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IIC
11-30-2003, 08:55 PM
Current Holdings: PWN, EGHT, LRCX, DTAS, BIT, EGOV, FDRY, ISSI

My Weekend Watchlist mostly(but not all)consists of companies that have tight bases with drying up vol. Typically, I will watch them for a breakout on vol...See IBD Investor's Corner 10/20/03. Sometimes I buy and wait; e.g. BIT...I also look for good companies that have corrected and are coming back on volume. I don't worry too much about past EPS...more concerned with current and future EPS.

FINL, DY, MSS, CBK, ASPT, IGT, NENG, MSTR, INTV, HELE, MTXX, ODSY, AV, DNA, FORM, HILL, MVSN, SNIC, TRCI, MOBI, RFMI, LCUT, TSAI, NETE, ALDN, CBA, LFL, NTST, SGDE, ADEX, CAMD, AUGT, TTMI, MOBE, NCI, CLST, NICE, NITE, VSAT, GES, INSP, SLNK ... Note, the Analyst projection for the current qtr is wrong at DGO on NTST

And my WEEKEND FLYER LUNCH MONEY play...AXYX

Best To All...IIC

mrmarket
11-30-2003, 09:21 PM
Looks good, IIC. I expect this thread will become as popular as Stenz's.

IIC
11-30-2003, 10:01 PM
I'm not sure how popular this topic will be...but most weekends I do my DD and I will post my lists...During the week I post my trades as soon as I can...will also try to post anything that comes up during the week...most of those would be one's moving up on volume...Now I have to add your Dump PIX to my research...THX again for the invite...If I screw up again, just let me know :D ...IIC

IIC
12-01-2003, 09:56 AM
Add PSSI and BLTI to the list

IIC
12-01-2003, 10:40 AM
SLD EGHT at 6.86 and BOT BLTI

IIC
12-01-2003, 04:45 PM
Snagged some AXYX with my lunch money

The Kid
12-01-2003, 05:10 PM
IIC,

Why the constant use of bold in all your posts? Do you turn to italics or underlying when you want additional emphasis on a certain word or phrase? Inquiring minds want to know.

Thanks,

The Kid

IIC
12-01-2003, 05:30 PM
IIC,

Why the constant use of bold in all your posts? Do you turn to italics or underlying when you want additional emphasis on a certain word or phrase? Inquiring minds want to know.

Thanks,

The Kid

Because it's easier for me to read...but don't worry, I went to the eye doctor last Friday and I should be getting my new glasses on Wed...so I should be good for another 2 years...Hey, how about NANO???...How did I miss it? :)

The Kid
12-01-2003, 05:46 PM
IIC,

No problem. So that you have an easier time reading them, I will use bold in my replies or questions to you then as well. :) I hope your vision improves when you get the new prescription. And I also hope your stock-picking vision remains as good as usual.

Good luck with the eye-sight and your portfolio's flight,

The Kid

IIC
12-01-2003, 08:08 PM
Not a problem Kid...I'm not that blind :lol:

Anyway...I didn't jump on SGDE today (Darn)...but if it opens up on vol...It could be a winner a la MTEX

billyjoe
12-01-2003, 09:01 PM
IIC, SGDE looks very interesting . If you had to put a % on the chance of a successful breakout with this base and volume action what's your guess? The low volume the previous two days really catches my attention, unless the short day after Thanksgiving is throwing us off a little. Thanks for your research. Billyjoe

IIC
12-01-2003, 11:15 PM
IIC, SGDE looks very interesting . If you had to put a % on the chance of a successful breakout with this base and volume action what's your guess? The low volume the previous two days really catches my attention, unless the short day after Thanksgiving is throwing us off a little. Thanks for your research. Billyjoe

To be honest, I might have missed this one this morning due to work committments(Damn Job!!!)...but if it continues up on vol. it could be good...Actually, the vol. was low for 21 days with sideways movement...which I interpret as the sellers were gone....Let's see...I missed MTEX 'cause all I had that day was unsettled funds...so I BOT TAXI instead...Thought it was safer...made a little on it but???

AV looks pretty good to me right now too...Decisions! Decisions! Decisions!...Can't buy everything

As you can probably tell, I'm a MO-MO...till it stops working anyway...Best, IIC

tokyojoeskid
12-02-2003, 10:28 AM
what do ya think IIC,
today i will take a position in either wht or ngps, comments please.
tjk

IIC
12-02-2003, 10:52 AM
Took profits on ISSI...BOT SGDE

IIC
12-02-2003, 11:02 AM
what do ya think IIC,
today i will take a position in either wht or ngps, comments please.
tjk

Not my cup of tea...eps this qtr may not be so hot...but I'm not sure DGO has it right...I'd look elsewhere...I think we are a month late here...I'd prefer to try and catch them a little earlier...Of course I'd like to have 44 gainers in a row too...Best, IIC

IIC
12-02-2003, 11:11 AM
MALL...moving

IIC
12-02-2003, 11:33 AM
FDRY moving nicely the last 20 mins

IIC
12-02-2003, 01:41 PM
MOBI looks good right now

IIC
12-02-2003, 02:46 PM
Took profits on LRCX :D

IIC
12-02-2003, 03:51 PM
Trim Time: SLD DTAS and 90% of EGOV :)

Michaelk005
12-02-2003, 07:02 PM
Im likeing NICE A LOT, its going to correct most likely tomrow.

IIC
12-02-2003, 08:10 PM
I like NICE too...but techs are weakening...that's why I trimmed today on EGOV and SLD LRCX & ISSI...I'll see how it goes with the others tomorrow.

But I will keep my eye on NICE too...it would be nice if it dropped to the 50 day and then bounced on volume. It is well worthing watching for a reversal on vol. depending on how the market direction goes...Best, IIC

RL
12-02-2003, 09:35 PM
gREAT TO SEE THIS LOOKING FOR SOME WINNERS :D

IIC
12-02-2003, 10:42 PM
That WHT flew by me...things are going too fast lately...but I don't look at gold anyway...so I wouldn't be any help here...The only thing I like about gold is that my back molar bridges are still intact after 34 years...BTW...if anyone cares...I'm 50...but I look 49 :D

IIC
12-03-2003, 10:34 AM
BOT at open

CKCM
CENX

IIC
12-03-2003, 11:17 AM
SLD:

FDRY
The rest of EGOV

IIC
12-03-2003, 11:39 AM
SLD PWN

Michaelk005
12-03-2003, 01:17 PM
What do you like about axyx?

Gem
12-03-2003, 01:18 PM
ITC, do you buy purely on technicals? I did IBD stock check up on CENX and the EPS rating / SMR is not great..would appreciate your thoughts ..

Michaelk005
12-03-2003, 01:54 PM
Im looking at a swing with SIRI, whats your thoughts,

thanks

IIC
12-03-2003, 02:44 PM
What do you like about axyx?

I believed the article...but I waited till it moved up 30 cents on Monday

http://www.jmdutton.com/

IIC
12-03-2003, 02:52 PM
Im looking at a swing with SIRI, whats your thoughts,

thanks

Too risky for me...however, if you can catch it moving up fast on vol. you might consider a pocket change play I guess...Good Luck, IIC

IIC
12-03-2003, 03:43 PM
ITC, do you buy purely on technicals? I did IBD stock check up on CENX and the EPS rating / SMR is not great..would appreciate your thoughts ..

No I don't, but I don't pay much attention to the IBD EPS rating...I look at very recent, present and projected EPS.

It's actually against my religion to buy a stock in a group like this...but I said 3 Hail Mary's and went for it based on yesterday's action and the fact that I think the market will reverse soon. I simply BOT CENX as a defensive play to balance my risk. Projections for this one are pretty good.

I'm in the process of trimming overall right now though. Took profits on PWN, FDRY and the rest of EGOV earlier today.

I screwed up though on CKCM...Don't buy risky plays with unsettled funds!...But I look at it as a long term play...3 days anyway :? I went in real light though(fortunately)...Best, IIC

IIC
12-03-2003, 04:27 PM
Hammer Time...Good time to consider closing long positions IMO

Michaelk005
12-03-2003, 04:39 PM
Sold axyx today at $4.68, :P think its time to split on that, what you think about TIVO, think its going to reverse.

What you thinking about buying tomorow? take a look at HL, done beuties for me....

IIC
12-03-2003, 05:06 PM
Sold axyx today at $4.68, :P think its time to split on that, what you think about TIVO, think its going to reverse.

What you thinking about buying tomorow? take a look at HL, done beuties for me....

I closed out all settled positions except AXYX, BLTI and BIT...as far as those 2...I really have no idea...HL could be a defensive play if you think the market is tanking...but it did close near it's low for the day today...so I'm not sure...One of my 3,157 Sayings To Live By is When in doubt ...Stay out

IIC
12-03-2003, 08:33 PM
Pleasant surprise that the NAZ 100 was up fraction A/H...doesn't mean the techs will bounce back or anything...but it might be a good time to start searching for good ones that have taken a recent hit e.g. EVOL, MOBI, NICE etc. Then wait for the day they rise on vol...at least I'm gonna do that.

BTW: On a side note, ever notice the inordinate number of stocks that have an 81 EPS at IBD?...It's a programming glitch which is partially caused by rating companies w/o 3-5 yrs of EPS to measure.

IIC
12-04-2003, 03:24 AM
Foreign Markets close UP...NAZ 100 up a fraction A/H, Futures up A/H...but the 10day NAZ volume MA indicates a new downrend as well as the Short term OverBOT/OverSLD Oscillator at DGO...a little confusing here right now

IIC
12-04-2003, 10:25 AM
Although still positive, the futures are dropping, ...a bearish signal IMO...Don't get sucked in...My 2 cent take this morning

9:15AM : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.9. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.0. At its worst level of the morning, the futures market continues to point to a higher open for the cash market.
9:00AM : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.1. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.5. The futures market continues to dip on the heels of the worse than expected Initial Claims report at 365K (consensus 354K). Although below the consensus, the report does not disrupt the favorable employment trend established of late. Accordingly, supported by mostly solid same store sales reports, upward guidance by QCOM, and Merrill Lynch's upgrade of several tech companies, including CSCO, the cash market remains set for a higher open.

8:40AM : S&P futures vs fair value: +3.1. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +7.0. The futures market did not take kindly to the worse than expected Initial Claims report at 365K (consensus 354K). Keep in mind, though, that the 4-week average, a less volatile measure, only rose to 363K from 360K last week. Despite the dip in the futures market, it continues to point to a higher open for the cash market, supported by generally strong same store sales reports, upgrades of the likes of CSCO and MRVL at Merrill Lynch, and QCOM's higher Q1 guidance.

8:25AM : S&P futures vs fair value: +4.2. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +10.0. The Initial Claims report will be announced at 8:30 ET. The report will shed more light on the employment picture. The market consensus is for a reading of 354K versus the prior reading of 351K and the Briefing.com consensus of 355K.

8:00AM : S&P futures vs fair value: +3.9. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +9.0. The futures market is higher in a reversal of yesterday's late afternoon pullback and in conjunction with largely better than expected same store sales reports, as well as upgrades of several tech names, including CSCO, at Merrill Lynch.

6:45AM : S&P futures vs fair value: +3.2. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +7.0.

IIC
12-04-2003, 10:37 AM
AXYX is moving well

IIC
12-04-2003, 03:17 PM
FWIW...My take is that the NAZ will go down to 1930(approx)...rebound to 1960(approx) and then go down again. Can't say exaxctly when that will happen.

A lot of good stocks getting hammered big time...keep an eye on them for future rebounds...Best of Luck...I hope you longs took my advice yesterday.

IIC
12-04-2003, 05:46 PM
INTC announced mid qtr guidance...drops over 3% A/H...NAZ 100 down almost 1% A/H... does not look good tomorrow

IIC
12-05-2003, 11:01 AM
Merry Christmas....AXYX up over 10% :D

IIC
12-05-2003, 11:24 PM
Sorry to disappoint everybody :lol: ...but I will be leaving town till Sunday afternoon...probably no posts till Sunday night...look for the mkts to deteriorate a little more IMO...If you find any tight bases with drying up volume...please post them here...Have a Great Weekend!!!...IIC

IIC
12-08-2003, 10:36 AM
I didn't get back until late and didn't have time for my weekend DD...Anyway, here are the adds/deletions for the IBD 100

New Stocks: HRT RCKY PETD BREL AHH ACO CALM CBA GVHR POG PTR HDB WFSI MTH DHOM SHI BVN LCAV LSCP FBC

Dropped Stocks: CECO ODSY ESI OPNT AHMH UOPX SYNO TALX CHS CEDC ARTC EVOL MOBI WHI POOL MXBIF FINL AWA SINA SWIR

AHMH symbol change to AHH...so that one is a wash...Best to all...IIC

IIC
12-08-2003, 01:25 PM
I would look for a bounce right about here NAZ 1930...if not, there are some big problems

IIC
12-08-2003, 03:11 PM
BOT NOOF

IIC
12-08-2003, 03:23 PM
I have not done any DD...but here are a few for you to check out:

ALVR, SMTI,MTEX,DECK,VANS,NENG,LCAV,AMSG,ABAX,LSCP,APPX, TRID

IIC
12-08-2003, 04:37 PM
Got in MTEX at 13.05

IIC
12-08-2003, 05:01 PM
When you are wrong...you are wrong...BIT bit the dust from my portfolio today

Michaelk005
12-08-2003, 05:14 PM
I really like DECK, really good movement and the volume has been going insane latel, im going to pick some up when it hits a good leval, Should have held Axyx. going insane. RSI is really high though id be look to sell soon IIC

IIC
12-08-2003, 08:09 PM
I really like DECK, really good movement and the volume has been going insane latel, im going to pick some up when it hits a good leval, Should have held Axyx. going insane. RSI is really high though id be look to sell soon IIC

I like DECK too...what would you say would be a good entry point? I'd say if it starts moving up on vol. in the morning. However, I'm looking at the NAZ turning down at about 1960...I may bail out of everything if it does...not sure yet.

AXYX...as long as it keeps going up I guess it's good...I made about a buck a sh. since last Monday...if it goes under 5 I guess I'll sell. Unfortunately(again)I have to be on the road for work after the first 1 1/2 hrs of the mkt tomorrow.

Best, IIC
Current Holdings: NOOF, MTEX, SGDE, AXYX, CKCM, CENX, BLTI.

IIC
12-09-2003, 10:28 AM
Opens higher...Don't forget the Fed...be careful at NAZ 1960 level

9:15AM: S&P futures vs fair value: +3.2. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.5. Near its morning highs, the futures market continues to point to a higher open for the cash market.

IIC
12-09-2003, 10:47 AM
Took profits on AXYX :D

IIC
12-09-2003, 11:27 AM
Took profits On my 2 largest holdings...SLD BLTI and MTEX

IIC
12-09-2003, 12:25 PM
NOOF: Guess I wasn't cut out for the porno biz...I'm out

Michaelk005
12-09-2003, 01:31 PM
axyx droped bad

Steve
12-09-2003, 01:32 PM
NOOF: Guess I wasn't cut out for the porno biz...I'm out


Can I ask why you stayed in only one day? It's only down >1%.

IIC
12-09-2003, 05:50 PM
axyx droped bad

That's why I SLD...I could see it coming...made almost a buck a sh...I'm happy.

IIC
12-09-2003, 05:56 PM
NOOF: Guess I wasn't cut out for the porno biz...I'm out

Can I ask why you stayed in only one day? It's only down >1%.



I still like it...but I didn't like the general market(Go with the flow)...see my pre-mkt post...OK, I was off by 3 pts. Next NAZ bottom...not sure yet...maybe 1880??? Also, I had to go on the road for work today at 11:30am EST.

I am in 90%+ Cash right now...shoulda made it 100% before I left for work...Best, IIC

IIC
12-09-2003, 08:42 PM
The NAZ 100 was up a fraction A/H but
the NAZ Short-Term Overbought/Oversold Oscillator and the 10 Day
Up/Down Vol. Moving average Indicators both indicate we've got
further downside...Good Luck...IIC

P.S. I don't usually check the NYSE Indicators...but they also
indicate a downtrend although not as drastic.

IIC
12-10-2003, 10:15 AM
Wish the market was going to do better...but to keep in practice I am watching: HLEX, PDII, SMTI, ENWV, MTEX

I'd look for a fairly flat opening today with it ending up being a down day...hope I'm wrong...Best to all...IIC

IIC
12-10-2003, 10:52 AM
AV...I'm betting it will bounce back...In at 10.78

IIC
12-10-2003, 12:55 PM
Geez...My Watchlist is sure down the tubes...but actually, I'm pleased about it...makes for more potential upside when the market rebounds...of the one's I listed 2 posts ago...I would particularly watch HLEX...Best to all...Recommend Longs stay in cash for now. I'm over 85% cash myself...IIC

tokyojoeskid
12-10-2003, 03:23 PM
tokyojoeskid wrote:
big man any thoughts on hlex seems like a smaller company with outstanding earnings growth rev and decent rsi, competitors have been doing great in the last year . . . well it has also. . . competitors include esrx, advp and nmhc.
trading on its 52 wk high ready for a breakout?
i understand this may not be your "style" but i would still appreciate your thoughts, im sure stenz could help but he is in some foreign nation.
thx
tjk


HLEX looks great...I wouldn't make my final pick because it doesn't have 3 years of profits yet....someday probably!
_________________
=============================

I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

- $$$MR. MARKET$$$

IIC
12-10-2003, 05:36 PM
tokyojoeskid wrote:
big man any thoughts on hlex seems like a smaller company with outstanding earnings growth rev and decent rsi, competitors have been doing great in the last year . . . well it has also. . . competitors include esrx, advp and nmhc.
trading on its 52 wk high ready for a breakout?
i understand this may not be your "style" but i would still appreciate your thoughts, im sure stenz could help but he is in some foreign nation.
thx
tjk


HLEX looks great...I wouldn't make my final pick because it doesn't have 3 years of profits yet....someday probably!
_________________
=============================

I am HUGE! Bring me your finest meats and cheeses.

