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Peter Hansen
07-16-2006, 08:08 PM
AAPL had a nice write up in Barrons . They said that with new computers coming out before fall back to school.......sales will pick up . The new computers will run both Windows and Apple language programs. AAPL may be worth a look .......2 others that are beaten down are INTC and MSFT, I bought 08 Leaps in both. Any comments on any of these stocks......as comebacks? Thanks guys.... your thoughts would be much appreciated.

Lyehopper
07-20-2006, 09:12 AM
AAPL had a nice write up in Barrons . They said that with new computers coming out before fall back to school.......sales will pick up . The new computers will run both Windows and Apple language programs. AAPL may be worth a look .......2 others that are beaten down are INTC and MSFT, I bought 08 Leaps in both. Any comments on any of these stocks......as comebacks? Thanks guys.... your thoughts would be much appreciated.
You-da-man Pete!.... AAPL up big time this morning dude. Must have had some good numbers last night.

Peter Hansen
09-13-2006, 08:31 PM
CRIS insider buying and good China Play and APAC and MEM Good technicals!

IIC
09-13-2006, 08:33 PM
CRIS insider buying and good China Play and APAC and MEM Good technicals!

APAC does look pretty good here...Doug(IIC)

Websman
09-13-2006, 09:14 PM
I like em all.. Added to my watchlist.

Peter Hansen
09-14-2006, 05:02 PM
THLD Possible biotech takeover target ....claims 50% LAB cure rate for Pancreatic and Prostate Cancers........Pie in the Sky ......who knows? .....definitely one not for the feint of heart! ALWAYS trailing stop or regular stop for this one !

Lyehopper
09-14-2006, 10:16 PM
HUUUUGE Pete.... You holding this before the run?

Peter Hansen
09-15-2006, 08:48 AM
HUUUUGE Pete.... You holding this before the run?

Lye have to wait for pullback and watch ...missed out on THLD!

Peter Hansen
11-02-2006, 08:29 AM
Just received mailer from www.wealthdaily.net and they are promoting GOFH as the next U Tube .......a stock destined to be bought out as was U Tube by Google........he says buy less than 5 per share .......now selling for 4.50......I realize .........many of these stocks are pie in the sky ......and promoted by those who have a vested interest in it. Did anyone buy this .....and what are YOUR thoughts?

Thanx Pete

Websman
11-02-2006, 07:30 PM
Just received mailer from www.wealthdaily.net (http://www.wealthdaily.net) and they are promoting GOFH as the next U Tube .......a stock destined to be bought out as was U Tube by Google........he says buy less than 5 per share .......now selling for 4.50......I realize .........many of these stocks are pie in the sky ......and promoted by those who have a vested interest in it. Did anyone buy this .....and what are YOUR thoughts?

Thanx Pete


Pete, I couldn't help but get excited when I read the link about GoFish...and Vulcans are supposed to be unemotional.

It's hard not recognize the potential with this technology. I'm glad you brought this to our attention. I'm going to do a little more research tonight and if I like what I see, I may put in a buy order for tomorrow.

My only concern, at this point, is the fact that I couldn't get gofish.com to pull up on my laptop. I'll try it again when I get home...maybe it'll work there.

It's hard to say where the share price will go, but if it's being hyped up chances are that it'll go up whether it's worth it or not. That's why I bought SIRI the year before last. I knew it wasn't worth the price when I bought it, but I was sure the hype would get the price to where I needed it to make a good profit...and it did.

Unlike SIRI though, I can see where gofish has a lot of potential for astronomical growth. Is it all hype? I don't know, but time will tell. Those who are crazy enough to invest will either lose it all o make a fortune...or not. LOL

That's my intial thoughts...
Webs

New-born baby
11-02-2006, 07:43 PM
Online Video will be hot. Whether GOFISH is the option of choice or not remains to be seen. However, WEALTH DAILY had a contest last January 1, speculating on the price of a barrell of oil this coming Jan 1, 2007. There is $5,000 riding on it, and I'd like to win. Everyone else was putting in bids of $75, $90, $100. Mine was $55.84.

Websman
11-02-2006, 09:42 PM
Ok, so the www.gofish.com (http://www.gofish.com) website works very well...must have been my laptop or the wireless network blocking it.

It's a risky play buying an IPO like this one, but it's also very tempting.

Websman
11-02-2006, 10:33 PM
Common sense has prevailed over emotion, so I won't be buying GOFH just yet. If this thing was going to shoot straight up, it would already be above $5, but it's kind of stalled out its first few days.

I would like to keep an eye on it to figure out which way it may go. It could fall back and offer a better price. We shall soon see.

In the meantime, I'll try to find out more about their business plan and prospects.

Peter Hansen
11-02-2006, 11:25 PM
Common sense has prevailed over emotion, so I won't be buying GOFH just yet. If this thing was going to shoot straight up, it would already be above $5, but it's kind of stalled out its first few days.

I would like to keep an eye on it to figure out which way it may go. It could fall back and offer a better price. We shall soon see.

In the meantime, I'll try to find out more about their business plan and prospects.

Webs ,,,,,,I will follow it also ........this one is tricky .....and i hate to lose money

Peter Hansen
11-03-2006, 09:01 AM
GeoGlobal Resources is promoted by "Penny Oil Speculator". GGR Has made a recent oil discovery in India. The oil speculator wants 2500 per yr for their tips......much too high for me .....for stox that are dubious at best . GGR is on the AMEX and may be worth a look when she pulls back ? Good luck ......and any input on this one would be appreciated ......Thanx Pete

Websman
11-03-2006, 04:56 PM
GOFH closed down .13 today, which I consider as good news. This gives us the opportunity to do more research and get a better share price if this turns out to be a legitimate opportunity.

One thing that hurts this company right now is the fact that they IPO'd as a BB stock, rather than a Nasdaq. Of course this is still better than a Pink Sheet stock.

I'm not sure what the requirements are for a stock to be listed on the Nasdaq but I'm sure IIC does... Doug? Are you reading this? I'd love to hear your take on this stock and would value your opinion. You've been in this game longer than I have.

Websman
11-08-2006, 11:21 AM
Someone is getting burned on GOFH today... down .47.

Could still have potential, but now is not the time to enter.

ringo69
11-08-2006, 01:04 PM
I played a few picks on www.wealthdaily.net and made some cash. But their cost of services and hype is too much.

Runner
01-11-2007, 10:19 AM
I think 102 might not be a unrealistic target

New-born baby
01-11-2007, 10:20 AM
I think 102 might not be a unrealistic target

I agree. This thing is hot. It traded 105 million shares Wednesday in 6.5 hours. That's 269,239 shares per minute. I call that a hot stock.

Runner
01-11-2007, 10:24 AM
high 80's low 90's would be nice entry IMO

New-born baby
01-11-2007, 10:38 AM
high 80's low 90's would be nice entry IMO

Looking at chart, lip of cup is around $92, another support at $90. Looks pretty bullish from here.

One thing for sure--she pulls back here pretty soon. Before options expiration on Friday, Jan 19.

Runner
01-16-2007, 09:57 AM
AAPL swing trigger over last Fridays high daily chart

Peter Hansen
03-06-2007, 08:30 PM
CLWR (Clear Wire Corp) will debut tomorrow Wednesday 3/7/07 as an IPO The Underwriters are 3 Heavy Hitters.......Merrill Lynch , Morgan Stanley and JP MORGAN. When it first debuts Merrill, Morgan and Stanley will bail ......watch the stock drop from its initial offering of 23-25 ( The Big Guys will take their profits and run) This will be about half hour after offering .....then watch for first uptick .....Then this baby is ready to buy ......this scenario is common to many IPOS . Good Luck To You all !

Websman
03-06-2007, 08:49 PM
Too bad I won't be home to buy it, but I'm putting it on my watchlist.

I checked out Wimax technology about a year ago and was impressed. there is some huge potential here.

eliaskane
03-06-2007, 09:28 PM
Here's an interesting take on the CLWR IPO at seekingalpha.com (http://wireless.seekingalpha.com/article/27738). The writer thinks the company's being sold on Craig McCaw's star power, and in cities, ClearWire's competition will soon be fiber to the home. I've no dog in this fight, just thought the article pretty perceptive.

Peter Hansen
03-08-2007, 05:32 PM
CLWR a wimax stock opened today at about 27 dropped as predicted and is now about 24.62 ......It was highly touted ......what it does next is anyone's guess. I do think it has possbilities .....and it might be prudent to take a small position in it at this time !

Websman
03-08-2007, 06:32 PM
CLWR a wimax stock opened today at about 27 dropped as predicted and is now about 24.62 ......It was highly touted ......what it does next is anyone's guess. I do think it has possbilities .....and it might be prudent to take a small position in it at this time !

Nice call Pete!

The technology is intriguing, but who knows what will happen to the stock price short term. Watch it be the next Google. lol

Peter Hansen
03-11-2007, 10:26 AM
Dan Ferris of "Extreme Investing" issued a challenge for any portfolio manager of 1 Billion plus in assets to beat his Picks of 5 Stocks from 2/12/07 - 2/12/10 a period of 3 years. His picks are 1. WMT 2. HD 3. MSFT 4. JOE and 5 . WU. My picks are as follows 1. AAUK 2. BAM 3. MKL 4. SHLD and 5 WCG.
What are your picks..... do ya think you can beat Ferris or Me? Guys I think we can all learn and perhaps get some good stox out of this. It would be interesting to see "YOUR " top 5 .
Perhaps someone with better computer skills than I could set something like this up? Guys thanx for any input.

Peter

Peter Hansen
03-13-2007, 09:09 AM
Guys and Girls CAVICO (CVCP.PK) is a private , not state run infrastructure company in Vietnam . They are currently on the Pink Sheets but should be on a major exchange later in the 07 year. Their revenues , needless to say, are impressive . In 2000 2.8 million , in 2006 80 million, revenue for 07 expected at 142 Million and 160 million for 08 . They have signed contracts for infrastructure projects Tunnels, hydropower, bridges, mining, highways and urban buildings. Definitely not for the feint of heart but for about 1.32 per share .....it may pay to tuck away a few shares. Is anyone in this company?...would love to hear your feedback ........thanx !


Peter

peanuts
03-13-2007, 09:17 AM
Guys and Girls CAVICO (CVCP.PK) is a private , not state run infrastructure company in Vietnam . They are currently on the Pink Sheets but should be on a major exchange later in the 07 year. Their revenues , needless to say, are impressive . In 2000 2.8 million , in 2006 80 million, revenue for 07 expected at 142 Million and 160 million for 08 . They have signed contracts for infrastructure projects Tunnels, hydropower, bridges, mining, highways and urban buildings. Definitely not for the feint of heart but for about 1.32 per share .....it may pay to tuck away a few shares. Is anyone in this company?...would love to hear your feedback ........thanx !


Peter

Peter, I was waiting for this to come down some more! ;)

Great company, I agree completely. Now I'm afraid I'll have to buy some today just in case everyone else at MM's forum agrees with you.

peanuts
03-13-2007, 09:30 AM
There is alot of up-side potential with this in the long term, and the fundamentals support growth and they do have goals to be traded on a larger exchange.

Here's a little TA I whipped up after you posted:

http://img201.imageshack.us/img201/4978/cvcppk031307td4.png

Peter Hansen
03-13-2007, 10:56 AM
Peanuts thanx .......for the excellent graphs........as you had said ........still may require a wait period. No sense to just rush in?

riverbabe
03-13-2007, 12:29 PM
Peanuts thanx .......for the excellent graphs........as you had said ........still may require a wait period. No sense to just rush in?

I agree. I'm seeing a lot of support around the 9dma and resistance around 1.40. I have a bid in at 1.30, but am going to cancel it. I think this one we can get lower. River

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=cvcp

Peter Hansen
03-13-2007, 04:28 PM
Cavico Issued Land Usage Permit for Cavico Tower

LOS ANGELES, CA and HANOI, VIETNAM, Mar 13, 2007 (MARKET WIRE via COMTEX) -- Cavico Corporation (PINKSHEETS: CVCP), a Vietnamese company working in the fields of infrastructure development, including the construction of hydropower facilities, dams, bridges, roads, mines and urban buildings throughout Vietnam and the Pacific Rim, today announced that it has been issued a land usage permit from Hanoi People's Committee to build a 27-story high-rise tower in what will be the future financial district of Hanoi. Total investment in construction is expected to be approximately US $12.5 million.
The issuance of Land Usage Permit No. AD 493593 is the first step towards construction of the Cavico tower on the 1,389 square meter (nearly 15,000 square foot) parcel located at Pham Hung Street, My Dinh, Hanoi, Vietnam. Cavico intends to begin construction at the end of the first quarter of 2007 and expects the tower to be complete by year-end 2008.

Upon completion, Cavico will move its headquarters and subsidiaries into the tower. Company officials estimate Cavico will occupy seven floors and lease the remaining 20 floors at market rates. At current market rates, Cavico values annual lease income from the tower at approximately US $2.4 million.

The planned tower will be approximately 400 meters (1,312 feet) from the Vietnam National Conference Center, where the Asian Pacific Economic Conference (APEC) was held in 2006. This will be the future financial district of Hanoi, capital of Vietnam. Cavico Tower will be designed by RDC Design Worldwide Co., Ltd, a Singapore-based firm.

About Cavico Corporation

Founded in 2000, Cavico is a major infrastructure construction, infrastructure investment and natural resources conglomerate headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam. Cavico is highly respected for its core competency in the construction of mission-critical infrastructure including hydroelectric plants, highways, bridges, tunnels and urban community developments. One of the company's primary competitive advantages is its ability to nurture a project "from concept through completion" with a vertical portfolio of interrelated investment, permitting, design, construction management and facility maintenance services. Cavico's project partners include top multi-national corporations and government organizations. The company employs more than 3,000 people. For more information about Cavico, please refer to the company's website, http://www.cavicocorp.com.

A profile for investors can be accessed at

Peter Hansen
03-13-2007, 05:46 PM
Guys and girls .........after a steep sell off ..........CLWR may reverse here the hammer candlestick seems to indicate that .........any good chart readers out there wish to comment on this one?

Websman
03-14-2007, 10:24 PM
How low will it go???

Peter Hansen
03-15-2007, 08:06 AM
Webs who knows how low CLWR can go ......they will probably burn through that IPO money faster than a drunken sailor in a Go Go bar LOL. Great technology but I see another sirius satellite (SIRI) stock here . Basically they will be stuck in the mud for a long time !

Peter Hansen
04-03-2007, 09:19 AM
Jones Soda according to the fundamentals appears to be an accident waiting to happen ,,,,,High, overvalued $22.35 compared to its real worth of $6.56, 80 PE , so so 17% growth rate......but VECTOR VEST still gives it a buy with a 22% stoploss........ Perhaps with warmer weather sales will accelerate? It was up over 10% yesterday ......I can't figure it out .......Anyone know why this is such a hot, almost cult like stock?

IIC
04-03-2007, 09:55 AM
Jones Soda according to the fundamentals appears to be an accident waiting to happen ,,,,,High, overvalued $22.35 compared to its real worth of $6.56, 80 PE , so so 17% growth rate......but VECTOR VEST still gives it a buy with a 22% stoploss........ Perhaps with warmer weather sales will accelerate? It was up over 10% yesterday ......I can't figure it out .......Anyone know why this is such a hot, almost cult like stock?


Well...I never dreamed that HANS would go up as much as it did either...I bot it at 15 sold at 25 and it goes to 200.

I always thot that Jones products were overpriced (HANS soda is always on sale)...But I believe Jones is now sold at Target

Peter Hansen
04-03-2007, 10:13 AM
IIC Thanks ....yes target is a formidable store .....but there has to be more to it than that ?

Websman
04-03-2007, 05:20 PM
TZOO didn't make any sense either. I think I'll join the party and buy some of this one on a pullback.

IIC
04-03-2007, 10:44 PM
TZOO didn't make any sense either. I think I'll join the party and buy some of this one on a pullback.

I still have not found even one person who actually booked anything thru TZOO

spikefader
04-03-2007, 10:51 PM
TZOO didn't make any sense either. I think I'll join the party and buy some of this one on a pullback.Next pullback will be a 2 down by my count. Today was a Spike 8 buy-the-open play t' risk 4% and target 40%.

jiesen
04-03-2007, 11:12 PM
I still have not found even one person who actually booked anything thru TZOO

I keep looking every once in a while, when I plan a trip... but there's never a good deal for the actual flight I need. :(

peanuts
04-03-2007, 11:15 PM
I still have not found even one person who actually booked anything thru TZOO

I once booked a Vegas vacation thru them. I haven't used them since ;)

Hey, I did take this picture of one of your ex's while I was there:
http://slantmouth.com/articles/shutdown/images/jerseyCityProstitute.jpg

I can't remember how many times that I had to say, "No, I'm already having a good time"

IIC
04-03-2007, 11:30 PM
Well...there is something to be said about TZOO...It was # 1 on the second IIC 100 list...Let's take a walk back in time:

November 6, 2004

TZOO TASR JUPM CLCT URBN CWTR RIMM SNDA TXU NAVR ULCM KEYW ALDN BLT UPL GOOG SHFL BYD EAGL GDP LSCP WLK POT BLUD UTIW NIKU PMTI ACAP VTIV GGC MYS CTSH WIT YHOO XXIA BEIQ TIBX KWK BTU RRC AVO XPRSA VIP CRDN VNBC INFY ISSX MATR MBT EBAY UNT HDWR JOYG GBX OI VRNT XTO NUCO KFY GRP TACT RIG ICPT SIGM VTS MGRC SIMG LFB VCLK RSAS ARTC PNFP EOC RIO MTXX NCI WITS DXYN LIFC MTW AMHC KCI SSYS BRCD CMI CELG TEX DRIV EPIC MALL GMRK KFRC IMAX HTBK BORL RDWR CHE MSCC MNST EPL

IIC
04-04-2007, 01:05 AM
I once booked a Vegas vacation thru them. I haven't used them since ;)

Hey, I did take this picture of one of your ex's while I was there:
http://slantmouth.com/articles/shutdown/images/jerseyCityProstitute.jpg

I can't remember how many times that I had to say, "No, I'm already having a good time"



Peanuts...Nobody here at this Forum is stupid...They all know you are tryin' to pass your girlfriend off as one of my Ex's...LOL

New-born baby
04-04-2007, 07:04 AM
Here's the reason, Pete:
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070402/jones_soda_mover.html?.v=1

WALMART, not Target, is the mover, imho. And this is nothing but pure spec buying here. Lots of emotion (ie. greed) moving Jones at this time. She retests the $20.22 marker fairly soon, imho, and perhaps even fills those gaps she made the last two days.

skiracer
04-04-2007, 07:17 AM
Peanuts...Nobody here at this Forum is stupid...They all know you are tryin' to pass your girlfriend off as one of my Ex's...LOL

I think this looks like a guy in drag whose had implants in his lips and breasts.

riverbabe
04-04-2007, 09:56 AM
I think this looks like a guy in drag whose had implants in his lips and breasts.

DUH!!!!
:D River

Tatnic
04-04-2007, 10:53 AM
Peanuts...Nobody here at this Forum is stupid...They all know you are tryin' to pass your girlfriend off as one of my Ex's...LOL

If that guy is a girl then I'm a gorrilla....nice hooters for a guy though.

Websman
04-04-2007, 04:55 PM
Here's the reason, Pete:
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070402/jones_soda_mover.html?.v=1

WALMART, not Target, is the mover, imho. And this is nothing but pure spec buying here. Lots of emotion (ie. greed) moving Jones at this time. She retests the $20.22 marker fairly soon, imho, and perhaps even fills those gaps she made the last two days.


If it retest's those levels, I'm a buyer!

New-born baby
04-04-2007, 10:19 PM
If it retest's those levels, I'm a buyer!

Get yer money ready, Mr. Websman. You are going to get your wish. Topping tail on today's candle suggests a pullback Thursday.

Peter Hansen
04-11-2007, 08:53 AM
Ladies and gentlemen this is my First post in my thread entitled PETE'S MONEY MAKERS. I would first like to thank Mr Marketplace for providing this forum which allows for the free exchange of ideas about stocks. Hopefully I can live up to the Post's Name Sake and provide all with some money making opportunities!

peanuts
04-11-2007, 09:00 AM
I'm excited for this thread, Peter. Your free ideas are pretty good. In fact, you are currently in 4th place on the yearly tracking of the POTW results. Your stock-picking has increased your portfolio value by 22.47% in just 14 weeks time. Keep that up, and you'll more than double your money in a year's time.

I can't wait to read your upcoming stock ideas. :)

jiesen
04-11-2007, 09:58 AM
and I hope to read about a lot of winners here! Pete H is HUGE!!!

Peter Hansen
04-11-2007, 10:24 AM
Awhile back Dan Ferris of Extreme Value Newsletter issiued a challenge for all Billion Dollar Portfolio Mgrs to submit 5 stocks that thought would outperform his 5 picks between 2/12/07 - 2/10/10 . Not one manager accepted. I threw my hat in the ring (Unofficially of course) . I will list his picks and my picks and there performance from the 2/12/07 date 4/10/07. I am currently ahead....but there is a long way to go.

Hypothetical 50K Portfolios were set up allocating 10K to each of the 5 stocks. The portfolios and results as of 4/10/07 area as follows my picks

Last Updated : 8:10 AM on 04/11/07



Value: 54,683.22 Gain/Loss: +4,683.22 (+9.37%) Today: +190.95 (+0.35

Symbol Shares Last/NAV Net Change Pur. Price Gain/Loss Value Headlines Charts Edit
AAUK 419.6391 27.40 +0.30 23.83 +1,498.11 11,498.11
BAM 200.7226 55.23 -0.31 49.82 +1,085.91 11,085.91
MKL 20.2429 481.21 -3.73 494.00 -258.91 9,741.09
SHLD 55.1329 190.27 +3.37 181.38 +490.13 10,490.14
WCG 130.719 90.79 +0.13 76.50 +1,867.97 11,867.98

Dan's Picks

Value: 49,714.65 Gain/Loss: -285.35 (-0.57%) Today: +51.28 (+0.10%)



Symbol Shares Last/NAV Net Change Pur. Price Gain/Loss Value Headlines Charts Edit
HD 242.7184 38.23 +0.15 41.20 -720.87 9,279.12
JOE 185.0139 54.05 +0.63 54.05 0.00 10,000.00
MSFT 346.7406 28.40 -0.17 28.84 -152.57 9,847.43
WMT 209.468 47.94 -0.53 47.74 +41.89 10,041.90
WU 455.1661 23.17 +0.15 21.97 +546.20 10,546.20

Websman
04-11-2007, 05:00 PM
The VTP inner circle approves of this thread.

Bring on the huge picks Pete!

Peter Hansen
04-11-2007, 08:35 PM
Annaly Capital Management (NLY) tends to be linked with other mortgage companies because of the Subprime Crisis . It is different from the others because it does NOT originate mortgages. It makes money from the spread between short term interest rates and mortgage rates, a relativlely safe business. If the spread widens NLY will make more money. The company has almost 500 million in equity . NLY has a value of 27.31 compared to its recent price of 15.55. and a PE of 14.95. This represents an undrvalued stock with great possibility for future gains .......I Like it!

billyjoe
04-11-2007, 09:33 PM
Pete,
You wouldn't happen to have a list of mortgage companies that will be effected vs. those that won't ? It seems as though those being unfairly linked will be excellent long term investments.

------------billyjoe

spikefader
04-11-2007, 09:36 PM
Ladies and gentlemen this is my First post in my thread entitled PETE'S MONEY MAKERS. I would first like to thank Mr Marketplace for providing this forum which allows for the free exchange of ideas about stocks. Hopefully I can live up to the Post's Name Sake and provide all with some money making opportunities!
I'm bookmarking this thread! Great t' see yer own space on the Web to share yer brilliant trade ideas!

Tatnic
04-12-2007, 08:53 AM
Awhile back Dan Ferris of Extreme Value Newsletter issiued a challenge for all Billion Dollar Portfolio Mgrs to submit 5 stocks that thought would outperform his 5 picks between 2/12/07 - 2/10/10 . Not one manager accepted. I threw my hat in the ring (Unofficially of course) . I will list his picks and my picks and there performance from the 2/12/07 date 4/10/07. I am currently ahead....but there is a long way to go.

Hypothetical 50K Portfolios were set up allocating 10K to each of the 5 stocks. The portfolios and results as of 4/10/07 area as follows my picks

Last Updated : 8:10 AM on 04/11/07



Value: 54,683.22 Gain/Loss: +4,683.22 (+9.37%) Today: +190.95 (+0.35

Symbol Shares Last/NAV Net Change Pur. Price Gain/Loss Value Headlines Charts Edit
AAUK 419.6391 27.40 +0.30 23.83 +1,498.11 11,498.11
BAM 200.7226 55.23 -0.31 49.82 +1,085.91 11,085.91
MKL 20.2429 481.21 -3.73 494.00 -258.91 9,741.09
SHLD 55.1329 190.27 +3.37 181.38 +490.13 10,490.14
WCG 130.719 90.79 +0.13 76.50 +1,867.97 11,867.98

Dan's Picks

Value: 49,714.65 Gain/Loss: -285.35 (-0.57%) Today: +51.28 (+0.10%)



Symbol Shares Last/NAV Net Change Pur. Price Gain/Loss Value Headlines Charts Edit
HD 242.7184 38.23 +0.15 41.20 -720.87 9,279.12
JOE 185.0139 54.05 +0.63 54.05 0.00 10,000.00
MSFT 346.7406 28.40 -0.17 28.84 -152.57 9,847.43
WMT 209.468 47.94 -0.53 47.74 +41.89 10,041.90
WU 455.1661 23.17 +0.15 21.97 +546.20 10,546.20

I remember his list...and remember disliking it. Home depot? microshit? Give me a break.

Here's some value stocks I found that I like (remember, "value" is a subjective term):

from an older list, late last year: ach, npsn, cga.

from a newer list: esgr, npsn, ach, cgv, e, tti, icon.

out of all of those, I own ach. These may not fit your or anyone elses' definition of value stocks, but I tend to look at things in a relative manner, ie relatively low p/b with a decent upside potential. Dividends also help to cushion some blows.

peanuts
04-12-2007, 08:32 PM
Annaly Capital Management (NLY) tends to be linked with other mortgage companies because of the Subprime Crisis . It is different from the others because it does NOT originate mortgages. It makes money from the spread between short term interest rates and mortgage rates, a relativlely safe business. If the spread widens NLY will make more money. The company has almost 500 million in equity . NLY has a value of 27.31 compared to its recent price of 15.55. and a PE of 14.95. This represents an undrvalued stock with great possibility for future gains .......I Like it!

WOW Peter.... just wait until tomorrow!!!! Excellent! :cool:

Websman
04-12-2007, 09:49 PM
Pete,
Check out PDGT.PK I believe this one has real potential.

http://www.paradigmtactical.com/

mrmarket
04-12-2007, 10:33 PM
Go get em Pete...your analysis in the past has been very thorough and insightful...I look forward to reading more. Nice to have more fundy guys aboard.

spikefader
04-13-2007, 10:56 AM
Nice call on NLY Pete; thread off to a great start! :)

Peter Hansen
04-14-2007, 08:32 AM
With mortgage companies falling faster than a sailor's skivvies at the local bordello ..WHY another mortgage company? Delta Financial Corporation (DFC) may be different . DFC has made loans that are all cash out or debtconsolidation equity loans. More than 95% of its mortgages are secured by mortgages on 1 to 4 family residential properties. About 86% of Delta's loans in 2006 were fixed rate loans. Syndey Miller the founder and his family owns 1/3 of all outstanding shares. When a person has that much of his own money in the stock .........that tells me something. The price $8.22 per share is less than its current value of $14.80 according to Vector Vest. It has a forcasted Earnings Growth Rate of 19% , an eye popping PE of 6.04 and what really impresses me the most is an Earnings Yield of 16.55!! (Anything over 5 is considered good) I dont think DFC will be at $8.22 for long!

skiracer
04-14-2007, 10:21 AM
With mortgage companies falling faster than a sailor's skivvies at the local bordello ..WHY another mortgage company? Delta Financial Corporation (DFC) may be different . DFC has made loans that are all cash out or debtconsolidation equity loans. More than 95% of its mortgages are secured by mortgages on 1 to 4 family residential properties. About 86% of Delta's loans in 2006 were fixed rate loans. Syndey Miller the founder and his family owns 1/3 of all outstanding shares. When a person has that much of his own money in the stock .........that tells me something. The price $8.22 per share is less than its current value of $14.80 according to Vector Vest. It has a forcasted Earnings Growth Rate of 19% , an eye popping PE of 6.04 and what really impresses me the most is an Earnings Yield of 16.55!! (Anything over 5 is considered good) I dont think DFC will be at $8.22 for long!

Pete,
I always read your posts for worthwhile leads. Great that your finally posting on your own thread. I took a look at both the daily and weekly charts for DFC and the charts don't forecast anything that looks like up to me right now. I think this stock could run farther down from looking at the charts. One of my favorite scans is a 52 week low search that I run with a combination of other factors looking for stocks that have hit bottom after a long slide down and are now prepping for turning up and making the right side of their cups. I like to look for institutional accumulation. When this is increasing it is a fair indication that they are getting in at a good level. I would like to see it base for awhile more here and to show me that it is starting to turn up. I like to catch them right there. I also like to look into the fundamentals to see that whatever it was that caused that big slide down is done or rectified. This stock looks to be near a bottom and there is pretty good institutional accumulation happening of late. I wouldn't buy it right here but I would definitely put it on my watchlist for this type of chart pattern for consideration once I see what I'm looking for begin to happen.
Good luck with the thread.

Lyehopper
04-14-2007, 10:47 AM
Hey Pete.... I like the thread. I'll be sure to read it regularly....

Karel
04-14-2007, 10:50 AM
And the financials seem to be open to interpretation, to put it mildly:
http://preview.tinyurl.com/2ear7o

Regards,

Karel

Peter Hansen
04-14-2007, 03:15 PM
Thanks for words of encouragement.....Some of the stocks I may comment on are of course speculative in nature .......and your input on any of the stocks mentioned is invaluable to me as well as others. I would say many cooks make the broth that much more tasteful and there can never be too many cooks LOL ........Thanx all for for your comments!

Peter Hansen
04-14-2007, 03:33 PM
CIPH Ciphergen is a medical diagnostic equipment maker, and the key areas of concern are Ovarian Cancer and PAD Peripheral Artery Disease detection. I like the fact that CIPH partnered with Quest Diagnostics, a company which generated more than 5.5 billion in sales and has grown to a 9 billion dollar company . Quest owns 6 million shares of CIPH and that represents 17% of all CIPH shares. Ciph is sitting on 17 million in cash, which is huge for a company with a 51 million dollar cap. Ciph also has 20 million in current assets and has only 7 million in current liabilities. On 3/5/07 it completed initial testing of its cancer screening. It identified 85% of the cancer cases while the average testing from other companies is 33%. In August 07 they will disclose the FULL results from a much larger test of its diagnostic equipment. Fridays close was $1.34 .....could it be time to "Load Up The Truck" .......What say You?

skiracer
04-14-2007, 03:50 PM
Unless you're resigned to leaving the money sit for awhile in a bioteck company betting on the results of it's trial I don't see anything in either the daily or weekly charts that grabs me. Institutional distribution, selling, has been on the increase with about 9% of the institutional holdings sold off recently. That big cash base isn't from sales and earnings. Their sitting on someone elses invested money. I don't see it.

billyjoe
04-14-2007, 06:22 PM
Pete,
I think NLY is the best bet. Bucking the trend big time and on the verge of a 52 week high vs. DFC which is feeling the wrath of sub prime whether deserved or not. When the recovery comes I'd rather be in NLY's shoes.

-------------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
04-15-2007, 11:09 AM
IDSY I.D.Systems Incorporated ($13.50 close on 4/13/07) is an RFID company. An RFID is a small object that can be incorporated into a product , animal , or a person. RFID tags contain silicon chips and antennas to enable them to receive and respond to Radio-frequency queries from an RFID transceiver. Passive tags require no power and can read from 33 feet away, active tags require power and can read from 330 feet away.
IDSY has formed a strategic partnership with MICROSOFT . They ranked 147 in the 2005 DeLoitte Technology Fast 500. Their revenues over last 5 years have been over 1,354%. IDSY has partnerships with Microsoft, Wal-Mart ,Ford Motors, U.S.Postal Service, Trasnsportation Security Ad, Boeing, Kimberly-Clark, Kraft Foods , J&J, Gillette, Coors, and they are in a pilot system with Avis rent a car, and they are working with Union Pacific Railroad and FMC corporation with a tracking pilot which reports in real time location and status of trains carrying hazardous , high value chemicals.
Vector Vest says it has a current value of 22.21 which means it is UNDERVALUED compared to its price of 13.50. P/E is 18.49, E/Y is 5.41 and Earnings Growth is 34% annualized . I had this stock when it was much higher ..it went down and my stop kicked me out for a small loss......it looks fairly priced now. Interesting company at an attractive price ......my question for the CHART PEOPLE is.... does it look like time to buy again ? Thanx for any input on this one !

Peter Hansen
04-15-2007, 03:27 PM
IRISA (IRS)... I have 2 words for you "BUY IT". Grab a bottle of your favorite Sangria, or young Chica ....better yet both ...kick back and listen!
Some of the most valuable land in Buenos Aires Argentina is in Santa Maria del Plata. There within lies a 173 acre parcel of prime land a stone's throw away from Puerto Madiero a mostly sold out hotspot. IRISA just happens to own that fabulous piece of land .......the whole enchilada...all 173 acres. Very sweet indeed. The land could support 7.5 million square feet of prime development at $167-$233 per square foot, which happens to be TWICE the market cap of the company. What I really like is that this EXCLUDES IRISA'S portfolio of existing office space, shopping centers and luxury hotels in Brazil and Venezuela. This amounts to getting the land gratis.
What about the management ?.....I'm glad you asked. One of the smartest investors in South America , a Mr Eduardo Elsztain is at the helm of this company, and he and his family own a sizeable portion of the company.
Sure there are some worries about Argentina...but as in life....there are NO guarantees. I own it and have made a profit of 10.75% in 30 days ....and I suspect this is just the beginning.
Vector Vest has its current value at $23.14 compared to its Friday 4/13/07 close of $19.10 an UNDERVALUED stock! It has a forecasted growth rate of 23% a P/E of 19.69, E/Y of 5.08, and a Sales Growth rate of 57% per year. Needles to say the numbers speak for themselves. IMHO I think you would be foolish to pass this one up . No pun intended, but "IRS" is kind of appropriate for this time of the year !

Peter Hansen
04-16-2007, 08:47 PM
ADL 3.99 , ONT $2.50 and CIPH $1.40..........haven't done much research on these and they may be overextended .......but then again, they are momentum plays !

skiracer
04-16-2007, 09:31 PM
ADL 3.99 , ONT $2.50 and CIPH $1.40..........haven't done much research on these and they may be overextended .......but then again, they are momentum plays !

Pete,
I put ONT on my stockcharts chartlist yesterday. Where did you find it. I've been nibbling on it for awhile now and expect big things from it. I'm up almost 1 point on the trade. I'm waiting for a pullback to the 2/2.25 range for another buy. Check my thread and click on the link at my thread to view my chartlist over at stockcharts.

New-born baby
04-16-2007, 09:41 PM
IRISA (IRS)... I have 2 words for you "BUY IT". Grab a bottle of your favorite Sangria, or young Chica ....better yet both ...kick back and listen!
Some of the most valuable land in Buenos Aires Argentina is in Santa Maria del Plata. There within lies a 173 acre parcel of prime land a stone's throw away from Puerto Madiero a mostly sold out hotspot. IRISA just happens to own that fabulous piece of land .......the whole enchilada...all 173 acres. Very sweet indeed. The land could support 7.5 million square feet of prime development at $167-$233 per square foot, which happens to be TWICE the market cap of the company. What I really like is that this EXCLUDES IRISA'S portfolio of existing office space, shopping centers and luxury hotels in Brazil and Venezuela. This amounts to getting the land gratis.
What about the management ?.....I'm glad you asked. One of the smartest investors in South America , a Mr Eduardo Elsztain is at the helm of this company, and he and his family own a sizeable portion of the company.
Sure there are some worries about Argentina...but as in life....there are NO guarantees. I own it and have made a profit of 10.75% in 30 days ....and I suspect this is just the beginning.
Vector Vest has its current value at $23.14 compared to its Friday 4/13/07 close of $19.10 an UNDERVALUED stock! It has a forecasted growth rate of 23% a P/E of 19.69, E/Y of 5.08, and a Sales Growth rate of 57% per year. Needles to say the numbers speak for themselves. IMHO I think you would be foolish to pass this one up . No pun intended, but "IRS" is kind of appropriate for this time of the year !

Just checked the chart on IRS. . . looks good to some $32+. Not bad for a $19 stock. YEAH!

Peter Hansen
04-17-2007, 08:44 AM
Ski I receive many free emails and some paid newsletters .I forgot where ONI came from. CHECK this STOCK OUT .The following is from www.smartselected.com What are your thoughts on this one?

CKRH is "GUARANTEED" by Smart Selected to "TAKE OFF" this week. (I have heard that before LOL ) The reasons are as follows It is trading near its 52 week low and EVERYTIME it has traded near its 52 week low it has bounced up wards of 100%. Look at this chart and let me know WHAT you think . Maybe we all can make a few coins on this one?

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=ckrh&sid=0&o_symb=ckrh

It was also featured on CNBC view the clip here:

http://stream01.livemansion.com/cnbc.html

Karel
04-17-2007, 08:59 AM
Ski I receive many free emails and some paid newsletters .I forgot where ONI came from. CHECK this STOCK OUT .The following is from www.smartselected.com What are your thoughts on this one?

CKRH is "GUARANTEED" by Smart Selected to "TAKE OFF" this week. (I have heard that before LOL ) The reasons are as follows It is trading near its 52 week low and EVERYTIME it has traded near its 52 week low it has bounced up wards of 100%. Look at this chart and let me know WHAT you think . Maybe we all can make a few coins on this one?

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=ckrh&sid=0&o_symb=ckrh

It was also featured on CNBC view the clip here:

http://stream01.livemansion.com/cnbc.html
Isn't the problem to call the 52 week low? ;) And in case they mean that the current 52 week low is a support level for this stock, they are talking nonsense. I really think this is the wrong kind of stock to even mention.

Regards,

Karel

Peter Hansen
04-17-2007, 09:53 AM
Isn't the problem to call the 52 week low? ;) And in case they mean that the current 52 week low is a support level for this stock, they are talking nonsense. I really think this is the wrong kind of stock to even mention.

Regards,

Karel

Karel I did not buy this one ....I generally dont buy these penny stocks....but I did throw it out for some feedback? watch the video if ya geta chance , it is interesting !

Peter Hansen
04-17-2007, 02:26 PM
In 1988, at the age of 28, Murray Edwards put 100K into a tiny Canadian Oil Company ,and he gained control. Fast forward to 2007 and that company Canadian Natural Resources ( CNQ ) is currently worth 26 billion. Murray is one sharp cookie ......and I think you would be ill advised to bet against him. Murray owns a 2% share in CNQ and this represents over a 500 million stake in his company CNQ owns Billions in recoverable oil & gas reserves in Western Canada, the North Sea and off the coast of Africa. Its biggest project is the "Horizon Sands Oil Project", the 5th largest oil recovery projsect in the world. The Project is located in the tar sands of Alberta Canada with a potential for BILLIONS of barrels of oil . Mr Edwards has undertaken this project all on his own , and it is half complete with light synthetic crude expected to begin flowing in the latter half of 2008 . Murray makes 17% annual after tax return on Horizon with oil at 35/barrel, and with oil now at about 64 per barrel , it is evident that he is not dependent on higher oil prices. Major oil companies are "Sniffing" around and CNQ would be an ideal takeover target.
Vector Vest says the company is UNDERVALUED at its Monday 4/16/07 close price $59.89 , and its current value should be $102.27. Its P/E is 15.80, an Earnings yield of 6.33, and an annual Earnings Growth Rate of 27%.
I purchased CNQ 54 days ago and I am currently up 16% . This is not a quick trade ...but do tuck this Warren Buffet Of Energy stock away for you and your children!

billyjoe
04-19-2007, 02:02 PM
Pete,
I bought NLY today @16.02. Your comments along with more research helped me make the decision. Was going to sell AAPL and just trade into NLY but ended up keeping AAPL also. I have a track record of selling a bit too early. Thanks. I've seen projections over $50 for NLY's evaluation.Hope they're correct.

