11-2009, 04:15 PM
lol thanks Peter, though Hags did most of the original leg work, just building off his base ;)
And congrats ! Peter crushed the competition this week with CPBY, going long for a nice gain of +20%. Well played !
That's not to say however others didn't do well. Karel once again took advantage of EXM and bagged a respectable +8%. Karel remains a hard to beat 2nd placer on winning the contest this year, nice job ! And I must say, amazing strategy ;)
Wooish just joined the contest and squeezed out +7% from SUTR and took 3rd place to boot ! Well done and welcome aboard !
Guessing 10,000 on the DOW is a guarantee now, good luck all next week !
http://img28.imageshack.us/img28/1068/potw4009.jpg
Odysseus
10-11-2009, 04:24 PM
though I'm thinking green this week, or at least the touch to 10k, going to short again. CYAN short for me this week.... :cross fingers:
wooish
10-12-2009, 12:23 AM
Please add LIWA @9.94 LONG. Thanks
JohnHenry
10-12-2009, 02:10 AM
Congrats to all greenies. KMGB long please. Thanks Ody
IBM long, please, Mr. Ulysses. :cramersmiley:
Karel
10-12-2009, 10:10 AM
Congratulations, Pete! Great win!
Ody, I am still long EXM. And my strategy is currently in a quagmire. A report will follow in my Marketocracy thread.
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
10-13-2009, 11:52 AM
Congrats to the greenies last week. With earnings season upon us, I have a feeling that there are going to be some big percentage moves for the contestants... both up and down, in the next few weeks
GLNG short, please and thank you
It's nice to see some new contestants as well. More, we need more! :cramersmiley:
Odysseus
10-18-2009, 04:50 PM
Tough week for our previous winners, and only two of us managed to keep our head above water.
I lucked out (yes luck, my picks have been terrible this year ;) ) on CYAN staying low on below average volume... phew :)
Cyanotech Corporation (CYAN) produces natural products derived from microalgae. The Company cultivates, on a large-scale basis, two microalgal species, from which its two product lines are derived. CYAN is producing microalgal products for nutritional supplement markets. It manufactures all of its products in the United States and sells its products worldwide.
John Henry managed to come out ahead as well on KMGB taking 2nd place. Congrats ! Interesting to note that KMGB had above average volume all week with very little movement either direction save Tuesday.
KMG Chemicals, Inc. manufactures, formulates and globally distributes specialty chemicals. The Company has acquired and operates segments engaged in the electronic chemicals, industrial wood preserving and animal health businesses. Its electronic chemicals segment provides wet process chemicals to the semiconductor industry, primarily to clean and etch silicon wafers in the production of semiconductors
We hit 10,000 ;).... though only to bounce down or jump up I'm not sure.... I'm feeling a bit bearish this week.... not seeing good news out there again.... how is everyone else seeing the market?
Good luck next week !
http://img196.imageshack.us/img196/254/potw4109.jpg
Odysseus
10-18-2009, 05:54 PM
Alright... I'm guessing short this week be a good thing, but think this company has some room to move up.... I'll try DRAD long this week...
Peter Hansen
10-18-2009, 08:11 PM
Ody AUTCW LONG I'm swinging for the fences with this one! Thanx!
Rob is tempted to stay with IBM for another week, as he thinks the post-earnings sell-off was unwarranted. However, he just rented a Chevrolet Traverse over the weekend, and got less than 17 miles per gallon driving it. So Rob's going to go with offshore drilling contractor NE long, which has a P/E of 7, PEG ratio of <1 and ROE of 29.5%. Thanks Spo-dee Ody!
JohnHenry
10-19-2009, 09:47 AM
Congrats to Ody and thanks for keeping score. SCL long please.
wooish
10-19-2009, 10:24 AM
I'm staying LONG LIWA, I have a feeling it'll explode.
peanuts
10-19-2009, 07:33 PM
It's nice to see the scorekeeper get to bask in the sun every once in a while.
I'll go with RIC long, please and thank you
Websman
10-19-2009, 09:57 PM
I should enter next week...Of course, it's probably wouldn't be very fair, considering the huge advantage the VTP rating system gives me.
JohnHenry
10-21-2009, 01:24 AM
Ody AUTCW LONG I'm swinging for the fences with this one! Thanx!
For sure! Nice 30%.
Karel
10-21-2009, 11:20 AM
Forgot to enter; too busy. Long EXM...
Regards,
Karel
Odysseus
10-25-2009, 05:12 PM
What a roller coaster ! Peter Hansen took a great stock that managed to go +30% from it's open on Monday, to -20% by Wednesday, to finally end at +17% on Friday, taking 1st place for the week. I don't know if I could have held on to that, well done Peter !
Rob was the only other able to stay above the red this week with NE. A +2% gain but better than red ;) This stock has been on a good run since the beginning of October. Definitely a safe bet during this rough week. I noticed even Motley liked it, nice pick Rob !