- $$$MR. MARKET$$$

I like HLEX...but the long market is ugly...I will wait for the Market Indicators to reverse before making any large long buys...If the NAZ cannot find support above 1875 or so I am afraid we may be headed toward 1780. Leaders are getting hammered. We may see a teaser day tomorrow???...Go with the flow and resist the temptation to go long if that happens unless you want to daytrade...Once this mess is over with I will look at fallen leaders...but will basically start from scratch...Just my 2 cents...Best, IIC

billyjoe
12-10-2003, 07:35 PM
IIC,
Could you explain a little about arriving at your NAZ support numbers such as the 1875 mentioned in your last post?

Thanks, Billyjoe

IIC
12-10-2003, 08:09 PM
IIC,
Could you explain a little about arriving at your NAZ support numbers such as the 1875 mentioned in your last post?

Thanks, Billyjoe

I rounded off...maybe I should have said 1878 which was the low on the last significant NAZ dip on 11/21. It is preferable to see the low on a correction stay above the low on the previous correction from a Bullish perspective. It doesn't always work out that way (see the low on 8/8...it was lower than the low on 7/21...but the market still came back). But all the other lows on significant dips since the low of 5/21 have been higher than the previous low. Not an exact science, but I prefer to go with the odds. For example, on the August low we waited a little longer than usual to see if the uptrend would hold.

But primarily we use the Dailygraphs Market Indicators for market direction...The Short Term Overbought/Oversold Oscillator and the 10 Day Up/Down Volume Moving Averages are pretty good for playing momentum. There are some other things too...like info from my stock buddies...Hope this answers your question...Best, IIC

Michaelk005
12-10-2003, 11:32 PM
good job for the prediction on AV, i looked at it when you posted and laughed as it reversed 8cents bellow you mark well done.
Im in a stock DROOY, traded it many times, bought at $2.40, watch it rebound frist thing in the mornen to about 2.50 - 55, nice couple hundred for me. Hlex is a wait for me also, going to wait untill the market decides what it wants to do with this new interest rate cabugle.

Happy trading.

IIC
12-11-2003, 02:23 AM
good job for the prediction on AV, i looked at it when you posted and laughed as it reversed 8cents bellow you mark well done.
Im in a stock DROOY, traded it many times, bought at $2.40, watch it rebound frist thing in the mornen to about 2.50 - 55, nice couple hundred for me. Hlex is a wait for me also, going to wait untill the market decides what it wants to do with this new interest rate cabugle.

Happy trading.


The more I look at the market direction...the more I don't like it long...no follow throughs. And too many distribution days.

Also, as a followup to my earlier post about 1878...the next level would be 1841(low on 10/24) and 1783(low on 9/30)...I hate to think beyond that.

IIC
12-11-2003, 10:06 AM
For the Highly Risk Tolerant:

RCKY
MOBE
SPIL
ATML

IIC
12-11-2003, 10:34 AM
BOT ATML on the raised guidance...may be a daytrade...paid 5.77

IIC
12-11-2003, 12:21 PM
BOT ATML on the raised guidance...may be a daytrade...paid 5.77

Out at 6.12 :D

Michaelk005
12-11-2003, 01:16 PM
Sold drooy $2.51, exactly what i said.

IIC
12-11-2003, 05:48 PM
Sold drooy $2.51, exactly what i said.

Hey...Haven't you ever heard of the saying Never Buy at the Low and Never Sell at the High? :wink:

Seriously...Nice Job!!!

Michaelk005
12-11-2003, 06:50 PM
Those words arn't in my vocab. lol

IIC
12-11-2003, 08:51 PM
VTRY will gap up on eps and guidance...see Yahoo...up 8.68% A/H...might be worth jumping aboard at the open if it continues to rise...but keep your trigger finger ready to jump back out if it reverses.

NAZ at another crossroads IMO...seems like a lot of those lately. My feeling is that if it stays above 1930 (which I wouldn't count on) that we may see it go to about 1960 and then reverse...We'll see...Best to all...IIC

IIC
12-11-2003, 10:24 PM
Here's a coupla good one's that reversed today after being hammered...
ISSI
BCSI

I SLD ISSI the other day at 18.43...but I'm not adverse to buying it back under the right conditions...These are not 5 star watches but just one's to keep an eye on in your spare time IMO

IIC
12-12-2003, 10:14 AM
Don't expect the same thing as yesterday...but pay attention to the first 2:

Sorry, No time for explanations:

CHINA VRTY ITIG SORC ELNK PHI HILL PWN SHFL MED MYK

BCSI ISSI TNM

IIC
12-12-2003, 10:39 AM
BOT CHINA and VRTY :)

IIC
12-12-2003, 10:46 AM
BOT ITIG

IIC
12-12-2003, 02:00 PM
BOT PHI

SDGE Dumped this dog for a 13% loss...lucky I was in light

Michaelk005
12-12-2003, 04:23 PM
Whats your call on API?

curt1229
12-12-2003, 04:55 PM
You've got some real nice picks there...

When are we going to see YOUR picture up there with the Big Cahuna?

IIC
12-12-2003, 05:20 PM
Raised some cash for next week today:

SLD CENX, AV, CHINA, CKCM, SGDE today.

Holdings: VRTY PHI ITIG

IIC
12-12-2003, 05:23 PM
You've got some real nice picks there...

When are we going to see YOUR picture up there with the Big Cahuna?

I tried 2x but they were too large...I'll look for a wallet size photo this weekend...If I find an extra one would you like me to send one to you for your wallet???

IIC
12-12-2003, 05:30 PM
Whats your call on API?


First 2 qtrs EPS is encouraging...moves up on vol. on Monday...I might even go in with some pocket change...Good Luck, IIC

IIC
12-12-2003, 08:22 PM
You've got some real nice picks there...

When are we going to see YOUR picture up there with the Big Cahuna?

I tried 2x but they were too large...I'll look for a wallet size photo this weekend...If I find an extra one would you like me to send one to you for your wallet???

OK Curt...You got your wish...my photo is to the left. Send me your address and I'll send you a dozen wallet size pics...They make GREAT stocking stuffers. And for a real treat I'll send you a couple of autographed 8x10 Glossy's suitable for framing...That would really make your wife or girlfriend's (or both) Christmas Special.

You can't really tell from the small pic...but I've been told that I look sorta like a Brad Pitt/Mel Gibson type with a little bit of a youger Robert Redford thrown in...Actually, I think I'm ugly...But what's my opinion against millions of others???

Have a Cool Yule...After I check my list to see who's been good this year I will reveal the IPO of the year...actually I will reveal it anyway in a couple of days...STAY TUNED...it should be GOOD...That's one reason I raised cash today...Later, IIC

IIC
12-12-2003, 10:57 PM
This trying to call the market direction thing is becoming a day to day affair...hope it doesn't become an hour by hour deal...Anyway, i was encouraged by the NAZ today not dropping down to below 1930...we could be looking at 1960-1970...if it crashes through that...I can envision 2015...Well, a lot to do over the weekend...Will post my IPO of the Year Pick by Sunday night...that will give you time to call your broker to see if you can get some at the offering price...Happy Holidays...IIC

IIC
12-13-2003, 11:40 AM
IPO...China Life...LFC...On the NYSE 12/17/03. ADR's which is good. Offering at $18+ ...You'll be lucky to get it at $24-25 at the open...could be in the $30's same day. Call your broker to see if you can get any at the offering price...IIC

Mi6op
12-13-2003, 12:32 PM
I always wondered why the prices can be so high before trading even starts. Why don't stocks just open at what they closed the night before (whether it's the after hours price or not)

I'm sure you know, thus I come to you IIC

IIC
12-13-2003, 01:05 PM
I always wondered why the prices can be so high before trading even starts. Why don't stocks just open at what they closed the night before (whether it's the after hours price or not)

I'm sure you know, thus I come to you IIC


It's basically just a supply and demand thing...usually based on after hours news or announcements. Everybody wanyts in or out based on that news. IMO, the stock market is a big game run by a bunch of crooks. Our goal is to try and figure out what they are doing and take advantage of it.

When I get these gap ups in the morning I hardly get the whole action...If a stock gaps up 10% at the open and closes up 15% for the day...I feel lucky to get 2-3% of it.

viktoriya_a
12-13-2003, 06:43 PM
I've had pretty good luck waiting til about 10:15AM to buy a stock which is gapping up at the open. Waiting til then clears out any market buy orders which were placed which drive the stock up and gives some sellers a chance to come in to take advantage of the sudden up turn.

IIC
12-13-2003, 06:54 PM
I've had pretty good luck waiting til about 10:15AM to buy a stock which is gapping up at the open. Waiting til then clears out any market buy orders which were placed which drive the stock up and gives some sellers a chance to come in to take advantage of the sudden up turn.

A lot of people do that...and it is probably wise...I could've made about 20 cents a share more on VRTY yesterday by waiting a while...and a couple of cents more on ITIG. If it keeps going...you just miss out...no big deal...there's always more tomorrow. Maybe I'm too impatient? THX...IIC

IIC
12-13-2003, 07:45 PM
My PRELIMINARY Weekend Watchlist:

MTMD SORC ABAX ORBT FCPO TSAI WITS (not WIT) OMCL SWBD FINL PWN UTSI LSCP

My Weekend Flyer Lunch Money Play is EAR

Add THER ISEC PACT

IIC
12-14-2003, 12:45 PM
Will have to watch the foreign markets tonight to see the reaction to the Saddam news. I sure screwed up by raising so much cash on Friday I guess.

Maybe Oil stocks will jump tomorrow???...Anyone have any thoughts on what groups/sectors will react the best to this news?

viktoriya_a
12-14-2003, 03:26 PM
Why would oil stocks go up? I would think that Saddam's capture implies a more stable Iraq and a more stable supply of oil which would take the price of oil down?

IIC
12-14-2003, 03:58 PM
Why would oil stocks go up? I would think that Saddam's capture implies a more stable Iraq and a more stable supply of oil which would take the price of oil down?

It was a knee jerk reaction...THX for pointing that out...see this article:

http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/031214/markets_global_stocks_1.html

Michaelk005
12-14-2003, 07:32 PM
I think the open will be a little higher, we will see 20 - 30 point gains in the dow but I expect it to wear off quick as the day moves along. Im not sure the move will effect the price in oil or oil stocks. I think mabye deffense stocks and funds wil jump a bit; but like all, it wear off in a matter of hours.

IIC
12-14-2003, 08:00 PM
I'm not really sure myself...but if you consider the technicals...if the mkt blows through 1970 it could go to 2015 IMO...I'm looking at the Hong Kong now...but I have a 1 hr delay so nothing yet...might be a good indicator though???

IIC
12-14-2003, 08:02 PM
This week's watchlist...barring any Saddam plays...best To All...IIC

FCFS BID RAE BEIQ MALL PTIX CRDN MTMD SORC ABAX ORBT TSAI WITS OMCL SWBD FINL PWN UTSI LSCP FCPO THER ISEC PACT ESPD TNM VSTA MNDO INTV SNIC NETE TSAI NCI NITE TTMI AUGT


My weekend Flyer Lunch Money Play is EAR

IamOrion
12-14-2003, 08:28 PM
Are you going long or shorting?

IIC
12-14-2003, 08:39 PM
Are you going long or shorting?

EAR...I'll wait to see what happens...I always like to have a flyer on the list...but this week's is not on my list of TOP priorities...too many other things going on.

IIC
12-15-2003, 01:35 AM
Tokyo shares rise on news of Saddam's capture
By Mariko Sanchanta in Tokyo
Published: December 15 2003 3:27 | Last Updated: December 15 2003 3:27


Tokyo shares were broadly higher in morning trade on Monday, following the capture of Saddam Hussein, the former Iraqi leader.


The benchmark Nikkei 225 average gained 2.7 per cent to 10,441.83, while the broader Topix index was up 1.9 per cent to 1,017.62.

The capture of Mr Hussein fuelled optimism among Japanese investors that US benchmarks would rally when the market opens on Monday.

Blue chips and exporters were broadly higher, with Sony up 2 per cent to Y3,650 and Canon up 2.1 per cent to Y4,960. Toshiba gained 2.8 per cent to Y403, while Fujitsu was 2.2 per cent higher at Y611.

Elsewhere, shares of Ashikaga Financial, the regional bank that was nationalised earlier this month, jumped 23 per cent to Y16 following local media reports that WL Ross & Co, the US investment fund, was considering taking over the failed bank.

Banks rallied on expectations that Mr Husseinís capture would provide a boost to the market over the next few days. Shares of Mizuho, Japanís largest bank, were up 6.1 per cent to Y295,000, while MTFG was 3 per cent higher at Y793,000. SMFG gained 6.5 per cent to Y528,000 while UFJ was up 6.9 per cent to Y481,000.

Investors are looking ahead to the outcome of the Bank of Japanís two-day policy meeting, which concludes on Tuesday. The BoJ is likely to keep its monetary policy unchanged.

IIC
12-15-2003, 01:43 AM
Current Holdings: VRTY, ITIG, PHI

IIC
12-15-2003, 02:28 AM
Futures up 2.25% on NAZ

HSI up .5%

Japan up 2%+

IIC
12-15-2003, 10:15 AM
Current holdings:
VRTY ITIG PHI

IIC
12-15-2003, 11:14 AM
BOT ENPT LSCP

NAZ needs to keep above 1960

IIC
12-15-2003, 11:46 AM
BOT WITS :D

IIC
12-15-2003, 01:23 PM
BOT BID

tokyojoeskid
12-15-2003, 02:49 PM
first found thisstock when it was trading around 4 up on huge volume, quickly took off to 6, same day say was at around 21, say continued run itig took a breather. Both india IT plays i think. IIT are you long this stock or just playing momentum what do you think the future brings, I think india could be big in a year, at least potential is there. might take a postion dunno though . . . thoughts please
tjk

IIC
12-15-2003, 03:49 PM
Seems to have settled down at about 1945...I'm gonna hold everything for now.
BID WITS LSCP ENTP VRTY ITIG PHI

IIC
12-15-2003, 03:59 PM
first found thisstock when it was trading around 4 up on huge volume, quickly took off to 6, same day say was at around 21, say continued run itig took a breather. Both india IT plays i think. IIT are you long this stock or just playing momentum what do you think the future brings, I think india could be big in a year, at least potential is there. might take a postion dunno though . . . thoughts please
tjk

I liked the chart and EPS projections and Thurs. price action...I figured it for a reversal and BOT Friday morning. This past weekend a lot of people were posting about it on the Net...Then I saw this news:
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/031215/nym004_1.html
The news part was just dumb luck on my part...I didn't know anything about it on Friday...I will hold for now...To be honest, I don't even know what they do besides some sort of e-commerce tech solution thing...Yes, I think India will be big...but I don't know much about it...I have been following China though...Best, IIC

Michaelk005
12-15-2003, 04:34 PM
I bought Wits as well today at $10.11. Just wondering when you got in and whats your target price, Ill prob dump at $11. Your thought please IIC

IIC
12-15-2003, 06:14 PM
I bought Wits as well today at $10.11. Just wondering when you got in and whats your target price, Ill prob dump at $11. Your thought please IIC

I got in in the 10.40's...really faded...but I like it...so will give it a day or two. No specific target price in mind...it closed at the bottom end but it is a new 52 week high. The market was weird today...we will have to wait till tomorrow to see if it will rebound or heasd down to 1870-1890 again. If the mkt rebounds I still like this one...Best, IIC

IIC
12-15-2003, 06:17 PM
I had 3 up, 3 down and one unchanged from my buy points...only lost 1.2% today...Beat the NAZ by almost 4/10ths %.

The thing that disturbs me though is that I knew there was a problem when the NAZ dropped below 1960 and an even bigger one when it dropped below 1930. It's not so bad when you do the right thing and lose...but when you know better, well...

Michaelk005
12-15-2003, 09:42 PM
Yeah today was wierd, i think what happend is that the end of the day represented what it would have did all day if there wasnt the news yesterday about sadams capture. Tomorow morning id like to see a positive opening in order for me to dump any more cash into my pics.

PS, watch for ATAR rebound and reverse to $3.90 somtimes this week and TIVO from $6.45 to about $7.20

IIC
12-15-2003, 11:27 PM
Of the two (TIVO and ATAR) I would say ATAR has a better chance to do something near term...but those two are too risky for my tastes. TIVO may be profitable someday which could make long term holds a good investment...but I'm more of a "What can you do for me today kinda guy"...A long term hold for me is about 6 weeks...although I have played some for a lot longer...e.g. CREE from 11/98 to 2/00...BOT on rises...SLD on dips...worked out great 6x. Would've done better by holding, but I slept well on the dips...Best, IIC

IIC
12-16-2003, 10:19 AM
Not much on the radar today...I will buy LJPC at the open

IIC
12-16-2003, 10:35 AM
LJPC...In at 3.42

IIC
12-16-2003, 12:58 PM
The Short Term Overbought/Oversold Oscillator is at -339...indicating we are bottoming out...looking for a reversal soon...maybe a day or two?...There is still some room for the 10 Day Volume MA to go down before it reverses...to me that means the NAZ should go no lower than 1880-1890 before we get back on track.