---------------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
04-20-2007, 08:14 AM
I live in New Jersey and have been to Six Flags Great Adventure Theme park on numerous occasions when the children were younger ....great fun place. I no longer go to Six Flags ,but now my thrill ride is limited to an occasional Lap Dance at a local Go Go emporium LOL.
Fundamentally Six Flags is LOUSY, according to Vector Vest its price is overvalued at 3/19/07 close of $5.88 compared its current value of $4.69. Its PE is -6.63 and Its EY is -15.54 , however, on a more positive note its Earnings Growth Rate is 15% and its sales growth rate over the last 12 months is (Hang on to your Hats ) 999% WOW.
Six Flags operates 39 regional amusement theme and water parks , including 16 of the 50 highest attendance theme parks in North America , the LARGEST paid admission park in MEXICO ( They may sneak into the US for free...but they will pay for Six Flags in Mexico) and 7 theme parks in Europe .
Six Flags sits on 6,000 prime acres of land and may be worth as much as 1.5 Billion . Six Flags has NOT made a profit since 1998, and its share price has dropped over 85% to $5.88 (4/19/07. Fortunately a NEW management team took over last year and I like what I see and hear . Entrepreneur Dan Snyder is a marketing genius. When in his twenties he started Snyder communications he sold it seven years ago for 2 billion, after that he purchased the Washington Redskins, and since his purchase earnings before interest, taxes, and amortization is up triple! Snyder hired Mark Shapiro former #2 man at ESPN as the New President and CEO. I saw Mark on CNBC , he looks like a real dynamo ,and I am sure he will bring success to the company. He has also hired a team of super individuals to assist him in the six flags turnaround.
With the summer coming and with such a team of talented individuals, I think Six Flags will rise from the ashes . Snyder and Shapiro are definitely a team you DON'T wish to bet against . At $5.88 SIX is a bargain !

jiesen
04-20-2007, 10:55 AM
Pete, I like what you're saying, and it's hard to not like SIX at $6. Bill Gates was pretty heavily into this one a few years back, even. But like you said, they are losing a lot of money still, and as they are selling off major assets to pay off creditors, that could very well continue until there's nothing left. But, assuming they do turn the ship around, and manage to break even relatively soon, they are sitting on a billion or two in real estate, and have a market cap of only a half billion. So if only for the RE, this one is a good value here. Now if they fix the business, that's just cream on top! But it is essential they at least stop losing money soon. Can you trust Dan & Mark to do that? If so, buy SIX!

jiesen
04-20-2007, 11:08 AM
maybe I'll hold off on that buy recommendation. I was using the Yahoo! financials to figure SIX's proprety value, which was stated as $2B for EOY 2006 on Yahoo! However, in the actual Annual report, they state a property value of only $205M, about 90% less! The lesson here is to always double check anything you see on Yahoo! before you make an investment decision based on it. These numbers are often incorrect. I knew the property value should have decreased somewhat, as they sold 7 parks, and had a total of 27 at one point... so I didn't think that meant a 90% haircut, but maybe it did!

Also, from the 10k:

http://biz.yahoo.com/e/070316/six10-k.html

Year ended December 31, 2006 vs. Year ended December 31, 2005
Revenue. Revenue in 2006 totaled $945.7 million compared to $956.8 million for 2005, representing a 1.2% decrease.

Don't know where you got the 999% sales increase, Pete, but it doesn't seem to jive with the report.

Suddenly SIX doesn't seem as attractive to me. It's still cheap, but probably for good reason.

Peter Hansen
04-20-2007, 08:25 PM
Jie the 999% sales growth figure was gotten from Vector Vest .....I just took their figure . As you had said , "Can You Trust Dan and Mark?" These men are sharp as they come and know their craft well ....but can they pull it out? ......no one really knows for sure .....but somtimes ya have to go by gut instinct ...and go for it . Obviously it is a spec stock .......I did buy a small position .....and I am using a 25% Trailing Stock loss.......I normally use an 8-10% stop loss on more conservative stocks!

billyjoe
04-20-2007, 08:56 PM
Pete,
Six Flags desperately wanted to sell their parks to Cedar Fair (FUN) but at the time wouldn't sell piecemeal and Cedar Fair considered several of SIX's parks to be more of a liability than an asset, especially the one in or near New Orleans. In '06 FUN instead purchased 5 Paramount parks for about 1.25 billion. FUN did purchase one SIX park, Geauga Lake I think in '04 and it was in nasty shape at that time when I visited. Their whole thing seems to be riding on real estate evaluation. Cramer likes SIX based on RE and his fondness for Shapiro and Snyder's business acumen.

--------------billyjoe

Tatnic
04-21-2007, 08:23 AM
I live in New Jersey and have been to Six Flags Great Adventure Theme park on numerous occasions when the children were younger ....great fun place. I no longer go to Six Flags ,but now my thrill ride is limited to an occasional Lap Dance at a local Go Go emporium LOL.
Fundamentally Six Flags is LOUSY, according to Vector Vest its price is overvalued at 3/19/07 close of $5.88 compared its current value of $4.69. Its PE is -6.63 and Its EY is -15.54 , however, on a more positive note its Earnings Growth Rate is 15% and its sales growth rate over the last 12 months is (Hang on to your Hats ) 999% WOW.
Six Flags operates 39 regional amusement theme and water parks , including 16 of the 50 highest attendance theme parks in North America , the LARGEST paid admission park in MEXICO ( They may sneak into the US for free...but they will pay for Six Flags in Mexico) and 7 theme parks in Europe .
Six Flags sits on 6,000 prime acres of land and may be worth as much as 1.5 Billion . Six Flags has NOT made a profit since 1998, and its share price has dropped over 85% to $5.88 (4/19/07. Fortunately a NEW management team took over last year and I like what I see and hear . Entrepreneur Dan Snyder is a marketing genius. When in his twenties he started Snyder communications he sold it seven years ago for 2 billion, after that he purchased the Washington Redskins, and since his purchase earnings before interest, taxes, and amortization is up triple! Snyder hired Mark Shapiro former #2 man at ESPN as the New President and CEO. I saw Mark on CNBC , he looks like a real dynamo ,and I am sure he will bring success to the company. He has also hired a team of super individuals to assist him in the six flags turnaround.
With the summer coming and with such a team of talented individuals, I think Six Flags will rise from the ashes . Snyder and Shapiro are definitely a team you DON'T wish to bet against . At $5.88 SIX is a bargain !

By my eye, this company has a negative book value (this is NOT good) and has obviously been a short over the past decade (why can't I find these?)....but the horse has already left the barn. I'm guessing these parks have suffered immensely in terms of a lack of maintenance, so if anyone were going to buy them they'd have to basically start from scratch rebuilding. That's a huge project that marketing alone can not even begin to help. No amount of marketing savvy will briing people in if the rides and infrastructure look shoddy and dangerous.

The only reason to invest at these levels would be for a turn-around play. If you are convinced that the new management is brilliant and that they've done similar turn-arounds, ie infrastructure replacements and that they paid a rock bottom price, then go for it. Other than that, you're just gonna lose money or at best, it will be dead money for a few years. Just my thoughts.

skiracer
04-21-2007, 01:29 PM
Ski I receive many free emails and some paid newsletters .I forgot where ONI came from. CHECK this STOCK OUT .The following is from www.smartselected.com (http://www.smartselected.com) What are your thoughts on this one?

CKRH is "GUARANTEED" by Smart Selected to "TAKE OFF" this week. (I have heard that before LOL ) The reasons are as follows It is trading near its 52 week low and EVERYTIME it has traded near its 52 week low it has bounced up wards of 100%. Look at this chart and let me know WHAT you think . Maybe we all can make a few coins on this one?

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=ckrh&sid=0&o_symb=ckrh

It was also featured on CNBC view the clip here:

http://stream01.livemansion.com/cnbc.html


Pete,
Not my cup of tea. The chart looks to be a descending triangle pattern. Not to bullish in my opinion. Keep em coming though. That's what it's all about.

http://img266.imageshack.us/img266/8616/ckrhcy1.png (http://imageshack.us)

Peter Hansen
04-21-2007, 08:52 PM
Pete,
Not my cup of tea. The chart looks to be a descending triangle pattern. Not to bullish in my opinion. Keep em coming though. That's what it's all about.

http://img266.imageshack.us/img266/8616/ckrhcy1.png (http://imageshack.us)

Ski this is why I POST ..hopefully we can all learn and perhaps in the process make a few dollars. CKRH from your charts does not look to healthy ..I will monitor it and see what happens

skiracer
04-21-2007, 09:03 PM
Ski this is why I POST ..hopefully we can all learn and perhaps in the process make a few dollars. CKRH from your charts does not look to healthy ..I will monitor it and see what happens

I'm glad you feel that way Pete. Everything I say is always meant in a positive manner even if we disagree. Keep an eye on it. You never really know with these buggers.
I hope you are keeping an eye on ONT. I have been building a nice position in it from 1.25/1.45 range.

Peter Hansen
04-21-2007, 09:09 PM
While reading through some old papers , I ran across this "System" for screening stocks. Does anyone know if it would be possible to construct such a screen . The Rules are as follows.

1) The Stock must have doubled its 52 week low.

2) The Stock must have an earnings per share (EPS) of 80 , minimum...... and relative strength (RS) of 80 , minimum

3) The Stock must be making a NEW Historic all time HIGH

4) The stock must sell for 2 dollars or more

Supposedly if this screen is used the stocks it generates should make huge returns, and if it run just as the stock makes its HISTORIC all time HIGH , or shortly after , the BEST results will be obtained.

It can be done "Cave Man Style" using Investors Business Daily, Big Charts and The S&P guide

Does anyone know how it could be set up on the computer ?

Guys and Girls this may be both interesting and profitable?

billyjoe
04-21-2007, 09:30 PM
Pete,
You'd have to have stocks with at least 100% one year return. Screening for that in stocks over $2, I come up with 168 potential stocks. My screen has EPS growth by percentage , but not compared to other stocks like IBD's numbers indicate. Just for fun I'll screen these stocks for any that have a 80% EPS growth rate and report back shortly. I can get a RS number on another site also historic high.

--------------billyjoe

billyjoe
04-21-2007, 09:54 PM
Pete,
Since I coudn't get IBD's EPS numbers I put in 80% EPS gain in last 52 weeks. I've got the RS and double off 52 week low, but haven't figured historic high yet. Here's the list of 21 candidates.

AZZ ACY BTJ BRKR BW EML GEO GRIL HRSH JSDA LXU NGA ROCM SLP

SPAR TTEC TRT GROW UCTT PTT WCG

------------billyjoe

skiracer
04-21-2007, 10:04 PM
While reading through some old papers , I ran across this "System" for screening stocks. Does anyone know if it would be possible to construct such a screen . The Rules are as follows.

1) The Stock must have doubled its 52 week low.

2) The Stock must have an earnings per share (EPS) of 80 , minimum...... and relative strength (RS) of 80 , minimum

3) The Stock must be making a NEW Historic all time HIGH

4) The stock must sell for 2 dollars or more

Supposedly if this screen is used the stocks it generates should make huge returns, and if it run just as the stock makes its HISTORIC all time HIGH , or shortly after , the BEST results will be obtained.

It can be done "Cave Man Style" using Investors Business Daily, Big Charts and The S&P guide

Does anyone know how it could be set up on the computer ?

Guys and Girls this may be both interesting and profitable?

Pete,
I think this scan could be set up in StockCharts.com's advanced screening. I'll play around with it and see what I come up with. I think to get the right scan all the parameters have to be plugged into the scan at once and run that way. I don't think that trying to run a number of different scans with specific indicators and then combining all those outcomes will provide the same results.

billyjoe
04-21-2007, 10:13 PM
Pete,
I could go back 10 years on the prices and many stocks as you know don't have a 10 year record , but these 9 are close to 10 year historic highs and meet the other requirements. It will be interesting to see if ski comes up with some of these also :

AZZ BW EML GEO LXU ROCM SPAR UCTT WCG

-----------billyjoe

skiracer
04-22-2007, 08:05 AM
Pete,
I could go back 10 years on the prices and many stocks as you know don't have a 10 year record , but these 9 are close to 10 year historic highs and meet the other requirements. It will be interesting to see if ski comes up with some of these also :

AZZ BW EML GEO LXU ROCM SPAR UCTT WCG

-----------billyjoe

Billyjoe,
I wasn't knocking the approach you are trying. StockCharts has a scanning process where you can plug in the code for all the parameters at once. I'm not sure that I can even get all of Pete's essentials in at once and scan it that way but I'll mess around with it. But in the meantime keep up your good work. I own SPAR right now and got in at 26.05. I have high expectations for it. Another on that I like, and got from Ernie's last dump, is SPIL. I don't own it yet but have been waiting and watching for a pullback for entry and it looks like it is doing exactly what I was hoping for to get my entry. Pulled back to under 10 last week. Plenty of upside room on this one. Check out my chartlist at StockCharts.com's public charts lists at the link below. Some nice setups, long and short, on my chartlist. These are the latest annotations to these two charts from last week.

http://img401.imageshack.us/img401/9973/spartu9.png (http://imageshack.us)

http://img149.imageshack.us/img149/1502/spil3hl3.png (http://imageshack.us)

billyjoe
04-22-2007, 08:44 AM
Ski,
SPIL was a favorite of mine last year. Made a 19.49% gain in it for my son's Roth selling at 7.71. I think they paid a 10% special div. in stock last summer. I haven't been following it since the sale.

------A problem I have with screening for example MSN has an RS for stocks based on 3 mo, 6mo., and 12 mo. performance. I eliminated a few that were way over RS 80 for 6 and 12 months, but under the last 3 months, I'm pretty sure IBD doesn't do that. You could go to 5 different sources for EPS and get 5 different ways of calculating the number. Anyway , any stocks making it through so many screens have got to have something going for them.

--------------billyjoe

skiracer
04-22-2007, 09:07 AM
Ski,
SPIL was a favorite of mine last year. Made a 19.49% gain in it for my son's Roth selling at 7.71. I think they paid a 10% special div. in stock last summer. I haven't been following it since the sale.

------A problem I have with screening for example MSN has an RS for stocks based on 3 mo, 6mo., and 12 mo. performance. I eliminated a few that were way over RS 80 for 6 and 12 months, but under the last 3 months, I'm pretty sure IBD doesn't do that. You could go to 5 different sources for EPS and get 5 different ways of calculating the number. Anyway , any stocks making it through so many screens have got to have something going for them.

--------------billyjoe

Actually MSN has a advanced stock scanning ability that allows you to plug in a wide range of parameters. I use it all the time.

Peter Hansen
04-22-2007, 10:20 AM
Billie and Ski thanx for your help. I will do some more analysis on the stocks presented. It is seems as if only Billie , Ski and me are reading these posts, but I really enjoy writing them. True some may be slightly irreverent, and some of the stocks, not exactly Blue Chip, but hey ......that is my style. Thank you guys and have a beautiful day !

Peter Hansen
04-22-2007, 02:25 PM
Buying on the interent can be both impersonable and intimidating , but a company Live Person , Inc. (LPSN) 4-20-07 close at $7.40 is changing all that. LPSN provides software that helps online retailers to better assist and comminicate with customers to their site. Many internet customers , especially when inquiring about high tech products, seek "Personalized" service , and LPSN is there to give them just that. Customers have a LIVE CHAT icon on the Vender's site and and venders have noticed a 54% increase in the average order, and post chat surveys indicate that 80% of all customers are satisfied with the "Live" experience and are more inclined to return to back to that vender.
LPSN went profitable in 2003 , and it has not looked back since. Revenue is Millions is as follows 2004 17.4M, 2005 22.3M and 2006 33.5M. Gee, does anyone see a pattern here? 35% of the entire company is devoted to product development, and it sells its sofware to over 4000 clients , with verizon, Microsoft, H.P., Bank of America and Earthlink , just to name a few.
Vector Vest gives it a buy rating and says LPSN 's current value pf $7.66 is fairly valued to its 4/20/07 close of $7.40 . Earnings growth rate is pegged at 36% and a sales Growth Rate of 64% over the last 12 months. Morning Star shows that it is up 41% YTD , but the ride has not been straight up ........Needless to say .........it does look interesting!

skiracer
04-22-2007, 02:55 PM
Billie and Ski thanx for your help. I will do some more analysis on the stocks presented. It is seems as if only Billie , Ski and me are reading these posts, but I really enjoy writing them. True some may be slightly irreverent, and some of the stocks, not exactly Blue Chip, but hey ......that is my style. Thank you guys and have a beautiful day !

Don't let it disuade you Pete. Keep the stocks and the ideas coming. I'm sure there are plenty of others reading your posts.

jiesen
04-22-2007, 03:43 PM
yep, I'm not always posting but I'm always reading, and yours is some good stuff here. I'm sure there are plenty others who would agree. Keep it up!

New-born baby
04-22-2007, 03:54 PM
Too busy to post, Pete. I let "Hot Pick of the Day" die because I don't have the time anymore. But I still read your thread.

IIC
04-22-2007, 04:01 PM
Originally Posted by Peter Hansen http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif (http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showthread.php?p=80802#post80802)
While reading through some old papers , I ran across this "System" for screening stocks. Does anyone know if it would be possible to construct such a screen . The Rules are as follows.

1) The Stock must have doubled its 52 week low.

2) The Stock must have an earnings per share (EPS) of 80 , minimum...... and relative strength (RS) of 80 , minimum

3) The Stock must be making a NEW Historic all time HIGH

4) The stock must sell for 2 dollars or more

Supposedly if this screen is used the stocks it generates should make huge returns, and if it run just as the stock makes its HISTORIC all time HIGH , or shortly after , the BEST results will be obtained.

It can be done "Cave Man Style" using Investors Business Daily, Big Charts and The S&P guide

Does anyone know how it could be set up on the computer ?

Guys and Girls this may be both interesting and profitable?


Pete...

Is this what you are looking for?

AMOV,COH,IIVI,MICC,PCU,RL,ROCM,RS,SYNL,UCTT,VOLV

I think you may be limiting yourself on the all time historic high...those I listed meet all your criteria I believe although on the all time high I only went back 10 years. They all made at least 10 year highs on Friday...But perhaps you would consider within 2% of an all time high or something like that???...Doug(IIC)

IIC
04-22-2007, 04:03 PM
BTW Pete...I read your thread...I've just been extremely busy lately...thx...Doug

skiracer
04-22-2007, 06:00 PM
Pete,
I plugged in this scan at StockCharts Advance Interface and got nothing. This is the first scan I plugged in: [type is stock] and [high > 2] and [rsi (14) >= 80] and [eps >= 80] and [todays high > yesterdays daily max (260,high)].

Then I left out the eps >= 80 and plugged in everything else the same as above and I got what you see below. I'm still working on figuring out how to code in the wording on "doubled 52 week low" as opposed to just 52 week high. Anyway a pretty large list of stocks. Worth taking a look at their charts. I had to scale it way down from my original capture. There was only one match with either Billyjoe's list or Doug's list. That was RS and it was on Doug's list.

http://img263.imageshack.us/img263/9787/scan1bq0.png (http://imageshack.us)

IIC
04-22-2007, 06:08 PM
Well Ski...If you were nicer to me I'd save you the trouble of having to figure it out.

IIC
04-22-2007, 06:31 PM
OK...OK...I'm not really that bad a guy...Ski, I believe you are on the wrong track...RSI and EPS at stockcharts is not what Pete is talking about...Correct me if I am wrong Pete.

Once Pete confirms that I am right (or wrong)...I'll tell 'ya how to do it...Well, I guess if I'm wrong I won't tell 'ya...But I am somewhat of an "Authority" on running stockcharts scans...LOL

billyjoe
04-22-2007, 06:45 PM
Doug,
I think that's the problem. You'll never get 2 sources agreeing on RS and EPS or how to figure it. We know the IIC RS differs from IBD and probably everyone else. IBD's EPS is unique to them. Everybody thinks theirs is the best way so I say my mish mash of sources is as good as anyone's. Throw in an astrologic sign or 2 and you'll really have something.

---------------billyjoe

IIC
04-22-2007, 07:05 PM
Doug,
I think that's the problem. You'll never get 2 sources agreeing on RS and EPS or how to figure it. We know the IIC RS differs from IBD and probably everyone else. IBD's EPS is unique to them. Everybody thinks theirs is the best way so I say my mish mash of sources is as good as anyone's. Throw in an astrologic sign or 2 and you'll really have something.

---------------billyjoe

52 week RS is very simple to figure out...Except for the treatment of IPO's within the past 52 weeks...It is just a comparison thing...Our RS numbers are regularly within 3 pts of the IBD RS numbers...Reason that some are not is that the IPO's are obviously calc'd differently (we don't know how they do it), the fact that IBD is comparing about 1,000 more stocks than we have in our database and we use 1-100 rather than 1-99...However, I have noticed that the Higher RS stocks have a lot less difference in ranking than the Lower RS stocks...I don't know if they or we have a programming problem???

EPS percentile ranking is a different story...My friends have been working on mimicking IBD's formula...However, since IBD weights it...That is very difficult because we don't know how they do it...So, our EPS rankings are often 5-20 pts off of their's.

skiracer
04-22-2007, 07:37 PM
Doug,
Did you run your scan on StockCharts Advanced Scan Interface? I would like to know what parameters you plugged in to get your stocks.

IIC
04-22-2007, 07:40 PM
Billy...What I am waiting for is for Pete to clarify his criteria.

If I read him right, he is looking for RS (Which is not the same as RSI) >80 and EPS >80...I believe he is looking for percentile ranks similar to IBD's???

If that is what he is looking for...Stockcharts does not have that info...And it is a waste of time trying to find it at stockcharts...As I said, RSI is not RS and EPS at stockcharts is a number...not a percentile ranking...PETE????

However, double the 52 week low and all time high data(10yrs at least) is available at stockcharts.

IIC
04-22-2007, 07:44 PM
Doug,
Did you run your scan on StockCharts Advanced Scan Interface? I would like to know what parameters you plugged in to get your stocks.

You know I like to give you a hard time...Just as you do me...However, as I posted, I want Pete to clarify a few things...I think I know what he is looking for...But, I could be wrong (Wouldn't be the first time)...So, when he does...If I am right...I'll post it...If I am wrong then I'll just post that I was wrong.

Pete???????????????

skiracer
04-22-2007, 07:48 PM
[However, double the 52 week low and all time high data(10yrs at least) is available at stockcharts.] Quote

I would like to know how you plugged this one in please.

IIC
04-22-2007, 07:52 PM
[However, double the 52 week low and all time high data(10yrs at least) is available at stockcharts.] Quote

I would like to know how you plugged this one in please.


OK...OK...Let me get this together...I saw Pete online but he didn't post...I will answer you in about 5 mins

IIC
04-22-2007, 08:10 PM
What Pete is looking for IMO:

1) The Stock must have doubled its 52 week low.

2) The Stock must have an earnings per share (EPS) of 80 , minimum...... and relative strength (RS) of 80 , minimum

3) The Stock must be making a NEW Historic all time HIGH

4) The stock must sell for 2 dollars or more

Here is how I did it:

I go to my friend's database that he let's me have access to...(But you can do a VERY similar scan at DailyGraphsOnline(I tried it and only came up w/ one more stock than my friend had)

You scan for 80 RS, 80 EPS, New 52 week hi.

Copy those to .xls

You go to stockcharts.com

Run this scan:

[type = stock] and [country = us] and [today's close > yesterday's daily min(260,low)*2] and [Close > 1.99] and [today's high > yesterday's daily max(720,high)]

Copy those to .csv (which should be readable in .xls)

For some reason at SC I was not getting anything beyond 720 days???(3 years)...I don't know why???

Combine the lists and look for duplicates...I did so and got 13...I looked at 13 charts and determind that one did not meet an all time high on Friday.

Seems long...But it was not.

Of course, I have access to my friend's proprietary database...But, it appears that the same(or very similar) scan can be run via DailyGraphs and Stockcharts...But neither of them alone can provide the info...Best, Doug(IIC)

billyjoe
04-22-2007, 08:28 PM
Doug,
Not to give you a hard time , but you referred to a 52 week RS. MSN in their stock wizard has a RS compared to other stocks for 3, 6, and 12 month time periods. I eliminated a couple whose 6 and 12 month RS were in the 80's and 90's, but one in particular had a 3 month RS of 13 so I felt it didn't deserve to make the cut. A 52 week RS wouldn't be representative for a stock such as JSDA that could tank tomorrow to 15 but have a 6 and 12 month RS of 99. Same way with a quickly declining EPS. I guess it just matters what time period you consider significant.

----------------billyjoe

IIC
04-22-2007, 08:35 PM
Doug,
Not to give you a hard time , but you referred to a 52 week RS. MSN in their stock wizard has a RS compared to other stocks for 3, 6, and 12 month time periods. I eliminated a couple whose 6 and 12 month RS were in the 80's and 90's, but one in particular had a 3 month RS of 13 so I felt it didn't deserve to make the cut. A 52 week RS wouldn't be representative for a stock such as JSDA that could tank tomorrow to 15 but have a 6 and 12 month RS of 99. Same way with a quickly declining EPS. I guess it just matters what time period you consider significant.

----------------billyjoe


Well Billy...Can't have it all...I would love to have access to a 13 week RS...And I know where to get it...But I don't really want to pay for it.

And yes...You have found a flaw in my IIC 100...But as I say...They just meet certain criteria...You are on your own after that.

Peter Hansen
04-22-2007, 09:01 PM
Guys the System "The Mother Of All Systems", specifies that the Investors Business Daily was to be used for The EPS and RS values of 80 or higher, and in determing the 52 Week High. To find what stocks were Trading In Historic High Ground he suggested using the Standard and Poor's Stockguide. This system is more than 10 yrs old and computers then were not capable of the research you can do on today's computers.
Using Morningstar , I determined that IIC's Top 5 picks were COH, MICC, PCU, ROCM and SYNL. Billie Joe's best 5 were JSDA, SLP, GROW, BTJ and WCG. I simply took the best growth of 10K over a period from 2002-2007.
I will create 2 hypothetical portfolios in AOL one each for IIC and Billie Joe. Each will have 50K divided equally , or 10K into each stock. I will use 4/20/07 close price as a start point for all stox. I will post the results periodically!
It may not be exactly as the original rules .......but we will see what happens.

Peter Hansen
04-22-2007, 09:25 PM
I just received a mailing over the weekend promoting a report supposedly Listing ,"The Only Stock You Will Need For The Next 10 Years." Lombardi Publications sent out the report, and I have tried some of their news letters in the past with limited success . Like most newsletters there is more "Sizzle" than "Steak".
The clues given in the letter were as follows:

1) Citi Group bought the stock.....Lots of it.

2) Institutions own 69.9% of its outstanding float.

3) Its market price has gone up an average of 66% over the past 3 years.

4) The company's sales have been doubling every three years. Last year, the company had a net , after tax profit of $475 Million on $3.2 Billion in Sales

5) The company has $1.3 Billion in cash sitting in the bank, and with a market cap of $17 Billion, it has become the number 1 company in its industry.

6) Not well known, with small, retail investors, the stock just made Bear Sterns' list of top companies in its sector

7) Finally the Company has just reported fiscal first quarter sales of $1.14 Billion and at this pace , the company will grow another 50% alone this year!

Well have you guessed this stock , neither did I , but I am reluctant to send Mr lombardi the $95 for this report LOL . Perhaps someone can figure it out with the clues?

P.S. This stock Trades on the NYSE and TSX

billyjoe
04-22-2007, 10:20 PM
Well Billy...Can't have it all...I would love to have access to a 13 week RS...And I know where to get it...But I don't really want to pay for it.

And yes...You have found a flaw in my IIC 100...But as I say...They just meet certain criteria...You are on your own after that.

Doug,
MSN money has a free 3 month RS compared to all other stocks on the summary page at the bottom for research wizard on most any stock.

-------------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
04-23-2007, 06:29 AM
Billie Joe and IIC portfolios were set up on on AOL using 50K split evenly between the 5 stocks in each portfolio. Closing prices on 4/20/07 were used as start points. The Portfolios follow.


For best results, choose "Landscape" format, using the Print settings.

BILLIE JOE PORT 4/20/07

Value: 50,000.01 Gain/Loss: 0.00 (0.00%) Today: +625.52 (+1.27%)

Symbol Shares Last/NAV Net Change Pur. Price Gain/Loss Value
BTJ 280.9778 35.59 +1.31 35.59 0.00 10,000.00
GROW 340.1361 29.40 +0.37 29.40 0.00 10,000.00
JSDA 370.6449 26.98 +0.04 26.98 0.00 10,000.00
SLP 823.0453 12.15 0.00 12.15 0.00 10,000.00
WCG 109.1227 91.64 +1.07 91.64 0.00 10,000.00


Last Updated : 6:07 AM on 04/23/07



For best results, choose "Landscape" format, using the Print settings.

IIC PORT 4/20/07

Value: 50,000.00 Gain/Loss: 0.00 (0.00%) Today: +1,607.36 (+3.32%)

Symbol Shares Last/NAV Net Change Pur. Price Gain/Loss Value
COH 185.9082 53.79 +1.96 53.79 0.00 10,000.00
MICC 119.2179 83.88 -0.55 83.88 0.00 10,000.00
PCU 122.8803 81.38 +2.32 81.38 0.00 10,000.00
ROCM 390.9304 25.58 +0.45 25.58 0.00 10,000.00
SYNL 279.7203 35.75 +3.03 35.75 0.00 10,000.00


Last Updated : 6:10 AM on 04/23/07

billyjoe
04-23-2007, 08:00 AM
Pete,
I would never gamble my money on JSDA in real life down over 20% from high just a few days ago.

-----------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
04-23-2007, 08:12 AM
Ronin (RNIN) was given a buy rating at Vector Vest .....Its Earnings Growth Rate is 25% and its Sales Growth is 632% Per year .....and the chart is STRAIGHT UP .....IS it too late .....or should we pile on this train?

Peter Hansen
04-23-2007, 08:41 PM
II C and Billie The first day's results for your scans following the ," The Mother of All Systems" are as follows .......guys needless to say I was amazed , I hope both of you can reproduce those scans . IIC started off in the morning winning , but at the end of the day JSDA went into the plus column and saved the day for Billie and gave him the win. I will post results again on Friday and weekly thereafter. The rules call for a sale when any stock in the portfolio falls below RS 75, but I will just maintain the stocks currently in the portfolio . The results are given below and for one day the results are GREAT!

BILLIE JOE PORT 4/20/07

Value: 51,723.30 Gain/Loss: +1,723.30 (+3.45%) Today: +1,723.30 (+3.45%)

Symbol Shares Last/NAV Net Change Pur. Price Gain/Loss Value
BTJ 280.9778 36.40 +0.81 35.59 +227.59 10,227.59
GROW 340.1361 29.53 +0.13 29.40 +44.22 10,044.22
JSDA 370.6449 27.19 +0.21 26.98 +77.84 10,077.83
SLP 823.0453 13.64 +1.49 12.15 +1,226.34 11,226.34
WCG 109.1227 92.99 +1.35 91.64 +147.32 10,147.32


Last Updated: 8:36 PM on 04/23/07


IIC PORT 4/20/07

Value: 51,039.65 Gain/Loss: +1,039.66 (+2.08%) Today: +1,039.66 (+2.08%)

Symbol Shares Last/NAV Net Change Pur. Price Gain/Loss Value
COH 185.9082 53.35 -0.44 53.79 -81.80 9,918.20
MICC 119.2179 85.89 +2.01 83.88 +239.63 10,239.63
PCU 122.8803 83.83 +2.45 81.38 +301.06 10,301.06
ROCM 390.9304 26.30 +0.72 25.58 +281.47 10,281.47
SYNL 279.7203 36.82 +1.07 35.75 +299.30 10,299.30


Last Updated: 8:39 PM on 04/23/07

Peter Hansen
04-23-2007, 08:46 PM
I just received a mailing over the weekend promoting a report supposedly Listing ,"The Only Stock You Will Need For The Next 10 Years." Lombardi Publications sent out the report, and I have tried some of their news letters in the past with limited success . Like most newsletters there is more "Sizzle" than "Steak".
The clues given in the letter were as follows:

1) Citi Group bought the stock.....Lots of it.

2) Institutions own 69.9% of its outstanding float.

3) Its market price has gone up an average of 66% over the past 3 years.

4) The company's sales have been doubling every three years. Last year, the company had a net , after tax profit of $475 Million on $3.2 Billion in Sales

5) The company has $1.3 Billion in cash sitting in the bank, and with a market cap of $17 Billion, it has become the number 1 company in its industry.

6) Not well known, with small, retail investors, the stock just made Bear Sterns' list of top companies in its sector

7) Finally the Company has just reported fiscal first quarter sales of $1.14 Billion and at this pace , the company will grow another 50% alone this year!

Well have you guessed this stock , neither did I , but I am reluctant to send Mr lombardi the $95 for this report LOL . Perhaps someone can figure it out with the clues?

P.S. This stock Trades on the NYSE and TSX

Guys with the sophisticated scans maybe someone can get this stock....It would be very interesting and profitable for all !

Tatnic
04-23-2007, 09:21 PM
Pete,
I would never gamble my money on JSDA in real life down over 20% from high just a few days ago.

-----------billyjoe

I agree and disagree. I own it from much lower levels so I don't feel like its a gamble and I think 5 years from now it will be much higher (after accounting for splits). But I cannot bring myself to commit any more cash after that huge runnup so I understand where you're coming from.

Tatnic
04-23-2007, 10:24 PM
Guys with the sophisticated scans maybe someone can get this stock....It would be very interesting and profitable for all !

nothing to get excited about, really.

....I found 11 stocks to start with around that mcap and exchange, 2~3 potential shorts. Here's the 4 that may have potential on the long side, and a couple pay a decent dividend. Don't know if they're the mystery stock but if one of them is, I guess you could do worse. Out of the 5 if I were forced to choose just one I'd pass.

TV PPL CN SRE PLD

IIC
04-23-2007, 11:19 PM
Guys with the sophisticated scans maybe someone can get this stock....It would be very interesting and profitable for all !


Pete...I have a policy..."If I can't find it in 3 minutes I give up"

As far as Today's results...Heck, it is not my scan...It is your's

Peter Hansen
04-24-2007, 06:53 AM
nothing to get excited about, really.

....I found 11 stocks to start with around that mcap and exchange, 2~3 potential shorts. Here's the 4 that may have potential on the long side, and a couple pay a decent dividend. Don't know if they're the mystery stock but if one of them is, I guess you could do worse. Out of the 5 if I were forced to choose just one I'd pass.

TV PPL CN SRE PLD

Tatnic thank you for your list of possibilities for the "Mystery StocK" I will study the ones you listed . Maybe I should spring for the 95 Dollars and get the name of that stock? ...... As the old saying goes .......Curiosity Killed the cat LOL

skiracer
04-24-2007, 07:12 AM
Pete...I have a policy..."If I can't find it in 3 minutes I give up"

As far as Today's results...Heck, it is not my scan...It is your's

When I first read Pete's post on the "Mother of all Scans" it didn't dawn on my about the difference between RSI and just RS. IBD assigns a relative strength number while RSI is simply an indicatior. I was plugging in RSI 80 which would be much different and way into the overbought area on the RSI indicator scale. Two entirely different animals. My fault and I'm sorry for getting it wrong.
On the other hand I don't see myself using IBD's RS rating for any of my scans. I just don't trust any of their numbers or use any of their stuff other than the CanSlim theory in a fashion when searching for stocks. I think it spells out decent parameters to start a base when searching for fundamentals. Other than that I don't use them and I would advise you guys against using them also.

Tatnic
04-24-2007, 07:13 AM
Tatnic thank you for your list of possibilities for the "Mystery StocK" I will study the ones you listed . Maybe I should spring for the 95 Dollars and get the name of that stock? ...... As the old saying goes .......Curiosity Killed the cat LOL

Here's the other ones that could have been it....SRE EIX.

If you pull up the charts of all 7, you might find one that looks more promising. Mainly, the reason you're interested is that those guys pushing those stock letters know how to push your buttons. Its not about their picks as much as it is their marketing, which can be said about alot of things.

skiracer
04-24-2007, 07:19 AM
Here's the other ones that could have been it....SRE EIX.

If you pull up the charts of all 7, you might find one that looks more promising. Mainly, the reason you're interested is that those guys pushing those stock letters know how to push your buttons. Its not about their picks as much as it is their marketing, which can be said about alot of things.

Tatnic,
Your last sentence is an interesting comment. Peanuts and I shared our opposing views on this topic awhile back. He leaned more on content as a selling point and I thought there was as much to the presentation (marketing package) as content if not more. You seem to lean more towards the marketing package rather than the content. Is that what you are saying?

Peter Hansen
04-24-2007, 07:42 AM
Pico Holdings Inc (PICO) based in LaJolla, CA, is a 532 Million cap company with a 4/23/07 close of $44.85 and according to Vector Vest UNDERVALUED compared to its real worth of $56.67.
Pico owns Vidler Water Co, Nevada Land And Resource, an insurance company and a portfolio of many other businesses. PICO's CEO ran an equity firm from 1979-1989 with an annual growth rate of 36% compared to Warren Buffet's 29% annual growth rate over that same period. In 1993 he purchased an insurance company and raked in millions from premiums paid by doctors for mal practice insurance. This genius took that money and quietly bought up land and water rights in Nevada, Texas, Colorado, and Arizona for a total of 1.3 Million acres. Was it really such a smart move to buy up all of this land at an average cost of $35.92 per acre? .... You bet your ass it was. In the same month of April 1997 that PICO bought the land, it turned around and sold 615,000 acres for $87 an acre for a total of 53.6 million . Bottom line ... Pico recovered its total purchase and as of 9/06 still has 648,000 acres still left for sale . Totally brilliant move for PICO.
Since 1993 water rights in the Southwest have Skyrocketed from $1,000 an acre foot (The Industry Measure) to an incredible figure of more than $7500! In one major happening deal PICO is set to pipe 8,000 acre feet of fresh water (26 Billion Gallons) to a Mega development project within Nevada. The project has already been approved by State Engineer of Nevada. The well and infrastructure are already in place and because of that the price is already over $45,000 per acre foot. Remember PICO only paid $35.92 for each acre of this land . The return on investment is an OUTSTANDING 102,000 percent. ....Wow my porfolio should do as well.LOL !
PICO has 12 major water holdings throughout Nevada, Texas , Colorado, and Arizona. 5 of these deals will be happening within the next 32 months.
Remember that in addition to all of the mega water deals, PICO still remains a cash cow generating revenue from all its other businesses. Once these deals come to past , the public will be more aware and the stock price will head skyward. Ladies and gentlemen PICO is a no brainer ....walk....no RUN to your broker and buy PICO!

Peter Hansen
04-25-2007, 08:28 AM
At Columbia Business School's annual value investor conference last March, renowned value investor Martin J. Whitman was asked which company he would keep if he had to sell all of his long term investments except one. His answer was ...........TOYOTA !
Come to think of it , I have not seen a GM vehicle in my neighborhood in years. I did see one, at a nearby Mall, ( An Old Buick) being driven by a senior citizen with those dark wrap around glasses. We all know the type.....they signal LEFT , and then proceed to make a wide sweeping RIGHT turn ........LOL!