Getting into the final weeks now. Good luck everyone !
http://img5.imageshack.us/img5/254/potw4109.jpg
Odysseus
10-25-2009, 05:35 PM
Taking a page from the Peter hand book.... no idea about this one but have a good feeling at least for some positive %'s. Long ADVS for me
Peter Hansen
10-25-2009, 08:17 PM
What a roller coaster ! Peter Hansen took a great stock that managed to go +30% from it's open on Monday, to -20% by Wednesday, to finally end at +17% on Friday, taking 1st place for the week. I don't know if I could have held on to that, well done Peter !
Rob was the only other able to stay above the red this week with NE. A +2% gain but better than red ;) This stock has been on a good run since the beginning of October. Definitely a safe bet during this rough week. I noticed even Motley liked it, nice pick Rob !
Getting into the final weeks now. Good luck everyone !
http://img5.imageshack.us/img5/254/potw4109.jpg
Ody beautiful job on the "New Look" Graphics POW ...it is catchy! Thank You!
Peter Hansen
10-25-2009, 08:21 PM
ODY PWRD LONG For the new week ....THANX!
Up at Cody's Camp I spent my days
With flat car riders and cross tie walkers
Those two lines from Creedence Clearwater Revival's Green River are a clue to my pick this week.
That's right. CLEARWATER PAPER CO. (CLW) long, please!
Thanks, Ody.
JohnHenry
10-26-2009, 10:18 AM
Congrats to Peter and Rob...TSRA long please!
Websman
10-26-2009, 02:49 PM
I have consulted with Lyehopper and the rest of the VTP Inner Circle. Considering the fact that the VTP gives us an unfair advantage, we have decided that it would be best not to enter the POTW contest at this time.
Sincerely...
VTP - Founder of the VTP Inner Circle.
Peter Hansen
10-26-2009, 09:24 PM
ODY PWRD LONG For the new week ....THANX!
Ody GRUS Global Resources will change to GFRE and go to the nasdaq tomorrow.....10/27.....Kindly take me out out PWRD and put me into GFRE LONG , supposedly the new nasdaq symbol! Thank you
Karel
10-28-2009, 07:28 AM
Grrr. I am getting out of the habit. EXM long please.
And now back to the definition of my screens on a different screener. Bother Microsoft!
Regards,
Karel
peanuts
10-30-2009, 12:31 PM
CECE long please and thank you
steelman
10-30-2009, 02:57 PM
I think I will give this a try. My first POTW. EGMI long please.
Thanks,
Steelman
Odysseus
11-01-2009, 04:08 PM
OOo, sorry Steelman, EGMI was below $2 Friday.
Rules (http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pPWYo-FSVU0-_gDRWkBgHUg&gid=6): $2 minimum for cheapest stock price.
But, you have a fresh start for this week.
Unfortunately, no one won this week. But congrats to Peanuts for losing the least ! ;)
Next time I hear the VTP staying out I'm shorting !
http://img202.imageshack.us/img202/4392/potw4309s.jpg
Odysseus
11-01-2009, 04:51 PM
Well... if this fails... I'm just going to go opposite my normal picks...
GRC short this week
wooish
11-01-2009, 07:56 PM
Please add FUQI long. Thanks
Websman
11-01-2009, 10:48 PM
Ok, I changed my mind.
I'll take PCS - long
JohnHenry
11-02-2009, 12:27 AM
Yeah! I'll take first place for losing the most....VRX long please.
CI long, please Mr. Ody. Thanks.
Peter Hansen
11-02-2009, 08:41 AM
Ody RBY Long ....I'm going with the GOLD this week!
steelman
11-02-2009, 06:22 PM
Hi Ody,
I will take TTEC long please for my first POTW.
Thanks,
Steelman
peanuts
11-03-2009, 04:44 AM
AZC long please and thank you
awesome job on the graphics, by the way :)
JohnHenry
11-04-2009, 08:30 AM
Please sell VRX and short PEET. Thanks
Karel
11-04-2009, 09:59 AM
Long EXM please!
Regards,
Karel
Websman
11-04-2009, 07:12 PM
Ok, I changed my mind.
I'll take PCS - long
This is way too easy. Why do I always pick winners? The Inner Circle knows.
Lyehopper
11-05-2009, 06:03 PM
This is way too easy. Why do I always pick winners? The Inner Circle knows.
Sometimes the Inner Circle consumes a little too much of Th' GoJi....
Websman
11-05-2009, 06:29 PM
sometimes the inner circle consumes a little too much of th' goji....
WTF!!!!???? Pcs is down .61??????????? Huh????????????
This is pure bull sh-t!!!!!!!!
Websman
11-06-2009, 10:20 AM
Yup...Must have been the Goji.... jejeje
Odysseus
11-08-2009, 06:41 PM
Wooish takes the gold with a great pick FUQI ! Congrats ! Only your 4th pick but there are still enough weeks to make it to the top. Good luck sir !
Fuqi International, Inc. (Fuqi) is a designer of precious metal jewelry in China, developing, promoting, and selling a range of products in the Chinese luxury goods market.