I am getting slaughtered today...the Saddam news screwed me up from a technical standpoint...Anyway, I'm going to hold all positions for now and wait for the reversal.

I will buy LFC at the open tomorrow since I couldn't get any IPO shs.

Best to all...IIC

IIC
12-16-2003, 02:31 PM
VRTY ...Might want to keep an eye on it...bounced back nicely

IIC
12-16-2003, 03:25 PM
Keep EPIC in mind...When the mkt starts moving up again this could be a good one if it moves up on vol. It has had a nice correction, but be patient...IIC

Michaelk005
12-16-2003, 03:33 PM
Whats you take on CDE, ive trading it before but think now more on the terms of a 1- 2 week hold.

casinoboy3
12-16-2003, 04:14 PM
LJPC...In at 3.42

What do you think of this one? Got it tody at 3.29

IIC
12-16-2003, 06:07 PM
LJPC...In at 3.42

What do you think of this one? Got it tody at 3.29

I BOT on the news...don't plan to hold it long...If it goes up much I'll probably cash out...this group is too speculative as hardly any have earnings...I prefer to at least see some profitable projections. I had some left over cash in one account so I went for it...you are in better shape than I am on this one...Good Luck...IIC

IIC
12-16-2003, 06:27 PM
Whats you take on CDE, ive trading it before but think now more on the terms of a 1- 2 week hold.

To be honest...I don't follow metals at all...You could probably get a more informed answer somewhere else...Technically, the chart looks pretty good...but I like ACO's (related group) chart better...Sorry I'm not much help here...IIC

IIC
12-16-2003, 06:31 PM
HLEX acted well today...worth consideration if market cooperates...IIC

IIC
12-16-2003, 07:14 PM
Interesting one to maybe put your lunch money into...LAMP.OB
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/031216/nytu029_1.html
This would be the lowest priced stock I ever BOT and it is pretty risky...but what the heck...1,000 shs for $200.00...???

IIC
12-17-2003, 12:36 AM
IMO...EPIC is now a BUY

Michaelk005
12-17-2003, 01:14 AM
EPic is up 66 cents in after hours already, i see it hitting $13.75 tomorow and then settleing at 13.25 at the close.

IIC
12-17-2003, 09:50 AM
SONS looks pretty good

IIC
12-17-2003, 10:25 AM
CAMD will gap way up...Darn

IIC
12-17-2003, 11:12 AM
BOT CAMD at an avg 8.79

IIC
12-17-2003, 11:32 AM
BOT LAMP.OB this morning too

IIC
12-17-2003, 04:21 PM
BOT HLEX
SLD BID at a 5% loss

IIC
12-17-2003, 04:40 PM
BOT NMSS

Michaelk005
12-17-2003, 04:58 PM
I see a few shorting oppotunities opening, one is in ORCL.
I bought CDE today, looks great for metals.
VRTY is going to reverse.

shannonkeo
12-17-2003, 09:35 PM
What do you think of BLTI and INTV?. I'm in both. BLTI just realeased a report that has some interesting accounting carrying stuff forward from previous quarters that I don't fully understand. INTV is suppose to announce on friday. Any thoughts?

IIC
12-18-2003, 11:03 AM
What do you think of BLTI and INTV?. I'm in both. BLTI just realeased a report that has some interesting accounting carrying stuff forward from previous quarters that I don't fully understand. INTV is suppose to announce on friday. Any thoughts?

BLTI looks excellent...I made a few bux on it recently...guess I shoulda held...INTV...great chart...will add it to my watchlist.

IIC
12-18-2003, 11:04 AM
Forgot I still own it...hits 2 yr high on lo vol

IIC
12-18-2003, 11:22 AM
Might be a little problem breaking 1945...let's hope for the best...over 1945...next stop 1960 to 1980 IMO


Stays above 1930...we should be OK

IIC
12-18-2003, 04:41 PM
What do you think of BLTI and INTV?. I'm in both. BLTI just realeased a report that has some interesting accounting carrying stuff forward from previous quarters that I don't fully understand. INTV is suppose to announce on friday. Any thoughts?

BLTI looks excellent...I made a few bux on it recently...guess I shoulda held...INTV...great chart...will add it to my watchlist.

BTW: EPS on INTV today after close...C/C tomorrow

IIC
12-18-2003, 08:03 PM
What do you think of BLTI and INTV?. I'm in both. BLTI just realeased a report that has some interesting accounting carrying stuff forward from previous quarters that I don't fully understand. INTV is suppose to announce on friday. Any thoughts?

BLTI looks excellent...I made a few bux on it recently...guess I shoulda held...INTV...great chart...will add it to my watchlist.

BTW: EPS on INTV today after close...C/C tomorrow

Sorry...but I wouldn't expect any advancement after this report...beats by one cent but read the whole thing:
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/031218/dath045_1.html

IIC
12-19-2003, 11:33 AM
BOT DECK in the 19.80's

IIC
12-19-2003, 12:06 PM
Took my lumps on LSCP...I'm gone

Michaelk005
12-19-2003, 01:16 PM
I bought deck yesterday, didnt post it though. looks like a strong reversal.
Another to check out is (WHT),
there is going to be a surge in volume and the overbought/sold indicators are all looking great. Good profit results as well. im in a t $2.70

IIC
12-19-2003, 01:48 PM
Took a small profit off the table on PHI earlier this morning...good thing

IIC
12-21-2003, 12:56 AM
Looks poised for a 10% pop...watch for volume

Jason Monette
12-21-2003, 11:28 AM
Looks poised for a 10% pop...watch for volume

what does?

IIC
12-21-2003, 11:52 AM
Looks poised for a 10% pop...watch for volume

what does?

ALDN...It is in the subject line above Jason

Jason Monette
12-21-2003, 11:54 AM
oh i see, you can barely see the subjects on here. thanks

IIC
12-21-2003, 10:03 PM
A lot of potential good one's this week on the LONG side...The mkt
will go up even if it is temporary...WATCH OUT FOR 1967 AND 1997 ON
THE NAZ...GO W/ THE FLOW...

Here is my list:

TOP PIX

SCUR
DGIN...wait for p/p...25.10
LCAV
ASPT...Watch p/v action

MOVING

CCBL
SANM
GTI
KFRC
ANIK
MOBI
TTMI

BASING...WATCH FOR UPWARD MOVEMENT ON VOL.

PTIX
FOSP
ONXX
FMT
TMWD
ECSI
NTPA
GMAI
GVHR
ULGX
TRAD
DFC
HUGO
IDXC
SMTI
TRCI
AKAM
SPRT
SWIR
TIWI
WRNC
ISSI
SONS
THER
ESPR
NICE
ALDN

IIC
12-22-2003, 09:42 AM
I had FOSP on my list it should have been KOSP
Add HRT DJO BEL UPL MTZ

IIC
12-22-2003, 10:26 AM
THER...Watch it

ESPR will gap on buyout...Darn

IIC
12-22-2003, 10:39 AM
BOT LCAV 20.80

IIC
12-22-2003, 10:59 AM
SLD...VRTY...I was just glad to get my money out...made a few cents

SuperVoy
12-22-2003, 03:00 PM
THER...Watch it

ESPR will gap on buyout...Darn


Wasn't ESPR one of the Mr. Market's top 5?

Regards,
SV

IIC
12-22-2003, 03:14 PM
THER...Watch it

ESPR will gap on buyout...Darn


Wasn't ESPR one of the Mr. Market's top 5?

Regards,
SV

But who knew about the buyout?...I didn't till about 10 mins before the mkt opened

IIC
12-22-2003, 04:13 PM
GASE.OB

Nice cup w/ handle b/o

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GASE.OB&t=1y

I'm in with a pocket change play...So far it's great

SuperVoy
12-22-2003, 04:18 PM
But who knew about the buyout?...I didn't till about 10 mins before the mkt opened

Very few retail investors could claim to know that.

Mr. Market has been selecting profitable companies and that makes them good candidates for buyouts.

I remember it has happened before, I just can't remember what was the stock symbol.

Regards,
SV

mrmarket
12-22-2003, 05:30 PM
was it PORT?

IIC
12-22-2003, 06:03 PM
Possible Canslim play...Watch ECHO to see if it forms a Saucer w/ Handle

SuperVoy
12-22-2003, 06:26 PM
was it PORT?

I believe that is the one I saw.

By the way, a bunch of your previous picks split recently:
OZRK SSYS HOV WSBK AMHC

Regards,
SV

IIC
12-22-2003, 06:44 PM
FWIW...my current holdings are:

LCAV DECK NMSS HLEX CAMD LJPC WITS ENPT ITIG LAMP.OB GASE.OB

Michaelk005
12-22-2003, 07:51 PM
Im in Deck And Hlex,
Also not from your list but WHT, great potential....

Keep up the good pics

IIC
12-23-2003, 10:04 AM
Morning Watch:

PCTI RIMM MTLG IPMT SVU

IIC
12-23-2003, 10:49 AM
Took a nice gain on ITIG at the open and a small gain on NMSS

IIC
12-23-2003, 11:25 AM
LJPC looking very strong

IIC
12-23-2003, 12:11 PM
SLD:
WITS loss
CAMD gain
LJPC gain
ENPT loss

IIC
12-23-2003, 01:24 PM
Bailed on HLEX for a small gain...took big % hit on an old one MAJR...fortunately I was in real light

Only 4 holdings left

Michaelk005
12-23-2003, 02:10 PM
Do you still hold DECK?

IIC
12-23-2003, 03:13 PM
Do you still hold DECK?


Yes...Right now I have LCAV, DECK and my 2 lunch money plays LAMP.OB and GASE.OB

We met the 1966 or so resistence on the NAZ...didn't bolw past 1970...so I figured it is a good time to bail on most things and take it a little easy around the holidays. I like DECK and LCAV as good cos...more than just technical plays...but who knows? Maybe I'll change my mind tomorrow??? I don't know yet? Happy Holidays...IIC

mrmarket
12-23-2003, 06:16 PM
I had FOSP on my list it should have been KOSP
Add HRT DJO BEL UPL MTZ

I really like BEL. Watch for it in some of my future analysis!

IIC
12-23-2003, 07:47 PM
I had FOSP on my list it should have been KOSP
Add HRT DJO BEL UPL MTZ

I really like BEL. Watch for it in some of my future analysis!


I look forward to it Ernie.

BTW: I was pleased by the ending action with the NAZ...but I will be taking somewhat a breather over the holidays...IIC

IIC
12-23-2003, 08:56 PM
NAZ:

Support raises to 1966(light) 1934(heavy) 1878(heavy)

Resistence raises to 1977(light) 1996(medium)

shannonkeo
12-23-2003, 09:41 PM
Just wanted to thank you for the heads up on BLTI a few weeks ago. Its acting very well of late. If it gets IBD attention, which is should now that its over 15.00, it could get interesting. Happy holidays.

IIC
12-24-2003, 12:00 AM
Just wanted to thank you for the heads up on BLTI a few weeks ago. Its acting very well of late. If it gets IBD attention, which is should now that its over 15.00, it could get interesting. Happy holidays.


Same to you...too bad I bailed...guess that's what happpens to a technical trader...heck, I BOT MIDD at 20.02...down to 17 something...up to 27.25...I dumped at 25.95...Can't complain I guess...But I am working on perfecting my trading style...never ending process...Best, IIC

IIC
12-24-2003, 10:26 PM
Support/Resistence

NAZ...1940/1878 and 1980/1997...I'm gonna take a flyer here and say we hit 2000 before the end of the year...But then again, I'm giving 7 1/2 for Nebraska to win the Alamo Bowl on 12/29.

IIC
12-26-2003, 02:13 AM
TRCI CCBL SCUR if they go up on volume and the mkt cooperates...If the NAZ can break 1980 the next resistence is 1997.

MEA_1956
12-26-2003, 02:36 AM
Support/Resistence

NAZ...1940/1878 and 1980/1997...I'm gonna take a flyer here and say we hit 2000 before the end of the year...But then again, I'm giving 7 1/2 for Nebraska to win the Alamo Bowl on 12/29.
Now I Am Here To Tell You, This man must he half crazy, He has stated that he is a GRAD. from UNL so he can not be speaking from a level playing feild. He is now living in sun shine only dreaming of the cotten and wishing it were corn, for corn has a better value. I also must, must be the other half of his crazyness, for I to will go on record, NE 7 1/2 over Mich. St. in the Alamo bowl. The only dif. here is I am speacking with a Russian Accent. that is a White Russian Accent. Go Big RED And make Frank, Tom and Bob PROUD. ===> MEA The turff @ NU has not be level sence !974 when this state lost a fine man, yes that was the year that he chose the sand. Let's all give it up for IIC and tell him welcome to the Earnie side of life, and thank him for the picks that he has to offer. THANKS

IIC
12-26-2003, 09:53 AM
Raised Guidance
SHRP

http://biz.yahoo.com/djus/031226/0841000152_1.html

NAZ should open up this morning...Good Luck To All

IIC
12-26-2003, 10:15 AM
9:11am 12/26/03
Fed in no hurry to raise rates, McTeer says By Rex Nutting
WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) -- The Federal Reserve won't rush to raise its interest rate target as long as U.S. inflation is not a clear danger, said Robert McTeer, president of the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank. Appearing on CNNfn, McTeer said he sees plenty of slack in the U.S. economy even as the recovery gains steam. McTeer is not a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee in 2004, but he does participate in monetary policy discussions.

IIC
12-26-2003, 10:20 AM
AMZN...Good holiday sales...should move today

IIC
12-26-2003, 10:40 AM
BOT AKS

IIC
12-26-2003, 11:01 AM
BOT CCBL

IIC
12-26-2003, 11:17 AM
BOT EMRG

Michaelk005
12-26-2003, 02:15 PM
What do you like about AKS the Steel company?

IIC
12-26-2003, 03:41 PM
What do you like about AKS the Steel company?



Steel stocks got a lift from overnight news that the Chinese government lifted tariffs on imported steel, two years earlier than originally intended. The tariffs, which were imposed last year, were meant to last three years. The U.S. had scrapped its own steel import tariffs earlier this month. Both U.S. Steel (X: news, chart, profile) and AK Steel (AKS: news, chart, profile) shot up 3.6 percent while Nucor (NUE: news, chart, profile) rallied 2.0 percent.

I went to the DailyGraphs Industry Groups this morning and did my one minute DD and came up with AKS...when I'm playing on news there isn't much time to do any legit DD...but on my News Plays I usually go in light.

IIC
12-26-2003, 08:53 PM
My first Weekend Watch pick is GSS...Group, Metal Ores-Gold/Silver is #11 and was the 5th best today(DGO Groups)...GSS recently corrected 31% from a 6 yr. high and has moved well to come back 21% off that 5.94 low...now looks poised to make a move if the group continues up and we get some volume on the upside. The vol. on the upside was actually pretty good the last 2 days considering the short trading sessions...Also has good recent EPS reports and good projections...IIC

carribean_mike
12-27-2003, 11:33 AM
I made nice money off of GSS last year. Also take a look at BGO and CDE.

IIC
12-28-2003, 04:35 AM
I made nice money off of GSS last year. Also take a look at BGO and CDE.

THX Mike...They look good...I am putting them on my "A" List

IIC
12-28-2003, 04:35 AM
There were so many setups this weekend...I have 66 on my list. Here are my top 10 to watch on Monday. If the NAZ can go through 1980 we should be in good shape:

GSS BGO CDE BNSO THER ACO TRID OPNT TRCI MTZ

Michaelk005
12-28-2003, 02:49 PM
I had posted CDE a long time ago on your page ICC, its a great stock, if your into metals this wek keep your eye on WHT, i made some nice change on it last week.

IIC
12-28-2003, 04:20 PM
I had posted CDE a long time ago on your page ICC, its a great stock, if your into metals this wek keep your eye on WHT, i made some nice change on it last week.

THX...'Ya know I have been changing my trading ways the last few months. In the past I stayed away from groups that I found boring or just didn't like for one reason or the other. That was a big mistake for many years...I finally came to realize that the market could care less what I like.

I am going more with the flow whatever that may be at the time. It is working very well.

I will formally document what I'm doing when I think I have it pretty well down...kinda like Ernie has his criteria documented.

However, I am basically looking at the following to find my lists and pix:

-Determining the Market Direction on a Technical basis(Market Indicators and Support/Resistance levels on the NAZ)
-Checking the Top IBD Groups and Groups that are advancing
-Finding the best stocks in those Groups(High RS preferred))
-Charting those stocks(Basically looking for good stocks that are on the move...I especially like one's that have recently corrected and are moving back up on vol.)
-Fundamentals...I don't pay much attention to IBD EPS ratings...I look at recent qtrs and projections

A good place to find ideas is the DailyGraphs Top 100 RS reports...It is updated throughout the day on a 20 min delayed basis. The DG Industry Group section is also updated throughout the day. I watch it when I can to see which groups are moving.

I also like stocks that are tightly basing with volume drying up...I look for those on the weekends...Unfortunately, I have a full-time job...so sometimes it is difficult to follow everything during the day...but my job does allow me to watch the markets more than most.

I look for bases at a paid site called http://stockciphering.com It is well worth the $300.00 a yr. I look for Canslim ideas at another site called http://gabrielsmoneypage.com For only $30.00 year it is the best deal in town.

