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View Full Version : JBSS ==> The $$$MR. MARKET$$$ Halloween Trick or Treat


mrmarket
10-24-2003, 02:13 PM
Did you ever go to a bar to watch a football game and the game is really good and you get all excited? So you start drinking 1000’s of beers and you get all hammerhead sharked? Didn’t you wish you had some nuts to eat while you were pouring down that trania? No, I’m not nuts. Nuts are most excellent. High in protein, low in carbs. Peanuts, cashews. Pecans, pistachios, I’m getting hungry.

Here is a quote from a reknowned plastic surgeon in South Florida who has an enormous bench press, “ Sports and nuts are like soap and water. I love to eat nuts on the weekends. By Monday morning my stool looks like a holiday nut roll. Nutritionally speaking the nut has it all..protein, essential oils, speaking of oil I have terrible ass oil today. I am not sure if it was the steak Quesadia, the buffalo wings with plenty of blue cheese , or the 35 vodka's and cranberries I had at the world series last night. One thing for sure it wasn't caused by the nuts... those babies passed through as pristene as newly fallen snow. So go out and make your colon happy and eat a bag of nuts.”

Remember when Muhammed Ali fought Larry Holmes and he said Holmes’ head looked like a peanut?

Today I bought JBSS (John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.) at 28.37. I will sell it in 4 to 6 weeks at 32.86. Here is why I like JBSS.

First of all, I want to give credit where credit is due. Although JBSS has popped up on my database from time to time, our very own Lizzard King did bring it to the attention of all of the $$$MR. MARKET$$$ members only most recently. So kudos to the great Liz….go visit his website: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Lizard_Kings_Trading_Swamp/

But this isn’t the only reason I like this stock. JBSS stock is up 294% in the last 12 months yet its PE is only 13.1. That’s really good value for such incredible price momentum.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son (JBSS) processes, packages, markets and distributes shelled and in-shell nuts, sold under a variety of private labels and under the company's Evon's, Fisher, Snack 'N Serve Nut Bowl, Sunshine Country, Flavor Tree, and Texas Pride brand names. The company also markets and distributes, and in most cases manufactures or processes, a diverse product line of food and snack items, including peanut butter, candy and confections, natural snacks and trail mixes, sunflower seeds, corn snacks, sesame sticks, and other sesame snack products.

I’m not the only one that likes it. Officers and directors own 75% of the Class A common stock. The company expected sales and earnings growth to continue through the FY 04 first quarter. Recently, the company has focused on efficiency and cost control efforts allowed the company to capture an increasing portion of the gross margin that was generated by their recent sales increases, as selling and administrative expenses rose by only $2.3 million, while net sales increased by $65.3 million.

Sales growth has really taken off for these guys. I expect them to do $500 million in sales in 2004 which will give them annual earnings of $2.59/share. Even with their super low PE of 13.1, this translates to a stock price of 33.93 which surpasses my target sale price.
JBSS has been aggressively paying down debt. In fact, its debt is less than half of what it was 5 years ago while it has expanded its asset base. % Long Term Debt of Capitalization has shrunk from nearly 50% to around 19%. This has helped its return on assets grow to 7% and its Return on Equity move up to 13.6%. This compares to an industry ROE of only 7%.

But the best news is its most recent news and that’s why I think this stock can be very hot.

Sales jumped by more than 30 percent in the latest three months to $121.7 million from $93.1 million in the same period a year earlier. The company attributed the strong results to the increase in sales, and an improvement in gross margins to 18.5 percent from 11.9 percent.
Here’s what Mr. Peanut had to say himself:

"There is definitely a substantial increase in the consumption of
nuts and products containing nuts as evidenced by our first quarter
results and the consumption data that we receive from A.C. Nielsen,"
noted Jasper B. Sanfilippo, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive
Officer. "This initial quarter of fiscal 2004 should be the prelude to
another successful year. However, the Company will not rest on its
laurels. We will continue to meet the increasing consumer demand for
nut products and continue to focus on benefiting from the message that
the frequent consumption of nut products can deliver meaningful health
benefits for consumers. As stated in our recent annual report, we will
also explore the possibility of consolidating our operations in order
to gain further processing efficiencies and to support the growth
trend that the nut category has enjoyed," concluded Mr. Sanfilippo.

Bong bong bong!! Whoooop! Whooop! Did you hear what he said? Consolidation?? I smell a takeover.

JBSS P/E is 13.1 which is extremely low compared to the Industry PE of 24.5. Just getting its true PE value alone will probably double its stock price. Only one analyst is following this stock now (with a “buy” rating)…certainly when sales grow to $500 million, more will follow with similar ratings. Not that $$$MR. MARKET$$ listens to analysts who did not attend Wharton, but the rest of the world does seem to take notice when new recommendations are published.