Peter Hansen
04-26-2007, 08:10 AM
Have not done much research on it but the BBND chart looks good to me at this point . Briefly BBND : is a recent IPO , it will be volatile, it has an optimization technology that allows communications companies to expand their bandwidth and programming , which is very important for transmission of movies etc., from 05-06 there was a revenue increase of 100% , last year it turned a profit of 13 million . It closed 4/25/07 at $18.58 up 2.37%. It may be worth taking a small position in it with a 15% trailing stop loss.

Tatnic
04-26-2007, 11:11 AM
Tatnic,
Your last sentence is an interesting comment. Peanuts and I shared our opposing views on this topic awhile back. He leaned more on content as a selling point and I thought there was as much to the presentation (marketing package) as content if not more. You seem to lean more towards the marketing package rather than the content. Is that what you are saying?

No, my point was that given what they were selling is average at best, they need to resort to manipulating the readers into thinking their content is magical and mysterious, which is bullshit but very effective in many cases. It sure got Pete's attention.

Tatnic
04-26-2007, 11:21 AM
At Columbia Business School's annual value investor conference last March, renowned value investor Martin J. Whitman was asked which company he would keep if he had to sell all of his long term investments except one. His answer was ...........TOYOTA !
Come to think of it , I have not seen a GM vehicle in my neighborhood in years. I did see one, at a nearby Mall, ( An Old Buick) being driven by a senior citizen with those dark wrap around glasses. We all know the type.....they signal LEFT , and then proceed to make a wide sweeping RIGHT turn ........LOL!


I've always liked toyota both from an investment standpoint and a product. But you can't expect huge returns on your investment and I disagree with his take on it being the only long-term investment worth holding. First of all, a question like that is totally stupid and to answer it doesn't say much about the guy either, but that's just my opinion.

Peter Hansen
04-26-2007, 08:26 PM
I never owned Toyota stock, and if I did , it would not be my number one pick. The one I do own , and the one with a much better history is BAM .......outstanding long term hold!

Peter Hansen
04-28-2007, 09:50 AM
The results fo the "Mother of all Systems" stock scans are as follows . IIC won simply by LOSING less -$64 while BJ's loss was -1203 . Billie had 2 winning stocks for the week BTJ and SLP, and IIC had 3 winning stocks for the week MICC, PCU and SYNL. Hope fully the results will be better for the next week .The portfolios are listed below :



IIC PORT 4/20/07

Value: 49,935.57 Gain/Loss: -64.43 (-0.13%) Today: -2,872.09 (-5.44%)

Symbol Shares Last/NAV Net Change Pur. Price Gain/Loss Value
COH 185.9082 51.25 -0.03 53.79 -472.21 9,527.80
MICC 119.2179 84.48 -0.98 83.88 +71.53 10,071.53
PCU 122.8803 82.27 +0.59 81.38 +109.36 10,109.36
ROCM 390.9304 22.5899 -6.89 25.58 -1,168.92 8,831.08
SYNL 279.7203 40.74 -0.46 35.75 +1,395.80 11,395.81


Last Updated: 9:46 AM on 04/28/07

BILLIE JOE PORT 4/20/07

Value: 48,797.31 Gain/Loss: -1,202.70 (-2.41%) Today: -2,097.52 (-4.12%)

Symbol Shares Last/NAV Net Change Pur. Price Gain/Loss Value
BTJ 280.9778 41.40 -1.49 35.59 +1,632.48 11,632.48
GROW 340.1361 25.9399 -1.61 29.40 -1,176.90 8,823.10
JSDA 370.6449 23.02 -1.0965 26.98 -1,467.75 8,532.25
SLP 823.0453 12.60 -0.41 12.15 +370.37 10,370.37
WCG 109.1227 86.50 -3.55 91.64 -560.89 9,439.11


Last Updated: 9:47 AM on 04/28/07

Tatnic
04-28-2007, 11:03 AM
I never owned Toyota stock, and if I did , it would not be my number one pick. The one I do own , and the one with a much better history is BAM .......outstanding long term hold!

its decent....decent enuf to make my list of superstocks. Not at the top of that list mind you, but not at the bottom either.

Peter Hansen
04-28-2007, 11:17 AM
Tat in addition to BAM .....I like AAUK, SHLD, WCG and MKL ......all moneymakers for me. What are your TOP 5 Stocks?

billyjoe
05-02-2007, 09:34 AM
I had a sell order in at 101 a couple days ago. It hit 101, but not long enough to fill. It seems with the earnings and the phone coming out 101 is a very conservative number. I'm seeing minimum 110. Anyone agree or disagree?

----------billyjoe

Websman
05-02-2007, 05:43 PM
GOFH is starting to look much better. The site traffic is starting to climb... http://www.alexa.com/data/details/traffic_details?url=gofish.com

Also, they've filed an application for a Nasdaq listing.
http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/070427/20070427005209.html?.v=1

Too bad I didn't get some while it was under $3, but I think I'm going to go ahead and initiate a position tomorrow. I may add more later.

spikefader
05-02-2007, 09:50 PM
..101 is a very conservative number. I'm seeing minimum 110. Anyone agree or disagree?

----------billyjoe
I agree with you billyjoe. 70% bullish weight as I see it.

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Peter Hansen
05-03-2007, 07:13 AM
Buy when there is blood in the streets and Microvision (MVIS) which has dropped from $64 in 2000 to a low of $4.25 (Close 5/2/07) , is a prime candidate. Through some research , I have discovered that MVIS is a company that manufactures high tech optical scanning devices and it has over 100 patents. The previous management placed too many eggs in many baskets and apparently did not watch those baskets. Costs went up , profits sank and the company hit bottom. Fortunately the old boys were given the axe and a new management team with vision has taken over.
Alexander Tokman is the new man of vision in charge, and he intends to turn MVIS around by controlling spending, focusing on fewer products, paying down debt and improving customer service.
I like the company because of their high tech applications and with the new management team excellent prospects for future growth. Bill Gates likes their technology , and their current technology gives them the capability to, turn practically any wall of your house into super high definition TV , lightweight , affordable , 3D glasses for gaming applications, and pinpoint displays on virtually any surface. Drivers can see speed and driving applications on the lower part of their windshields. They have just unveiled a sleek , hand-held ,Bluetooth enabled pocket sized, lazer bar code scanner aimed at mobile workers who need simple and affordable data collection solutions. A quarterly earnings report will be released on May 9, 2007 .
Vector Vest gives MVIS a "hold" rating, and their fundamentals are lousy, but I think the company has good future prospects. MVIS is a speculative stock, and needless to say it does not belong in the portfolio of pregnant nuns, women , or children, but having said that ......if you have a few dollars to chase a dark horse ....MVIS is a good one !

Rob
05-03-2007, 08:18 AM
Nice write-up, Pete.

They have certainly come back a long way from the low of 1.16 in Aug. last year. I see that MVIS has over the last 4 quarters lost 0.12, 0.12, 0.11 and 0.11 respectively. Do you have any educated guesses or reasonable expectations on what they may be reporting on May 9?

Peter Hansen
05-03-2007, 09:52 AM
Nice write-up, Pete.

They have certainly come back a long way from the low of 1.16 in Aug. last year. I see that MVIS has over the last 4 quarters lost 0.12, 0.12, 0.11 and 0.11 respectively. Do you have any educated guesses or reasonable expectations on what they may be reporting on May 9?

Rob This may be of help to you !

Microvision Announces First Quarter 2007 Financial and Operating Results Conference Call
9:00a ET May 2, 2007 (Business Wire)
Microvision (NASDAQ:MVIS) announced today that it will host a conference call on May 9, 2007 at 4:30 p.m. ET / 1:30 p.m. PT to discuss its first quarter 2007 financial and operating results.

Participants may join the conference call by dialing 866-825-3354 (for U.S. participants) or 617-213-8063 (for International participants) ten minutes prior to the start of the conference. The conference pass-code number is 44807101. Additionally, the call will be broadcast over the Internet and can be accessed from the company's web site at www.microvision.com. The web cast and information needed to access the telephone replay will be available through the same link following the conference call.

About Microvision www.microvision.com

Microvision provides a display technology platform to enable next generation display and imaging products for pico projectors, vehicle displays, and wearable displays that interface to mobile devices. The company also manufactures and sells its bar code scanner product line which features the company's proprietary MEMS technology.

SOURCE: Microvision

Rob
05-03-2007, 10:06 AM
Microvision provides a display technology platform to enable [. . .] wearable displays that interface to mobile devices.. . . like the Dick Tracy wristwatch! :)

Websman
05-03-2007, 05:37 PM
Bought some GOFH @4.05

New-born baby
05-04-2007, 08:04 AM
I had a sell order in at 101 a couple days ago. It hit 101, but not long enough to fill. It seems with the earnings and the phone coming out 101 is a very conservative number. I'm seeing minimum 110. Anyone agree or disagree?

----------billyjoe

AAPL looks very good to at least $120

Peter Hansen
05-04-2007, 09:11 AM
China's economy is firing on all cylinders, industrial production is jumping, fixed assets which include real estate and retail sails have leaped ahead, and the best way to describe all of this growth .......is well unbelievable.
China's central bank is the wealthiest of all banks in the world with a pile of cash that is over 1.1 TRILLION , and is the biggest in history. China is building a city the size of San Francisco every 2 weeks. Construction costs money, and china is spending a ton of it , and they are sparing no expense to make Beijing ( The Olympic City) a site to behold for all visitors. Chinese companies, of course , are getting most of the cash.
Between half and three quarters of all construction cranes in the world are in China. Construction cranes in China stretch as far as the eye can see. China makes goods for the world and to transport those good billions are being spent on rails, airports, roads and other transport projects. .
Chinese Yuppies (Chuppies) have thrown aside Mao Tse Tung's Red Book, and are spending money like drunken sailors on cell phones , cars and all other types of electronic gadgets. They want it all.......and want it and NOW.
Two safe China plays are China Mobile (CHL) Close 5/3/07 $46.36, and China Aluminum (ACH) Close 5/3/07 $28.94 . Both appear to be good companies with excellent growth and good balance sheets

Tatnic
05-04-2007, 12:27 PM
China's economy is firing on all cylinders, industrial production is jumping, fixed assets which include real estate and retail sails have leaped ahead, and the best way to describe all of this growth .......is well unbelievable.
China's central bank is the wealthiest of all banks in the world with a pile of cash that is over 1.1 TRILLION , and is the biggest in history. China is building a city the size of San Francisco every 2 weeks. Construction costs money, and china is spending a ton of it , and they are sparing no expense to make Beijing ( The Olympic City) a site to behold for all visitors. Chinese companies, of course , are getting most of the cash.
Between half and three quarters of all construction cranes in the world are in China. Construction cranes in China stretch as far as the eye can see. China makes goods for the world and to transport those good billions are being spent on rails, airports, roads and other transport projects. .
Chinese Yuppies (Chuppies) have thrown aside Mao Tse Tung's Red Book, and are spending money like drunken sailors on cell phones , cars and all other types of electronic gadgets. They want it all.......and want it and NOW.
Two safe China plays are China Mobile (CHL) Close 5/3/07 $46.36, and China Aluminum (ACH) Close 5/3/07 $28.94 . Both appear to be good companies with excellent growth and good balance sheets


I like ACH and own it, and have stupidly traded in and out of CHL in the past.

One of my fav china plays (investments) is in BHP. If I recall correctly, they're one of the largest players in all things underground, ie uranium, aluminum, copper, gold, oil/gas, coal, etc...etc. They also announced a $10 billion (with a b) stock buyback a few months ago.

Peter Hansen
05-04-2007, 08:29 PM
Tat Cramer touts that stock BHP quite alot .......and because of its diversity .....I feel that it is a good long term play

Peter Hansen
05-05-2007, 08:56 AM
Helmrich & Payne (HP) 5/3/07 close $32.26 , is probably the absolute best oil servcies company you can buy now at a bargain price. While driving in my car , listening to Bloomberg Business News, I heard part of an interview with HP's President and CEO Hans Helmrich. Needless to say I was impressed. After a little research I discovered that HP is a 3.3 Billion cap contract drilling with 200 rigs and a history that dates back 86 yrs. HP was taken down several months ago with the fall in Natural Gas prices , but it is on its way back up.
HP started to produce a "Flex Rig" back in 1997, and since they are the "BEST" in the business they command the highest rates for there services. Companies like BP, Exon, Petroleus and other big operators are part of their prestige client list . Customers have ordered 75 Flex Rigs on a build and lease basis , and all 75 will be completed by the end of 07. A very important part of retaining good customers is customer satisfaction, and HP has the strongest customer service record in the industry. The big businesses love HP and their Flex Rigs for superior performance and reliability.
Fundamentals for HP are excellent and it is definitely in a class by itself. Last fiscal year net income more doubled. Rig utilization went up from 94%-99%.
During the 1st quarter of fiscal yr 2007 ( which ended 12/31/07 ) net income increased 120% over the previous first quarter. During the 2nd quarter ( Which ended 3/31/07 ) net income increased 64%. Vector Vest gives HP a buy rating and says it is undervalued at $32.26 , and its real value should be $55.72. The P.E. is a mind blowing 8.4 , and the Earnings Yield is a high 11.9.
HP has forecasted annual earnings growht rate of 24% , and a sales growth rate of 51% over the last 12 months .
The Kentucky Derby runs today , but I feel that a safer bet would be placing a few dollars on the undervalued HP and you will be in "The Run For The Roses " with a great pick that has winner's circle written all over it !

Peter Hansen
05-06-2007, 03:15 PM
Brookfield Asset Management (BAM) ( Close 5/4/07 $62.33 ) is no one trick pony. It is well diversified with valuable real estate all over the world, several hydroelectric plants that are among the lowest cost electricity generators in North America, and other assets, which provide it with a continuous revenue stream. It also has a management second to none
BAM Split 3 for 2 on 4/28/06 and it is going to do it again on June 1, 2007 ... but with one added twist..... A SPINOFF.....the SPINOFF will give each shareholder of BAM one share of their new company ( Brookfield Infrastructure Partners) for every 25 shares of BAM they own after taking into account the 3 for 2 stocksplit.
The chart is outanding , and even a blind man can see and take this one to the bank! Put his one away for your grandchildren !

spikefader
05-07-2007, 12:34 AM
MVIS....if you have a few dollars to chase a dark horse ....MVIS is a good one !
Pete I just submitted MVISW in this week's contest.......and then thought I'd search for mentions of MVISW or MVIS at this site......obviously found your recent post about it, and reckon it's more than a dark horse, since MVISW appears in this week's VoodooTrader Top 100, and now on the Spike's 8 list for this week (http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/viewtopic.php?t=345). Charts whispering up for MVIS too ...

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Peter Hansen
05-07-2007, 08:59 AM
Spike thanx for posting that chart....looks like there may be a story there. I do have a small position in MVIS . This is what I love about this site , I read many newsletters, do searches on the web , but I can never know too much about a particular stock. An extra brain to help with charts and some analysis is ALWAYS appreciated . My job writng these posts is to discover stocks that make money and can beat the S&P , and to help others do the same . I am not Italian but I like to consider this group the Financial "La Cosa Nostra" "Our Thing" My only hope is that Mr Market......does not give me a kiss on the cheek ......LOL .......A profitable Day to ALL!

billyjoe
05-07-2007, 03:58 PM
AAPL looks very good to at least $120

AAPL rules !

-------billyjoe

Websman
05-07-2007, 06:27 PM
a little more drop and I'll add onto my position. :)

Peter Hansen
05-07-2007, 09:27 PM
Pssssst ....Wanna buy some drugs? I dont ; but, apparently 1.3 Billion Chinese are potential customers, and American Orient Bioengineering (AOB) ( Close 5/4/07 $10.52 ) is ready to supply that Asian market. They manufacture and distribute both prescription and non prescription type natural, herbal products.
In January 2006 there were some scandals in the Chinese Pharmaceutical market , panic spread, and investors abandoned Pharmaceutical stocks in droves. Unfortunately , although not involved in the scandals ABO got caught in the downdraft. They are coming back , and now is the time to buy AOB at a reduced price.
AOB is run by some smart people ,and they know how to get the required SFDA product certificate which is required to sell prescription medications in China. In addition you must have the requisite marketing presence in China, and AOB has that covered.
The Chinese government gave approval to AOB's prescription injection drug as the ONLY effective treatment for SARS. SARS is a respiratory disease that kills close to 10% of the people who contract it. The market for this drug is, and will reamin HUGE . With no competition , and the fact that you are the ONLY game in town ......that is almost tantamount to having a license to steal money.
AOB is on a fast track to buy out companies , and in the past 5 years they have aquired 3 select companies. AOB now showcases its products in 80 -90 percent of all pharmacies in China. AOB's quarterly revenues have grown by over 107% and quarterly earnings by over 158%. Their distribution centers have increased by a factor of 900%. Sales for AOB are huge ( $111,000,000 annually ). They have accumulated a mother lode of cash ( 87 Million) but yet they only have an 11 million debt.
When the management of the company owns 27% of all outstanding shares .....That means that they are extremely confident of success.
Vector Vest says AOB is worth $19.02 share compared to a recent 5/4/07 close of 10.52. It has a PE of 15.94 and an Earnings Yield of 8.27. AOB's sales growth during the previous 12 months ws 108% . and its market cap is 675 million.
For slightly more than $10 AOB is a BARGAIN. Quarterly earnings will be revealed on 5/7/07 after the market close . I am sure , based on previous history they will NOT disappoint. AOB is ripe for the picking , and does deserve a spot in your portfolio!

Rob
05-08-2007, 08:49 AM
Pete, thanks for that nice AOB write-up. You make a persuasive case for the bullish side. Makes me wonder what the folks in the bearish camp are saying, if anything.

Peter Hansen
05-08-2007, 09:58 AM
Pete, thanks for that nice AOB write-up. You make a persuasive case for the bullish side. Makes me wonder what the folks in the bearish camp are saying, if anything.

Rob many people fear the Chinese communist government and what it may do ; but ,I think the current Chinese regime loves the American Style Capitalism , and frankly I dont think they will ever return to the Mao Tse Tung philosophy and the feudal past !
Making a case for the BEARS would be analagous to gingerly jumping on the on the tracks trying to stop a speeding freight train , or Playing Polish Roulette , 5 live in the chamber and 1 blank , needless to say neither of these are safe for your health ...or your portfolio LOL

Peter Hansen
05-08-2007, 10:10 AM
See my writeup for AOB above. The quarterly results were great , and the CEO is predicting more of the same to come in the future!

NEW YORK, May 7 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- American Oriental Bioengineering, Inc. (NYSE: AOB), a leading manufacturer and distributor of plant-based pharmaceutical and nutraceutical products, today announced financial results for the first quarter of 2007.

Revenues for the first quarter of 2007 increased 34.8% to $25.7 million from $19.1 million in the first quarter of 2006. This increase reflects $6.4 million in revenue from the Company's Jinji product portfolio, as well as year over year growth in the Company's core PBP and PBN products. Revenue from PBP products increased 52.4% to $18.6 million from $12.2 million in the prior year's first quarter, driven primarily by the Jinji products series, including the Company's newly launched Yi Mu Cao product for the relief of pre-menstrual symptoms, and by the Cease Enuresis Patch. Revenue from PBN products increased 3.7% to $7.2 million from $6.9 million from the first quarter of 2006, due to increased demand for the Company's soy peptide products.

Gross profit in the first quarter of 2007 increased 44.1% to $17.7 million from $12.3 million in the first quarter of 2006. Gross profit margin increased 440 basis points to a record 68.8% from 64.4% in the prior year's period. The increase in gross profit was a result of increased sales of PBP products, which carry higher margins and improved operating efficiencies across both business segments.

Operating expenses in the first quarter increased 65.8% to $9.8 million compared to $5.9 million in the prior year period. This increase was a result of additional expenses related to GLP that was not associated with the company in the prior year period, as well as increased marketing and advertising expenses related to the Company's efforts to increase market awareness of its brands and products. Operating income for the first quarter increased 24.0% to $7.9 million from $6.4 million in the first quarter of 2006. Operating profit as a percent of sales in the first quarter decreased 260 basis points to 30.8% compared to 33.4% in the prior year period.

Net Income for the first quarter of 2007 increased 31.1% to $6.4 million, or $0.10 per diluted share, compared to $4.9 million, or $0.08 per diluted share, in the prior year period.

Mr. Tony Liu, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of American Oriental Bioengineering commented, "We are pleased to report another quarter of continued growth in our business. Our major plant-based pharmaceutical and nutraceutical categories contributed to our revenue growth in the first quarter with the biggest contribution coming from our over the counter (OTC) products. Our newly launched Jinji Yi Mu Cau product contributed to our results in the quarter and we are satisfied with the momentum of this product as we move into the second quarter. We continued to effectively manage our operating costs and sourcing efficiencies and were pleased to see stable pricing for our leading products, all of which resulted in record gross margin."

Websman
05-08-2007, 05:16 PM
I used to own AOB. I may have to buy it back...

Websman
05-10-2007, 05:45 PM
The bad news - I didn't get the drop I needed to buy more shares

The good news - GOFH climbed 9% today. :D

I'll be looking for any further buying opportunities.

Websman
05-11-2007, 09:59 PM
Looking good. Anyone joined me yet?

Peter Hansen
05-12-2007, 08:48 AM
Anglo American (AAUK) close 5/11/07 $29.02 holds investments in gold, platinum, diamonds, uranium, coal and other mineral mining companies is South Africa, Brazil and the US ; invests in industrial, commercial, finance, and insurance companies and small businesses. Definitely a Warren Buffet Type Company, and rumors are that, he may buy the company!
Diamonds are a girl's best friend, and in Shanghai , 8 out of 10 brides receive a diamond for their wedding. Debeers's stockpile of diamonds is depleting fast and they are investing heavily to find more diamonds , especially in Canada. AAUK owns 45% of Debeers , and Debeers produces half of the world's supply of diamonds, but this only represents a SMALL percentage of AAUK's portfolio. AAUK dominates the platinum market with 40% of the world's platinum product. That also only represents a small percentage of the AAUK portfolio. The largest contributor to AAUK's earnings is its base metals operation which consists of Copper , Nickel, and Zinc.
Needless to say AAUK is HUGE! It has a market cap close to 87 BILLION and it earned 10 Billion in profits before tax in 2006. Vector Vest says it is UNDERVALUED as of its 5/11/07 close price of $29.02 and should be worth $38.52 per share . They have a 1-3 years earnings growth rate of 21% a PE of 18.42 and an Earnings yield of 5.40. AAUK is definitely one powerhouse you want in your portfolio, and is a good stock to buy for your children .

Peter Hansen
05-13-2007, 07:52 PM
DFC ( Delta Finance Corporation ) close $10.97 on 5/11/07 , originates acquires, sells and services home equity loans and it does so concentrating on borrowers with sub standard credit . This may appear to be a problem ; however close to 90% of all its loans made in 2006 were fixed rate loans, and not the adjustable rate loans that sunk many of its competitors into bankruptcy.
Most of those companies were located in and around California. DFC is headquartered in NY , and most of its home equity loans are made to customers in the NY, NJ, PA area.
DFC has a float of approximately 24,000,000 shares with management holding about 1/3 , another third is held by institutions and the remaining 8 million shares is left to the public. Of that 8 million , about 3.2 million is held by the SHORT crowd. Short sellers began to pile in after the housing market loan collapse. With very limited shares left, any price increase in DFC shares will result in a massive short squeeze , with the shorts heading for the exists faster than a loose bowel movement after Exlax.
Vector Vest says DFC has a current value of $14.79 per share and is UNDERVALUED as compared to its 5/11/07 close price of $10.97. It has a forecasted 1-3 yr earnings Growth Rate of 18%, with a PE of 8.07 and an Earnings Yield of a HIGH 12.40. Sales growth over the last 12 months was 34%.
DFC is somewhat speculative, and not a sure shot , but I like it , and I'm throwing some money in on the LONG side!

billyjoe
05-14-2007, 03:00 PM
AAPL looks very good to at least $120

Newborn,
As my technical advisor, do you still see $120? I've got an order to sell some @110 and it hit momentarily but didn't fill. I'm glad the 101 order 2 weeks ago wasn't filled.

-------------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
05-15-2007, 08:02 AM
Ivanhoe Mines IVN close 5/11/07 $11.90 , has a market cap of 3.994 Billion and is a Canadian company engaged in the acquisition, exploration and development of mineral resources .
Ivanhoe's main project is Oyu Tolgoi located in Mongolia. The story gets interesting because Oyu Tolgioi lays claim to the LARGEST unexploited gold and copper mine in the world., with an estimated 9 million ounces of gold and 11 billion tons of copper.
Mongolia has come out of the stone ages and recently moved towards a democratic and market oriented economy. Ivanhoe reached an agrement with Mr Market's old friend , Rio Tinto (RIO) and RIO has committed to invest 1.5 Billion, which will allow both companies to co-develop the mines on the property.
As they say, "follow the money", and I am certain RIO is not willing to invest 1.5 Billion on some rat hole. On April 10th of this year Rio and Ivanhoe reached an agreement with the government of Mongolia, but the deal still must be ratified by Rio Tinto , Ivanhoe and the Mongolian officials. God knows what side deals were made with the Mongolian officials , but I am sure they will soon be very wealthy men . Once the deal is finally sealed , IVN stock should show a major increase. Of course there is a possibility that the deal may collapse and take IVN along with it. A point to remember is that IVN is a company with massive resources, and has hooked up with one of the biggest players ( RIO ) on the planet for a partner.
Having said all that IVN is still a speculative stock , but it may be worth risking a few bucks for potentially massive gains.

billyjoe
05-15-2007, 12:32 PM
AAPL just keeps bouncing off 110.

---------billyjoe

New-born baby
05-15-2007, 05:05 PM
AAPL just keeps bouncing off 110.

---------billyjoe

AAPL is going to take a breather before moving higher.

billyjoe
05-17-2007, 03:46 PM
Approaching 110 again. You can do it ! Run baby,run.

----------billyjoe

billyjoe
05-18-2007, 09:40 AM
Sold 1/2 AAPL @110.44 for 24% gain.

-----------billyjoe

spikefader
05-18-2007, 11:59 AM
Sold 1/2 AAPL @110.44 for 24% gain.

-----------billyjoeGrats on th' green!
Here's the fuzzy I have for her today.

http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/userpix/2_Chart_of_AAPL518_1.gif

Peter Hansen
05-18-2007, 07:42 PM
The News for Ivanhoe gets better:

In addition to the mining project in Mongolia ( as described above) Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (NYSE IVN ) is looking to ramp up exploration in Australia as Mongolian operations enter a new phase and head toward production, CEO John Macken said Friday.

Tatnic
05-19-2007, 04:10 PM
Anglo American (AAUK) close 5/11/07 $29.02 holds investments in gold, platinum, diamonds, uranium, coal and other mineral mining companies is South Africa, Brazil and the US ; invests in industrial, commercial, finance, and insurance companies and small businesses. Definitely a Warren Buffet Type Company, and rumors are that, he may buy the company!
Diamonds are a girl's best friend, and in Shanghai , 8 out of 10 brides receive a diamond for their wedding. Debeers's stockpile of diamonds is depleting fast and they are investing heavily to find more diamonds , especially in Canada. AAUK owns 45% of Debeers , and Debeers produces half of the world's supply of diamonds, but this only represents a SMALL percentage of AAUK's portfolio. AAUK dominates the platinum market with 40% of the world's platinum product. That also only represents a small percentage of the AAUK portfolio. The largest contributor to AAUK's earnings is its base metals operation which consists of Copper , Nickel, and Zinc.
Needless to say AAUK is HUGE! It has a market cap close to 87 BILLION and it earned 10 Billion in profits before tax in 2006. Vector Vest says it is UNDERVALUED as of its 5/11/07 close price of $29.02 and should be worth $38.52 per share . They have a 1-3 years earnings growth rate of 21% a PE of 18.42 and an Earnings yield of 5.40. AAUK is definitely one powerhouse you want in your portfolio, and is a good stock to buy for your children .


....aauk is a good company no doubt. But take a look at impuy.pk

Peter Hansen
05-20-2007, 10:08 AM
Tat thanx for the IMPUY.PK Stock........generally I don't bother with the Pink Sheets , because financial data is difficult to come by, and you cannot use a trailing stop loss on the pinks and OTCBB stox; however, IMPUY does have one hell of a chart .......I will follow it and perhaps throw a few bucks into it.
I do appreciate your input , and any stock ideas ( I hate the words "Stock Tips" ) would be appreciated from any and all . We are all looking for that next blockbuster stock .......and sharing information will make the quest .....that much more interesting.

Tatnic
05-20-2007, 11:05 AM
Tat thanx for the IMPUY.PK Stock........generally I don't bother with the Pink Sheets , because financial data is difficult to come by, and you cannot use a trailing stop loss on the pinks and OTCBB stox; however, IMPUY does have one hell of a chart .......I will follow it and perhaps throw a few bucks into it.
I do appreciate your input , and any stock ideas ( I hate the words "Stock Tips" ) would be appreciated from any and all . We are all looking for that next blockbuster stock .......and sharing information will make the quest .....that much more interesting.

The other miner that is Impala's competitor is AAUK...those 2 are considered the biggies in the area of palladium and platinum mining in South Africa.

PAL and SWC are also minors but are much riskier IMO even though they are traded on local exchanges.

I do think that pollution control strategies will heavily favor the use of palladium and platinum, esp. with air pollution control systems which are obviously the biggest focus at this point.

Peter Hansen
05-21-2007, 10:46 PM
Grow closed 5/21/07 $21.94. US Global Investors Inc GROW is a Texas based investment advisor and manager of no load mutual funds. It has a market cap of about 300 million and takes in approximately 45 million per yesr .
Salient points are as follows:
1) Formed in 1968
2) Great management team
3) Good revenue growth
2002 7.70 million
2003 7.48 million
2005 17 million
2006 45 million
4) Grow does not have one "STAR" manager , but utilizes a very successful team based strategy
5) The profit picture
2002 loss of 3 cents per share
2005 profit of 19 cents per share
2006 profit of $1.38 per share.
Needless to say .....very impresive.....and if you run it against one of your stocks, funds or ETFs in Yahoo .....you will also be impressed

Peter Hansen
05-21-2007, 11:08 PM
Not much info on Stallion Group (SLGR) ....other than it is a wild cat oil mining company .....great chart .....but DON'T bet the ranch on it . Close 5/21/07 is $1.14.

Tatnic
05-22-2007, 09:05 AM
The other miner that is Impala's competitor is AAUK...those 2 are considered the biggies in the area of palladium and platinum mining in South Africa.

PAL and SWC are also minors but are much riskier IMO even though they are traded on local exchanges.

I do think that pollution control strategies will heavily favor the use of palladium and platinum, esp. with air pollution control systems which are obviously the biggest focus at this point.

I should have said minor miners, or juniors as they're known in canuuk land.

Tatnic
05-22-2007, 09:11 AM
Grow closed 5/21/07 $21.94. US Global Investors Inc GROW is a Texas based investment advisor and manager of no load mutual funds. It has a market cap of about 300 million and takes in approximately 45 million per yesr .
Salient points are as follows:
1) Formed in 1968
2) Great management team
3) Good revenue growth
2002 7.70 million
2003 7.48 million
2005 17 million
2006 45 million
4) Grow does not have one "STAR" manager , but utilizes a very successful team based strategy
5) The profit picture
2002 loss of 3 cents per share
2005 profit of 19 cents per share
2006 profit of $1.38 per share.
Needless to say .....very impresive.....and if you run it against one of your stocks, funds or ETFs in Yahoo .....you will also be impressed

I posted this one as a "buy signal" last week on my thread but have been mulling it over a nd thinking it may have to go lower, then rebound before I take a stake. It just came down too fast and hard to bounce right back up where it was (although it has done that on past corrections).

I could be wrong and in the past it has found support around the 40 week...but I now believe that it would be much better if it dipped below the 40 week more than it has, then rebounds. If it doesn't then I missed the chance...won't be the first or last time. For those who are feeling lucky maybe start with half a position and see where it is in a month.

Peter Hansen
05-22-2007, 09:14 AM
ANSW just turned up close 5/21/07 $12.94 . It is an answers.com site with increasing daily queries. ANSW was profitable for the first time last quarter .......maybe another young google here .........watch this one !!
High spec......and not for the timid ......needless to say .

Additional ANSW Info:


Answers Corp (ANSW)


12.94 +2.27 (+21.27%)

as of 04:00 PM EDT on 05/21/2007 (NASDAQ Delay: 15 mins.)Manage Alerts
Notices & Terms Confirm all data with your broker before trading.






Company Description for ANSW: Related Resources

Jerusalem Technology Park, The Tower, Bldg. 98
Jerusalem 91481, Israel
http://www.answers.com
Phone: +972-2-649-5000
Fax: ·Company Summary
·Institutional Ownership
·Event Calendar
·Insider Trades

Industry: Internet Search & Navigation Services Sector: INDUSTRIAL
The Internet might not hold all the answers to questions about life, the universe, and everything, but Answers Corporation (formerly GuruNet) sure is trying. The company runs Answers.com, a free, ad-supported search service launched in 2005. Unlike competing search engines, Answers.com's search results do not include a page of links; instead they return a snapshot of text culled by editors who use more than 120 sources, including encyclopedias, dictionaries, and atlases. Its WikiAnswers is a dynamic questions and answers Web site collaboratively written and edited by a community of users.

2006 Sales: 1 Yr. Sales Growth: 2006 Net Income: 2005 Employees:
+7,000,000 +242.90% -8,600,000 38
Top Competitors:

Websman
05-22-2007, 06:56 PM
GOFH is on sale.... :eek:

Peter Hansen
05-23-2007, 08:50 AM
I received this e-mail from Smart Selected as part of their FREE service!

"If ANSW can breakout above $14 or $15, we could see a massive short squeeze.

Major institutions are looking at ANSW and we can't imagine what will happen if they try to accumulate, with only 7 million shares in the float.

ANSW is a stock that everybody on CNBC will likely be talking about very soon. We are discovering ANSW at the ground-floor before the rest of the investment community.

You can't value this company based on revenues. You must value it based on what it would be worth in the hands of a larger Internet giant.

Answers.com is now generating 4.86MM unique hits per day and this is up 26% over last quarter and 88% over a year ago. We are aware of no other search site growing this rapidly.

ANSW may only be generating $6.32 in revenues per thousand hits, but GOOG has the advertising infrastructure to generate $90 in revenues per thousand hits.

So in the hands of GOOG, ANSW could potentially generate $39.4 million in quarterly revenues based on the traffic they have now.

With GOOG's annual price/sales ratio of 12.2, ANSW could be worth as much as $1.9 billion in their hands.

Remember, ANSW only has 7.85 million total shares outstanding. A valuation of just $500 million would mean a share price of $63.

This is a no-brainer. Opportunities like this are very rare!

ANSW will soon be on everybody's radar screens and we are discovering it at the ground-floor! We believe ANSW will become the NASDAQ's biggest Internet play of 2007! Do not miss it."

DO we have the new google here ......who knows .....but I really like their site www.answers.com ...check it out ......If Google or Microsoft decides to buy this gem.......LoooooooooooK Out ......IMHO .....It may be worth putting a few bucks into this dark horse

Websman
05-23-2007, 05:16 PM
DO we have the new google here ......who knows .....but I really like their site www.answers.com (http://www.answers.com) ...check it out ......If Google or Microsoft decides to buy this gem.......LoooooooooooK Out ......IMHO .....It may be worth putting a few bucks into this dark horse
Looks very interesting Pete. I'll be taking a close look at this one.

Great thread you have here! It's quickly becoming my favorite one to read.

Peter Hansen
05-23-2007, 07:35 PM
Latest ANSW NEWS:

ANSW update:

We could see some of major institutions start accumulating ANSW and we can't imagine what is going to happen. There are only 4.69MM shares of ANSW in the hands of retail investors. ANSW has stated they have enough cash and no debt. This means there will be no dilution.

If these major institutions want to accumulate shares of ANSW, where are they going to find the shares to buy?

Some retail investors in ANSW tells us that they won't sell the stock until it gets bought out at a huge premium.

Therefore... these institutions are going to have trouble finding any shares to buy without driving the price up to the stratosphere. Plus, they are going to be competing with the shorts that will have to cover soon before they go bankrupt.

Keep an eye on ANSW. Do not miss the huge run ahead!

Peter Hansen
05-24-2007, 08:21 AM
Web thanx......I always appreciate your comments and input.....this is a great forum, and MR Market has provided us with the opportunity to comment on stocks of all types. I try to present a mixed bag ......some are story stocks wth blue chip attributes , other are a bit more dubious and speculative. Bottom line.... I try to focus on stocks that have a good probability of making money!

Peter Hansen
05-24-2007, 08:43 AM
North American Galvanizing & Coating Inc ( NGA ) closed on 5/23/07 at $16.93 , and according to Vector Vest is UNDERVALUED compared to its current value of $22.97. It has a PE of 16.44, and an EY Earnings Yield of 6.07. It has a forecasted 3 yrs earnings growth of 29%, and a sales growth over the past 12 months of 52% per yr.
NGA engages principally in hot dip galvanizing of metal products, and it does focus on providing top quality that meets all industry stardards. It does all this in a rapid turnaround time that is very important to most customers. The company fundamentals look good as illustrated in the YAHOO chart below.






View: Annual Data | Quarterly Data All numbers in thousands
PERIOD ENDING 31-Dec-06 31-Dec-05 31-Dec-04
Total Revenue 74,054 47,870 35,822
Cost of Revenue 54,662 35,969 25,814

Gross Profit 19,392 11,901 10,008

Operating Expenses
Research Development - - -
Selling General and Administrative 8,058 7,196 5,917
Non Recurring - - -
Others 2,975 2,532 2,701

Total Operating Expenses - - -


Operating Income or Loss 8,359 2,173 1,390

Income from Continuing Operations
Total Other Income/Expenses Net 62 - 25
Earnings Before Interest And Taxes 8,421 2,173 1,415
Interest Expense 867 1,074 764
Income Before Tax 7,554 1,099 651
Income Tax Expense 3,019 455 248
Minority Interest - - -

Net Income From Continuing Ops 4,535 644 403

Non-recurring Events
Discontinued Operations - - -
Extraordinary Items - - -
Effect Of Accounting Changes - - -
Other Items - - -


Net Income 4,535 644 403
Preferred Stock And Other Adjustments - - -

Net Income Applicable To Common Shares $4,535 $644 $403


NGA Has only 8,000,000 shares outstanding, a market cap of $138,000,000, and the chart looks good. I like this sleeper, and it may be worth putting a few bucks in and setting a trailing 10% stop loss!

Websman
05-24-2007, 05:46 PM
GOFH is on sale.... :eek:
Make that a ******* fire sale! :eek: :eek:

Getting interesting....

Websman
05-25-2007, 05:27 PM
And....even a better sale. :)

Peter Hansen
05-27-2007, 10:38 AM
The editors of SHARPEYED must have a set of brass nuts the size of basketballs.......10,000% sure of ANSW. I have checked the site www.answers.com I was impressed by the new search engine. Maybe these young upstarts from Israel have something here ?



"More about ANSW:

ANSW stated that through direct advertising sales they will be able to charge $5 for ads they would normally get only $1 for through third-parties.

Furthermore, by dividing the site up into different channels for advertisers... health topics, financial topics, etc... ANSW will be able to charge huge premiums on top of that.

Plus, you need to remember that ANSW has an affluent and well-to-do user base as it is. Those using Answers.com are typically people doing research whether it be for college or business.

Sharpeyed.com research team believes ANSW is positioned to grow their revenues per thousand queries substantially. Long-term, ANSW could grow their revenues per thousand queries to a level that is 10X higher than where it is now.