I also make "News" plays...Increased guidance after hours, noteworthy events etc...but there are alot of gaps on these...I usually go in light on these trying to make a quick buck.

I always watch the Futures before the market opens too.

Anyway, that's kind of what I'm doing nowadays in a nutshell. I would say I spend about 30-40 hours a week on the markets...With my job that doesn't leave much time for hobbies...but I always say
Sleep is a waste of time...you are just going to wake up again anyway :lol:

I moderate three other Stock groups and I get ideas from those too. I also have a small network of people who I trade ideas with on a regular basis and I have a trading partner who trades F/T and is the BEST technician I've ever met.

IIC
12-29-2003, 01:09 AM
I know this may be a little worthless to you...but here is my watchlist this week...Many are tight base/lo vol watches for a possible break...Some are good cos...which corrected and are possibly ready to move back up on volume. Many are in the strong IBD groups or groups on the move...
Of those below I rate the following as the best:

GSS BGO CDE BNSO THER ACO TRID OPNT TRCI MTZ

My current holdings are: LCAV DECK EMRG AKS CCBL LAMP.OB GASE.OB

ACO Amcol International Corp
AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc
ALDN Aladdin Knowledge Sys
ALGN Align Technology Inc
ALVR Alvarion Ltd
AMSWA American Software Inc A
ATRS Altiris Inc
AUGT August Technology Corp
BGO Bema Gold Corp
BNSO Bonso Electronic Intl
BXG Bluegreen Corporation
CAMD Calif Micro Devices
CDE Coeur D Alene Mines Corp
CHB Champion Enterprises
CKP Checkpoint Sys Inc
CRYP Cryptologic Inc
CVNS Covansys Corp
DATA Datatrak Intl Inc
DHB D H B Industries Inc
DTPI Diamondcluster Intl Inc
ECSI Endocardial Solutions
EPIC Epicor Software Corp
FHRX First Horizon Pharmactcl
FLML Flamel Technologies Adr
FMT Fremont General Corp
FNDT Fundtech Ltd
GSS Golden Star Resource Ltd
GVHR Gevity Hr Inc
HUGO Ivanhoe Mines Limited
IDXC I D X Systems Corp
ISSI Integrated Silicon Solut
KOSP Kos Pharmaceuticals Inc
KYPH Kyphon Inc
LEIX Lowrance Electrs Inc
MSCC Microsemi Corp
MTRX Matrix Service Co
MTXX Matrixx Initiatives Inc
MTZ Mastec Inc
NICE Nice Systems Limited Adr
NTPA Netopia Inc
OMCL Omnicell Inc
ONXX Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
OPNT Opnet Technologies
ORBK Orbotech Ltd
OXM Oxford Industries Inc
PTIX Performance Tech Inc
QSII Quality Systems Inc
RFMI R F Monolithics Inc
RSTI Rofin-sinar Tech
SAY Satyam Computer Svcs Adr
SCUR Secure Computing Corp
SEM Select Medical Corp
SKIL Skillsoft Plc Adr
SMTI Smtek International Inc
SPRT Supportsoft Inc
SWIR Sierra Wireless Inc
THER Therasense Inc
TIWI Telesystem Intl Wireless
TRCI Technology Research Corp
TRID Trident Microsystems
TTMI T T M Technologies Inc
TUTS Tut Systems Inc
VCLK Valueclick Inc
VTAL Vital Images Inc
VTIV Ventiv Health Inc
WRNC Warnaco Group Inc
BCSI
PWN
FCFS
BID
WZEN
DSCO
NANX

IIC
12-29-2003, 01:39 AM
Japan and Australia: Monday mkts up on Steel, Mining and Banks

carribean_mike
12-29-2003, 09:24 AM
gold futures are up. gold miners are going to rock today.

IIC
12-29-2003, 09:41 AM
gold futures are up. gold miners are going to rock today.

Yes...and mkt overall should be up at open...Watch TRIB

IIC
12-29-2003, 09:47 AM
EMRG up 21% pre mkt :D

IIC
12-29-2003, 10:40 AM
BOT... THER GSS NANX

NAZ looking good so far

IIC
12-29-2003, 11:39 AM
MTXX
I'm In

Michaelk005
12-29-2003, 07:34 PM
Insane day for metals, i profited on wht, cde and bgo.

IIC
12-29-2003, 08:47 PM
Insane day for metals, i profited on wht, cde and bgo.

Yes it was...I only went with GSS though. I had so many on my watchlist it was hard to keep track of everything. My big catch was NANX...caught 17% of the 21% advance. Also did pretty good with THER...but I was hoping for more. Missed out on ACO...went right by me. Overall, a real nice day although none of mine ended near their highs for the day which has me a little concerned since the NAZ did.

It was cool the way we sorta blew through 1980. Now I have to rethink the market direction...will post tonight...I'm still at work right now...IIC

IIC
12-29-2003, 11:15 PM
Support/Resistance

So now it is 1997/2048...makes me a little uncomfortable...I like 1980/2025 myself...but what do I know???

The market indicators indicate we should top soon...so if we get over 2010 I will be ready to hit the Sell button at the first hint of trouble just to be on the safe side...I refuse to let the last 3 months gains go down the drain!!!

It is a little bothersome that we are being led by Metals...too Defensive for me...I'd say we see a Top on gold by the end of the week before at least a minor correction in that group(s)

Michaelk005
12-29-2003, 11:37 PM
I totally agree with you about metals correcting, i think it will happen on wedn or thur when christmas holidays totally wrap up. Trading volume on some stocks are still quiet small however, be interesting to see.

IIC
12-30-2003, 10:01 AM
UPCS

Not much on my radar...but here is one that raised guidance...should gap at open
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/031230/phtu003_1.html

Also, like the base on PWN...I have made $$$ on this one 2x since Oct...wait and watch.

carribean_mike
12-30-2003, 10:08 AM
Gold is rising with falling dollar. This ride has much a ways to go.

IIC
12-30-2003, 10:28 AM
Gold is rising with falling dollar. This ride has much a ways to go.


Hey Mike...where do you watch the metals prices? THX

IIC
12-30-2003, 10:29 AM
CVSN

Don't you wish you owned this one yesterday?

IIC
12-30-2003, 11:04 AM
SLD NANX for a nice profit 20%

IIC
12-30-2003, 11:28 AM
BOT ENCY

SuperVoy
12-30-2003, 11:50 AM
BOT ENCY

The time of the post is a bit off on the Mr Market website. It shows 3:28pm ???

SuperVoy
12-30-2003, 11:52 AM
The time of the post is a bit off on the Mr Market website. It shows 3:28pm ???

I forgot to configure the time zone on my profile.

IIC
12-30-2003, 02:40 PM
I'm calling it a year

SLD...ENCY THER GSS EMGR AKS LCAV DECK GASE NANX Today

Still have LAMP MTXX CCBL for now

Michaelk005
12-30-2003, 03:22 PM
What do you see for lamp, i bought at 17cents, thingking of selling at 22, wondering your reasons for not letting go by now?

carribean_mike
12-30-2003, 03:31 PM
I am sure that there are better sites, but the articles on 321gold.com are great. Kitco.com has pricing on gold spot are futures. I also subscribe to a paid site clivemaund.com. This guy turned me on to gss at $1.80.

IIC
12-30-2003, 06:23 PM
I am sure that there are better sites, but the articles on 321gold.com are great. Kitco.com has pricing on gold spot are futures. I also subscribe to a paid site clivemaund.com. This guy turned me on to gss at $1.80.

THX for the info...IIC

IIC
12-30-2003, 06:30 PM
What do you see for lamp, i bought at 17cents, thingking of selling at 22, wondering your reasons for not letting go by now?

Nothing...I put in a day sell limit at .21...will look to dump again tomorrow...it was just a lunch money play.

I put in 1.19 on GASE today...that went...made a cool 10.2%...but again, it was with pocket change.

I kept CCBL because I love the drying up volume on it...I BOT it last Friday in the low 11's.

SuperVoy
12-30-2003, 09:59 PM
I am sure that there are better sites, but the articles on 321gold.com are great. Kitco.com has pricing on gold spot are futures. I also subscribe to a paid site clivemaund.com. This guy turned me on to gss at $1.80.

carribean_mike, how Clive's other picks have been doing?

Regards,
SV

IIC
12-31-2003, 10:24 AM
Here is what I will watch at the open

CVNS BNSO RFMI TRID DTPI ALVR VCLK PWN

Also, SCMR and CIEN should gap on Pentagon pact

carribean_mike
12-31-2003, 10:34 AM
Clive's other picks are awesome. He analyzes alot of stocks, so you can't go with all of his picks. I have learned that is easier to make money in a bull market. Gold has been in a bull market the last two years. Here is hoping that the talking heads continue to ignore it.

IIC
12-31-2003, 01:42 PM
Just waiting to see if we hold at the 1997 Support Level...ALVR looks tempting if we bounceback...IIC

IIC
12-31-2003, 02:02 PM
BOT AMSWA

IIC
12-31-2003, 08:57 PM
Just Like To Wish All Members A Happy & Prosperous New Year...I've only been a member here since the day after T-Giving...but I have found some interesting new ideas and have met some real good people...IIC

IIC
01-01-2004, 01:48 PM
Resistance 2040-2050...Support at 1969/1918/1878. pretty wide range and most of the Indicators were a shakey yesterday.

The following Indicators on the Short-term OverBOT/SLD Oscillator were down from the previous day...The one's with an * were way down:

NAZ COMP
NYSE
NAZ 100*
SP 400*
SC 600*
NAZ RS 100*

The only one I do that was up was the SP 500.

I will play it cautious going into the New Year. I always say if you are not sure(or reasonably sure) then it is best to stay out.

Best To All...IIC

IIC
01-01-2004, 03:09 PM
HANS...Not one to pawn the wife's wedding ring over but look at the pennant...it is running long major resistance at 8.45. Couldn't stay over it yesterday. The group stinks but this one has the highest RS in the group (86).

I'll put it on my "B" list

IIC
01-01-2004, 09:36 PM
FRIDAY WATCHLISTS:

ALDN SMTI AKAM

ADSK ATYT HANS BEL KFRC

ISSI PTIX HUGO TIWI PWN FCFS DSCO ALGN SPRT EPIC GVHR ALVR TUTS LEIX DATA DHB SWIR RFMI FLML VTAL KYPH OMCL OXM CRYP CAMD NICE KOSP

Michaelk005
01-01-2004, 11:12 PM
I had Akam on my watchlist this week as well, what do you like about it?
Myself am liking the overbought oversold indications, its in for a small reversal, id say jump to about $11.10 from $10.75 tomorw,
wait for the reply thanks.

IIC
01-01-2004, 11:44 PM
I had Akam on my watchlist this week as well, what do you like about it?
Myself am liking the overbought oversold indications, its in for a small reversal, id say jump to about $11.10 from $10.75 tomorw,
wait for the reply thanks.

Main thing I like is the tight price action since 12/12 on low volume...Resistance at 11.05 but much more at 12.02...Support at 10.13.

This is one I might buy if it takes off on vol.

IIC
01-01-2004, 11:53 PM
SGMA...add to the "A" List

IIC
01-02-2004, 10:27 AM
QDEL

7:02AM Quidel Corp flu test driving revenue growth -- B-Week (QDEL) 10.77: The shares of QDEL, maker of a broad array of rapid-result diagnostic tests maker, such as the Quick Vue flu test, are grabbing Wall Street's attention. "The test will strongly drive up revenue growth worldwide as we enter the peak season for the flu and other infectious diseases," says Adam Chazan of Pacific Growth Equities, who has a buy rating on Quidel. Quidel has 52% of the flu test market -- accounting for 28% of total revenues -- and beats out rivals Becton Dickinson (BDX ) and Thermo Electron (TMO ), notes Chazan. CEO S. Wayne Kay says a new flu test will be launched in Japan in January and should raise Quidel's 28% share of the flu test market there. Already, the stock has leapt from $6 in October to a high of $11. Matt Arens of Kopp Investment Advisors, which owns 4.4 million shares, or 15%, says Quidel has the ability to sustain a yearly earnings growth rate of 35% to 40%. His 12-month target is $17.

IIC
01-02-2004, 10:34 AM
BOT QDEL

IIC
01-02-2004, 11:51 AM
Took a light position in PWN for the third time

IIC
01-02-2004, 02:18 PM
BOT Some SMTI today in anticipation of a volume break...so far so good...but the spread is big right now

IIC
01-02-2004, 04:09 PM
Took profits On CCBL and AMSWA

shannonkeo
01-02-2004, 11:54 PM
BLTI went on a tear again today, up over 15% to over $19. It got mention in IBD's Big picture, real most active, and cracked into the top 100 at #100. Should be an interesting ride here in the new year.

INTV broke out wednesday, but stalled today. It was picked up as a strong buy by one of the analysts, with a target of $15.

I'm in both for the ride.

IIC
01-03-2004, 12:23 AM
BLTI went on a tear again today, up over 15% to over $19. It got mention in IBD's Big picture, real most active, and cracked into the top 100 at #100. Should be an interesting ride here in the new year.

INTV broke out wednesday, but stalled today. It was picked up as a strong buy by one of the analysts, with a target of $15.

I'm in both for the ride.

Good Luck On Both...I didn't think INTV had it...guess I was wrong...I owned BLTI at 12.50 and SLD at a profit...would have to look it up...But then again I SLD OVTI in Dec. '02 and MSFT in '89 and I SLD MIDD at 25.95...Such is the life of a Hit 'n Run Trader...Best, IIC

lindsayleeds
01-04-2004, 10:01 AM
IIC, any views on when to sell BLTI? About half my portfolio is BLTI I bought at $11.86 and $13.30 a couple of months ago. I like Mr. Market's idea of repeated small gains making you more money than long holds. A long hold for me is six months. Right now I would give BLTI a fair value of $21sh a share (60 P/E) * (estimated .35 cents EPS assuming .20 4th quarter). Was thinking of holding out for $25. This is one of those stocks that could make you a millionaire by itself if it keeps returning 60% YoY. I'm just not sure it will.

Lindsay

IIC
01-04-2004, 11:32 AM
IIC, any views on when to sell BLTI? About half my portfolio is BLTI I bought at $11.86 and $13.30 a couple of months ago. I like Mr. Market's idea of repeated small gains making you more money than long holds. A long hold for me is six months. Right now I would give BLTI a fair value of $21sh a share (60 P/E) * (estimated .35 cents EPS assuming .20 4th quarter). Was thinking of holding out for $25. This is one of those stocks that could make you a millionaire by itself if it keeps returning 60% YoY. I'm just not sure it will.

Lindsay

I don't know if you or anyone else noticed this, but BLTI is #100 on this week's IBD 100...I read all the little comments below the listings. Under BLTI it says they will restate downward for '01, '02 and part of '03...Take a look. I must assume this is common knowledge and maybe it is already built into the price. But maybe it isn't commonly known? I don't see any news on that anywhere else(Of course, I didn't look very hard either)..You might want to check it out ...Best, IIC

IIC
01-04-2004, 01:34 PM
In case anyone was wondering why CYD was dropped from the IBD 100..It is because it is in a 4th stage base.

IIC
01-04-2004, 10:30 PM
WEEKEND WATCHLIST:

SWIR Sierra Wireless Inc
BNSO Bonso Electronic Intl
RFMI R F Monolithics Inc
ONXX Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
FLML Flamel Technologies Adr
VTAL Vital Images Inc
QSII Quality Systems Inc
OMCL Omnicell Inc
ALDN Aladdin Knowledge Sys
CAMD Calif Micro Devices
TTMI T T M Technologies Inc
AUGT August Technology Corp
VTIV Ventiv Health Inc
KOSP Kos Pharmaceuticals Inc
OPNT Opnet Technologies
ALGN Align Technology Inc
SPRT Supportsoft Inc
ECSI Endocardial Solutions
NTPA Netopia Inc
GVHR Gevity Hr Inc
ALVR Alvarion Ltd
VCLK Valueclick Inc
LEIX Lowrance Electrs Inc
DATA Datatrak Intl Inc
DHB D H B Industries Inc
CKP Checkpoint Sys Inc
ISSI Integrated Silicon Solut
PTIX Performance Tech Inc
HUGO Ivanhoe Mines Limited
AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc
TIWI Telesystem Intl Wireless
WRNC Warnaco Group Inc
FCFS First Cash Financial Svs
WZEN Webzen Inc Adr
DSCO Discovery Labs Inc
ATYT A T I Technologies Inc
CRYP Cryptologic Inc
SCIX Scitex Corp Ltd
CCBL C-cor.net Corp
BEV Beverly Enterprises Inc
KFRC Kforce Inc
RCKY Rocky Shoes & Boots Inc
NTE Nam Tai Electronics Inc
HOTT Hot Topic Inc
EMBT Embarcadero Technologies
RADN Radyne Comstream Inc
CANI Carreker Corporation
CHU China Unicom Ltd Adr
HANS Hansen Natural Corp
NCI Navigant Consulting Inc
WWCA Western Wireless Corp
TWTC Time Warner Telecom Inc
OXM Oxford Industries Inc
QADI Q A D Inc
PDII P D I Inc
LSCP Laserscope
NVEC N V E Corp
UNA Unova Inc
SIE Sierra Health Svcs Inc
DIOD Diodes Incorporated

Michaelk005
01-05-2004, 12:07 AM
Big fan of Ivanhoe and A T I tech..
Whats your take on Ivanhoe? i like the whole metal markets for January.