Rob grabbed a good one with CI, that nearly gave him a gold, alas, just a ~1% away from the top. Great pick anyway Rob ! And your 10th silver I might add ;)
CIGNA Corporation (CIGNA) is an investor-owned health service organization in the United States. The Company’s subsidiaries are providers of healthcare and related benefits, the majority of which are offered through the workplace, including healthcare products and services; group disability, life and accident insurance, and workers’ compensation case management and related services.
And our newest contestant steals 3rd place out of the blue, using TTEC to ride his way to upper ranks. Welcome aboard Steelman !
TeleTech Holdings, Inc. (TeleTech) is a global provider of onshore, offshore and work-from-home business process outsourcing (BPO) services focusing on customer management and enterprise management solutions.
Lot of ups and downs this week, as Webs pointed out, good luck this coming one !
http://img4.imageshack.us/img4/1275/potw4409.jpg
Peter Hansen
11-08-2009, 06:46 PM
CYT LONG ........Thanx ODY!
Odysseus
11-08-2009, 07:36 PM
C'mon MWE long.... need me some positive %'s....
UAM long please, Ody. Thanks!
JohnHenry
11-09-2009, 09:50 AM
Congrats to the greenies..FUQI long please.
Karel
11-09-2009, 10:32 AM
Congratulations, Wooish!
I am still long EXM.
Regards,
Karel
steelman
11-09-2009, 12:23 PM
Ody,
I might be a little late on this one, but I will take EGO El Dorado Gold Long please.
Thanks,
Joe
steelman
11-09-2009, 01:34 PM
Sorry Ody,
Will you change my pick to VIT Vanceinfo Tech Ads, Long please.
Thanks,
peanuts
11-09-2009, 09:09 PM
CECE long please and thank you.
wooish
11-09-2009, 11:15 PM
Woohoo I won my 1st gold? Here's my next winner
AGEN Long please at $1.06
Odysseus
11-10-2009, 08:32 AM
Sorry Ody,
Will you change my pick to VIT Vanceinfo Tech Ads, Long please.
Thanks,
Not a problem Steelman, however I did have to put you into EGO briefly... you can change your pick only 2 times per week, but the last would take you to Friday. So you can still change again if you wanted ;)
Congrats again Wooish ! However, we only allow stocks that open at $2 or higher... sorry. You can still make a pick though. I also recently edited my signature below to show the rules (can't believe I had them missing from there this long ;) )
Good luck all !
wooish
11-11-2009, 12:02 AM
Ody
Please add ATV @ 5.25 LONG. Thanks.
Ody, please put me in NTES long this week. Thank you, sir.
Odysseus
11-15-2009, 06:15 PM
Karel continues to ride the wave of awesomeness that is EXM, congrats ! Doesn't hurt when you beat the earnings estimates (http://www.benzinga.com/40481/excel-exceeds-earnings-estimates-analyst-blog) either ;) Karel is locked into 2nd position for the year still...
2nd place was a neck and neck race that Steelman came out ahead of Rob with VIT. Didn't look good until some resolutions (http://www.tradingmarkets.com/.site/news/Stock%20News/2650299/) went through on Friday that rocketed the stock up good. Congrats Steelman for your first 2nd place win !
VanceInfo Technologies Inc. is an information technology (IT) service provider and one of the offshore software development companies in China.
Rob took another 3rd place winning with UAM. Not much news on this stock that I could find this week, but it was steadily going up before a pull back on Friday that it did recover from. Another good win by Rob !
Universal American Corp. (Universal American) offers a range of health insurance and managed care products and services, primarily to the senior population.
Good luck next week !
http://img410.imageshack.us/img410/8744/potw4509.jpg
Sorry, just noticed at this posting that the image forward numbers are slightly incorrect. I have fixed on the spreadsheet though, so look there for your actual numbers.
Odysseus
11-15-2009, 08:10 PM
Ok... I'd be doing great had I gone opposite most of my picks... so going to try that ;) HPT short this week....
Websman
11-15-2009, 08:54 PM
DG - long
jeeeeeeejejeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!
Peter Hansen
11-15-2009, 10:30 PM
ODY CTB LONG for the new week .......THANX!
wooish
11-15-2009, 11:34 PM
ALU LIZ long for this week.
peanuts
11-16-2009, 08:50 AM
AZC long please and thank you
Karel
11-16-2009, 09:00 AM
Hello Ody,
put me down for another week of EXM please!
Regards,
Karel
JohnHenry
11-16-2009, 09:52 AM
Congrats top three...HMIN long please.
Odysseus
11-16-2009, 10:27 AM
ALU LIZ long for this week.
Ok, I admit, I'm confused ;)
Do you want ALU long, or LIZ long?
I put you down for LIZ for the moment....
steelman
11-16-2009, 11:14 AM
Hi Ody,
I will take ARO long please.
Thanks, Steelman
vBulletin® v3.8.0, Copyright ©2000-2012, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.