However, for the next twelve months... Sharpeyed.com research team believes ANSW can realistically double this number while doubling their traffic at the same time. This means we could see $12MM in quarterly revenues or $48MM annualized which would value ANSW at $585.6MM based on GOOG's P/S ratio of 12.2. This would translate into nearly a $75 share price for ANSW based on the current 7.85MM shares outstanding.

ANSW stated that they have enough cash to fund operations and there is no debt. This means we will see no dilution and the low shares outstanding and float will remain the same.

We will put our reputation on the line that this stock is about to take off.

Sharpeyed.com research team is very confident our ANSW pick will do extremely well, if not we will shut down the site and retire.

We are 10,000% sure about this Huge pick! Please do your own due diligence and do not miss this potential pick."


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Websman
05-27-2007, 05:20 PM
Pete, have you bought ANSW yet, or are you waiting for a pull back?

I'm thinking of putting in a limit order at the 200 MA which is 12.56. Conisidering the large gap, there's a decent chance that my target price could get met, before another run up. I also noticed a drop in the volume over the last few days, which would indicate the possibility of some profit taking.

IIC
05-27-2007, 06:06 PM
Pete...Let's throw Sharpeyed out the window...I went to their homepage and they list all these BIG winners they posted in 2003 and 2004...That's Nice :p

However, ANSW may be good...I've seen people post about it for over a year and I like their site...But I wouldn't consider it because of Sharpeyed

Websman
05-27-2007, 07:51 PM
Pete...Let's throw Sharpeyed out the window...I went to their homepage and they list all these BIG winners they posted in 2003 and 2004...That's Nice :p

However, ANSW may be good...I've seen people post about it for over a year and I like their site...But I wouldn't consider it because of Sharpeyed


Good point Doug. We could see a "sharpeyed sell off", before ANSW climbs.

Peter Hansen
05-28-2007, 08:54 AM
I purchased a few hundred shares at $14.18 , and I have placed a trailing 10% stop loss on the position! If things go well I may add to the position....any stock I buy .......I automatically set a trailing stop loss! Vector Vest can help in determining the Trailing Stop Loss Percent !

Peter Hansen
05-29-2007, 08:33 AM
Coeur d'Alene ( CDE ) is the world's LARGEST silver production company in the world , and shares currently at $3.56, 5/25/07 close, are UNDERVALUED ( According to VectorVest ) , and their true value should be $7.23.
Frankly the chart looks LOUSY, and CDE has been beaten down , but CDE is a mining giant with silver and gold mining operations in several countries, and owns 8 mines all over the world . Their largest mine is San Bartolome in Bolivia where its silver load is 155 million ounces . In all, CDE is sitting on a mother LODE of 216.5 million ounces of silver and 1.5 million ounces of gold.
By 2009 , CDE will have the lowest cash cost in the business for silver which will be a paltry $2.00 per ounce for silver. Silver can drop dramatically, but CDE will still be able to turn a profit. In essence you are buying a load of silver at a rock bottom price.
According to Vector Vest CDE has a forecasted earnings growth rate of 27% , a PE of 9.89 and an Earnings Yield of 10.11 .
This may be a silver play .......but I think this one over time will be good as GOLD!

Peter Hansen
05-30-2007, 08:38 AM
Answers.com is a SPECULATIVE fast moving stock because of its low float. I believe money can be made with ANSW, I have purchased it ; however, have set a 10% Trailing Stop Loss. Be prepared for large Price swings, that having been said read the following:

More about ANSW

ANSW has grown their traffic from 2,590,000 unique hits per day in the first quarter of 2006 to 4,860,000 unique hits per day in the first quarter of 2007. That is a gain of 88%.

During this same time period, ANSW's revenue per thousand visitors has increased from $4.67 to $6.32 or a gain of 35%.

If ANSW can grow their traffic by another 88% to 9,120,000 while simultaneously growing their revenue per thousand visitors by another 35% to $8.55... that will equal about $7 million in quarter revenues.

If you annualize that number and give ANSW the same P/S ratio as GOOG you will get a $43.50 share price.

ANSW has an estimated float of only 7.85 million shares which means it could make huge swings. Make sure you do your own research!! ANSW could explode.

We could see some of major institutions start accumulating ANSW and we can't imagine what is going to happen. There are only 4.69MM shares of ANSW in the hands of retail investors. ANSW has stated they have enough cash and no debt. This means there will be no dilution.

If these major institutions want to accumulate shares of ANSW, where are they going to find the shares to buy?

Some retail investors in ANSW tells us that they won't sell the stock until it gets bought out at a huge premium.

Therefore... these institutions are going to have trouble finding any shares to buy without driving the price up to the stratosphere. Plus, they are going to be competing with the shorts that will have to cover soon before they go bankrupt.

Websman
05-30-2007, 04:18 PM
Nice job on ANSW Pete! Looks like this morning was a prime buying opportunity....that I missed.

Websman
05-30-2007, 04:25 PM
and....GOFH is dead in the water...wasted.... a terrible investment. jejeje

billyjoe
05-30-2007, 05:43 PM
Next stop 120.

-------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
05-30-2007, 10:48 PM
Immersion Corporation ( IMMR ) 5/29/07 close $11.90, develops hardware and software technologies that enables computer peripheral devices , such as joysticks, mice and steering wheels to deliver "tactile" sensations that correspond to on screen events. To actually see this in action go to www.immersion.com and click on the Technolgy square on the lower left of your screen. You will witness a very interesting 5 minute clip of Haptic technology.
Vector Vest says IMMR is undervalued at its 5/29/07 close of $11.90 as compared to what its true value is $13.61. It has a PE of 8.44 and an Earnings Yield of 11.86.
IMMR highlights are:
1) Company has signed huge deal with 3 M to build casino related products
2) Its doing business with BMW, Mercedes, Rollys Royce and Nissan.
3) IMMR's Haptic Technology is already in every Play Station 2 and Microsft X -Box in the World .
4) IMMR is used on a Global scale in cell phones.
5) The company was founded in 1993 in San Jose CA, and has 500 issued or pending patents.
6) IMMR has already won a 100 million patent infringement suit.
7) It is paid royalties on every Sony Play Station and Play Station 2 sold in the US

8) It sits on plenty of cash, and if all income where to stop, it could still pay its bills 6 times over.
9) It has a low float of 26 million shares and a market cap of 309 million.

Bottom line.... IMMR has good prospects now and well into the future. IMMR should make a good safe position for your growth portfolio.

Peter Hansen
05-31-2007, 07:51 AM
Holly Corporation ( HOC) close 5/30/07 $70.12 refines petroleum and petroleum derivatives and produces high value light products such as gasoline, diesel fuel and jet fuel for sale mainly in the southerwestern U.S. and Norther Mexico. The company also conducts a pipeline transportation business.
Vector Vest says it is undervalued at $70.12 , and has a fair value of $95.46.
The chart for HOC is utterly amazing . I have run it against other oil companies , IMO, MRO,MRO and PCZ. Although it has the smallest cap of the companies listed ......Its performance over 5 yrs leaves all of the others in the dust. If YOU can find a better oil services company .....please let me know.
Place HOC in your portfolio and enjoy the ride !

riverbabe
05-31-2007, 07:51 AM
Hi Pete, I know you listen to Vector Vest, but have you ever talked to their reps about exactly what they mean by their "fair value?" It might be worth checking with them. Riverbabe

Peter Hansen
05-31-2007, 10:22 AM
Hi Pete, I know you listen to Vector Vest, but have you ever talked to their reps about exactly what they mean by their "fair value?" It might be worth checking with them. Riverbabe

River according to Vector Vest "Value is a measure of a stocks current worth , and is computed from forecasted earnings per share , forecasted earnings growth ,profitability, interest and inflation rates . Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitabilty increases, and when interest rates and inflation increase. At some point a stock's Price and Value will Always converge"
River there you have it .....I am not a subscriber but a friend of mine is. I once called the company and asked .....if they have all those complicated analytical techniques , "Why don't they just issue a weekly letter with their BEST picks" There was a moment of silence , snd the salesman siad , "They don't do that" I guess there is better money in selling the monthly service . Bottom line I dont think their picks will be any better than mine, yours or Mr Market !

peanuts
05-31-2007, 11:55 AM
... If YOU can find a better oil services company .....please let me know.

Who knows whether Delek Holdings (DK) is better than Holly Corp. or not, but you might want to check it out, too.

Also, TSO doesn't seem too shabby, either.

I'm enjoying your thread, Peter. Keep it up! :)

billyjoe
05-31-2007, 12:30 PM
Next stop 120.

-------billyjoe

What's next? Am I a pig about to get slaughtered if I don't sell or is the i-phone just the beginning?

--------billyjoe

peanuts
05-31-2007, 12:43 PM
What's next? Am I a pig about to get slaughtered if I don't sell or is the i-phone just the beginning?

--------billyjoe

household penetration rate is relatively low for Mac's... imagine if the iPhone is as big as the iPod and Mac penetration over PC's continues to climb and eventually equals PC's... by 2010, you may have a 10 bagger with AAPL

Great stock, billyjoe!

Peter Hansen
05-31-2007, 08:17 PM
Who knows whether Delek Holdings (DK) is better than Holly Corp. or not, but you might want to check it out, too.

Also, TSO doesn't seem too shabby, either.

I'm enjoying your thread, Peter. Keep it up! :)

Peanuts Dk has a History of only about 1 yr . Recent performance is good , but over a longer period ......who knows? HOC on the other hand has split 3 times since 7/9/01 (ALL 2 for 1 splits) , and according to Morning Star 10 K placed into HOC in 1/1/04 would have grown to about 85K current date ......not a bad piece of change....considering both ....I would rather throw my money into HOC!

mystiky
05-31-2007, 10:31 PM
thank god I stayed from all of them...

VOLUME is the story-teller in my book....

What happened? Why did GOFH suddenly drop like this?

riverbabe
06-01-2007, 05:33 AM
River according to Vector Vest "Value is a measure of a stocks current worth , and is computed from forecasted earnings per share , forecasted earnings growth ,profitability, interest and inflation rates . Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitabilty increases, and when interest rates and inflation increase. At some point a stock's Price and Value will Always converge"
River there you have it .....I am not a subscriber but a friend of mine is. I once called the company and asked .....if they have all those complicated analytical techniques , "Why don't they just issue a weekly letter with their BEST picks" There was a moment of silence , snd the salesman siad , "They don't do that" I guess there is better money in selling the monthly service . Bottom line I dont think their picks will be any better than mine, yours or Mr Market !

Funny story Pete. They lost me as a customer (on a free trial) when they explained their "fair value" to me based on all the (sorry) fuzzy BS quoted to you, as above. Well, OF COURSE, at some point a stock's Price and Value will Always converge. "At some point" is about as vague as they can get and not risk a law suit. But "Always" is pretty definite. Need some good solid evidence for that, sorry. And the Value "increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitabilty increases, and when interest rates and inflation increase." So, fellas, what exactly are you trying to tell me about this particular stock in this particular real time world? With all these generalities...??? I am amazed that thinking rational people can fall for a sales pitch like this. Besides, I really don't like black boxes, and when they start feeding me answers like the above to my attempts at finding out what their black box can do for me for all those bucks, my eyes glaze over and it's done. And yet, I know people who swear by it! Different strokes for different folks, I guess.

Riverbabe

JMHO, VV. Please don't sue me, but please don't call me anymore either.

Peter Hansen
06-01-2007, 06:47 AM
Yes, I guess some like Vector Vest , and to this day I still receive mailings from them with that very busy looking bald guy on the cover .......but those are placed promptly into the circular file LOL.

Peter Hansen
06-01-2007, 08:51 AM
I received a report form Porter Stansberry Associates listing the 3 BEST Mutual Funds as OAKLX (Large Blend) , TAREX ( Specialty-Real Estate ) , LLINX ( Foreign Large Value ) . My BEST 3 are BRUFX ( Moderate Allocation ) , CGMFX (Large Blend ) , and CGMRX ( Specialty-Real Estate ) .
According to Morning Star www.morningstar.com OAKLX and TAREX are both rated 4 Stars and LLINX is given 1 Star. BRUFX, CGMRX, and BRUFX (MY TOP 3 ) are ALL rated 5 Stars. Expense ratios in % are as follows: BRUFX .94, CGMFX 1.02, CGMRX .88, LLINX 1.61 (This is High) , OAKLX .99, and TAREX 1.11. Please keep in mind that high expense ratios will really cut down on a fund's performance over an extended period of time .
I think the best thing to do with your money would be to split it 4 ways and place equal amounts into CGMRX, CGMFX, BRUFX , and for some Foreign exposure place the remaining portion into DODFX ( An OLD Reliable, 4 Star Developing Nations, expense ratio .70 Great Fund)
Bottom line whatever you do don't go to your "Friendly" broker or banker ( You know the type .....shit assed grin with that shark toothed smile ) . These people have ONE guy in mind .....and to be blunt , "It ain't You". That person will inevitably place you into HIGH LOAD , HIGH EXPENSE mutual funds which have performances which are medicore at BEST!
Choose My four picks above and years from now you will be one happy camper !

Peter Hansen
06-01-2007, 09:53 AM
Answers.com Named a Finalist in the Webware 100 Awards by CNET Webware Editors and the Web 2.0 User Community Online Voting Poll Open to Public to Select the Top 100 Winners

NEW YORK, May 31, 2007 /PRNewswire-FirstCall via COMTEX/ -- Answers Corporation (NASDAQ: ANSW), creators of Answers.com(TM), today announced that the site has been selected by the editors at CNET Webware as a finalist in the Reference category in the first-ever Webware 100 Awards. Answers.com was chosen from more than 4,000 user-submitted nominations. Winners will be announced on Monday, June 18, and posted on Webware.com, a CNET site
June 1 2007 It is aproximately 9:53Am and ANSW is up 4% WOW can this baby move!

Tatnic
06-02-2007, 09:14 AM
Holly Corporation ( HOC) close 5/30/07 $70.12 refines petroleum and petroleum derivatives and produces high value light products such as gasoline, diesel fuel and jet fuel for sale mainly in the southerwestern U.S. and Norther Mexico. The company also conducts a pipeline transportation business.
Vector Vest says it is undervalued at $70.12 , and has a fair value of $95.46.
The chart for HOC is utterly amazing . I have run it against other oil companies , IMO, MRO,MRO and PCZ. Although it has the smallest cap of the companies listed ......Its performance over 5 yrs leaves all of the others in the dust. If YOU can find a better oil services company .....please let me know.
Place HOC in your portfolio and enjoy the ride !

Pete....I think you meant to say a better refiner. The 4 best ones to own are FTO, VLO, HOC and TSO. Of the 4, I think FTO is at a better spot here, but I also believe that one could buy equal amounts of all 4 and do very well over time.

I own FTO but only because I liked its relative position as compared to the other 4. TSO just split the other day. I have also owned all of those other ones you mentioned above for various reasons....I should have held MRO. IMO and PCZ have pretty decent oil sands exposure but with oil this high one must have some money in the refiners...and one would be an idiot to day trade any of these 4.

Peter Hansen
06-02-2007, 09:26 AM
Pete....I think you meant to say a better refiner. The 4 best ones to own are FTO, VLO, HOC and TSO. Of the 4, I think FTO is at a better spot here, but I also believe that one could buy equal amounts of all 4 and do very well over time.

I own FTO but only because I liked its relative position as compared to the other 4. TSO just split the other day. I have also owned all of those other ones you mentioned above for various reasons....I should have held MRO. IMO and PCZ have pretty decent oil sands exposure but with oil this high one must have some money in the refiners...and one would be an idiot to day trade any of these 4.

TAT I am familiar with the other 3 oil refiners you mentioned .....good point about splitting your position into 4 equal parts.....Diversification usually works out for the best!

Peter Hansen
06-02-2007, 10:06 AM
Just happened I woke up early and listened to a show on ABC radio out of NYC called "The American Advisor" www.theamericanadvisor.com The host of that show is Joe Battaglia , and basically it is a paid infomercial to pump gold coins from some company he is affiliated with . He did make some interesting comments :

1) He said several days ago on the COMEX 13,436 Gold Contacts were sold

2) JP Morgan picked up 11,628 of those contracts. It cost them 768 Million for 1.16 Million oz of gold.

3) JP Morgan excercises their rights and takes PHYSICAL posession of all that gold .

4) The European World Bank announces that they will sell NO more gold in 2007

5) Gold shoots up $10.20 per ounce on 6/1/07 to $671.20.

Could all this be just coincidental ...Who Knows?

If you do check out that website above be forewarned that a shark salesman will probably pressure you to buy some gold coins. Gold coins are OK , but buying them based on some info from a radio commercial is analogous to walking into a GAY bar in San Francisco wearing your canary yellow tank top, your purple pants and innocently asking the "Fairy Nice " guy behind the bar to set you up with a cold one . BOTH situations can result in dire consequences LOL.
I think the better way to play Gold is a Gold ETF or a good company like AUY .....using a tight 10% trailing stop loss!

riverbabe
06-04-2007, 09:02 AM
http://www.thedeal.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=hpa&p=M4YD5AR1&c=TDDArticle&cid=1179177779600

Answers market cap climbs
by Kate Gibson and David Shabelman
Updated 05:22 PM EST, Jun-1-2007

The market capitalization of Answers Corp. on Friday, June 1, continued a 10-day climb, largely due to speculation the operator of information portal Answers.com could become an acquisition target amid increased demand for revenue-generating Internet traffic.
With a market capitalization of $134.3 million, up more than 40% from three months ago, Israel's Answers would be "easy for a big Internet company to swallow," said Matthew Weiss of Maxim Group LLC.

Potential acquirers include Internet search goliath Google Inc., which currently directs 30% of Answers.com's traffic to its own site.

"You'll see a lot of Web publishers looking to bulk up their direct advertising," said Canaccord Capital Inc. analyst Colin Gillis of the vast array of potential interested parties.

After abandoning its subscription business model in 2005, Answers.com has been generating revenue from advertising while offering free content to draw traffic.

Ranked by ComScore Inc. as the 55th most visited Web property, the site is similiar to Dictionary.com, a portal run by privately held Lexico Publishing Group LLC, or Wikipedia.com, operated by the nonprofit Wikimedia Foundation Inc.

Answers' stock Friday closed up 4.3% at a six-month high of $17.12 a share. The stock has climbed $5.19 from March 1, when it closed at $11.93.

The trading volume of the stock has tripled in recent weeks, signaling that institutional investors are taking positions in the company, analysts said.

"Answers.com is exhibiting strong growth — about 70% from April 2006 to April 2007," said ComScore's Andrew Lipsman of the climbing count of U.S. unique visitors to the site. That figure reached 12.4 million in April.

The company on May 7 reported a loss of $388,000 on revenue of $2.96 million in the first quarter ending March 31, an improvement from a loss of $1.1 million on revenue of $2.51 million for the prior quarter. Answers said it expects a net loss of $985,000 to $1.41 million on revenue of $2.8 million to $3.2 million for the second quarter.

While analysts differentiate the service offered by Answers.com from pure online advertisers, the company is benefiting from a trend that is "throwing more light on Internet advertising in general," Weiss said.

"There is a fashionable component to the stock," said Gillis, who, like Weiss, attributed the rise in Answers' stock to the recent wave of consolidation of online advertising companies.

The buying spree included Google's $3.1 billion purchase of DoubleClick Inc. and Yahoo! Inc.'s deal to buy the remainder of display ad specialist Right Media Inc. for $680 million. Both acquisitions were announced in April.

Technology titan Microsoft Corp. followed suit with its largest acquisition ever, offering $6 billion for aQuantive Inc. on May 18, one day after WPP Group plc said it would acquire 24/7 Real Media Inc. for $649 million.

Nice going Pete! :) :) :)

Peter Hansen
06-04-2007, 09:42 AM
River thank you for your input on ANSW ......I think some money can still be made ......but DONT FORGET to Place your 10% Trailing Stop Loss!. Jesse Livermore ( one of the greatest stocktraders of all times) always had a 10% Stop on all his positions!

Peter Hansen
06-04-2007, 09:44 AM
HSPO HIGHLY Speculative OTTBB stock ......Pregnant Nuns, Women and Children.....Don't Place money into HSPO LOL

Peter Hansen
06-05-2007, 09:42 AM
Once again HSPO is highly speculative.but here is some news! Maybe Mr Market takes this product .....in between banging down some cold ones ....LOL

HealthSport Inc. Rated 'Speculative Buy,' Target Price $4.00 by Beacon Equity Research
7:30 AM ET - BusinessWire
HealthSport Inc. (OTCBB: HSPO) has been rated "Speculative Buy" with a target price of $4.00 by Beacon Equity Research.

The full report is available at http://www.BeaconEquityResearch.com.

In the report, the analyst writes, "HealthSport, Inc. develops, manufactures and markets nutritional supplements in a unique edible film strip delivery system. The Company currently markets its electrolyte strips under the Enlyten SportStrips(TM) in lemon-lime, orange and sour orange flavors. The strips are used as nutritional supplements to replenish energy during periods of exertion. HealthSport is currently focused on the sports activity replenishment segment. In addition, the Company is developing other edible film strip products for hangover recovery, mineral replacement and a variety of other applications."

Peter Hansen
06-05-2007, 10:03 AM
SMCI Super Micro Computer may live up to its name . According to Vector Vest Its current vaue should be $12.36 compared to it close price of $10.56 on 6/4/07 and it is UNDERVALUED. SMCI manufactures application optimized server systems, serverboards, chassis and power supplies to distributors and OEMs.
It has a PE of 14.08, Earnings Yield of 7.14 and a price to sales ratio of .8 and that is a positive.
Company highlights:

1) In business snce 1993 and has been profitable each year since.

2) CEO owns a substantial amount of company shares.

3) Has future plans for expansion into China

4) Will showcase New products at Computex Taipei 2007 in Taipei June 5th - 9th

Bottom line this appears to be an undervalued company with good prospects for the future

brd
06-05-2007, 04:44 PM
SMCI Super Micro Computer may live up to its name . According to Vector Vest Its current vaue should be $12.36 compared to it close price of $10.56 on 6/4/07 and it is UNDERVALUED.

Heh, not so undervalued after today. Still, nice chart and a good high-volume breakout on a lackluster day for the market is promising.

Thanks.

Websman
06-05-2007, 05:09 PM
ANSW is on the rocket list for tomorrow. If statisitcs are a reliable indicator, this baby should shoot back up tomorrow.

Here's a link to the the rocket site...
http://stockmonster.blogspot.com/

Peter Hansen
06-06-2007, 10:42 AM
ANSW is on the rocket list for tomorrow. If statisitcs are a reliable indicator, this baby should shoot back up tomorrow.

Here's a link to the the rocket site...
http://stockmonster.blogspot.com/

WEB Thanx my 10% TSL kicked off a few days ago and I sold ANSW for a small profit .....I may pick up a few shares today !

Websman
06-08-2007, 07:12 PM
GOFH has to be my worst call ever...

sisterwin2
06-09-2007, 06:03 PM
jejejeje.. I have a few like this that I Cant even remove permantly from my active list with TD. Keep them there just to remind me.

riverbabe
06-10-2007, 08:50 AM
GOFH reminds me of OPBL

thank god I stayed from all of them...



Everytime somebody mentions OPBL I cringe with embarassment. How about we don't mention that word any more. Okay? Please? At least I didn't actually buy any. Riverbabe

Peter Hansen
06-13-2007, 08:23 AM
Regeneration Technologies Inc (RTIX) 6/12/07 close $11.15 processes allograft tissue into shaped implants for use in orthropedic and other surgeries. The company's grafts range from conventional allografts to grafting material tooled for specific surgical uses, including bone dowels, wedges, pastes and pins.
RTIX collects its materail from cows at Prather's Ranch. The ranch, a 28,000 acre operation, is located in pristine Mt Shasta Ca , and it produces organic beef, and also supplies hides, bones and tissues of its cows to pharmaceutical operations. It operates using the "closed herd" system, which simply means No new animals are ever brought in and only a select, few tested disease free bulls are used to keep the cows happy. Mountain-fed streams, lack of contaminated feed, makes this an almost disease free operation. All cattle used are less than 24 months old and there has NEVER been one outbreak of Mad Cow Disease. ( I wonder if Ly Hoppers cattle could meet these stringent criteria?)
One cow bone can make 300 grafts for orthropedic use ,and it is much stronger and denser than human bones and therfore more suitable than tissue from cadeavers. RTIX usus a special cleaning system that cleans the bones inside and out making them perfect for implant , and completely indistinguishable from human tissue under X-ray analysis.
RTIX turned a profit for the first time in quarter 1 of 2007 with a revenue of 22 million. Actual income was $134,00 compared to loss of 1.3 million during the same quarter of 2006.
RTIX is a speculative issue, but has a nice chart , and perhaps some money can be made?

riverbabe
06-13-2007, 10:35 AM
Regeneration Technologies Inc (RTIX) 6/12/07 close $11.15 processes allograft tissue into shaped implants for use in orthropedic and other surgeries. The company's grafts range from conventional allografts to grafting material tooled for specific surgical uses, including bone dowels, wedges, pastes and pins.
One cow bone can make 300 grafts for orthropedic use ,and it is much stronger and denser than human bones and therfore more suitable than tissue from cadeavers. RTIX usus a special cleaning system that cleans the bones inside and out making them perfect for implant , and completely indistinguishable from human tissue under X-ray analysis.

Allografts from animals are "foreign" implants, (i.e. xenografts), and will evoke an immune response in the human recipient, no matter how "clean" they are. Allografts from cadavers that are not matched to the recipient also evoke immune responses. One of the worries of xenograft transplantation is the introduction into the recipient of, as one example, unsuspected animal viruses or resistant bacteria. I know that pig skin is used for burn patients, but these patients are generally immunosuppressed anyway and the presence of the pig skin is temporary until the human skin grows back. Regeneration Technologies has been around for awhile. I would need to look at results of their clinical trials to judge. Also, I am imagine these would have to be FDA-approved, so would have to look at that status. It's a good story though and worthwhile looking into. River

Peter Hansen
06-13-2007, 06:19 PM
River thanx ...your comments are very helpful. Supposedly RTIX's BioCleanse Tissue Sterlilization Process is the ONLY validated technology on the market that sterlizes tissue, is scientifically proven to eliminate disease transmission,and preserves the strength and biocompatibility of the tissue. Furthermore since March 2000 540,00 implants have been sterlized and used in joint operations with ZERO incidence of infection or disease.

riverbabe
06-13-2007, 06:39 PM
River thanx ...your comments are very helpful. Supposedly RTIX's BioCleanse Tissue Sterlilization Process is the ONLY validated technology on the market that sterlizes tissue, is scientifically proven to eliminate disease transmission,and preserves the strength and biocompatibility of the tissue. Furthermore since March 2000 540,00 implants have been sterlized and used in joint operations with ZERO incidence of infection or disease.


Okay! Sounds like you have researched this. So I wish you good luck with it. Being heavily involved in biotech on a daily basis, I just know so many of the risk factors in investing in them that I stay away from them for the most part. But that's only my bias. River

Peter Hansen
06-13-2007, 08:20 PM
AU Optronics (AUO ) close 6/13/07 $17.17. AUO is s global supplier of thin film liquid crystal display panels . S&P rates it BUY with 4 out of 5 stars. PE is 19.6 with a beta of 1.81 , which makes this a high risk stock. My advice buy early and take any profits after a quick pop . This is not a Buy and Hold stock! Good luck to all!

Peter Hansen
06-14-2007, 08:18 AM
Rio Narcea Gold Mines Inc ( RNO ) engages in the acquisition, exploration ,development and operation of base and precious metal properties in Spain , Portugal,and Mauritania. Its primary products unclude gold, copper, and nickel concentrates. Close 6/13/07 $5.08.
According to "The Street.com ratings" RNO has solid stock price performance ( Check The Chart Out ......NICE ) impressive record of earnings per sharegrowth and compelling growth in net income. It also has a , hang on to your hats, PE of 8.91!!! A negative is the the company'e revenue growth has not been good. Also the Beta for the stock is 3.48 ( Very High ) .
If you take a position in this one set a tight trailing stop of around 8% . Good luck!

Peter Hansen
06-19-2007, 08:52 AM
Sanderson Farm ( SAFM ) 6/18/07 Close $43.40 and is UNDERVALUED , compared to its true value of $71.10 .
SAFM processes, markets and distributes fresh and frozen chicken, and processed food items. It has a PE of 14.18, EY (Earnings yield of 7.04, and it has a forecasted Earnings growth rate of 26% and a sales growth of 51% per year. It also pays a small dividend of 1.14%.
SAFM has a nice chart and appears to be a good safe solid stock. As always , if you do buy........make sure to set a Trailing Stop Loss of 10%.
Good Luck!

Peter Hansen
06-20-2007, 10:38 AM
VCP Votorantim Cellulose Close 6/19/07 $23.06. VCP produces eucalyptus pulp for the manufacture of paper products. The company has 998,000 acres of PRIME brazilian timberland, and is one of Brazil's largest pulp and paper producers.
Votorantim Cellulose is a subsididary of the Votorantium Group ( A privately held 3rd generation family conglomerate) that has its hand in virtually everything. The company is HUGE (Like the BIG Guy) and controls 14% of the global frozen orange juice, one of the 10 largest world cement producers, and they control Brazil's largest wholesale and business banking empire. The company is so big it uses 4% of all electirc power produced in Brazil.
VCP ( The Stock ) is one of the most efficient low cost papwer producers in the world. They have achieved a 5 yr gross and operating margins of 44.75 and 27.1%. The industry average is HALF of that ......amazing !
They control the whole paper process from seed to sale, and they are not dependent on outsourced suppliers for their paper stock. Furthermore , Brazil protects its domestic suppliers with high restrictive import Tariffs. I bet these boys have good friends in Brazil's Political circles LOL.
This company has it all ......prime land , a fast growing source ( 7 years) for mature Eucalyptus trees, and protective tariffs.
You may wish to consider taking a position using a 10% Trailing stop loss.

Peter Hansen
06-21-2007, 09:23 AM
NVTL Novatel Wireless provides wireless data modems for use with handheld computing devices and portable PCs. Products inclde products for Palm and other handhelds. Closed at $27.40 on 6/20/07. Earnings growth rate forecasted over 1-3 yrs is 33%. PE is 27.44, earnings yield is 3.63, and sales growth over the last 12 months is 174%. Needless to say NVTL is a fast growing company. If you do purchase Vector Vest recommends using a TSL of 13%

New-born baby
06-21-2007, 10:20 AM
NVTL Novatel Wireless provides wireless data modems for use with handheld computing devices and portable PCs. Products inclde products for Palm and other handhelds. Closed at $27.40 on 6/20/07. Earnings growth rate forecasted over 1-3 yrs is 33%. PE is 27.44, earnings yield is 3.63, and sales growth over the last 12 months is 174%. Needless to say NVTL is a fast growing company. If you do purchase Vector Vest recommends using a TSL of 13%

What a bullish chart! Straight up!

Peter Hansen
06-22-2007, 08:29 AM
NB yes the chart looks good for NVTL and wireless is a hot commodity now . WiMax willl soon put WiFi into the "Stone Age" status . CLWR is one to keep your eye on . It is run by Craig McCaw ( A Cellular Entrepeneur) and should have its network up and running in 2008 for coverage of 45,000,000 people. CLWR CEO Ben Wolff of CLWR says "Were doing for the internet what cell phones did 20 yrs ago"

NB run the chart of CLWR and see what U think . This is one ya dont want to jump the gun on. Thank You .....and God Bless!

Peter Hansen
06-22-2007, 08:51 AM
Guys and gals hOT IPOs are great for turning a quick buck. Please note the particulars on BX.

Renaissance Research
Date Report
Check back for research




Aftermarket Trading
Current Price N/A
First Day Close $0.00
Return from IPO N/A

IPO Profile
IPO Date 6/21/07
Offer Price $31.00
Offer Shares 133.3 mm

Lead Manager(s) Morgan Stanley
Citigroup
All Underwriters

1) This is a trick to make some fast money.

2) BX IPO was offered at $31, but almost as sure as the sun rises , it will open HIGHER than 31.

3) The institutions paid 31 and and will begin to bail out soon after the opening price which will be HIGHER than the 31. Why should they wait and see how the deal goes , any good investor knows the old adage, " Take the sure money and run". The sellers put in big sell orders "at the market " of course at the almost guaranteed to be higher market opening price.

4) Now the MONEY SHOT .....BX will begin dropping sharply and you must be patient to wait until after the drop you see the first uptick..at that point click the buy button and go long "AT the Market" You will note the action takes place, usually between 10:30 to 1:00 pm although you must watch carefully!

5) Trail BX UP and take your profit after some gains .....dont be a hog !

Does this really work? ........well watch it and see!

Peter Hansen
06-22-2007, 08:54 AM
KTCC still doing research but looks good ..watch it !

Tatnic
06-22-2007, 10:30 AM
Sanderson Farm ( SAFM ) 6/18/07 Close $43.40 and is UNDERVALUED , compared to its true value of $71.10 .
SAFM processes, markets and distributes fresh and frozen chicken, and processed food items. It has a PE of 14.18, EY (Earnings yield of 7.04, and it has a forecasted Earnings growth rate of 26% and a sales growth of 51% per year. It also pays a small dividend of 1.14%.
SAFM has a nice chart and appears to be a good safe solid stock. As always , if you do buy........make sure to set a Trailing Stop Loss of 10%.
Good Luck!

on the subject of loss stops, I don't think its such a great idea to use set percentages but I know that plenty do. I'm from the Stan Wienstien (I'm sure I spelled both names wrong, I mean both syllables of the last name) school of stop losses. If any of you have read his book, and its by far one of the absolute best ones out there (if I had to go to a deserted island with only one book and wireless, I'd take his). He insists that setting losses at certain percentages is meaningless. He suggests that you set your losses below the last strong support (in a stage 2 move and this is based on WEEKLY charts), which may be way below 10% from where you are at the moment. His arguement is that a healthy uptrend may fluccuate much more than 10~15% and if you get out you're cheating yourself out of a big, prolonged move. Anyways, food for thought.

Stan used to have a very popular service called Professional Tape Reader but he's not doing it anymore. He still shows up on Nightly Business Report from time to time and I like his analysis. He's strictly a technical guy, no fundamentals.

Peter Hansen
06-23-2007, 09:48 AM
TAT I find that Vector Vest will usually give a good stop point for any stock it has in its data base. You are right I have been stopped out early with the 10% TSL ..but in other situations it has saved my ass.

riverbabe
06-23-2007, 04:57 PM
on the subject of loss stops, I don't think its such a great idea to use set percentages but I know that plenty do. I'm from the Stan Wienstien (I'm sure I spelled both names wrong, I mean both syllables of the last name) school of stop losses.

With German names like that, the last vowel of the ie or ei is the one pronounced. So it would be Stan Weinstein (as in winestyne). Easy, eh? River (just a German girl from Canada)

billyjoe
06-23-2007, 06:25 PM
River,
Correct again. I'm a German with the Wei start and most people incorrectly pronounce the "e" instead of the "i".

-----------billyjoe wei....

Tatnic
06-23-2007, 09:32 PM
With German names like that, the last vowel of the ie or ei is the one pronounced. So it would be Stan Weinstein (as in winestyne). Easy, eh? River (just a German girl from Canada)

I've heard his name pronounced as .....wine-steen. Since I'm a total moron when it comes to remembering spelling I plead ignorance. But the name of his book is Profiting in Bull and Bear markets, and its a great read. I believe its his only book but its a friggen masterpiece fer sure.

Tatnic
06-23-2007, 09:33 PM
With German names like that, the last vowel of the ie or ei is the one pronounced. So it would be Stan Weinstein (as in winestyne). Easy, eh? River (just a German girl from Canada)

I've heard his name pronounced as .....wine-steen. Since I'm a total moron when it comes to remembering spelling I plead ignorance. But the name of his book is Profiting in Bull and Bear markets, and its a great read. I believe its his only book but its a friggen masterpiece fer sure.

Tatnic
06-23-2007, 09:41 PM
I've heard his name pronounced as .....wine-steen. Since I'm a total moron when it comes to remembering spelling I plead ignorance. But the name of his book is Profiting in Bull and Bear markets, and its a great read. I believe its his only book but its a friggen masterpiece fer sure.

how did that happen? I'm at a different location for the summer, with the luxury of wireless broad band, so I'm still getting used to this wonderful technology. In the fall I'll have to resort back to dial up modems...man I'm not looking forward to that.

riverbabe
06-24-2007, 06:45 AM
I've heard his name pronounced as .....wine-steen. Since I'm a total moron when it comes to remembering spelling I plead ignorance. But the name of his book is Profiting in Bull and Bear markets, and its a great read. I believe its his only book but its a friggen masterpiece fer sure.

I have his book, altho must confess I haven't yet had the time to read it! (on the to-do list!!!). But I love the picture of him on the cover, with the BIIIIIGGG HAIR and his finger pointing right at me. LOL! River

Peter Hansen
06-24-2007, 08:29 PM
Amtrust Financial AFSI Offers insurance coverage . Close 8/22/07 at $18.26 but is UNDERVALUED and its true worth is $24.86 , according to Vector Vest. Earnings Growth Rate is forecasted at 22 % per year . Earnings Yield is 6.41 and PE is 15.61. Sales growth is 76% per year and the chart looks good! Due to the Volatile nature of this stock Vector Vest does recommend an 18% TSL.

Peter Hansen
06-24-2007, 09:03 PM
Grey Wolf GW closed 6/22/07 at $8.60 and is UNDERVALUED and its true worth is $11.40 according to Vector Vest. GW provides onshore drilling services to the oil and gas industry . Operations are in South Texas, the Gulf Coast , the Arkansas-Louisiana-texas region, the Mississippi and Alabama region, and the Rocky Mountain region.
Earnings yield is 10.69, PE is 9.35 and the chart looks good.
Why I like it :

1) I own it and hope others will buy and jack the price up LOL. GW has been good to me and returned 26% in 40 days....and I believe still more Upside.
2) In 2002 revenue was 250M and in 2006 it was 706M
3) in 2006 the company was selling for 1.3 Billion and 140 million cash flow. the cash flow is huge
4) Currently GW has close to 121 drills rigs in operation.

5) GW has small and large customers but does NOT get more than 10% of its revenue from any ONE customer .

6) 70% of all new homes come with natural gas . Nobody wants a big oil tank in the ground and all the EPA problems that go with it ....spring a leak in your tank ....and U may be in for a 30,000 clean up bill !

7) natural gas is still low .....and as it rises ......so will GW!

8) The market for natural gas is big and getting bigger . Demand is high and supply is limited .....an investors "wet dream"

Bottom line .....I think money can be made here. I think a 10% TSL would be OK !

riverbabe
06-25-2007, 05:09 AM
Hey Pete. I used to have GW. Found it probably the most boring stock I have ever owned. It just didn't go anywhere. Was even a Poorman's favorite for a while. Just looked at the chart and see that it has moved up nicely in the last couple of months. So, I'm happy somebody (like you) is finally making some money on it. I just didn't have the PATIENCE and guess I still don't. Good luck and all the best with it. River

Peter Hansen
06-25-2007, 09:04 AM
Hey Pete. I used to have GW. Found it probably the most boring stock I have ever owned. It just didn't go anywhere. Was even a Poorman's favorite for a while. Just looked at the chart and see that it has moved up nicely in the last couple of months. So, I'm happy somebody (like you) is finally making some money on it. I just didn't have the PATIENCE and guess I still don't. Good luck and all the best with it. River

River thanx for your input. I do have a 15% TSL on GW , but if the stock begins to falter ....I will take my money and run.