IIC
01-05-2004, 12:37 AM
Big fan of Ivanhoe and A T I tech..
Whats your take on Ivanhoe? i like the whole metal markets for January.

I don't know on the metals ???...They still look good but I wish they'd go away and let medical groups take over...but that's just a personal quirk of mine. Kinda like Banks and Utilities...Hey, we all have our faults...Someday you might even see me buy CRZY.PK...But I doubt it...IIC

carribean_mike
01-05-2004, 08:47 AM
IIC - don't fight it. The HUI was up 67% last year. More money to be made in 04.

IIC
01-05-2004, 10:18 AM
IVIS QBAK

All on increased guidance

IIC
01-05-2004, 10:38 AM
BOT WZEN

IIC
01-05-2004, 10:54 AM
BOT VCLK

IIC
01-05-2004, 11:34 AM
Keep your eye on SWIR

IIC
01-05-2004, 02:49 PM
BOT NTE

Watch for NAS resitance 2040-2050

IIC
01-05-2004, 10:01 PM
Increased Guidance After The Bell

6:27PM PPD Inc.amends Dapoxtene License Agreement; increases Y04 guidance (PPDI) 27.07 -0.09: Co announces that it has entered into an amendment to the dapoxetine license agreement with ALZA Corporation. Under the terms of the amendment, certain sales-based payments will be abated for a period of time following new drug application (NDA) approval up to a maximum dollar amount. As a part of the transaction, ALZA will make a cash payment to PPD and agreed to fix the amount of a milestone payment to be paid to PPD upon NDA approval. Based on the terms of the amendment to the license agreement, co is increasing its previously issued Q1 and Y04 guidance. Anticipated net revenue for Y04 is increased to $765-775 mln (previously $760-770 mln), Reuters consensus is $763 mln. Q1 EPS is expected to be in the range of $0.44-0.45 (previous range of $0.38-0.39), R.R. consensus is $0.38 and Y04 EPS guidance increases to $1.71-1.78 (previously $1.65-1.72), R.R. consensus is $1.67.

5:54PM ADTRAN reports prelim EPS of $0.24-0.25, Reuters est $0.21 (ADTN) 32.68 +1.35: Co reports Q4 (Dec) revenue would be apprx $113.4 mln, Reuters consensus is $108.5 mln. EPS are estimated to be in the range of $0.24-0.25, split effected. ADTRAN Chairman and CEO Mark Smith stated, "Revenue for the fourth quarter was higher than anticipated as we observed the positive effect of market share gains accompanied by abroad based increase in enterprise demand. The preliminary fourth quarter results culminate a year in which new products for new markets began to contribute significantly to our revenue stream, as were turned to revenue growth and to our normal operating model."

5:45PM Rogers Corp raises Q4 guidance (ROG) 46.18 +1.35: Co sees Q4 (Dec) EPS of $0.50-0.54 (previously $0.45-0.49), Reuters Research consensus is $0.47 and revenues of $85 mln (previously $71-75 mln), Reuters Research consensus is $75 mln.


4:34PM TranSwitch boosts Q4 forecast (TXCC) 2.57 +0.25: Co announces that it now expects Q4 revs to be approx $6.5-$7.0 mln, vs previous guidance of $5.3 mln, citing stronger demand across the co's established product lines.

4:18PM ScanSource guides Q2 revs above consensus (SCSC) 46.65 +0.53: Company expects Q2 revenues of $283-290 mln, vs the Reuters Research consensus of $261.1 mln.

4:10PM California Micro raises guidance (CAMD) 9.75 +0.66: Company issues raises guidance for Q3 (Dec), company sees EPS of $0.08-0.10 vs Reuters consensus of $0.08 and previous company guidance of $0.06-0.09 on revenues of $16.8-17.2 mln, consensus $16.75 mln, previous company guidance was $16.2-17 mln. ANOTHER IIC SCREWUP...I SLD ON 12/23

4:09PM Metrologic increases Q4 & Y03 sales guidance (MTLG) 27.52 +0.04: Company raises Q4 revenues to approx $41.0 mln, vs the Reuters Research consensus of $38.7 mln and previously guided (Dec. 31) revs of $38.5-39.5 mln; also sees Y03 revenues of approx $137.3 mln vs the R.R. consensus of $133.4 mln. Co attributes revenue increase to production of scanners at its Blackwood and China facilities and MTLG's ability to ship products during recent holiday season.

4:03PM Starbucks raises Q1 & FY04 EPS guidance, reports Dec. comps of 11% (SBUX) 33.41 +0.50: Company raises guidance, sees Q1 EPS of $0.25-0.26, vs the Reuters Research consensus of $0.24; sees Y04 EPS of $0.84-0.87, vs the R.R. consensus of $0.84 and prior guidance of $0.83-0.85. Co also reports an 11% increase in Dec. comparable store sales.

4:01PM Visual Networks increase Q4 guidance (VNWK) 2.69 +0.25: Co raises its Q4 revenue guidance to $10.5-11.0 mln (previously $9.5-9.8 mln), Reuters Research consensus is $9.6 mln. Expect earnings to be in the range of a loss of $0.03-0.05, Reuters consensus is a loss of $0.05.

SuperVoy
01-05-2004, 10:15 PM
I almost bought it when it was below 5%.

Good luck!

Regards,
SV

IIC
01-05-2004, 10:55 PM
I almost bought it when it was below 5%.

Good luck!

Regards,
SV

Made some bux on the 3 I BOT today...WZEN, VCLK and NTE...got into NTE a little late 'cause it was on my "B" list which I don't watch as closely.

I'm drooling over the price/vol action on SMTI...I went in early and will wait.

QDEL might have been a mistake on Friday...I could've bailed at a profit this morning but I'm not too worried...YET!!!

I will post a little on my Technical take in a little while...Best, IIC

IIC
01-05-2004, 10:55 PM
Resistance at 1958..Support at 1968...That's a long ride. We got through minor resistance at 2020-25 but it took 2 days...If we can blow through 2058 then we may see Schnorgie's 2100...Hope we do, but I'm not gonna count on it.

Watch SMTI...The volume dry up is a dream...how low can it go???...I went in a little early hoping to catch an EXPLOSION!!!

Guess I SLD CCBL too early...but the vol was low today so I don't feel too bad

NTE did well today on the comeback...I got it a little late 'cause it was on my "B" list.

One I have been watching for quite a while is FINL...Forget it now.

IIC
01-05-2004, 10:57 PM
All that DGO has(I don't follow the AMEX) and the one's I'm tracking myself were up today on the ST OB/OS Oscillator. The DGO one's are the NAZ Composite and the NYSE. My own are the NAZ 100, DGO NAZ RS 100, SP 400, 500, 600.

I don't have enough history with my own Indicators to figure out where a high point on the OB side is...but there is still room to go up on the NAZ Composite...However, the upward trend is very choppy on the NAZ...You don't see that since March...Maybe it was the holidays??? I don't really know...but we are at a point where the NAZ could go either way...Doesn't help much except that all should be cautious right now IMO. We, including me, have been pretty excited lately...Don't let profits slip away...Best To All...IIC

IIC
01-06-2004, 10:24 AM
Looking over my watchlists...I like SCIX this morning...May go in for a few shekels...They sold a unit to Kodak

IIC
01-06-2004, 10:37 AM
BOT SCIX

bappida69
01-06-2004, 10:42 AM
Just one question here. What attracts you to SCIX today..


Thanks.

IIC
01-06-2004, 10:58 AM
Just one question here. What attracts you to SCIX today..


Thanks.

http://biz.yahoo.com/rc/040106/tech_scitex_kodak_1.html

IIC
01-06-2004, 11:12 AM
Need a bounce off of 2040 on the NAZ

IIC
01-06-2004, 02:28 PM
BOT ISSI

IIC
01-06-2004, 02:46 PM
SLD MTXX...I got bored

lindsayleeds
01-06-2004, 10:32 PM
Yeah, they already stated downward. They changed the way the count revenues. Part of last quarters revenues were from the restatement. It gets tricky fast, but the bottom line is it is already built into the price.



I don't know if you or anyone else noticed this, but BLTI is #100 on this week's IBD 100...I read all the little comments below the listings. Under BLTI it says they will restate downward for '01, '02 and part of '03...Take a look. I must assume this is common knowledge and maybe it is already built into the price. But maybe it isn't commonly known? I don't see any news on that anywhere else(Of course, I didn't look very hard either)..You might want to check it out ...Best, IIC

IIC
01-07-2004, 02:18 AM
Resistance 2062
Support 2025/1993/1941/1878

I'm gonna take a flyer here and state that I think we'll see 2025 again before we see 2100

IIC
01-07-2004, 10:12 AM
LEXR...Good rebound candidate

IIC
01-07-2004, 11:08 AM
SLD...NTE PWN QDEL VLCK WZEN SCIX

Kept SMTI ISSI LAMP

Michaelk005
01-07-2004, 07:19 PM
Still waiting for the lunch money play with lamp ICC, haha i bouhgt some at 16.5 today, sell at 18 or 19.
Watch for rebounds in Metals tomorow morning, specifically gold. WHT and CDE.

IIC
01-08-2004, 03:30 AM
Still waiting for the lunch money play with lamp ICC, haha i bouhgt some at 16.5 today, sell at 18 or 19.
Watch for rebounds in Metals tomorow morning, specifically gold. WHT and CDE.

I want .22 for LAMP.

I have to be on the road tomorrow...so will miss wverything after the first 15 mins. Friday I will miss most of the day too.

I am surprised we held up over 2062...So now where??? Well, my Indicators say we are Overbought...could be some room for a little more advancement on the NAZ...but I think we are due for a correction maybe down to about 2000...Actually, I'd love to see us tank(except my 3 holdings of course)...Then we can start over...it was a nice run from about 1890 to here...Best to all...IIC

IIC
01-08-2004, 10:42 AM
Added another 1000 shs...SMTI...6th buy this week :D

Michaelk005
01-08-2004, 02:07 PM
smti.... through the roof!!

IIC
01-08-2004, 05:18 PM
smti.... through the roof!!

Kinda helps take the edge off of my CCBL screw up(selling too early)...ISSI was strong today too.

I really think a mkt correction is overdue...so be cautious...IIC

Michaelk005
01-08-2004, 06:57 PM
The most logical thing for the NAsdaq in my eyes to do is slump back down to about 2020 - 2000 area next week. All the telecom and LU NT Verizon news has really been holding it up.
Im loving gold for the next two weeks..

IIC
01-08-2004, 08:56 PM
The most logical thing for the NAsdaq in my eyes to do is slump back down to about 2020 - 2000 area next week. All the telecom and LU NT Verizon news has really been holding it up.
Im loving gold for the next two weeks..

I'll have to do some study tonight...but that sounds about right.

BTW: Take a peek at DATA
Nice chart...Worth a watch in the morning...Good turnaround possibility...I'm not ecstatic...but it's on my "A" list

Michaelk005
01-08-2004, 09:32 PM
for a software company like DATA in the $5-7 range i like to see more volume then 60000 a day to trade. Nice chart though, easily hit 7 in long term but it gained 5% today, and i see a down day tomorow in the markets, weel see.

IIC
01-08-2004, 11:34 PM
for a software company like DATA in the $5-7 range i like to see more volume then 60000 a day to trade. Nice chart though, easily hit 7 in long term but it gained 5% today, and i see a down day tomorow in the markets, weel see.

Yeah...I'll probably be in standby mode tomorrow...I'm trying to wind down a little because I will be out of the country on vacation for 8 days starting 1/18...I'm hoping the market will tank while I'm gone :D

IIC
01-09-2004, 10:24 AM
Not looking at a good open...but here is my updated watchlist...

sprt
gvhr
leix
data
dhb
wrnc
fcfs
cryp
cani
pdii
abax

IIC
01-09-2004, 11:19 AM
Snagged some CMTL in the 32.50's

IIC
01-09-2004, 04:04 PM
Took profits on ISSI

And not a minute too soon :) Got out in the 18.70's

Michaelk005
01-09-2004, 05:33 PM
Did you see what gold stocks did today, I reeped my rewards. Keep an eye on WHT

IIC
01-10-2004, 02:44 AM
Naz Support at 2055-2060 then 1995-2000

IIC
01-10-2004, 08:44 PM
Early watch...
LEIX DATA PTTX HUGO WRNC FCFS WZEN DSCO CRYP NTE RADN CANI QADI PDII LSCP NVEC XXIA AKAM
Have a lot more work to do this wknd...so do your own DD...some of these may not be on my final list

MEA_1956
01-11-2004, 06:23 AM
Early watch...
LEIX DATA PTTX HUGO WRNC FCFS WZEN DSCO CRYP NTE RADN CANI QADI PDII LSCP NVEC XXIA AKAM
Have a lot more work to do this wknd...so do your own DD...some of these may not be on my final list
Finals, what the hell are thay. WRNC Has got my vote. when they come
back into flavor this pick will rocket. Just lock a the stats. I need
not go any futher. This is where I shall spend my lunch Monnies.
========> MEA

IIC
01-11-2004, 10:39 AM
Did you see what gold stocks did today, I reeped my rewards. Keep an eye on WHT

Looks pretty good...Now I have to decide which stock to make my WEEKEND FLYER LUNCH MONEY PLAY...I guess I could have two...WHT and NUVO

IIC
01-11-2004, 04:57 PM
Weekend Watchlist...I will post any last minute adds later if there are any...Best to all...but be cautious this week...IIC


"A" List

CRYP KYPH ISRG CTEL GVHR CLZR LSCP AMED TACT CANI WRNC LOJN

SPRT MRTN SCON CLST TRMM RSYS BELM DATA BNSO XXIA

"B" List

TSCO BONZ APPX IMAX PDII GSIC SSYS MRGE CEDC

QADI FCFS AHG STN INTI DRIV ERES BRKT CPD SBEI AKAM SFP ZHNE WHT INTV

"C" List

CHMD BONT RATE MTEX LEIX

ZIGO SOL HVT CWTR VCLK SINA SYKE ESMC ISSI PTIX LCAV WINS VTEK SFCC RADN EGOV PTRY

WEEKEND FLYER LUNCH MONEY PLAY: NUVO

Michaelk005
01-11-2004, 08:33 PM
I like nuvo as a lunch play. Evrything looks good except WHt in the B list, should be in A, but you know me.

IIC
01-11-2004, 08:39 PM
I like nuvo as a lunch play. Evrything looks good except WHt in the B list, should be in A, but you know me.

Sorry...but I will be watching...There have been some changes to my lists and there will probably be some more later...but here is the revised list:

"A" List

CRYP KYPH ISRG CTEL GVHR CLZR LSCP AMED TACT CANI WRNC LOJN CDIC

SPRT MRTN TACT CLST TRMM RSYS BELM DATA BNSO XXIA

"B" List

TSCO BONZ APPX IMAX PDII GSIC SSYS MRGE CEDC DKS

QADI FCFS AHG STN INTI DRIV ERES BRKT CPD SBEI AKAM SFP ZHNE WHT INTV

"C" List

CHMD BONT RATE MTEX LEIX

ZIGO SOL HVT CWTR VCLK SINA SYKE ESMC ISSI PTIX LCAV WINS VTEK SFCC RADN EGOV PTRY RFMD

WEEKEND FLYER LUNCH MONEY PLAY: NUVO

IIC
01-12-2004, 12:02 AM
I will add these...but I'm not too thrilled:

DRQ IVGN MSA FNSR PTEN

Michaelk005
01-12-2004, 01:49 AM
Pull up a chart of ALTI and tell me what you think. Might go in tomrow if entry looks good.

IIC
01-12-2004, 10:07 AM
08:31 ET CIBC downgrades KGC, ups WHT : CIBC downgrades KGC to Sector Perform from Outperform and cuts their target to $10 from $12 based on the co's lower beta-to-bullion ratio, increased valuation, and flat-to-declining production levels; firm believes investors will seek other co's that offer higher beta opportunities, such as NEM, PDG, NXG, and CBJ. Firm also upgrades WHT to Sector Perform from Underperform and raises their target to $3.50 from $2.80, citing better fundamentals and favorable valuation.

IIC
01-12-2004, 10:08 AM
Pull up a chart of ALTI and tell me what you think. Might go in tomrow if entry looks good.


Looks good THX

IIC
01-12-2004, 10:53 AM
SLD CMTL mid 34's

IIC
01-12-2004, 10:59 AM
Trimmed...SLD 1000 shs of SMTI...took 5 executions

IIC
01-12-2004, 11:19 AM
BOT CGEN

IIC
01-12-2004, 11:41 AM
BOT LCAV

IIC
01-12-2004, 01:02 PM
BOT SLNK...mid 21's

Michaelk005
01-12-2004, 01:12 PM
ALti up 7%.
You went on a buying spree today IIC.
Sold my WHT at $3.26.. 10%gain.

IIC
01-12-2004, 03:32 PM
ALti up 7%.
You went on a buying spree today IIC.
Sold my WHT at $3.26.. 10%gain.

I expected more from WHT...but you got out at a good time...nice job.

I caught LCAV on the rebound at 21 and a few cents. Up a few% on SLNK and even on CGEN

Keep an eye on RATE this week if the mkt cooperates.