No, I’m not nuts but I think I’ll eat some more.

titanomega1
10-24-2003, 03:12 PM
Excellent analysis, I have one question. What ever happened to the red pistachios nuts? I can only find the white ones. I used to love to get my fingers and lips beet red. And why do some peanuts have one big one instead of two or three little ones.?

u r huge I am in!

jiesen
10-24-2003, 04:38 PM
this is nuts! I'm in!

minni17
10-24-2003, 07:19 PM
We are long Dicks, PRX and NUTS

cool

minni

flymike
10-24-2003, 08:02 PM
Aren’t we going into the nuts season? Seems I’ve been going through many jars of peanuts lately and this time of year you see more of them being offered. Ernie, saw mention of the latest buy in Supertraders today. Liz says you’re his weight trainer. Eat enough nuts and you’ll need a weight trainer. hehe Recently read an article about nuts indicating they have a number of vitamins and good amino acids etc.
Time to go to the watering hole eat some peanuts and have some fish. :lol:

MEA_1956
10-25-2003, 12:24 AM
I'm Not Posistive but didn't J B S S Make the top five back in the spring time. In such I said MM was going to pick it at that time but he went for some other comp. At that time I threw it in to a portf. and it was selling @ $13.20 which today would make a nice profit of 113.71 %. I hope this pick fairs well and fast. MEA

mrmarket
10-25-2003, 05:48 AM
I'm Not Posistive but didn't J B S S Make the top five back in the spring time. In such I said MM was going to pick it at that time but he went for some other comp. At that time I threw it in to a portf. and it was selling @ $13.20 which today would make a nice profit of 113.71 %. I hope this pick fairs well and fast. MEA

you are correct. In fact it made it twice last spring. Of course, if Yahoo didn't delete all of our messages, we'd have a much more accurate recollection.

minni17
10-25-2003, 10:11 AM
I heard on the news yesterday that the price of beef was going up dramatically. This was attributed to a huge increase in consumption by Americans. There is a fad diet phenomenom going around. Atkins dieters are encouraged to eat all the meat they want.They are also encouraged to eat nuts nuts and more nuts,
There are millions of these meat and nut eating nuts. In my small work group of 30 people, I count 8 Atkins devotees and all of them regularly bring large containers of nuts to work with them. I bet Atkins is one of the reasons that the SanFillipo's aare selling so many nuts.
I might look into pork belly futures too because these people also eat about a pound of bacon per day.

Any one else out there seen an Atkins person smelling like bacon and holding their nuts?
Minni

RL
10-25-2003, 10:32 AM
Hey Mini love your post thats something we can use a sense of humor :lol: Ray [rl]

tx_damnyankee0
10-25-2003, 12:51 PM
I agree with RL....you are so funny! Where in Buffalo are you located? I lived in Hamburg for awhile (really, really miss that place). My best friend owns a restaurant in Orchard Park.

minni17
10-26-2003, 01:12 AM
I am in Kenmore, which is immediately north of Buffalo but south of North Tonawanda. Orchard Park ( where Bills play is south of Buffalo).

There seems to be a large continguent of mister marketeers who are either in Western New York or who have lived here at one time or another.
Even the nighty Stenz lived here as a kid.

There must be somthing in the water that makes us great investors!

Minni

Gatorper
10-27-2003, 01:35 PM
Today I bought JBSS (John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.) at 28.37. I will sell it in 4 to 6 weeks at 32.86. Here is why I like JBSS.


A little late to the nutty party... Picked it up @28.95. With the holidays around the corner, everyone will go NUTS putting them in brownies, fudges, cookies, etc. Don't forget nuts for all pro/college football games...
Why am I getting excited about JBSS, when I am allergic to all NUTS!? :x

Rachel
10-27-2003, 08:37 PM
Hope everyone does well with this one. I bought this 4-14-03 at $15.37 and sold 5-1-03 at $18.78. It was an easy 22% in 2 weeks. Kinda looks like I pulled the trigger a little fast now.

I am about to sell all my home builders for a huge profit (which I suggest here on Oct 1st). Starting to look for some buy opportunities but everything looks real extended. Hope everyone makes a bundle.

All the Best,
Rachel

Rachel
10-27-2003, 08:38 PM
Hope everyone does well with this one. I bought this 4-14-03 at $15.37 and sold 5-1-03 at $18.78. It was an easy 22% in 2 weeks. Kinda looks like I pulled the trigger a little fast now.

I am about to sell all my home builders for a huge profit (which I suggest here on Oct 1st). Starting to look for some buy opportunities but everything looks real extended. Hope everyone makes a bundle.

All the Best,
Rachel

Anonymous
10-28-2003, 05:46 AM
Excellent pick and in this case a psychology person (moi) agrees that it can be very healthy to "go nuts" with JBSS! Good luck to all. :)

Risky
10-28-2003, 01:08 PM
TOTALLY AWESOME FIND! THX! :mrgreen:

Gatorper
10-28-2003, 06:52 PM
Early this morning I had a meeting with my hubby's financial planner so I asked him if he was familiar with JBSS. He had never heard of it and said he would look into it. Well, obviously he followed it immediately after I left the meeting, and JBSS ran up nicely! He paged me late in the afternoon asking where and how I got the information ... :lol:

:roll:

Gatorper
10-29-2003, 10:56 AM
Holy Nuts! Look at JBSS's move today! :D Ernie, your target exit price is almost there. You are indeed H-U-G-E!

jiesen
10-29-2003, 12:20 PM
got my 15% today from JBSS. Now what is the annualized gain on THAT one?

Thanks, $$MM, you're HUGE!

dblonde58
10-30-2003, 07:49 AM
Bought on Friday, 10/24, Sold on Wed 10/29. Thanks MM.. you are HUGE!

Diane

talkingrobe
10-30-2003, 09:58 AM
Another great winner...thank you! JBSS I sold at 20%
BUT at this rate you won't have any winners left in your port...

plichter
10-30-2003, 09:58 AM
It looks like JBSS is over $34 today. The incredible streak of HIS HUGENESS continues.....

Is JBSS #41???

Regards,

Paul