Tatnic
06-25-2007, 12:34 PM
Grey Wolf GW closed 6/22/07 at $8.60 and is UNDERVALUED and its true worth is $11.40 according to Vector Vest. GW provides onshore drilling services to the oil and gas industry . Operations are in South Texas, the Gulf Coast , the Arkansas-Louisiana-texas region, the Mississippi and Alabama region, and the Rocky Mountain region.
Earnings yield is 10.69, PE is 9.35 and the chart looks good.
Why I like it :

1) I own it and hope others will buy and jack the price up LOL. GW has been good to me and returned 26% in 40 days....and I believe still more Upside.
2) In 2002 revenue was 250M and in 2006 it was 706M
3) in 2006 the company was selling for 1.3 Billion and 140 million cash flow. the cash flow is huge
4) Currently GW has close to 121 drills rigs in operation.

5) GW has small and large customers but does NOT get more than 10% of its revenue from any ONE customer .

6) 70% of all new homes come with natural gas . Nobody wants a big oil tank in the ground and all the EPA problems that go with it ....spring a leak in your tank ....and U may be in for a 30,000 clean up bill !

7) natural gas is still low .....and as it rises ......so will GW!

8) The market for natural gas is big and getting bigger . Demand is high and supply is limited .....an investors "wet dream"

Bottom line .....I think money can be made here. I think a 10% TSL would be OK !


you're pushing it pete....ie, #6. Tanks were buried in the old days but not any more. Most people with oil heat use a 275 steel tank that sits quitely in the basement, in plain site. But I do own GW and like the chart....its just one of many in its class but it happens to be in demand right now.

mrmarket
06-25-2007, 02:25 PM
KTCC still doing research but looks good ..watch it !

It sure is cheap..but I'm not too crazy about its falling revenues.

Peter Hansen
06-25-2007, 05:03 PM
It sure is cheap..but I'm not too crazy about its falling revenues.

Mr M I fully concur , upon closer analysis of KTCC, I decided to pass on this one.

Peter Hansen
06-25-2007, 05:15 PM
Tat I know that the technology has improved and that oil tanks have improved in quality. The newer homes in my area all have gas heat , and I like that better for the convenience . Oil deliveries can sometimes be a pain in the ass. I read in the paper awhile back a guy had his tank removed from the basement ; however, the outside pipe that led to the oil tank was never removed . Someone screwed up and he did have a flood of oil in his basement.
I did remember the clean up bill was huge .

Tatnic
06-27-2007, 09:14 AM
...just noticed this up pretty strong in pre-market. Got an exclusive order agreement for some secret ingrediant from the orient....yada yada. Could be good for a bounce even with a lousy market back-drop.

Peter Hansen
06-27-2007, 09:21 AM
Siliconware ( SPIL ) 6/25/07 close at $11.01 but its current value should be $18.23 according to Vector Vest. SPIL provide semiconductor packaging and testing services including advanced leadframe and substrate packages and testing for logic, mixws signal and memory devices.
SPIL has a forecasted annual earnings growth rate of 29%, a pE of 14.12, and Earnings Yield of 7.09.SPIL pays an annual dividend of 25 cents or approximately 2.3%. It also has a sales growth of 63% per year. Needless to say .....I smell money to be made here ! The charts looks nice and SPIL seems to be bouncing off of its 20 day SMA!

Peter Hansen
06-28-2007, 08:36 AM
Winthrop Realty Trust ( FUR ) close 6/27/07 $6.64 but it is UNDERVALUED and its true value should be $9.43 according to Vector Vest. Fur operates as an Investment Real Estate Trust .
FUR had some problems , but when Bruce Berkowitz , manager of the Fairholme Capital Hedge Fund ) joined in 2000 things began to change for the better. Winthrop realty began to generate POSITIVE cash flow in 2004, when a brand new management team took over on 1/1/04. Fairholme owns about 6% of all FUR outstanding shares and other executives and board members own about 31%. ( I love to see companies where the owners have a sizeable interest in the company )
FUR has a Warren Buffet type of philosophy , and basically it buys properties that are selling cheap, primarily because they are not doing well. Then it uses its expertise to turn property from a money loser into a money maker. When the new management took over in 2004, the company owned 2 properties taotaling 650,000 square feet, today it owns 8.2 million square feet of properties, with some big name tenants which include Verizon, Duke energy , just to name 2. Several of their properties have sweet heart leases in which the tenant pays for real estate taxes, building insurance and all maintance of the building.
The Chart Below gives you some indication of their fundamentals:

Winthrop Realty Trust: growing assets, cash flows, shareholders equity, and dividends
(Millions of dollars, except per share amounts)


2003
2004
2005
2006

Net Cash Flow from Operations
-$3.7
$3.9
$15.9
$27.7

Total Assets
146.8
290.0
658.8
851.6

Shareholder Equity
96.7
120.1
159.6
323.6

Total Dividends to Common Shares
--
--
$3.9
$16.0

Dividends per Share
--
--
$0.11
$.30


Bottom line ....with good management , good financials FUR looks to be a long term growth investment .....NOW may be the time to add FUR to your portfolio.

Tatnic
06-28-2007, 09:38 AM
Tat I know that the technology has improved and that oil tanks have improved in quality. The newer homes in my area all have gas heat , and I like that better for the convenience . Oil deliveries can sometimes be a pain in the ass. I read in the paper awhile back a guy had his tank removed from the basement ; however, the outside pipe that led to the oil tank was never removed . Someone screwed up and he did have a flood of oil in his basement.
I did remember the clean up bill was huge .

But you never see any homes exploding because of an oil leak...didn't I just read about an entire brownstone in Manhattan being leveled because of a gas explosion? I've always had oil heat and never had any problems. But that's not gonna affect the price of GW stock.

billyjoe
06-28-2007, 05:00 PM
AAPL looks very good to at least $120

Newborn,
Awesome prediction. I'm completely out @120.35. Gain of 36%. May get back in when i-phone hoopla settles. Thanks

-------------billyjoe

New-born baby
06-28-2007, 05:29 PM
Newborn,
Awesome prediction. I'm completely out @120.35. Gain of 36%. May get back in when i-phone hoopla settles. Thanks

-------------billyjoe

Mucho congrats to you, BillyJoe.

spikefader
06-28-2007, 05:50 PM
... I'm completely out @120.35. Gain of 36% ...
-------------billyjoe
Grats on th' green!

Using yearly candlesticks, she looks like she's late in a 3 up. Using monthly candlesticks looks late in a 3 up. The 100 to 104 zone sure will be tempting. That would be a 13-20% discount billyjoe; worth lookin' fer?

I think the bias remains long, although the rating has dropped to +40.

skiracer
06-28-2007, 06:17 PM
smart move on your part billyjoe. take the money and run. very volitaile right now especially with things almost totally dependent on how well the new phone is received. would you pay $600 for a phone and another 60 a month to run it. plenty of room for those in under this level to take the money and run. take a look at the weekly chart and you'll see just how much profit taking is there between this level and this most recent climb. i bought the Aug. $110 puts (QAATB) this morning. i think it falls back to under $100 on any negative news regarding the new phone. how many of these phones do you think they are going to have to sell to prop up a stock price at this level and higher. and at this point who would pay $120 plus for this stock. it just stalled out at the $127 level and that's a 7 point drop to todays closing.

spikefader
06-28-2007, 11:06 PM
smart move on your part billyjoe. take the money and run. very volitaile right now especially with things almost totally dependent on how well the new phone is received. would you pay $600 for a phone and another 60 a month to run it. plenty of room for those in under this level to take the money and run. take a look at the weekly chart and you'll see just how much profit taking is there between this level and this most recent climb. i bought the Aug. $110 puts (QAATB) this morning. i think it falls back to under $100 on any negative news regarding the new phone. how many of these phones do you think they are going to have to sell to prop up a stock price at this level and higher. and at this point who would pay $120 plus for this stock. it just stalled out at the $127 level and that's a 7 point drop to todays closing.
Reckon ya got a very good chance o' those puts rewarding, ski. Fuzzy count http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/viewtopic.php?p=2711#2711

http://img440.imageshack.us/img440/9186/aaplputstk8.gif

skiracer
06-29-2007, 06:45 AM
Reckon ya got a very good chance o' those puts rewarding, ski. Fuzzy count http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/viewtopic.php?p=2711#2711

http://img440.imageshack.us/img440/9186/aaplputstk8.gif

somewhat expensive put but i like the spot and the amount of shares i have leveraged. we'll see but everytime i open my mouth about one of my plays it almost always goes the other way. i would take a few points drop and get out with a few bucks.

New-born baby
06-29-2007, 09:10 AM
I like the $120 AUG puts better . . . but I like the $110 calls (sell 'em!) best. That's a $15.90 selling price . . . meaning that if AAPL is less than $125.90 on the third Friday in August, you win. I think AAPL may bottom at $105, although from a strictly technical view it may bottom in the upper $90's. However I think the stock is too bullish to go that low. In any case, I wish you well Ski. I am going to play AAPL short, too.

Thanks for the post, Spike. I like it when you count!

Peter Hansen
06-29-2007, 04:17 PM
[QUOTE=Tatnic;83822]But you never see any homes exploding because of an oil leak...didn't I just read about an entire brownstone in Manhattan being leveled because of a gas explosion? I've always had oil heat and never had any problems. But that's not gonna affect the price of GW stock.[/Q

Tat the brownstown you refer to in Manhatten was owned by a doctor who was in a messy divorce.....he was worried that he would lose the brownstone in divorce proceedings. Apparently he turned on the gas and blew himself and the building to hell.......the GAS company cant be rsponsible for assholes like that LOL!

Peter Hansen
06-29-2007, 05:06 PM
L3 Communications Hldgs , Inc. ( LLL ) is a high defense spending world wide corporation. It closed 6/28/08 at $96.71 whic is UNDERVALUED compared to its real value of $134.11 , according to Vector Vest.
LLL has as its customers the Dept Of Defgense, Homeland Security, U.S. Intelligence Agencies , NASA, aerospace firms, and commercial telecommunications and wireless customers. A basic premise of LLL is to be in every facet of defense dealing with security and surveillance, and as such has become the Pentagon's 9th largest contractor. It has done so by buying every piece of intelligence from the 80 companies it has acquired. The companies it acquired specialized in telemetry, X-Ray Technology , explosion detecting, ground radar and magnetic imagery.

Other Salient Points.

1) Current annual cash flow EXCEEDS 1 BILLION
2) Since inception annual growth rate of 38%
3) Contracts in place for over 1500 new projects.
4) A back log of orders currently at 7.9 BILLION , a 900 million increase over last year. ( Wait for the effects of that near bombing in Lodon ...orders will pour in as Europe panics. )
5) Just landed a contract to outfit Beijing Airport with explosion detectors and definitely in the "Sweet Spot" to land contracts for the 100 Billion China will spend to beef up security and communications for the 08 Olympics.

Fundamentals..... Just look below ......Real sweet!




10-Yr Income
L-3 Communications Holdings LLL


Income Statement As originally reported

Revenue (from 1997 to 2006) $Mil Fiscal year-end: December




1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 TTM
Revenue --- 1,037.1 1,405.5 1,910.1 2,347.4 4,011.2 5,061.6 6,897.0 9,444.7 12,476.9 12,872.8
COGS --- 936.7 1,255.0 --- --- 3,408.4 4,290.2 5,935.6 8,215.5 11,197.8 11,622.2



Gross Profit --- 100.4 150.5 --- --- 602.9 771.4 961.4 1,229.2 1,279.1 1,250.6

Operating Expenses $Mil
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 TTM
SG&A --- --- --- --- --- 114.1 137.6 141.6 166.8 --- ---
R&D --- --- --- --- --- 34.8 52.8 71.2 65.7 --- (18.2)
Other --- (NaN) 0.0 1,687.3 2,072.1 (NaN) 0.0 (NaN) NaN 168.2 120.2



Operating Income --- 100.4 150.5 222.7 275.3 454.0 581.0 748.6 996.7 1,110.9 1,148.6

Other Income and Expense $Mil
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 TTM
Net Int Inc & Other --- (46.9) (55.1) (88.6) (89.1) (123.8) (147.2) (151.9) (208.4) (286.3) (288.6)



Earnings Before Taxes --- 53.5 95.4 134.1 186.2 330.2 433.8 596.7 788.3 824.6 860.0
Income Taxes --- 20.9 36.7 51.4 70.8 117.9 156.2 214.8 279.8 298.5 310.7



Earnings After Taxes --- 32.6 58.7 82.7 115.5 212.3 277.6 381.9 508.5 526.1 549.3
Acctg Changes --- --- --- --- --- (24.4) --- --- --- --- ---
Disc Operations --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Ext Items --- --- --- --- --- (9.9) --- --- --- --- ---



Net Income --- 32.6 58.7 82.7 115.5 178.1 277.6 381.9 508.5 526.1 549.3
Diluted EPS, Cont Ops$ --- 0.63 0.88 1.19 1.48 2.29 2.71 3.33 4.20 4.22 4.38
Diluted EPS$ --- 0.63 0.88 1.19 1.48 1.93 2.71 3.33 4.20 4.22 4.38
Shares --- 51 67 69 85 97 106 117 121 124 125

While doing research at Ameritrade I discovered that LLL filed a K-8 disclosure with the SEC on 8/21/06, indicating that the CEO will take home 9.8 million and other Executives will take home 1-2.5 times their annual salary if there is a change in company ownership.......DEFINITELY a signal that a BUYOUT is coming down the road.
This company is DEFINITELY worth looking into!
LLL is definitely a prize plum ......and other bigger companies will snap it up !

riverbabe
06-30-2007, 03:14 PM
Pete, you asked for more eye candy? ;)

Tatnic
07-01-2007, 08:43 AM
Newborn,
Awesome prediction. I'm completely out @120.35. Gain of 36%. May get back in when i-phone hoopla settles. Thanks

-------------billyjoe

Good trade....I see the line in the sand at 117.5 (closing basis).

Or it needs to make a new high (close over 125), then its a new ball game.

Tatnic
07-01-2007, 08:54 AM
Good trade....I see the line in the sand at 117.5 (closing basis).

Or it needs to make a new high (close over 125), then its a new ball game.

should have read a close above 125.09 is a new ballgame.

Tatnic
07-01-2007, 08:56 AM
somewhat expensive put but i like the spot and the amount of shares i have leveraged. we'll see but everytime i open my mouth about one of my plays it almost always goes the other way. i would take a few points drop and get out with a few bucks.


ski...I'm sure this won't be your first loss, and you could pull this one out if the market shits the bed next week, but why did/do you think aapl was destined to top out here?

riverbabe
07-01-2007, 06:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by skiracer
somewhat expensive put but i like the spot and the amount of shares i have leveraged. we'll see but everytime i open my mouth about one of my plays it almost always goes the other way. i would take a few points drop and get out with a few bucks.



ski...I'm sure this won't be your first loss, and you could pull this one out if the market shits the bed next week, but why did/do you think aapl was destined to top out here?

Ski, FWIW I think his sharkness is seeing what you're seeing?

"We were stopped out of our AAPL trade yesterday. The stock did bounce back today and may still see the window dressing and iPhone action we anticipated but it will be a day trade at this point. We would be very hesitant to stay in this name once the iPhone hype cools off next week."

Peter Hansen
07-01-2007, 07:30 PM
River yes I did ask for some " EYE Candy " But wow,,,,, you gave me the whole candystore ......What a great photo........... I really think it would be impossible for you to take a bad picture LOL

skiracer
07-01-2007, 09:17 PM
ski...I'm sure this won't be your first loss, and you could pull this one out if the market shits the bed next week, but why did/do you think aapl was destined to top out here?

Tatnic,
in all honesty i don't think the new phone is going to be that strong to drive sales and earnings enough to provide the impetus for the hedge funds and institutional money to flood into this stock at these recent prices and levels. maybe the retail guys will be fooled but the institutions will be selling into their buying as they take their profits from the 90 levels. take a look at the daily chart and you can see the money in under these levels and the room for profit taking. friday was a pretty good example of the momo players at work during the morning into the mid afternoon and then the swoon back as they took their profits selling into any strength at the end of the day.
it topped out at 127 back in the beginning of june and and that was the real point to short or buy puts as it fell back to 115 range. that was followed by a decent gap up to 125 and it couldn't hold that level either as it pulled back from that point to fill the previous gap up. actually there is a small symetrical triangle forming, which in itself is bullish, from that gap up until the present but the candles are showing me that the strength is just not there at these prices.
it is also sitting right on it's 20 ema which it has been riding throughout this entire uptrend. if it breaches the 20 ema the 50 ma is at 112. there is plenty of room for profit taking. take a look at spikes chart on it. it's at the end of the 3rd wave up and the 4th wave could take it to the 50 ma. another thing is that the PSAR, except for a couple of brief moments, has been on the bottom throughout this entire uptrend since back in mid april. that's bearish.
i bought the puts at the 3 range and am down about .16 or so right now. my gut is telling me it is ripe for a fall and the puts were the cheapest way for me to leverage the most shares. also the markets could play havoc with it if they tank at all which i feel they are due for a correction of sorts. any move down with the markets or some disturbing news about the new phone will provide what i am looking for and i'm not looking to get rich but only to take a few bucks out of it.
one other thing. you're a smart guy. are you rushing out to buy the stock or the call options at these prices. i always ask myself that question first. I'm not and wouldn't so i like it the other way. i'm holding 15 contracts at 3.

Tatnic
07-02-2007, 08:17 AM
could be a screwy week...futures up this am but we're still in that doji phase.




Tatnic,
in all honesty i don't think the new phone is going to be that strong to drive sales and earnings enough to provide the impetus for the hedge funds and institutional money to flood into this stock at these recent prices and levels. maybe the retail guys will be fooled but the institutions will be selling into their buying as they take their profits from the 90 levels. take a look at the daily chart and you can see the money in under these levels and the room for profit taking. friday was a pretty good example of the momo players at work during the morning into the mid afternoon and then the swoon back as they took their profits selling into any strength at the end of the day.
it topped out at 127 back in the beginning of june and and that was the real point to short or buy puts as it fell back to 115 range. that was followed by a decent gap up to 125 and it couldn't hold that level either as it pulled back from that point to fill the previous gap up. actually there is a small symetrical triangle forming, which in itself is bullish, from that gap up until the present but the candles are showing me that the strength is just not there at these prices.
it is also sitting right on it's 20 ema which it has been riding throughout this entire uptrend. if it breaches the 20 ema the 50 ma is at 112. there is plenty of room for profit taking. take a look at spikes chart on it. it's at the end of the 3rd wave up and the 4th wave could take it to the 50 ma. another thing is that the PSAR, except for a couple of brief moments, has been on the bottom throughout this entire uptrend since back in mid april. that's bearish.
i bought the puts at the 3 range and am down about .16 or so right now. my gut is telling me it is ripe for a fall and the puts were the cheapest way for me to leverage the most shares. also the markets could play havoc with it if they tank at all which i feel they are due for a correction of sorts. any move down with the markets or some disturbing news about the new phone will provide what i am looking for and i'm not looking to get rich but only to take a few bucks out of it.
one other thing. you're a smart guy. are you rushing out to buy the stock or the call options at these prices. i always ask myself that question first. I'm not and wouldn't so i like it the other way. i'm holding 15 contracts at 3.

Peter Hansen
07-02-2007, 08:42 AM
KTCC and ENA were selected by my "Stock Signal Pro " stock selection program ,and as such one or both of these picks should be profitable for the short term. Since they are both high spec stocks....the program recommends going LONG ENA @ 6.75 and then setting a STOP at $6.45, Go LONG KTCC @ $5.10 placing your stop loss at $5.00. The author of the program always recommends placing many eggs in one basket ......but ALWAYS have a tight stop on that basket.

Peter Hansen
07-03-2007, 08:43 AM
4 quick ones for you JASO and ARGN probably the best bets ...HSPO and MOBL for the penny stock cowboys. I think BEST choice of the 4 is JASO. As the street vendors on 42nd street in NYC used to say , while handing out the Massage Parlor Fliers........."CHECK IT OUT"

riverbabe
07-03-2007, 08:50 AM
4 quick ones for you JASO and ARGN probably the best bets ...HSPO and MOBL for the penny stock cowboys. I think BEST choice of the 4 is JASO. As the street vendors on 42nd street in NYC used to say , while handing out the Massage Parlor Fliers........."CHECK IT OUT"

Up almost 20% in a week. LOVE JASO

Tatnic
07-03-2007, 09:59 AM
Up almost 20% in a week. LOVE JASO

WFR is the king of all things solar. But I also like jaso and will probably lose it because I wrote july 35's against it last week....moron!

Peter Hansen
07-03-2007, 09:59 AM
Up almost 20% in a week. LOVE JASO

River I hope ya have a TSL on JASO to protect that 20%. The TSL should be about as tight as that Bikini you are wearing. LOL I have set my TSL at 8%

riverbabe
07-03-2007, 10:57 AM
River I hope ya have a TSL on JASO to protect that 20%. The TSL should be about as tight as that Bikini you are wearing. LOL I have set my TSL at 8%


Peter, thank you looking out for my best interests here. Don't like the terms and conditions of trailing stops at Scottrade. Have put in hard stop at 36.99. Will run with that with decent gain and get in later in a p/b. River

Tatnic
07-03-2007, 05:06 PM
Tatnic,
in all honesty i don't think the new phone is going to be that strong to drive sales and earnings enough to provide the impetus for the hedge funds and institutional money to flood into this stock at these recent prices and levels. maybe the retail guys will be fooled but the institutions will be selling into their buying as they take their profits from the 90 levels. take a look at the daily chart and you can see the money in under these levels and the room for profit taking. friday was a pretty good example of the momo players at work during the morning into the mid afternoon and then the swoon back as they took their profits selling into any strength at the end of the day.
it topped out at 127 back in the beginning of june and and that was the real point to short or buy puts as it fell back to 115 range. that was followed by a decent gap up to 125 and it couldn't hold that level either as it pulled back from that point to fill the previous gap up. actually there is a small symetrical triangle forming, which in itself is bullish, from that gap up until the present but the candles are showing me that the strength is just not there at these prices.
it is also sitting right on it's 20 ema which it has been riding throughout this entire uptrend. if it breaches the 20 ema the 50 ma is at 112. there is plenty of room for profit taking. take a look at spikes chart on it. it's at the end of the 3rd wave up and the 4th wave could take it to the 50 ma. another thing is that the PSAR, except for a couple of brief moments, has been on the bottom throughout this entire uptrend since back in mid april. that's bearish.
i bought the puts at the 3 range and am down about .16 or so right now. my gut is telling me it is ripe for a fall and the puts were the cheapest way for me to leverage the most shares. also the markets could play havoc with it if they tank at all which i feel they are due for a correction of sorts. any move down with the markets or some disturbing news about the new phone will provide what i am looking for and i'm not looking to get rich but only to take a few bucks out of it.
one other thing. you're a smart guy. are you rushing out to buy the stock or the call options at these prices. i always ask myself that question first. I'm not and wouldn't so i like it the other way. i'm holding 15 contracts at 3.


I'm not nearly as smart as the market. AAPL broke above my line in the sand, ie 125 so I should be buying it here but probably won't.

Peter Hansen
07-04-2007, 06:16 AM
Now if I were trying to find my way to Riverbabe's house, wouldn't I want the best navigation device available? Trimble Navigation TRMB which closed at $32.30 on 6/29/07 would probably make that GPS.
Back in 1978 Charles Trimble and 2 other partners from Hewlett-Packard purchased the GPS technology from HP and founded Trimble Navigation. TRMB was among the first companies to integrate GPS technology with communications technology. Users could now locate anything on the face of the earth, and share information and messages at the same time .

TRMB Highlights

1) Since 1979 TRMB revenues have grown from 270 million to 940 million in 2006.
2) Earnings have grown 46% annually over the past 5 yrs
3) For 1st quarter 2007, ending March 30th, revenue was $285.7 million , up approximately 27% from revenue of 225.9 million 1st quarter of 2006.
4) TRMB has plenty of CASh and negligible debt.
5) TRMB has been acquiring smaller compatible companies and is expanding into internaional markets

TRMB with its good financials and excellent management team may be worthy of a slot in your portfolio.

skiracer
07-04-2007, 12:15 PM
it didn't go as expected and i'm out at a loss of 50.00 per contract for a 750.00 loss on the put options. i like the same puts at these levels and would consider another play thursday once i see which way the wind is going to blow. if this level (127) holds as resistance (it did last week) then those puts at 1.45 range might look more attractive. one thing about the options is that they are not anywhere as easy to exit (find a buyer) as when trading a stock. way past a 7% loss. more like 16/17%. tuesdays whole days gains were predicated on a news bite that AAPL was going to have a very big profit margin on each new iphone sold. i read that it was around 250.00 per phone net but before advertising and other marketing costs were plugged in so it's probably a bit less than the 250.00. i still think it is being driven by the retail guys and that the institutional money is selling into any strength. stopped tuesday right on that resistance at 127. thursday will be an interesting day for AAPL.

riverbabe
07-05-2007, 05:58 AM
T-Mobile is a division of Deutsche Telekom. A daily chart of DT follows this article. (Sorry it's small, but it should give you some idea). River
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

July 5, 2007
State of the Art
IPhone-Free Cellphone News
By DAVID POGUE
Man, oh man. How’d you like to have been a PR person making a cellphone announcement last week, just as the iPhone storm struck? You’d have had all the impact of a gnat in a hurricane.

But hard to believe though it may be, T-Mobile did make an announcement last week. And even harder to believe, its new product may be as game-changing as Apple’s.

It’s called T-Mobile HotSpot @Home, and it’s absolutely ingenious. It could save you hundreds or thousands of dollars a year, and yet enrich T-Mobile at the same time. In the cellphone world, win-win plays like that are extremely rare.

Here’s the basic idea. If you’re willing to pay $10 a month on top of a regular T-Mobile voice plan, you get a special cellphone. When you’re out and about, it works like any other phone; calls eat up your monthly minutes as usual.

But when it’s in a Wi-Fi wireless Internet hot spot, this phone offers a huge bargain: all your calls are free. You use it and dial it the same as always — you still get call hold, caller ID, three-way calling and all the other features — but now your voice is carried by the Internet rather than the cellular airwaves.

These phones hand off your calls from Wi-Fi network to cell network seamlessly and automatically, without a single crackle or pop to punctuate the switch. As you walk out of a hot spot, fewer and fewer Wi-Fi signal bars appear on the screen, until — blink! — the T-Mobile network bars replace them. (The handoff as you move in the opposite direction, from the cell network into a hot spot, is also seamless, but takes slightly longer, about a minute.)

O.K., but how often are you in a Wi-Fi hot spot? With this plan, about 14 hours a day. T-Mobile gives you a wireless router (transmitter) for your house — also free, after a $50 rebate. Connect it to your high-speed Internet modem, and in about a minute, you’ve got a wireless home network. Your computer can use it to surf the Web wirelessly — and now all of your home phone calls are free.

You know how people never seem to have good phone reception in their homes? How they have to huddle next to a window to make calls? That’s all over now. The free router is like a little T-Mobile cell tower right in your house.

Truth is, the HotSpot @Home phones work with any Wi-Fi (802.11b/g) router, including one you may already have. But T-Mobile’s routers, manufactured by D-Link and Linksys, have three advantages.

First, you turn on the router’s encryption — to keep neighbors off your network — by pressing one button, rather than having to fool with passwords. Second, these routers give priority to calls, so that computer downloads won’t degrade your call quality. Third, T-Mobile’s routers greatly extend the phone’s battery life. The routers say, in gadgetese, “I’m here for you, any time,” just once, rather than requiring the phone to issue little Wi-Fi “Are you there?” pings every couple of minutes.

T-Mobile was already a price leader in the cellphone game. But the HotSpot @Home program can be extremely economical, in four ways.

SAVING NO. 1 It’s not just your calls at home that are free; you may also get free calls at your office, friends’ houses, library, coffee shops and so on — wherever Wi-Fi is available. You can access both unprotected and password-protected Wi-Fi networks (you just enter the password on the phone’s keypad).

The phone has a built-in Search for Networks feature. Once you select a wireless network, the phone memorizes it. The next time you’re in that hot spot, you’re connected silently and automatically.

There’s one big limitation to all this freeness: these phones can’t get onto any hot spot that require you to log in on a Web page (to enter a credit card number, for example). Unfortunately, this restriction rules out most airports and many hotel rooms.

There’s one exception — or, rather, 8,500 of them: T-Mobile’s archipelago of hot spots at Starbucks, Borders and other public places. In these places you encounter neither the fee nor the Web-page sign-in that you would encounter if you were using a laptop; the words “T-Mobile Hot Spot” simply appear at the top of your screen, and you can start making free calls.

The cool part is that, depending on how many calls you can make in hot spots, the Wi-Fi feature might permit you to choose a much less expensive calling plan. If you’re a heavy talker, you might switch, for example, from T-Mobile’s $100 plan (2,500 minutes) to its $40 plan (1,000 minutes). Even factoring in the $10 HotSpot @Home fee, you’d still save $600 a year.

SAVING NO. 2 T-Mobile’s billing system isn’t smart enough to notice handoffs between Wi-Fi and cellular networks. So each call is billed according to where it begins. You can start a call at home, get in your car, drive away and talk for free until the battery’s dead.

The opposite is also true, however; if you begin a call on T-Mobile’s cell network and later enter a Wi-Fi hot spot, the call continues to eat up minutes. If HotSpot @Home catches on, therefore, the airwaves will reverberate with people coming home and saying, “Hey, can I call you right back?”

SAVING NO. 3 When you’re in a hot spot, T-Mobile has no idea where you are in the world. You could be in Des Moines, Denmark or Djibouti. So this is a big one for travelers: When you’re in a hot spot overseas, all calls to United States numbers are free.

SAVING NO. 4 T-Mobile’s hope is that you’ll cancel your home phone line altogether. You’ll be all cellphone, all the time. And why not, since you’ll now get great cell reception at home and have only one phone number and voicemail? Ka-ching: there’s an additional $500 a year saved.

Have T-Mobile’s accountants gone quietly mad? Why would they give away the farm like this?

Because T-Mobile benefits, too. Let’s face it: T-Mobile’s cellular network is not on par with, say, Verizon’s. But improving its network means spending millions of dollars on new cell towers. It’s far less expensive just to hand out free home routers.

Furthermore, every call you make via Wi-Fi is one less call clogging T-Mobile’s cellular network, further reducing the company’s need to spend on network upgrades.

In principle, then, HotSpot @Home is a revolutionary, rule-changing, everybody-wins concept. But before you go canceling lines and changing calling plans, consider a few small flaws.

At the moment, you have a choice of only two phones: the Nokia 6086 and Samsung t409. Both of these are small basic flip phones (both $50 after rebate and with two-year commitment). They sound terrific; over Wi-Fi, in fact, they produce the best-sounding cellphone calls you’ve ever made. But the screens are small and coarse, and the features limited. Fortunately, T-Mobile intends to bring the HotSpot @Home feature to many other phones in the coming months.

The Wi-Fi sucks power, too; these phones get 6.5 hours of talk time on the cell network, but only 4 hours over Wi-Fi.

Finally, T-Mobile eventually intends to price the service at $20 a month, or $30 for family plans. Only people who sign up during the introductory period (now through an unspecified end date) will be offered the $10 price, or $20 for families.

Even at the higher price, you could still come out ahead. With HotSpot @Home, T-Mobile has taken a tremendous step into the future. Most phone companies cower in fear when you mention voice calls over the Internet (Skype, Vonage and so on). After all, if the Internet makes the price approach zero, who will pay for phone service?

But T-Mobile has found a way to embrace and exploit this technology to everyone’s benefit. The result is a smartly implemented, technologically polished, incredibly inexpensive way to make over your phone lifestyle.

E-mail: Pogue@nytimes.com

http://img481.imageshack.us/img481/5240/dtat3.png

Peter Hansen
07-05-2007, 07:14 AM
Aluminum Corp Of China ( ACH ) closed 7-3/07 at $48.62 The company is interesting because it is the 2nd largest Alumina producer in the world. Alumina is the raw material used to produce aluminum, and since China is booming, so is ACH's business. ACH supplies 70% of all aluminum products used in China . China's demand for Al is up 40% this year alone, making it the LARGEST user of aluminum in the world.
Unfortunately Aluminum smelters produce large amounts of pollutants which spill into China's rivers. With the Olympics coming in 2008, China wishes to clean up the environment and make Beijing and the Olmpic area a showpiece for the world. To do this China is shutting down the polluting smaller companies, and placing severe environmental requirements on all new companies starting in the business. FORTUNATELY ACH's plants already meet all requirements placing it in the "Cat Bird" seat. Selling more aluminum in China for ACh is like shooting fish in a barrel , and you have all the big guns.
ACH is in the process of buying up the smaller opeators and thereby increasing its production capacity by 300,000 tons per year.
China is also the LARGEST user of copper, and ACH ( Just Happened ) to buy Peru copper for 792 million , and It also spent 73 million for a 44% stake in a copper facility in Shanghai, and they are pouring in an aditional 144 million to triple the production of copper. Between now and the 2008 Olympics there is nothing to stop this cash cow from making tons of money.
Goldman Sachs recently upgraded ACH's shares and almost DOUBLED its 12 month price target. The chart looks super, and with the olympics and construction boom in China .......my advice would be to hop on board this express train . ACH is really a no brainer stock to buy for long term profits.

spikefader
07-05-2007, 11:20 PM
Wow huh.

http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/userpix/2_Chart_of_AAPL_1.gif (http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/viewtopic.php?p=2801#2801)

skiracer
07-06-2007, 06:47 AM
Wow huh.

http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/userpix/2_Chart_of_AAPL_1.gif (http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/viewtopic.php?p=2801#2801)
talk about being on the wrong side of the street. they see something that i don't.

Tatnic
07-06-2007, 05:50 PM
it didn't go as expected and i'm out at a loss of 50.00 per contract for a 750.00 loss on the put options. i like the same puts at these levels and would consider another play thursday once i see which way the wind is going to blow. if this level (127) holds as resistance (it did last week) then those puts at 1.45 range might look more attractive. one thing about the options is that they are not anywhere as easy to exit (find a buyer) as when trading a stock. way past a 7% loss. more like 16/17%. tuesdays whole days gains were predicated on a news bite that AAPL was going to have a very big profit margin on each new iphone sold. i read that it was around 250.00 per phone net but before advertising and other marketing costs were plugged in so it's probably a bit less than the 250.00. i still think it is being driven by the retail guys and that the institutional money is selling into any strength. stopped tuesday right on that resistance at 127. thursday will be an interesting day for AAPL.


I don't believe for a second that aapl is being driven up by mom and pop...not for a second. Aapl is the grandaddy of all things tech and any institutional investor worth their salt is buying this and showcasing it.

Just because its high-priced doesn't mean its expensive.

skiracer
07-06-2007, 06:43 PM
I don't believe for a second that aapl is being driven up by mom and pop...not for a second. Aapl is the grandaddy of all things tech and any institutional investor worth their salt is buying this and showcasing it.

Just because its high-priced doesn't mean its expensive.

Did you buy any or take any position in it at all Tatnic. I don't think it is being driven only by retail, and calling it mom and pop gives it a much more unsophisticated ring, but by sophisticated momentum traders that are capitalizing on this wave of buying on the new phone. I still like it to go down and bought the 110 and 115 puts this morning. I think you are going to hear some bad news about the phones that is going to bring the whole thing back to earth. But who knows. You can only put your money where your mouth is. That first trade certainly didn't work out for me but I made it on what I believed. We'll see how the 2nd round goes this coming week. I'm looking for any negative news and I am hearing some negative whisperings about the phone.

New-born baby
07-06-2007, 07:02 PM
$135 for sure with the breakout now . . . maybe $150.

I noticed that the second day after you bought the puts that a symmetrical triangle formed, and then two days later it busted out with power: up $5.97 in one day.

This dog may even run to $150.

skiracer
07-06-2007, 08:06 PM
that was followed by a decent gap up to 125 and it couldn't hold that level either as it pulled back from that point to fill the previous gap up. actually there is a small symetrical triangle forming, which in itself is bullish,

i saw that in the chart initially but still liked it to the downside. I still like it to the downside but that's what makes a horserace. that and
not talking about the play but making it and doing what you have to do to manage the trade. they can't all be winners.

New-born baby
07-06-2007, 09:29 PM
i saw that in the chart initially but still liked it to the downside. I still like it to the downside but that's what makes a horserace. that and
not talking about the play but making it and doing what you have to do to manage the trade. they can't all be winners.

I still like to hear about your trades and set ups. I like your reasonings, too. I took AAPL short also, and got burned for $56, so you are not alone.

Tatnic
07-07-2007, 07:40 AM
Did you buy any or take any position in it at all Tatnic. I don't think it is being driven only by retail, and calling it mom and pop gives it a much more unsophisticated ring, but by sophisticated momentum traders that are capitalizing on this wave of buying on the new phone. I still like it to go down and bought the 110 and 115 puts this morning. I think you are going to hear some bad news about the phones that is going to bring the whole thing back to earth. But who knows. You can only put your money where your mouth is. That first trade certainly didn't work out for me but I made it on what I believed. We'll see how the 2nd round goes this coming week. I'm looking for any negative news and I am hearing some negative whisperings about the phone.

Like I said, it should have been bought when it made a new high but also like I said, I probably won't. I think that will be a small mistake on my part. There's just so many potential trades out there and we can't possibly play them all. But I think if you took that $750 you lost, and bought one long call you'd get your money back and then some.

Tatnic
07-07-2007, 08:46 AM
Like I said, it should have been bought when it made a new high but also like I said, I probably won't. I think that will be a small mistake on my part. There's just so many potential trades out there and we can't possibly play them all. But I think if you took that $750 you lost, and bought one long call you'd get your money back and then some.

just one last comment: I think you managed that trade well enough, no question. But you haven't come to the right conclusion about it. You still think it (the stock price) should go down, in the face of conclusive evidence to the contrary. That's not managing your emotions properly. I think that the fact that the bears are screaming that the iphone is garbage and we hear about the battery problems, yada yada, yet the stock price is killing the bears...this all means to me that the price will go much higher than the bears can imagine.

To prove my point, I'll take the $750 you lost, and buy a long call and see what happens by the end of the year ( I hate the premiums in those options but that's do in large part to the strength of the stock and the relatively high price). This is obviously not a trade to make any real money but more to prove my point. But I'd be willing to guess that I can at least double my money by the end of the year.

skiracer
07-07-2007, 08:58 AM
that's what makes a horserace. I still like it to take a dump but we'll all have to wait and see. I can't imagine buying it here and paying over $130 for it. I bought those 110 and 115 puts on Friday morning and paid .70 and 1.15 respectively which even though the stock went down slightly the puts still lost about .05 for the day. Emotions have nothing to do with it believe me. I just think the stock is way overpriced at these levels and the earnings and sales don't justify the price based on the hope that the phone sales will drive the stock price up.

Al1000
07-07-2007, 11:07 AM
Aluminum Corp Of China ( ACH ) closed 7-3/07 at $48.62 The company is interesting because it is the 2nd largest Alumina producer in the world. Alumina is the raw material used to produce aluminum, and since China is booming, so is ACH's business. ACH supplies 70% of all aluminum products used in China . China's demand for Al is up 40% this year alone, making it the LARGEST user of aluminum in the world.
Unfortunately Aluminum smelters produce large amounts of pollutants which spill into China's rivers. With the Olympics coming in 2008, China wishes to clean up the environment and make Beijing and the Olmpic area a showpiece for the world. To do this China is shutting down the polluting smaller companies, and placing severe environmental requirements on all new companies starting in the business. FORTUNATELY ACH's plants already meet all requirements placing it in the "Cat Bird" seat. Selling more aluminum in China for ACh is like shooting fish in a barrel , and you have all the big guns.
ACH is in the process of buying up the smaller opeators and thereby increasing its production capacity by 300,000 tons per year.
China is also the LARGEST user of copper, and ACH ( Just Happened ) to buy Peru copper for 792 million , and It also spent 73 million for a 44% stake in a copper facility in Shanghai, and they are pouring in an aditional 144 million to triple the production of copper. Between now and the 2008 Olympics there is nothing to stop this cash cow from making tons of money.
Goldman Sachs recently upgraded ACH's shares and almost DOUBLED its 12 month price target. The chart looks super, and with the olympics and construction boom in China .......my advice would be to hop on board this express train . ACH is really a no brainer stock to buy for long term profits.