IIC
01-12-2004, 04:34 PM
BOT BELM

IIC
01-13-2004, 01:39 AM
Markets gonna correct soon IMO...maybe alittle more steam...but I'm going on vacation next week...I planned it that way...Watch RATE RSYS and PTRY tomorrow

ISSI will do a semi dump after the C/C today

IIC
01-13-2004, 09:34 AM
CGEN Should gap at the open

Current holdings:
CGEN SMTI(1/2) SLNK BELM LCAV

Watch RATE

IIC
01-13-2004, 10:13 AM
Watch AKAM

IIC
01-13-2004, 10:38 AM
BOT NAVR

IIC
01-13-2004, 11:29 AM
SLD the rest of SMTI

IIC
01-13-2004, 11:47 AM
Added to SLNK

IIC
01-13-2004, 02:51 PM
QADI...Might want to keep an eye on this one to see if a handle forms

IIC
01-13-2004, 03:07 PM
BOT MTEX

IIC
01-14-2004, 10:02 AM
Watch GMAI and CVNS

Current holdings are:
BELM LCAV SLNK LAMP NAVR CGEN MTEX

IIC
01-14-2004, 10:10 AM
Watch NANX

IIC
01-14-2004, 03:35 PM
Watch AKAM

Now's the time

Michaelk005
01-14-2004, 03:44 PM
Bought AKS at $4.58

IIC
01-14-2004, 07:45 PM
Bought AKS at $4.58

Good Luck...But it seems a little risky to me.

Watch EYE...as a Canslim type play it would be a buy on volume at this price.

I am sort of winding down right now because I am going on a Cruise on Sunday for a week and I don't plan on trading next week...but I will check in periodically...Best, IIC

IIC
01-15-2004, 02:48 AM
NAZ Futures down 16 tonight...but I will hold till the dust settles a little.

Watch EFJI for a potential move on volume

Don't get scared out at the open

Most Short Term Indicators indicate we are Overbought...I can envision a move on the NAZ down to 2050 to 2000...hope it happens while I am on vacation. Intermediate indicators say we are OK IMO

IIC
01-15-2004, 03:07 AM
If the market does OK...watch KFRC and ARXX

Also, there is a nice cup on MKTY...watch for a handle

IIC
01-15-2004, 03:21 AM
Worth watching depending on the market direction again...VCLK and PTIX

IIC
01-15-2004, 09:58 AM
Not My Cup Of Tea

But IMMU will Rock...second good news report this week:
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/040115/nyth026_1.html

IIC
01-15-2004, 10:05 AM
Good News...IBM up 6.6% pre-mkt

7:34AM IBM beats (IBM) 90.31: Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $1.56 per share, $0.06 better than the Reuters Research consensus of $1.50; revenues rose 9.4% year/year to $25.91 bln vs the $25.06 bln consensus.

IIC
01-15-2004, 10:19 AM
I hope you all followed me the other day and BOT LAMP.OB

IIC
01-15-2004, 11:30 AM
I sold most...kept a little SLNK but SLD 80% of it and kept MTEX.... SLD NAVR CGEN LCAV BELM

Michaelk005
01-15-2004, 03:05 PM
Sold LAmp at .22. I bought at .16
Thanks IIC. ALso take a look at aks.

IIC
01-15-2004, 03:35 PM
Sold LAmp at .22. I bought at .16
Thanks IIC. ALso take a look at aks.

I cancelled my .24 limit on LAMP...We'll see.

AKS looks good today but I'd like to see more volume this next 1 1/2 hrs...Good Luck

Michaelk005
01-15-2004, 03:42 PM
Sold Aks at $4.80
Im in WHt again at 2.70 watch the late afternoon rally on metals

IIC
01-15-2004, 09:01 PM
Good Deal on AKS...I'm not really looking at anything right now...loved that action on DECK and LSCP today...but I refrained since I don't want any holdings while I'm on vacation...I will probably hold LAMP though...but I'm planning on selling MTEX and the rest of SLNK...Have a nice short term profit on both...I don't want to come home broke :lol:

I don't like to use stops either because unless they are real wide I always seem to get stopped out.

Will let you know if I find anything before Sunday...but I think it would be healthy for the Intermediate Term Bull if we went back down to 2000 on the NAZ fairly soon...Best, IIC

IIC
01-16-2004, 09:56 AM
Watch these to see if they take off on volume

SLNK CMTL ARW NGPS GILTF ANDW RELM ANCC PWAV

IIC
01-16-2004, 10:20 AM
More to watch

LSCP CEDC DRIV ERES BRKT AKAM MTEX NAVR DECK

mrmarket
01-16-2004, 10:25 AM
How about ASPT?

IIC
01-16-2004, 10:56 AM
How about ASPT?

Good Co...but I can't watch everything :lol:

RFMI and IMAX and FARO could move today

IIC
01-16-2004, 11:23 AM
MTEX
SLD at 13.50

IIC
01-16-2004, 11:30 AM
How about ASPT?

Reversing nicely :D

IIC
01-16-2004, 04:21 PM
SLD out the rest of SLNK earlier...It should be a nice vacation...keeping LAMP

IIC
01-16-2004, 04:53 PM
ZIGO looks pretty good

IIC
01-17-2004, 12:04 AM
NAZ:

resist. 2164.05 1
supp 2109.52 3
supp 2074.02 2
supp 1962.04 18
supp 1877.63 10

IIC
01-17-2004, 10:11 AM
Don't forget the markets are closed Monday

IIC
01-17-2004, 10:46 PM
The "A" and "B" lists are from my previous lists that I feel are still worthwhile:

A LIST

SCON SSYS SBEI CANI KOSP NTE DHB SCIX

B LIST

BONZ CTEL IMAX VCLK GVHR RATE ZIGO CRYP KYPH CHMD FCFS AHG ISRG TACT VTEK MRGE LOJN ATYT RCKY

NEW ONE'S

MSS PROG RELL VANSUOPX CECO AMHC CHS ARTC HLEX ABTL SYNP NOOF

WEEKEND FLYER LUNCH MONEY PLAY: SSTR

IIC
01-18-2004, 12:29 AM
The "A" and "B" lists are from my previous lists that I feel are still worthwhile:

A LIST

SCON SSYS SBEI CANI KOSP NTE DHB SCIX

B LIST

BONZ CTEL IMAX VCLK GVHR RATE ZIGO CRYP KYPH CHMD FCFS AHG ISRG TACT VTEK MRGE LOJN ATYT RCKY

NEW ONE'S

MSS PROG RELL VANSUOPX CECO AMHC CHS ARTC HLEX ABTL SYNP NOOF

WEEKEND FLYER LUNCH MONEY PLAY: SSTR

Add 2 more: RFIL YDIW

Michaelk005
01-20-2004, 05:01 PM
Should have kept Aks longer, up another 10% today, would have been 20% gain for me. LAMP steady at .24 when you going to take your profits?

MEA_1956
01-21-2004, 01:49 AM
EPIC==== shoulda held this one, Coulda had 8.29% today, Woulda be up 47%. Nice pick I think this one will be around for awhile. Well maybe not, Earnings are next week. Can you tell me if there is going to be an increase in next 1/4 out look or are they going to just stick with what they are prejecting on EARNINGS. ===> MEA

Michaelk005
01-23-2004, 07:51 PM
Keep an eye on TK. I have a freind who is a manager there, said the stock will reach mid 70's before soon, i also have some insider info 5 new contracts in the making. Should be good, keep an eye on it.

IIC
01-25-2004, 04:21 PM
Hi Everyone...I got back from vacation today. Unfortunately, I couldn't log in here at the internet cafes in Mexico and on the cruiseship...but I could read the posts.

Will be doing some brief DD tonight and will let you know if anything decent comes up.

On Friday I BOT RATE and was immediately stopped out for a minor loss. I also BOT VCLK.

Talk to everybody later...IIC

IIC
01-25-2004, 11:10 PM
Did not have that much time for DD...but these are the one's I'll be looking at:

PSSI PMTI PSSI CANI AKAM ITIG TIWI NGEN CORI CMCO DITC

IIC
01-25-2004, 11:39 PM
This week's watchlist...Didn't spend as much time as i usually do...but here is what I will be watching:


DYAX Dyax Corporation
PMTI Palomar Medical Tech
PSSI P S S World Medical Inc
SSYS Stratasys Inc
SBEI S B E Inc
KOSP Kos Pharmaceuticals Inc
DHB D H B Industries Inc
SCIX Scitex Corp Ltd
GVHR Gevity Hr Inc
RATE Bankrate Inc
CHMD Chronimed Inc
MRGE Merge Technologies Inc
LOJN Lo Jack Corp
UOPX Apollo-Univ Phoenix Onln
AMHC American Healthways Inc
CHS Chicos Fas Inc
SYNP Synplicity Inc
RFIL R F Industries Ltd
CANI Carreker Corporation
AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc
ITIG Intelligroup Inc
TIWI Telesystem Intl Wireless
NGEN Nanogen Inc
CORI Corillian Corporation
CMCO Columbus Mckinnon Corp
DITC Ditech Communications

IIC
01-25-2004, 11:40 PM
Should have kept Aks longer, up another 10% today, would have been 20% gain for me. LAMP steady at .24 when you going to take your profits?

NOT SURE YET.

Michaelk005
01-26-2004, 02:05 AM
ITIG, its been on your list a few times, on my watch list this week as well.

IIC
01-26-2004, 09:55 AM
ITIG, its been on your list a few times, on my watch list this week as well.

Yes, I made some on it a month ago or so...looks pretty good...I like PSSI though they announce a/h on 1/28.

SAFC should do well today on their EPS announcement

IIC
01-26-2004, 10:12 AM
PROX looks good...eps tomorrow

IIC
01-26-2004, 10:48 AM
BOT PROX

IIC
01-26-2004, 11:25 AM
BOT CKCM

IIC
01-26-2004, 01:55 PM
BOT CHINA and CANI

IIC
01-26-2004, 02:33 PM
ASPT is kickin' it

IIC
01-26-2004, 02:55 PM
BOT ASPT in the 18.90's

Watch EGOV

IIC
01-27-2004, 12:26 AM
HLIT could move tomorrow...watch it

IIC
01-27-2004, 10:42 AM
BOT PSSI

Missed PMTI

Watch ADAT NGPS HLIT

IIC
01-27-2004, 11:34 AM
SLD PROX...lost 2 cents sh

IIC
01-27-2004, 02:33 PM
CANI is a bargain at 15.95

Minor NAZ support at 2112

billyjoe
01-27-2004, 06:47 PM
IIC, I'm curious, when you buy a stock in the midst of a nice breakout with a classical graph pattern, but the stock has very low EPS or RS are you more likely to sell and take a quick profit at first sign of pullback than you would a similar breakout with both high RS and EPS ? Thanks
billyjoe

IIC
01-27-2004, 10:36 PM
IIC, I'm curious, when you buy a stock in the midst of a nice breakout with a classical graph pattern, but the stock has very low EPS or RS are you more likely to sell and take a quick profit at first sign of pullback than you would a similar breakout with both high RS and EPS ? Thanks
billyjoe

Not particularly...I watch the 1 minute chart action when I can...I watch the NAZ Composite very closely...I have been very jittery since it went over 2000 the second time...I expected a pullback at 2025 and got it...I expected a pullback at 2062...I think that was on 1/6 or 1/7...when it went down to about 2048 real fast I basically went to cash no matter what my stocks were doing...That ended up being a mistake but I was not about to let my profits go down the drain. Today, I was prepared to bail if the market went below 2110. I am glad we had a little pullback...but since we did not close above 2130 I think we are in limbo right now...so I will have my trigger finger ready tomorrow, although if we can take the AMZN etc. news OK then I think we will rebound.

Since the beginning of this year I have been playing it safe...I don't mind losing 2-3% here and there...The 10-30% quickies make up for that.

There is a running joke at a club I help moderate and at my IBD Meetup group...Just buy what IIC sells...But they never remember the one's that tank after I sell them.

But one thing that does influence my sell decisions is the amount of bux I have in it...When I BOT PSSI this morning I let it slide because I am in light. I have a F/T job so I can't always watch...I missed the CHINA dump because I was away from the computer...I would've SLD because of the vol. if I had seen it.

As far as PROX...I BOT yesterday and never intended to hold past the close today 'cause of the EPS announcement after the bell...All I wanted out of it was 25 cents sh...never made it and I bailed at a 2 cent loss about an hour after the open...good thing 'cause it dropped another 28 cents after I SLD if you include A/H.

My explanation probably doesn't help much...but there are a lot of factors that may influence my decision...but I will tell you one thing...I am alot better at buying than I am at selling.

I am in 5 clubs and i have a small network of email buddies who I share ideas with. I also have a tradig partner who is full-time and a lot better at the short term mo-mo thing than I am. We are on IM when I am available and sometimes(but not always) I will sell just because they say to. I'm fairly new to this style of trading and I'm still learning quite a bit.

We have over 250 symbols on our watch lists at all times. We have the DGO NAZ RS 100 in R/T and we update it daily. We use the DGO Industry Groups for groups on the move and I look for tight bases on drying up volume...usually I get those on the weekend because it takes a lot of time to look at so many charts.

The watchlists I post are not recommendations...they are simply some of the stocks we watch to see if they breakout.

Even though I work F/T I spend in excess of 40 hrs a week on the markets...so basically I have no life except work, stocks and sleep...well, that's not really true because I can spend a lot of time at work on the stocks...but I'm kinda envious of Ernie...he can drink beer out at the pool...I have to drink my beer in front of my monitor :lol:

Michaelk005
01-27-2004, 11:49 PM
Very nice description of your life IIC, just dont spill the beer on your keyboard, it sux. Anywho, been watching lamp reverse now for a few days, not happy for you should have got out at .24. :)
I am liking metals this week again for the millionith time, gold started its reversal today, should see it close on fri at around 418-425 if the markets continue this way. CDE WHT DROOY, keep an eye out.
And going to take another position in AKS. HAppy trading.

IIC
01-28-2004, 01:18 AM
In the same arena as your Fave...AKS...you might want to consider SHLO and SID.

On another note...FIBR is a possibility...Best, IIC

IIC
01-28-2004, 10:22 AM
Morning Watch:

ZIGO FDRY ONNN AV HILL CHINA CKCM ASPT INSP STMP BRCM FLEX

IIC
01-28-2004, 10:37 AM
BOT JMAR

IIC
01-28-2004, 03:35 PM
BOT INFS

I think my limit got taken out on LAMP

IIC
01-28-2004, 04:17 PM
BOT CVM 1.38

IIC
01-28-2004, 07:51 PM
Tomorrow's Winner....SMTS

Watch LCAV for a rebound...may not be tomorrow but I'll be keeping it on my list

Michaelk005
01-28-2004, 10:21 PM
Any thought on what the markets did this afternoon; droped like a rock, do you think there will be a rebound tomorow morn?

Michaelk005
01-28-2004, 11:20 PM
HEres a good article on the drop due to interest rates this afternoon, has some good thoughts.
http://moneycentral.msn.com/content/CNBCTV/Articles/Dispatches/P73211.asp

IIC
01-29-2004, 03:20 AM
Any thought on what the markets did this afternoon; droped like a rock, do you think there will be a rebound tomorow morn?

Yes...NAZ Futures +6 at 2am EST

IIC
01-29-2004, 03:40 AM
NAZ 5 Day Advance/Decline Oscillator is now Oversold...The 10, 12 and 30 day indicate more downside...So, we get a brief rebound and the more downside...maybe 30-70 points???

IIC
01-29-2004, 03:46 AM
PSSI

5:22PM PSS World Med beats by $0.02 (PSSI) 12.59 -0.05: Reports Q3 (Dec) earnings of $0.12 per share, $0.02 better than the Reuters Research consensus of $0.10; revenues rose 13.2% year/year to $344.3 mln vs the $333.9 mln consensus. Co has set an EPS goal for fiscal 2005 (Mar 05) of $0.51 - $0.55 vs consensus of $0.53.

IIC
01-29-2004, 10:14 AM
QLTI will fly

tscanlon
01-29-2004, 10:17 AM
IIC what do you think SMTS will do today it was up 5% on a bad day. Might think of jumping in.

T

IIC
01-29-2004, 10:26 AM
IIC what do you think SMTS will do today it was up 5% on a bad day. Might think of jumping in.

T

Should open up but may be short lived...so I will pass...if I was more sure of the market direction I would load up on it...Unfortunately I have to work at my real job today and tomorrow on the road and will miss most of the action

IIC
01-29-2004, 10:34 AM
IIC what do you think SMTS will do today it was up 5% on a bad day. Might think of jumping in.

T

Should open up but may be short lived...so I will pass...if I was more sure of the market direction I would load up on it...Unfortunately I have to work at my real job today and tomorrow on the road and will miss most of the action

Guess I was wrong

Michaelk005
01-29-2004, 05:06 PM
I was pleased about what the market did this afternoon, was scared for a few mins. Shows investors confidence in feds decision. IIC take a look at ATAR, my favorite company of all time lol, Hard hit today, but a reversal is likely, plus high volume.

IIC
01-29-2004, 08:12 PM
I was pleased about what the market did this afternoon, was scared for a few mins. Shows investors confidence in feds decision. IIC take a look at ATAR, my favorite company of all time lol, Hard hit today, but a reversal is likely, plus high volume.

Oh my God...What the H*ll happened to ATAR yesterday???...Hit by an asteroid(get it?)...Guess you could say it has a gap to fill.

I didn't get to watch today after 10am EST but in looking at the chart the NAZ looked strong the last 2 hours. The low was 5% off the 1/26 Intraday High which is a nice place for a bounce. I held everything today and will do so tomorrow too. My portfolio lost 6% the last 2 days...but I expect to make that back up soon. Been a roller coaster ride for me this month...my portfolio was up 10% then down 6% then up 19% now up 5.8% YTD.

IIC
01-30-2004, 12:30 AM
The NAZ Advance/Decline Oscillators are pretty interesting...The 5 Day hit Oversold yesterday and the 10 day hit it today. The 12 day is headed there shortly. But, normally they will continue down a little further before we hit bottom...I am calling the NAZ bottom at 1997.86 approximately.

I am saying that tongue in cheek but we could see something around there (2000) before we rebound.

I say give it a week either on the sidelines or in the trenches...we will go up from there IMO

Watch for a brief bounce on Friday...Best To All...IIC

IIC
01-31-2004, 01:40 AM
I was on the road all day for work...8 of 9 up and one unchanged...not bad...still shakey IMO...I wish we would go down to 1997 and get it over with...Glad to be back from vacation now so I can do my weekend DD...will post what I find by Sunday evening...Best To All...IIC

IIC
02-01-2004, 02:10 PM
Pre-Game Watchlist...IIC

Potential B/O's
SMTS
NOVL
CTE

Tight Base/Lower Volume(BASES MAY BE VERY SHORT)
GIVN
AMED
TUTS
SCIX
BCSI
CMCO

Rebounding
LCAV
FARO
ALDN
STLD
ALVR
BEL
ENWV
LSCP
ADEX
RESC
GLW
ANDW
ENMC
ITIG
FHRX
IMOS
AKAM

Will post more later. However, I suggest Longs be very careful...the
market indicators I use on the 3, 5, 10 and 12 day all indicate that
we have more room to drop...possibly to 2000 on the NAZ...Indicators
are not exact but I find them helpful in trying to determine Market
Direction...IIC

IIC
02-01-2004, 10:07 PM
Some are listed more than 1x

VSNT Versant Corporation
WGA Wells-gardner Electrs
DEPO Depomed Inc
CNQR Concur Technologies Inc
STKL Sunopta Inc
VASC Vascular Solutions
ZIGO Zygo Corp
PARS Pharmos Corp
CCRT Compucredit Corp
ATRM Aetrium Inc
CULS Cost-u-less Inc
CKSW Clicksoftware Technologs
DLGS Dialog Semiconductor Adr
PDII P D I Inc
AMED Amedisys Inc
BNSO Bonso Electronic Intl
MRGE Merge Technologies Inc
IPSU Imperial Sugar Company
IBPI Intrabiotics Pharmaceut
CLEC U S Lec Corp Cl A
LCUT Lifetime Hoan
ISSC Innovative Sltn & Supprt
HBIO Harvard Bioscience Inc
SSI Spectrasite Inc
AMPH American Physicians Svc
FARO Faro Technologies Inc
OMCL Omnicell Inc
RSCR Res Care Inc
MERX Merix Corp
NVMI Nova Measuring Instrumnt
NOVA Novamed Eyecare Inc
CARN Carrington Labs Inc
SYX Systemax Inc
NERX Neorx Corp
PHYX Physiometrix Inc
BONT Bon Ton Stores Inc
OPTV Open Tv Corporation Cl A
SIPX Sipex Corporation
SYKE Sykes Enterprises Inc
UHALQ Amerco
VTEK Vodavi Technology Inc
DDDC Deltathree Inc
RADIF Rada Electronic Inds Ltd
SCIX Scitex Corp Ltd
CHS Chicos Fas Inc
AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc
UOPX Apollo-univ Phoenix Onln
CACC Credit Acceptance Corp
SHRP Sharper Image Corp
FINL Finish Line Inc Cl A
HELE Helen Of Troy Ltd




Potential B/O's
SMTS
NOVL
CTE

Tight Base/Lower Volume(BASES MAY BE VERY SHORT)
GIVN
AMED
TUTS
SCIX
BCSI
CMCO

Rebounding
LCAV
FARO
ALDN
STLD
ALVR
BEL
ENWV
LSCP
ADEX
RESC
GLW
ANDW
ENMC
ITIG
FHRX
IMOS
AKAM

IIC
02-02-2004, 09:53 AM
MORNING MOVERS

LCAV
ANDW
SSFT

Other possibles:
HUM
RCI

IIC
02-02-2004, 10:08 AM
Keep a close eye on

IMOS OMCL UOPX NOVL HELE FARO

IIC
02-02-2004, 11:16 AM
Sold

INFS JMAR PSSI ASPT CANI CHINA VCLK CKCM

Kept CVM

Now the Naz can tank

IIC
02-02-2004, 11:49 AM
BOT LCAV

IIC
02-02-2004, 05:24 PM
I don't usually average down...but I BOT more LCAV at the end of the day in the 22.20's

IIC
02-02-2004, 11:47 PM
NAZ futures down 2.5...Dow down 21

ParkTwain
02-03-2004, 01:05 AM
chart-based setup at that time, and very good results since then

IIC
02-03-2004, 09:50 AM
chart-based setup at that time, and very good results since then

Yes...I have owned it a couple times...should go up today some

IIC
02-03-2004, 09:51 AM
Here are a few that should move at the open:
ALTH WIRE RYAAY AND POSSIBLY ISSC

IIC
02-03-2004, 10:19 AM
Here are a few that should move at the open:
ALTH WIRE RYAAY AND POSSIBLY ISSC

Add PMTI and FMTI and of course TASR

IIC
02-03-2004, 03:23 PM
BOT OMCL and CAMT

IIC
02-03-2004, 08:42 PM
Very pleased with the finish on OMCL today. I noticed a lot of B/O's and movers pulled back on the one's I was watching.

FYI...CORI had a bad report...down over 20% A/H

IIC
02-04-2004, 02:43 AM
NAZ futures down 3.00 at 1041pm PST

IIC
02-04-2004, 10:13 AM
Morning Movers:

TRMB ERES IVIL WEBX PSFT MTON

Futs way down...hoping today will be the day we hit bottom.

I hold OMCL CAMT CVM LCAV

Michaelk005
02-04-2004, 03:47 PM
Whats your interest in OMCL and CVm, this a volume swing?

IIC
02-05-2004, 03:33 AM
Whats your interest in OMCL and CVm, this a volume swing?

A lot of support for CVM at 1.28...I can deal with that...I BOT in the 1.30's.

OMCL is strong...like the chart and the Divergence is at a great point...it has weathered this storm very well...I BOT a little late in the 19.30's yesterday.

I also like STKL...Scottrade knocked me off at 1558 or I'd own it already...now I will wait and see...I don't think we will go below medium support of 1990...but there are a lot of conflicting signals...but I have never seen the 10 day A/D so far into Oversold territory at -450. A strong indicator that we are bottoming...Best, IIC

IIC
02-05-2004, 10:03 AM
Morning Movers

BCSI AEOS ESST CEDC ARO ANIK

TRMB should recover today too

I also think it would be good to watch DCGN

IIC
02-05-2004, 10:55 AM
BOT STKL this morn

Michaelk005
02-05-2004, 01:51 PM
do you still hold lamp?

IIC
02-06-2004, 12:29 AM
do you still hold lamp?

No...Darn$%^&*((...SLD at .24 for a modest 14% gain with my pocket change

IIC
02-06-2004, 12:29 AM
But CVM has MAJOR support at 1.28

IIC
02-06-2004, 10:24 AM
Raised Guidance: OTEX JOSB EYW SHW GPS BJ ANF ANN R PSUN SHRP

IIC
02-06-2004, 11:40 AM
BOT SWIR

IIC
02-07-2004, 11:58 PM
http://tal.marketgauge.com/dvmgpro/charts/COCAD12.GIF

IIC
02-08-2004, 12:59 AM
My NAZ take FWIW:

Support: 2057/1990-2000/1967(minor)

Resistance: 2085(minor)/2110(minor)/2153

IIC
02-08-2004, 11:05 PM
NAZ:


MACD: Bullish
Stochs: Bearish
A/D: Bullish
Fibs: Bearish

My only suggestion is to play B/O's...if they breakdown get out fast...IIC

Michaelk005
02-09-2004, 03:21 AM
This is going to be a good week :D
Watch metals, esspec gold rebound back to 415-420.

IIC
02-09-2004, 11:01 AM
Took Small Gains on OMCL CAMT

IIC
02-09-2004, 06:09 PM
Saw alot of green today...but most did not have volume...waiting for the NAZ to decide which way to go...Still hold LCAV STKL CVM SWIR

IIC
02-09-2004, 11:05 PM
Watch for a move on volume on LCAV soon

IIC
02-10-2004, 10:14 AM
Watch IMOS VTEK CHPC CGFW

IIC
02-10-2004, 11:06 AM
BOT VTEK...looking for a rebound here

IIC
02-10-2004, 02:29 PM
BOT FMTI at 5.33

clarson11
02-10-2004, 03:35 PM
Nice run on FMTI

IIC
02-10-2004, 09:21 PM
Current Holdings:

STKL CVM LCAV VTEK FMTI SWIR...I plan on getting SLAMMED on SWIR
tomorrow morning after the NVTL/Verizon announcemnet A/H.
Fortunately, it is my lightest holding...but I'm not too happy about
it :(...IIC

IIC
02-11-2004, 10:22 AM
Morning Movers:
MUSEE NVTL PCLN DISH

Also watch:
CGFW
GMAI
AUGT

IIC
02-11-2004, 11:28 AM
BOT ALVR

IIC
02-11-2004, 11:54 AM
BOT SUNW 5.73

clarson11
02-11-2004, 12:08 PM
I will jump into SUNW with you. See what happens. 5.73

I got into CHPC too at 8.92

Hoping it will jump over that 9.01 resistance from the open.

IIC
02-11-2004, 05:30 PM
I will jump into SUNW with you. See what happens. 5.73

I got into CHPC too at 8.92

Hoping it will jump over that 9.01 resistance from the open.

SUNW almost put me to sleep after I BOT...then I thought it would move near the end when it hit 5.78...well we made a penny.

ALVR worked out well today...I BOT at 14.04 and 14.05 just in the nick of time...Held everything else with varying results.

clarson11
02-11-2004, 06:03 PM
We earned a penny AND it ended just below 5.75 high from January.

carribean_mike
02-11-2004, 08:53 PM
IIC - Are you ready to jump back in metals? CDE and SSRI are on fire.

Michaelk005
02-11-2004, 09:12 PM
Im in gold again, WHT in specefic, im hearing gold to 800 in 2010. Get into the explorarion companies, and eye DROOY.

IIC
02-12-2004, 02:44 AM
IIC - Are you ready to jump back in metals? CDE and SSRI are on fire.

Those are two great looking charts...but the group has been fading...Good Luck on them...IIC

PS: Check out TNP

carribean_mike
02-12-2004, 05:28 AM
I bot TNP about a month ago. I need a few more like it.

carribean_mike
02-12-2004, 05:42 AM
I am not quite sure how IBD calculates their group rankings, but there is a definite lag. They will catch up in a couple of weeks. The HUI index is a better proxy for the Gold and Silver group ranking.

IIC
02-12-2004, 10:24 AM
Morning Movers:

YUM QVDX QDEL AET NTGR LSCP

billyjoe
02-12-2004, 11:18 AM
IIC, Have you studied BXG.? I listened to their sales pitch at a ski resort in December stock has gone from 6 to 10.50 since then in less than 2months. Any thoughts?
Thanks, billyjoe

IIC
02-12-2004, 11:29 AM
BOT OPTV

Will have to answer later...SLD CVM and FMTI

IIC
02-12-2004, 11:51 AM
Took profits on STKL

IIC
02-12-2004, 04:01 PM
SLD VTEK ALVR SUNW(Hey 9 cents is +1.5%)

IIC
02-12-2004, 10:52 PM
IIC, Have you studied BXG.? I listened to their sales pitch at a ski resort in December stock has gone from 6 to 10.50 since then in less than 2months. Any thoughts?
Thanks, billyjoe

Hey BillyJoe...Why didn't you mention it 4 days ago??? :wink:

If you don't already own it I would wait for a few days...I would like to see it pullback a little...have the volume low for a day or two on side ways movement and then wait for a hi vol day as it goes up. Has possiblities IMO

IIC
02-13-2004, 10:46 AM
LTXX Huge vol

IIC
02-13-2004, 10:51 AM
Watch FARO

billyjoe
02-13-2004, 11:45 AM
VCLK anybody? nice earnings report
billyjoe

IIC
02-13-2004, 08:49 PM
VCLK anybody? nice earnings report
billyjoe

EPS was premkt yesterday. I owned this one recently but I SLD about a week or so ago. Good Co. IMO

IIC
02-13-2004, 08:57 PM
No trades today...one of the reasons I SLD 5 of my 8 holdings yesterday was because the NAZ 5 day A/D Oscillator soared into Overbought territory on Wed. This Indicator is used for the very short term. The one I follow more closely for short term is the 10 day.

So I didn't set any alerts last night...Kinda too bad because NERX had a great flat base breakout today and I didn't see it till it was too late.

Will use the weekend to look for good rebound candidates...Happy Valentine's and President's Day to everybody.

Current Holdings: SWIR, LCAV OPTV

IIC
02-15-2004, 12:10 PM
Interested in some tight bases with lo vol???
Here are some Hi RS stocks that you might want to watch:
NRMX
OPTK
INOD
LOUD
GMXR
RFIL
WPSC
SCOX
MGIC
SEMI
IMX
SCIX
FVE
PCYC
EGOV
AVCI
THER
TFN
CTE
BRLI
ANIK
DFC
ENCY
CYTO
TMWD
AWIN
WJCI
IVIS
POZN
CMTL
DSCO
BETA
COR

billyjoe
02-15-2004, 12:57 PM
IIC, Interesting list . Now we wait for sideways movement, then pounce on volume jump? Would 50% volume jump on rise do it? Also a couple other questions. What would you say is the biggest difference between your methods and those of the typical day traders of say 1998? Is there a target percentage of winners you aim for (other than 100%). How short term is your average trade? Are you constantly tweaking your model. Does it significantly change during a downtrend? Thanks, billyjoe

IIC
02-15-2004, 05:31 PM
IIC, Interesting list . Now we wait for sideways movement, then pounce on volume jump? Would 50% volume jump on rise do it? Also a couple other questions. What would you say is the biggest difference between your methods and those of the typical day traders of say 1998? Is there a target percentage of winners you aim for (other than 100%). How short term is your average trade? Are you constantly tweaking your model. Does it significantly change during a downtrend? Thanks, billyjoe

I really can't say how much volume you should wait for...50% is the IBD recommendation I think...but I would accept less.

I am not a Daytrader...I am a Short Term Momentum Trader...short term means 1 day to 2 weeks in most cases...Avg. maybe 3-5 days???

I feel very good if I can pick gainers(that I actually sell for a gain) 67% of the time in a Bull...About 40% of the time in a Bear. The key is to make more on your gainers than you lose on your losers. I plan on the occassional 20% plus gainers in a day or two also. This week I made 20% on FMTI from Wed to Thurs. My fave buy this year was SMTI...I BOT on 1/2 and more at the open on the B/O day on 1/8. That was a PERFECT tight base/lo vol stock. I also pulled it off on NANX in December...but that was a Groups on the move play.

I was a long term Canslimmer from before IBD which was first published in 1984...I used DailyGraphs before that. I don't remember it being called Canslim back then though. I started making adjustments in 2000 and sort of floundered till last July even though I was up in 2000, 2001 and 2002...not much in '00 and '02.

Last July I met my trading partner who is the best short-Term Mo-Mo trader I ever met...I have learned a lot and I still am...So far...So good.

My biggest problem is Missing B/O's and not selling at the right time. The first one is in the process of being solved...The second one...Well, I'm working on it...

Since I think the NAZ stinks right now Very Short Term...I am just going to watch the bases this week. Last week I started with 300 on my watchlists...this week I will try to keep it under 100...Best, IIC

IIC
02-15-2004, 07:27 PM
Here are some more over $6 RS 80-89

NRGN
ESC
AMSWA
ADEX
TESS
LIOX
SAY
ACO
RCMT
VXGN
ORCT
ANEN

IIC
02-16-2004, 11:10 PM
IIC 100

Well, I reviewed all 7,168 charts of the stocks on the NAZ, NYSE and AMEX just so all of you could relax and enjoy your 3 Day Holiday weekend.

Here is what I came up with...All have recent tight bases on low volume...some longer than others. If you play these type you know there are several ways to trade them. The two most common would be to buy and wait for a possible breakout...If that is your cup of tea you should do a thorough DD on each one you are interested in. The other common way to play these is to put them on watch and buy at the vol. B/O...If AND when it happens.