At the moment ACH is at 47.29$. Peter, what do you think what is the best time to go in? Do you know what is its 1y target est? P/E is really good and technical data look great (http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ACH&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=0). Is there any spec. topics on this forum about ACH?

Tatnic
07-07-2007, 11:08 AM
that's what makes a horserace. I still like it to take a dump but we'll all have to wait and see. I can't imagine buying it here and paying over $130 for it. I bought those 110 and 115 puts on Friday morning and paid .70 and 1.15 respectively which even though the stock went down slightly the puts still lost about .05 for the day. Emotions have nothing to do with it believe me. I just think the stock is way overpriced at these levels and the earnings and sales don't justify the price based on the hope that the phone sales will drive the stock price up.

Your anger or whatever emotion you call it is causing you not to see the chart, which is clearly BULLISH. Its possible that you have picked the absolute top for the stock but I say the odds are very slim that you have.

And since when does a high price mean anything? Do you think Goog is too expensive here just because the price is high? I disagree. That doesn't mean I think its the best trade out there but just because something is high priced doesn't mean its not cheap.

riverbabe
07-07-2007, 11:13 AM
At the moment ACH is at 47.29$. Peter, what do you think what is the best time to go in? Do you know what is its 1y target est? P/E is really good and technical data look great (http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ACH&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=0). Is there any spec. topics on this forum about ACH?

I know you addressed this to Peter, but I can direct you to the new posts in the thread "The Spirit of 76 Top 5". There are some interesting comments there, including re. ACH. Good luck. Riverbabe.

skiracer
07-07-2007, 12:05 PM
Your anger or whatever emotion you call it is causing you not to see the chart, which is clearly BULLISH. Its possible that you have picked the absolute top for the stock but I say the odds are very slim that you have.

And since when does a high price mean anything? Do you think Goog is too expensive here just because the price is high? I disagree. That doesn't mean I think its the best trade out there but just because something is high priced doesn't mean its not cheap.

and your biased authoratativeness and assumptions about my emotions only show me that it is useless to try to explain anything to you. just like the assumption about not having troops in Cambodia. Another pure unadulaterated assumption not knowing anything about the topic. you have missed every point i was trying to make in having your mind made up about the stock and the trade already so what's the use. You wouldn't be happy if I were to kiss your ****ing ass on State and Broad St. so what's the use. I was as honest about the trade and my feelings on making the trade plus the outcome of the first trade. I made my feelings on the second option play before the entire forum. Yet you have so much to say about the play but haven't taken a ****ing nickel out of your pocket to show your confidence. Spare me the bullshit. Put your money up or shut up.

Tatnic
07-07-2007, 05:08 PM
and your biased authoratativeness and assumptions about my emotions only show me that it is useless to try to explain anything to you. just like the assumption about not having troops in Cambodia. Another pure unadulaterated assumption not knowing anything about the topic. you have missed every point i was trying to make in having your mind made up about the stock and the trade already so what's the use. You wouldn't be happy if I were to kiss your ****ing ass on State and Broad St. so what's the use. I was as honest about the trade and my feelings on making the trade plus the outcome of the first trade. I made my feelings on the second option play before the entire forum. Yet you have so much to say about the play but haven't taken a ****ing nickel out of your pocket to show your confidence. Spare me the bullshit. Put your money up or shut up.

you're one angry dude. Ever wonder how it affects your trading?

skiracer
07-07-2007, 05:16 PM
you're one angry dude. Ever wonder how it affects your trading?

and your so typical.

billyjoe
07-07-2007, 05:24 PM
I'm happy with a nice gain after holding many months, but as soon as I sold it made its fastest move in either direction since at least January. Very few people I associate with saw this coming. Most expected if anything that it would drop quickly even if they expected a long term uptrend. It's all a crapshoot in my opinion.

-----------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
07-08-2007, 10:45 AM
I know you addressed this to Peter, but I can direct you to the new posts in the thread "The Spirit of 76 Top 5". There are some interesting comments there, including re. ACH. Good luck. Riverbabe.

River I will definitely check that out .that is what I love about this site ....we all watch each other's backs ......although an investor is the one to finally pull the trigger......it is nice to rcceive other opinions.

Peter Hansen
07-08-2007, 10:50 AM
At the moment ACH is at 47.29$. Peter, what do you think what is the best time to go in? Do you know what is its 1y target est? P/E is really good and technical data look great (http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ACH&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=0). Is there any spec. topics on this forum about ACH?

A1000 I go to www.bigcharts.com and looking at the chart of ACH perhaps when the stock hit its 20 SMA that would be a good buy point. It seems after hitting that 20 SMA, it appears to bounce up off of that resistance.

Peter Hansen
07-08-2007, 08:18 PM
New Oriental Education EDU close 7/6/07 $56.59 is based in China and provides educational courses. Its largest business is from young Chinese wishing to learn English. Many Chinese wish to come to America to live the "American Dream' .....and they know that English is their ticket out of crowded, low paying polluted China.
Courses are taught at many locations in China and business is booming. EDU is making money , and with the 2008 Olympics coming ....the government is placing an emphasis on learning English .
The chart and fundamentals good......EDU may be worth a spot in your Portfolio.

Peter Hansen
07-09-2007, 07:46 AM
CKSW may be in for a run her ....if you buy it set a 15% TSL

Peter Hansen
07-09-2007, 08:49 AM
Just recieved an email for this PInk Sheet Pump and Dump GDVM. This is definitely one for the river boat gamblers......only a quick in or out ......I will watch it ......just to see what happens .....too bad I could not short this turkey!

Peter Hansen
07-09-2007, 10:06 PM
CKSW may be in for a run her ....if you buy it set a 15% TSL

ClickSoftware Technologies, LTD CKSW provides mobile workforce management and service optimization solutions.

Why I like CKSW:

1) It is PROFITABLE with 20M in CASH and No debt!
2)Revenues increased form 22.7M in 2004, to 24.1M in 2005, and 32.4M in 2006
3) Is a good candidate for a Takeover by a major corp like SAP or Oracle.
5) Chart looks good
6) Earnings report is due on 7/25 and is expected to beat all expectations.

Once again perhaps a 15% TSL would be appropriate here.


GOOD LUCK TO ALL!

Peter Hansen
07-10-2007, 07:44 AM
The Dow, Nasdaq and S & P have been chugging along. but the Chinese and Brazilian markets have been on fire. To capture these gains without picking just one or 2 stocks in each , I would recommend ETF's for both these countries. Specifically EWZ (Brazil) Close 7/9/07 $65.38 and FXI (China) close 7/9/07 $138.74. A good entry point seems to be when both pull back to their 20 day SMA . I like www.bigcharts.com for excellent free graphs!

Tatnic
07-10-2007, 10:05 AM
and your so typical.

whatever that means....as I said I woiuld, I took your small loss and put it to work. I sold the august 130 put yesterday for $6.6...6 weeks to wait.

Peter Hansen
07-12-2007, 07:55 AM
EMC Corp ( EMC ) close 7/11/07 $18.92 , helps organizations of every size, worldwide to keep their most essential digital information saved, protected, secure, continuously available and easily accessible. Maybe some of you had EMC back in 2000 when the bubble burst and 90% of its value was gone, but EMC today is a horse of a different color.

Some Salient Points:

1. EMC has been in a "Base" trading range for the past 4 yrs moving between $9.50 and $15.00.
2. EMC recently broke out of the 4 yr trading range on "Heavy" volume. This usually indicates heavy institutional accumulation.
3. The old resistance of $15 has now become the new support level.
4. Joe Tucci one of the BEST restructuring guys in the business joined in 2001, and took over as CEO in January 20006.
5. Joe strengthened EMC's management team with integration of executives from other major companies.
6. The stock trades 30,000,000 plus shares per day.
5. The stock has been "Dead as Casey's Nuts" lately because since 2001 24 companies have been acquired by EMC.
6. EMC allows companies to do more with less. They help oraganizations to extract the maximum value from their infromation, at the lowest total cost , across every point in the information lifecycle, through utilization of a mangement cycle called (ILM ) Information Lifecycle Management.
7.The stock has "DOUBLED" over the last 18 months !

Mr Tucci appears to have all his ducks in a row, and with institutional buying coming in ....defintely EMC will now begin its ride up.
Vector Vest recommends a TSL of 12% and for the option players buy the 2009 Jan 10 call option.

Good Luck To All!

Peter Hansen
07-12-2007, 08:50 AM
ICO inc ( ICOC ) close 7/11/07 $11.40 is UNDERVALUED according to Vector Vest and its true value should be $13.65. It has a PE of 16.29, Earnings yield of 6.11, an annual growth rate of 18%, a sales growth of 19% and a P/S (Price to sales) of .85 ! Since12/27/06 ICOC is up a blazing 109%.
ICOC serves the global petrochemical, energy, and steel industries by providing high tech equipment and services for petrochemical processing and oilfield services.
ICOC is definitelyy a fast horse , and you may be thrown, but an old adage comes to mind, "He who hesitates to take that first step........will be doomed to spend his entire life life on one leg" If you choose to purchase ICOC Vector Vest, suggests an 18% trailing Stop Loss.

billyjoe
07-12-2007, 11:12 AM
Pete,
EMC will retain approx. 88% of VMware after it's highly anticipated IPO spinoff. I'd like to know if EMC shareholders will get some of the VMware stock. Can anyone explain a probable scenario? Thanks

---------------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
07-13-2007, 06:39 AM
Peanuts , I really have no answer for that . Maybe we can ask ......one of the insiders. LOL

Peter Hansen
07-13-2007, 07:02 AM
Never catch a falling knife, but AHM may be one to watch.

Salient points

1. Close 7/12/07 $14.45 Closed at $34.62 1/3/07

2. Has a PE of 4 WOW

3. Has an Earnings yield of 4.20

4. has Price To Sales of .35

5. PAYS ( Hang On To Your Hats ) Dividend of $2.80 or a blazing 19.4%


I need some input on this one ......What Say You?

peanuts
07-13-2007, 07:03 AM
Peanuts , I really have no answer for that . Maybe we can ask ......one of the insiders. LOL

Sorry Peter, I've forgotten the question.... Did I ask something?

I've been checking out ACH, lately. They are paying peanuts for Peru Copper's (CUP) assets in the ground... for shareholders sakes, I hope they don't end up with monkeys. China shutting down bauxite smelters throughout the country is not good, even for ACH. I think this CUP acquisition is just the beginning for ACH... they will need to continue their expansion, which may hurt shareholder value in the short term. Long term, if this company stays on track, it should be a HUUUUUUGE winner.

Peter Hansen
07-13-2007, 07:17 AM
Sorry Peter, I've forgotten the question.... Did I ask something?

I've been checking out ACH, lately. They are paying peanuts for Peru Copper's (CUP) assets in the ground... for shareholders sakes, I hope they don't end up with monkeys. China shutting down bauxite smelters throughout the country is not good, even for ACH. I think this CUP acquisition is just the beginning for ACH... they will need to continue their expansion, which may hurt shareholder value in the short term. Long term, if this company stays on track, it should be a HUUUUUUGE winner.

Peanuts this one has been a winner for me .

Peter Hansen
07-13-2007, 08:59 AM
HOKU and NVTL...... are as the Kingfish would say " Lawdy Honey Child. Dees Sho Be 2 Fine Stox." NOT buy and hold .......but set type stops and take both for a ride . Some info for the 2 follow below:

HOKU Hoku Scientific Inc 7/12/2007



Last: Change: Open: High: Low: Volume:

13.70 0.47 13.50 14.39 13.50 7,166,300

Percent Change: Yield: P/E Ratio: 52 Week Range:

3.55% n/a n/a 2.12 to 14.39



Company Data

Company Name: Hoku Scientific Inc

Dow Jones Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Exchange: NASDAQ GM

Shares Outstanding: 16,531,000

Market Cap: 226.5 Million

Short Interest: 847,423 (5.13%)

52-Week EPS: -0.17

52-Week High: 14.39 on Thursday, July 12, 2007

52-Week Low: 2.12 on Wednesday, August 16, 2006

P/E Ratio: n/a

Yield: n/a

Average Price: 6.86 (50-day) 4.99 (200-day)

Average Volume: 4,118,200 (50-day) 1,782,900 (200-day)


NVTL Novatel Wireless Inc 7/12/2007



Last: Change: Open: High: Low: Volume:

27.19 1.74 25.71 27.45 25.66 1,871,000

Percent Change: Yield: P/E Ratio: 52 Week Range:

6.84% n/a 67.98 8.11 to 27.45



Company Data

Company Name: Novatel Wireless Inc

Dow Jones Industry: Telecommunications Equipment

Exchange: NASDAQ GM

Shares Outstanding: 30,423,000

Market Cap: 827.2 Million

Short Interest: 8,368,865 (27.51%)

52-Week EPS: 0.40

52-Week High: 27.45 on Thursday, July 12, 2007

52-Week Low: 8.11 on Thursday, November 02, 2006

P/E Ratio: 67.98

Yield: n/a

Average Price: 23.32 (50-day) 14.77 (200-day)

Average Volume: 1,302,400 (50-day) 1,169,900 (200-day)

New-born baby
07-13-2007, 09:17 AM
HOKU just exploded out of a two year cup . . . could retest the lip of the cup, but price target is $29.75 on a $13.70 stock. Maybe buy and hold wouldn't be too bad.

NVTL: another cup explosion, this time with a price target of $46 (current price $27.19). It, too, may retest the lip of the cup, but it sports a pretty chart also.

peanuts
07-13-2007, 09:31 AM
HOKU just exploded out of a two year cup . . . could retest the lip of the cup, but price target is $29.75 on a $13.70 stock. Maybe buy and hold wouldn't be too bad.

NVTL: another cup explosion, this time with a price target of $46 (current price $27.19). It, too, may retest the lip of the cup, but it sports a pretty chart also.

who ever heard of HOKU? Who? :D http://www.mrmarketishuge.com/showpost.php?p=62390&postcount=119

riverbabe
07-13-2007, 09:38 AM
HOKU and NVTL...... are as the Kingfish would say " Lawdy Honey Child. Dees Sho Be 2 Fine Stox."

LOL! Dating yourself Peter??? River

Peter Hansen
07-13-2007, 09:46 AM
River needless to say ......I have been around awhile ....54 yrs......but hey I am young at heart........ and not ready for the glue factory yet LOL

Peter Hansen
07-13-2007, 10:09 AM
HOKU just exploded out of a two year cup . . . could retest the lip of the cup, but price target is $29.75 on a $13.70 stock. Maybe buy and hold wouldn't be too bad.

NVTL: another cup explosion, this time with a price target of $46 (current price $27.19). It, too, may retest the lip of the cup, but it sports a pretty chart also.

NB I always love your technical analysis ......thank You !

riverbabe
07-13-2007, 02:15 PM
LOL! Dating yourself Peter??? River

I was talking about Amos n Andy, not Huey Long! (dating myself!)

New-born baby
07-13-2007, 02:26 PM
Never catch a falling knife, but AHM may be one to watch.

Salient points

1. Close 7/12/07 $14.45 Closed at $34.62 1/3/07

2. Has a PE of 4 WOW

3. Has an Earnings yield of 4.20

4. has Price To Sales of .35

5. PAYS ( Hang On To Your Hats ) Dividend of $2.80 or a blazing 19.4%


I need some input on this one ......What Say You?

Wait for the $2 entry.

Really.

Hey, if those FA figures you quote were really accurate, do you think people would really be selling off AHM? No, I think insiders are dumping shares. I don't want to pick them up until they prove to me, via the chart, that the FA is accurate.

IF I threw up a four year weekly chart on AHM, you'd see that she busted years long support at $18, and both Dow Theory and PnF charting screams the $2 target for the bottom. I'd just look for another bull and forget this cow. May I suggest ICE?

Best to ya, Pete!

spikefader
07-13-2007, 06:34 PM
LOL Newborn, we're on the same page again. I rate AHM a -90% stock, and reckon that you may not be too far wrong on the target there.

Peter Hansen
07-13-2007, 08:42 PM
Nb The Figures were obtained from Vector Vest.....AHM lost another 2.5% today, well on a positive note ......the dividend is now 2.80/14.09 = 19.87% .
Then again .....what good is a dividend if the stock goes belly up ......oh well I will keep watching and wait for an upturn. Spike thanx for your confirmation.

mrmarket
07-13-2007, 09:35 PM
EMC Corp ( EMC ) close 7/11/07 $18.92 , helps organizations of every size, worldwide to keep their most essential digital information saved, protected, secure, continuously available and easily accessible. Maybe some of you had EMC back in 2000 when the bubble burst and 90% of its value was gone, but EMC today is a horse of a different color.

Some Salient Points:

1. EMC has been in a "Base" trading range for the past 4 yrs moving between $9.50 and $15.00.
2. EMC recently broke out of the 4 yr trading range on "Heavy" volume. This usually indicates heavy institutional accumulation.
3. The old resistance of $15 has now become the new support level.
4. Joe Tucci one of the BEST restructuring guys in the business joined in 2001, and took over as CEO in January 20006.
5. Joe strengthened EMC's management team with integration of executives from other major companies.
6. The stock trades 30,000,000 plus shares per day.
5. The stock has been "Dead as Casey's Nuts" lately because since 2001 24 companies have been acquired by EMC.
6. EMC allows companies to do more with less. They help oraganizations to extract the maximum value from their infromation, at the lowest total cost , across every point in the information lifecycle, through utilization of a mangement cycle called (ILM ) Information Lifecycle Management.
7.The stock has "DOUBLED" over the last 18 months !

Mr Tucci appears to have all his ducks in a row, and with institutional buying coming in ....defintely EMC will now begin its ride up.
Vector Vest recommends a TSL of 12% and for the option players buy the 2009 Jan 10 call option.

Good Luck To All!



I also like EMC here...earnings earnings earnings

Websman
07-13-2007, 10:10 PM
GOFH will drop to .10 by the end of the year.

New-born baby
07-14-2007, 12:15 AM
Nb The Figures were obtained from Vector Vest.....AHM lost another 2.5% today, well on a positive note ......the dividend is now 2.80/14.09 = 19.87% .
Then again .....what good is a dividend if the stock goes belly up ......oh well I will keep watching and wait for an upturn. Spike thanx for your confirmation.

I am not saying anything against you, Pete. But Vector Vest must be looking backwards for those figures, not forwards. Nobody throws a 20% divy away. At least, no rational person.

Peter Hansen
07-14-2007, 07:12 AM
Just came across a stock IIIN and according to Morningstar 10K placed into this one in 2002 is currently worth 640k .....Oh my Achin' back!

Sector Industrial Materials
Stock Type Cyclical



Morningstar Stock Grades

Growth C-
Profitability A
Financial Health A+

Definitely more research is needed .Perhaps this would be good long term hold in a Roth IRA for a child ?

New-born baby
07-14-2007, 07:21 AM
Just came across a stock IIIN and according to Morningstar 10K placed into this one in 2002 is currently worth 640k .....Oh my Achin' back!

Sector Industrial Materials
Stock Type Cyclical



Morningstar Stock Grades

Growth C-
Profitability A
Financial Health A+

Definitely more research is needed .Perhaps this would be good long term hold in a Roth IRA for a child ?

Chartwise, we are looking at a price target of $27.50. I don't want it below $16. Support right there at $20. Could be a takeover candidate.

Peter Hansen
07-14-2007, 08:46 AM
NB you have a good point there, perhaps a buyout of IIIN is inevitable. IIIN is only up 12.% YTD and has traded pretty flat since 2006 .......who knows? As far as steel goes, POSCO ( PKX ) is up 81% YTD and clearly the winner here. Maybe that Mittel steel guy or PKX will be a buyer of IIIN? I am sure IIIN has lost business to foreign competition........take care and God bless!

Tatnic
07-14-2007, 03:50 PM
Just came across a stock IIIN and according to Morningstar 10K placed into this one in 2002 is currently worth 640k .....Oh my Achin' back!

Sector Industrial Materials
Stock Type Cyclical



Morningstar Stock Grades

Growth C-
Profitability A
Financial Health A+

Definitely more research is needed .Perhaps this would be good long term hold in a Roth IRA for a child ?

IIIN is one of many on my list of watch stocks....it got there because its returns over the past 5 and 10 year period have been outstanding. However, you can't make money on past performance and its been stuck in the mud for quite a while now. It did pop up last week above 20, but there's no volume and it dropped back. I'm pretty sure it will eventually get going but in the meantime, there's others out there more "ready" in the steel sector.

Peter Hansen
07-14-2007, 09:36 PM
During World war II it was considered bad luck for soldiers sitting in a foxhole to light up 3 smokes with one match. The reason was quite obvious. The additional time required was sufficient fo a Japanese sniper to place his X-hairs on the victim and BANG ......Sayanora ....a bullet through the head , and unfortunately a bad way to end the smoking habit.
The 3 stocks I mention today may not blow a hole in your portfolio......but rather may blast it into orbit.

TWIN UP 131.4% YTD, MIVA UP 121.9% YTD and MHJ Up only a mere 88.19% YTD.

Twin Disc Inc. ( TWIN ) Close 7/13/07 $81.81.
1) TWIN is involved in the design , manufacture , and sale of marine and heavy duty equipment , primarily in the US , and has been around since 1918.
2) PE is 16.83, EY 5.94, and P/s of 1.60
3) Earnings growth of 22% and sales growth 35% per year.
4) The chart looks good.

MIVA Inc. ( MIVA ) Close 7/13/07 $7.50

1) MIVA operates as an online media and advertising network company in Europe and North America.
2) Basically MIVA's fundamentals are lacking; however, it may be taken over by either Google, Yahoo or Microsoft.

Man Sang Holdings ( MHJ ) Close 7/13/07 $9.29.

1) MHJ is involved in the purchasing, processing , and assembling merchandise, and wholesale distribution of Pearls, Pearl Jewelry , and other Jewelry products worldwide.
2) It owns prime real estate acreage in the booming Shenzhen China area.
3) MHJ owns 55% of a project under development called China pearl and Jewelry City or CP&J City. The project will be completed in mid 2008 , but sales and leases in the area are on the upswing and real estate values are going through the roof.
4) MHJ has 40 .7 Million in CASH and NO Debt.
5) With about 55% of the float owned by 3 large US institutional investors, only 2.9 million shares are left for public trading.

MHJ is a sleeper ........but I look for big profits down the road.

Peter Hansen
07-15-2007, 10:54 AM
Received this mailing ,generally not fond of OTCBB stocks or pink sheets .....ANY OPINIONS ON THIS STOCK?



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MANAS PETROLEUM CORP (OTCBB: MNAP) - GREAT ARTICLE BY EQUITY RESEARCH


ORIGINAL ALERT INFO :
ALERT DATE & PRICE: APR 23rd, 2007 / $3.60
ALERT EMAIL: CLICK HERE
CURRENT PRICE: $5.15
CURRENT % ROI: +43%
COMPANY CONTACT INFO:
Manas Petroleum Corp.
Bahnhofstr. 9, P.O. Box 155
CH-6341 Baar
Switzerland
Phone: (41) 144-718-1030
Fax: (41) 144-718-1039
Email: info@manaspete.com
Web: www.manaspetroleum.com

INVESTOR RELATIONS INFO:
Tatjana Rosenast
Phone: (41) 144-718- 1032
Email: info@manaspete.com
This weekend I was planning on writing an in-depth piece on Manas about the recent pullback in the stock. Then I ran across this great write-up on Manas by Equity Research and I feel it's just best to send the complete article out to our members instead. They do a great job on sizing up the entire situation. Here you go:

-------------------------------

Manas Petroleum Corp. buying opportunity

Only two weeks ago we discussed the fall of InterOil Corp. as the company's thousands of put options (if converted they would total well over 7 millions shares) combined with an attack by short-selling hedge funds and mildly-dissappointing drill results, triggered an avalanche of selling of interOIl shares. On its second day one of America's leading analysts (at Raymond James Financial), said IOC's shares had fallen too far. By the fourth following what totalled a 58% plunge they issued a strong buy with a price target nearly 250% higher than the IOC share crash low.

MANAS GETS MUGGED
Now it is Manas Petroleum's Corp. (OTCBB: MNAP) turn to tumble. The only similarity is that they share some of the same financiers as InterOil (Clarion Finanz) and they appear to also be the victim of a short attack, judging from the tenor and source of the selling. Manas has a relatively illiquid market and most of its shares are held by insiders and are restricted from selling. The market activities of hedge-funds and market makers acting as a loosely cooperative group are difficult to prove but sometimes too obvious to not notice. We note that most of the aggressive Manas selling was by market makers which had never been seen in the market before.

In the United States market makers are allowed to sell shares they do not own on downticks, therefore if they have the margin or capital they can in an illiquid market effectively drive the price of a share down. They do this in the hope they frighten investors into selling too. If Investors sell the market makers can then buy back or cover their short position at a lower price and pocket this difference. It is unfair and unethical and it is common. Market makers and hedge funds acting in concert can really create havoc in a market as we have seen.

If the market makers and hedge funds do not manage to frighten enough investors into selling, they always have the option of moving the position around (buying from other cooperative market makers or hedge funds who then assumed the short position) to stay within the 11 days market makers are allowed to be short. This rotating of the position is possible as long as they have the capital and it is profitable as long as the stock is falling. In interOIl's case they were helped by a less than exciting news release regarding the company's Elk 2 exploration well.

BUY OF THE CENTURY?
In Manas Petroleum's case their news release is highly positive and reaffirms our expectation that more company-building (and share price boosting) deals are in its pipeline. Manas has just more than tripled its Fergana Basin acreage to over 11,000 acres with the addition of its Tajikistan license. Recall that the United States Geological Survey estimates 3 billion barrels (produce-able) remain in the same structures Manas Petroleum and partner Santos are testing in the basin. Manas is also in the advanced stages of negotiations regarding the licenses farm-out.

Our guess and it is just a guess, is that the Manas farm-out will amount to something similar to their current deal with Santos. This means the company will have more than $100 million allocated towards the exploration and development of what is arguably some of the most prospective real estate in the Fergana Basin. This is not good news - IT IS GREAT NEWS! And it further confirms our expectation that they will continue to build their portfolio of high quality projects while minimizing financial risk.

Remember UK-based petroleum Engineers Scott Pickford (now part to the rather large RPS group) gave the Manas/Kyrgyz licenses first 10 "known" under-thrust structures 1.2 billion barrels (STOIIP). For a so-called exploration play (or is a lot of it really closer to development?) it is a brilliant beginning.

The question now is what does the Manas/Tajik license (which is adjacent to one of the highest potential Manas/Kyrgyz licenses) do to these estimates? Double or triple them ? And what about the over $200 million Chinese energy giant CNOOC is spending right next door? For now the company is not saying anything. We should expect in the coming months some kind of estimate and our guess is - judging by how fast it looks to be farmed out - it will be good.

In the news release the company makes clear that other deals may be on the horizon and we expect they will be as world-class as what they already have.

We are continuing to buy Manas Petroleum shares and consider this a great opportunity. Manas is creating a diversified and major oil asset base that we think is likely to make it a compelling take-over candidate at much higher prices. We hear every day the heads of super giants such as of Shell, BP and Apache describe how hard it is to find large high impact oil assets to develop. Manas is doing what they are having trouble doing: finding and acquiring giant exploration assets.

THE BIG PICTURE
But what could the Manas projects eventually be in the end be worth? The future valuation of these assets is relatively simple to estimate. For example to the North of the Manas Kyrgyz project, CNOOC acquired PetroKazkistan for $4 billion and last winter CITIC paid Canadian Nation's Energy approximately $1.9 billion for a 340 million barrel oil field or over $5 per barrel. It was a good bench mark for what the near term saleability and value of what Manas is developing in Central Asia. Note that these prices were paid BEFORE the energy crunch became obvious. Will $5 per barrel be the going price? We doubt it.

In areas closer to Europe (such as Manas Petroleum's Albanian project) and with more diversified oil asset packages such as what Manas is working to develop, the price is currently above $10 per barrel and increasing. For example the Chevron-Texaco take over of Unocal was at about $12 per barrel but that was when oil prices were a lot lower. Consider that these take overs have occured in an environment of $60 or less oil prices and in the face of considerable skepticism that oil prices would move higher and we suggest that these take over bench marks will increase in the future. We have previously mentioned the Harrison Lovegrove study which demonstrated that worldwide, attactive exploration and development opportunities are becoming increasingly rare. Manas has these opportunities and this is why major oil companies continue to come to Manas to develop its projects.

Note that oil now trades above $70, and oil consumption remains strong. All evidence is that oil supply will become more restricted in the near future. Only yesterday Claude Mandill the head of the International Energy Agency warned that "World oil demand will rise faster than expected to 2012 while production lags, leading to a supply crunch" We know that the IEA has raised its projected call (added demand) for OPEC crude as non-OPEC production continues to decline and consumption grows. The agency expects the call on OPEC crude to grow by 2.5 million barrels per day by this fall! This effectively eliminates OPEC's spare capacity cushion and makes it highly likely that oil prices will mover dramatically higher from here. The bull market continues.

IMPORTANT REMINDER: Before investing into any of our featured companies, please watch the "How to prepare for a trade" tutorial under the "Investing 101" tab.



MEXORO MINERALS LTD. (OTCBB: MXOM) - UP 8.3%!

Peter Hansen
07-15-2007, 08:51 PM
Received this E-mail from from Taipan Financial ......Taser may be worth a 2nd look?

Investing in Taser: Near Two-Year Highs

Technically and fundamentally, the arguments for upside are sound.

If you're looking for a near-term pullback in the stock, don't hold your breath. The best price you'll see near-term is $18, which is quickly being approached with each passing day. You also have to take into consideration the massive short covering. Twenty seven percent of the 57.79 million-share-float are short.

Are higher price levels out of the question? Not with the Taser C2 product hitting the market.

For a reported $350 retail price tag, you can order your own Taser. Less powerful than the police version, the C2 shoot barbs that pierce the skin and deliver an incapacitating jolt of electricity. TASER brags about the C2's "incredible take down power." Plus, Taser C2 barbs have a reported reach of up to 15 feet with the ability to cut through two inches of clothing.

With many of the sales-curbing factor now behind the company, a $25 price target is highly conservative.

Consider Taser (TASR:NASDAQ) under $18, and/or the January 2008 15 calls (LXFAC).

skiracer
07-15-2007, 09:17 PM
Received this E-mail from from Taipan Financial ......Taser may be worth a 2nd look?

Investing in Taser: Near Two-Year Highs

Technically and fundamentally, the arguments for upside are sound.

If you're looking for a near-term pullback in the stock, don't hold your breath. The best price you'll see near-term is $18, which is quickly being approached with each passing day. You also have to take into consideration the massive short covering. Twenty seven percent of the 57.79 million-share-float are short.

Are higher price levels out of the question? Not with the Taser C2 product hitting the market.

For a reported $350 retail price tag, you can order your own Taser. Less powerful than the police version, the C2 shoot barbs that pierce the skin and deliver an incapacitating jolt of electricity. TASER brags about the C2's "incredible take down power." Plus, Taser C2 barbs have a reported reach of up to 15 feet with the ability to cut through two inches of clothing.

With many of the sales-curbing factor now behind the company, a $25 price target is highly conservative.

Consider Taser (TASR:NASDAQ) under $18, and/or the January 2008 15 calls (LXFAC).

Pete,
I posted on TASR quite awhile back when it was just under $8 a share. I played it in the POTY contest then and bought a large quantity of it between 7.8 and 8.20. Still holding it as it has now more than doubled from my initial entry. Not saying that anyone has missed the boat, only about 7 or 8 points, but apparently no one was reading or listening then either. $8 would have been a much better entry point than $18 don't you think. I'm surprised that Doug hasn't been claiming that he discovered the play on the ILL 100 now that you have posted on it. I think that any entry right here will prove to be profitable over the longer term but procrastinating about the play will not produce the same gains that making the play does.

billyjoe
07-15-2007, 09:45 PM
Pete,
I've got TWIN rated #1 in the $80-$100 category and MIVA in the top 3 of stocks under $10. TWIN eps is up 104% in last 52 weeks.


--------billyjoe

Websman
07-15-2007, 09:51 PM
I like TASR, but I'm really liking PDGT.PK.

Yea I know....It's a Pink Sheet stock, but the product has real potential.

New-born baby
07-15-2007, 10:02 PM
Pete,
I've got TWIN rated #1 in the $80-$100 category and MIVA in the top 3 of stocks under $10. TWIN eps is up 104% in last 52 weeks.


--------billyjoe

Billy,
How do you rate ICE these days (in the over $100 category?)

Peter Hansen
07-16-2007, 06:23 AM
PKX Korean Steel Stock Mega Star will rise today ........sure as the sun comes up .......hope you are in it .GOOD LUCK!

billyjoe
07-16-2007, 08:35 AM
Billy,
How do you rate ICE these days (in the over $100 category?)

Sorry,New-born but ICE is a little cold in my rating system.

Stocks over $100

NOV---355
CLB---336
PCP---329
ICE---288----This really isn't a true comparison since my initial screen only included stocks with >75% appreciation and >75% EPS gain in last 52 weeks. I'll watch these 4 stocks and report change in next 30 days starting July 16th.

------------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
07-16-2007, 08:53 AM
Versar Inc ( VSR ) close 7/13/07 $12.99 is UNDERVALUED according to Vector Vest who says its true value is $18.03 .

Forecasted EGR of 30%
P/E 10.15
E/Y 9.84
P/S 3.12
Sales Growth 118% per year

Definitely worth throwing some coins in this one !

Peter Hansen
07-17-2007, 08:22 AM
MHJ (Jewlery and China Real estate ) UP 32.94% YESTERDAY close at $12.47
With small float this stock still has room to run and is up in after hours !

VSR ( Waste and disposal services ) UP 10.85% YESTERDAY close at 14.40

Maybe wait for pullback on VSR.

See Posts above ......I still love the undervalued MHJ ......watch that baby run !
Yeah keep on truckin ......daddy needs a new pair of shoes !

Peter Hansen
07-17-2007, 08:26 AM
USMO .....No technical Bull Jive on this one ...........simply nice chart, Mobile communications , p/e 18.91 and it is moving on up!

Peter Hansen
07-19-2007, 06:49 AM
The way it looks to me Oil will go HIGHER , and below I summarize the reasons.

1. Hurricane season is here and potential for monster Gulf hurricanes can't be ruled out
2. Political instability in the Persian Gulf ....I believe 2 US aircraft carriers are there.....Iran may get attacked by US or Israel.
3. Homeland security has reminded us about possible US Al Qaieda Attacks , which could include oil facilities.
4. The International Energy Agency ( IEA ) says oil demand is continuously increasing and even if the economy slows, global oil demand will start outpacing supply in 2011.
5. Production in Iraq is falling ,and with all the Civil war and madness dont look for increases anytime soon .
6. Goldman Sachs said that Saudi Arabia , the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait MUST increase production by the end of the summer to avoid $90 plus prices.

If you beleive as I do the following could be used to place bets on oil .

1. Energy Select Spider (XLE ) Conserative Oil play
2. Canadian Natural Resources ( CNQ ) Oil sands superstar
3. Holly Corp ( HOC ) Oil services superstar....check its long term performance on www.yahoo.com .......you will be amazed!
4. Profunds Oil & Gas Ultasector ETF (DIG ) it gives you 200% or twice the performance of Dow Jones Oil and gas index. The most specultive of the 4 mentioned but will "BLOW" the doors off your portfolio as oil rises .

Hope this has been helpful...if you have any of your own favorite oil investments .....post them here .....and have a beautiful day !

Peter Hansen
07-23-2007, 09:11 AM
While driving in congested NJ , I do notice that Komatsu heavy equipment ( KMTUY.PK ) is present at many roadside construction sites, and smaller equipment is on the job at residential construction sites.

( KMTUY) Pink Sheets ? .....I know what you are thinking; but, some research below may change your opinion of the Japanese version of Caterpiller.

1) KMTUY closed 7/20/07 $129.75
2) KMTUY is the 2nd largest construction equipment company in the whole world
3) China is preparing for 08 Olympics and is a mega consumer of minerals, materials and oil, and as such is buyiing all the equipment komatsu can throw at them.
4) Caterpiller racked up 1 billion sales in China , while Komatsu pulled in 1.2 billion in sales during the 2006 year . It has #1 share with 22% of the market in China.
5) Komatsu sales in North America are 22%.
6) As in auto sales Parts and Service is a huge business. Komatsu is setting up a service and parts division in China and it will be ready to rock n roll in 2008.
7) Is Komatsu a young start up company .....HELL no.... they have been in China 19 years with 32 dealerships as compared to Caterpillers 4.
8) Are they making money?......you're darn tootin' partner , profits are up 80% in the first quarter of 2007. With explosive growth in China , I dont really invision any slow downs in the near future. Komatsu has 3 straight years of profit growth
9) Oh yes ......Komatsu has opened a dealership in India in 2006 .....and I can imagine , with all the infrastructure work India needs business will be booming.

Yes I know ......hate those pink sheets myself ......but with the numbers Komatsu has .....I am buying a few shares ....and maybe you should do the same . Good Luck!

5)

Peter Hansen
07-23-2007, 10:19 AM
TMY Hot stock ......not for hold .......buy and go after quick pop.

Peter Hansen
07-25-2007, 04:00 PM
DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
ClickSoftware Technologies Inc. (CKSW) said second-quarter earnings more than doubled to $964,000, or 3 cents a share, from $443,000, or 2 cents a share, a year earlier.

Peter Hansen
07-29-2007, 08:42 PM
Hedge Against Falling Real Estate (SRS)

May 19, 2007 (Investopedia via COMTEX) -- The current real-estate environment is like a concrete mansion built on ten stories of wooden planks. And right now, the timber is starting to bow… If it comes down, it's not going to be pretty
In the mean time, investors looking for a way to hedge national real-estate woes, can consider UltraShort Real Estate ProShares (AMEX: SRS ) exchange-traded fund . UltraShort Real Estate ProShares is a "double inverse ETF". What this means is that for every 1% the Dow Jones U.S REIT Index falls, this fund increases 2%. However, beware that if the DJUSRI climbs 1%, SRS will decline 2%. (To learn more about ETFs, see Introduction To Exchange-Traded Funds and How To Use ETFs In Your Portfolio .)

There is risk. However, should U.S. real-estate markets (and REITs ) see further downside; the UltraShort Real Estate ProShares are a great way to hedge.

Exit is Everything.

spikefader
07-29-2007, 10:55 PM
The way it looks to me Oil will go HIGHER ..
I agree, Peter.

http://img409.imageshack.us/img409/7601/32682930aj0.gif
http://img409.imageshack.us/img409/1577/35852685za4.gif
http://img256.imageshack.us/img256/7419/12066027yn5.gif

http://img256.imageshack.us/img256/1169/34727293rs8.gif
http://img256.imageshack.us/img256/6051/20371020br4.gif
http://img256.imageshack.us/img256/1265/71737500tk0.gif

(http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/viewtopic.php?p=3029#3029)

Peter Hansen
07-30-2007, 09:11 AM
I agree, Peter.

http://img409.imageshack.us/img409/7601/32682930aj0.gif
http://img409.imageshack.us/img409/1577/35852685za4.gif
http://img256.imageshack.us/img256/7419/12066027yn5.gif

http://img256.imageshack.us/img256/1169/34727293rs8.gif
http://img256.imageshack.us/img256/6051/20371020br4.gif
http://img256.imageshack.us/img256/1265/71737500tk0.gif

(http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/viewtopic.php?p=3029#3029)

Spike thanx for the excellent charts ......I still like HOC ( Oil Services ) any thiughts on HOC?