All are in the top 96 groups and have an RS of 80+...They are not sorted in any particular order...I will leave that up to you if you are interested...IMO some are not really playable...but there again, I will leave that up to you:

NRMX Neurochem Inc
OPTK Optika Inc
INOD Innodata Isogen Inc
LOUD Loudeye Corp
GMXR G M X Resources Inc
RFIL R F Industries Ltd
WPSC Wheeling Pittsburgh Corp
SCOX S C O Group Inc
MGIC Magic Software Enter Ltd
SEMI All Amer Semiconductor
IMX Implant Sciences Corp
SCIX Scitex Corp Ltd
FVE Five Star Quality Care
PCYC Pharmacyclics Inc
EGOV N I C Inc
AVCI Avici Systems Inc
THER Therasense Inc
TFN Transnational Finl Netwk
CTE Cardiotech Intl Inc
BRLI Bio Reference Labs Inc
ANIK Anika Therapeutics Inc
DFC Delta Financial Corp
ENCY Encysive Pharmaceuticals
CYTO Cytogen Corp
TMWD Tumbleweed Communication
AWIN Arch Wireless Inc Cl A
WJCI W J Communications Inc
IVIS I C O S Vision Systems
POZN Pozen Inc
CMTL Comtech Telecomm Corp
DSCO Discovery Labs Inc
BETA Beta Oil & Gas Inc
COR Cortex Pharmaceuticals
NRGN Neurogen Corp
ESC Emeritus Corp
AMSWA American Software Inc A
ADEX A D E Corp
TESS Tessco Tech Inc
LIOX Lionbridge Technologies
SAY Satyam Computer Svcs Adr
ACO Amcol International Corp
RCMT R C M Technologies Inc
VXGN Vaxgen Inc
ORCT Orckit Communication
ANEN Anaren Inc
DATA Datatrak Intl Inc
LCAV L C A Vision Inc
MOBE Mobility Electronics Inc
MTEX Mannatech Inc
DECK Deckers Outdoor Corp
PSYS Psychiatric Solutions
FBAY Frisco Bay Inds Ltd
ALOT Astro Med Inc
DRTK Duratek Inc
IMCO Impco Technologies Inc
GBX Greenbrier Companies Inc
VANS Vans Inc
BONT Bon Ton Stores Inc
LFL Lan Chile S A Ads
JCC Jilin Chemical Indus Ads
PTEK P T E K Holdings Inc
UTK U T E K Corp
JUNO Juno Lighting Inc

So now...Some of you are saying to yourself...What the heck is wrong with IIC???...He can't even count!!!...But give me a break...

Which sounds better???
The IIC 100 or The IIC 63???

IIC
02-17-2004, 11:02 AM
BOT VXGN

IIC
02-17-2004, 11:27 AM
BOT HBIO...I'm done today unless the NAZ goes up more...we have some resitance at 2070

IIC
02-17-2004, 02:39 PM
BOT LOUD 2.25

IIC
02-17-2004, 05:10 PM
SLD SWIR at the end 28.76.

LCAV announces pre mkt...I held
Other holdings OPTV, LOUD, VXGN, HBIO

Michaelk005
02-17-2004, 09:38 PM
I am going to pick up some loud tomorow morning if the naz sells off. I like the chart. I picked up some ATAR today at 3.24, I am going to sell at 3.35 - 3.40. Its a rebound play, look at the chart, MACD cross in two day and RSI is down down down. HAPPY trading.
ps LOOK AT LAMP

IIC
02-17-2004, 10:35 PM
I am going to pick up some loud tomorow morning if the naz sells off. I like the chart. I picked up some ATAR today at 3.24, I am going to sell at 3.35 - 3.40. Its a rebound play, look at the chart, MACD cross in two day and RSI is down down down. HAPPY trading.
ps LOOK AT LAMP


THX...I will take a look...LAMP up 40%...Don't worry, I got plenty of emails on that today...But What The Heck...14% wasn't bad!!!

Think LOUD could be the next TASR??? LOL=Laugh Out LOUD.

Been a Tuff Year...Up OK and it's been FUN...but let's get some BIG BUX going here...Best, IIC

IIC
02-18-2004, 09:13 AM
LCAV...Yippee!!!
:D :D :D
7:22AM LCA Vision beats, guides higher (LCAV) 23.19: Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.19 per share, $0.08 better than the Reuters Research consensus of $0.11; revenues rose 56.1% year/year to $20.8 mln vs the $20.2 mln consensus. Company sees Y04 EPS of $0.90-0.95, up from company's prior guidance of $0.80-0.85 and better than the Reuters consensus of $0.88.

Michaelk005
02-18-2004, 05:37 PM
Atar hits $3.33 in after hours trading, I will sell tomorow at $3.36.
Im going to Short LOUD if I have the opportunity, the trend for every 10% or over spike in price is followed by a period of 4 - 5 days of consec sell offs. Ill see how it goes.

IIC
02-18-2004, 09:01 PM
Atar hits $3.33 in after hours trading, I will sell tomorow at $3.36.
Im going to Short LOUD if I have the opportunity, the trend for every 10% or over spike in price is followed by a period of 4 - 5 days of consec sell offs. Ill see how it goes.

That makes me feel real good after my LCAV fiasco today :cry:
I SLD during the C/C...then BOT back...I HATE this stock :lol:

IIC
02-19-2004, 09:27 AM
NAZ Futures up 13.5 right now

IIC
02-19-2004, 11:17 AM
BOT CCBL

IIC
02-19-2004, 11:38 AM
SLD LOUD :D

Like GENZ and GIVN

IIC
02-19-2004, 12:09 PM
SLD VXGN

GENZ pulling an LCAV

Michaelk005
02-19-2004, 12:51 PM
Sold ATAR at $3.35. Its nice to see you sold LOUD as well. TAke a look at a stock you pointed out to me a little while ago. I know you like volume swings, AKS.. Plus one of my favorite indicators, MACD is turnign, im in for a 15 cent gain.

IIC
02-19-2004, 03:05 PM
BOT INOD on the Break

mjmilam
02-20-2004, 10:34 AM
Hi IIC,

I am relatively new to this forum but have been watching your posts for a while. I certainly appreciate the information you share with everyone and I want to learn all I can.

I have a question about the CCBL you bought yesterday. Obviously, the proposed secondary offering does not concern you. What are the conditions under which a secondary offering would keep you from buying?

Thank you,
Melody

IIC
02-20-2004, 12:00 PM
Hi IIC,

I am relatively new to this forum but have been watching your posts for a while. I certainly appreciate the information you share with everyone and I want to learn all I can.

I have a question about the CCBL you bought yesterday. Obviously, the proposed secondary offering does not concern you. What are the conditions under which a secondary offering would keep you from buying?

Thank you,
Melody


To be honest...I only because of the breakout...But I SLD everything out this morning except LCAV...IIC

Michaelk005
02-20-2004, 04:12 PM
I got hammered today with my gold stocks, but now it just means a bigger reversal. I think as long as the news with the deficit and Economy, including dollar slumping, GOld has nowhere to go but up. If companies were making huge profits two years ago when it was at $250, what the reports going to be in these years when they are at $400?

IIC
02-21-2004, 05:41 PM
Something is wrong...Here are the NAZ Advance/Decline/Unchanged numbers for yesterday...Why can't anyone get it right? I know the trend is more important than the EXACT numbers...but this is irritating...I emailed DGO 2 days ago asking where they get their numbers...NO RESPONSE...Also, I am pretty sure DGO is including Holidays in their 10 Day Oscillator...I emailed them on 1/2/04 regarding when they update because I saw one thing late on 12/31 and another late on 1/1...Actually my question was about when they update...but this morning I realized what happened...Computer glitch I guess???...But I think I confused them...IIC



Ameritrade had 1135/1899/127
Yahoo had 1189/1957/140
DailyGraphs had 1097/2022/150
Merrill Lynch had 1142/1896/129 as did CBS Marketwatch
Nasdaq.com had 1187/1928/140

IIC
02-22-2004, 12:49 PM
I think I will stay on the sidelines unless I make some small plays until I see a reversal...these are not the only indicators I use but they pretty much confirm the others:


http://tal.marketgauge.com/dvmgpro/charts/COCAD05.GIF

http://tal.marketgauge.com/dvmgpro/charts/COCAD12.GIF

mjmilam
02-23-2004, 02:30 PM
For those of you who like to short:

The Defense Department is scrapping the multibillion-dollar RAH-66 Comanche helicopter program being developed by Boeing Co. (BA.N) and United Technologies Corp. (UTX.N), government sources said on Monday. Pentagon officials plan to announce the decision at a news conference at 4:30 p.m. EST, the sources said.

Michaelk005
02-23-2004, 04:27 PM
IIC. LOOK AT LAMP. wouldve shouldve couldve, i sold at like.20 cents, over .50 today. Im kicking my own ass.
Watch gold miners for a reversal tomorow.

IIC
02-24-2004, 02:27 AM
IIC. LOOK AT LAMP. wouldve shouldve couldve, i sold at like.20 cents, over .50 today. Im kicking my own ass.
Watch gold miners for a reversal tomorow.

I never regret...Well almost never.

I'm just taking it easy right now...will exercise some patience until I like the market again. I like the looks of the Intermediate Term Indicators which are at their lowest point since at least August(The A/D and U/D Vol. Ratio)...That coupled with the Short -Term Indicators nearing bottoms soon leads me to believe that we will have a Very Good Spring again this year.

Here are some 30 day:

http://tal.marketgauge.com/dvmgpro/charts/COCAD30.GIF

Michaelk005
02-24-2004, 09:17 PM
Two thoughts... IIC can you please explain how you posted these charts, ive tried with a number of different paste methods and due to my computer illiteracy, cant post them.
I also bought ORCL today in the low $13s....EXCELLENT buy, i think ive traded this stock 100 times in my short career. Have a look at a one year chart and ride on the roller coaster of waves.... When the NAS reverses, it will jump to low - mid $14, then I'll sell, want about 8 - 10% out of it.

PS LAMP down 10% today, and loud after my shorting advise is down in after hours trading, .24cents, meaning you would have had a .50cent gain on $2.50 when I advised to short, not baddd...... :D

IIC
02-24-2004, 11:12 PM
Two thoughts... IIC can you please explain how you posted these charts, ive tried with a number of different paste methods and due to my computer illiteracy, cant post them.
I also bought ORCL today in the low $13s....EXCELLENT buy, i think ive traded this stock 100 times in my short career. Have a look at a one year chart and ride on the roller coaster of waves.... When the NAS reverses, it will jump to low - mid $14, then I'll sell, want about 8 - 10% out of it.

PS LAMP down 10% today, and loud after my shorting advise is down in after hours trading, .24cents, meaning you would have had a .50cent gain on $2.50 when I advised to short, not baddd...... :D

It is tough to short a stock that is under $5.00...I made over 10% quick on LOUD...so I was happy.

To post charts just use the IMG button above right. Not all will work...but you should have no problem if they are .gif or .jpg. When you see an image on the net that you would like to post just right click it...then left click PROPERTIES...then Copy the URL. Paste it here. You can then highlight it and click IMG above. There are other ways to do it but that's the easiest. Preview your post to see if it works...some don't.

Anway...I am just taking it easy...still watching...but I can wait. I was very tempted on NVEC today...but I was tempted on NGPS yesterday and look what happened...I think we will have a very good Spring...Best, IIC

IIC
02-24-2004, 11:18 PM
Hey, I just noticed that the charts I posted on Sunday a coupla posts back actually updated themselves here...That's pretty cool...I always thought once you grabbed an image that was it...but come to think of it, I have posted pics at other clubs and then they changed later...never thought about it before...Guess I am bored tonight.

IIC
02-25-2004, 10:10 AM
My Morning Watchlist:
BLTI ODSY HD ESRX AFCI AMLN IPXL IM AEOS CCMP DSCO XLNX MANT

IIC
02-26-2004, 02:40 AM
My take is that we will see some upward movement 2035 to 2055 and then we'll pull back hard...I am not going to trade this week...Best To All...IIC

IIC
02-26-2004, 10:15 AM
Morning Watchlist

MW DECK EASI RCKY BDY NOVN FHRX VTS OPEN
UPS RL SHFL TOY DRI FDRY UDR NSM SIVB AEM

IIC
02-27-2004, 09:59 AM
Morning Movers:
ADSK ILXO MRVL MET OSIP MEDI BE PCLN OMC PAYX EXLT NXTL JCP

IIC
02-27-2004, 10:27 AM
WIRE looks good...CAMP looks good if it can get some vol

IIC
02-29-2004, 12:30 PM
Three I will be watching this week:
CHRD SOFO SBAC

IIC
02-29-2004, 04:41 PM
SOME STOCKS I WILL BE WATCHING FOR MOVES ON VOLUME:

CHRD SOFO SBAC RBAK SHLO CAMP ENWV ASPM ASPT CPTV ENCY ERICY NT NVTL

Michaelk005
02-29-2004, 07:44 PM
I like ERICY, good movement the last few days. Ill put it on my watchlist. Watch WHT in the morning for a quick spike.

IIC
03-01-2004, 03:10 AM
Final Watchlist:
CHRD SOFO SBAC RBAK SHLO CAMP ENWV ASPM ASPT CPTV ENCY ERICY NT NVTL CULS RMTI GENR PRFT ACTG CNXT AGRa BRCM MSCC SSTI RELM IBPI TORM PETD ESMC SSNC BVEW GTI

IIC
03-01-2004, 10:12 AM
Morning Movers PHS SEPR SWY NTCT PBG MDRX FBN RBAK CULS TORM

IIC
03-01-2004, 10:20 AM
Morning Movers PHS SEPR SWY NTCT PBG MDRX FBN RBAK CULS TORM

Add TOO

IIC
03-01-2004, 10:38 AM
BOT CHRD

IIC
03-01-2004, 11:53 AM
BOT DRAX on news http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/040301/15650_1.html

tokyojoeskid
03-01-2004, 08:22 PM
whats your take on itig, I almost picked some up a while back around 4 and some change, chart looks ripe and may pick some up tomm trading around 10 now.
tjk

IIC
03-02-2004, 12:05 AM
whats your take on itig, I almost picked some up a while back around 4 and some change, chart looks ripe and may pick some up tomm trading around 10 now.
tjk

Geez...I owned that one a month or so ago...You know the old saying..."Buy what IIC sells"...looks pretty good if we get more vol...I will watch it in the morn...THX

IIC
03-02-2004, 10:08 AM
Morning Movers

PKTR FFIV EXPD CPKI MU TXN BJ

IIC
03-02-2004, 10:48 AM
BOT CPKI 18.90's

Daytrade Only

IIC
03-02-2004, 11:06 AM
whats your take on itig, I almost picked some up a while back around 4 and some change, chart looks ripe and may pick some up tomm trading around 10 now.
tjk

BOT ITIG in the 10.20's THX

tokyojoeskid
03-02-2004, 11:10 AM
i also picked som up right around there, i just woke up though arg.

IIC
03-02-2004, 04:20 PM
SLD DRAX and CPKI

Michaelk005
03-02-2004, 09:41 PM
Bad day today, but a Gold rebound tomorow, some equities to watch, DROOY WHT CDE HUGO.
IIC watch LOUD good volume the last few days, and its due for a reversal..

IIC
03-02-2004, 10:47 PM
Bad day today, but a Gold rebound tomorow, some equities to watch, DROOY WHT CDE HUGO.
IIC watch LOUD good volume the last few days, and its due for a reversal..

Well, I'll take a peek...but the market is too crazy to call right now IMO

IIC
03-03-2004, 09:50 AM
Three I will watch this morning:
ERICY ALVR LGND

IIC
03-03-2004, 10:12 AM
Morning Movers:

PAYX COGN ADEX LGND ISIS ALVR

Other possibles:
COCO ALTR BR COO

IIC
03-03-2004, 11:02 AM
BOT INVX

IIC
03-03-2004, 11:31 AM
BOT INVX
Got right back out...lucky thing too

IIC
03-04-2004, 02:36 AM
Tough call on the market direction...best to stay on the sidelines unless you want to make some quickie trades...Don't let all the hype about MAMA and IDSA make you take risks you shouldn't...Try to be patient...My feeling is that we probably will see where the market is gonna go...2150 or 1900 in the next 2 weeks...Best To All...IIC

Mr.Money
03-04-2004, 12:49 PM
TOL, IPAR among others have done very well so far today.

ESMC while not doing so well this morning may close in the $18-$19 range.

There are plenty of profitable round-trip trades to be made today in all types of stock.

Remember "opportunities multiply as they are seized" - Sun Tzu

tokyojoeskid
03-04-2004, 04:08 PM
VWPT i bought this pup two days ago at 1.43 sold it a day later at 1.60 for a nice 12% gain

flash forward to today, and its now trading at 2.20 that is over 40% I missed out on. YOWSA

tjk

igit has support wish it would pop

tokyojoeskid
03-04-2004, 07:41 PM
but it hurts but it hurts

just to look at this one up 60% today

IIC
03-04-2004, 09:04 PM
I saw a lot of nice one's today...but the volatility...WHOA!!!...I didn't buy anything but I like ADEX for a possible long term hold. IAAC was crazy today...I know I woulda gotten burned playing it so I refrained. HANS was good. I like the prospects for HLTH tomorrow.

I was encouraged the last 12 mins as the Day's High Streamer was flying...wish there had been more vol on the NAZ though.

I own 3 now...LCAV which is coming back on low vol....ITIG which is correcting...but I like it and CHRD which I BOT on Monday...I am excited about this one...take a look at this chart and the technicals below it and buy at the open if you like it:

http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=chrd,uu[w,a]daclyimy[dc][pc20!c50!c200!f][vc50][iLl14!La12,26,9!Lh39,1!Lb14!Lc20!Lf][J801963,Y]&listNum=3

Michaelk005
03-05-2004, 02:25 AM
Dam nice chart of CHRD.. I wish I would have seen this chart two weeks ago before macd crossed, picture perfect histogram pattern,, ill keep my eye on it.

IIC
03-05-2004, 02:09 PM
BOT DFC @ 10.20 a few minutes ago on the flat base B/O

tokyojoeskid
03-05-2004, 02:53 PM
bot vitx 1.60
bot vita 3.84

IIC
03-05-2004, 06:34 PM
I'll check those out Tokyo...Anyway, I BOT MSO and held it for 9 mins just before the the verdicts...That was cool...wish I had BOT puts...Hope everyone has a nice weekend.

HOLDINGS: LCAV ITIG CHRD DFC