Peter Hansen
07-30-2007, 09:15 AM
Gold and silver look to go higher....the best play I have found for this combo is SA ....check this out .......over a several year period ....the results are needless to say ......GREAT!. http://quicktake.morningstar.com/StockNet/StockReturns.aspx?Country=&Symbol=SA

Peter Hansen
07-31-2007, 09:56 PM
Visteon VC earnings tomorrow 8/1/07....currently $6.42 fell from $10.08 on 4/25/07 Highly spec ......but should bounce from here

Peter Hansen
08-01-2007, 10:03 AM
The insiders are beginning to buy Mortgage stocks:

Name
P/E
Yield
Insiders Bought
Legend

Colonial Prop
8
7%
$25 million
N/A

Newcastle
7
12%
$13 million
David Dreman

Winthrop Rlty
10
3%
$4 million
Arnold Schneider

JER Investors
9
12%
$542,000
David Dreman

Also Garret Thornberg recently purchased 6 million of his own stock Thornberg Mortgage ( TMA ) last week. These guys are shrewd savy investors and have made tons of money in the past by getting involved in these stressed situations.....I am watching and hoping to get in ....I feel sometimes it pays to go with the big money !

Peter Hansen
08-08-2007, 08:15 AM
Ladies and gentlemen the following four are SURE to make money if the market tracks up today .........set tight stops ......dont be greedy ......take the money and run when you make a few pesos. Drum Roll for these 4 ........bara bing ......bara bam . VDSI, SFLY, CRNT, STXS.....GOOD LUCK TO ALL.......My personal favorite of the 4 is CRNT!

Peter Hansen
08-08-2007, 02:21 PM
Buying distressed and bankrupt companies can be very lucrative if done correctly. Frankly I have no expertise in such matters; however, I can hire a company to do that for me. The Company Leucadia National LUK ( Close 8/7/07 $44.50 ) is one of the best in the business. Why do I like it ?


1. LUK has managed to turn every dollar invested into it in 1978 into a spectacular $900 or 90,000% . It has compounded 20% per yr for 30 years , I love growth like that in a company. Your money should double in slightly more than 3 yrs
2.LUK is well diversified and has stakes in , an Australian iron ore company, Fortescue Metals International, in Goober Drilling an Oklahoma oil exploration company, Hark Rock Hotel and Casino in Mississippi, a partnership that invests in japanese equities ,several California vineyards and several other wise investments.
3. When no interesting deals present themselves LUK is sitting on a huge cash pile of 1.28 BILLION
4. Two experts in the business Joe Steinberg, and Ian Cumming have been with the company since 1978, and own 25% of the outstanding shares.You can bet your bankroll they are highly selective into which investments they enter into.

LUKS guiding principles are simple:

1. NEVER , ever , ever pay to much.
2. Pay employees for performance and expect nothing less than hard hard and honesty
3. Buy companies with products people want and understand
4. Earnings sheltered by net operating loss carry forwards ( NOLs ) are more valuable than earnings that are taxed by the IRS
5. Rule 5 NEVER forget rule one.

LUK is exceelent for a Roth Ira , and I have added it to my daughter's portfolio. Rest assured that with recent bankruptcies in this wild market, the LUK boys are circling with talons ready to sink into the next, "Dead Horse"

billyjoe
08-08-2007, 02:24 PM
Pete,
I'd like your opinion on DRIPS. If you decided to get out of stocks, liquidate everything, put a million in DRIPS and live off the dividends, what % could you realistically make? Thanks. I know Doug (IIC) could do this with his millions but abandoning the trading desk would drive him crazy.

------------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
08-09-2007, 10:22 AM
Billie personally I am not a big fan of drips and have none......but I have an interesting concept for you . Simply take the 1 million and split it up equally into these 8 ETFs: FAX, IGR, DSU, EHI, EOS, CHY, ZTR, and PFL. This list represents some rock solid investments and are primarily income and debt stratedy funds. With a discount broker such as Scott or Ameritrade it will only cost you 7 dollars to buy or sell . You can elect to have the checks deposited into your brokerage account and simply withdraw the cash as needed. Since these are spread out you will get 96 checks ( Dividends ) per yr and at todays rates for a 1 million dollar investment your return should be $78,000 for the year .........not bad for sitting on your ass while twiddling your thumbs ......Billie Good Luck .......Hope this has been helpful!

skiracer
08-10-2007, 02:07 PM
whatever that means....as I said I woiuld, I took your small loss and put it to work. I sold the august 130 put yesterday for $6.6...6 weeks to wait.


well at this moment AAPL is at $124.75 somewhat lower than where i initially bought the puts and much lower than where Tatnic sold the puts. The puts are now selling for somewhat less than where Tatnic made his play. This was a beautiful short from the flighty levels of when the phone first came out but has since petered out to drop over 14 points. 8 points lower than where i bought the puts.

jiesen
08-10-2007, 02:58 PM
well at this moment AAPL is at $124.75 somewhat lower than where i initially bought the puts and much lower than where Tatnic sold the puts. The puts are now selling for somewhat less than where Tatnic made his play. This was a beautiful short from the flighty levels of when the phone first came out but has since petered out to drop over 14 points. 8 points lower than where i bought the puts.

nice call, Ski!

Peter Hansen
08-14-2007, 09:00 AM
Check out UTSI and BIDZ both appear to be ready for quick pop.....highly specualtive but I feel a fast buck can be made here !

Peter Hansen
08-17-2007, 09:06 AM
Get in and make some quick money .........load up on Pro Funds Ulta Long ETF s Ultra DOW DDM, Ultra QQQ QLD, and Ultra S&P SSO....be sure to take any profits and set tight stops ! Good Luck to all

ringo69
08-17-2007, 11:48 AM
Pete,
I'd like your opinion on DRIPS. If you decided to get out of stocks, liquidate everything, put a million in DRIPS and live off the dividends, what % could you realistically make? Thanks. I know Doug (IIC) could do this with his millions but abandoning the trading desk would drive him crazy.

------------billyjoe

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rodolfo02
08-17-2007, 09:05 PM
do you recommend buying TMA still?

IIC
08-17-2007, 10:56 PM
Pete,
I'd like your opinion on DRIPS. If you decided to get out of stocks, liquidate everything, put a million in DRIPS and live off the dividends, what % could you realistically make? Thanks. I know Doug (IIC) could do this with his millions but abandoning the trading desk would drive him crazy.

------------billyjoe


Billy...IMO Drips in a good solid company are a nice hands-off investment...Do you remember the story I told about my dad and my son...made 25% a year over 18 yrs. on Colgate.

Peter Hansen
08-21-2007, 02:18 PM
CKSW appears to be on the move.........The company has NO DEBT......with a debt to equity ratio of ZERO and an earnings growth rate of 50% You may be wise to throw a few coins into CKSW.

Peter Hansen
08-21-2007, 07:56 PM
The following was taken from an article by Dr Steve Sjuggerud in Daily wealth 8/21/07 .

"At the beginning of 2001, the Federal Reserve cut short-term interest rates down to 6%. As usual with Fed rate cuts, the Fed didn't cut rates just once. In the year 2000 alone, the Fed cut rates from roughly 6% to roughly 2%.

Investors who understood that the Fed doesn't cut rates just once made a fortune in shares of Annaly…

A month before the Fed rate cut back then, shares of Annaly traded at $8. By mid-2002 – just 18 months later – shares of Annaly were up over $20 a share, for a gain of more than 150%. In addition, Annaly shareholders also made a whopping 41% in dividends in that time as well, bringing your total return to roughly 200%.

Fast forward to 2007… It is obvious that the Fed is about to cut interest rates. The Fed already cut the not-widely-used discount rate. So we should see a Fed rate cut at the next Fed meeting in mid-September, if not sooner. Buying stocks like Annaly now is buying them one month before the Fed rate cut.

Remember, based on history, the Fed doesn't stop at just one rate cut. And the last time around, the safest place to make a pile of money when the Fed is cutting rates was in shares like Annaly.

The reason you make the most money in shares like Annaly is simple...

These companies essentially make money on the "spread" between short-term interest rates and mortgage rates. Right now, that spread is tight, so they don't make much money. But when mortgage rates are 6% and the Fed cuts rates to 2% percent, that's a 4% spread. Companies like Annaly often use 10-times leverage, so they're making a 40% return on equity.

The reason I say this is the safest place to make a pile of money is simple also… Annaly only invests in things that are guaranteed by government agencies. So Annaly's investments have no credit risk. There is basically no chance Annaly won't get paid in full on their investments"

Peter Hansen
08-27-2007, 08:51 AM
FTK , PCP and WCG have super charts and DEFINITELY look to go higher .........and U can take that to the BANK !

Peter Hansen
08-27-2007, 08:46 PM
LPHI is basically an insurance stock with a twist .......They are banking on the hope .......that you will "Kick The Bucket" as quickly as possible .LOL
Read the short paragraph below.....the chart looks good .......and perhaps some money can be made?

Life Partners Holdings' financial transactions involve the purchase of life insurance policies of terminally ill persons or elderly persons at a discount to their face value. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Waco, Texas.

Waco Texas ....yes I do recall a fire down there there several years ago ......Some Whacko convinced some gullible followers to follow him down there and live in a commume......Ah some people never learn ...do they? ......i.e. Jonestown.

Peter Hansen
08-28-2007, 09:21 AM
CHU, ACH,EDO and LFC may be a bit exteneded at this time ........but wait for a pullback and jump in ........these have plenty of life left in them.

Peter Hansen
08-29-2007, 08:36 PM
SSTR may be worth a shot ......small float + high volume = Explosive Action
Check it out .......nice move today .....If you buy in ......watch it , set tight stop and take quick profit ..... get out fast!

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=sstr

Peter Hansen
08-31-2007, 10:13 PM
Seriously I never take "HOT" tips .........but AGIX may be one to investigate ........watch it on Tuesday !

riverbabe
08-31-2007, 10:40 PM
SSTR may be worth a shot ......small float + high volume = Explosive Action
Check it out .......nice move today .....If you buy in ......watch it , set tight stop and take quick profit ..... get out fast!

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=sstr

Okay, did it yesterday! A quick scalp for a few hundred bucks. Sold about an hour too soon, but did okay! Thanks! River

riverbabe
08-31-2007, 10:59 PM
Seriously I never take "HOT" tips .........but AGIX may be one to investigate ........watch it on Tuesday !

Peter, I see what you mean! Tuesday should be big. It's also a good biotech name with one heck of a management team! Nice find! River

squarepusher
09-01-2007, 02:41 PM
[QUOTE=Peter Hansen;86320]SSTR may be worth a shot ......small float + high volume = Explosive Action
Check it out .......nice move today .....If you buy in ......watch it , set tight stop and take quick profit ..... get out fast!

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=sstr
SSTR could be a good short about now, quickly
________
Pissing asian (http://www.****tube.com/categories/817/asian/videos/1)

Peter Hansen
09-02-2007, 09:02 PM
[QUOTE=Peter Hansen;86320]SSTR may be worth a shot ......small float + high volume = Explosive Action
Check it out .......nice move today .....If you buy in ......watch it , set tight stop and take quick profit ..... get out fast!

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=sstr
SSTR could be a good short about now, quickly

Squarepusher .......I really dont know whether I would short this stock ! This stock appears to be heavily "controlled" definitely soemthing not "Kosher" with this one ........it it defintely extended .........and pretty much at its 52 week high of 2.92!

Peter Hansen
09-02-2007, 09:25 PM
AGIX looks like a snake ready to spring.......check out the news story below ..........If Wednesday's news turns out well.....the stock should rocket up.



Shares of Atherogenics Inc. were up 11% at $2.78. The stock has been on a roll this past week on news that the company will be presenting data on its diabetes drug candidate AGI-1067 at a medical conference in Austria on Wednesday.

Peter Hansen
09-04-2007, 09:45 AM
AGIX if it continues to rise........watch out for short covers........and the inevitable moonshot. Read the following ;



AGIX Short Interest: 7,242,511.000
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=agix

Buy early and enjoy the run!! Good luck all

Peter Hansen
09-04-2007, 02:13 PM
NFLD something is brewing .......stock moving fast .........get in set tight stop and hang on and enjoy the ride to $$$$$

Peter Hansen
09-04-2007, 02:24 PM
NFLD something is brewing .......stock moving fast .........get in set tight stop and hang on and enjoy the ride to $$$$$

Northfield Laboratories Inc. is a company developing an oxygen-carrying red blood cell substitute for the treatment of life-threatening blood loss, when an oxygen-carrying fluid is required and red blood cells are not available. PolyHeme is a solution of chemically modified human hemoglobin that requires no cross matching and is therefore compatible with all blood types. It has a shelf life in excess of 12 months, the company noted in a release.

squarepusher
09-05-2007, 01:26 PM
AGIX was bad to me today -_-;

i might try to get in at $1.95 again
________
LovelyWendie (http://www.lovelywendie99.com/)

riverbabe
09-05-2007, 02:00 PM
Northfield Laboratories Inc. is a company developing an oxygen-carrying red blood cell substitute for the treatment of life-threatening blood loss, when an oxygen-carrying fluid is required and red blood cells are not available. PolyHeme is a solution of chemically modified human hemoglobin that requires no cross matching and is therefore compatible with all blood types. It has a shelf life in excess of 12 months, the company noted in a release.

The army has been trying to develop this for over 25 years. For gosh sakes, it hasn't worked yet and/or caught on yet. The company is still losing money. This would have to be quite a long term buy and hold, IMHO. Phase III study just completed with preliminary data reported. Then needs FDA approval for Biologics License. And then...and then... Okay, the military needs it, if it is approved.

http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=91374&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1040417&highlight=

Not trying to rain on this parade. This is one to keep an eye on, only if they get that all-important License. (Was Technical Director of a hospital blood bank and have been paying attention to the development of this for, yes, over 25 years.) River

Peter Hansen
09-09-2007, 09:56 AM
River thank you .........after a closer analysis I fully agree with you. That is what I love about this site .......Serious input by intelligent people who have varied backgrounds and can put a different perspective on a stock .
River BLUD has been a stock that has performed well for me ........any opinion on this one?

Peter Hansen
09-09-2007, 01:28 PM
Realty Income Trust ( O ) Closed 9/7/07 at $26.31 and is currently UNDERVALUED, and its true value should be $42.48 according to Vector
Vest.
I like Realty Income Trust ( O ) because :

1. ( O ) buys property from conveience stores. gas stations, and fast food resturants. It then leases the property back to store operators through Long Term Leases. Realty Income gets the property and a 9% rental yield. A simple model that works and is highly profitable.
2. Last yr shareholders made 34.8%. Since its listing in 1994 on the NYSE
( O ) has given investors a 29% yearly return.
3. Realty income NEVER puts more than 20% of its portfolio into any ONE
industry or more than 10% into any one retail chain.
4. Since Realty Income is a REIT, it pays NO corporate tax , and distributes all its profits back to shareholders.
5. ( O ) Has been in business for 37 yrs, and has paid 440 CONSECUTIVE monthly dividends, and 38 consecutive dividend increases.

Realty Income Trust ( O ) would make a great addition to your IRA and Super addition to your ROTH IRA. Reinvest all dividends , and you will have a "Mother Lode" in your retirement years.

billyjoe
09-09-2007, 02:53 PM
Pete,
Thanks for bringing O to my attention. I've currently got lots of CNE paying around 15% but it's kind of shakey and O is much more stable. Might be adding it to IRA shortly. Thanks again.

------------billyjoe

riverbabe
09-10-2007, 09:21 AM
River BLUD has been a stock that has performed well for me ........any opinion on this one?

A good solid company with a razor/razor blade model. The Fool loves it. So does Briefing.com.

http://www.briefing.com/GeneralContent/Trader/Active/ArticlePopup/ArticlePopup.aspx?SiteName=PopUp&ArticleId=NS20070727164704AheadOfTheCurve

I don't own it now and would have to look closer at current technicals. But reports Oct. 4th. River

Peter Hansen
09-10-2007, 09:34 AM
A good solid company with a razor/razor blade model. The Fool loves it. So does Briefing.com.

http://www.briefing.com/GeneralContent/Trader/Active/ArticlePopup/ArticlePopup.aspx?SiteName=PopUp&ArticleId=NS20070727164704AheadOfTheCurve

I don't own it now and would have to look closer at current technicals. But reports Oct. 4th. River

River thanx.......your input is always appreciated!

Peter Hansen
09-11-2007, 03:04 PM
Bought a Garmin Nuvi 350 for my daughter at COSTCO .......she loves the deck of cards sized unit which fits into a slim case and mounts easily in the car. Originally purchased a Magellen GPS but had to return it ......that unit sucked .......no comparison to The Garmin . Garmin is also a nice stock with a great chart.

Salient points about the stock:

1. According to Morningstar GPS sales witll TRIPLE in the next 3 years.

2. US air traffic will triple by 2025 and conventional systems are outmoded. GARMIN makes a GPS based technology called Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast technology and it will be the future of air traffic control systems.

3. Ford and Chrysler offer Garmin GPS systems in their cars , and almost the entire rental fleet which includes Avis, Enterprize, Dollar, Thrifty , National and Alamo.

4. Garmin's GPS units were hot sellers last Christmas and appear to break records this year also.

5. Garmin has great distribution in stores such as Costco, Target, Best Buy , and Walmart.

6. Insiders own 41% of the stock.

7. garmin has NO debt and almost $360 million in cash and generated $130 Million.

8. Since its 2000 IPO Garmen has grown sales at an annualized rate of 31%

9. Garmin earns returns of around 50% on its invested capital ....needless to say better than MOST companies .

GARMIN looks good to me ......and I think it would make a good position for your Long Term Portfolio.

spikefader
09-11-2007, 07:16 PM
Bought a Garmin Nuvi 350 for my daughter at COSTCO .......she loves the deck of cards sized unit which fits into a slim case and mounts easily in the car. Originally purchased a Magellen GPS but had to return it ......that unit sucked .......no comparison to The Garmin . Garmin is also a nice stock with a great chart.

Salient points about the stock:

1. According to Morningstar GPS sales witll TRIPLE in the next 3 years.

2. US air traffic will triple by 2025 and conventional systems are outmoded. GARMIN makes a GPS based technology called Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast technology and it will be the future of air traffic control systems.

3. Ford and Chrysler offer Garmin GPS systems in their cars , and almost the entire rental fleet which includes Avis, Enterprize, Dollar, Thrifty , National and Alamo.

4. Garmin's GPS units were hot sellers last Christmas and appear to break records this year also.

5. Garmin has great distribution in stores such as Costco, Target, Best Buy , and Walmart.

6. Insiders own 41% of the stock.

7. garmin has NO debt and almost $360 million in cash and generated $130 Million.

8. Since its 2000 IPO Garmen has grown sales at an annualized rate of 31%

9. Garmin earns returns of around 50% on its invested capital ....needless to say better than MOST companies .

GARMIN looks good to me ......and I think it would make a good position for your Long Term Portfolio.
Tanks, Pete. This be gold dust I reckon. I like the count, and it's an S8 (http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/viewtopic.php?p=3447#3447)today too.
http://technicaltrades.net/Scuttlebutt/userpix/2_Chart_of_GRMN_1.gif

Peter Hansen
09-12-2007, 07:36 AM
Spike I am always learning .......and really do appreciate your stock analysis..........Thank You

Peter Hansen
09-12-2007, 07:43 AM
I like especially LPHI looks as if ready to bounce off 20 day SMA ....SIGM my second choice .......get in take a few points and bail.

Peter Hansen
09-12-2007, 02:13 PM
LPHI had an unbelievable drop this AM..........perhaps the answer is below?

Updates with comments from company, analyst on stock price drop.)
DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
Life Partners Holdings Inc. (LPHI) said Wednesday it expects to report fiscal second-quarter earnings of 46 cents a share, far above year-ago earnings of 2 cents a share, but the company's shares dropped sharply after the announcement.
R. Scott Peden, president of the Waco, Texas, company's Life Partners Inc. unit, said the company wasn't sure why the stock was lower, but added that there is a short position of about 1.5 million shares in Life Partners. The company has about 9.6 million shares outstanding.
Peden suggested traders with short positions may be trying to hold down the stock price. He said, however, that the company's fundamentals are strong, adding that Life Partners "expects the fundamentals to overtake the shorts."
The company, which helps the terminally ill sell their life insurance policies for immediate cash, said revenue for the quarter ended Aug. 30 more than doubled to $17.7 million from $7 million a year ago.
Life Partners' second-quarter earnings estimate of 46 cents a share fell short of the 57 cents estimate from Taglich Brothers' John Nobile, the only analyst that covers the stock.
Nobile said he adjusted his earnings forecast up after the company beat his first-quarter estimate by 38 cents. He said he still sees Life Partner's second-quarter estimate as "pretty positive."
Nobile suggested the stock price may have dropped so significantly because, at 46 cents, the company's guidance is slightly below its first-quarter earnings of 49 cents a share. He noted revenue may be more volatile going forward as the company deals with more institutional sales.
For the first half of the fiscal year, Life Partners expects earnings of 95 cents a share on revenue of $35 million.
Life Partners also said it expects a "very positive" second half as its institutional relationship with a special purpose entity funded by international bank WestLB AG brings additional revenue.
Life Partners' stock hit a 52-week high of $52.90 Sept. 5. The 52-week low was $5.49, reached Sept. 15, 2006.
Shares of Life Partners recently traded down $6.68, or 14%, at $40.60.
-Jennifer Hodson; 201-938-5400; AskNewswires@dowjones.com > Dow Jones Newswires
09-12-07 1145ET
Copyright (c) 2007 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

squarepusher
09-12-2007, 02:56 PM
LPHI looks like an interesting buy
________
The cigar boss (http://thecigarboss.com/)

Peter Hansen
09-13-2007, 08:45 PM
LPHI looks like an interesting buy


LPHI close on 9/13/07 at $39.59 slightly below its 50 DMA ....Last time this happened it rallied to 50+.......Definitely looks like a buy here .anyone else have an opinion?

Peter Hansen
09-14-2007, 09:03 AM
GROW is listed on the NASDAQ but wow what performance .......it has had a bad year so far .....but now may be the time to jump in. Put this in your portfolio along with the mutual funds CGMFX, CGMRX, BRUFX and you will be one happy camper in later years. Check out GROW's Performance

http://quicktake.morningstar.com/StockNet/StockReturns.aspx?Country=&Symbol=GROW

Peter Hansen
09-14-2007, 09:24 AM
CSCT ......although an OTCBB stock ......does have a good chart. They are a China Security and Surveillance Tech Company ......and China is installing all kinds of security cameras to monitor their people and for the Olympics ......It recently announced that is has been given approval to list their shares on the NYSE......Interesting.......but until then CSCT will remain on the OTCBB.

riverbabe
09-14-2007, 09:25 AM
GROW is listed on the NASDAQ but wow what performance .......it has had a bad year so far .....but now may be the time to jump in. Put this in your portfolio along with the mutual funds CGMFX, CGMRX, BRUFX and you will be one happy camper in later years. Check out GROW's Performance

http://quicktake.morningstar.com/StockNet/StockReturns.aspx?Country=&Symbol=GROW

Sure hope it GROWs soon. I've been holding since 24.73! River

Peter Hansen
09-14-2007, 10:35 AM
Sure hope it GROWs soon. I've been holding since 24.73! River

River all of us have been there ........generally what I do now is monitor a 40DAY 80 DAY EMA .....once the 40 DAY EMA crosses below the 80 DAY EMA .....I exit that stock , conversely once the 40 DAY EMA crosses back over the 80DAY EMA .....I can consider repurchasing the stock.

Peter Hansen
09-18-2007, 08:33 AM
TRA Terra Industries close 9/17/07 $23.28 manufactures methanol and nitrogen products for agriculture and industrial markets. A strong earnings growth of 1200% has caused this stock to surge 253.93% over the past year. Earnings per share have exploded from 2nd Quarter 06 of .05 to an eye popping .66 for 2nd quarter of 07 . Needless to say ......TRA may be ripe for addition to your portfolio.

peanuts
09-18-2007, 08:38 AM
TRA Terra Industries close 9/17/07 $23.28 manufactures methanol and nitrogen products for agriculture and industrial markets. A strong earnings growth of 1200% has caused this stock to surge 253.93% over the past year. Earnings per share have exploded from 2nd Quarter 06 of .05 to an eye popping .66 for 2nd quarter of 07 . Needless to say ......TRA may be ripe for addition to your portfolio.

I'd like to add that one of my favorite fund managers has been establishing a big position in this over the last few months. Also, you forgot about their shipping terminals, and distribution network.

riverbabe
09-18-2007, 12:10 PM
TRA Terra Industries close 9/17/07 $23.28 manufactures methanol and nitrogen products for agriculture and industrial markets. A strong earnings growth of 1200% has caused this stock to surge 253.93% over the past year. Earnings per share have exploded from 2nd Quarter 06 of .05 to an eye popping .66 for 2nd quarter of 07 . Needless to say ......TRA may be ripe for addition to your portfolio.

Peter, you have definitely been peeking into my portfolio! That's 2 for 2. Do you want me to just give you the rest of them now, or do you want to keep peeking (spying on me!)? You rascal you!

ywamchris
09-18-2007, 05:51 PM
Pete, I've been watching (and holding) LPHI. Other than shorts accounting for over 15% of the total stock, I don't really see how missing the earning forcast by 11cents a share would cause such a drop.

Seeing that it's now apparently "undervalued" do you have any thoughts on why trade has been below average?!?

Peter Hansen
09-18-2007, 08:28 PM
Pete, I've been watching (and holding) LPHI. Other than shorts accounting for over 15% of the total stock, I don't really see how missing the earning forcast by 11cents a share would cause such a drop.

Seeing that it's now apparently "undervalued" do you have any thoughts on why trade has been below average?!?
The 40 Day EMA is still above the 80 DAY EMA for LPHI ....so I would say hang on until your loss is 15% or the 40 crosses the 80 to the downside! I really have no explanation for the behavior of LPHI .....I don't think anyone knows.

Peter Hansen
09-18-2007, 08:31 PM
I'd like to add that one of my favorite fund managers has been establishing a big position in this over the last few months. Also, you forgot about their shipping terminals, and distribution network.

Peanuts ......thanx for your input without..... contibutions from you and other s ...... Mr Market is huge would never be such a great site !

Peter Hansen
09-18-2007, 09:21 PM
CSCT closed 9/18/07 at $21.50 and as mentioned in a post above is a story stock.......They have made the city of Shenzhen an offer they can't refuse.....An ordinace number 458 was passed by the Chinese government which says that all cafes and entretainment halls in the city MUST have video monitoring systems made by CSCT installed immediately. I am sure town officials will comply ......after all who are they to argue with the C hinese government. Nothing like communism in action LOL
The governement also passed another law that requires surveillance equipment to be installed in coal mines , justice departments and cities throughout China.
Retail stores in Xian MUST install surveillance equipment to qualify for a buisiness license, and CSCT is right there with friends in high places
The Chinese security and surveillance market is growing by an astonishing 40% each year and will be worth 33 billion by 2009.
CSCT sales should skyrocket when it supplies equipment for the 2008 Olympics and the 2010 World's Fair.

Interesting information pertinant to CSCT appears below:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/27701-china-security-surveillance-technology-roth-capital-conference-presentation-transcript

Peter Hansen
09-19-2007, 08:17 AM
The aircraft engine business will grow for many years and that is GREAT news for Precision Cast Parts ( PCP ) close $138.63 9/18/07. PCP is one of the main suppliers to jet engine makers GE, United Technologies and Rolls-Royce.
Aircraft engine parts must be very precise and have the ability to withstand high temperatures and stress. PCP has been in business since 1949 and has a reputation for producing high quality reliable parts. It has 5 billion in sales and 80 facilities in 16 countries. .
PCP has risen an astounding 1300% over the past 5 years. When the new Boeing 787 launches PCP will be there to supply $4.5 million in parts for each pair of engines. You can rest assured , with quality control suspect in China, NO WAY will Boeing risk out sourcing to that country.
Needless to say I like PCP , and you may well wish to considerate it for a spot in your long term portfolio.
Need further convincing ,,,,,,,check out the chart and financial data from "Morningstar" below. Good Luck!

http://quicktake.morningstar.com/StockNet/StockReturns.aspx?Country=&Symbol=PCP

Peter Hansen
09-20-2007, 09:06 AM
ALVR VIVO CPHD are 3 stox that should do well if the market is up today ......super nice charts .......Good Luck To ALL!

Peter Hansen
09-20-2007, 08:04 PM
I like PGJ because of its performance and its ability to trade just like a stock!

Peter Hansen
09-21-2007, 09:12 PM
BIDZ is now the second largest online retailer of jewelry behind NILE.

BIDZ sells more jewelry online than Tiffany!

BIDZ just went public this summer and almost nobody knows about it yet.

BIDZ is growing revenues at a much faster rate than NILE and AMZN. Take a look at BIDZ's revenue growth...

2001: $7.4MM
2002: $34.8MM +370%
2003: $47.7MM +37%
2004: $65.3MM +17.6%
2005: $90.6MM +38.7%
2006: $131.8MM +45.5%
2007: $180MM (estimated) +36.6%

Not only is BIDZ growing revenues faster than NILE and AMZN, but BIDZ expects to lead the industry in 2008 with operating margins of 10%! NILE's operating margins last year were only 6.6%. AMZN's operating margins last year were only 3.6%.

The site is www.bidz.com

I am not big on Jewelry but the sold prices noted on the site seemed to be very reasonable.......anyone care to comment ?.......BIDZ closed 9/21/07 at $10.50.........Needless to say this one could prove to be Verrrrrry Interesting !

Peter Hansen
09-23-2007, 02:03 PM
Spicy Pickle is a relatively new franchise .Has anyone eaten at one ......I know that Panera's is great .......but check out the video ......does anyone see a possibilty for this resturant and its stock ( SPKL) ?

http://www.stockwire.com/content/view/519/48/

Peter Hansen
09-24-2007, 09:07 AM
Tutogen Medical TTG may provide a good entry here close 9/21/07 $11.04!

Peter Hansen
09-24-2007, 10:10 PM
Why did the pickle jump up ? SPKL ....The answer is

Spicy Pickle(R) Serves Up Its Initial Public Offering
PR NEWSWIRE
Posted: 2007-09-24 10:35:04
DENVER, Sept. 24 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Spicy Pickle(R) fast casual restaurants (OTC Bulletin Board: SPKL) today announced the commencement of public trading for its common stock on the Over The Counter Bulletin Board (OTC BB) quotation medium. The company completed its own self underwritten Initial Public Offering, and the stock recently opened for trading.

Empire Financial Group Inc. ( http://www.empirefinancialgroup.com ) of Longwood, Florida, served as sponsoring brokerage firm for quotation of Spicy Pickle's common stock on the OTC BB. Spicy Pickle completed its own IPO by selling 4,352,780 shares of its common stock, priced at $.40, for gross proceeds of $1,741,112.

Peter Hansen
09-27-2007, 07:31 AM
China stocks are hot but so were techs in 2000. They are ripe for a fall , but I still feel money can be made in the short haul. The 4 stox I like now are
1. CPSL
2. CHL
3. JRJC
4. CBAK

Interesting site to check your stox www.barchart.com

If You do play the above 4 ......set a TSL ( TRAILING STOP LOSS ) at 15% aand as it goes up tighten your stops to preserve your gains.
When you go to the barchart site.... in the upper left hand corner enter your stock call letters. Then click on the opinion tab on the left hand side.
The above 4 stocks all scored 100% in all the buy categories. This in one of the best "Free" sites I have ever encountered. Enjoy and Good Luck!

Peter Hansen
09-27-2007, 07:47 AM
To be perfectly honest many of the the OTCBB stocks are worth about as much as 3 hairs on a pig's ass, but I have done more research on SPKL and I must admit .....it does have possibilities. The 2 sites below take you to some reviews. Notice that one woman .....there is always one in the crowd , complains the sandwiches are too big and that is why so many people are fat ....I bet Mr Market could bang down a few of those sandwiches along with some brewskies in pretty short order. Here are the 2 sites vist them and read the reviews.

http://www.signonsandiego.com/uniontrib/20051013/news_lz1w13food.html

http://www.yelp.com/biz/p2MNXqPFgtCWnfh0-eQi1g

Peter Hansen
09-28-2007, 07:46 AM
In my humble opinion these 3 are destined to go HIGHER. CPHD ISIS ANAD All scored 100% in the above post mentioned www.barchart.com

The charts look super.... check them out they are listed below :

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=anad&sid=0&o_symb=anad&freq=1&time=6&x=46&y=18

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=cphd&sid=0&o_symb=cphd&freq=1&time=6

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=isis&sid=0&o_symb=isis&freq=1&time=6&x=41&y=11

Ladies & Gentlemen......Good Luck to All and have a profitable day !

Peter Hansen
09-28-2007, 07:55 AM
Read the article below as quoted from "Stock Wire"
SPICY PICKLE (SPKL) - EXPANDS INTO 15 STATES!


ORIGINAL ALERT INFO :
ALERT DATE & PRICE: SEP 21, 2007 / $.69
ALERT EMAIL: CLICK HERE
CURRENT PRICE: $.85
CURRENT % ROI: +23%
COMPANY CONTACT INFO:
Spicy Pickle Franchising Inc.
B90 Madison St., Suite 700
Denver, CO 80206
Phone: (800) 711-1902
Fax: (303) 297-1903
Email: info@spicypickle.com
Web: www.spicypickle.com

INVESTOR RELATIONS INFO:
Spicy Pickle
Phone: (800) 711-1902

What a week it has been for all of our members who took advantage of our newest profile. The stock has garnered a ton of attention from the investment community and has traded around $4.5 million dollars since our introduction.

Monday morning we had a very strong gap higher, which is something I never like to see, but it has held strong since then. That is a very strong signal that investors feel the stock is fundamentally sound at these levels.

As I stated in Part I of my three part series on Spicy, I believe the stock is currently worth $1.

It is a company that is growing like crazy and we are fortunate enough to know about them in the early stages of their growth curve.

Right after the bell, the company just put out a press release announcing they have signed a new franchisee in the state of Florida. This now puts them in 15 states in the US! We are watching this company expand across the United States.

They also mention at the bottom of the press release, that they currently have a breakfast menu in the testing phase. If these tests work out positively, this could really inflate their bottom line and maybe double their current revenue.

Peter Hansen
09-28-2007, 10:13 AM
This was posted in a BB on www.stockscores.com

Could this be a begining of a big wave of new pickle resturants ,who knows? .......I would not bet the ranch on SPKL ........but it may be worth some of your chump change !

http://www.stockhouse.ca/bullboards/viewmessage.asp?no=15697485&t=0&all=&TableID=0

Peter Hansen
09-28-2007, 03:33 PM
CCGY .......Pollution ........Olympics........Beijing CCGY Rules !!!!!!!

TNtrader
09-28-2007, 07:39 PM
Pete,

Thank you kindly for bringing BIDZ to my attention. I've done my own DD, and it looks like a super opportunity. I got in at $10.60.

Thanks a ton.

:)

Peter Hansen
09-28-2007, 08:10 PM
BIDZ is now the second largest online retailer of jewelry behind NILE.

BIDZ sells more jewelry online than Tiffany!

BIDZ just went public this summer and almost nobody knows about it yet.

BIDZ is growing revenues at a much faster rate than NILE and AMZN. Take a look at BIDZ's revenue growth...

2001: $7.4MM
2002: $34.8MM +370%
2003: $47.7MM +37%
2004: $65.3MM +17.6%
2005: $90.6MM +38.7%
2006: $131.8MM +45.5%
2007: $180MM (estimated) +36.6%

Not only is BIDZ growing revenues faster than NILE and AMZN, but BIDZ expects to lead the industry in 2008 with operating margins of 10%! NILE's operating margins last year were only 6.6%. AMZN's operating margins last year were only 3.6%.

The site is www.bidz.com

I am not big on Jewelry but the sold prices noted on the site seemed to be very reasonable.......anyone care to comment ?.......BIDZ closed 9/21/07 at $10.50.........Needless to say this one could prove to be Verrrrrry Interesting !

BIDZ Up 13.59% With Christmas this stock should sail........also check this out
Roth analyst Elizabeth Pierce said the company has strong fundamentals, and various factors could lead its growth in the quickly growing online retail market.

"In our opinion, Bidz's interactive auction model is a unique format that eliminates supply chain inefficiencies and delivers great values to customers," she wrote.

The analyst also set an $18 price target for the company's stock.

Wow music to my ears ........LOOK OUT !

Peter Hansen
09-29-2007, 12:54 PM
Good news is that BIDZ was up on close 9/28/07 13.59% to $13.46 BAD news is that upon further investigation I found that www.bidz.com has gotten an "F" report by the better business bureau. Apparently customer complaints, difficult returns, merchandise not as described , "JUNKY" looking pieces etc. You can see the BB report on the site below. If you own the stock , Iwould recommend watching the position carefully and setting a TIGHT stop loss. to protect your profits ......at best the position of the company is precarious., basically a house of cards waiting for collapse......would I buy anything from them ?..ABSOLUTELY NOT based on the comments in the BB report and other comments on different websites.

http://www.labbb.org/BBBWeb/Forms/Business/CompanyReportPage_Expository.aspx?CompanyID=130990 07

Peter Hansen
09-29-2007, 01:08 PM
Wow wow Spicy Pickle SPKL closed Friday 9/28/07 UP an eye popping 42.35% to 1.21 on a volume of 2,816,459 shares. Quite impressive for an OTCBB stock. I checked many sites on the internet and all I found were POSITIVE comments .....with one lady in the above posts complaining that sandwiches were too big .....but TASTY ! Please check out the company video below .....I think you will be impressed ......the business model, and CEOS are just as high calibre as their sandwiches......and Expansion for this company is in moon shot territory ! To Watch Video Click in lower left side of company web page .
Enjoy

www.spicypickle.com

Karel
09-29-2007, 04:59 PM
Wow wow Spicy Pickle SPKL closed Friday 9/28/07 UP an eye popping 42.35% to 1.21 on a volume of 2,816,459 shares. Quite impressive for an OTCBB stock. I checked many sites on the internet and all I found were POSITIVE comments .....with one lady in the above posts complaining that sandwiches were too big .....but TASTY ! Please check out the company video below .....I think you will be impressed ......the business model, and CEOS are just as high calibre as their sandwiches......and Expansion for this company is in moon shot territory ! To Watch Video Click in lower left side of company web page .
Enjoy

www.spicypickle.com
Errm, Pete, with all respect, but such a jump for such a low trading and relatively thinly traded stock that garners such a lot attention is, well, not surprising. The question is, is there more than heat?

Regards,

Karel

Peter Hansen
09-29-2007, 06:09 PM
Errm, Pete, with all respect, but such a jump for such a low trading and relatively thinly traded stock that garners such a lot attention is, well, not surprising. The question is, is there more than heat?

Regards,

Karel

Karel all OTCBB board stocks are pure speculation , and No one knows for sure what the future will hold. I have done some research, and this stock does not seem to be some "boiler room" hype type of situation. They do have viable restuarants in several states. I have researched several websites , and all the customers appear to be happy with their meals. The founders are chefs , amd they pride themselves on using high quality ( Boars Head ) meats and no MSG, or other additives in their ingredients. Of course never bet the ranch on this type of stock.....but for some extra spec cash you may have , I think this stock could prove to be a highly profitable addition to your "spec" stock portfolio.
Karel watch the video at www.spicypickle.com I think you will be impressed .......I am already making money with this one .....and do hope to make much more....the ride to the top is never smooth, or a straight shot. An old Chinese proverb comes to mind " He who deliberates fully before taking that first step .....will spend his entire life on one leg"
Good luck and thanx for your comments......have a profitable day!

Peter Hansen
09-30-2007, 11:12 AM
Years back a friend of mine approached me with a new investment stock opportunity called Papa Johns Pizza (PZZA) . I almost laughed in his face . With an Italian Pizza on every corner , and with a silly name like Papa Johns how could that stock succeed? Boy was I wrong , and he is still laughing all the way to the bank.
Of course lately PZZA has faltered because they have not adapted to the health conscious diet of many Americans.
That brings to mind Spicy Pickle ( SPKL ) a young franchise started by 2 talented chefs , surrounded by talented businesmen , all working to produce a chain of resturants that will provide tasty, healthy food that ALL people can enjoy. They have a business model 2nd to none , and I am sure they are destined for success. Watch the company video at www.spicypickle.com
I am sure you will be impressed. Could this venture fail.......in life there are No guarantees ...but I do remember the immortal words of Wayne Gretsky ( One of the greatest hockey players of all time) "You ALWAYS miss the shot you don't take"
Do have a beautiful and prosperous day!

Peter Hansen
09-30-2007, 08:38 PM
CCGY spec stock ....but should jump higher this week .........CRNT more conservative of the 2 and super nice chart ........Good Luck!

Peter Hansen
10-02-2007, 08:33 AM
Good Morning Ladies and Gents .......Let's make some moolah Today ........what better way then with these 3 Honeys: JRJC, CPHD and ANAC ......Nice Charts .... all look to be going higher.......What more can be said? ......."Lock and Load" .....and don't forget to set your stops at least 15% TSL .......GOOD LUCK TO ALL!

Peter Hansen
10-02-2007, 08:22 PM
Spicy Pickle was sure moving today.... opened at $1.08 the high was $1.11 the Low was $.92 a 20% move from Low to high wow.......definitely NOT for the conservative investor. The close was $1.10 for a gain of 1.85 % on 769,401 shares traded for the day! This was much less than the 1,000,000 plus traded on Friday!

If you do wish to buy SPKL , I would recommend a buy limit order of $.95 You may get lucky and steal some . See the new information in the post below . Good Luck to all.

Peter Hansen
10-02-2007, 08:30 PM
The information below ws obtained from the "Small Cap Network" site. Once again again the whole SPKL story is on a 10 minute video , and well worth watching at www.spicypickle.com

As of right now there are 26 of these franchised 'quick and casual' restaurants in operation, but 14 more are under construction. The company thinks they could add 40 more in 2008, and even more on an annual basis after that. Folks, that's about a 100% annual growth rate.

At the end of this year Spicy Pickle will only have one company owned store. The guys at Spicy Pickle have focused much of their attention on franchising, so they can focus on building and expanding the brand. And, the numbers behind the franchise model look really good (i.e. fruitful for shareholders).

Within their franchise model, there are two basic revenue streams. Spicy Pickle collects a one-time $35,000 fee from each new franchisee (and/or $17,000 for subsequent stores owned by the same person). And, they collect 5% of each store's monthly sales in perpetuity. On top of that, they receive about a 2% rebate from each store's suppliers (soft drinks, meat, etc.). With the average Spicy Pickle storefront doing about $700,000 a year, each unit adds about $50,000 per year to the corporation's annual revenue. How long do they get to collect that revenue? Forever. Let me repeat that - forever.

The other thing to keep in mind about the revenue model is something I already mentioned. There are 26 up and running, 14 units under construction, and there are 40 more waiting to start construction. Let's just call it 80 stores by the end of 2008. At that point, we're talking about $4.0 million in recurring annual royalties and rebates - with huge margins. As same store sales improve, so too will the royalties. (And again let's not forget the one-time franchise fee is also booked as revenue.)

By the way - and this is the exciting part - the current burn rate is about $200K per month. I estimate when they get about 45 stores up and running, they'll be able to cover all their overhead, and start generating positive cash flow. This is likely to happen sometime in 2008...just around the corner.


As far as capitalization is concerned, this is one of the most investor-friendly I've ever seen (and I've seen a lot). There are about 12.2 million shares in the float, and 45 million outstanding. The current market cap is right at $31.3 million when shares are at 69 cents. There's no debt. Potential dilution? Don't worry about it ....there are no warrants or convertibles, and only a few employee options. What a breath of fresh air!

Like I said though, I think the real value of Spicy Pickle's lies in its recurring income and strong margins. You know what the annual payment would be on a $30 million annuity paid out over a span of thirty years? At an average return of 12% per year, the annuity would only pay $3.3 million per year. That's a far cry from the kind of numbers SPKL could be producing in just a few short years, and they'd be doing it forever.

Obviously this is an equity and not an annuity, and includes all the risks involved. But, the rewards built into the model seem to be incredibly enticing.


Is the Spicy Pickle the new McDonald's? Nobody can say for sure, but I do know the growth has already been superb, and appears as if it will actually accelerate over the next few years. I also know that waiting for any company to hit its peak is also a recipe for missing out on the best periods of growth for the stock...it's just too late then - the market has doled out the lion's share of the rewards.

Peter Hansen
10-03-2007, 09:12 AM
Chinese stocks are flying ........but be warned they can drop like a rock and Trailing Stock Losses should be set........just as you should never drive without a seat belt!.
Ni Hao Ma to all my Chinese friends........with that said ......the following 3 stox look like winners for the week

CSCT Set TSL at 30%

KONG Set TSL at 30%

YGE Set TSL at 30%

Good Luck To ALL !

Peter Hansen
10-04-2007, 06:58 AM
For explosive moves you may wish to buy LUM close 10/3/07 2.42 and SSRX close 10/3/07 19.99.......I really like LUM because it is an NYSE stock ....and not much on the downside but Mega possible gains on the upside ........Good Luck!

grebnet
10-04-2007, 03:45 PM
saw your note and impulsively bought a bunch og LUM this am @ $2.48... cha--ching thats a good days work... if in syracuse I owe ya a dinner.

Peter Hansen
10-05-2007, 07:34 AM
I like ENTU wow just beginning to come off 52 week low.....Think we may have a winner here

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=entu&sid=0&o_symb=entu&freq=1&time=6

You may wish to consider NEOL .beaten down coming up

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=neol&sid=0&o_symb=neol&freq=1&time=6&x=27&y=17

GSI may be extended here but who knows?

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=gsi&sid=0&o_symb=gsi&freq=1&time=6&x=61&y=17

My pick for best of the 3 ENTU.......gotta love that stock.

Remember these are VOLATILE stocks ....as they rise tighten your stops to protect profits!

Peter Hansen
10-05-2007, 07:37 AM
Grebnet that is what I love about this site ........we can share our thoughts and make money .......we ALL are in it to win it ......and hey .....who can pass up a free meal LOL

Peter Hansen
10-07-2007, 06:51 AM
Perusahaan Prsn (TLK) closed on 10/5/07 $53.97 and is UNDERVALUED according to Vector Vest and it should be valued at $79.63. P/E is 17.07, earnings Yield is 5.86 (Above Average)
Cell phones are coming of age in Indonesia and TLK has cornered the market in that country. Tlk has :

1) Massive growth from a technological revolution

2) Indonesia is a fast growing economy that can supports strong increases in consumer spending

Why buy TLK? Answers:

1) Indonesia is an untapped market with HUGE PROFIT potential.
2) Sustained dominance within its market
3) A government friendly to TLK
4) very favorable economic conditions
5) It is underpriced according to Vector Vest

Most important are the following reasons:
1) Its majority owned by the Indonesian government and opeates as a MONOPOLY ( I like that) in control of 90% of the populations fixed lines and almost the entire country's wireless network.
2) TLK has every license available for ALL the telecommunications
including 3G wireless.
3) It is virtually IMPOSSIBLE for a foreign competitor to enter the market. T-mobile and Verizon.......Stay home!!
4) Mobile phones growing by an astounding 70% annually
5) TLK has a HYBRID system The technology allows a fixed wireless receiver to provide telephone service and other wireless transmisions.
6) TLK already has and owns all the wireless infrastructure in place over the entire country, and estimates that marginal profit for each unit sold will be (Hang on to your hats) 70%.
7) 70% of the revenue for every phone sold will flow back to the company!

Now check out the chart on Morningstar below . Buy it and tuck it away in your Roth Ira Good Luck To All!

http://quicktake.morningstar.com/StockNet/StockReturns.aspx?Country=&Symbol=TLK

Peter Hansen
10-07-2007, 09:56 AM
I have accounts at both Scottrade and TDAmeritrade ......both great brokers ......and if you ask TDamerirtade will match Scott's Trade fee of $7.00 per stock......trust me I have done it !
From my experience Scott trade has lightening fast executions ....I think even faster than TD Ameritrade .

Here is the site with TLK already searched ........just plug in your stocks, click the submit button........and BANG instant analysis! Have fun!

http://www.scottrade.com/LP/smart-text/?CID=17567&symbol=TLK

Peter Hansen
10-07-2007, 01:46 PM
Perhaps SPKL had risen too far .....too fast.......but a pullback was inevitable. I spoke to a Mr Brian Cerise who is in charge of real estate and new franchisees . He said they were looking for property in Manhatten.....but so far one deal fell through in the Union Station section......but the search continues.
I will give SPKL some additional time........but I always remember that advice to "Never Marry A Stock" and that dead money in the market is a losing proposition.
I did check some reviews and all seemed favorable .....and said they would go back for the food......Check out the reviews on the following site!

http://www.yelp.com/biz/ve4ytzNVLxFsFjkzW7ONlA

billyjoe
10-07-2007, 08:01 PM
Pete,
I ate at the Spicy Pickle today in Cincinnati. Just across the street from University of Cin. campus and talked to the franchisee/manager. They have the rights to all future SPKL in the city. She previously managed the Chipotle on the other side of the street. They've got about $500,000 invested campared with 1 million for a Chipotle she said. Reminds me of a small scale Panera and it is without frills, they plan it that way. They have a catering business that is now accounting for 50% of the Cincinnati business. Her father or father-in-law is an investment banker for I believe she said the Huntington Bank and they are steering lots of clients into SPKL. Cost was 6.96 for a sub or a paninni pressed sandwich. I recommend getting it toasted, the sub that is. Logo and decor consists of 3 large pickle barrel signs . One shows a guy riding a scooter, he represents one of the founders, a chef. Another barrel shows a hippie type character playing a guitar, he represents the other founder, also a chef. The manager told me they have a franchising expert , who built a 1000 franchise business for someone I can't remember. It seems to have possibilities even if it's hype that lasts only a couple years.

----------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
10-07-2007, 08:14 PM
CDS ( AMEX) close $11.85 is undervalued according to Vector Vest and its true value should be $15.34. CDS is a Chinese company that helps other Chinese companies gain access to the US market!
TFZP ( OTCBB) TFZP has developed cold packs that has tremendous advantages over competitors. While most cases of gel cold packs weigh up to 619lbs, a case of TFZP's cold packs weigh only 18lbs. This significant reduction in cost will save the shipping industry millions of dollars a year!!!

I prefer CDS of the two mentioned ......Let's see what happens tomorow?

IIC
10-07-2007, 08:22 PM
Peter...I agree...Scottrade is excellent vs. 2 yrs ago...Although I do not get email confirmations every time...But on Limit buys I often get it lower

riverbabe
10-07-2007, 09:28 PM
Peter...I agree...Scottrade is excellent vs. 2 yrs ago...Although I do not get email confirmations every time...But on Limit buys I often get it lower
Ditto ditto. I love Scottrade Elite. Fast. Inexpensive. Huge amount of info. Surprising bargains you don't expect on the limit buys. River

Peter Hansen
10-08-2007, 02:24 PM
River and IIC yes Scottrade does have some faults.......but dollar for dollar .......good bang for your buck!

Peter Hansen
10-08-2007, 02:29 PM
Guys and Gals ever get sucked into those Teaser ads from newsletters?......Then U subscibe, and they never appear as good as they sound. Now simply go to www.stockgumshoe.com and see many of these Teasers solved.......GREAT SITE enjoy......ya may wish to send them a few bucks as sign up is FREE!

billyjoe
10-08-2007, 05:11 PM
Pete,
Got some to speculate @ 1.00 couldn't get orders filled for .98 and .99.

------------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
10-08-2007, 07:35 PM
Repeat: ThermaFreeze(TM) Products Corporation Announced Today the Adoption of ThermaFreeze(TM) Refrigerant by Hershey Gifts
Market Wire
Posted: 2007-10-08 08:43:21


THEODORE, AL -- (MARKET WIRE) -- 10/08/07 -- ThermaFreeze(TM) Products Corporation (PINKSHEETS: TFZP) announced today that it is supplying Hershey Gifts with ThermaFreeze(TM) refrigerant for protection of perishable chocolate products in transit.

"Hershey has a long history of manufacturing the highest quality chocolate confections and we welcome the opportunity to partner with Hershey in providing a superior cold chain solution for shipping Hershey Gifts which are delivered directly to consumers," said Joe Murray, President of ThermaFreeze Products Corp.

ThermaFreeze(TM) ( http://www.thermafreeze.com ) designed, built and delivered one of its proprietary ThermaFreeze(TM) processing machines to a center close to Hershey Gift's 400,000 square foot distribution center in central Illinois. The innovative machine automates processing and significantly reduces labor cost, time and refrigerant inventory storage.

Where it takes over three weeks for a full pallet of gel packs to freeze solid in a cold storage locker, the new, proprietary machine, operated by one person in an eight hour shift, processes several thousand pounds of ThermaFreeze(TM) refrigerant pads.

"We've developed a reputation for delivering quality products and cold chain solutions for our customers and will continue to secure new business relationships of this magnitude. ThermaFreeze's(TM) ability to protect perishable products, combined with an overall cost reduction potential, is unlike anything currently in use," Murray added.

About ThermaFreeze

ThermaFreeze(TM) Products Corporation ( http://www.thermafreeze.com ) is a solutions-based company for shipment of perishables, including frozen and refrigerated food items and pharmaceutical preparations. ThermaFreeze's(TM) products are designed to replace wet ice, gel packs and frozen bricks for in-transit temperature control. Through advanced cold chain research, development, experience and perishable field testing, ThermaFreeze(TM) developed a suite of patented products, processes and systems that provide an economically feasible solution for manufacturers and distributors.

ThermaFreeze(TM) refrigerant is flat, light-weight and flexible, even when frozen. In addressing industry needs, the goal was to produce a non-toxic, low-weight, flat, highly efficient refrigerant.

ThermaBarrier thermal packing products. All packaging components are non-toxic. They can be used without any restrictions in all markets and for all perishable goods, and also for medical-pharmaceutical items.

ThermaFreeze provides end-to-end solutions in shipping perishables, built around our proprietary ThermaFreeze refrigerant pads and ThermaBarrier liner products. Use of ThermaFreeze products typically permits 24 hour shipments be increased to 36 - 48 hours or more, providing significant savings in shipping costs, while also reducing or eliminating spoilage rates.

Peter Hansen
10-09-2007, 02:35 PM
The Fibonacci Portfolio What is it? , and Why you should check it out?

1) The Fibonacci portfolio consists of 5-6 quality stock positions and is "rebalanced" every Monday. ( New buys and sells listed ......if ANY)
2) The "Portfolio" is the brainchild of Christopher Michaels You can read more about his at his website which I list below.
3) It utilizes Fibonacci numbers and technical analysis to determine buys and sells.
4) Everything is clearly laid out on the site and there is nothing left to chance. No calculations required on your part! I like that.
5) You simply enter the amount you seek to invest in a box, and it will automatically calculate the correct purchase amount for each stock in the 5-6 stock portfolio. It will even give you the TSL percent loss you should set .
6) BUY and sell prices are calculated from the average price of the stock's high and lows for that date . Some newsletters calculate theirs from the LOWEST buy price and the HIGHEST sell price.

Why should you check it out?

1) If you are looking for stock rockets ..like STV....look elsewhere, but if you can settle for quality stocks with modest price gains .......this may be for you!
2) Sure ...any portfolio may have a lucky week and rise 4.98% from 10/1/07 to 10/5/07 .......but the Fibonnacci Portfolio DID just that .
3) What really grabbed my attention was $10,000 that was actually placed into a "Live" portfolio .....( NO hypothetical BS here) on MAY 24, 2006 and as of 10/5/07 is now worth an INCREDIBLE $55,647.36 or a gain of, HOLY BATMAN, and astounding 456% !!
4) Will this blistering performance be sustained? .....GOD only knows, but bottom line "If Ya always do what ya always did ........you will get what ya always got .....and in many cases that is mediocre performance.
I checked it out and subscribed on 9/24/07 ......all I will say that I am more than satisfied. This works great in a Roth Ira account ......I will soon trade my daughters Roth Ira with this method also!

Oh Yes the site is www.intelligentvalue.com

Whether you subscribe to it or not .......I think you will learn something by visitong the site ......GOOD LUCK!

Peter Hansen
10-09-2007, 02:59 PM
Check out ADY .....looks good

Peter Hansen
10-09-2007, 07:35 PM
SPKL is not a Chinese stock ......so I never expected a meteoric rise .As they have more and more openings ......and the word gets out.......I think we have a winner here. Subway is kind of a blah type resturant ....just no Panache' there. People like exotic things and in the more middle to upper class neighborhoods.......I fell SPKL will be a big sucess. When I go to Dunkin Donuts all I see there is older people scratching off instant lottery tickets .....and ladies that are too heavy for the lightwork ........and too light for the heavy work Now STRBUCKS just a few blocks over has the double shot latte crowd.....It has that Panache.....and the ladies are all well dressed ......and built like sleek race horses........as for me guess where I go?....LOL
Oh well.... only time will tell..keep the faith !
Oh well only time will tell!

Peter Hansen
10-09-2007, 07:39 PM
SPICY PICKLE (SPKL) - MORE GOOD NEWS!


ORIGINAL ALERT INFO :
ALERT DATE & PRICE: SEP 21, 2007 / $.69
ALERT EMAIL: CLICK HERE
CURRENT PRICE: $1.16
CURRENT % ROI: +68%
COMPANY CONTACT INFO:
Spicy Pickle Franchising Inc.
B90 Madison St., Suite 700
Denver, CO 80206
Phone: (800) 711-1902
Fax: (303) 297-1903
Email: info@spicypickle.com
Web: www.spicypickle.com

INVESTOR RELATIONS INFO:
Spicy Pickle
Phone: (800) 711-1902

Another strong press release was put out by the company today. Spicy announced that they just opened 2 more stores in the Denver area.

I loved the entire press release, but what really got me excited was the following:

By the end of 2007, Spicy Pickle(R) anticipates opening approximately 12 more units, bringing its network to 40 restaurants in 13 states. Nearly 50 additional franchise development agreements have also been signed.

Think about the growth that is happening with this company. This is such a great story and such a great stock and with this type of news, we should be able to take out the previous high of $1.24 tomorrow.



Below you will find the press release they put out today:

Spicy Pickle Announces Two New Store OpeningsNew Openings in Past Week
DENVER, CO, Oct 09, 2007

Spicy Pickle(R) fast casual restaurants (OTCBB: SPKL) today announced two new stores have opened in the past week, bringing the current total to 28 stores open.

Both new sites are in Colorado, and represent the continued penetration of the Denver Rocky Mountain Front Region where Spicy Pickle(R) is a branded and well-recognized name.

The first store opened in the North Boulder area. It is located at 2520 Broadway, Boulder, CO 80304. This is the second store for the Boulder-based franchisee, the first being one of the highest revenue stores in the entire chain.

The second store is in Johnstown, CO. Johnstown is located on the highly populated I-25 corridor north of Denver, on route to Fort Collins. The store is located at 4791 Thompson Parkway, Johnstown, CO 80534.

Marc Geman, CEO of Spicy Pickle(R) Franchising, Inc., commented: "As our brand expands in the Colorado region, more consumers will recognize our name. This should fuel increasing same store sales. We plan to follow this model in other major metropolitan areas around the country where we currently have a foothold."

By the end of 2007, Spicy Pickle(R) anticipates opening approximately 12 more units, bringing its network to 40 restaurants in 13 states. Nearly 50 additional franchise development agreements have also been signed.

In addition to its franchise activity, Spicy Pickle(R) currently has a breakfast menu in test, potentially opening a new daypart for the chain. The company is also in the process of building a major commissary in Denver to cost-effectively supply its local restaurants with panini, sandwich breads and sweet treats, baked daily according to Spicy Pickle's high standards. All other units nationwide will continue to bake their panini and sandwich breads in-house. The Denver commissary is expected to open by the end of the year.

billyjoe
10-09-2007, 08:27 PM
Pete,
I've got the catering menu "A less hoity-toity way to get what you want" At Spicy Pickle feeding a mess of people doesn't mean taking a mass approach. That's why we build every catering order from scratch. We start with fresh baked artisan breads, pile on the very best meats, cheeses and veggies, then we top it all off with our amazing homemade spreads.

Box Lunches---5.99---8.49

Group Feast---12 half sandwiches, pickles and chips---64.99
---------------24-----------------------------------129.99
---------------36-----------------------------------189.99

Kit and Kaboodle--12 half sandwiches, salad, pickles, chips, dessert--119.99

------------------24-----serves 20-24---------229.99
------------------36-----serves 30-36---------339.99

Group Salads plus fresh artisan bread--serves 5-7---39.99

We greatly appreciate 24-hour notice on all catering orders


-------------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
10-10-2007, 06:33 AM
Billie the menu looks good and fairly priced........SPKL will rise slow ......but as the fire spreads .......I see a raging inferno here .......take care Peter

Peter Hansen
10-10-2007, 06:56 AM
ADY has a lock on the Chinese Milk market, small float and low PE check it out .......also has nice 5 yr chart!

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=ADY

http://finance.yahoo.com/charts#chart2:symbol=ady;range=5y;indicator=volume ;charttype=line;crosshair=on;logscale=on;source=un defined

billyjoe
10-10-2007, 04:21 PM
Pete,
Wow! 1.43. You're going to make my son a rich young retiree.


------------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
10-10-2007, 04:37 PM
Billie yes looks like a new car for my wife soon

SPICY PICKLE FRANCHISING - Nasdaq National Market: SPKL

http://new.quote.com/stocks/overview.action?s=SPKL

My OH my........ Pickle Mania has hit .......hope it does not end up like Tulip Mania LOL

Peter Hansen
10-10-2007, 04:54 PM
Billie maybe I should close down my site ....and send you private emails......no body else seems to be reading it LOL

Anyway check out American dairy..... Small California company.....business in China .......may be bought out .... $30 is possible but set tight stops as stock rises to preserve your profits read below

ADY is a prime example of a stock with enormous upside potential.

Here's why ADY might hit $30!

ADY has an estimated float of only 5.90 million shares which means it could make huge swings. There is also a 11% short interest. Make sure you do your own research!! ADY could explode.



We could see some of major institutions start accumulating ADY and we can't imagine what is going to happen. There are only 5.9MM shares of ADY in the hands of retail investors.

If these major institutions want to accumulate shares of ADY, where are they going to find the shares to buy?

Some retail investors in ADY tells us that they won't sell the stock until it gets bought out at a huge premium.

Therefore... these institutions are going to have trouble finding any shares to buy without driving the price up to the stratosphere. Plus, they are going to be competing with the shorts that will have to cover soon before they go bankrupt.

riverbabe
10-10-2007, 05:56 PM
Billie maybe I should close down my site ....and send you private emails......no body else seems to be reading it LOL
Now wait just a minute! I'm reading it and also investing a little in an occasional stock pick of yours. Just because I've been quiet, does not mean I am not paying attention. River

ywamchris
10-10-2007, 09:18 PM
Pete, I'm with River! I watch your threads and have done a bit of research with some of your picks. Even made a quick return on a few like LUM.

Keep your knowledge comin'! Now about your jokes.... ;)

Peter Hansen
10-11-2007, 06:29 AM
I do make mistakes and have picked some losers .....but i am getting better and learning alot........any comments you can make on a stock I write up would be appreciated.
It reminds me of my college days when a bunch of classmates got together in the library, and we questioned each other before the Oraganic Chem tests. We would all add a piece to the puzzle, and the final results was better test grades .

Peter Hansen
10-11-2007, 06:42 AM
VIP is one great stock . Russia mobile phones! This is definitely VIP and one for the portfolio! Note the fantastic growth, and 3 for 1 split 11/23/04 and then again 5 for 1 split on 5/22/07!

http://finance.yahoo.com/charts#chart47:symbol=vip;range=my;indicator=split +dividend;charttype=line;crosshair=on;logscale=on; source=undefined

http://quicktake.morningstar.com/StockNet/StockReturns.aspx?Country=&Symbol=VIP

Peter Hansen
10-11-2007, 08:30 AM
CNEH High Speculation OTCBB stock .....may jump from here, check out the chart?

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=cneh&sid=0&o_symb=cneh&freq=1&time=6&x=57&y=23

Gatorman
10-11-2007, 10:04 AM
Your last few stock suggestions have been "spot on." The combination of research sources that you are using have certainly focused attention on some excellent prospects.

lappyhappy
10-11-2007, 11:10 AM
Your last few stock suggestions have been "spot on." The combination of research sources that you are using have certainly focused attention on some excellent prospects.

My first post here and I have to agree with the above poster. I'm a relative newbie to trading but Pete your threads have helped me immensely. Many thanks.

By the way VIP is looking good, I'm into some today.

Peter Hansen
10-12-2007, 10:58 AM
CNWI should rise on this news......watch the Hospitals buy their coronary device and send out bills .hey why not evryone esle is milking the Insurance!

grebnet
10-12-2007, 01:06 PM
CNWI should rise on this news......watch the Hospitals buy their coronary device and send out bills .hey why not evryone esle is milking the Insurance!


feeling sorry for insurance companies ? you can find a similar article in every community.


RALEIGH, N.C._Executives at nonprofit health insurer Blue Cross were paid double-digit raises last year despite criticism for big profits and premium increases.

Top executive Robert J. Greczyn Jr. was paid $3.1 million _ a 22 percent raise _ while three senior executives earned more than a $1 million for the first time, according to Blue Cross' annual report released Friday.

The nonprofit company, which covers 3.4 million North Carolinians, reported net income of nearly $190 million last year, up 13 percent from 2005. Total revenue rose 15 percent to $4.4 billion.

The pay increases were driven by bonuses that Greczyn and other executives earned for boosting Blue Cross' financial performance, said spokesman Mark Stinneford.

Greczyn received a $2.2 million bonus on top of a base salary of $862,151 and other compensation of $32,136, according to the filing with the Department of Insurance.

Blue Cross has 4,300 employees, mostly in Chapel Hill. Comparatively, drug maker GlaxoSmithKline, which has about 100,000 employees worldwide, reported Friday that it paid chief executive officer Jean-Pierre Garnier $5.4 million last year.

Blue Cross increased its executives' compensation, which included salary, bonus and other pay, after a comparison showed the company's pay "lagged significantly," Stinneford said.

Blue Cross' executive pay now resembles that of executives at 25 other health insurers of similar size.

Even so, the pay increases didn't sit well with one frequent Blue Cross critic.

"They are rolling in money, and the legislature sits by and lets it happen," said Adam Searing, director of the N.C. Health Access Coalition. "I don't want to hear another person complain about increasing health care costs if they're not willing to rein in outrageous profits and executive compensation at Blue Cross."

Searing wants changes to state law that would trigger premium rebates and give the Department of Insurance more control over Blue Cross' executive pay.

Regulators have some oversight over rate increases, "but we don't tell them how much they can pay themselves," said Chrissy Pearson, spokeswoman of the Department of Insurance.

Hospitals, doctors and other health-care providers have complained that Blue Cross squeezes their payments even as it makes more money. Blue Cross members pay about 6 percent higher premiums, on average, compared to a year ago.

While the insurer does not plan higher rate increases this year, Stinneford said rising medical costs could change that.

Peter Hansen
10-12-2007, 01:23 PM
Greb wow .....easy to see why the insurance companies are going broke ....with salaries like that ........rates will go up for sure. Another reason why I like Business man Mayor Bloomberg of NYC .....self made billionaire.....takes 1 dollar per year as chief executive of the city.........NOW he is my candidate for president!!

Peter Hansen
10-12-2007, 01:28 PM
CNWI has some high tech gadgets ......read at the site below.

www.theimaginitnow.com

Needless to say .......VERY interesting device.....CNWI could be a winner here.......at least for the short term !

Peter Hansen
10-12-2007, 07:54 PM
DBRM ( Day Break Oil and Gas ) Close 10/12/07 $0.45.....I am trying out a New System for Small & Microcap stocks.....watch it and SEE what happens.DBRM is the stock I came up with ......For the small stock people out there .......any opinions on this one?

Peter Hansen
10-14-2007, 08:57 AM
AOL Portfolio Direct Report


Saturday, October 13th, 2007, 12:01 EDT






~ Portfolio Update
SYMBOL Wk. Close Wk. Chg. Wk. %Chg. Wk. High Wk. Low
AAUK 34.92 +0.90 +2.65% 35.75 32.98
ACH 79.58 +2.73 +3.55% 79.99 71.74
AGIX 1.86 +0.14 +8.13% 1.91 1.72
BAM 40.83 -0.06 -0.15% 41.34 39.55
CNQ 73.90 -1.25 -1.66% 76.25 72.40
EXPE 34.67 -0.37 -1.06% 35.00 34.08
HOC 64.55 +0.40 +0.62% 66.30 62.11
LLL 105.04 +0.30 +0.29% 108.30 103.86
LUK 51.59 +0.57 +1.12% 52.32 50.26
MO 70.06 +0.50 +0.72% 70.18 69.09
PCU 137.83 +13.10 +10.50% 143.25 121.07
PEG 91.03 +1.34 +1.49% 92.47 88.73
PKX 186.24 -2.94 -1.55% 192.85 181.06
SPKL 1.40 +0.42 +42.86% 1.48 0.96 <<<<<<<<<<
TLK 56.50 +0.99 +1.78% 56.94 52.49
WCG 113.32 +4.52 +4.15% 115.58 108.73


As new store openings are announced the SPKL stock will spike higher.....I think over the long period .....SPKL will be a winner !

riverbabe
10-14-2007, 02:00 PM
It reminds me of my college days when a bunch of classmates got together in the library, and we questioned each other before the Oraganic Chem tests. We would all add a piece to the puzzle, and the final results was better test grades .
Pete, have to admit I'm way better at Organic Chem than the stock market! ;)

Peter Hansen
10-14-2007, 04:02 PM
River when it comes to the stock market ........No one has all the answers ......Even Jim Cramer's picks SUCK , according to Barrons LOL

Peter Hansen
10-15-2007, 07:18 AM
BBCZ was down to 50 cents .....it closed 10/12/07 at $2.30 and heading up to former high of $10.81......will it make it? .....who knows .....but look at the chart ....SWEET!

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=bbcz&sid=0&o_symb=bbcz&x=51&y=15

Peter Hansen
10-16-2007, 05:47 AM
What NLIA a pink sheet ........are you crazy?
On the surface that may be so.....but as we delve deeper into this company, it does appear verrrrrrry interesting!
Naturally Iowa, Inc. (http://www.naturallyiowa.com) operating through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Naturally Iowa, LLC, is a fully certified organic dairy processor that produces organic and all-natural fluid milk, ice cream and drinkable yogurt. Naturally Iowa distinguishes itself from other dairy processors and producers by offering the highest quality organic and all-natural dairy products packaged in an environmentally-friendly, sustainable container that completely biodegrades in 60 to 100 days in an industrial compost facility.
The chart is not great ...frankly lousy.....but it is coming off a 52 week low
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/print/print.asp?sid=2819061&symb=nlia&time=6&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comp=&ma=&maval=&uf=&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=&size=&country=us&o_symb=&startdate=&enddate=&style=320&backurl=%2Fquickchart%2Fquickchart.asp&prms=qcd&default=false&originalstyle=320&originalurl=%2Fquickchart%2Fquickchart.asp%3Fframe s%3D0%26symb%3Dnlia%26unused%3D0%26o_symb%3Dnlia%2 6x%3D53%26y%3D21%26time%3D6%26freq%3D1%26style%3D3 20%26default%3Dtrue%26backurl%3D%252Fquickchart%25 2Fquickchart%252Easp%26prms%3Dqcd%26sid%3D2819061
The manage team is SUPERB.

VP of Sales and Marketing: Daniel Strong, formerly served as
Director of Sales for the entire United States for Ben & Jerry's
ice cream and was instrumental in growing that company from
$18 million to $131 million in sales.

CFO Paul Horner was previously Vice President at "Central States
Indemnity", a Berkshire-Hathaway Company.

Once again HIGHLY SPECULATIVE....but with that said .....I do smell some money here ! Watch it and see what happens?

Peter Hansen
10-16-2007, 08:24 AM
This is perhaps the best OTCBB and Pink sheets site!

http://www.pinksheets.com/pink/index.jsp

Peter Hansen
10-16-2007, 10:28 AM
What NLIA a pink sheet ........are you crazy?
On the surface that may be so.....but as we delve deeper into this company, it does appear verrrrrrry interesting!
Naturally Iowa, Inc. (http://www.naturallyiowa.com) operating through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Naturally Iowa, LLC, is a fully certified organic dairy processor that produces organic and all-natural fluid milk, ice cream and drinkable yogurt. Naturally Iowa distinguishes itself from other dairy processors and producers by offering the highest quality organic and all-natural dairy products packaged in an environmentally-friendly, sustainable container that completely biodegrades in 60 to 100 days in an industrial compost facility.
The chart is not great ...frankly lousy.....but it is coming off a 52 week low
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/print/print.asp?sid=2819061&symb=nlia&time=6&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comp=&ma=&maval=&uf=&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&type=&size=&country=us&o_symb=&startdate=&enddate=&style=320&backurl=%2Fquickchart%2Fquickchart.asp&prms=qcd&default=false&originalstyle=320&originalurl=%2Fquickchart%2Fquickchart.asp%3Fframe s%3D0%26symb%3Dnlia%26unused%3D0%26o_symb%3Dnlia%2 6x%3D53%26y%3D21%26time%3D6%26freq%3D1%26style%3D3 20%26default%3Dtrue%26backurl%3D%252Fquickchart%25 2Fquickchart%252Easp%26prms%3Dqcd%26sid%3D2819061
The manage team is SUPERB.

VP of Sales and Marketing: Daniel Strong, formerly served as
Director of Sales for the entire United States for Ben & Jerry's
ice cream and was instrumental in growing that company from
$18 million to $131 million in sales.

CFO Paul Horner was previously Vice President at "Central States
Indemnity", a Berkshire-Hathaway Company.

Once again HIGHLY SPECULATIVE....but with that said .....I do smell some money here ! Watch it and see what happens?

NLIA may apply for dual listing on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange IF that happens Look Out .....there will be major rise in the stock.

Paul Horner and Daniel Strong are not just any corn farmers ...if anyone can make a company fly ......these 2 sharp cookies will make it happen!

riverbabe
10-16-2007, 10:43 AM
NLIA may apply for dual listing on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange IF that happens Look Out .....there will be major rise in the stock.

Paul Horner and Daniel Strong are not just any corn farmers ...if anyone can make a company fly ......these 2 sharp cookies will make it happen!
You've convinced me. I'm in for 10,000 @ .30.

Peter Hansen
10-16-2007, 08:23 PM
You've convinced me. I'm in for 10,000 @ .30.


River I'm buying NLIA slowly only in for 5000 shares .....check out their website very interesting http://www.naturallyiowa.com

Peter Hansen
10-16-2007, 08:30 PM
NLIA up 17.31% to .305

SPKL up 17.14% to $1.64

DBRM Up 13.72% to .489

BBCZ up 4.78 % to 2.05

I am not really crazy about OTCBB and Pink Sheet Stocks bercause ya can't set TSL ......but hey they are making money now.

Peter Hansen
10-16-2007, 08:34 PM
Spkl is moving right along........all we need is a few more resturants to open ......to reach that 45 ......for positive cash flow.!

billyjoe
10-16-2007, 08:53 PM
Pete,
It's hard starting from scratch like SPKL. Compare it to CMGB (Chipotle) that was started by McDonalds in '93, spun off a year ago in IPO and has 640 restaurants already. Price went from 50 to 120 in a year. SPKL manager told me CMGB is having upper management problems, but the product remains top notch. Not many restaurants start at .40 and make it long term. Right now a good 2-3 year run would make us some big money.

-------------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
10-16-2007, 08:59 PM
Billie yes best to warch it closely ......and hopefully the resturants keep opening!

Websman
10-16-2007, 09:19 PM
NLIA up 17.31% to .305

SPKL up 17.14% to $1.64

DBRM Up 13.72% to .489

BBCZ up 4.78 % to 2.05

I am not really crazy about OTCBB and Pink Sheet Stocks bercause ya can't set TSL ......but hey they are making money now.

PDGT is starting to heat up....I've doubled my investment so far.

Peter Hansen
10-17-2007, 06:58 AM
Web thanx for PDGT.........In this case "Many cooks make the broth better"

Peter Hansen
10-17-2007, 09:19 AM
Phillip Morris just released quarterly earnings .....lower but higher earnings projected for the year. MO never fails to amaze me ....Jeremy Siegel ( noted professor at Wharton School of business) has it as one of his best all time profit stock generators.
They will spin off their international division shortly, and you will get 1 stock of the new issue for every stock of MO you have . Sure there are litigation suits, but MO always seems to come out on top.
I have placed it in my daughters porfolio and she has already doubled her money in a few short years . My ex boss was left some by his dad about 35 yrs ago , and today he collects over 30K yearly just in Dividends. Buy this one and forget it......you will be wealthy in your senior years,

Need more convincing ......go to the site listed below!

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/altria-groups-quarterly-profit-falls/story.aspx?guid=%7B43071BDE%2DFED9%2D49CF%2DBC8C%2 DBA6F3C28396D%7D&siteid=aolpfaolpf1

Peter Hansen
10-17-2007, 10:19 AM
Sure you get these Teaser ads for greatest stock , blah , blah ......but when a brilliant economist like Dr Siegel speaks you get interested ......and then when he tells you that Ben Bernanke had only 1 stock is his portfolio and that was BIG MO ......that is quite a revelation ..WOW!

Read all about it here !

http://finance.yahoo.com/expert/article/futureinvest/1566

billyjoe
10-17-2007, 12:38 PM
Pete,
Sold 1/2 of SPKL in son's Roth for 1.93 , that's 93% gain in 10 days. Just had to take some off the table. I used to work all summer for much less than that. Thanks, Pete

----------billyjoe

Peter Hansen
10-17-2007, 05:19 PM
Billie I would definitely not buy now ........it will pull back and u can get in again !

Peter Hansen
10-18-2007, 08:17 AM
NLIA may apply for dual listing on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange IF that happens Look Out .....there will be major rise in the stock.

Paul Horner and Daniel Strong are not just any corn farmers ...if anyone can make a company fly ......these 2 sharp cookies will make it happen!

The article below dated Oct 5th 2007 ( Click On Link ) indicates NLIA's intention to file for a position on the Frankfort Stock Exchange . I feel when that happens there will definitely be a SPIKE in the stock price!

Please click on the link to read the full article.

http://app.quotemedia.com/quotetools/popups/story.jsp

Peter Hansen
10-19-2007, 06:42 AM
Great line from "Apocalypse Now"..........but that having been said , Check out these 2 stox .........First SHRP Sharper Image Close 10/18/07 $2.72
The chart is coming off a 52 week low......as Crhristmas Season approaches SHRP should rise in price.
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=shrp&sid=0&o_symb=shrp&freq=1&time=6
The next stock ASTI close 10/18/07 $20.00 is a momentum stock with a rising chart
http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=asti&sid=0&o_symb=asti&x=44&y=15

They both look good ..........GOOD LUCK!